2018 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska explained

Election Name:	2018 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska
Country:	Alaska
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2016 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska
Previous Year:	2016
Next Election:	2020 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska
Next Year:	2020
Election Date:	November 6, 2018
Turnout:	49.34%
Image1:	File:Don Young, official 115th Congress photo portrait.jpg
Nominee1:	Don Young
Party1:	Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:	149,779
Percentage1:	53.1%
Nominee2:	Alyse Galvin
Party2:	Independent (United States)
Alliance2:	Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:	131,199
Percentage2:	46.5%
Map Size:	x200px
U.S. Representative
Before Election:	Don Young
Before Party:	Republican Party (United States)
After Election:	Don Young
After Party:	Republican Party (United States)

The 2018 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the U.S. representative from Alaska's at-large congressional district, who will represent the state of Alaska in the 116th United States Congress. The election coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, as well as elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Thomas "John" Nelson, businessman^[1]
• Jed Whittaker, candidate for U.S. Senate in 1996 and perennial candidate.
• Don Young, incumbent U.S. Representative and Dean of the House of Representatives^[2]

Results

Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary

Candidates from the Alaska Democratic Party, Alaska Libertarian Party and Alaskan Independence Party appear on the same ballot, with the highest-placed candidate from each party receiving that party's nomination.

Candidates

Declared

• Christopher C. Cumings, running as Non-partisan (N)^[3]
• Alyse S. Galvin, running as Undeclared (U)^[4]
• Carol "Kitty" Hafner, running as Democrat (D)^[5]
• Dimitri Shein, running as Democrat (D)^[6]

Results

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report^[7]		November 5, 2018
align=left	Inside Elections^[8]		November 5, 2018
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball^[9]		November 5, 2018
align=left	RealClearPolitics^[10]		November 5, 2018
align=left	Daily Kos^[11]		November 5, 2018
align=left	FiveThirtyEight^[12]		November 6, 2018

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Don Young (R)	Alyse Galvin (I)	Undecided
Alaska Survey Research^[13]	October 26–29, 2018	500	–	48%	align=center	49%	3%
Lake Research Partners (I-Galvin)^[14]	October 13–16, 2018	500	–	align=center	48%	44%	8%
Alaska Survey Research^[15]	October 12–14, 2018	500	± 4.4%	align=center	49%	47%	4%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[16]	October 11–12, 2018	645	–	align=center	46%	43%	10%
Alaska Survey Research^[17]	October 1–6, 2018	500	± 4.4%	align=center	50%	46%	4%
Alaska Survey Research^[18]	September 21–25, 2018	500	± 4.4%	align=center	53%	43%	4%
Lake Research Partners (I-Galvin)^[19]	June 7–12, 2018	540	± 4.2%	align=center	40%	36%	24%

Results

Boroughs and Census Areas that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Prince of Wales-Hyder Census Area (largest town: Craig)
• Petersburg Borough (largest town: Petersburg)
• Yakutat Borough
• Anchorage (largest town: Anchorage)
• Yukon–Koyukuk Census Area (largest town: Fort Yukon)
• Nome Census Area (largest town: Nome)
• Kusilvak Census Area (largest town: Hooper Bay)
• Bethel Census Area (largest town: Bethel)
• Dillingham Census Area (largest town: Dillingham)
• Aleutians West Census Area (largest town: Unalaska)

External links

• • • • Candidates at Vote Smart Candidates at Ballotpedia Campaign finance at FEC Campaign finance at OpenSecrets

Official campaign websites

• Alyse Galvin (I) for Congress
• Don Young (R) for Congress

Notes and References

1. News: John Nelson for Alaskans. July 31, 2018.
2. Web site: Alaskans for Don Young. July 31, 2018.
3. Web site: Ketchikan resident running for U.S. House of Representative. KRBD. June 8, 2018. July 31, 2018.
4. Web site: Alyse for Alaska. July 31, 2018.
5. Web site: Carol Hafner for Congress. July 31, 2018.
6. Web site: Dimitri for Congress. July 31, 2018.
7. Web site: 2018 House Race ratings The Cook Political Report . The Cook Political Report . en.
8. Web site: House Ratings Inside Elections . insideelections.com . en.
9. Web site: Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 House . www.centerforpolitics.org.
10. News: Battle for the House 2018 . RCP . November 5, 2018.
11. Web site: Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings . . November 5, 2018 .
12. Web site: Silver . Nate . 2018 House Forecast . . November 6, 2018 . August 16, 2018.
13. https://www.facebook.com/alaskasurvey/posts/1161823020636996 Alaska Survey Research
14. https://drive.google.com/file/d/1eyHp1DWBN6U6oqsJ7VbnMQgo9HgY_Ez7/view Lake Research Partners (I-Galvin)
15. https://www.facebook.com/alaskasurvey/photos/pcb.1152857844866847/1152857254866906/?type=3&theater Alaska Survey Research
16. https://twitter.com/Pinboard/status/1050860335589019648 Public Policy Polling (D)
17. https://drive.google.com/file/d/13gTXhrZlbn3FRMbCoSIC1PkIyUWa3gEN/view Alaska Survey Research
18. https://www.facebook.com/alaskasurvey/photos/a.586970788122225/1148262878659677/ Alaska Survey Research
19. https://www.scribd.com/document/385563989/AK-AL-Lake-Research-Partners-for-Alyse-Galvin-I-June-2018 Lake Research Partners (I-Galvin)