Election Name: | Third-party and independent candidates for the 2024 United States presidential election |
Country: | United States |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | yes |
Previous Election: | Third-party and independent candidates for the 2020 United States presidential election |
Previous Year: | 2020 |
Next Election: | Third-party and independent candidates for the 2028 United States presidential election |
Next Year: | 2028 |
This article lists third party and independent candidates, also jointly known as minor candidates, associated with the 2024 United States presidential election.
See also: Ballot access in the 2024 United States presidential election. The following general election candidates currently have ballot access to at least 270 electoral votes, the minimum number required to attain the presidency. Ballot access deadlines vary from state to state.
The following general election candidates will have ballot access to fewer than 270 electoral votes, the minimum number required to attain the presidency.
See also: Ballot access in the 2024 United States presidential election.
Presidential nominee | Vice presidential nominee | Campaign | States with ballot access< | -- data-sort-value should be "$.$" --> | Ref. | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Claudia De la Cruz Activist from New York | Karina Garcia Activist from California | Website Campaign FEC filing[9] | data-sort-value="145.011" | [10] [11] | |||
Randall Terry Activist and perennial candidate from Tennessee | Stephen Broden Pastor and political commentator from Texas | Website Campaign | data-sort-value="132.000" | [12] [13] | |||
Cornel West Academic and activist from California | Melina Abdullah Academic and activist from California | Website Campaign FEC filing[14] [15] [16] | data-sort-value="128.011" | [17] | |||
Peter Sonski Local politician from Connecticut | Lauren Onak Teacher from Massachusetts | Website Campaign June 13, 2023 FEC filing[18] | data-sort-value="65.066" | [19] | |||
Rachele Fruit Activist from Florida | Dennis Richter Activist from Minnesota | March 4, 2024 | data-sort-value="37.000" | [20] [21] | |||
Shiva Ayyadurai Entrepreneur from Massachusetts | Crystal Ellis 2022 gubernatorial candidate from Nebraska | Website September 4, 2023 FEC filing[22] | data-sort-value="28.000" | ||||
Joseph Kishore Writer and Socialist Equality Party National Secretary | Jerry White Perennial candidate and editor from New York | Website February 27, 2024 | data-sort-value="26.000" | [23] | |||
Richard Duncan | Mitch Bupp | data-sort-value="17.004" | |||||
Joel Skousen Survivalist and consultant from Utah | Rik Combs Businessman from Missouri | Website May 6, 2024 | data-sort-value="16.000" | ||||
Krist Novoselić | James Carroll | Website | data-sort-value="12.000" | [24] | |||
Blake Huber | Andrea Denault | Website March 16, 2024 | data-sort-value="10.000" | [25] | |||
Chris Garrity | Cody Ballard | Website June 2, 2023 FEC filing[26] | data-sort-value="7.004" | ||||
Michael Wood | John Pietrowski | Website July 5, 2023 FEC filing[27] | data-sort-value="6.000" | [28] | |||
Lucifer “Justin Case” Everylove | TBA | Website | data-sort-value="6.000" | [29] | |||
Jasmine Sherman | Tanda BluBear | Website December 2, 2021 FEC filing[30] | data-sort-value="3.000" | ||||
Vermin Supreme | Jonathan Realz | Website August 8, 2024 FEC filing[31] | data-sort-value="3.000" | [32] [33] |
Parties and candidates in this section have not attained ballot access in any states.
Notable parties:
Notable independents:
Date | Party nomination event | |
---|---|---|
Prohibition Party presidential nominating convention | ||
American Solidarity Party online primary | ||
Unity Party of America nominating convention | ||
Unity Party of Colorado nominating convention | ||
Natural Law Party nominating convention | ||
Constitution Party nominating convention | ||
May 23, 2024 | ||
May 25, 2024 | Constitution Party of Oregon nominating Convention | |
Libertarian National Convention | ||
May 30, 2024 | Approval Voting Party nominating convention | |
June 1, 2024 | Pirate National Convention | |
June 23, 2024 | Green Party of Alaska Nominating Meeting | |
August 3, 2024 | Constitution Party of Idaho Nominating Convention | |
Peace and Freedom Party state central committee meeting | ||
Green National Convention |
See main article: 2024 Libertarian Party presidential primaries. The Libertarian Party participated in multiple non-binding preference primaries in this election cycle. The party's presidential and vice presidential nominees were chosen directly by delegates at the 2024 Libertarian National Convention, held on Memorial Day weekend from May 24 to 26, 2024, in Washington, D.C.[46] [47]
See main article: 2024 Green Party presidential primaries. The Green Party is holding a series of presidential primaries through which convention delegates will be awarded to candidates and will nominate the party's presidential ticket at the 2024 Green National Convention,[48] which is scheduled to take place as a virtual event from August 15 to 18, 2024.[49]
The individuals listed below are declared candidates who have filed paperwork with the Federal Election Commission with intent to run under the Green Party and who meet one or more of the following criteria: a) meet Wikipedia's notability guidelines; b) have participated (or have been invited to participate) in at least two Green Party-sponsored debates or c) have received non-trivial media coverage as a candidate in this election cycle.
See main article: 2024 Constitution Party presidential primaries. The Constitution Party held its presidential nominating convention on April 24–27, 2024, in Salt Lake City, Utah.[50] [51]
Eight candidates sought the nomination:[52]
Jim Harvey of Georgia (who ultimately did not seek the nomination), Joel Skousen, and Randall Terry participated in an April 6 debate in Dearborn, Michigan.[56] [57]
Terry won the nomination by securing a majority in the first round. The votes largely broke down along geographic lines. Skousen, who is from Utah, received all 61 votes from the delegations of the Four Corners states, but only 19 votes from the rest of the country combined. The only state delegations he carried outside of the region were New Hampshire and West Virginia. Venable won the majority of votes from South Carolina and his home state of Missouri and Daniel Cummings won a plurality in his home state of Wyoming. The remaining ten delegations were all won by Terry.[52]
Pastor and political commentator Stephen Broden, who was running on a ticket with Terry, received the vice-presidential nomination via voice vote.[58]
Aside from the presidential nomination, much of the debate at the convention focused on an ultimately defeated amendment by Skousen to remove references to God from the party platform.[59]
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Randall Terry | 144 | 54.55% | |||
Joel Skousen | 80 | 30.30% | |||
Paul Venable | 32 | 12.12% | |||
Daniel Cummings | 4 | 1.52% | |||
Brandon McIntyre | 2 | 0.76% | |||
Samm Tittle | 2 | 0.76% | |||
Louis C. Hook | 0 | 0.00% | |||
Ben Stewart | 0 | 0.00% | |||
Total: | 264 | 100.00% | |||
Source:[60] |
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stephen Broden | Nominated via Voice Vote | ||||
Source: |
The Constitution Party received 60,023 votes in the 2020 election.
The Nevada, Utah and Idaho state parties split from the national party and nominated Skousen.[61]
The American Independent Party held a non-binding presidential preference primary in California on March 5, 2024. James Bradley was the only candidate listed on the ballot and defeated Andrew George Rummel, who was a recognized write-in candidate.[62] [63]
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | |
---|---|---|---|
James Bradley | 45,565 | 99.96% | |
Andrew George Rummel (write-in) | 16 | 0.04% | |
Total: | 45,581 | 100.0% |
On April 29, 2024, the party announced that it had nominated independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr.[65] [66]
See main article: 2024 Minnesota Legal Marijuana Now presidential primary. The Legal Marijuana Now Party held its first-ever presidential nomination primary in Minnesota on Super Tuesday, March 5. This was the first presidential primary to be held in Minnesota for a third party since 1916.[67] Krystal Gabel withdrew from the race during Legal Marijuana Now Party's candidate filing discussions. When Gabel asked to be removed from the ballot, after early voting had started on January 19, 2024, the Minnesota Secretary of State's office stated that changes cannot be made to the list of candidates after the list was certified 63 days prior to the election, and Gabel's name remained on ballots.
Five candidates appeared on the ballot:
Of Minnesota's three major political parties, all of which included a write in option for their 2024 nominating primaries, only the Legal Marijuana Now party submitted to the Secretary of State a write in name to be counted, singer-songwriter Willie Nelson.[70]
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Delegates | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Krystal Gabel (withdrawn) | 759 | 28.84% | - | |||
Dennis Schuller | 459 | 17.44% | 7 | |||
Vermin Supreme | 397 | 15.08% | 6 | |||
Rudy Reyes | 365 | 13.87% | 5 | |||
Edward Forchion | 168 | 6.38% | 2 | |||
Willie Nelson (write-in) | 19 | 0.72% | 0 | |||
Other write-ins | 465 | 17.67% | - | |||
Total: | 2,632 | 100.00% | 20 | |||
Source:[71] |
Gabel won a plurality of the vote (28.8%), but withdrew ahead of the primary. Of declared candidates, Dennis Schuller finished in the lead, with 17.4%.[72] At the state convention in Bloomington on July 6, Schuller was later chosen as the presidential nominee, with Reyes as his running mate.[73] However, the party lost automatic ballot access in a May 2024 ruling by the Minnesota Supreme Court, meaning party officials would have to petition for ballot access.[74]
The party is also ballot-qualified in Nebraska, but no candidates qualified for the May 14 primary. Instead, the state affiliate party nominated Cornel West.[75]
The Peace and Freedom Party held a non-binding preference primary in California on Super Tuesday, March 5. Claudia De la Cruz, the nominee of the Party for Socialism and Liberation, won the primary with a plurality, defeating Jasmine Sherman and Cornel West.[76] The party's presidential nominee, chosen by the state central committee in August, is Claudia De la Cruz.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | |
---|---|---|---|
Claudia De la Cruz | 6,430 | 47.0% | |
Cornel West | 5,455 | 39.9% | |
Jasmine Sherman | 1,795 | 13.1% | |
Total: | 13,680 | 100.0% |
The American Solidarity Party announced on June 2, 2023, that Peter Sonski had won their party's online primary, which lasted from May 24 to June 1. Sonski was nominated in the first round of ranked-choice voting with 52%. Sonski then selected Lauren Onak as his vice president, who was then officially nominated via unanimous consent.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Peter Sonski | 328 | 52.5% | |||
Jacqueline Abernathy | 207 | 33.1 | |||
Joe Schriner | 50 | 8.0 | |||
Larry Johnson | 24 | 3.8 | |||
Erskine Levi | 16 | 2.6 | |||
Total: | 625 | 100.00% | |||
Source:[78] |
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lauren Onak | Nominated via Unanimous Consent | ||||
Source:[79] |
The Approval Voting Party received 409 votes for president in 2020. It is currently only ballot-approved in Colorado.[80] On March 16, the party nominated Blake Huber for president and Andrea Denault for vice president.[81]
The Green Mountain Peace and Justice Party is a regional ballot-qualified party in Vermont which has regularly nominated candidates for president since 1972.[82] It nominated Gloria La Riva, the PSL nominee, in 2020. She received 166 votes in Vermont. On April 28, the party nominated independent candidate Cornel West for president.[83]
The Michigan Natural Law Party held its nominating convention on April 17, 2024, where it nominated independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for President and Nicole Shanahan for Vice President. Party chairman Doug Dern claimed fellow independent candidate Cornel West also sought the party's ballot access.[84]
In 2020, the Michigan party nominated Alliance Party nominee Rocky De La Fuente, who received 2,986 votes in Michigan.
The party is also presidential ballot-qualified in Florida. The Florida party did not nominate a candidate in the 2020 election.[85]
The Prohibition Party held its presidential nominating convention on May 8–9, 2023, in Buffalo, New York. Three candidates stood for nomination; Michael Wood was nominated on the first ballot.[86]
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michael Wood | 8 | 61.5% | |||
Zack Kusnir | 4 | 30.8% | |||
Scott Baier | 0 | 0.0% | |||
Jay Rockefeller (write-in) | 1 | 7.7% | |||
Total: | 13 | 100.00% | |||
Source:[87] |
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Petrowski | Nominated via Unanimous Consent | ||||
Source: |
The Bill Hammons-led faction of the Unity Party of America nominated Paul Noel Fiorino and Matthew May for president and vice president respectively at the 7th United National Convention over Google Meet on April 6, 2024.[88]
However, the Colorado faction of the party, which has the party's ballot access, met on April 13, 2024, and nominated independent candidate Cornel West for president and his running mate, Melina Abdullah for vice president.[89] [90]
Candidate | Percentage | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cornel West | 95% | ||||
Paul Noel Fiorino | 5% | ||||
Total: | 100.00% | ||||
Source: |
Withdrew before convention:
The party is currently only ballot-approved in Colorado.[80] In 2020, party co-founder Bill Hammons was on the ballot in three states and received 6,647 votes.[92]
The Alliance Party received 88,236 votes for president in 2020.[92] It and its affiliates are ballot-qualified in Alaska, Connecticut, and South Carolina.[93] [94] [95]
The Green Party of Alaska, which is unaffiliated with the Green Party of the United States is ballot-qualified in Alaska. The party nominated Jesse Ventura for president in 2020 and received 2,673 votes.[96]
Jasmine Sherman and Tanda BluBear were nominated as president and vice president, respectively.[97]
The party has hosted a series of debates featuring the following candidates seeking the nomination:[98]
The Liberal Party, formerly the Association of State Liberty Parties, has qualified state parties in Massachusetts and New Mexico which were, until 2022, affiliated with the national Libertarian Party.[111] [112] These parties received a combined 59,598 votes in the 2 states.
See main article: article. The following individuals have declined to be candidates for the No Labels unity ticket. On April 4, 2024, the organization announced it would not run a presidential campaign.[114]
The following notable individuals have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacies, but have publicly denied interest in running.
2024 Free & Equal debates | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date & Time | Location | Participants | ||||||||||
Participant · Absent invitee Invitee · Not invited Not yet declared. | Other | |||||||||||
Kamala Harris | Donald Trump | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | Chase Oliver | Jill Stein | Claudia De la Cruz | Cornel West | Randall Terry | See note | ||||
1 | February 29, 2024 | New York City | ||||||||||
2 | July 12, 2024 | Las Vegas | ||||||||||
3 | September 2024 | TBD |
The Free & Equal Elections Foundation hosted a multiparty debate on February 29, 2024, in New York City, New York moderated by Caitlin Sinclair, Jason Palmer and Christina Tobin. Socialism and Liberation nominee Claudia De la Cruz, Libertarian candidates Chase Oliver and Lars Mapstead, and Green candidates Jill Stein and Jasmine Sherman attended. Independent candidates Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West were also invited but did not attend.[153] [154]
2nd Free and Equal Presidential debate | |
Duration: | 1 hour and 50 minutes |
Date: | July 12, 2024 |
Location: | Las Vegas, Nevada |
Participants: | Chase Oliver Jill Stein Randall Terry |
Moderator: | Christina Tobin and Thomas Massie |
Footage: | https://www.youtube.com/live/WGlkAKA-y90?si=4SHkVrzj-aqaxDjw&#124;1 |
Free and Equal hosted a second debate on July 12, 2024, at FreedomFest in Las Vegas, Nevada moderated by the foundation's chair, Christina Tobin and congressman Thomas Massie.[155] [156]
Candidates invited to the debate were: Biden, Kennedy, Oliver, Stein, Terry, Trump, and West.[155]
Oliver, Stein, and Terry participated.[155]
The Free and Equal Foundation plans to host a third debate in September 2024.[157] On August 5, the organization tweeted that Harris, Trump, and Kennedy would all be included in the invitees.[158]
The Muslim Civic Coalition hosted a forum featuring Jill Stein and Cornel West on February 3 in Oak Brook, Illinois. The organization claimed all presidential candidates were invited to attend.
The Abandon Biden movement held an online forum on June 13 featuring Jill Stein,[159] Cornel West,[160] and Claudia de la Cruz[161] focused on promoting "pro-Palestine" candidates for President.[162] [163]
See main article: Ballot access in the 2024 United States presidential election.
See main article: Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election and Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election.
This table will only include polling aggregates that tracks at least one third-party candidate.
Poll source | Since | As of | Kamala Harris | Donald Trump | Robert F. Kennedy Jr | Jill Stein | Cornel West | Margin | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
538 | July 24, 2024 | August 9, 2024 | 45.5% | 43.4% | 5.1% | – | – | Harris +2.0% | |||
RCP | July 22, 2024 | August 9, 2024 | 45.3% | 44.5% | 5.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | Harris +0.8% | |||
TH/DDHQ | July 7, 2024 | August 9, 2024 | 46.7% | 43.5% | 3.4% | – | – | Harris +3.2% | |||
SB | July 1, 2024 | August 9, 2024 | 46.3% | 43.9% | 4.1% | – | – | Harris +2.4% | |||
RTTWH | July 8, 2024 | August 9, 2024 | 45.7% | 43.5% | 5.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | Harris +2.2% | |||
NYT | July 17, 2024 | August 9, 2024 | 45% | 43% | 5% | – | – | Harris +2% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Kamala Harris | Donald Trump | Cornel West | Robert F. Kennedy Jr | Jill Stein | Chase Oliver | Other | Undecided | Margin | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RMG Research/Napolitan Institute | August 5–7, 2024 | 2000 (RV) | 47% | 46% | – | 2% | – | – | 2% | 3% | Harris +1% | ||
Ipsos | August 2–7, 2024 | 1342 (RV) | 42% | 37% | – | 4% | – | – | 6% | 10% | Harris +5% | ||
YouGov/The Economist | August 4–6, 2024 | 1413 (LV) | 45% | 43% | 0% | 2% | 1% | – | 3% | 6% | Harris +2% | ||
ActiVote | July 30 – August 6, 2024 | 1000 (LV) | 45.0% | 44.4% | – | 10.5% | – | – | – | – | Harris +0.6% | ||
NPR/PBS/Marist | August 1–4, 2024 | 1309 (LV) | 49% | 45% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | – | 1% | Harris +4% | ||
TIPP Insights/Issues & Insights | July 31 – August 2, 2024 | 1326 (RV) | 44% | 42% | 1% | 7% | 1% | – | 1% | 4% | Harris +2% | ||
YouGov/CBS News | July 30 – August 2, 2024 | 3092 (LV) | 49% | 47% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | – | 2% | Harris +2% | ||
YouGov/University of Massachusetts | July 29 – August 1, 2024 | 1000 (RV) | 46% | 43% | – | 6% | – | – | – | 5% | Harris +3% | ||
RMG Research | July 29–31, 2024 | 3000 (RV) | 47% | 42% | – | 6% | – | – | – | 5% | Harris +5% | ||
YouGov/The Economist | July 27–30, 2024 | 1434 (RV) | 46% | 44% | 0% | 5% | 0% | – | 2% | 5% | Harris +2% | ||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | July 29, 2024 | 1750 (LV) | 45% | 43% | – | 5% | – | – | – | 4% | Harris +2% | ||
American Pulse Research | July 26–29, 2024 | 1035 (LV) | 46% | 47% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% | Trump +1% | ||
ActiVote | July 24–29, 2024 | 1000 (LV) | 44% | 46% | – | 10% | – | – | – | – | Trump +2% | ||
McLaughlin & Associates | July 23–29, 2024 | 1000 (LV) | 41% | 42% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 7% | – | Trump +1% | ||
Big Data/Public Polling Project | July 26–28, 2024 | 2919 (LV) | 44% | 45% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 2% | – | – | Trump +1% | ||
Leger | July 26–28, 2024 | 786 (RV) | 48% | 41% | 1% | 5% | 1% | – | – | 3% | Harris +7% | ||
Harvard/HarrisX | July 26–28, 2024 | 2196 (RV) | 43% | 47% | 1% | 8% | 1% | – | – | – | Trump +4% | ||
Ipsos/With Honor | July 24–25, 2024 | 1238 (A) | 38% | 38% | – | 4% | – | – | 12% | 9% | Even | ||
Redfield and Wilton | July 23–25, 2024 | 1750 (LV) | 45% | 43% | – | 5% | – | – | 1% | 4% | Harris +2% | ||
Mainstreet Research/FAU | July 26–27, 2024 | 936 (LV) | 44% | 43% | – | 8% | – | – | 1% | 3% | Harris +1% | ||
Atlas Intel | July 23–25, 2024 | 1980 (RV) | 46% | 48% | 0% | 5% | – | – | – | 2% | Trump +2% | ||
Fabrizio Lee & Associates/GBAO/The Wall Street Journal | July 23–25, 2024 | 1000 (RV) | 45% | 44% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 0% | – | 5% | Harris +1% | ||
HarrisX/Forbes | July 22–25, 2024 | 2472 (LV) | 45% | 46% | 1% | 8% | 1% | – | – | 6% | Trump +1% | ||
New York Times/Siena | July 22–24, 2024 | 1142 (LV) | 44% | 43% | 0% | 5% | 1% | – | 1% (I wouldn't vote) | 5% | Harris +1% | ||
The 19th/Survey Monkey | July 22–24, 2024 | 5265 (A) | 38% | 39% | 1% | 6% | 1% | – | 2% (Refused) | 14% | Trump +1% | ||
Big Village | July 22–24, 2024 | 1492 (LV) | 43% | 44% | 1% | 6% | 1% | – | 1% (I wouldn't vote) | 4% | Trump +1% | ||
Reuters/Ipsos | July 22–23, 2024 | 1018 (RV) | 42% | 38% | – | 8% | – | – | 5% (I wouldn't vote) | 6% | Harris +4% | ||
The Times/SAY/YouGov | July 22–23, 2024 | 1155 (LV) | 44% | 46% | 0% | 4% | 1% | – | 1% (I would not vote) | 3% | Trump +2% | ||
NPR/PBS/Marist | July 22, 2024 | 846 (LV) | 45% | 43% | 1% | 7% | 0% | 0% | – | 3% | Harris +2% | ||
The Economist/YouGov | July 21–23, 2024 | 1435 (RV) | 41% | 44% | 1% | 5% | 1% | – | 3% | 5% | Trump +3% | ||
Yahoo!/YouGov | July 19–22, 2024 | 1178 (RV) | 41% | 43% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 6% | Trump +2% | ||
On Points Politics/SoCal Research | July 21, 2024 | 800 (RV) | 37% | 43% | – | 9% | 3% | 4% | – | 4% | Trump +6% | ||
Quinnipiac | July 19–21, 2024 | 1257 (RV) | 41% | 45% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | Trump +4% | ||
Mainstreet Research/FAU | July 19–21, 2024 | 711 (LV) | 39% | 45% | – | 9% | – | – | 3% | 3% | Trump +6% | ||
The Economist/YouGov | July 13–16, 2024 | 1398 (RV) | 39% | 44% | 1% | 5% | 2% | – | 3% | 7% | Trump +5% | ||
Big Village | July 12–14, 2024 | 1499 (LV) | 37.3% | 41.6% | 1.8% | 9.2% | 2.1% | – | 0.9% (I would not vote) | 7.0% | Trump +4.3% | ||
Redfield & Wilton | July 8, 2024 | 1500 (RV) | 37% | 44% | – | 8% | – | 1% | 3% | 6% | Trump +7% | ||
Manhattan Institute | July 7–13, 2024 | 2100 (LV) | 36% | 44% | 1% | 6% | – | 1% | 8% | 5% | Trump +8% | ||
The Economist/YouGov | July 7–9, 2024 | 1440 (RV) | 38% | 42% | 1% | 5% | – | 2% | 6% | 7% | Trump +5% | ||
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Nikki Haley | Cornel West | Robert F. Kennedy Jr | Joe Manchin | Jill Stein | Other | Undecided | Margin | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden ends his re-election campaign | |||||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos | July 16, 2024 | 992 (RV) | 39% | 40% | – | – | 11% | – | – | 6% | 4% | Trump +1% | |||
Emerson College/Democrats for the Next Generation | July 15–16, 2024 | 2000 (RV) | 37.8% | 43.8% | – | 0.7% | 6.6% | – | 0.7% | 0.4% (Chase Oliver) | 10.0% | Trump +6.0% | |||
The Economist/YouGov | July 13–16, 2024 | 1398 (RV) | 41% | 43% | – | 1% | 4% | – | 1% | 3% | 7% | Trump +2% | |||
Redfield & Wilton | July 15, 2024 | 3500 (RV) | 42% | 43% | – | – | 6% | – | – | 2% | 6% | Trump +1% | |||
Harris X | July 13–15, 2024 | 1918 (RV) | 37% | 41% | – | 2% | 12% | – | 1% | – | 7% | Trump +4% | |||
ActiVote | July 7–15, 2024 | 1000 (LV) | 41.4% | 43.4% | – | – | 15.1% | – | – | – | – | Trump +2.0% | |||
Big Village | July 12–14, 2024 | 1499 (LV) | 40.9% | 40.8% | – | 0.9% | 8.5% | – | 1.2% | 0.5% (I would not vote) | 7.0% | Biden +0.1% | |||
Thomas Matthew Crooks attempts to assassinate Donald Trump | |||||||||||||||
Manhattan Institute | July 7–13, 2024 | 2100 (LV) | 40% | 44% | – | 1% | 5% | – | 1% | 5% | 5% | Trump +4% | |||
The Center Square/Noble Predictive | July 8–11, 2024 | 2300 (LV) | 40% | 43% | – | 1% | 7% | – | 1% | – | 7% | Trump +3% | |||
NPR/PBS/Marist | July 9–10, 2024 | 954 (LV) | 45% | 45% | – | 2% | 6% | – | 1% | – | 1% | Even | |||
Fox News | July 7–10, 2024 | 1210 (RV) | 41% | 44% | – | 1% | 10% | – | 3% | – | 2% | Trump +3% | |||
The Economist/YouGov | July 7–9, 2024 | 1440 (RV) | 40% | 43% | – | 1% | 4% | – | 1% | 3% | 8% | Trump +3% | |||
NBC News | July 7–9, 2024 | 800 (RV) | 37% | 40% | – | 1% | 10% | – | 3% | 5% | 4% | Trump +3% | |||
ABC News/Washington Post/Ipsos | July 5−9, 2024 | 2041 (RV) | 42% | 43% | – | 2% | 10% | – | 2% | 3% | – | Trump +1% | |||
Redfield & Wilton | July 8, 2024 | 1500 (RV) | 42% | 43% | – | – | 6% | – | – | 2% | 6% | Trump +1% | |||
Emerson College | July 7–8, 2024 | 1370 (RV) | 39.9% | 43.7% | – | 1.2% | 6.1% | – | 0.8% | – | 8.4% | Trump +3.8% | |||
Pew Research | July 1–7, 2024 | 7729 (RV) | 40% | 44% | – | – | 15% | – | – | 2% | – | Trump +4% | |||
Lord Ashcroft | June 28 – July 7, 2024 | 4347 (RV) | 44% | 42% | – | 1% | 10% | – | 1% | 3% | – | Biden +2% | |||
Data For Progress/Split Ticket | July 1–3, 2024 | 2067 (LV) | 40% | 41% | – | 1% | 10% | – | 1% | 1% (Chase Oliver) | 6% | Trump +1% | |||
J.L. Partners/Daily Mail | July 1–3, 2024 | 1000 (LV) | 37% | 43% | – | 2% | 7% | – | 2% | 2% (Chase Oliver) | 7% | Trump +6% | |||
Cygnal | July 1–2, 2024 | 1500 (LV) | 38.1% | 43.5% | – | 2.1% | 7.1% | – | 2.0% | – | 7.2% | Trump +5.4% | |||
The Economist/YouGov | June 30 – July 2, 2024 | 1386 (RV) | 40% | 42% | – | 1% | 5% | – | 1% | 3% | 8% | Trump +2% | |||
GBAO/WSJ/Fabrizio Lee | June 29 – July 2, 2024 | 1500 (RV) | 36% | 42% | – | 2% | 7% | – | 2% | 1% (Chase Oliver) | 11% | Trump +6% | |||
CBS News/YouGov | June 28 – July 2, 2024 | 2815 (LV) | 40% | 44% | – | 2% | 11% | – | 3% | 0% | 0% | Trump +4% | |||
NY Times/Siena | June 28 – July 2, 2024 | 1532 (LV) | 37% | 42% | – | <0.5% | 8% | – | 2% | 3% | 6% | Trump +5% | |||
Florida Atlantic/Mainstreet Research | June 29–30, 2024 | 869 (LV) | 39% | 42% | – | – | 10% | – | – | 4% | 5% | Trump +3% | |||
HarrisX/Forbes | June 28–30, 2024 | 1192 (LV) | 38% | 43% | – | – | 14% | – | – | – | 4% | Trump +5% | |||
CNN/SSRS | June 28–30, 2024 | 1045 (RV) | 35% | 41% | – | 2% | 14% | – | 3% | 4% | – | Trump +6% | |||
Suffolk University/USA Today | June 28–30, 2024 | 1000 (RV) | 38% | 41% | – | 1% | 8% | – | 1% | 2% | 8% | Trump +3% | |||
Harvard/Harris | June 28–30, 2024 | 2090 (RV) | 35% | 43% | – | 2% | 10% | – | 1% | – | 9% | Trump +8% | |||
Big Village | June 28–30, 2024 | 723 (LV) | 41.2% | 41.6% | – | 0.9% | 8.7% | – | – | 1.2% (I would not vote) | 6.5% | Trump +0.4% | |||
Patriot Polling | June 27–29, 2024 | 1029 (RV) | 40.5% | 44.3% | – | – | 11.2% | – | – | – | 4.0% | Trump +3.8% | |||
On Point Politics/SoCal Research | June 27, 2024 | 600 (RV) | 35% | 41% | – | 2% | 8% | – | 2% | 1% (Chase Oliver) | 10% | Trump +6% | |||
First presidential debate between Trump and Biden is held | |||||||||||||||
Atlas/CNN Brazil | June 26–28, 2024 | 1634 (RV) | 40.3% | 45.5% | – | 0.7% | 10.3% | – | 0.5% | 0.8% (Won't vote) | 2.0% | Trump +5.2% | |||
I&I/Tipp | June 26–28, 2024 | 1244 (RV) | 40% | 39% | – | 2% | 10% | – | 1% | 2% | 5% | Biden +1% | |||
Lord Ashcroft | May 31 – June 27 | 4067 (RV) | 42% | 41% | – | 1% | 10% | – | 1% | 4% | – | Biden +1% | |||
The Economist/YouGov | June 23–25, 2024 | 1403 (RV) | 42% | 42% | – | 0% | 4% | – | 1% | 2% | 8% | Even | |||
NY Times/Siena | June 20–25, 2024 | 1226 (LV) | 37% | 40% | – | <0.5% | 7% | – | 2% | 3% | 9% | Trump +3% | |||
Leger/New York Post | June 22–24, 2024 | 873 (LV) | 38% | 38% | – | 2% | 7% | – | 2% | – | 13% | Even | |||
Quinnipiac | June 20–24, 2024 | 1405 (RV) | 37% | 43% | – | 2% | 11% | – | 2% | 3% | 2% | Trump +6% | |||
America's New Majority/McLaughlin | June 20–24, 2024 | 2000 (RV) | 38.8% | 40.3% | – | 1.6% | 8.3% | – | 1.0% | 0.5% (Chase Oliver) | 9.5% | Trump +1.5% | |||
McLaughlin & Associates | June 18–24, 2024 | 1000 (LV) | 37% | 39% | – | 2% | 10% | – | 2% | 1.0% (Chase Oliver) | 9% | Trump +2% | |||
George Washington University | June 11–24, 2024 | 2750 (RV) | 44.3% | 41.9% | – | 0.8% | 4.6% | – | 1.0% | 2.4% | 4.9% | ||||
ActiVote | June 5–21, 2024 | 2192 (LV) | 42.1% | 43.7% | – | – | 14.2% | – | – | – | – | Trump +1.6% | |||
The Economist/YouGov | June 16–18, 2024 | 1392 (RV) | 42% | 42% | – | 1% | 4% | – | 1% | 3% | 8% | Even | |||
Redfield & Wilton | June 16–17, 2024 | 1500 (RV) | 41% | 41% | – | – | 7% | – | – | 2% | 8% | Even | |||
Fox News | June 14–17, 2024 | 1095 (RV) | 43% | 42% | – | 2% | 10% | – | 2% | – | 1% | Biden +1% | |||
Ipsos/Reuters | June 12, 2024 | 930 (RV) | 37% | 38% | – | – | 10% | – | – | 6% (I wouldn't vote) | 10% | Trump +1% | |||
Redfield & Wilton | June 11–12, 2024 | 1500 (RV) | 41% | 40% | – | – | 7% | – | – | 7% | 3% | Biden +1% | |||
NPR/PBS/Marist | June 10–12, 2024 | 963 (LV) | 43% | 44% | – | 2% | 9% | – | 1% | 0% (Chase Oliver) | 1% | Trump +1% | |||
Echelon Insights | June 10–12, 2024 | 1013 (LV) | 42% | 43% | – | 2% | 7% | – | 2% | – | 3% | Trump +1% | |||
The Economist/YouGov | June 9–11, 2024 | 1398 (RV) | 40% | 42% | – | 1% | 3% | – | 1% | 3% | 9% | Trump +2% | |||
SSRS/Vanderbilt | June 7–10, 2024 | 1031 (A) | 30% | 33% | – | – | 10% | – | – | 16% | 12% | Trump +3% | |||
Big Village | June 7–9, 2024 | 1423 (LV) | 42.5% | 42.2% | – | 1.4% | 7.4% | – | – | 0.8% (I would not vote) | 5.7% | Biden +0.3% | |||
Cygnal | June 4–6, 2024 | 1500 (LV) | 38.4% | 41.2% | – | 2.3% | 8.4% | – | 1.8% | – | 7.9% | Trump +2.8% | |||
Emerson College | June 4–5, 2024 | 1000 (RV) | 38% | 44% | – | 1% | 6% | – | 1% | – | 9% | Trump +6% | |||
The Economist/YouGov | June 2–4, 2024 | 1565 (RV) | 42% | 42% | – | 1% | 3% | – | 1% | 2% | 8% | Even | |||
ActiVote | May 23 – June 4, 2024 | 1775 (LV) | 41.6% | 45.4% | – | – | 13.1% | – | – | – | – | Trump +3.8% | |||
Ipsos/Reuters | May 30–31, 2024 | 2135 (RV) | 39% | 37% | – | – | 10% | – | – | 5% (I wouldn't vote) | 8% | Biden +2% | |||
HarrisX/Forbes | May 30–31, 2024 | 1006 (RV) | 38% | 40% | – | 1% | 11% | – | 1% | – | 8% | Trump +2% | |||
I&I/Tipp | May 29–31, 2024 | 1675 (RV) | 38% | 38% | – | 1% | 10% | – | 2% | 2% | 9% | Even | |||
Lord Ashcroft | May 17–30, 2024 | 8153 (RV) | 44% | 40% | – | 1% | 10% | – | 1% | 3% | – | Biden +1% | |||
The Economist/YouGov | May 25–28, 2024 | 1546 (RV) | 40% | 41% | – | 1% | 4% | – | 1% | 3% | 10% | Trump +1% | |||
McLaughlin & Associates/Lawrence Kadish | May 21–23, 2024 | 1000 (LV) | 38% | 42% | – | 2% | 9% | – | 2% | 1% (Lars Mapstead) | 6% | Trump +4% | |||
NPR/PBS/Marist | May 21–23, 2024 | 907 (LV) | 43% | 46% | – | 2% | 5% | – | 2% | – | 2% | Trump +3% | |||
Emerson College | May 21–23, 2024 | 1100 (RV) | 39% | 44% | – | 1% | 6% | – | 1% | – | 10% | Trump +5% | |||
The Economist/YouGov | May 19–21, 2024 | 1558 (RV) | 40% | 41% | – | 1% | 5% | – | 1% | 4% | 10% | Trump +1% | |||
Independent Center | May 16–21, 2024 | 1000 (RV) | 39% | 42% | – | – | 13% | – | – | – | 6% | Trump +3% | |||
ActiVote | May 6–21, 2024 | 1153 (LV) | 42.1% | 44.9% | – | – | 13% | – | – | – | – | Trump +2.8% | |||
Quinnipiac | May 16–20, 2024 | 1374 (RV) | 41% | 38% | – | 2% | 14% | – | 2% | 2% | 2% | Biden +3% | |||
Harvard/Harris X | May 15–16, 2024 | 1660 (RV) | 39% | 43% | – | – | 12% | – | – | – | 5% | Trump +4% | |||
Cygnal | May 14–16, 2024 | 1500 (LV) | 37.7% | 40.8% | – | 2.3% | 8.8% | – | 2.4% | – | 8.0% | Trump +3.1% | |||
Echelon Insights | May 13–16, 2024 | 1023 (LV) | 38% | 43% | – | 1% | 9% | – | 3% | – | 6% | Trump +5% | |||
McLaughlin & Associates | May 9–15, 2024 | 1000 (LV) | 36% | 38% | – | 3% | 11% | – | 2% | 1% (Lars Mapstead) | 9% | Trump +2% | |||
Marquette Law | May 6–15, 2024 | 624 (LV) | 41% | 44% | – | 2% | 11% | – | 2% | – | – | Trump +3% | |||
America's New Majority/McLaughlin & Associates | May 10–14, 2024 | 2000 (RV) | 37.6% | 39.3% | – | 1.9% | 8.9% | – | 1.4% | 0.6% (Lars Mapstead) | 10.3% | Trump +1.8% | |||
Redfield & Wilton | May 13, 2024 | 1155 (LV) | 43% | 42% | – | – | 5% | – | – | – | 6% | Biden +1% | |||
Ipsos | May 7–13, 2024 | 1730 (RV) | 37% | 35% | – | – | 5% | – | – | 7% | 17% | Biden +2% | |||
RMG Research | May 6–9, 2024 | 2000 (RV) | 42% | 39% | – | – | 11% | – | – | 3% | 6% | Biden +3% | |||
Big Village | May 3–8, 2024 | 2867 (LV) | 41.9% | 40.6% | – | 1.2% | 8.8% | – | – | 0.6% (I would not vote) | 6.9% | Biden +1.3% | |||
I&I/Tipp | May 1–3, 2024 | 1264 (RV) | 39% | 38% | – | 1% | 12% | – | 1% | 2% | 7% | Biden +1% | |||
Redfield & Wilton | May 1, 2024 | 1133 (LV) | 41% | 43% | – | – | 7% | – | – | – | 5% | Trump +2% | |||
Suffolk University/USA Today | April 30 – May 3, 2024 | 1000 (RV) | 36.7% | 37.1% | – | 1.6% | 8.0% | – | 1.2% | 3.3% | 12.1% | Trump +0.4% | |||
Reuters/Ipsos | April 29–30, 2024 | 856 (RV) | 39% | 38% | – | – | 8% | – | – | 6% (I wouldn't vote) | 9% | Biden +1% | |||
ActiVote | April 13–30, 2024 | 1025 (LV) | 41.2% | 44.4% | – | – | 14.4% | – | – | – | – | Trump +3.2% | |||
Florida Atlantic/Mainstreet Research | April 26–28, 2024 | 851 (LV) | 43.7% | 39.5% | – | – | 11.0% | – | – | 2.5% | 3.4% | Biden +4.2% | |||
Harvard/Harris X | April 24–25, 2024 | 1961 (RV) | 37% | 44% | – | 1% | 10% | – | 1% | – | 6% | Trump +7% | |||
NPR/PBS/Marist | April 22–25, 2024 | 1199 (RV) | 42% | 42% | – | 2% | 11% | – | 2% | – | 2% | Even | |||
CNN/SSRS | April 18–23, 2024 | 967 (RV) | 33% | 42% | – | 4% | 16% | – | 3% | 2% | 1% | Trump +9% | |||
Quinnipiac | April 18–22, 2024 | 1429 (RV) | 37% | 37% | – | 3% | 16% | – | 3% | 2% | 2% | Even | |||
Marist College | April 16–18, 2024 | 1047 (RV) | 43% | 38% | – | 2% | 14% | – | 2% | – | 1% | Biden +5% | |||
Emerson College | April 16–17, 2024 | 1308 (RV) | 39.9% | 43.5% | – | 1.0% | 7.6% | – | 0.4% | – | 7.6% | Trump +3.6% | |||
NBC News | April 12–16, 2024 | 1000 (RV) | 39% | 37% | – | 2% | 13% | – | 3% | 1% Would not vote | 3% | Biden +2% | |||
McLaughlin & Associates | April 10–16, 2024 | 1000 (LV) | 36% | 38% | – | 2% | 10% | – | 2% | 2% (Lars Mapstead) | 9% | Trump +2% | |||
Echelon Insights | April 12–14, 2024 | 1020 (LV) | 41% | 40% | – | 2% | 11% | – | 2% | – | 4% | Biden +1% | |||
ActiVote | March 24 – April 10, 2024 | 1083 (LV) | 40.7% | 44.0% | – | – | 15.3% | – | – | – | – | Trump +3.3% | |||
Redfield & Wilton | April 6–7, 2024 | 4000 (RV) | 41% | 41% | – | – | 9% | – | – | – | 6% | Even | |||
I&I/Tipp | April 3–5, 2024 | 1265 (RV) | 38% | 38% | – | 2% | 11% | – | 1% | 2% | 9% | Even | |||
Emerson College | April 2–3, 2024 | 1438 (RV) | 42.0% | 43.2% | – | 0.7% | 7.8% | – | 0.5% | – | 5.8% | Trump +1.2% | |||
Big Village | March 29–31, 2024 | 1425 (LV) | 41.9% | 39.7% | – | 1.8% | 7.8% | – | – | 0.6% (I would not vote) | 8.1% | Biden +2.2% | |||
Trafalgar | March 29–31, 2024 | 1092 (LV) | 39.8% | 43.1% | – | 1.7% | 11.4% | – | 0.8% | – | 3.1% | Trump +3.3% | |||
Data For Progress | March 27–29, 2024 | 1200 (LV) | 41% | 42% | – | 1% | 8% | – | 1% | – | 6% | Trump +1% | |||
NPR/PBS/Marist | March 25–28, 2024 | 1199 (RV) | 43% | 41% | – | 1% | 11% | – | 2% | – | 1% | Biden +2% | |||
Marquette Law | March 18–28, 2024 | 614 (LV) | 41% | 41% | – | 4% | 13% | – | 2% | – | – | Even | |||
HarrisX/Forbes | March 25, 2024 | 1010 (RV) | 37% | 40% | – | 1% | 12% | – | 1% | – | 8% | Trump +3% | |||
Fox News | March 22–25, 2024 | 1094 (RV) | 38% | 43% | – | 2% | 12% | – | 2% | 1% (Wouldn't vote) | 2% | Trump +5% | |||
Quinnipiac | March 21–25, 2024 | 1407 (RV) | 38% | 39% | – | 3% | 13% | – | 4% | 1% (Refused) | 2% | Trump +1% | |||
Daily Mail/J.L. Partners | March 20–24, 2024 | 1000 (LV) | 39% | 43% | – | 2% | 7% | – | 1% | – | 8% | Trump +4% | |||
Echelon Insights | March 18–21, 2024 | 1006 (LV) | 40% | 43% | – | 1% | 10% | – | 2% | – | 4% | Trump +3% | |||
Harvard/Harris X | March 20–21, 2024 | 2111 (RV) | 36% | 41% | – | 1% | 14% | – | 2% | – | 6% | Trump +5% | |||
McLaughlin & Associates | March 9–14, 2024 | 1000 (LV) | 34% | 38% | – | 2% | 12% | 2% | 2% | – | 9% | Trump +4% | |||
Big Village | March 8–13, 2024 | 1518 (LV) | 39.5% | 40.9% | – | 1.8% | 8.5% | – | – | 1.0% (Would not vote) | 8.2% | Trump +1.4% | |||
Reuters/Ipsos | March 7–13, 2024 | 4094 (A) | 31% | 32% | – | – | 16% | – | – | 10% (I wouldn't vote) | 11% | Trump +1% | |||
Suffolk University/USA Today | March 8–11, 2024 | 1000 (RV) | 38% | 40% | – | 2% | 9% | 2% (No Labels candidate) | 2% | 1% (Libertarian candidate) | 5% | Trump +2% | |||
HarrisX | March 8–10, 2024 | 2017 (RV) | 35% | 41% | – | 1% | 12% | – | 1% | – | 10% | Trump +6% | |||
Emerson College | March 5–6, 2024 | 1350 (RV) | 41.5% | 43.2% | – | 1.6% | 6.0% | – | 0.5% | – | 7.2% | Trump +1.7% | |||
Redfield & Wilton | March 2, 2024 | 1500 (LV) | 39% | 43% | – | – | 9% | – | – | – | 7% | Trump +4% | |||
I&I/Tipp | February 28 – March 1, 2024 | 1246 (RV) | 38% | 38% | – | 2% | 9% | – | 1% | 3% | 9% | Even | |||
G Squared Public Strategies/Third Way | February 27 – March 1, 2024 | 2000 (LV) | 36% | 36% | 8% | – | 13% | – | – | – | 7% | Even | |||
Fox News | February 25–28, 2024 | 1262 (RV) | 38% | 41% | – | 3% | 13% | – | 2% | <1% | 2% | Trump +3% | |||
Fox News | February 25–28, 2024 | 1262 (RV) | 35% | – | 28% | 5% | 24% | – | 2% | 3% | 2% | Biden +7% | |||
HarrisX | February 24–28, 2024 | 3021 (RV) | 36% | 40% | – | 2% | 11% | – | 1% | – | 10% | Trump +4% | |||
GBAO/WSJ/Fabrizio Lee | February 21–28, 2024 | 1745 (RV) | 35% | 40% | – | 2% | 9% | – | 1% | 1% (Lars Mapstead) | 12% | Trump +5% | |||
HarrisX | February 20–23, 2024 | 3010 (RV) | 40% | 42% | – | 2% | 12% | – | 1% | – | 11% | Trump +2% | |||
Harvard/HarrisX | February 21–22, 2024 | 2022 (RV) | 33% | 42% | – | 1% | 14% | – | 1% | – | 8% | Trump +9% | |||
Quinnipiac | February 15–19, 2024 | 1421 (RV) | 38% | 37% | – | 3% | 15% | – | 3% | 1% (Wouldn't vote) | 2% | Biden +1% | |||
Quinnipiac | February 15–19, 2024 | 1421 (RV) | 35% | – | 27% | 5% | 24% | – | 3% | 4% | 2% | Biden +8% | |||
Manchin announces he won't run for president | |||||||||||||||
Emerson College | February 13–14, 2024 | 1225 (RV) | 37.9% | 40.2% | – | 1.4% | 6.7% | – | 1.3% | – | 12.5% | Trump +2.3% | |||
Echelon Insights | February 12–14, 2024 | 1015 (LV) | 37% | 42% | – | 2% | 8% | 2% | 2% | – | 6% | Trump +5% | |||
Redfield & Wilton | February 10, 2024 | ??? (LV) | 41% | 42% | – | – | 8% | – | – | 3% | 6% | Trump +1% | |||
Marquette Law | February 5–15, 2024 | 628 (LV) | 40% | 43% | – | 1% | 14% | – | 1% | <1% | – | Trump +3% | |||
Atlas Intel | February 2–7, 2024 | 1637 (RV) | 42.3% | 43.9% | – | 0.1% | 5.2% | – | – | 5.2% | 4.7% | Trump +1.6% | |||
Atlas Intel | February 2–7, 2024 | 1637 (RV) | 41% | – | 23% | 0.5% | 11.4% | – | – | 13.9% | 10.2% | Biden +18% | |||
Atlas Intel | February 2–7, 2024 | 1637 (RV) | 41.6% (Michelle Obama) | 39% | – | 0% | 5.1% | – | – | 4% | 10.3% | Obama +2.6% | |||
Survey USA | January 31 – February 2, 2024 | 1500 (RV) | 40% | 45% | 13% | – | – | – | – | – | 3% | Trump +5% | |||
Survey USA | January 31 – February 2, 2024 | 1500 (RV) | 36% | 43% | 11% | – | 9% | – | – | – | 2% | Trump +7% | |||
Survey USA | January 31 – February 2, 2024 | 1500 (RV) | 36% | 41% | 10% | 1% | 10% | – | – | – | 2% | Trump +5% | |||
I&I/Tipp | January 31 – February 2, 2024 | 1266 (RV) | 34% | 40% | – | 2% | 8% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 10% | Trump +6% | |||
YouGov/UMass | January 25–30, 2024 | 989 (LV) | 39% | 43% | – | – | 9% | – | – | 4% | 4% | Trump +4% | |||
McLaughlin & Associates | January 25–31, 2024 | 1000 (LV) | 34% | 39% | – | 2% | 9% | 2% | 2% | – | 12% | Trump +5% | |||
Emerson College | January 26–29, 2024 | 1260 (RV) | 36.9% | 41.7% | 11.8% | – | – | – | – | – | 9.6% | Trump +4.8% | |||
Emerson College | January 26–29, 2024 | 1260 (RV) | 39.2% | 41.4% | – | 0.8% | 4.9% | – | 0.8% | – | 13% | Trump +2.2% | |||
Quinnipiac | January 25–29, 2024 | 1650 (RV) | 39% | 37% | – | 3% | 14% | 2% | – | 2% | 3% | Biden +2% | |||
Quinnipiac | January 25–29, 2024 | 1650 (RV) | 36% | – | 29% | 3% | 21% | 2% | – | 5% | 3% | Biden +7% | |||
Reuters/Ipsos | January 22–24, 2024 | 1250 (RV) | 30% | 36% | – | – | 8% | – | – | 12% | 13% | Trump +6% | |||
Harvard/HarrisX | January 17–18, 2024 | 2346 (RV) | 31% | 42% | – | 2% | 15% | – | 2% | – | 8% | Trump +11% | |||
Echelon Insights | January 16–18, 2024 | 1029 (LV) | 35% | 41% | – | 2% | 11% | 2% | 3% | – | 6% | Trump +6% | |||
Messenger/Harris X | January 16–17, 2024 | 1045 (RV) | 37% | 40% | – | 2% | 11% | – | 1% | – | 9% | Trump +3% | |||
Cygnal | January 11–12, 2024 | 2000 (LV) | 41.4% | 41.5% | – | – | 10.2% | – | – | – | 6.9% | Trump +.1% | |||
Reuters/Ipsos | January 3–9, 2024 | 4677 (A) | 29% | 30% | – | – | 18% | – | – | 11% (I wouldn't vote) | 13% | Trump +1% | |||
I&I/Tipp | January 3–5, 2024 | 1247 (RV) | 34% | 37% | – | 2% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | Trump +3% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Cornel West | Robert F. Kennedy Jr | Joe Manchin | Jill Stein | Other | Undecided | Margin | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
USA Today/Suffolk University | December 26–29, 2023 | 1000 (LV) | 33.9% | 37.2% | 2.4% | 9.5% | 1.3% | – | 3.9% | 11.1% | Trump +3.3% | |||
Daily Mail/J.L. Partners | December 15–20, 2023 | 984 (LV) | 36% | 40% | 1% | 4% | – | 0% | 8% | 10% | Trump +4% | |||
McLaughlin & Associates | December 13–19, 2023 | 1000 (LV) | 34% | 36% | 2% | 10% | 3% | 2% | – | 13% | Trump +2% | |||
Quinnipiac | December 14–18, 2023 | 1647 (RV) | 36% | 38% | 3% | 16% | – | 3% | 2% | 3% | Trump +2% | |||
Echelon Insights | December 12–16, 2023 | 1012 (LV) | 36% | 41% | 1% | 9% | – | 1% | 4% (Mark Cuban) | 8% | Trump +5% | |||
Harvard/Harris | December 13–14, 2023 | 2034 (RV) | 33% | 41% | 2% | 15% | – | 2% | – | 7% | Trump +8% | |||
Fox News | December 10–13, 2023 | 1007 (RV) | 37% | 41% | 2% | 14% | – | 3% | 2% | 2% | Trump +4% | |||
Redfield & Wilton | December 8, 2023 | 1135 (LV) | 38% | 43% | – | 9% | – | – | 3% | 7% | Trump +5% | |||
Rasmussen | December 6–10, 2023 | 892 (LV) | 32% | 40% | – | 16% | – | – | 6% | 6% | Trump +8% | |||
Reuters/Ipsos | December 5–11, 2023 | 4411 (A) | 31% | 36% | – | 16% | – | – | 7% (I wouldn't vote) | 10% | Trump +5% | |||
Cygnal | December 5–7, 2023 | 2000 (LV) | 41.9% | 42.7% | – | 9.3% | – | – | – | 6.1% | Trump +0.8% | |||
Cygnal | December 5–7, 2023 | 2000 (LV) | 41.3% | 41.0% | – | 8.0% | 3.3% | – | – | 6.4% | Biden +0.3% | |||
Emerson College | December 4–6, 2023 | 1000 (RV) | 36.7% | 43.4% | 0.7% | 6.5% | – | 1.1% | – | 11.5% | Trump +6.7% | |||
CNN/SSRS | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1197 (RV) | 31% | 39% | 6% | 20% | – | – | 2% | 2% | Trump +8.0% | |||
Wall Street Journal | November 29 – December 4, 2023 | 1500 (RV) | 31% | 37% | 3% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% (Lars Mapstead) | 14% | Trump +6.0% | |||
Big Village | November 27 – December 3, 2023 | 2219 (LV) | 36.3% | 41.8% | 2.8% | 11.7% | – | – | 1.4% (I would not vote) | 5.9% | Trump +5.5% | |||
I&I/Tipp | November 29 – December 1, 2023 | 1301 (RV) | 33% | 38% | 2% | 11% | – | 2% | 4% | 10% | Trump +5.0% | |||
Messenger/HarrisX | November 22–28, 2023 | 4003 (RV) | 33% | 41% | 2% | 13% | – | – | – | 11% | Trump +8.0% | |||
Emerson College | November 17–20, 2023 | 1475 (RV) | 36% | 42% | 1% | 7% | – | 1% | – | 13% | Trump +6.0% | |||
McLaughlin & Associates | November 16–20, 2023 | 1000 (LV) | 32% | 36% | 4% | 12% | 3% | 2% | – | 12% | Trump +4.0% | |||
Messenger/HarrisX | November 15–19, 2023 | 3017 (RV) | 33% | 40% | 2% | 14% | – | – | – | 11% | Trump +7.0% | |||
Harvard/HarrisX | November 15–16, 2023 | 2851 (RV) | 33% | 41% | 2% | 16% | – | 2% | – | 6% | Trump +8.0% | |||
Reuters/Ipsos | November 13–14, 2023 | 1006 (A) | 30% | 32% | – | 20% | – | – | 8% (I wouldn't vote) | 10% | Trump +2.0% | |||
Fox News | November 10–13, 2023 | 1001 (RV) | 35% | 40% | – | 13% | 5% | 4% | – | 2% | Trump +5.0% | |||
Fox News | November 10–13, 2023 | 1001 (RV) | 35% | 41% | 3% | 15% | – | 3% | 2% | 2% | Trump +6.0% | |||
Quinnipiac | November 9–13, 2023 | 1574 (RV) | 35% | 38% | 3% | 17% | – | 3% | 1% (Wouldn't vote) | 2% | Trump +3.0% | |||
Stein declares her Green Party candidacy | ||||||||||||||
Rasmussen | November 8–12, 2023 | 987 (LV) | 39% | 38% | – | 12% | – | – | – | 11% | Biden +1.0% | |||
Democracy Corps | November 5–11, 2023 | 500 (RV) | 37% | 45% | 0% | 9% | 3% (Manchin-Hogan) | – | 5% | – | Trump +8.0% | |||
Big Village | October 30 – November 5, 2023 | 1497 (LV) | 37.1% | 40.1% | 1.7% | 12.4% | – | – | 1.4% | 7.3% | Trump +3% | |||
New York Times/Siena | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 3662 (LV) | 34% | 36% | – | 22% | – | – | 1% | 5% | Trump +2% | |||
I&I/TIPP | November 1–3, 2023 | 1242 (RV) | 39% | 37% | 2% | 9% | – | – | 4% | 8% | Biden +2% | |||
CNN/SSRS | October 27 – November 2, 2023 | 1271 (RV) | 35% | 41% | 4% | 16% | – | – | 2% | 1% | Trump +6% | |||
Cygnal | October 30 – November 1, 2023 | 2000 (LV) | 40.4% | 39.4% | – | 11.9% | – | – | – | 8.2% | Biden +1% | |||
HarrisX/The Messenger | October 30 – November 1, 2023 | 2021 (RV) | 36% | 41% | 2% | 11% | – | – | – | 10% | Trump +5% | |||
American Pulse | October 27–30, 2023 | 568 (LV) | 38.9% | 39.3% | – | 11.3% | – | – | 2.6% | 7.9% | Trump +.4% | |||
Quinnipiac | October 26–30, 2023 | 1610 (RV) | 36% | 35% | 6% | 19% | – | – | 2% | 2% | Biden +1% | |||
Redfield & Wilton | October 29, 2023 | 1183 (LV) | 38% | 40% | – | 10% | – | – | 3% | 10% | Trump +2% | |||
Echelon Insights | October 23–26, 2023 | 1029 (LV) | 35% | 38% | 1% | 12% | – | – | 8% (No Labels party candidate) | 7% | Trump +3% | |||
McLaughlin & Associates | October 22–26, 2023 | 1000 (LV) | 35% | 38% | 2% | 12% | – | – | – | 13% | Trump +3% | |||
Abacus Data | October 24–25, 2023 | 1500 (RV) | 39% | 39% | – | 8% | – | – | 5% | 10% | Even | |||
SP&R | October 17–23, 2023 | 1000 (A) | 47% | 40% | – | 6% | – | – | 3% | 4% | Biden +7% | |||
HarrisX/The Messenger | October 16–23, 2023 | 3029 (RV) | 35% | 38% | 2% | 12% | – | – | – | 12% | Trump +3% | |||
USA Today/Suffolk | October 17–20, 2023 | 1000 (RV) | 37% | 36% | 4% | 13% | – | – | – | 8% | Biden +1% | |||
Harvard/HarrisX | October 18–19, 2023 | 2116 (RV) | 31% | 39% | 3% | 18% | – | – | – | 9% | Trump +8% | |||
LPTAD | October 16–19, 2023 | 1000 (LV) | 35% | 35% | 3% | 13% | – | – | – | 12% | Even | |||
YouGov/Yahoo | October 12–16, 2023 | 1122 (RV) | 40% | 39% | – | 9% | – | – | 2% | 9% | Biden +1% | |||
Zogby Analytics | October 13–15, 2023 | 869 (LV) | 41.2% | 42.6% | 3.7% | 12.5% | – | – | – | – | Trump +1.4% | |||
MNA | October 11–17, 2023 | 3318 (LV) | 36.9% | 37.9% | – | 14.2% | – | – | 8.6% | 2.4% | Trump +1% | |||
NPR/PBS/Marist | October 10–11, 2023 | 1218 (RV) | 44% | 37% | – | 16% | – | – | – | 3% | Biden +7% | |||
Kennedy declares his Independent candidacy | ||||||||||||||
Fox News | October 6–9, 2023 | 1007 (RV) | 41% | 41% | – | 16% | – | – | 2% | 1% | Even | |||
Fox News | October 6–9, 2023 | 1007 (RV) | 43% | 45% | 9% | – | – | – | 2% | 2% | Trump +2% | |||
Cygnal | October 3–5, 2023 | 3000 (LV) | 38.8% | 39.6% | – | 12.3% | – | – | – | 9.3% | Trump +0.8% | |||
Reuters/Ipsos | October 3–4, 2023 | 1005 (A) | 31% | 33% | – | 14% | – | – | 9% | 13% | Trump +2% | |||
Echelon Insights | September 25–28, 2023 | 1011 (LV) | 36% | 40% | – | 14% | – | – | – | 10% | Trump +4% | |||
John Zogby Strategies | September 23–24, 2023 | 1008 (LV) | 38% | 38% | – | 19% | – | – | 5% | – | Even | |||
Mclaughlin & Associates | September 22–26, 2023 | 1000 (LV) | 36% | 40% | 4% | – | 6% | – | – | 14% | Trump +4% | |||
Mclaughlin & Associates | September 22–26, 2023 | 1000 (LV) | 38% | 43% | 6% | – | – | – | – | 13% | Trump +5% | |||
Gravis | September 19–20, 2023 | 1262 (LV) | 40% | 41% | 2% | – | – | – | 4% (Lars Mapstead) | 13% (Other or undecided) | Trump +1% | |||
Emerson College | September 17–18, 2023 | 1125 (RV) | 42% | 43% | 4% | – | – | – | – | 11% | Trump +1% | |||
YouGov | September 7–18, 2023 | 3098 (RV) | 45% | 43% | – | – | 2% | – | 5% | 5% | Biden +2% | |||
PRRI | August 25–30, 2023 | 2525 (RV) | 41% | 37% | 5% | – | 10% | – | – | 6% | Biden +4% | |||
PRRI | August 25–30, 2023 | 2525 (RV) | 38% | 43% | 4% | – | – | – | 10% (Larry Hogan) | 7% | Trump +5% | |||
Wall Street Journal | August 24–30, 2023 | 1500 (RV) | 39% | 40% | 2% | – | – | – | 1% (Lars Mapstead) | 17% | Trump +1% | |||
Emerson College | August 25–26, 2023 | 1000 (RV) | 39% | 44% | 4% | – | – | – | – | 13% | Trump +5% | |||
Mclaughlin & Associates | August 15–23, 2023 | 1000 (LV) | 41% | 42% | 6% | – | – | – | – | 11% | Trump +1% | |||
Mclaughlin & Associates | August 15–23, 2023 | 1000 (LV) | 38% | 39% | 5% | – | 7% | – | – | 12% | Trump +1% | |||
Emerson College | August 16–17, 2023 | 1000 (RV) | 41% | 42% | 5% | – | – | – | – | 13% | Trump +1% | |||
McLaughlin & Associates | July 19–24, 2023 | 1000 (LV) | 38% | 40% | 6% | – | 5% | – | – | 12% | Trump +2% | |||
McLaughlin & Associates | July 19–24, 2023 | 1000 (LV) | 40% | 42% | 5% | – | – | – | – | 13% | Trump +2% | |||
Reuters/Ipsos | July 11–17, 2023 | 4414 (A) | 31% | 31% | – | 18% | – | – | 9% | 10% | Even | |||
Echelon Insights | June 26–29, 2023 | 1020 (LV) | 42% | 43% | 4% | – | – | – | – | 11% | Trump +1% | |||
Emerson College | June 19–20, 2023 | 1015 (RV) | 40% | 41% | 6% | – | – | – | 7% | 6% | Trump +1% | |||
West declares his candidacy | ||||||||||||||
Data For Progress | May 25 – June 5, 2023 | 1625 (LV) | 44% | 44% | – | – | – | – | 6% (Larry Hogan) | 7% | Even | |||
Echelon Insights | May 22–25, 2023 | 1035 (LV) | 41% | 42% | – | – | 9% | – | – | 8% | Trump +1% | |||
RMG Research | May 22–24, 2023 | 1000 (RV) | 35% | 37% | – | – | 12% | – | 4% | 12% | Trump +2% |