2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana explained

Election Name:2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana
Country:Indiana
Type:legislative
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana
Previous Year:2008
Next Election:2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana
Next Year:2012
Seats For Election:All 9 Indiana seats to the United States House of Representatives
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Last Election1:4
Seats1:6
Seat Change1:2
Popular Vote1:972,671
Percentage1:55.65%
Swing1:9.31%
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Last Election2:5
Seats2:3
Seat Change2:2
Popular Vote2:679,462
Percentage2:38.88%
Swing2:13.01%
Map Size:300px

The 2010 congressional elections in Indiana were held on November 2, 2010, to determine who would represent the state of Indiana in the United States House of Representatives. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected served in the 112th Congress from January 2011 until January 2013, except for the winner of the 3rd District's special election, who will serve the few remaining weeks of the 111th Congress. As of 2023 this is the last time that the Democrats won more than 2 seats in Indianas house delegation .

Indiana has nine seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census.

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana, 2010[1]
PartyVotesPercentageSeats+/–
Republican972,67155.65%6+2
Democratic679,46238.88%3-2
Libertarian84,2894.82%0-
Independents11,2980.65%0-
Totals1,747,720100.00%9-

By district

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana by district:[2]

scope=col rowspan=3Districtscope=col colspan=2Republicanscope=col colspan=2Democraticscope=col colspan=2Othersscope=col colspan=2Totalscope=col rowspan=3Result
scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2!scope=col colspan=2
scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"%
65,558 38.63% 99,387 58.56% 4,762 2.81% 169,707 100.0% Democratic hold
88,803 46.84% 91,341 48.18% 9,447 4.98% 189,591 100.0% Democratic hold
116,140 62.76% 61,267 33.11% 7,642 4.13% 185,049 100.0% Republican hold
138,732 68.57% 53,167 26.28% 10,423 5.15% 202,322 100.0% Republican hold
146,899 62.14% 60,024 25.39% 29,484 12.47% 236,407 100.0% Republican hold
126,027 66.57% 56,647 29.92% 6,635 3.51% 189,309 100.0% Republican hold
55,213 37.81% 86,011 58.89% 4,815 3.30% 146,039 100.0% Democratic hold
District 8 117,259 57.55% 76,265 37.43% 10,240 5.02% 203,764 100.0% Republican gain
District 9 118,040 52.34% 95,353 42.28% 12,139 5.38% 225,532 100.0% Republican gain
Total 972,671 55.65% 679,462 38.88% 95,587 5.47% 1,747,720 100.0%

Congressional districts

District 1

See also: Indiana's 1st congressional district. Democrat Pete Visclosky has represented this district since 1985. The PVI is D+8. He faced Republican activist Mark Leyva and Libertarian candidate Jon Morris. Visclosky was endorsed by the Northwest Indiana Times and the Indianapolis Star.[3] [4]

District 2

See also: Indiana's 2nd congressional district. Democrat Joe Donnelly had represented this district since 2007 and ran for reelection. He was challenged by Republican nominee State Representative Jackie Walorski, whom he defeated.[5]

Obama carried this district with 54% of the vote in 2008.[6]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joe
Donnelly (D)
Jackie
Walorski (R)
Undecided
EPIC-MRA[7] October 20–22, 2010400± 4.9%48%43%n/a
EPIC-MRA[8] October 1–3, 2010400± 4.9%48%39%7%
American Action Forum via South Bend Tribune[9] August 16–19, 2010400± 4.9%46%44%n/a
The Polling Company[10] July 31-August 3, 2010309± 5.6%52%35%11%

District 3

See also: Indiana's 3rd congressional district. Republican Mark Souder represented this district from 2003 until his resignation on May 18, 2010. Fellow Republican John McCain carried this district with 56% of the vote in the 2008 presidential election.[11]

In the Republican primary, car dealer Bob Thomas gave Souder a strong challenge in the primary. An April SurveyUSA poll showed Thomas within six percentage points of Souder. Other Republican candidates included attorney Phil Troyer and Tea Party activist Greg Dickman. Souder won the primary with 48% of the vote. He was to face Democrat Fort Wayne councilman Tom Hayhurst.

However, as Souder announced his resignation from Congress and his resignation as the Republican candidate for Congress on May 18, 2010, the Governor of Indiana set a date for a special election to be held concurrently with the general election in November. A caucus was to be held to choose the Republican candidate for the special election and the general election. The Republican caucus to choose the nominee was held on June 12, 2010. State Senator Marlin Stutzman was selected as the Republican nominee for both the special and general elections.

Republican primary polling

District 3 Special

The 2010 special election for will be held November 2, contemporaneously with the regularly scheduled general election. The special election was called to fill the vacancy left by Republican Mark Souder, who resigned after an affair with a staffer was revealed.[12]

Democratic candidates

Republican candidates

Nominee

Lost Nomination

Polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Marlin Stutzman (R)Tom Hayhurst (D)Scott Wise (L)Undecided
Riggs Research[15] October 27–28, 2010400±4.9%36%40%3%n/a
SurveyUSA[16] October 21–25, 2010400±4.9%57%32%7%2%
American Viewpoint[17] July 19–20, 2010400±4.9%56%29%2%n/a

District 4

See also: Indiana's 4th congressional district.

Republican Steve Buyer did not run for re-election. McCain carried the district with 56% of the vote. Todd Rokita, the Republican Secretary of State of Indiana, Republican State Senator Brandt Hershman, Cheryl Denise Allen and Mark Seitz filed to run for Buyer's vacant seat.[18] Rokita won the primary and defeated Democrat David Sanders in the general election.

District 5

See also: Indiana's 5th congressional district.

Republican Dan Burton has represented this district since 2003. John McCain carried 59% of the vote in 2008.[19]

Former Republican candidate Brose McVey, Indiana Republican Party Executive Director Luke Messer, State Representative Mike Murphy, and 2008 primary challenger John McGoff all formally announced their intention to run. Burton won the primary with just 30% of the vote. He faced Democrat Tim Crawford in the general election.[20]

Republican primary polling

District 6

See also: Indiana's 6th congressional district.

Republican Mike Pence represented this district since 2003. In the 2008 presidential election, Republican nominee McCain carried the district with 52% of the vote. Pence faced Democratic nominee Barry Welsh,[21] a minister, and defeated him to keep his seat.

District 7

See also: Indiana's 7th congressional district.

Democrat André Carson has served since 2008. President Obama carried this district with 71% of the vote, considered safe or solid by most sources. He again faced perennial Republican candidate Marvin Scott, who took issue with Carson's Muslim faith during the general election.[22] However, Carson defeated Scott by a large margin to retain his seat.[23]

District 8

See also: Indiana's 8th congressional district. This was an open seat as Democratic incumbent Brad Ellsworth ran (unsuccessfully) for the U.S. Senate. The Democratic nominee was lawyer and State Representative Trent Van Haaften. The Republican nominee was Larry Bucshon, president of Ohio Valley HeartCare.

Bucshon received support from the National Republican Congressional Committee and was named a GOP Young Gun.[24] During the campaign, Bucshon was endorsed by several conservative interest groups and elected officials, including the Indiana Chamber of Commerce Congressional Action Committee, United States Chamber of Commerce, National Right to Life Committee, Indiana Right to Life, Indiana Manufacturers Association, Campaign for Working Families, House Minority Leader John Boehner, U.S. Congressman Mike Pence, and Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels.[25]

Bucshon received significant campaign contributions from medical groups[26]

Bucshon defeated van Haaften by a margin of 21 points, winning all 18 counties in the district.[27]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Trent Van Haaften (D)Larry Bucshon (R)Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies[28] July 21–22, 2010400± 4.9%27%43%n/a
OnMessage[29] September 13–14, 2010400± 4.9%20%41%n/a

District 9

See also: Indiana's 9th congressional district. Democratic incumbent Baron Hill was challenged by Republican Todd Young (campaign site, PVS, WhoRunsGov), Libertarian Greg Knott (campaign site, PVS), and Independent Jerry Lucas (campaign site, PVS). He was defeated, and was defeated by Todd Young.

Primaries

Five-term Congressman Democrat Baron Hill has won in the ninth district since 1998, except for in 2004, when he lost to Republican Mike Sodrel by 1,425 votes. Hill narrowly regained his seat from Sodrel in 2006 and won another race with Sodrel in 2008 by a wider margin. McCain carried the district with only 50% of the vote. In 2010, Sodrel sought another rematch, but lost to former Marine Captain and Orange County Deputy Prosecutor Todd Young in the Republican primary.[30] [31] Independent Jerry Lucas, a nurse and army veteran, has also filed to run.[32] [33] Greg Knott entered the race as the Libertarian Party candidate.

Prior to the campaign season, Hill came under increasing public pressure following the passage of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act. At public meetings, Hill had to be escorted by state police for his protection and had heated verbal exchanges with the public which made local news on several occasions and leading Hill to refuse to hold additional public meetings in person.[34]

General

Hill launched a series of campaign ads beginning in mid August questioning Young's intentions for the future of Social Security and highlighting a comment made by Young referring to it as a "Ponzi scheme". Local media covering the debate questioned both candidates about their ads; Hill defended his support of healthcare, stimulus, and new regulatory legislation as the correct votes for the future of the country.

Young reconfirmed his position, stating Social Security was indeed a "Ponzi scheme" and needed reform to remain financially viable and called on Hill to explain his financial plans for the nation.[35]

The last week of August, the Young campaign began running ads on radio and television pointing out Hill's record of supporting spending legislation and calling on fiscal restraint in Congress. On the night of August 30, Young's Bloomington campaign headquarters were vandalized; the air conditioner was stolen, the phone and internet lines into the building were cut, the power disconnected.[36] The Young campaign requested that Hill participate in seven town hall style debates.[37] The first scheduled debate will be held October 18 at the Buskirk-Chumley Theater in Bloomington.[38]

In a post-primary June Public Opinion Strategies poll, Hill had a 41–33 lead over Young.[39] An August poll conducted by the Young campaign suggested only 37% of voters believed Hill deserved another term.[35] During the first week of September Real Clear Politics had the race rated as a toss-up.[33]

Polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Baron Hill (D)Todd Young (R)Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies[40] May 25–26, 2010300±5.7%41%34%n/a
Public Opinion StrategiesJuly 26–28, 2010300±4.9%42%41%n/a
The Hill/ANGA[41] October 16–19, 2010400±4.9%46%44%9%
Public Opinion StrategiesOctober 24–25, 2010n/a±5.7%37%49%n/a
Results

2010

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Indiana General Election November 2, 2010 . In.gov . 2016-11-12.
  2. Web site: Haas. Karen L.. Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010. Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. November 12, 2019. June 3, 2011.
  3. Web site: EDITORIAL: We endorse Visclosky, Donnelly. 31 October 2010 . 2016-09-22.
  4. Web site: U.S. House endorsements | Indianapolis Star | indystar.com . www.indystar.com . 26 January 2022 . https://archive.today/20130126104750/http://www.indystar.com/article/20101023/OPINION08/10230324/1291/OPINION08/U-S-House-endorsements . 26 January 2013 . dead.
  5. Web site: South Bend Tribune. Walorski announces plans to run for Congress. South Bend Tribune. 2010-08-21.
  6. Web site: Member Profile. Profile for Rep. Joe Donnelly, Indiana Democrat, North central - South Bend, parts of Elkhart and Kokomo. CQ Politics. 1955-09-29. 2009-07-28. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20100225074511/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=profile-000000019442. February 25, 2010.
  7. https://web.archive.org/web/20101230082350/http://indiana.onpolitix.com/news/18324/donnellys-lead-shrinks EPIC-MRA
  8. http://www.wsbt.com/news/local/WSBT-poll-shows-Donnelly-leads-Walorski-in-2nd-District-Congressional-race-104375928.html EPIC-MRA
  9. http://www.southbendtribune.com/article/20100826/News01/100829657/1130 American Action Forum via South Bend Tribune
  10. https://web.archive.org/web/20100821062019/http://www.sba-list.org/atf/cf/%7B482eea2d-175c-4e1d-a859-84d48dfd5852%7D/SBAL%20-%20INDIANA%20WITH%20OVERSAMPLE%20POST-VOTE%20SURVEY%20TOPLINE%20DATA%20TO%20CLIENT%208.3.10.PDF The Polling Company
  11. Web site: Giroux. Greg. Poll: Souder's Small Lead in Indiana - The Eye (CQ Politics). Blogs.cqpolitics.com. 2010-04-29. 2010-08-21. https://web.archive.org/web/20100502161104/http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2010/04/indiana-souder-has-small-lead.html. 2010-05-02. dead.
  12. News: Cilizza. Chris. Aaron. Burke. Mark Souder to resign after affair. May 18, 2010. Washington Post.
  13. Web site: Alex. Isenstadt. Stutzman to seek Souder seat. May 18, 2010. Politico 2010.
  14. Web site: State Rep. Culver enters race for Souder's seat. May 27, 2010. South Bend Tribune.
  15. https://web.archive.org/web/20101102231616/http://aroundfortwayne.info/blog/?p=14559&cpage=1 Riggs Research
  16. https://web.archive.org/web/20101030102637/http://www.indianasnewscenter.com/news/local/Newest-Poll-Data-with-Surprises-105821978.html SurveyUSA
  17. http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/INPoll.htm American Viewpoint
  18. News: de la Bastide . Ken . February 3, 2010 . Hershman throws hat into ring . . Logansport, Indiana . February 25, 2019 .
  19. Web site: Member Profile . Profile for Rep. Dan Burton, Indiana Republican, East central - part of Indianapolis and suburbs. CQ Politics. 1938-06-21. 2009-07-28. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20090705154402/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=profile-000000000183. July 5, 2009.
  20. Web site: Burton gets a win, but not a majority. November 9, 2016. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20100508000358/http://www.indystar.com//article//20100505//NEWS05//5050355. May 8, 2010.
  21. Web site: The Ball State Daily News - Rep. Pence, challenger Welsh to meet again in midterm elections . Bsudailynews.com . 2010-05-04 . 2010-08-21 . https://web.archive.org/web/20110927174312/http://www.bsudailynews.com/rep-pence-challenger-welsh-to-meet-again-in-midterm-elections-1.2258687 . 2011-09-27 . dead .
  22. News: Tully. Matthew. Marvin Scott's tactics are ugly, shameless, par for the course. The Indianapolis Star. September 15, 2010. January 3, 2011.
  23. News: King. Mason. Leading Questions: Carson talks Congress, whips, soft rock. Indianapolis Business Journal. December 22, 2010. January 3, 2011.
  24. Web site: Candidates. GOP Young Guns. NRCC. 27 November 2011. https://web.archive.org/web/20110721184917/http://www.gopyoungguns.com/Candidates. 21 July 2011. dead. dmy-all.
  25. Web site: CQ Politics Ellsworth's Seat Looks to Be a Difficult Hold . 2012-03-09 . https://web.archive.org/web/20100918035229/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docid=news-000003731122 . 2010-09-18 . dead .
  26. News: Alex. Isenstadt. Doc groups helping their own. 2010-10-06. Politico.com. 2010-10-07.
  27. Web site: Election Results, United States Representative. 2010-11-30. 2010-11-22. Indiana Secretary of State.
  28. http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/INPoll.htm Public Opinion Strategies
  29. https://web.archive.org/web/20101003094433/http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2010/09/starting_lineup_23.php OnMessage
  30. Web site: Indiana poised to play major role in battle for Congress. Fwdailynews.com. 2010-01-11. 2010-08-21.
  31. Web site: Todd Young Bio. Real Clear Politics.com. 2010-09-01. October 1, 2010. https://web.archive.org/web/20101001000106/http://www.toddyoungforcongress.com/about/. dead.
  32. Web site: November 2, 2010 General Election . In.gov . 2016-11-12 . March 4, 2010 . https://web.archive.org/web/20100304211612/http://in.gov/sos/elections/files/2010_General_Election_Candidate.pdf . dead .
  33. Web site: Online Guide to Indiana Politics. Politics1. 2010-08-21.
  34. Web site: Hill's Town Hall Meeting on Healthcare. https://archive.today/20120905004004/http://www.fox41.com/Global/story.asp?S=11023361. dead. 2012-09-05. Fox41.com. 2010-09-01.
  35. Web site: Hill and Young Spar Over Social Security. 2010-07-12. 2010-09-01. Arnold, Joe. WHAS 11.
  36. Web site: Rep. Todd Young's headquarters hit by vandals. Shella, Jim. WISHTV8. 2010-08-31. September 1, 2010. March 6, 2012. https://web.archive.org/web/20120306060808/http://www.wishtv.com/dpp/news/politics/rep-ted-youngs-headquarters-hit-by-vandals. dead.
  37. Web site: Young Hill Campaign debate schedule. 2010-09-01. Indiana Public Media. 2010-11-06. https://web.archive.org/web/20101106073443/http://indianapublicmedia.org/election/young-hill-campaign-respond-debate-schedule/. dead.
  38. Web site: Questions for the Debate. Indiana Daily Student. Salomon, Evie. 2010-09-20. 2010-09-22. https://web.archive.org/web/20120229150026/http://www.idsnews.com/news/story.aspx?id=77044. 2012-02-29. dead.
  39. Web site: Baron Hill Walks to Save His Career. Pilot News. 2010-09-01. 2010-08-27. Howley, Brian. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20110101190945/http://www.thepilotnews.com/content/baron-hill-walks-save-his-career . January 1, 2011.
  40. http://www.whas11.com/community/blogs/political-blog/New-poll-campaigning-in-9th--district-race-97456659.html Public Opinion Strategies
  41. https://web.archive.org/web/20101225010745/http://thehill.com/house-polls/thehill-poll-week-4/125989-district-by-district-indiana The Hill/ANGA