2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Idaho explained

Election Name:2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Idaho
Country:Idaho
Type:legislative
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Idaho
Previous Year:2008
Next Election:2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Idaho
Next Year:2012
Seats For Election:All 2 Idaho seats to the United States House of Representatives
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Last Election1:1
Seats1:2
Seat Change1: 1
Popular Vote1:263,699
Percentage1:58.97%
Swing1: 0.26%
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Last Election2:1
Seats2:0
Seat Change2: 1
Popular Vote2:150,884
Percentage2:33.74%
Swing2: 7.03%

The 2010 congressional elections in Idaho were held on November 2, 2010, and determined who would represent the state of Idaho in the United States House of Representatives. Idaho has two seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; the winners served in the 112th Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013.

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in Idaho, 2010[1]
PartyVotesPercentageSeats+/–
Republican263,69958.97%2+1
Democratic150,88433.74%0-1
Independents27,8656.23%0
Libertarian4,6961.05%0-
Totals447,144100.00%2

By district

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Idaho by district:[2]

scope=col rowspan=3Districtscope=col colspan=2Republicanscope=col colspan=2Democraticscope=col colspan=2Othersscope=col colspan=2Totalscope=col rowspan=3Result
scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2!scope=col colspan=2
scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"%
District 1 126,231 51.02% 102,135 41.28% 19,061 7.70% 247,427 100.0% Republican gain
137,468 68.83% 48,749 24.41% 13,500 6.76% 199,717 100.0% Republican hold
Total 263,699 58.97% 150,884 33.74% 32,561 7.28% 447,144 100.0%

District 1

See also: Idaho's 1st congressional district.

Overview

In this heavily conservative[3] district that consists of western Idaho and the Idaho Panhandle, incumbent Democratic Congressman Walt Minnick was seen as vulnerable,[4] especially considering the fact that he won in 2008 against an embattled, weakened incumbent. Minnick, however, worked to build a profile as a moderate-to-conservative Democrat, voting against the 2009 Stimulus,[5] the health care reform bill,[6] and the American Clean Energy and Security Act,[7] Furthermore, Congressman Minnick was the only Democrat to receive a perfect score from the Club for Growth, typically an organization that supports conservative Republican candidates for office.[8]

Republican primary

Several Republican candidates, including Iraq War veteran Vaughn Ward, State Representatives Raúl Labrador and Ken Roberts, and physician Allan Salzberg, ran for the Republican nomination to challenge Minnick. Roberts eventually dropped out, as did Salzberg; both former candidates endorsed Labrador.[9] Vaughn Ward's campaign received coverage from as far away as Great Britain[10] as Sarah Palin came to Idaho to endorse Ward, who was one of the National Republican Congressional Committee's Young Guns.[11] Critics seized on various troubles with the campaign, including multiple instances of plagiarism,[12] Ward's failure to vote in the 2008 presidential elections[13] and his referral to Puerto Rico as a "country."[14] Ultimately, despite the fact that many prominent conservatives had lined up behind Ward, Labrador triumphed in a contentious primary election.

General election

A contentious general election ensued, with both Minnick and Labrador launching aggressive campaign ads against each other. When Labrador accused the Congressman of supporting a middle class tax increase in a television ad, controversy quickly ensued; Idaho Public Television threatened to pull the ad for its inaccuracy and critics accused Labrador of taking Minnick's remarks out of context.[15] When Minnick aired an ad, Labrador attacked it for including pictures that made him "look like an illegal immigrant."[16] Minnick strongly stressed his independent credentials; his claims were seemingly validated when the Tea Party Express, the largest group affiliated with the broader movement, endorsed his campaign for re-election.[17] Going into election night, polling indicated Minnick with a lead over Labrador, but after the votes were tallied, Labrador defeated Minnick by a solid margin in a surprising upset.

Polling

width='170'Poll sourcewidth='160'Date(s) administeredwidth='100'Walt
Minnick (D)
width='100'Raúl
Labrador (R)
width='100'Undecided
Greg Smith & Associates[18] October 28–30, 2010 align=center48%38%-
Mason-Dixon[19] October 20–22, 2010 align=center44%41%-
Moore Information[20] October 5–6, 2010 align=center37%31%-
Mason-Dixon[21] September 13–15, 2010 align=center46%36%-
Qualtrics[22] September 1–9, 2010 align=center59.8%29.6%-
GS Strategy Group[23] July 29, 2010 align=center52%29%-
Moore Information[24] July 12–13, 2010 align=center37%27%26%
Greg Smith & Associates[25] June 7–8, 201029% align=center40%-

Results

District 2

See also: Idaho's 2nd congressional district.

Campaign

This conservative district, based in eastern Idaho and the Magic Valley region of Idaho, has been represented by incumbent Republican Congressman Mike Simpson since he was first elected in 1998. Simpson did not face a serious challenge in his bid for a seventh term from Democratic candidate Mike Crawford or independent candidate Brian Schad and was re-elected by a large margin on election day.

Results

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives . Clerk of the United States House of Representatives . Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010 . 15.
  2. Web site: Haas. Karen L.. Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010. Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. November 12, 2019. June 3, 2011.
  3. "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 111th Congress." The Cook Political Report. N.p., n.d. Web. 19 June 2011. <https://web.archive.org/web/20110715041456/http://www.cookpolitical.com/sites/default/files/pvistate.pdf>.
  4. Web site: Minnick Makes 'Vulnerable' Top 10 | the Spokesman-Review.
  5. http://washingtonexaminer.com/editorials/2009/02/blue-dog-nips-obama-better-stimulus-idea
  6. http://clerk.house.gov/evs/2009/roll887.xml FINAL VOTE RESULTS FOR ROLL CALL 887 (Affordable Health Care for America Act)
  7. http://clerk.house.gov/evs/2009/roll477.xml FINAL VOTE RESULTS FOR ROLL CALL 477 (American Clean Energy and Security Act)
  8. Cadei, Emily. Minnick Earns Perfect Score on 'RePork Card' CQ Politics. 13 August 2009.
  9. News: Labrador receives another endorsement from a former congressional foe . Dustin . Hurst . Idaho Reporter .
  10. News: Richard . Adams . The Guardian . Vaughn Ward: the dumb and paste Republican candidate . May 25, 2010 . London.
  11. News: Republican favorite losing ground in Idaho primary . Russell . Berman . May 18, 2010 . The Hill .
  12. News: Neuman. Johanna. Idaho Republican endorsed by Sarah Palin plagiarizes Obama's 'a brighter day will come' speech. Ouch.. Los Angeles Times. Los Angeles. May 25, 2010. 2010-05-27.
  13. News: Vaughn Ward didn't vote in 2008 . Idaho Statesman . May 14, 2010 . Popkey . Dan; Bonner, Jessie .
  14. News: Ward goes national . Nicholas . Deshais . May 25, 2010 . The Pacific Northwest Inlander .
  15. http://www.idahostatesman.com/2010/10/22/1388442/labrador-ad-takes-remark-by-minnick.html
  16. Web site: HuffPost - Breaking News, U.S. And World News. June 21, 2011. October 17, 2010. https://web.archive.org/web/20101017033725/http://www.politicsdaily.com/2010/10/15/in-idaho-debate-raul-labrador-lands-punches-as-walt-minnick-def/. dead.
  17. News: Walt Minnick Tea Party Endorsement: Minnick Campaign Accepts . Huffington Post . Sam . Stein . April 15, 2010.
  18. https://web.archive.org/web/20101102221453/http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2010/10/poll-walt-minnick-leads-but-vo.html Greg Smith & Associates
  19. http://www.idahostatesman.com/2010/10/26/1392407/labrador-minnick-in-dead-heat.html Mason-Dixon
  20. https://www.scribd.com/doc/39076934/Labrador-Poll-Memo Moore Information
  21. http://www.idahostatesman.com/2010/09/21/1347815/otter-and-minnick-lead-in-poll.html Mason-Dixon
  22. http://www.krem.com/news/Whos-leading-in-Idaho-102636334.html Qualtrics
  23. https://web.archive.org/web/20100824073300/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=news-000003724461 GS Strategy Group
  24. http://www.idahoreporter.com/2010/latest-polling-data-has-minnick-ahead-labrador-against-within-striking-distance/ Moore Information
  25. http://www.idahoreporter.com/2010/new-poll-shows-labrador-leading-minnick/ Greg Smith & Associates