2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii explained

Election Name:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii
Country:Hawaii
Type:legislative
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii
Previous Year:2012
Election Date:November 4, 2014
Next Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii
Next Year:2016
Seats For Election:All 2 Hawaii seats to the United States House of Representatives
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Last Election1:2
Seats1:2
Popular Vote1:235,400
Percentage1:65.36%
Swing1:2.09%
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Last Election2:0
Seats2:0
Popular Vote2:120,084
Percentage2:33.34%
Swing2:0.79%

The 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii were held on Tuesday, November 4, 2014, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of Hawaii, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including an election for Governor of Hawaii and a special election to the United States Senate.

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii, 2014[1]
PartyVotesPercentageSeats beforeSeats after+/–
Democratic235,40065.36%22±0
Republican120,08433.34%00±0
4,6931.30%00-
Totals360,177100.00%22±0

By district

Results of the 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii by district:[2]

scope=col rowspan=3Districtscope=col colspan=2Democraticscope=col colspan=2Republicanscope=col colspan=2Othersscope=col colspan=2Totalscope=col rowspan=3Result
scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2!scope=col colspan=2
scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"%
93,390 51.91% 86,454 48.06% 58 0.03% 179,902 100.0% Democratic hold
142,010 78.71% 33,630 18.64% 4,775 2.65% 180,415 100.0% Democratic hold
Total 235,400 65.33% 120,084 33.33% 4,833 1.34% 360,317 100.0%

District 1

Election Name:United States House of Representatives District 1
Country:Hawaii
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii, 2012#District 1
Previous Year:2012
Next Election:United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii, 2016#District 1
Next Year:2016
Election Date:November 4, 2014
Image1:File:Mark Takai, official portrait, 114th Congress.jpg
Nominee1:Mark Takai
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:93,390
Percentage1:51.9%
Nominee2:Charles Djou
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:86,454
Percentage2:48.1%
Map Size:100px
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Colleen Hanabusa
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Mark Takai
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

See also: Hawaii's 1st congressional district. The 1st district is located entirely on the island of Oahu, encompassing the urban areas of the City and County of Honolulu, a consolidated city-county that includes Oahu's central plains and southern shores, including the towns of Aiea, Mililani, Pearl City, Waipahu and Waimalu. It is the only majority-Asian district in the United States. The incumbent was Democrat Colleen Hanabusa, who had represented the district since 2011. She was re-elected with 55% of the vote in 2012 and the district has a PVI of D+18.

On December 17, 2012, after the death of U.S. Senator Daniel Inouye, it was announced that he had sent a letter shortly before his death to the Governor of Hawaii, Neil Abercrombie, stating his desire that Hanabusa be appointed to his seat. Abercrombie decided against appointing Hanabusa and chose Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii Brian Schatz instead.[3] [4] [5] Hanabusa declined to run for re-election, instead challenging Schatz in the Democratic primary for the special Senate election.[6] [7] She was defeated by Schatz, 48.5% to 47.8%.[8]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ikaika
Anderson
Stanley
Chang
Will
Espero
Donna
Mercado Kim
Joey
Manahan
Mark
Takai
Kathryn
Xian
Undecided
Ward Research[17] July 21–29, 2014306± 5.6%9%12%5%28%5%28%2%13%
Civil Beat[18] July 24–28, 2014482 ± 4.5%7%15%5%23%6% align=center30%14%
Civil Beat[19] May 18–19, 2014259± 6.1%7%9%6% align=center30%1%24% align=center23%
Civil Beat[20] February 12–15, 2014323± 5.4%5%7%8% align=center25%20% align=center36%
Ward Research[21] Jan. 29–Feb. 3, 2014272± 5.9%10%10%6% align=center31%21%2%21%

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Results

No party primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

Neither of the candidates polled enough votes to meet Hawaii's strict criteria for independents to participate in the general election.[25]

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Takai (D)
Charles
Djou (R)
Undecided
New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker[26] October 16–23, 2014558± 8.0% align=center50%35%15%
Civil Beat[27] October 16–19, 2014604± 4%45%45%9%
Ward Research[28] October 11–18, 2014354± 5.2%47%47%7%
Global Strategy Group (D-DCCC)[29] October 20–21, 2014400± 4.9% align=center49%42%9%
Civil Beat[30] September 11–14, 2014551± 4.2%42% align=center46%12%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[31] November 3, 2014
align=left Rothenberg[32] October 24, 2014
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] October 30, 2014
RCPNovember 2, 2014
align=left Daily Kos Elections[34] November 4, 2014

Results

District 2

Election Name:United States House of Representatives District 2
Country:Hawaii
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii, 2012#District 2
Previous Year:2012
Next Election:United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii, 2016#District 2
Next Year:2016
Election Date:November 4, 2014
Nominee1:Tulsi Gabbard
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:142,010
Percentage1:80.8%
Nominee2:Kawika Crowley
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:33,630
Percentage2:19.1%
Map Size:100px
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Tulsi Gabbard
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Tulsi Gabbard
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

See also: Hawaii's 2nd congressional district. The 2nd district encompasses the rest of the island of Oahu, including the Windward, North Shore, Central and Leeward regions, as well as the entire state outside of Oahu. This includes the areas located in the counties of Kauai (which includes the islands of Kauaʻi, Niʻihau, Lehua and Kaʻula), Maui (which consists of the islands of Maui, Kahoolawe, Lānai, Molokai except for a portion of Molokai that comprises Kalawao County and Molokini) and Hawaii County coextensive with the Island of Hawaii, often called "the Big Island". The incumbent was Democrat Tulsi Gabbard, who had represented the district since 2013. She was elected with 77% of the vote in 2012 and the district has a PVI of D+21.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Tulsi
Gabbard (D)
Kawika
Crowley (R)
Undecided
New York Times/CBS News Battleground TrackerOctober 16–23, 2014444± 9.0% align=center72%14%15%
Civil BeatOctober 16–19, 2014517± 4.3% align=center69%19%12%
Civil BeatSeptember 11–14, 2014504± 4.4% align=center70%17%13%

Results

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Results.
  2. Web site: Haas. Karen L.. Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2014. Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. October 28, 2019. March 9, 2015.
  3. Web site: Colleen Hanabusa favorite for Daniel Inouye seat - Alex Isenstadt . Politico.Com . 2013-03-22.
  4. Web site: CNN: Inouye gave preference for successor before he died . CNN.com . 2012-12-18.
  5. Web site: Brian Schatz chosen to replace Daniel Inouye - Katie Glueck . Politico.Com . 2013-03-22.
  6. Web site: Hawaii: Hanabusa to Announce Plans in Next Several Weeks | At the Races . Atr.rollcall.com . 2013-03-22.
  7. Web site: Exploratory March 13th, 2013By Derrick DePledge Share . Political Radar | Exploratory | Political Radar | staradvertiser.com | Honolulu, Hawaii . Politicalradar.staradvertiserblogs.com . 2013-03-13 . 2013-03-22.
  8. News: August 19, 2014 . Hanabusa Won't Challenge US Senate Election Results. Peer News . Honolulu Civil Beat . August 21, 2014.
  9. Web site: Takai, Anderson entering the race for Hanabusa's seat in Congress. August 7, 2013. October 10, 2013. Honolulu Star-Advertiser. https://web.archive.org/web/20130825033452/http://www.staradvertiser.com/news/breaking/20130807_State_Rep_Takai_running_for_Hanabusas_seat_in_Congress.html?id=218767761. August 25, 2013. dead.
  10. Web site: Councilman Stanley Chang sets sights on Congress. Pereira. Andrew. April 24, 2013. October 10, 2013. KITV.
  11. Web site: Espero enters race to replace Hanabusa in Congress. Gutierrez. Ben. July 21, 2013. October 10, 2013. Hawaii News Now.
  12. News: Senate President Announces Run for Congress - and Wins Key Union Endorsement. HawaiiReporter. November 6, 2013. February 17, 2014.
  13. Web site: Honolulu Councilman Manahan Running for U.S. Congress. February 14, 2014. February 17, 2014. Honolulu Civil Beat. https://web.archive.org/web/20140222194502/http://hawaii.news.blogs.civilbeat.com/post/76651639751/honolulu-councilman-manahan-running-for-u-s-congress. February 22, 2014. dead.
  14. Web site: New Hawaii candidate enters the race for Congress. September 24, 2013. October 10, 2013. HawaiiReporter.
  15. News: Case To Join Outrigger, Says Political Career Likely Over . 16 July 2013 . Honolulu Civil Beat . 12 July 2013 . https://web.archive.org/web/20130820204719/http://hawaii.news.blogs.civilbeat.com/post/55294375609/case-to-join-outrigger-says-political-career-likely . 20 August 2013 . dead .
  16. Web site: 'Wild West Shootout' for Hawaii's 1st Congressional District Seat. Blair. Chad. September 30, 2013. October 10, 2013. Honolulu Civil Beat.
  17. http://www.civilbeat.com/2014/08/civil-beat-poll-schatz-takai-both-frontrunners-for-washington-d-c/ Ward Research
  18. http://www.civilbeat.com/2014/08/civil-beat-poll-schatz-takai-both-frontrunners-for-washington-d-c/ Civil Beat
  19. http://www.civilbeat.com/2014/05/civil-beat-poll-donna-mercado-kim-still-frontrunner-race-congress/ Civil Beat
  20. http://www.civilbeat.com/articles/2014/02/26/21243-civil-beat-poll-donna-kim-leads-hawaii-race-for-1st-congressional-seat/ Civil Beat
  21. http://ftpcontent4.worldnow.com/khnl/specials/hipoll2014_tb1-22.pdf Ward Research
  22. Web site: State GOP chair confirms Djou congressional run . . March 21, 2014 . Ian Scheuring.
  23. News: Running for Congress, in Georgia and three other states – at the same time. Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Galloway. Jim. November 6, 2013. November 21, 2013.
  24. Web site: Handicapping The Race To Replace Hanabusa. Blair. Chad. Eagle. Nathan. April 25, 2013. October 10, 2013. Honolulu Civil Beat.
  25. Web site: No Independent Candidate Polls Enough Votes in Hawaii Primary to Advance to General Election Ballot . Ballot Access News . August 10, 2014 . October 27, 2014.
  26. https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/10/30/house-races-battleground-tracker/ New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker
  27. http://www.civilbeat.com/2014/10/civil-beat-poll-takai-djou-race-too-close-to-call/ Civil Beat
  28. http://ftpcontent4.worldnow.com/khnl/hawaiipoll2014/hipoll_congress_senate.pdf Ward Research
  29. http://atr.rollcall.com/dccc-polls-hawaii-house-race/ Global Strategy Group (D-DCCC)
  30. http://www.civilbeat.com/2014/09/civil-beat-poll-gops-djou-up-by-4-points-over-democrat-takai-in-cd1/ Civil Beat
  31. Web site: 2014 House Race Ratings for November 3, 2014 . House: Race Ratings . Cook Political Report . November 3, 2014.
  32. Web site: 2014 House Ratings (October 24, 2014) . House Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . October 24, 2014.
  33. Web site: 2014 House . Sabato's Crystal Ball . April 10, 2014 . April 11, 2014.
  34. Web site: Daily Kos Elections House race ratings: Initial ratings for 2014 . Daily Kos Elections . November 4, 2014.