2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas explained

See also: 2014 Arkansas elections.

Election Name:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas
Country:Arkansas
Type:legislative
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas
Previous Year:2012
Next Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas
Next Year:2016
Seats For Election:All 4 Arkansas seats to the United States House of Representatives
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Last Election1:4
Seats1:4
Popular Vote1:509,631
Percentage1:61.35%
Swing1: 0.07%
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Last Election2:0
Seats2:0
Popular Vote2:254,774
Percentage2:30.67%
Swing2: 1.31%
Party3:Libertarian Party (United States)
Last Election3:0
Seats3:0
Popular Vote3:66,055
Percentage3:7.95%
Swing3: 4.29%
Map Size:250px

The 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas was held on Tuesday, November 4, 2014, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Arkansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including the governor of Arkansas and a United States senator.

Overview

Statewide

The table below shows the total number and percentage of votes, as well as the number of seats gained and lost by each political party in the election for the United States House of Representatives in Arkansas.

United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas, 2014[1]
PartyVotesPercentageSeats+/–
Republican509,63161.4%4align="right" -
Democratic254,77430.7%0align="right" -
Libertarian66,0558.0%0align="right" -
Write-ins192<0.1%0align="right" -
Totals830,652100%4

By district

Results of the 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas by district:[2]

scope=col rowspan=3Districtscope=col colspan=2Republicanscope=col colspan=2Democraticscope=col colspan=2Libertarianscope=col colspan=2Othersscope=col colspan=2Totalscope=col rowspan=3Result
scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2!scope=col colspan=2
scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"%
124,139 63.25% 63,555 32.38% 8,562 4.36% 0 0.00% 196,256 100.0% Republican Hold
123,073 51.86% 103,477 43.60% 10,590 4.46% 190 0.08% 237,330 100.0% Republican Hold
151,630 79.41% 0 0.00% 39,305 20.59% 0 0.00% 190,935 100.0% Republican Hold
110,789 53.75% 87,742 42.57% 7,598 3.69% 2 0.00% 206,131 100.0% Republican Hold
Total 509,631 61.35% 254,774 30.67% 66,247 7.98% 192 0.03% 830,652 100.0%

District 1

Election Name:2014 Arkansas's 1st congressional district election
Country:Arkansas
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas#District 1
Previous Year:2012
Next Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas#District 1
Next Year:2016
Image1:Rick Crawford official photo (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Rick Crawford
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:124,139
Percentage1:63.2%
Nominee2:Jackie McPherson
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:63,555
Percentage2:32.4%
Map Size:250
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Rick Crawford
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Rick Crawford
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

See also: Arkansas's 1st congressional district. Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 56% of the vote in 2012. The district had a PVI of R+14.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Declined

Democratic primary

Democrats hoped to find a strong challenger to take on Crawford.[4]

Candidates

Nominee
Declined

Libertarian nomination

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rick
Crawford (R)
Jackie
McPherson (D)
Brian Scott
Willhite (L)
Undecided
New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker[11] October 16–23, 2014273± 9.0% align=center59%29%0%11%
Talk Business/Hendrix[12] October 15–16, 2014437± 4.7% align=center52%30%4%14%
Talk Business/Hendrix[13] July 22–25, 2014450± 4.6% align=center47%33%3%17%

Results

District 2

Election Name:2014 Arkansas's 2nd congressional district election
Country:Arkansas
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas#District 2
Previous Year:2012
Next Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas#District 2
Next Year:2016
Image1:File:French Hill, official portrait, 114th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:French Hill
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:123,073
Percentage1:51.9%
Nominee2:Pat Hays
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:103,477
Percentage2:43.6%
Map Size:250px
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Tim Griffin
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:French Hill
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

See also: Arkansas's 2nd congressional district. Incumbent Republican Tim Griffin, who had represented the district since 2011, announced in October 2013 that he would not run for re-election in 2014.[14] In January, he announced that he was running for Lieutenant Governor of Arkansas.[15] He was re-elected with 55% of the vote in 2012. The district had a PVI of R+8.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Declined

Libertarian nomination

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
French
Hill (R)
Pat
Hays (D)
Debbie
Standiford (L)
Undecided
New York Times/CBS News Battleground TrackerOctober 16–23, 2014475± 7.0% align=center41%40%0%19%
Talk Business/HendrixOctober 15–16, 2014605± 4.0%41% align=center46%5%8%
Global Strategy Group (D-Hays)[30] September 7–9, 2014410± 4.8%41% align=center44%15%
Talk Business/HendrixJuly 22–25, 2014483± 4.5% align=center44%43%3%10%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[31] November 3, 2014
align=left Rothenberg[32] October 24, 2014
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] October 30, 2014
RCPNovember 2, 2014
align=left Daily Kos Elections[34] November 4, 2014

Results

District 3

Election Name:2014 Arkansas's 3rd congressional district election
Country:Arkansas
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas#District 3
Previous Year:2012
Next Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas#District 3
Next Year:2016
Image1:File:Steve Womack, Official Portrait, 112th Congress - Hi Res (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Steve Womack
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:151,630
Percentage1:79.4%
Nominee2:Grant Brand
Party2:Libertarian Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:39,305
Percentage2:20.6%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Steve Womack
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Steve Womack
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

See also: Arkansas's 3rd congressional district. Incumbent Republican Steve Womack, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 76% of the vote in 2012. The district had a PVI of R+19. Unlike the other Arkansas congressional districts, the 3rd has long had a Republican representative.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Declined

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declined

Libertarian nomination

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steve
Womack (R)
Grant
Brand (L)
Undecided
New York Times/CBS News Battleground TrackerOctober 16–23, 2014460± 7.0% align=center61%20%19%
Talk Business/Hendrix[36] October 15–16, 2014426± 4.7% align=center64%19%17%
Talk Business/HendrixJuly 22–25, 2014408± 4.9% align=center57%20%23%

Results

District 4

Election Name:2014 Arkansas's 4th congressional district election
Country:Arkansas
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas#District 4
Previous Year:2012
Next Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas#District 4
Next Year:2016
Image1:File:Bruce Westerman, official portrait, 114th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Bruce Westerman
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:110,789
Percentage1:53.7%
Nominee2:James Lee Witt
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:87,742
Percentage2:42.6%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Tom Cotton
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Bruce Westerman
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

See also: Arkansas's 4th congressional district. Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton, who had represented the district since 2013, announced he will not run for election to a second term in order to challenge Democratic incumbent Mark Pryor for his U.S. Senate seat. He was elected with 59% of the vote in 20. The district had a PVI of R+15.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn
Declined

Libertarian nomination

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bruce
Westerman (R)
James Lee
Witt (D)
Ken
Hamilton (L)
Undecided
New York Times/CBS News Battleground TrackerOctober 16–23, 2014359± 8.0% align=center34%33%5%28%
Diamond State Consulting (R)[48] October 21, 2014792± 3.5% align=center46%39%2%12%
Talk Business/HendrixOctober 15–16, 2014607± 4% align=center44%42%4%10%
OnMessage (R-Westerman)[49] July 29–31, 2014400± 4.9% align=center47%29%7%18%
Talk Business/HendrixJuly 22–25, 2014439± 4.7% align=center48%34%3%15%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[50] November 3, 2014
align=left Rothenberg[51] October 24, 2014
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[52] October 30, 2014
RCPNovember 2, 2014
align=left Daily Kos Elections[53] November 4, 2014

Results

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: November 4, 2014 General election and nonpartisan runoff election Official results. Arkansas Secretary of State . November 23, 2014.
  2. Web site: Haas. Karen L.. Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2014. Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. October 28, 2019. March 9, 2015.
  3. Web site: Tolbert: Linda Collins-Smith Announces For State Senate. January 22, 2014. February 4, 2014. Talk Business Arkansas. Jason. Tolbert.
  4. News: Gonzales. Nathan L.. House Strategists Continue Search for 2014 Candidates. 20 September 2013. Roll Call. 20 September 2013.
  5. Web site: Jackie McPherson Running for 1st District Congress. February 20, 2014. February 20, 2014. KARK-TV.
  6. Web site: Tolbert: Democrats Scraping The Barrel For District 1 Candidate. February 12, 2014. February 14, 2014. Talk Business Arkansas. Jason. Tolbert.
  7. Web site: Mark Sanford Makes A Comeback; Can Dustin McDaniel In 2014?. May 9, 2013. October 22, 2013. Talk Business Arkansas. Michael. Cook.
  8. Web site: Cook: Attorney General Dustin McDaniel Turns Around A Tumultuous Year. December 18, 2013. February 14, 2014. Talk Business Arkansas. Michael. Cook.
  9. Web site: First And Fourth Congressional District Candidates Update. April 29, 2013. May 12, 2013. Talk Business Arkansas. Michael. Cook. https://web.archive.org/web/20130921053937/http://talkbusiness.net/2013/04/first-and-fourth-congressional-district-candidates-update/. September 21, 2013. live.
  10. Web site: Election 2014: Filing In Arkansas Ends With 412 Candidates. March 3, 2014. May 12, 2014. Southwest Times Record. Rob. Moritz. March 11, 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20140311063336/http://swtimes.com/elections/election-2014-filing-arkansas-ends-412-candidates. dead.
  11. https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/10/30/house-races-battleground-tracker/ New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker
  12. http://talkbusiness.net/2014/10/crawford-on-cruise-control-hays-up-on-hill-in-second/ Talk Business/Hendrix
  13. https://web.archive.org/web/20140801233622/http://talkbusiness.net/2014/07/poll-gop-advantages-in-three-congressional-districts-toss-up-in-another/ Talk Business/Hendrix
  14. Web site: Cong. Tim Griffin Won’t Seek Third Term (UPDATED). October 21, 2013. October 21, 2013. Talk Business. Roby. Bock.
  15. News: Rep. Tim Griffin to run for Ark. lieutenant governor . The Washington Post . February 13, 2014 . March 5, 2014.
  16. Web site: French Hill Says He'll Run for 2nd District Congressional Seat. October 29, 2013. December 14, 2013. Arkansas Business. Andrew. DeMillo.
  17. Web site: Ann Clemmer Running for 2nd District US House Seat. October 30, 2013. December 14, 2013. Arkansas Business. Andrew. DeMillo.
  18. Web site: GOP House candidate changes name to ‘Colonel’ before primary. March 4, 2014. The Washington Times.
  19. Web site: Conrad Reynolds Enters Second District Congressional Race. October 29, 2013. December 14, 2013. Arkansas Times.
  20. Web site: Rep. Griffin to retire, citing young family. October 21, 2013. October 21, 2013. The Hill. Cameron. Joseph.
  21. Web site: Tim Griffin's butterfly effect on the Arkansas House. Arkansas Times. Max. Brantley. October 22, 2013. October 22, 2013.
  22. Web site: U.S. Rep. Tim Griffin not running for re-election. October 21, 2013. October 21, 2013. Arkansas Times. Max. Brantley.
  23. Web site: Geography a factor in 2nd District. Arkansas News. Jason. Tolbert. November 13, 2013. February 14, 2014.
  24. Web site: Pat Hays Announces Run for 2nd District Seat | Arkansas Business News . ArkansasBusiness.com . October 22, 2013.
  25. Web site: Tolbert: Arkansas Republicans Finally Have A Bench. October 22, 2013. February 14, 2014. Talk Business Arkansas. Jason. Tolbert.
  26. http://talkbusiness.net/2014/05/french-hill-bruce-westerman-hold-big-leads-congressional-races/ Talk Business/Hendrix College
  27. Web site: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Arkansas Republican Tim Griffin bails after just two terms. October 22, 2013. October 22, 2013. Daily Kos. David. Nir.
  28. Web site: Curry Dropping Lt. Governor Bid, Could Run For Congress. July 30, 2013. October 21, 2013. Talk Business Arkansas. Roby. Bock.
  29. Web site: Griffin's withdrawal puts 2nd District in play for Dems, attracts possible contenders. October 21, 2013. October 22, 2013. Arkansas News. John. Lyon.
  30. http://www3.atr.rollcall.com/midterms-2014-polls-patrick-henry-hays-french-hill-arkansas/ Global Strategy Group (D-Hays)
  31. Web site: 2014 House Race Ratings for November 3, 2014 . House: Race Ratings . Cook Political Report . November 3, 2014.
  32. Web site: 2014 House Ratings (October 24, 2014) . House Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . October 24, 2014.
  33. Web site: 2014 House . Sabato's Crystal Ball . April 10, 2014 . April 11, 2014.
  34. Web site: Daily Kos Elections House race ratings: Initial ratings for 2014 . Daily Kos Elections . November 4, 2014.
  35. Web site: Teachers join race to unseat Womack. October 15, 2013. October 15, 2013. Arkansas Democrat-Gazette. Bill. Bowden.
  36. http://talkbusiness.net/2014/10/westerman-witt-race-tightens-up-in-fourth-district/ Talk Business/Hendrix
  37. Web site: Bruce Westerman Announces Run for Arkansas' 4th District Seat. August 13, 2013. September 6, 2013. Associated Press. Arkansas Business. Andrew . DeMillo.
  38. Web site: A 3rd Republican, Tommy Moll, announces for 4th District Congress. August 19, 2013. September 6, 2013. Arkansas Times. Max. Brantley.
  39. Web site: Darr Canceling Congressional Bid, Goes On Record About Exit (UPDATED). August 29, 2013. September 6, 2013. Talk Business Arkansas. Roby. Brock.
  40. Web site: Rounding up potential Arkansas congressional candidates. March 7, 2013. September 6, 2013. Arkansas Times. Lindsey. Millar.
  41. Web site: Timing not right for Rankin. November 7, 2013. December 16, 2013. The Courier. Steve. Brawner. https://web.archive.org/web/20131217084206/http://www.couriernews.com/view/full_story/23999735/article-Timing-not-right-for-Rankin. December 17, 2013. dead.
  42. News: Cook: James Lee Witt Enters Fourth District Race For Democratic Nomination. Talk Business Arkansas. Cook. Michael. November 5, 2013. December 14, 2013.
  43. Web site: Hot Springs college teacher files papers to run for 4th District Congress. July 22, 2013. September 6, 2013. Arkansas Times. Max. Brantley.
  44. Web site: Percefull Says She’ll Run As Indie For Congress. February 1, 2014. February 14, 2014. Talk Business Arkansas.
  45. Web site: Few contested races for primaries. March 5, 2014. August 4, 2014. HopePrescott.com. Miller. John.
  46. Web site: Pending Cotton News Sets Up Fourth District, Lt. Governor Dominoes. July 31, 2013. September 6, 2013. Talk Business Arkansas. Roby. Brock.
  47. Web site: Timex Social Club. July 5, 2013. September 6, 2013. Blue Hog Report. Matt. Campbell.
  48. https://www.scribd.com/doc/244158896/AR-04-Diamond-State-Consulting-for-AR-GOP-Oct-2014 Diamond State Consulting (R)
  49. http://talkbusiness.net/2014/08/tolbert-gop-poll-shows-18-point-lead-for-westerman/ OnMessage (R-Westerman)
  50. Web site: 2014 House Race Ratings for November 3, 2014 . House: Race Ratings . Cook Political Report . November 3, 2014.
  51. Web site: 2014 House Ratings (October 24, 2014) . House Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . October 24, 2014.
  52. Web site: 2014 House . Sabato's Crystal Ball . April 10, 2014 . April 11, 2014.
  53. Web site: Daily Kos Elections House race ratings: Initial ratings for 2014 . Daily Kos Elections . November 4, 2014.