2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa explained

Election Name:2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa
Country:Iowa
Flag Image:Flag of Iowa (xrmap collection).svg
Type:legislative
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa
Previous Year:2010
Next Election:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa
Next Year:2014
Seats For Election:All 4 Iowa seats to the United States House of Representatives
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Last Election1:3
Seats1:2
Seat Change1: 1
Popular Vote1:772,387
Percentage1:50.26%
Swing1: 6.89%
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Last Election2:2
Seats2:2
Popular Vote2:726,505
Percentage2:47.27%
Swing2: 6.72%

The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the state's four U.S. representatives. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election. Primary elections were held on June 5, 2012.[1]

The new congressional map, drawn by the state's Legislative Services Agency and passed with bipartisan support in the state House of Representatives and Senate, was signed into law by Governor Terry Branstad on April 19, 2011. Reflecting population shifts recorded in the 2010 United States census, the new map decreases Iowa's representation from five congressional districts to four.[2]

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa, 2012 [3]
PartyVotesPercentageSeats beforeSeats after+/–
Democratic772,38750.26%32-1
Republican726,50547.27%22-
Socialist Workers6,2860.41%-
Independent30,2911.97%-
Write-In1,3800.09%-
Totals1,536,849100%54-1

District 1

Election Name:2012 Iowa's 1st congressional district election
Country:Iowa
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 1
Previous Year:2010
Next Election:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 2
Next Year:2014
Image1:File:Bruce Braley official 110th Congress photo portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Bruce Braley
Party1:Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote1:222,422
Percentage1:56.9%
Nominee2:Ben Lange
Party2:Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote2:162,465
Percentage2:41.6%
Map Size:200px
U.S. Representatives
Before Election:Bruce Braley
Before Party:Democratic Party (US)
After Election:Bruce Braley
After Party:Democratic Party (US)

See also: Iowa's 1st congressional district.

Bruce Braley, a Democrat the incumbent representative from the 1st district in northeastern Iowa since 2007, ran in the new 1st district. Fellow incumbent Dave Loebsack, who lived within the boundaries of the new 1st district in Linn County, but who had represented southeastern Iowa's 2nd district since 2007, moved to Johnson County and ran in the new 2nd district.[4] The 1st district has become more favorable to Democrats with the inclusion of Linn County and its loss of Scott County.[5] Braley won the Democratic nomination unopposed.[6]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Declined

Primary results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn

Primary results

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[11] November 5, 2012
align=left Rothenberg[12] November 2, 2012
align=left Roll Call[13] November 4, 2012
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] November 5, 2012
align=left NY Times[15] November 4, 2012
RCP[16] November 4, 2012
align=left The Hill[17] November 4, 2012

Results

District 2

Election Name:2012 Iowa's 2nd congressional district election
Country:Iowa
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 2
Previous Year:2010
Next Election:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 1
Next Year:2014
Image1:File:Dave Loebsack official photo (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Dave Loebsack
Party1:Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote1:211,863
Percentage1:55.6%
Nominee2:John Archer
Party2:Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote2:161,977
Percentage2:42.5%
Map Size:200px
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Dave Loebsack
Before Party:Democratic Party (US)
After Election:Dave Loebsack
After Party:Democratic Party (US)

See also: Iowa's 2nd congressional district.

None of Iowa's current members of Congress resided in the newly drawn 2nd district; however, Democrat Dave Loebsack moved from Linn County to Johnson County in order to avoid a primary against Bruce Braley and continue representing southeastern Iowa.[4] The 2nd district became slightly more favorable to Republicans as a result of the inclusion of Scott County, but retains Democratic-leaning Johnson County.[5]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Primary results

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2012
align=left RothenbergNovember 2, 2012
align=left Roll CallNovember 4, 2012
align=left Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
align=left NY TimesNovember 4, 2012
RCPNovember 4, 2012
align=left The HillNovember 4, 2012

Results

District 3

Election Name:2012 Iowa's 3rd congressional district election
Country:Iowa
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 3
Previous Year:2010
Next Election:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 3
Next Year:2014
Image1:File:Tom Latham 113th Congress.jpg
Nominee1:Tom Latham
Party1:Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:202,000
Percentage1:52.8%
Nominee2:Leonard Boswell
Party2:Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:168,632
Percentage2:43.6%
Map Size:200px
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Tom Latham
Before Party:Republican Party (US)
After Election:Tom Latham
After Party:Republican Party (US)

See also: Iowa's 3rd congressional district and Iowa's 4th congressional district.

Leonard Boswell, a Democrat who represented the 3rd district in central Iowa since 1997, and Tom Latham, a Republican who represented the 4th district in northern and central Iowa since 1995, both ran in the new 3rd district.[23] Latham, who lived in the new 4th district, moved south to avoid facing fellow Republican Steve King in a primary.[24]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

General election

Campaign

Approximately half of the new 3rd district was at the time represented by Boswell, whereas the new 3rd district contained than 20 per cent of the area currently represented by Latham. However, Latham had $983,500 cash on hand at the end of March 2011, whereas Boswell had just $173,815.

Debates

The first debate was held October 10, 2012 at 7 pm, sponsored by KCCI and the Des Moines Register.[25]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2012
align=left RothenbergNovember 2, 2012
align=left Roll CallNovember 4, 2012
align=left Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
align=left NY TimesNovember 4, 2012
RCPNovember 4, 2012
align=left The HillNovember 4, 2012

Results

District 4

Election Name:2012 Iowa's 4th congressional district election
Country:Iowa
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 4
Previous Year:2010
Next Election:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 4
Next Year:2014
Image1:File:Steve King, official portrait, 110th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Steve King
Party1:Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:200,063
Percentage1:52.9%
Nominee2:Christie Vilsack
Party2:Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:169,470
Percentage2:44.9%
Map Size:200px
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Steve King
Before Party:Republican Party (US)
After Election:Steve King
After Party:Republican Party (US)

See also: Iowa's 4th congressional district and Iowa's 5th congressional district. Steve King, a Republican represented western Iowa's 5th district since 2003, ran in the new 4th district. The new 4th district comprises mostly territory which King represented and which tends to vote for Republican candidates.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Declined

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Independents

Martin James Monroe also ran.

General election

Debates

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steve
King (R)
Christie
Vilsack (D)
Martin
Monroe (I)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D-CREDO)[28] September 24–25, 2012577 (LV)± %align=center 48%45%7%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Vilsack)[29] September 22–25, 2012400 (LV)± 4.9%align=center 46%44%4%6%
American Viewpoint (R-American Future Fund)[30] September 23–24, 2012400 (LV)± 4.9%align=center 48%41%11%
Public Policy Polling (D-House Majority PAC)[31] January 18–23, 2012974 (RV)± 3.1%align=center 49%43%8%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2012
align=left RothenbergNovember 2, 2012
align=left Roll CallNovember 4, 2012
align=left Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
align=left NY TimesNovember 4, 2012
RCPNovember 4, 2012
align=left The HillNovember 4, 2012

Results

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: 3 Year Election Calendar. August 16, 2011. Iowa Secretary of State.
  2. Web site: Branstad signs redistricting bill. April 20, 2011. April 21, 2011. The Daily Iowan. Allie. Wright. https://web.archive.org/web/20110927092318/http://www.dailyiowan.com/2011/04/20/Metro/22963.html. September 27, 2011. dead.
  3. Web site: Secretary of State - Election Night Results - November 6th, 2012. Iowa Secretary of State. 2015-01-08. https://web.archive.org/web/20130524011455/http://electionresults.sos.iowa.gov/resultsSW.aspx?type=CON&map=CTY. 2013-05-24. dead.
  4. Web site: Loebsack makes re-election hopes in new 2nd District official. April 14, 2011. April 21, 2011. The Iowa Independent. Lynda. Waddington. https://web.archive.org/web/20110416090124/http://iowaindependent.com/54863/loebsack-makes-re-election-hopes-in-new-2nd-district-official. April 16, 2011. dead.
  5. Web site: Race Ratings: Competitive Races On Tap in Iowa. May 26, 2011. May 27, 2011. Roll Call. Shira. Toeplitz.
  6. Web site: 2012 Primary Election Canvass Summary. Iowa Secretary of State. November 17, 2012.
  7. Web site: Lange: Rematch with Braley in Iowa 1st like an open seat race. October 12, 2011. October 13, 2011. Eastern Iowa Government. James Q.. Lynch. https://web.archive.org/web/20120406004918/http://easterniowagovernment.com/2011/10/12/lange-rematch-with-braley-in-iowa-1st-like-an-open-seat-race/. April 6, 2012. dead. mdy-all.
  8. Web site: Dubuque businessman to challenge Braley. October 24, 2011. October 26, 2011. The Des Moines Register. Jason. Clayworth.
  9. Web site: Rathje seeks Republican nomination in northeast Iowa's 1st Congressional District. July 20, 2011. August 14, 2011. The Republic.
  10. Web site: Rathje quits Iowa's 1st District congressional race, returns nearly $100,000 to donors. December 16, 2011. January 7, 2012. The Des Moines Register. William. Petroski.
  11. Web site: The Cook Political Report — Charts – 2012 House Competitive Races . Cookpolitical.com . November 5, 2012 . November 6, 2012.
  12. Web site: House Ratings . Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com . November 2, 2012 . November 4, 2012.
  13. http://www.rollcall.com/politics/race-ratings-chart-2012-house-elections.html
  14. http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2012-house/ Crystal Ball
  15. http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/ratings/house House Race Ratings
  16. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/house/2012_elections_house_map.html
  17. Web site: House Ratings . The Hill . November 4, 2012. November 3, 2012 .
  18. Web site: Seng enters race for Congress. March 16, 2012. March 17, 2012. Quad-City Times.
  19. Web site: Quad Cities attorney to challenge Loebsack. July 7, 2011. September 10, 2011. The Gazette (Cedar Rapids). James Q.. Lynch. https://web.archive.org/web/20111219112059/http://thegazette.com/2011/07/07/quad-cities-attorney-to-challenge-loebsack/. December 19, 2011. dead.
  20. Web site: Dolan is Loebsack's first GOP challenger. June 20, 2011. September 10, 2011. Quad-City Times. Dustin. Lemmon.
  21. Web site: Gates withdraws from GOP race. February 21, 2012. March 17, 2012. The Hawk Eye. Christinia. Crippes.
  22. https://web.archive.org/web/20120728041448/http://qctimes.com/news/local/government-and-politics/elections/poll-archer-moves-within-striking-distance-of-loebsack/article_a05edbae-cb59-11e1-b353-001a4bcf887a.html Tarrance (R-Archer)
  23. Web site: POSITIVE OUTLOOK: Boswell said he feels confident about his chances. April 18, 2011. April 21, 2011. WHO-DT. Dave. Price.
  24. News: Tom Latham to run in Iowa's 3rd district. April 15, 2011. April 21, 2011. The Washington Post. Chris. Cillizza. Chris Cillizza.
  25. http://www.desmoinesregister.com/article/20121010/NEWS09/121010015/Watch-tonight-Des-Moines-Register-KCCI-host-3rd-District-debate Watch tonight: Des Moines Register, KCCI host 3rd District debate
  26. https://web.archive.org/web/20170411215113/http://b.3cdn.net/dccc/aa3da553882c37dad6_u5m6i6ykr.pdf Benenson (D-DCCC)
  27. Web site: Vilsack launches campaign. July 20, 2011. July 20, 2011. The Messenger. Bill. Shea.
  28. https://web.archive.org/web/20121004091517/http://www.scribd.com/doc/107176568/IA-04-PPP-for-CREDO-Sept-2012 Public Policy Polling (D-CREDO)
  29. https://web.archive.org/web/20150907232821/http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/gqr-d-vilsack-15359 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Vilsack)
  30. https://web.archive.org/web/20150907233717/http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/american-viewpoint-r-american-future-fund-15381 American Viewpoint (R-American Future Fund)
  31. http://www.thehousemajoritypac.com/press/2012/01/25/eight-gop-incuments-trouble/ Public Policy Polling (D-House Majority PAC)