2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona explained

Election Name:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona
Country:Arizona
Type:legislative
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona
Previous Year:2014
Next Election:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona
Next Year:2018
Seats For Election:All 9 Arizona seats to the United States House of Representatives
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Last Election1:5
Seats1:5
Popular Vote1:1,266,088
Percentage1:51.55%
Swing1: 4.13%
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Last Election2:4
Seats2:4
Popular Vote2:1,078,620
Percentage2:43.92%
Swing2: 4.54%
Map Size:230px

The 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona were held on November 8, 2016, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the state of Arizona, one from each of the state's nine congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on August 30.

Overview

Statewide

PartyCandidatesVotesSeats
%+/–%
Republican91,266,08851.55555.56
Democratic81,078,62043.92444.44
Green4110,8204.5100.0
Write-in55480.0200.0
Total262,456,076100.09100.0

By district

Results of the 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona by district:

scope=col rowspan=3Districtscope=col colspan=2Republicanscope=col colspan=2Democraticscope=col colspan=2 rowspan=2Othersscope=col colspan=2 rowspan=2Totalscope=col rowspan=3Result
scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"
scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"%
121,745 43.37% 142,219 50.66% 16,746 5.97% 280,710 100.0% Democratic hold
179,806 56.96% 135,873 43.04% 0 0.00% 315,679 100.0% Republican hold
1,635 1.08% 148,973 98.63% 427 0.28% 151,035 100.0% Democratic hold
203,487 71.45% 81,296 28.55% 0 0.00% 284,783 100.0% Republican hold
205,184 64.10% 114,940 35.90% 0 0.00% 320,124 100.0% Republican hold
201,578 62.13% 122,866 37.87% 0 0.00% 324,444 100.0% Republican hold
39,286 24.74% 119,465 75.22% 60 0.04% 158,811 100.0% Democratic hold
204,942 68.55% 0 0.00% 94,029 31.45% 298,971 100.0% Republican hold
108,350 39.04% 169,055 60.92% 106 0.04% 277,511 100.0% Democratic hold
Total 1,266,088 51.55% 1,078,620 43.92% 111,368 4.53% 2,456,076 100.0%

District 1

Election Name:2016 Arizona's 1st congressional district election
Country:Arizona
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 1
Previous Year:2014
Next Election:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 1
Next Year:2018
Image1:File:Tom O'Halleran official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Tom O'Halleran
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:142,219
Percentage1:50.7%
Nominee2:Paul Babeu
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:121,745
Percentage2:43.3%
Image3:File:3x4.svg
Nominee3:Ray Parrish
Party3:Green Party (United States)
Popular Vote3:16,746
Percentage3:5.9%
Map Size:250
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Ann Kirkpatrick
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Tom O'Halleran
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

See also: Arizona's 1st congressional district. Incumbent Democrat Ann Kirkpatrick, who had represented the district since 2013, and previously between 2009 and 2011, ran for the U.S. Senate seat held by John McCain.[1] She was re-elected in 2014 with 52% of the vote.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined

Results

Republican primary

On the Republican side, rancher and candidate for the seat in 2014 Gary Kiehne ran again.[9] Pinal County Sheriff Paul Babeu also ran in the primary.[10] [11]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined

Results

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[23] November 7, 2016
align=left Daily Kos Elections[24] November 7, 2016
align=left Rothenberg[25] November 3, 2016
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] November 7, 2016
RCP[27] October 31, 2016

Results

District 2

Election Name:2016 Arizona's 2nd congressional district election
Country:Arizona
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 2
Previous Year:2014
Next Election:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 2
Next Year:2018
Image1:File:Martha McSally official portrait cropped-2 115th congress.jpg
Nominee1:Martha McSally
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:179,806
Percentage1:57.0%
Nominee2:Matt Heinz
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:135,873
Percentage2:43.0%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Martha McSally
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Martha McSally
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

See also: Arizona's 2nd congressional district. Incumbent Republican Martha McSally, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. She defeated Democratic incumbent Ron Barber in 2014 with 50% of the vote

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Democratic primary

State Representative Bruce Wheeler had formed an exploratory committee to run for the Democratic nomination, but decided not to run after having surgery to repair a torn retina.[29] [30]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Results

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political ReportNovember 7, 2016
align=left Daily Kos ElectionsNovember 7, 2016
align=left RothenbergNovember 3, 2016
align=left Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 7, 2016
RCPOctober 31, 2016

Results

District 3

Election Name:2016 Arizona's 3rd congressional district election
Country:Arizona
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 3
Previous Year:2014
Next Election:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 3
Next Year:2018
Image1:File:Raul Grijalva, official portrait, 114th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Raúl Grijalva
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:148,973
Percentage1:96.6%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Raúl Grijalva
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Raúl Grijalva
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

See also: Arizona's 3rd congressional district. Incumbent Democrat Raúl Grijalva who had represented the district since 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected in 2014 with 55.7% of the vote.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Declined

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Declined

General election

Grijalva faced only Libertarian write-in candidate Mike Ross in the general election.[44] The Arizona secretary of state reported no results for Ross.

Results

District 4

Election Name:2016 Arizona's 4th congressional district election
Country:Arizona
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 4
Previous Year:2014
Next Election:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 4
Next Year:2018
Image1:File:Paul Gosar, official portrait, 115th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Paul Gosar
Party1:Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:203,487
Percentage1:71.4%
Nominee2:Mikel Weisser
Party2:Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:81,296
Percentage2:28.6%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Paul Gosar
Before Party:Republican Party (US)
After Election:Paul Gosar
After Party:Republican Party (US)

See also: Arizona's 4th congressional district. Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a third term in 2014 with 70% of the vote.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

General election

Results

District 5

Election Name:2016 Arizona's 5th congressional district election
Country:Arizona
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 5
Previous Year:2014
Next Election:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 5
Next Year:2018
Image1:File:Andy Biggs by Gage Skidmore.jpg
Nominee1:Andy Biggs
Party1:Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:205,184
Percentage1:64.1%
Nominee2:Talia Fuentes
Party2:Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:114,940
Percentage2:35.9%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Matt Salmon
Before Party:Republican Party (US)
After Election:Andy Biggs
After Party:Republican Party (US)

See also: Arizona's 5th congressional district. Incumbent Republican Matt Salmon, who had represented the district since 2013, and previously between 1995 and 2001, did not run for reelection.[47]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Andy
Biggs
Christine
Jones
Justin
Olson
Don
Stapley
Undecided
OH Predictive Insights[54] July 19, 2016408± 4.84%19% align=center26%9%15% align=center31%
OH Predictive Insights[55] June 2, 2016462± 4.56% align=center21%7%5%10% align=center57%

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Results

Independent

Candidates

General election

Results

District 6

Election Name:2016 Arizona's 6th congressional district election
Country:Arizona
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 6
Previous Year:2014
Next Election:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 6
Next Year:2018
Image1:File:David Schweikert official portrait 115th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:David Schweikert
Party1:Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:201,578
Percentage1:62.1%
Nominee2:W. John Williamson
Party2:Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:122,866
Percentage2:37.9%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:David Schweikert
Before Party:Republican Party (US)
After Election:David Schweikert
After Party:Republican Party (US)

See also: Arizona's 6th congressional district. Incumbent Republican David Schweikert, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected in 2014 with 65% of the vote.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Results

General election

Results

District 7

Election Name:2016 Arizona's 7th congressional district election
Country:Arizona
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 7
Previous Year:2014
Next Election:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 7
Next Year:2018
Image1:File:Ruben Gallego, official portrait, 115th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Ruben Gallego
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:119,465
Percentage1:75.3%
Nominee2:Eve Nunez
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:39,286
Percentage2:24.7%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Ruben Gallego
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Ruben Gallego
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

See also: Arizona's 7th congressional district. Incumbent Democrat Ruben Gallego, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was first elected to this district in 2014 with 75% of the vote.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

General election

Results

District 8

Election Name:2016 Arizona's 8th congressional district election
Country:Arizona
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 8
Previous Year:2014
Next Election:2018 Arizona's 8th congressional district special election
Next Year:2018 (special)
Image1:File:Trent Franks, official portrait, 114th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Trent Franks
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:204,942
Percentage1:68.5%
Nominee2:Mark Salazar
Party2:Green Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:93,954
Percentage2:31.5%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Trent Franks
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Trent Franks
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

See also: Arizona's 8th congressional district. Incumbent Republican Trent Franks, who had represented the district since 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected in 2014 with 75% of the vote.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

DeVivo did not receive enough write-in votes to qualify for nomination.

Results

Green Primary

Candidates

Salazar qualified by receiving enough write-in votes.

General election

Results

District 9

Election Name:2016 Arizona's 9th congressional district election
Country:Arizona
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 9
Previous Year:2014
Next Election:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 9
Next Year:2018
Image1:File:Rep Kyrsten Sinema, official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Kyrsten Sinema
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:169,055
Percentage1:60.9%
Nominee2:Dave Giles
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:108,350
Percentage2:39.1%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Kyrsten Sinema
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Kyrsten Sinema
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

See also: Arizona's 9th congressional district. Incumbent Democrat Kyrsten Sinema, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Republican primary

John Agra was favored to win the Republican nomination.[61]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn

Results

General election

Results

External links

Notes and References

  1. News: Kirkpatrick to Challenge McCain in Arizona. Roll Call. Cahn. Emily. May 26, 2015. May 26, 2015. https://web.archive.org/web/20150526171835/http://atr.rollcall.com/ann-kirkpatrick-to-challenge-john-mccain-in-arizona-senate/. May 26, 2015. dead.
  2. News: Tom O'Halleran running for Congress as Democrat. The Arizona Republic. Sanders. Rebekah L.. August 4, 2015. August 4, 2015.
  3. News: Poll finds Hassan, Ayotte neck and neck. Politico. Meyer. Theodoric. October 6, 2015.
  4. News: Show Low brewer running as Dem for Congress in CD1. Arizona City Independent. Reagan. Kevin. December 31, 2015. January 16, 2016.
  5. Web site: Babeu, Gowan to run for Congress. Mohave Daily News. October 6, 2015. October 6, 2015.
  6. Web site: Kirkpatrick's Senate run leaves 1st District wide open. The Arizona Republic. Sanders. Rebekah L.. May 26, 2015. June 13, 2015.
  7. Web site: House Democrats Are Losing Prized Incumbents to Senate Races. National Journal. Fitzpatrick. Jack. May 26, 2015. June 13, 2015. https://web.archive.org/web/20150615014533/http://www.nationaljournal.com/politics/house-democrats-are-losing-prized-incumbents-to-senate-races-20150526. June 15, 2015. dead.
  8. Web site: State Sen. McGuire considers congressional run. Arizona Daily Star. Ferguson. Joe. June 29, 2015. July 13, 2015.
  9. Web site: Republican Gary Kiehne will run again in 2016 for CD1. Southern Arizona News-Examiner. Harry. Alexander. February 18, 2015. February 18, 2015. https://web.archive.org/web/20150218223901/http://soaznewsx.com/The-Territory/ID/6873/Republican-Gary-Kiehne-will-run-again-in-2016-for-CD1. dead.
  10. News: Pinal Sheriff Paul Babeu exonerated. The Arizona Republic. August 31, 2012. Sanders. Rebekah L.. Collum. Lindsey. January 25, 2015.
  11. Web site: Babeu launches federal PAC, silent on run for Congress. AZCentral.com. December 5, 2014. December 9, 2014.
  12. Web site: Arizona sheriff launches bid for Congress . . Wong . Scott . October 5, 2015 . October 5, 2015.
  13. Web site: Bennett to run for Congress in 1st District. The Arizona Republic. Pitzl. Mary Jo. July 13, 2015. July 13, 2015.
  14. News: Sanders. Rebekah. January 13, 2016. Wendy Rogers launches third bid for Congress. Arizona Republic. January 23, 2016.
  15. Web site: Arizona Navajo Republican Carlyle Begay will run for Congress. Sanders. Rebekah L.. March 7, 2016. The Arizona Republic.
  16. Web site: State Sen. Carlyle Begay drops out of GOP primary race for Congress, throws support to Babeu . Azcentral.com . 2016-06-27 . 2016-11-11.
  17. Web site: TEGNA . Arizona House speaker quits congressional race . 12NEWS.com . 2016-08-11 . 2016-11-11 . 2016-10-18 . https://web.archive.org/web/20161018094050/http://www.12news.com/news/politics/arizona-house-speaker-quits-congressional-race/295217426 . dead .
  18. Web site: Former supervisor Tenney: He's not entering CD1 race. White Mountain Independent. August 28, 2015. September 22, 2015.
  19. Web site: Tobin won't run again in CD1. Arizona Daily Star. Ferguson. Joe. July 12, 2015. July 13, 2015.
  20. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KRYbgvwXmMM YouTube
  21. https://www.c-span.org/video/?416296-1/arizona-1st-congressional-district-debate C-SPAN
  22. https://www.scribd.com/document/325637421/AZ-01-GSG-for-the-DCCC-Sept-2016 Global Strategy Group (D−DCCC)
  23. Web site: 2016 House Race Ratings for November 7, 2016 . House: Race Ratings . . November 12, 2016.
  24. Web site: Daily Kos Elections House race ratings: Initial ratings for 2016 . . November 7, 2016.
  25. Web site: 2016 House Ratings (November 3, 2016) . House Ratings . . November 3, 2016.
  26. Web site: 2016 House . . November 7, 2016 . November 7, 2016.
  27. Web site: Battle for the House 2016 . . October 31, 2016.
  28. . McSally Shows Strong Early Support . McSally for Congress . April 11, 2015 . January 30, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160216131034/https://mcsallyforcongress.com/mcsally-shows-strong-early-support/ . February 16, 2016 . dead .
  29. 560897388462628865. maryjpitzl. First to dip a toe in the pool: @BruceWheelerAZ files exploratory committee for #CD2 . 31 January 2015. 29 January 2015.
  30. Web site: State Lawmaker Wheeler Dropping Out of CD2 Race Following Eye Trouble. Tucson Weekly. Nintzel. Jim. June 9, 2015. June 11, 2015.
  31. News: Democrat Matt Heinz joins race for Congress against Martha McSally. The Arizona Republic. Sanders. Rebekah L.. July 31, 2015. July 31, 2015.
  32. Web site: Vulnerable Republican McSally Draws Democratic Challenger. Roll Call. Yokley. Eli. July 7, 2015. July 8, 2015. July 9, 2015. https://web.archive.org/web/20150709212716/http://atr.rollcall.com/vulnerable-republican-mcsally-draws-democratic-challenger/. dead.
  33. News: Sources: Ron Barber looking at rematch with Martha McSally. Smith. Dylan. Tucson Sentinel. April 10, 2015. April 11, 2015.
  34. News: Ron Barber: "We Won't Launch Another Campaign in 2016". Nintzel. Jim. Tucson Weekly. April 12, 2015. April 12, 2015.
  35. News: Gosar won't challenge McCain. Sanders. Rebekah L.. The Arizona Republic. March 21, 2015. April 11, 2015.
  36. Web site: State Rep. Friese: Not Running for CD2. Tucson Weekly. Nintzel. Jim. June 12, 2015. June 12, 2015.
  37. News: Kozachik says he won't run in CD 2. Smith. Dylan. Tucson Sentinel. April 14, 2015. April 15, 2015.
  38. Web site: State Lawmaker Steele Now Exploring CD2 Run. Tucson Weekly. Nintzel. Jim. June 9, 2015. June 11, 2015.
  39. Web site: Walden not running for CD2. Arizona Capitol Times. Stephenson. Hank. July 20, 2015. October 19, 2015.
  40. News: McSally prevails over Barber in recount. Sanders. Rebekah L.. The Arizona Republic. December 17, 2014. April 11, 2015.
  41. https://tucson.com/news/government-and-politics/poll-mcsally-has-double-digit-lead-over-heinz-in-cd/article_122dff38-8430-11e6-b2e0-076cd1ba260c.html Wilson Perkins Allen Research
  42. News: Rocket scientist explores US House run against Grijalva. Arizona Daily Star. Ferguson. Joe. January 24, 2016. January 25, 2016.
  43. News: Tucson artist explores run against Grijalva. Arizona Daily Star. Pallack. Becky. June 22, 2015. October 19, 2015.
  44. Web site: Arizona Secretary of State 2016 Election Information . Apps.azsos.gov . 2016-08-30 . 2016-11-11.
  45. Web site: Gosar won't challenge McCain. The Arizona Republic. Sanders. Rebekah. March 21, 2015. January 30, 2016.
  46. Web site: Strauss running for Congress to give voters another choice. Mohave Valley Daily News. Young. Neil. January 25, 2016. January 30, 2016.
  47. Web site: Rep. Salmon announces retirement. Politico. Sherman. Jake. February 25, 2016. May 19, 2016.
  48. Web site: Arizona Senate President Andy Biggs running for Matt Salmon's seat, others mum. KNXV-TV. Cave. Anthony. February 25, 2016. May 19, 2016.
  49. Web site: Christine Jones to run for Matt Salmon's seat in Congress. The Arizona Republic. Nowicki. Dan. May 2, 2016. May 19, 2016.
  50. Web site: State Rep. Justin Olson to run for Congress against fellow state lawmaker. The Arizona Republic. Sanders. Rebekah L.. March 9, 2016. May 19, 2016.
  51. Web site: He tangled with Sheriff Joe Arpaio. Now Don Stapley is running for Congress. The Arizona Republic. Sanders. Rebekah L.. April 5, 2016. May 19, 2016.
  52. Web site: Third Republican joins race for Matt Salmon's seat. The Arizona Republic. Sanders. Rebekah L.. March 26, 2016. May 19, 2016.
  53. Web site: Martyn drops out to support Stapley for Congress. The Arizona Republic. Sanders. Rebekah L.. May 13, 2016. May 19, 2016.
  54. http://email.connectstrategic.com/t/j-1BDA6210668EACB8 OH Predictive Insights
  55. https://www.scribd.com/document/315278288/AZ-05-OH-Predictive-Insights-Poll-June-2016 OH Predictive Insights
  56. Web site: Against the odds: Democrat seeks seat in GOP stronghold. The Arizona Republic. Sanders. Rebekah L.. May 11, 2016. May 19, 2016.
  57. 771127389237579777. RealRandallSand. Pleased to announce my bid for Matt Salmon's seat in CD05. Let's take back our country! #AZ05 #Independent #CD05 #Arizona . 31 August 2016.
  58. Web site: HOME.
  59. Web site: Analysis of an October 2020 Facebook Takedown Linked to U.S. Political. cyber.fsi.stanford.edu. 10 April 2023.
  60. Web site: Reply-Guys Go Hunting: An Investigation into a U.S. Astroturfing Operation on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram.
  61. Web site: Who's getting money, who's spending it: Arizona's congressional candidates.
  62. Web site: Sanders. Rebekah. Gosar won't challenge McCain. AZCentral. 8 April 2015.
  63. Web site: Early voting begins in hotly contested East Valley primary election. Paul. Maryniak. East Valley Tribune. 10 April 2023.