2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan explained

Election Name:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan
Country:Michigan
Type:legislative
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan
Next Year:2020
Seats For Election:All 14 Michigan seats to the United States House of Representatives
Turnout:57.8%
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Last Election1:5
Seats Before1:4
Seats1:7
Seat Change1: 2
Popular Vote1:2,165,586
Percentage1:52.33%
Swing1: 5.36%
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Last Election2:9
Seats Before2:9
Seats2:7
Seat Change2: 2
Popular Vote2:1,847,480
Percentage2:44.65%
Swing2: 3.38%

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the 14 U.S. representatives from the state of Michigan, one from each of the state's 14 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other offices, including a gubernatorial election, other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The filing deadline for candidates filing for the August 7 primary was April 24, 2018.[1] Unless otherwise indicated, the Cook Political Report rated the congressional races as safe for the party of the incumbent.

Two seats shifted from Republican to Democratic control. In the 8th Congressional District, Elissa Slotkin defeated incumbent Mike Bishop and in an open seat for the 11th Congressional District, Haley Stevens defeated Lena Epstein.[2] This left Michigan's U.S. House delegation in the 116th United States Congress with seven Democrats and seven Republicans until July 4, 2019, when Justin Amash of the 3rd Congressional District left the Republican Party to become an independent, shifting the balance of power in Michigan's House delegation to a Democratic plurality for the first time since 2011.

Results summary

Statewide

Party Candi-
dates
Votes Seats
No. % No. +/– !%
14 2,165,586 52.33% 7 2 50.00%
13 1,847,480 44.65% 7 2 50.00%
5 52,879 1.28% 0 0.00%
4 27,007 0.65% 0 0.00%
3 18,299 0.44% 0 0.00%
3 14,805 0.36% 0 0.00%
2 12,095 0.29% 0 0.00%
Total 44 4,138,151 100.00% 14 100.00%

District

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan by district:[3]

scope=col rowspan=3Districtscope=col colspan=2Democraticscope=col colspan=2Republicanscope=col colspan=2Othersscope=col colspan=2Totalscope=col rowspan=3Result
scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2!scope=col colspan=2
scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"%
145,246 43.68% 187,251 56.32% 0 0.00% 332,497 100.00% Republican hold
131,254 42.97% 168,970 55.32% 5,239 1.72% 305,463 100.00% Republican hold
134,185 43.18% 169,107 54.42% 7,448 2.40% 310,740 100.00% Republican hold
106,540 37.38% 178,510 62.62% 0 0.00% 285,050 100.00% Republican hold
164,502 59.51% 99,265 35.91% 12,646 4.58% 276,413 100.00% Democratic hold
134,082 45.69% 147,436 50.24% 11,920 4.06% 293,438 100.00% Republican hold
136,330 46.20% 158,730 53.80% 0 0.00% 295,060 100.00% Republican hold
District 8 172,880 50.61% 159,782 46.78% 8,931 2.61% 341,593 100.00% Democratic gain
181,734 59.67% 112,123 36.81% 10,706 3.52% 304,563 100.00% Democratic hold
106,061 35.00% 182,808 60.32% 14,195 4.68% 303,064 100.00% Republican hold
District 11 181,912 51.84% 158,463 45.16% 10,526 3.00% 350,901 100.00% Democratic gain
200,588 68.08% 85,115 28.89% 8,925 3.03% 294,628 100.00% Democratic hold
165,355 84.24% 0 0.00% 30,944 15.76% 196,299 100.00% Democratic hold
214,334 80.88% 45,899 17.32% 4,761 1.80% 264,994 100.00% Democratic hold
Total 2,175,003 52.35% 1,853,459 44.61% 126,241 3.04% 4,154,703 100.00%

District 1

Election Name:2018 Michigan's 1st congressional district election
Country:Michigan
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 1
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 1
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:Jack Bergman (2017) (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Jack Bergman
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:187,251
Percentage1:56.3%
Nominee2:Matthew Morgan
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:145,246
Percentage2:43.7%
Map Size:250
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Jack Bergman
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Jack Bergman
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

See also: Michigan's 1st congressional district. The 1st district consists of the entire Upper Peninsula of Michigan and the northern part of the Lower Peninsula including Alpena, Marquette, and Traverse City. This district has a PVI of R+9. The district, which makes up about 44% of the land area of the state of Michigan, is the second-largest congressional district east of the Mississippi River by land area. The incumbent was Republican Jack Bergman, who had represented the district since 2017. He was elected to replace retiring representative Dan Benishek with 55% of the vote in 2016. The Cook Political Report rated this race "likely Republican."[4]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Democratic primary

Matt Morgan was the only Democrat to file to run. However, he was removed from the ballot because he used a PO box address on his nomination petitions instead of his residential address. Instead, Morgan ran a write-in campaign, hoping to qualify for the ballot by winning at least five percent of the total votes cast in the district for the Democratic gubernatorial primary.[5] Over 4,800 votes were cast in Marquette County, which would have been enough by itself to qualify Morgan for the ballot.[6] According to official results, Democrats cast 29,293 write-in votes in the primary for Morgan, more than seven times the 3,781-vote threshold. On August 24, the Board of State Canvassers placed him on the November ballot.[7]

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn

Primary results

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[10] November 5, 2018
align=left Inside Elections[11] November 5, 2018
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] November 5, 2018
RCP[13] November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[14] November 5, 2018
538[15] November 7, 2018

Results

District 2

Election Name:2018 Michigan's 2nd congressional district election
Country:Michigan
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 2
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 2
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:Bill Huizenga official congressional photo (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Bill Huizenga
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:168,970
Percentage1:55.3%
Nominee2:Rob Davidson
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:131,254
Percentage2:43.0%
Map Size:250
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Bill Huizenga
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Bill Huizenga
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

See also: Michigan's 2nd congressional district. The 2nd district is located in West Michigan and is anchored by the suburbs of Grand Rapids such as Kentwood and Wyoming, other cities include Holland and Muskegon. This district has a PVI of R+9. The incumbent was Republican Bill Huizenga, who had represented the district since 2011. He was re-elected to a fourth term with 63% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Failed to qualify

Primary results

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2018
align=left Inside ElectionsNovember 5, 2018
align=left Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2018
RCPNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosNovember 5, 2018
538November 7, 2018

Results

District 3

Election Name:2018 Michigan's 3rd congressional district election
Country:Michigan
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 3
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 3
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:Justin Amash official photo (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Justin Amash
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:169,107
Percentage1:54.4%
Nominee2:Cathy Albro
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:134,185
Percentage2:43.2%
Map Size:250
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Justin Amash
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Justin Amash
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

See also: Michigan's 3rd congressional district. The 3rd district is located in inland West Michigan, centered on the city of Grand Rapids, and extends down to Battle Creek and Marshall. This district has a PVI of R+6. The incumbent was Republican Justin Amash, who had represented the district since 2011. He was re-elected to a fourth term with 59% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Failed to qualify

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2018
align=left Inside ElectionsNovember 5, 2018
align=left Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2018
RCPNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosNovember 5, 2018
538November 7, 2018

Results

District 4

Election Name:2018 Michigan's 4th congressional district election
Country:Michigan
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 4
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 4
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:John Moolenaar (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:John Moolenaar
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:178,510
Percentage1:62.6%
Nominee2:Jerry Hillard
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:106,540
Percentage2:37.4%
Map Size:250
U.S. Representative
Before Election:John Moolenaar
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:John Moolenaar
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

See also: Michigan's 4th congressional district. The 4th district is located in Northern and Central Michigan including portions of the Tri-Cities region, specifically Midland, other cites include Mount Pleasant and the northern suburbs of Lansing. This district has a PVI of R+10. The incumbent was Republican John Moolenaar, who had represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected to a second term with 62% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Failed to qualify

Primary results

General election

Results

District 5

Election Name:2018 Michigan's 5th congressional district election
Country:Michigan
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 5
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 5
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:Dan Kildee 116th Congress.jpg
Nominee1:Dan Kildee
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:164,502
Percentage1:59.5%
Nominee2:Travis Wines
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:99,265
Percentage2:35.9%
Map Size:250
Map2 Caption:Kildee:
Wines:
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Dan Kildee
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Dan Kildee
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

See also: Michigan's 5th congressional district. The 5th district is located along the eastern coast of Michigan, centered on the Tri-Cities region of Mid Michigan, such as Bay City and Saginaw, and stretches down into Flint. This district has a PVI of D+5. The incumbent was Democrat Dan Kildee, who had represented the district since 2013. He was re-elected to a third term with 61% of the vote in 2016. Kildee considered running for governor in 2018, but decided to run for re-election instead.[19]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Republican primary

Michigan's 5th district was included on the initial list of Democratic held seats being targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee in 2018.[20] There is one Republican candidate, Durand resident Travis Wines who lives outside the district.[8]

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

General election

Results

District 6

Election Name:2018 Michigan's 6th congressional district election
Country:Michigan
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 6
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 6
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:Fred Upton 113th Congress photo (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Fred Upton
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:147,436
Percentage1:50.2%
Nominee2:Matt Longjohn
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:134,082
Percentage2:45.7%
Map Size:250
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Fred Upton
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Fred Upton
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

See also: Michigan's 6th congressional district. The 6th district is located in Southwestern corner of Michigan, specifically the Michiana region. The district is anchored by Kalamazoo and the surrounding areas including Benton Harbor and Niles. This district has a PVI of R+4. The incumbent was Republican Fred Upton, who had represented the district since 1993 and previously represented the 4th district from 1987 to 1993. He was re-elected to a sixteenth term with 59% of the vote in 2016. The Cook Political Report rated this race as "likely Republican."[4]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Failed to qualify

Declined

Primary results

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Fred
Upton (R)
Matt
Longjohn (D)
Stephen
Young (T)
Undecided
Change Research (D)November 2–4, 201846040% align="center" 42%3%14%
Change Research (D)October 27–29, 2018466 align="center" 46%43%
DCCC (D)[28] October 9–10, 2018605± 4.2% align=center49%46%
Public Policy Polling (D)[29] September 4–5, 2018750 align=center45%41%
Global Strategy Group (D-Longjohn)[30] August 24–29, 2018500± 4.4% align=center47%41%3%9%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2018
align=left Inside ElectionsNovember 5, 2018
align=left Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2018
RCPNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosNovember 5, 2018
538November 7, 2018

Results

District 7

Election Name:2018 Michigan's 7th congressional district election
Country:Michigan
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 7
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 7
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:TimWalbergHeadshot (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Tim Walberg
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:158,730
Percentage1:53.8%
Nominee2:Gretchen Driskell
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:136,330
Percentage2:46.2%
Map Size:250
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Tim Walberg
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Tim Walberg
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

See also: Michigan's 7th congressional district. The 7th district is located in Southern Michigan including downtown Lansing and the western suburbs of Ann Arbor including Lodi and Milan, other cities include Adrian, Coldwater, and Jackson. This district has a PVI of R+7. The incumbent was Republican Tim Walberg, who had represented the district since 2011 and previously represented the district from 2007 to 2009. He was re-elected to a fourth consecutive and fifth total term with 55% of the vote in 2016. The Cook Political Report rated this race as "likely Republican."[4]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Democratic primary

Michigan's 7th district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[32]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2018
align=left Inside ElectionsNovember 5, 2018
align=left Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2018
RCPNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosNovember 5, 2018
538November 7, 2018

Results

District 8

Election Name:2018 Michigan's 8th congressional district election
Country:Michigan
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 8
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 8
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:Elissa Slotkin, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Elissa Slotkin
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:172,880
Percentage1:50.6%
Nominee2:Mike Bishop
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:159,782
Percentage2:46.8%
Map Size:250
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Mike Bishop
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Elissa Slotkin
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

See also: Michigan's 8th congressional district. The 8th district was centered on the state capital, Lansing, and stretches into the northern outskirts of Metro Detroit including Rochester Hills. This district has a PVI of R+4. The incumbent was Republican Mike Bishop, who had represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected to a second term with 56% of the vote in 2016. This race was considered competitive, with the Cook Political Report rating it as 'Tossup' in August 2018.[35] [4] With $28 million spent, it drew the most campaign spending for a U.S. House seat in Michigan's history.[36] Elissa Slotkin defeated Bishop, flipping the district to the Democratic side.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Democratic primary

Michigan's 8th district had been included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[32]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Failed to qualify

Primary results

Libertarian party

General election

Debates

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mike
Bishop (R)
Elissa
Slotkin (D)
OtherUndecided
Change Research (D)[39] November 2–4, 201850146% align=center47%3%[40] 5%
NYT Upshot/Siena College[41] October 31 – November 4, 2018447± 5.0%42% align=center49%2%6%
Target Insyght[42] October 15–17, 2018500± 4.5% align=center48%45%3%[43] 4%
NYT Upshot/Siena College[44] September 28 – October 3, 2018501± 4.8% align=center47%44%10%
GQR Research (D-Slotkin)[45] September 17–20, 2018400± 4.9%43% align=center47%10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Bishop)[46] September 16–18, 2018400± 4.9% align=center45%43%
Public Policy Polling (D)[47] April 16–17, 2018668± 3.8% align=center46%41%13%
Target Insyght[48] April 3–5, 2018400± 5.0% align=center45%39%16%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2018
align=left Inside ElectionsNovember 5, 2018
align=left Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2018
RCPNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosNovember 5, 2018
538November 7, 2018

Results

District 9

Election Name:2018 Michigan's 9th congressional district election
Country:Michigan
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 9
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 9
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:Andy Levin, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Andy Levin
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:181,734
Percentage1:59.7%
Nominee2:Candius Stearns
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:112,123
Percentage2:36.8%
Map Size:250
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Sander Levin
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Andy Levin
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

See also: Michigan's 9th congressional district. The 9th district is located in Metro Detroit including Roseville, Royal Oak, and Warren. This district has a PVI of D+4. The incumbent was Democrat Sander Levin, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 12th district from 1993 to 2013 and the 17th district from 1983 to 1993. He was re-elected to an eighteenth term with 58% of the vote in 2016. In December 2017, Levin announced his retirement, and that he would not seek re-election in 2018.[49]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Martin
Brook
Andy
Levin
Ellen
Lipton
Undecided
EPIC-MRA[53] July 25–26, 2018730± 3.7%4% align=center55%31%10%
Lake Research Partners (D-Levin)[54] July 9–12, 2018400± 4.9%4% align=center51%12%30%

Primary results

Republican primary

Michigan's 9th district was included on the initial list of Democratic held seats being targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee in 2018.[20]

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

General election

Results

District 10

Election Name:2018 Michigan's 10th congressional district election
Country:Michigan
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 10
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 10
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:Paul Mitchell official congressional photo (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Paul Mitchell
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:182,808
Percentage1:60.8%
Nominee2:Kimberly Bizon
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:106,061
Percentage2:35.0%
Map Size:250
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Paul Mitchell
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Paul Mitchell
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

See also: Michigan's 10th congressional district. The 10th district is located in an area of the Lower Peninsula of Michigan known as The Thumb and parts of the Metro Detroit area including Chesterfield, Macomb, and Port Huron. This is the most Republican friendly district with a PVI of R+13. The incumbent was Republican Paul Mitchell, who had represented the district since 2017. He was elected to replace retiring representative Candice Miller with 63% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

General election

Results

District 11

Election Name:2018 Michigan's 11th congressional district election
Country:Michigan
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 11
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 11
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:Haley Stevens, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Haley Stevens
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:181,912
Percentage1:51.8%
Nominee2:Lena Epstein
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:158,463
Percentage2:45.2%
Map Size:250
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Dave Trott
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Haley Stevens
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

See also: Michigan's 11th congressional district. The 11th district is located in Metro Detroit including Livonia, Novi, and Troy. This district had a PVI of R+4. The incumbent was Republican Dave Trott, who had represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected to a second term with 53% of the vote in 2016. Trott was not running for re-election in 2018.[56] [57] This race is considered to be competitive; the Cook Political Report rated this contest as a "toss up."[4]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Failed to qualify
Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kerry
Bentivolio
Lena
Epstein
Klint
Kesto
Mike
Kowall
Rocky
Raczkowski
Undecided
Mitchell Research (R)[68] July 30, 2018305± 5.7%14% align=center27%11%10%18%20%
EPIC-MRA[69] July 23–24, 2018700± 3.7%7% align=center26%12%8%19% align=center28%

Primary results

Democratic primary

Michigan's 11th district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[32]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Failed to qualify
Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tim
Greimel
Suneel
Gupta
Fayrouz
Saad
Nancy
Skinner
Haley
Stevens
OtherUndecided
EPIC-MRAJuly 23–24, 2018700± 3.7% align=center21%14%10%4%17% align=center34%
Target-Insyght[77] July 16–18, 2018500± 4.5%14%15%7% align=center21%4%[78] align=center39%

Primary results

Libertarian party

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Lena
Epstein (R)
Haley
Stevens (D)
OtherUndecided
Target Insyght[79] October 15–17, 2018513± 4.3%48%48%2%3%
ALG Research (D-Stevens)[80] October 10–14, 2018513± 4.3%34%44%4%[81] 16%
Harper Polling (R-Epstein)[82] October 10–13, 2018465± 5.0%35%36%2%[83] 27%
NYT Upshot/Siena College[84] October 1–6, 2018465± 5.0%38%45%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[85] February 12–13, 2018653± 3.8%42% align=center45%13%
Public Policy Polling (D)[86] October 5–8, 2017709± 3.7%42%42%16%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2018
align=left Inside ElectionsNovember 5, 2018
align=left Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2018
RCPNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosNovember 5, 2018
538November 7, 2018

Results

District 12

Election Name:2018 Michigan's 12th congressional district election
Country:Michigan
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 12
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 12
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:Debbie Dingell 116th Congress.jpg
Nominee1:Debbie Dingell
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:200,588
Percentage1:68.1%
Nominee2:Jeff Jones
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:85,115
Percentage2:28.9%
Map Size:250
Map2 Image:MI12 House 2018.svg
Map2 Size:250
Map2 Caption:Precinct results
Dingell:
Jones:
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Debbie Dingell
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Debbie Dingell
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

See also: Michigan's 12th congressional district. The 12th district is based in Ann Arbor and the surrounding cities including Ypsilanti, and the western suburbs of Detroit including Dearborn and Lincoln Park. This district has a PVI of D+14. The incumbent was Democrat Debbie Dingell, who had represented the district since 2015. She was re-elected with 64% of the vote in 2016.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

General election

Results

District 13

Election Name:2018 Michigan's 13th congressional district election
Country:Michigan
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2018 Michigan's 13th congressional district special election
Previous Year:2018 (special)
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 13
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:Rashida Tlaib, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped 2).jpg
Nominee1:Rashida Tlaib
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:165,355
Percentage1:84.2%
Nominee2:Sam Johnson
Party2:Working Class Party
Popular Vote2:22,186
Percentage2:11.3%
Map Size:250
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Brenda Jones
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Rashida Tlaib
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

See also: 2018 Michigan's 13th congressional district special election and Michigan's 13th congressional district. The 13th district is located entirely within Wayne County and is centered on the city of the Detroit and the immediate surrounding suburbs including Dearborn Heights, Garden City, and Westland. This is the most Democratic-friendly district with a PVI of D+32. The seat was vacant for most of 2018, following the resignation of John Conyers in December 2017.[87] A special primary and special general election were held in August and November 2018, on dates coinciding with the already scheduled primary and general elections in a money-saving move by Michigan Governor Rick Snyder.[88]

Conyers represented the district from 2013 to 2017. He previously represented the 14th district from 1993 to 2013, and the 1st district from 1965 to 1993. He was Dean of the United States House of Representatives, and was re-elected to a twenty-seventh term with 77% of the vote in 2016.

Former state representative Rashida Tlaib, a member of Democratic Socialists of America, won the Democratic primary. Tlaib, however, lost the special primary to Brenda Jones, president of the Detroit City Council. Jones served for the final 35 days of the unexpired term before Tlaib was sworn in.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Failed to qualify

Withdrew

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ian
Conyers
Shanelle
Jackson
Brenda
Jones
Rashida
Tlaib
Bill
Wild
Coleman
Young
Undecided
EPIC-MRA[100] July 25–26, 2018700± 3.7%7%5% align=center26%22%20%9%11%
Target-InsyghtJuly 16–18, 2018600± 4.0%8%4% align=center21%19%20%14%14%

Primary results

Republican primary

David Dudenhoefer was the only Republican candidate to announce his run for the Republican nomination, but he failed to qualify. He did, however, run as a write-in candidate. As a result, Tlaib was opposed in the general election only by minor party candidates and write-in candidates.

Candidates

Failed to qualify

Primary results

General election

Results

District 14

Election Name:2018 Michigan's 14th congressional district election
Country:Michigan
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 14
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 14
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:Brenda Lawrence official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Brenda Lawrence
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:214,334
Percentage1:80.9%
Nominee2:Marc Herschfus
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:45,899
Percentage2:17.3%
Map Size:250
Map2 Image:MI14 House 2018.svg
Map2 Size:250
Map2 Caption:Precinct results
Lawrence:
Herschfus:
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Brenda Lawrence
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Brenda Lawrence
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

See also: Michigan's 14th congressional district. The 14th district stretches from the northern Detroit suburbs including Farmington Hills, Southfield, and West Bloomfield, to eastern part of Detroit. This district has a PVI of D+30. The incumbent was Democrat Brenda Lawrence, who had represented the district since 2015. She was re-elected to a second term with 79% of the vote in 2016.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

General election

Results

External links

Official campaign websites of first district candidates

Official campaign websites of second district candidates

Official campaign websites of third district candidates

Official campaign websites of fourth district candidates

Official campaign websites of fifth district candidates

Official campaign websites of sixth district candidates

Official campaign websites of seventh district candidates

Official campaign websites of eighth district candidates

Official campaign websites of ninth district candidates

Official campaign websites of tenth district candidates

Official campaign websites of eleventh district candidates

Official campaign websites of twelfth district candidates

Official campaign websites of thirteenth district candidates

Official campaign websites of fourteenth district candidates

Notes and References

  1. Web site: 2018 Michigan Election Dates . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20181105080833/https://www.michigan.gov/documents/sos/2018_Dates_600221_7.pdf . 5 November 2018 . 17 March 2023 . www.michigan.gov . en.
  2. Web site: Michigan Dems flip two Republican seats in U.S. House. Detroit News.
  3. Web site: Johnson. Cheryl L.. Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018. Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. April 27, 2019. February 28, 2019.
  4. Web site: 2018 House Race ratings - The Cook Political Report. The Cook Political Report. August 29, 2018.
  5. Web site: Only Democrat in Michigan race will have to run as write-in candidate. August 29, 2018.
  6. Web site: Matt Morgan declares write-in campaign a success. JORDAN. TRAVIS. August 10, 2018 . August 29, 2018.
  7. Web site: Democrat Matt Morgan will be on ballot in 1st Congressional District. August 24, 2018. August 29, 2018.
  8. Web site: 2018 Michigan Official Primary Candidate Listing - 08/07/2018. miboecfr.nictusa.com. August 29, 2018.
  9. https://twitter.com/ChangePolls/status/1057118890164027392 Change Research (D)
  10. Web site: 2018 House Race Ratings . Cook Political Report . October 30, 2018.
  11. Web site: 2018 House Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . November 5, 2018.
  12. Web site: 2018 House . . November 5, 2018.
  13. News: Battle for the House 2018 . RCP . November 5, 2018.
  14. Web site: Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings . . November 5, 2018 .
  15. Web site: Silver . Nate . 2018 House Forecast . . November 6, 2018 . August 16, 2018.
  16. News: After health care debate, ER doctor runs against US Rep. Bill Huizenga. WZZM. Irizarry. Jaleesa. June 4, 2017. June 5, 2017.
  17. Web site: Who's running for Congress in Michigan. January 7, 2018. August 29, 2018.
  18. https://drive.google.com/file/d/14Lr8NFz6MfY_MR5Ade0Ox7eSGxrlzxi7/view Lake Research Partners (D-Davidson)
  19. News: U.S. Rep. Dan Kildee will forgo race for governor. Detroit Free Press. Gray. Kathleen. May 8, 2017. May 10, 2017.
  20. Web site: House Republicans name Democratic targets for 2018. Politico. Isenstadt. Alex. February 8, 2017. March 23, 2017.
  21. News: Democrat doctor challenges Fred Upton in 2018 after health care vote. Kalamazoo Gazette. Barrett. Malachi. July 18, 2017. July 18, 2017.
  22. News: Upton generates buzz, backlash for role in health bill. The Detroit News. Nann Burke. Melissa. May 27, 2017. June 2, 2017.
  23. News: Democrat focuses on economy in 2018 challenge to Fred Upton. Kalamazoo Gazette. Barrett. Malachi. July 20, 2017. July 21, 2017.
  24. Web site: Former Kellogg Exec Might Seek Upton's Seat. WSJM. March 21, 2017. March 23, 2017.
  25. News: Former Kellogg lobbyist George Franklin announces congressional run. Kalamazoo Gazette. Devereaux. Brad. October 5, 2017. October 5, 2017.
  26. News: Paul Clements announces third challenge to Fred Upton in 2018. Kalamazoo Gazette. Barrett. Malachi. July 6, 2017. July 6, 2017.
  27. Web site: Kalamazoo's population grows famously. WNWN-FM. McNeill. John. March 7, 2017. March 23, 2017.
  28. https://drive.google.com/file/d/17cZ9DHVGrVvOvcJtlf3zrP7Zp7myECpH/view DCCC (D)
  29. https://www.heraldpalladium.com/news/local/upton-holds--point-lead-in-latest-poll/article_bf6d6978-805f-5c83-bc3f-96f33bcce5fb.html Public Policy Polling (D)
  30. https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/democratic-poll-gop-rep-fred-upton-competitive-race Global Strategy Group (D-Longjohn)
  31. https://www.scribd.com/document/364424287/House-PPP-for-Patriot-Majority-Nov-2017 Public Policy Polling (D)
  32. Web site: Amid Democratic doldrums, DCCC identifies 2018 targets. Politico. Cheney. Kyle. January 30, 2017. March 23, 2017.
  33. News: Driskell seeks rematch with Rep. Walberg. The Detroit News. Oosting. Jonathan. July 19, 2017. July 19, 2017.
  34. https://dccc.org/dccc-memo-democrats-clear-advantage-new-district-polls/ DCCC (D)
  35. Web site: Challenger Elissa Slotkin outraises Rep. Mike Bishop over three months. August 29, 2018.
  36. Web site: Schuster . Simon . 2022-10-19 . Michigan's closest U.S. House races report lopsided fundraising . 2022-10-25 . mlive . en.
  37. Web site: Races for new Circuit Court seat, state House and Senate set as filing deadline passes. August 29, 2018.
  38. News: Ex-Pentagon, intelligence official Elissa Slotkin to challenge Mike Bishop for Congress. Detroit Free Press. Spangler. Todd. July 10, 2017. July 10, 2017.
  39. https://healthcarevoter.org/new-house-polls-voters-cite-health-care-top-issue-ahead-midterm-elections/ Change Research (D)
  40. Brian Ellison (L) with 3%, David Lillis (T) with 0%
  41. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-mi08-3.html NYT Upshot/Siena College
  42. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20181019_MI_8.pdf Target Insyght
  43. Brian Ellison (L) with 2%, David Lillis (T) with 1%
  44. https://scri.siena.edu/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/MI08P1release_final.pdf NYT Upshot/Siena College
  45. https://drive.google.com/file/d/1mFO2S-H0ajQ7-ghzroIZdEtp9frFF1Ni/view GQR Research (D-Slotkin)
  46. https://static.politico.com/22/b7/1da10e4b4bb5a4db1e3094fe3aa1/download-2.pdf Public Opinion Strategies (R-Bishop)
  47. https://www.scribd.com/document/377477768/House-PPP-D-for-Patriot-Majority-April-2018 Public Policy Polling (D)
  48. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/TargetInsyght_Congressional_District_08_04_06_2018.pdf Target Insyght
  49. News: Peterson . Kristina . December 2, 2017 . Rep. Sander Levin of Michigan to Retire . . New York . December 2, 2017 .
  50. Web site: Levin, Bieda running for Congress. August 29, 2018.
  51. Web site: Steve Bieda drops out of U.S. House race to run for Spranger's office. August 29, 2018.
  52. News: Oakland County Treasurer Andy Meisner says he WON'T run for Congress in #MI9. Twitter. Oosting. Jonathan.
  53. https://web.archive.org/web/20180801034341/http://www.epicmra.com/press/CD9_DEM_Primary_July2018_Media_Freq.pdf EPIC-MRA
  54. https://www.scribd.com/document/384171460/MI-09-Lake-Research-D-for-Andy-Levin-July-2018 Lake Research Partners (D-Levin)
  55. https://www.scribd.com/document/376622416/MI-09-Greenberg-Quinlan-Rosner-Research-D-March-2018 GQR Research
  56. Web site: Michigan Rep. Dave Trott won't run for reelection. Politico. Schneider. Elena. September 11, 2017. September 11, 2017.
  57. Web site: Republican Michigan Representative Dave Trott not seeking reelection. Jack. Roskopp. August 29, 2018. August 1, 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20180801064208/https://www.metrotimes.com/news-hits/archives/2017/09/11/republican-michigan-representative-dave-trott-not-seeking-reelection. dead.
  58. Web site: Raczkowski, Epstein enter race to succeed Trott. August 29, 2018.
  59. News: Former congressman Kerry Bentivolio tells me he is "seriously considering" running for his old seat which is being vacated by Dave Trott. Twitter. Jacobs. Ben. September 12, 2017. September 14, 2017.
  60. News: Bentivolio eyes return to Congress. Detroit News. Oosting. Jonathan. October 16, 2017. October 16, 2017.
  61. News: U.S Rep. Dave Trott to leave Congress. Detroit Free Press. Spangler. Todd. September 11, 2017. September 11, 2017.
  62. News: Rep. Dave Trott is retiring from U.S. House. The Detroit News. Nann Burke. Melissa. September 11, 2017. September 11, 2017.
  63. News: Heise eyes run for Trott's House seat. Plymouth Observer. Kadrich. Brad. September 12, 2017. September 14, 2017.
  64. Web site: Form 1 for Kurt Heise for Congress.
  65. Web site: Heise ends campaign for Congress, endorses Kowall.
  66. Web site: Former candidate Kristine Bonds endorses Mike Kowall for Congress.. Mike Kowall for Congress. July 16, 2018. August 17, 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20180817092233/https://www.mikekowallforcongress.com/blog/bondsendorsement. August 17, 2018. dead.
  67. News: Michigan's Dave Trott Won't Seek Re-Election in 2018. Roll Call. Pathé. Simone. September 11, 2017. September 11, 2017.
  68. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/Mitchell_Poll_GOV-SEN_11_CD-GOP_Primary_Press_Release__8-1-2018.pdf Mitchell Research (R)
  69. https://www.freep.com/story/news/local/michigan/2018/08/01/11-th-district-primary-poll-dave-trott/860558002/ EPIC-MRA
  70. News: Michigan native comes home for run against Rep. Trott. The Detroit News. Oosting. Jonathan. April 27, 2017. April 27, 2017.
  71. Web site: State Rep. Tim Greimel joins crowded congressional field . Todd Spangler . Detroit Free Press . October 17, 2017 . October 19, 2017.
  72. News: Democrat Gupta raises $501K in bid to replace Trott. The Detroit News. Burke. Melissa. January 5, 2018. March 22, 2018.
  73. News: Former Duggan official plans run against Rep. Trott. The Detroit News. Nann Burke. Melissa. July 13, 2017. July 13, 2017.
  74. Web site: Board: 7 U.S. House hopefuls tossed from primary ballot. August 29, 2018.
  75. Web site: Kumar For US Congress. Kumar. Anil. Facebook.
  76. News: On the Barb McQuade/#MI11 rumor, she says when I asked if she's looking at it, "No, not at all. I don't even live in the 11th District.". Gorchow. Zach. September 11, 2017. Twitter. September 14, 2017.
  77. https://www.scribd.com/document/384312848/MI-11-Target-Insyght-for-MIRS-July-2018 Target-Insyght
  78. Daniel Haberman (failed to make ballot) 4%
  79. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20181019_MI_11.pdf Target Insyght
  80. https://haleystevensforcongress.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/mi-cd-11-track-3-memo.pdf ALG Research (D-Stevens)
  81. Leonard Schwartz (L) with 4%
  82. https://web.archive.org/web/20181017082113/https://lenaforcongress.com/recent-poll-surge/ Harper Polling (R-Epstein)
  83. Leonard Schwartz (L) with 1%, Cooper Nye (I) with 1%
  84. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-mi11-1.html NYT Upshot/Siena College
  85. https://www.scribd.com/document/372045886/House-PPP-for-Patriot-Majority-D-Feb-2018 Public Policy Polling (D)
  86. https://www.scribd.com/document/361433709/House-PPP-polls-for-Patriot-Majority-Oct-2017 Public Policy Polling (D)
  87. News: Gray. Kathleen. Spangler. Todd. John Conyers retires after 53 years in office amid sexual harassment claims. December 5, 2017. Detroit Free Press. December 5, 2017.
  88. Web site: Snyder sets Aug. 7, Nov. 6 election dates to replace John Conyers in Congress. August 29, 2018.
  89. Web site: Spangler. Todd. Former Michigan state Rep. Rashida Tlaib to seek Conyers' seat in Congress. Detroit Free Press. en. February 6, 2018.
  90. Web site: John Conyers could be replaced by his son — who has his dad's name but not his political resume. Bever, Lindsey. The Washington Post. December 5, 2017. December 6, 2017.
  91. Web site: Conyers III denies allegations, unsure on Congress run. Oosting, Jonathan. December 7, 2017. December 8, 2017. The Detroit News.
  92. News: State lawmakers running for open seats in Congress. Burke. Melissa Nann. 5 February 2018. The Detroit News. 14 March 2018.
  93. Web site: Detroit City Council head seeks Conyers' Congress seat. Hicks, Mark. The Detroit News. January 26, 2018. January 29, 2018.
  94. Web site: Westland Mayor Bill Wild to run for John Conyers' vacated U.S. House seat.
  95. Web site: Coleman Young II running for Congress. Oosting, Jonathan. December 8, 2017. December 8, 2017. The Detroit News.
  96. Web site: Son of late Detroit Mayor Coleman Young to run for John Conyers' seat. Williams. Corey. Eggert. David. December 8, 2017. December 8, 2017. The Press Democrat.
  97. News: Bartkowiak. Dave Jr.. How Rep. John Conyers' House seat will be filled. 16 December 2017. Click On Detroit. 5 December 2017.
  98. News: Burke. Melissa Nann. Another state lawmaker running for Conyers' seat. 14 March 2018. The Detroit News. 5 February 2018.
  99. Web site: Kimberly Hill Knott for Congress. www.facebook.com. August 29, 2018.
  100. https://web.archive.org/web/20180801034406/http://www.epicmra.com/press/CD13_DEM_Primary_July2018_Media_Freq.pdf EPIC-MRA
  101. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ngSqGsZ7jMA YouTube
  102. Web site: 2018 Michigan Official Primary Candidate Listing . 9 July 2018.