2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska explained

Election Name:2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska
Country:Nebraska
Type:legislative
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska
Previous Year:2010
Next Election:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska
Next Year:2014
Seats For Election:All 3 Nebraska seats to the United States House of Representatives
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Last Election1:3
Seats1:3
Popular Vote1:496,276
Percentage1:64.24%
Swing1: 3.31%
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Last Election2:0
Seats2:0
Popular Vote2:276,239
Percentage2:35.75%
Swing2: 7.43%

The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, and elected the three U.S. representatives from the state of Nebraska. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election and an election to the U.S. Senate. Primary elections were held on May 15, 2012.[1]

Redistricting

A redistricting plan was passed by the Nebraska Legislature on May 24, 2011,[2] after a five-hour Democratic-led filibuster was defeated.[3] [4] The plan signed into law by Republican Governor Dave Heineman.[5]

District 1

Republican Jeff Fortenberry, who has represented Nebraska's 1st congressional district since 2005, did not run for the U.S. Senate, and is running for re-election.[6]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn

Primary results

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jeff
Fortenberry (R)		Korey
Reiman (D)		Undecided
Wiese Research Associates[11] October 23–25, 2012200 (RV)±6.9% align=center65%24%11%
Wiese Research Associates[12] September 17–20, 2012169 (LV)±5.4% align=center69%24%7%

Results

District 2

Republican Lee Terry, who has represented Nebraska's 2nd congressional district since 1999, did not run for the U.S. Senate, and ran for re-election.[6]

David Wasserman of The Cook Political Report rates the race as "Likely Republican."[13]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Primary results

General election

Campaign

After his primary victory, Ewing promptly took a break from fundraising before starting up again at the end of June.By the end of the fundraising quarter had only raised $300,000 to Terry's $1.3 million. The Omaha World-Herald would later describe this is "perhaps the race's defining moment" and one that prevented Ewing from gaining much traction in the general election.[21]

Terry's campaign also made mistakes, most notably releasing an ad that inaccurately quoted a nonprofit advocacy group.[22]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Lee
Terry (R)		John
Ewing (D)		Undecided
Wiese Research Associates[23] October 23–25, 2012352 (LV)±5.2% align=center47%42%11%
DCCC (D)[24] October 14, 2012525 (LV)±4.3% align=center48%44%7%
Wiese Research Associates[25] September 17–20, 2012331 (LV)±5.4% align=center52%39%10%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[26] November 5, 2012
align=left Rothenberg[27] November 2, 2012
align=left Roll Call[28] November 4, 2012
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[29] November 5, 2012
align=left NY Times[30] November 4, 2012
RCP[31] November 4, 2012
align=left The Hill[32] November 4, 2012

Results

Despite receiving very little help from national Democrats, Ewing outperformed Obama and lost to Terry by just 4,197 votes.

District 3

Republican Adrian Smith, who has represented Nebraska's 3rd congressional district since 2007, is running for re-election.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Adrian
Smith (R)		Mark
Sullivan (D)		Undecided
Wiese Research Associates[33] October 23–25, 2012200 (RV)±6.9% align=center64%24%12%
Wiese Research Associates[34] September 17–20, 2012156 (LV)±5.4% align=center70%19%11%

Results

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: 2012 Elections. August 16, 2011. Nebraska Secretary of State. https://web.archive.org/web/20111028210057/http://www.sos.ne.gov/elec/2012/elections.html. October 28, 2011. dead.
  2. Web site: Redistricting bill advances. May 25, 2011. June 11, 2011. Omaha World-Herald. Paul. Hammel. Martha. Stoddard.
  3. Web site: Congressional redistricting plan jumps Democratic roadblock. May 23, 2011. June 11, 2011. Lincoln Journal Star. Don. Walton.
  4. Web site: Redistricting rides to final vote. May 24, 2011. June 11, 2011. Omaha World-Herald. Paul. Hammel.
  5. Web site: Nebraska lawmakers approve, governor signs congressional and legislative redistricting maps. May 26, 2011. June 11, 2011. Times-Post. Grant. Schulte.
  6. Web site: No Senate bids for Terry, Fortenberry. January 9, 2012. January 9, 2012. Omaha World-Herald. Robynn. Tysver. https://archive.today/20130131032603/http://www.omaha.com/article/20120109/NEWS01/120109739/1004. January 31, 2013. dead. mdy-all.
  7. Web site: 1st district congressional candidate plans faith-based message. October 11, 2011. Lincoln Journal Star. Don. Walton.
  8. Web site: Final day sets up contested races in area. March 2, 2012. March 4, 2012. Norfolk Daily News. Kent. Warneke.
  9. Web site: Democrats will contest all House races. March 1, 2012. March 4, 2012. Lincoln Journal Star. Don. Walton.
  10. Web site: Robert Way Withdraws from Congressional Race, Endorses Korey Reiman. March 24, 2012. May 7, 2012. Nebraska Democratic Party. Chris. Triebsch. https://web.archive.org/web/20141018042511/http://www.nebraskademocrats.org/node/4223. October 18, 2014. dead.
  11. https://web.archive.org/web/20140104220836/http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/wiese-omaha-world-herald-16300 Wiese Research Associates
  12. https://web.archive.org/web/20140104220840/http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/wiese-omaha-world-herald-15336 Wiese Research Associates
  13. Web site: Is Warren Buffett's Grandson Running for Congress?. June 3, 2011. June 11, 2011. The Atlantic. Joshua. Green. Joshua Green (journalist).
  14. Web site: 5 Republicans Hope To Be U.S. Congressman. April 19, 2012. May 7, 2012. KETV.
  15. Web site: Freeman to challenge Terry. January 5, 2012. January 9, 2012. Omaha World-Herald. Maggie. O'Brien.
  16. Web site: UNO chairman to run for Congress. September 6, 2011. September 6, 2011. Omaha World-Herald.
  17. Web site: GOP opponent challenges Terry leadership. June 22, 2011. June 24, 2011. Lincoln Journal Star. Don. Walton.
  18. Web site: Douglas County treasurer seeks Terry's House seat. July 18, 2011. July 19, 2011. Lincoln Journal Star. Don. Walton.
  19. Web site: Gwen Howard to run for Congress. October 4, 2011. October 4, 2011. Omaha World-Herald. Susan. Szalewski.
  20. Web site: Buffett grandson to run dad's foundation. June 10, 2011. February 15, 2012. Omaha World-Herald. Steve. Jordon.
  21. Web site: Roseann Moring . Erin Grace . Lee Terry unhappy with close race with John Ewing, but eager to work . omaha.com . Omaha World-Herald . 7 March 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20121126131955/http://www.omaha.com/article/20121106/NEWS/121109751 . 26 November 2012 . 6 November 2012.
  22. Web site: Robyn Wisch . Terry and Ewing Debate in Second District Race . nebraskapublicmedia.org . 7 March 2023 . 16 October 2012.
  23. https://web.archive.org/web/20131019204606/http://www.omaha.com/article/20121029/NEWS/121029470/1685 Wiese Research Associates
  24. https://web.archive.org/web/20121112135502/http://www.scribd.com/doc/110350280/NE-02-DCCC-IVR-Oct-2012 DCCC (D)
  25. http://www.omaha.com/article/20120924/NEWS/709249949/1685#campaign-2012-incumbency-helps-terry-to-hefty-edge-over-ewing Wiese Research Associates
  26. Web site: The Cook Political Report — Charts – 2012 House Competitive Races . Cookpolitical.com . November 5, 2012 . November 6, 2012.
  27. Web site: House Ratings . Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com . November 2, 2012 . November 4, 2012.
  28. http://www.rollcall.com/politics/race-ratings-chart-2012-house-elections.html
  29. http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2012-house/ Crystal Ball
  30. http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/ratings/house House Race Ratings
  31. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/house/2012_elections_house_map.html
  32. Web site: House Ratings . The Hill . November 4, 2012. November 3, 2012 .
  33. https://web.archive.org/web/20140104220857/http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/wiese-omaha-world-herald-16301 Wiese Research Associates
  34. https://web.archive.org/web/20140104220858/http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/wiese-omaha-world-herald-15337 Wiese Research Associates

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