2012 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota explained

Election Name:2012 United States House of Representatives Election in North Dakota
Country:North Dakota
Type:presidential
Ongoing:Yes
Previous Election:2010 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota
Previous Year:2010
Next Election:2014 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota
Next Year:2014
Election Date:November 6, 2012
Image1:File:Kevin Cramer, official portrait, 113th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Kevin Cramer
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:173,433
Percentage1:54.9%
Nominee2:Pam Gulleson
Party2:North Dakota Democratic-NPL Party
Popular Vote2:131,869
Percentage2:41.7%
Map Size:250px
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Rick Berg
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Kevin Cramer
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2012 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota was held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the U.S. representative from the state's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election and an election to the U.S. Senate. A primary election was held on June 12, 2012;[1] a candidate must receive at least 300 votes to appear on the general election ballot in November.[2]

Rick Berg, a member of the Republican Party who was first elected to represent the at-large district in 2010, had announced that he would not seek re-election and would instead run for the U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Kent Conrad.[3] Republican Kevin Cramer won the open House seat.

Republican primary

The North Dakota Republican Party endorsed Public Service Commissioner Brian Kalk at their state convention, though general election ballot access is determined by a statewide primary election held on June 12, 2012. In contrast to state political tradition, fellow Public Service Commissioner Kevin Cramer did not seek the party endorsement, instead attempting to defeat Kalk on the June primary ballot.

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Debate

The North Dakota Republican Party held a candidates' debate on December 14 at the campus of Valley City State University. All five GOP candidates declared at the time—Cramer, Goettle, Grande, Kalk, and Koppelman—participated.[16]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kevin
Cramer		Brian
Kalk		Undecided
Mason Dixon[17] June 4–6, 2012625± 4% align=center60%21%19%
Forum Communications Co.[18] May 3–8, 2012500± 4.3% align=center38%25%27%

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Results

Libertarian nomination

The Libertarian Party of North Dakota has selected small business owner Eric Olson as their nominee at a state meeting.[21]

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kevin
Cramer (R)		Pam
Gulleson (D)		Eric
Olson (L)		Undecided
Mason Dixon[22] October 26–28, 2012625± 4.0% align=center50%40%2%8%
Forum/Essman[23] October 12–15, 2012500± 4% align=center52%32%1%15%
Mason-Dixon[24] October 3–5, 2012625± 4% align=center49%37%2%12%
Mason Dixon[25] June 4–6, 2012625± 4% align=center49%35%4%12%
Forum Communications Co.May 3–8, 2012500± 4.3% align=center61%23%–15%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[26] November 5, 2012
align=left Rothenberg[27] November 2, 2012
align=left Roll Call[28] November 4, 2012
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[29] November 5, 2012
align=left NY Times[30] November 4, 2012
RCP[31] November 4, 2012
align=left The Hill[32] November 4, 2012

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

External links

Official campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. Web site: North Dakota election calendar. July 2011. August 17, 2011. Secretary of State.
  2. Web site: North Dakota Century Code. August 2011. December 30, 2011. Secretary of State.
  3. Web site: House Freshman Berg Will Run for Senate in North Dakota. May 16, 2011. May 20, 2011. Roll Call. Shira. Toeplitz.
  4. Web site: ND's Cramer uses Web video to open US House campaign; running for Congress for fourth time. November 3, 2011. November 4, 2011. The Republic. Dale. Wetzel.
  5. Web site: Kalk to Run for House Instead of Senate in North Dakota. May 20, 2011. May 20, 2011. Roll Call. Kyle. Trygstad. May 23, 2011. https://web.archive.org/web/20110523081746/http://www.rollcall.com/news/Kalk-Drops-Senate-Bid-for-House-205843-1.html. dead.
  6. News: Daum. Kristen M. Goettle declares as 4th GOP contender in 2012 U.S. House race. November 29, 2011. Flickertales from The Hill. November 29, 2011. https://web.archive.org/web/20120716035323/http://ndpolitics.areavoices.com/?p=92340. July 16, 2012. dead.
  7. Web site: Daum. Kristen M. Fargo legislator Bette Grande will announce U.S. House run Tuesday. Flickertales from The Hill. areavoices. October 3, 2011. October 3, 2011. https://web.archive.org/web/20111220011901/http://ndpolitics.areavoices.com/?p=92084. December 20, 2011. dead.
  8. News: Smith. Nick. Hendrickson joins GOP race for U.S. House. January 12, 2012. The Bismarck Tribune. January 12, 2012.
  9. News: Daum. Kristen M. West Fargo legislator seeks GOP nod in packed U.S. House race. December 5, 2011. Flickertales from The Hill. December 5, 2011. https://web.archive.org/web/20120715201436/http://ndpolitics.areavoices.com/?p=92365. July 15, 2012. dead.
  10. Web site: Hoeven: Berg 'likely' to run. April 27, 2011. April 29, 2011. Politico. David. Catanese.
  11. Web site: N.D. GOP Expecting Competitive House Race. May 3, 2011. May 4, 2011. Roll Call. Shira. Toeplitz. January 6, 2012. https://web.archive.org/web/20120106020650/http://www.rollcall.com/issues/56_115/North-Dakota-GOP-House-Race-205263-1.html. dead.
  12. Web site: North Dakota asks: Is anyone on the job?. June 12, 2011. June 13, 2011. The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. Mark. Schneider.
  13. News: Daum. Kristen M. N.D. tax commissioner opts against congressional bid in 2012. October 13, 2011. Flickertales from The Hill. October 13, 2011. https://web.archive.org/web/20111218134641/http://ndpolitics.areavoices.com/?p=92136. December 18, 2011. dead.
  14. News: Daum. Kristen M. Grindberg not running for U.S. House in 2012. November 2, 2011. Flickertales from The Hill. areavoices. November 2, 2011. https://web.archive.org/web/20140219213911/http://ndpolitics.areavoices.com/?p=92213. February 19, 2014. dead.
  15. Web site: Kelly Schmidt to seek third term as North Dakota treasurer. February 20, 2012. February 25, 2012. The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. Teri. Finneman.
  16. News: Daum. Kristen M. NDGOP announces Dec. 14th debate for its U.S. House candidates. December 2, 2011. Flickertales from The Hill. December 1, 2011. https://web.archive.org/web/20120715225452/http://ndpolitics.areavoices.com/?p=92355. July 15, 2012. dead.
  17. https://web.archive.org/web/20120614000351/http://www.valleynewslive.com/story/18749610/nd-house-race-poll-shows-cramer-lead Mason Dixon
  18. https://web.archive.org/web/20160202010549/https://secure.forumcomm.com/?publisher_ID=1&article_id=361207&CFID=524950264&CFTOKEN=21867371 Forum Communications Co.
  19. Web site: Democrat Pam Gulleson running for North Dakota's U.S. House seat. September 21, 2011. September 22, 2011. The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. Kristen M. Daum. https://web.archive.org/web/20110926165237/http://www.inforum.com/event/article/id/334709/group/News/. September 26, 2011. dead.
  20. Web site: Daum. Kristen M. Former state legislator Vig declines U.S. House run. Flickertales from The Hill. September 28, 2011. September 28, 2011. https://web.archive.org/web/20111220003446/http://ndpolitics.areavoices.com/?p=92074. December 20, 2011. dead.
  21. Ames . Richard . Libertarians take a stand on measure #2 . . November 20, 2011 . December 14, 2011 . https://web.archive.org/web/20120426051648/http://www.nd.lp.org/1/post/2011/11/post-title-click-and-type-to-edit.html . April 26, 2012 . dead .
  22. https://web.archive.org/web/20121103023432/http://www.valleynewslive.com/story/19945942/valley-news-live-mason-dixon-poll Mason Dixon
  23. http://www.wdaz.com/event/article/id/15418/group/News/ Forum/Essman
  24. https://web.archive.org/web/20121011025651/http://www.valleynewslive.com/story/19767078/poll Mason-Dixon
  25. https://web.archive.org/web/20120609002433/http://www.valleynewslive.com/story/18730731/exclusive-poll-results-5pm-6pm-tonight Mason Dixon
  26. Web site: The Cook Political Report — Charts – 2012 House Competitive Races . Cookpolitical.com . November 5, 2012 . November 6, 2012.
  27. Web site: House Ratings . Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com . November 2, 2012 . November 4, 2012.
  28. http://www.rollcall.com/politics/race-ratings-chart-2012-house-elections.html
  29. http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2012-house/ Crystal Ball
  30. http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/ratings/house House Race Ratings
  31. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/house/2012_elections_house_map.html
  32. Web site: House Ratings . The Hill . November 4, 2012. November 3, 2012 .

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