2010 United States House of Representatives election in Delaware explained

Election Name:2010 United States House of Representatives election in Delaware
Country:Delaware
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 United States House of Representatives election in Delaware
Previous Year:2008
Next Election:2012 United States House of Representatives election in Delaware
Next Year:2012
Election Date:November 2, 2010
Nominee1:John Carney
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:173,543
Percentage1:56.8%
Nominee2:Glen Urquhart
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:125,442
Percentage2:41.0%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Mike Castle
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:John Carney
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)
Map Size:210px

The 2010 United States House of Representatives election in Delaware was held on November 2, 2010, to determine who would represent the state of Delaware in the United States House of Representatives for the 112th United States Congress. Democratic nominee former Lieutenant Governor, John Carney defeated Republican nominee Glen Urquhart, giving Delaware an all Democratic congressional delegation for the first time since before the 1942 midterms.[1] This is the first open seat election since 1992 and only the second since 1976.

Overview

The state of Delaware is completely contained in a single at-large district. The district has a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+7.[2] Since 1993, the district had been represented by Republican Michael Castle.

Castle announced in 2009 he would run for the United States Senate seat[3] held by Ted Kaufman (D) who had been appointed to the seat when his predecessor, Joe Biden (D), resigned to become Vice President. Castle was defeated by Christine O'Donnell in the Delaware Republican Senate primary.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

Carney announced his candidacy on April 15, 2009, and was unopposed in the primary after Scott Spencer, a transportation consultant, dropped out.[4] [5]

Republican primary

Candidates

Results

Campaign

According to a September 2010 poll by Fairleigh Dickinson University's PublicMind, "likely voters in Delaware split 45%-40% on whether they prefer[ed] to have the U.S. Congress controlled by the Democratic Party or the Republican Party, suggesting that the First State's open congressional seat might be hotly contested," yet in the same poll, Carney led Urquhart by 51%-36%.[6] Peter Woolley, the poll director, remarked that "candidates matter, not just parties" and that in Delaware candidates matter "more than in most states."[6]

Polling

width=205pxPoll sourcewidth=205pxDate(s) administeredwidth=100pxGlen
Urquhart (R)
width=100pxJohn
Carney (D)
Monmouth University[7] October 25–27, 201044% align=center51%
Fairleigh Dickinson[8] October 20–26, 201036% align=center53%
Monmouth University[9] October 8–11, 201044% align=center53%
Fairleigh Dickinson[10] September 27 – October 3, 201036% align=center51%
University of Delaware[11] September 16–30, 201031% align=center48%
Wilson Research Strategies[12] September 27–28, 201041% align=center45%
Grove Insight[13] September 15–18, 201032% align=center50%
Public Policy Polling[14] September 11–12, 201037% align=center48%
Public Policy Polling[15] August 7–8, 201030% align=center48%

General election

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

External links

Notes and References

  1. http://projects.usatoday.com/news/politics/2010/elections/DE/#house Elections 2010:Delaware
  2. Web site: Cook Political Report, PVI for the 110th Congress . June 20, 2008 . February 15, 2009 . . https://web.archive.org/web/20081126210445/http://www.cookpolitical.com/sites/default/files/pvichart.pdf . November 26, 2008 . dead . mdy-all .
  3. Web site: Castle running for the Senate . Politico . Josh Kraushaar . October 6, 2009. October 7, 2009.
  4. Web site: Delaware Con Carney - Hotline On Call. Hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com. July 28, 2009. https://web.archive.org/web/20090422003024/http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2009/04/delaware_con_ca.php. April 22, 2009. dead.
  5. Web site: Courierpostonline - Transportation consultant plans congressional bid. Content.usatoday.net. March 30, 2009. July 28, 2009.
  6. "Delaware Republicans Losing House Seat," FDU PublicMind, Oct. 5, 2010. Retrieved 2/24/11.
  7. https://web.archive.org/web/20101103115505/http://www.monmouth.edu/polling/admin/polls/MUP37_DE_2.pdf Monmouth University
  8. http://publicmind.fdu.edu/carney/ Fairleigh Dickinson
  9. https://web.archive.org/web/20101125210326/http://monmouth.edu/polling/admin/polls/MUP37_DE.pdf Monmouth University
  10. http://publicmind.fdu.edu/de1010/ Fairleigh Dickinson
  11. http://www.udel.edu/udaily/2011/oct/images/CPC_Poll_data.pdf University of Delaware
  12. http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/DEPoll.htm Wilson Research Strategies
  13. https://web.archive.org/web/20100928021904/http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2010/09/another-tuesday-means-more-dcc.html Grove Insight
  14. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_DE_916.pdf Public Policy Polling
  15. http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2010/8/10/891639/-DE-Sen,-DE-AL:-Castle-(R)-under-50,-Coons-(D)-still-unknown Public Policy Polling