| Election Name: | 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona |
| Country: | Arizona |
| Type: | legislative |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona |
| Previous Year: | 2008 |
| Next Election: | 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona |
| Next Year: | 2012 |
| Seats For Election: | All 8 Arizona seats to the United States House of Representatives |
| Turnout: | 55.65% |
| Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Last Election1: | 3 |
| Seats1: | 5 |
| Seat Change1: | 2 |
| Popular Vote1: | 900,510 |
| Percentage1: | 53.03% |
| Swing1: | 9.00% |
| Party2: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Last Election2: | 5 |
| Seats2: | 3 |
| Seat Change2: | 2 |
| Popular Vote2: | 711,837 |
| Percentage2: | 41.92% |
| Swing2: | 3.55% |
| Map Size: | 230px |
The 2010 congressional elections in Arizona were held on November 2, 2010, to determine who would represent the state of Arizona in the United States House of Representatives. Arizona had eight seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census. Representatives were elected for two-year terms; those elected were to serve in the 112th Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013.
The state's 2009-2010 delegation consisted of five Democrats and three Republicans. With the exception of Democrat Ann Kirkpatrick, who had won the open seat in District 1 during the previous election, all members of the delegation were incumbents who had served for at least a full term in Congress. Also, with the exception of retiring Republican John Shadegg of District 3, all incumbent members of the state's delegation ran for re-election.
As of August 17, 2010, Districts 1, 5 and 8, all held by Democrats, were considered to be competitive by both CQ Politics and The Cook Political Report.[1] [2] The primary elections for Congressional races were held on August 24, 2010.[3] [4]
The table below shows the total number and percentage of votes, as well as the number of seats gained and lost by each political party in the election for the United States House of Representatives in Arizona. In addition, the voter turnout and the number of votes not valid will be listed below.[5]
| Party | Candidates | Votes | Seats | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | +/– | % | ||||||
| Republican | 8 | 900,510 | 53.03 | 5 | 2 | 62.50 | ||
| Democratic | 8 | 711,837 | 41.92 | 3 | 2 | 37.50 | ||
| Libertarian | 8 | 72,216 | 4.25 | 0 | 0.0 | |||
| Green | 3 | 9,066 | 0.53 | 0 | 0.0 | |||
| Independent | 1 | 4,506 | 0.27 | 0 | 0.0 | |||
| Total | 28 | 1,698,135 | 100.0 | 8 | 100.0 | |||
Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona by district:[6]
| scope=col rowspan=3 | District | scope=col colspan=2 | Republican | scope=col colspan=2 | Democratic | scope=col colspan=2 rowspan=2 | Others | scope=col colspan=2 rowspan=2 | Total | scope=col rowspan=3 | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| scope=col colspan=2 style="background:" | ! | scope=col colspan=2 style="background:" | |||||||||||||
| scope=col data-sort-type="number" | Votes ! | scope=col data-sort-type="number" | % ! | scope=col data-sort-type="number" | Votes ! | scope=col data-sort-type="number" | % ! | scope=col data-sort-type="number" | Votes ! | scope=col data-sort-type="number" | % ! | scope=col data-sort-type="number" | Votes ! | scope=col data-sort-type="number" | % |
| District 1 | 112,816 | 49.72% | 99,233 | 43.73% | 14,869 | 6.55% | 226,918 | 100.0% | Republican gain | ||||||
| 173,173 | 64.88% | 82,891 | 31.06% | 10,830 | 4.06% | 266,894 | 100.0% | Republican hold | |||||||
| 108,689 | 52.24% | 85,610 | 41.14% | 13,772 | 6.62% | 208,071 | 100.0% | Republican hold | |||||||
| 25,300 | 27.53% | 61,524 | 66.94% | 5,083 | 5.53% | 91,907 | 100.0% | Democratic hold | |||||||
| District 5 | 110,374 | 52.00% | 91,749 | 43.23% | 10,127 | 4.77% | 212,250 | 100.0% | Republican gain | ||||||
| 165,649 | 66.42% | 72,615 | 29.12% | 11,119 | 4.46% | 249,383 | 100.0% | Republican hold | |||||||
| 70,385 | 44.23% | 79,935 | 50.23% | 8,824 | 5.54% | 159,144 | 100.0% | Democratic hold | |||||||
| 134,124 | 47.30% | 138,280 | 48.76% | 11,174 | 3.94% | 283,578 | 100.0% | Democratic hold | |||||||
| Total | 900,510 | 53.03% | 711,837 | 41.92% | 85,798 | 5.05% | 1,698,145 | 100.0% |
| Election Name: | 2010 Arizona's 1st congressional district election |
| Country: | Arizona |
| Type: | presidential |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 1 |
| Previous Year: | 2008 |
| Next Election: | 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 1 |
| Next Year: | 2012 |
| Image1: | File:Paul Gosar, official portrait, 112th Congress (cropped).jpg |
| Nominee1: | Paul Gosar |
| Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Popular Vote1: | 112,816 |
| Percentage1: | 49.7% |
| Nominee2: | Ann Kirkpatrick |
| Party2: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Popular Vote2: | 99,233 |
| Percentage2: | 43.7% |
| Image3: | File:3x4.svg |
| Nominee3: | Nicole Patti |
| Party3: | Libertarian Party (United States) |
| Popular Vote3: | 14,869 |
| Percentage3: | 6.6% |
| U.S. Representative | |
| Before Election: | Ann Kirkpatrick |
| Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| After Election: | Paul Gosar |
| After Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
See also: Arizona's 1st congressional district. Incumbent Democrat Ann Kirkpatrick, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. She was elected with 55.9% of the vote in 2008 and the district had a PVI of R+6.
The Republican primary featured 8 candidates seeking to take on Kirkpatrick in the general election. Mining industry lobbyist Sydney Hay, who had been the Republican nominee to run against Kirkpatrick in 2008, finished second in the primary behind dentist Paul Gosar. Other unsuccessful Republican candidates included attorney Bradley Beauchamp and former state legislator Russell Bowers.
Gosar, a political neophyte, buoyed by endorsements from highly visible Republican politicians, including Sarah Palin, won the primary with just under 31% of the vote.[10]
Prior to Kirkpatrick's election in 2008, the 1st district had been held by Republicans since this version of the seat was created following the 2000 census.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ann Kirkpatrick (D) | Paul Gosar (R) | Nicole Patti (L) | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Research Partners (D)[11] | October 12–14, 2010 | 500 (LV) | ±4.4% | align=center | 41% | 38% | 6% | 15% | |
| The Hill/ANGA[12] | September 25–30, 2010 | 403 (LV) | ±4.9% | 39% | align=center | 46% | 3% | 12% | |
| Moore Information (R)[13] | August 30–31, 2010 | 412 (LV) | ±4.8% | 43% | 43% | – | 14% | ||
| American Action Forum[14] | August 25–29, 2010 | 400 (LV) | ±4.9% | 41% | align=center | 47% | – | 12% | |
| Lake Research Partners (D)[15] | August 24–26, 2010 | 500 (LV) | ±4.4% | align=center | 43% | 39% | – | 17% |
| Source | Ranking | As of | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | The Cook Political Report[16] | November 1, 2010 | ||
| align=left | Rothenberg[17] | November 1, 2010 | ||
| align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] | November 1, 2010 | ||
| RCP[19] | November 1, 2010 | |||
| align=left | CQ Politics[20] | October 28, 2010 | ||
| align=left | New York Times[21] | November 1, 2010 | ||
| align=left | FiveThirtyEight | November 1, 2010 |
Kirkpatrick lost on November 2, 2010, to Paul Gosar and the seat reverted to the Republicans.
| Election Name: | 2010 Arizona's 2nd congressional district election |
| Country: | Arizona |
| Type: | presidential |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 2 |
| Previous Year: | 2008 |
| Next Election: | 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 8 |
| Next Year: | 2012 |
| Image1: | File:Trent Franks, Official Portrait, 112th Congress.jpg |
| Nominee1: | Trent Franks |
| Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Popular Vote1: | 173,173 |
| Percentage1: | 64.9% |
| Nominee2: | John Thrasher |
| Party2: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Popular Vote2: | 82,891 |
| Percentage2: | 31.0% |
| U.S. Representative | |
| Before Election: | Trent Franks |
| Before Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
| After Election: | Trent Franks |
| After Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
See also: Arizona's 2nd congressional district. Incumbent Republican Trent Franks, who had represented the district since 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 59.4% of the vote in 2008 and the district had a PVI of R+13.
Franks won an easy victory with over 80% of the vote in his favour.[22]
Retired teacher John Thrasher ran unopposed for the Democratic nomination. Thrasher has twice attempted to unseat Franks, losing to the incumbent by 19% in 2006 and by 22% in 2008.(campaign site, PVS)
| Election Name: | 2010 Arizona's 3rd congressional district election |
| Country: | Arizona |
| Type: | presidential |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 3 |
| Previous Year: | 2008 |
| Next Election: | 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 6 |
| Next Year: | 2012 |
| Image1: | File:Benjamin Quayle, official portrait, 112th Congress (cropped).jpg |
| Nominee1: | Ben Quayle |
| Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Popular Vote1: | 108,689 |
| Percentage1: | 52.2% |
| Nominee2: | Jon Hulburd |
| Party2: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Popular Vote2: | 85,610 |
| Percentage2: | 41.1% |
| Image3: | File:3x4.svg |
| Nominee3: | Michael Shoen |
| Party3: | Libertarian Party (United States) |
| Popular Vote3: | 10,478 |
| Percentage3: | 5.0% |
| U.S. Representative | |
| Before Election: | John Shadegg |
| Before Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
| After Election: | Ben Quayle |
| After Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
See also: Arizona's 3rd congressional district. Incumbent Republican John Shadegg, who had represented the district since 1995, retired. He was re-elected with 54.1% of the vote in 2008 and the district had a PVI of R+9.
On January 14, 2010, 8-term incumbent Shadegg announced his retirement at the end of his current term, making the third district an open seat.[23] In the wake of Shadegg's retirement, several Republicans declared their candidacy.[24]
Gorman gained national attention during the campaign for an ad showing her firing a Thompson submachine gun,[32] and for her cosponsorship of the highly controversial SB 1070 anti-illegal immigration bill.[33]
Quayle, the initial frontrunner in the race, faced criticism for his prior involvement with the controversial rumour and gossip website "DirtyScottsdale.com". According to the site's founder, Quayle was one of the "original contributors" to the site, which covered Scottsdale nightlife with features including sexy photos of women, and was the predecessor to the gossip website TheDirty.com.[34] Quayle initially denied the rumors,[35] before admitting several weeks later that he did, in fact, write material for the site under the pen name Brock Landers.[34] [36] [37] [38] Newcomer Steve Moak's strong fundraising[39] and television advertising blitz against Quayle saw him to be viewed as the new frontrunner, however he faced allegations that he illegally profited from a charity he had set up, hurt his campaign.[40] [41]
Quayle emerged victorious with 22.1% of the vote, while businessman and political neophyte Steve Moak came in second with 18%.
Jon Hulburd filed his candidacy for the Democratic nomination on October 16, 2009.[42] The Hulburd campaign got off to a strong start and raised over $300,000 in the fourth quarter of 2009.[43] This attracted national attention with the DCCC naming the race as one of its top 17 races to watch nationwide.[44]
| Source | Ranking | As of | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | The Cook Political Report | November 1, 2010 | ||
| align=left | Rothenberg | November 1, 2010 | ||
| align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 1, 2010 | ||
| RCP | November 1, 2010 | |||
| align=left | CQ Politics | October 28, 2010 | ||
| align=left | New York Times | November 1, 2010 | ||
| align=left | FiveThirtyEight | November 1, 2010 |
| Election Name: | 2012 Arizona's 4th congressional district election |
| Country: | Arizona |
| Type: | presidential |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 4 |
| Previous Year: | 2008 |
| Next Election: | 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 7 |
| Next Year: | 2012 |
| Image1: | File:Ed Pastor, official portrait, 110th Congress (cropped).jpg |
| Nominee1: | Ed Pastor |
| Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Popular Vote1: | 61,524 |
| Percentage1: | 66.8% |
| Nominee2: | Janet Contreras |
| Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Popular Vote2: | 25,300 |
| Percentage2: | 27.5% |
| U.S. Representative | |
| Before Election: | Ed Pastor |
| Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| After Election: | Ed Pastor |
| After Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
See also: Arizona's 4th congressional district. Incumbent Democrat Ed Pastor, who had represented the district since 1991, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 72.1% of the vote in 2008 and the district had a PVI of D+13. Since taking office, he has been re-elected nine times with no less than 62% of the vote.
| Election Name: | 2010 Arizona's 5th congressional district election |
| Country: | Arizona |
| Type: | presidential |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 5 |
| Previous Year: | 2008 |
| Next Election: | 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 9 |
| Next Year: | 2012 |
| Image1: | File:David Schweikert, official portrait, 112th Congress 2 (cropped).jpg |
| Nominee1: | David Schweikert |
| Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Popular Vote1: | 110,374 |
| Percentage1: | 52.0% |
| Nominee2: | Harry Mitchell |
| Party2: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Popular Vote2: | 91,749 |
| Percentage2: | 43.2% |
| U.S. Representative | |
| Before Election: | Harry Mitchell |
| Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| After Election: | David Schweikert |
| After Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
See also: Arizona's 5th congressional district. Incumbent Democrat Harry Mitchell, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 53.2% of the vote in 2008 and the district had a PVI of R+5.
Schweikert's victory sets up a rematch against Mitchell, who defeated him 53-44% in the 2008 general election.[51]
Blackman withdrew from the general election.[52]
Prior to Mitchell's victory over incumbent conservative Republican J. D. Hayworth in 2006, the district had been held by Republicans since 1995, although it had been tending towards the Democrats. Schweikert posted signs across the district calling Mitchell a “lap dog” for Nancy Pelosi, after Mitchell voted for the 2008 bank bailout, the $787 billion stimulus law in 2009 and the Affordable Care Act in March 2010. This despite Mitchell's breaks with the Party on a number of Tax and climate change legislation.[53]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Harry Mitchell (D) | David Schweikert (R) | Nick Coons (L) | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penn Schoen Berland (D/The Hill/ANGA)[54] | October 12–14, 2010 | 408 (LV) | ±4.9% | 42% | align=center | 45% | 1% | 12% | |
| Benenson Strategy Group (D)[55] | October 5–7, 2010 | 400 (LV) | ±4.9% | align=center | 46% | 39% | — | 15% | |
| National Research (R)[56] | October 5–6, 2010 | 400 (LV) | ±4.9% | 43% | align=center | 45% | — | 12% | |
| Bennett, Petts & Normington (D)[57] | September 26–27, 2010 | 400 (LV) | ±4.9% | align=center | 43% | 40% | 6% | 11% | |
| Harstad Strategic Research (D)[58] | September 13–16, 2010 | 509 (LV) | ±4.3% | align=center | 45% | 44% | 6% | 5% | |
| National Research (R)[59] | August 31-September 2, 2010 | 400 (LV) | ±4.9% | 38% | align=center | 46% | — | 16% | |
| American Action Forum[60] | August 25–29, 2010 | 400 (LV) | ±4.9% | 44% | align=center | 50% | — | 6% |
| Source | Ranking | As of | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | The Cook Political Report | November 1, 2010 | ||
| align=left | Rothenberg | November 1, 2010 | ||
| align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 1, 2010 | ||
| RCP | November 1, 2010 | |||
| align=left | CQ Politics | October 28, 2010 | ||
| align=left | New York Times | November 1, 2010 | ||
| align=left | FiveThirtyEight | November 1, 2010 |
David Schweikert defeated Democratic incumbent Harry Mitchell on November 2, 2010, returning the seat to the Republicans.
| Election Name: | 2010 Arizona's 6th congressional district election |
| Country: | Arizona |
| Type: | presidential |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 6 |
| Previous Year: | 2008 |
| Next Election: | 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 5 |
| Next Year: | 2012 |
| Image1: | File:Jeff Flake, official portrait, 111th Congress (cropped).jpg |
| Nominee1: | Jeff Flake |
| Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Popular Vote1: | 165,649 |
| Percentage1: | 66.3% |
| Nominee2: | Rebecca Schneider |
| Party2: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Popular Vote2: | 72,615 |
| Percentage2: | 29.1% |
| U.S. Representative | |
| Before Election: | Jeff Flake |
| Before Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
| After Election: | Jeff Flake |
| After Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
See also: Arizona's 6th congressional district. Incumbent Republican Jeff Flake, who had represented the district since 2001, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 62.4% of the vote in 2008 and the district had a PVI of R+15.
| Election Name: | 2010 Arizona's 7th congressional district election |
| Country: | Arizona |
| Type: | presidential |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 7 |
| Previous Year: | 2008 |
| Next Election: | 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 3 |
| Next Year: | 2012 |
| Image1: | File:Raúl Grijalva, official portrait, 108th Congress (cropped).jpg |
| Nominee1: | Raúl Grijalva |
| Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Popular Vote1: | 79,935 |
| Percentage1: | 50.2% |
| Nominee2: | Ruth McClung |
| Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Popular Vote2: | 70,385 |
| Percentage2: | 44.2% |
| U.S. Representative | |
| Before Election: | Raúl Grijalva |
| Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| After Election: | Raúl Grijalva |
| After Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
See also: Arizona's 7th congressional district. Incumbent Democrat Raúl Grijalva, who had represented the district since 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 63.3% of the vote in 2008 and the district had a PVI of D+6.
Despite the Democratic lean of the district Grijalva faced a tougher than expected re-election campaign following his suggestion that businesses should boycott the state in response to the passing of the highly controversial SB 1070 anti-illegal immigration bill. Both Grijalva and challenger, 28-year-old physicist Ruth McClung, benefitted from outside spending in the final weeks of the campaign, in addition to the national environment favouring the Republicans.[61] [62]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Raúl Grijalva (D) | Ruth McClung (R) | George Keane (L) | Harley Meyer (I) | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Summit Consulting Group[63] | October 4–5, 2010 | 1,807 (LV) | ±3.0% | 37% | align=center | 39% | — | — | 24% | |
| Magellan Strategies (R)[64] | September 29, 2010 | 686 (LV) | ±3.7% | align=center | 40% | 38% | 4% | 5% | 13% | |
| American Political Consultants (R)[65] | September 25–26, 2010 | 450 (LV) | ±4.3% | align=center | 42% | 35% | — | — | 23% |
| Source | Ranking | As of | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | The Cook Political Report | November 1, 2010 | ||
| align=left | Rothenberg | November 1, 2010 | ||
| align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 1, 2010 | ||
| RCP | November 1, 2010 | |||
| align=left | CQ Politics | October 28, 2010 | ||
| align=left | New York Times | November 1, 2010 | ||
| align=left | FiveThirtyEight | November 1, 2010 |
Two days after the election Grijalva was declared the winner, with his margin of victory being ultimately just 6 points.[66]
| Election Name: | 2010 Arizona's 8th congressional district election |
| Country: | Arizona |
| Type: | presidential |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 8 |
| Previous Year: | 2008 |
| Next Election: | 2012 Arizona's 8th congressional district special election |
| Next Year: | 2012 (special) |
| Image1: | File:Gabrielle Giffords, official portrait, 112th Congress (cropped).jpg |
| Nominee1: | Gabby Giffords |
| Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Popular Vote1: | 138,280 |
| Percentage1: | 48.8% |
| Nominee2: | Jesse Kelly |
| Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Popular Vote2: | 134,124 |
| Percentage2: | 47.3% |
| U.S. Representative | |
| Before Election: | Gabby Giffords |
| Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| After Election: | Gabby Giffords |
| After Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
See also: Arizona's 8th congressional district. Incumbent Democrat Gabby Giffords, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 54.7% of the vote in 2008 and the district had a PVI of R+4.
Prior to Giffords win in 2006, the seat had been held by Republicans since 1985 under moderate Jim Kolbe.
| Source | Ranking | As of | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | The Cook Political Report | November 1, 2010 | ||
| align=left | Rothenberg | November 1, 2010 | ||
| align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 1, 2010 | ||
| RCP | November 1, 2010 | |||
| align=left | CQ Politics | October 28, 2010 | ||
| align=left | New York Times | November 1, 2010 | ||
| align=left | FiveThirtyEight | November 1, 2010 |