2014 Texas gubernatorial election explained
Election Name: | 2014 Texas gubernatorial election |
Country: | Texas |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2010 Texas gubernatorial election |
Previous Year: | 2010 |
Next Election: | 2018 Texas gubernatorial election |
Next Year: | 2018 |
Election Date: | November 4, 2014 |
Turnout: | 33.7% (of registered voters) 25.0% (of voting age population)[1] |
Image1: | File:Greg Abbott crop.jpg |
Nominee1: | Greg Abbott |
Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
Popular Vote1: | 2,796,547 |
Percentage1: | 59.27% |
Nominee2: | Wendy Davis |
Party2: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Popular Vote2: | 1,835,596 |
Percentage2: | 38.90% |
Governor |
Before Election: | Rick Perry |
Before Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
After Election: | Greg Abbott |
After Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
The 2014 Texas gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Texas. Incumbent Republican governor Rick Perry, who had served since the resignation of then-Governor George W. Bush on December 21, 2000, declined to run for an unprecedented fourth full term, making this the first open election for governor of the state since 1990.
The election took place between nominees who were selected on March 4, 2014: Republican State Attorney General Greg Abbott and Democratic State Senator Wendy Davis. Also on the ballot were Libertarian Party candidate Kathie Glass[2] and Green Party candidate Brandon Parmer.[3] Abbott was projected to carry the election, and ultimately won handily with a 20.4 percentage point advantage.[4] As of 2022, this is the most recent gubernatorial election in which Bexar, Harris and Hays counties voted Republican and in which Frio, Jim Wells, and Val Verde counties voted Democratic. Exit polls showed Abbott winning Whites (72% to 25%), while Davis received majorities among African Americans (92% to 7%) and Hispanics (55% to 44%). Abbott won roughly half of Hispanic men, 54% of all women, and 62% of married women.[5]
Abbott took office on January 20, 2015, as the 48th governor of Texas.
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
Withdrew
Declined
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Greg Abbott | Lisa Fritsch | Larry Kilgore | Miriam Martinez | Tom Pauken | Other | Undecided |
---|
UoT/Texas Tribune[15] | February 7–17, 2014 | 461 | ± 4.56% | align=center | 90% | 4% | 1% | 5% | — | — | — |
UoT/Texas Tribune[16] | October 18–27, 2013 | 519 | ± 5.02% | align=center | 50% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | — | 42% |
Texas Lyceum[17] | September 6–20, 2013 | 279 | ± 5.87% | align=center | 22% | — | align=center | 2% | 1% | 0% | — | align=center | 74% | |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | class=small | Sample size | Margin of error | Rick Perry | Greg Abbott | Someone else | Undecided |
---|
Public Policy Polling[18] | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 318 | ± ?% | align=center | 46% | 34% | — | 20% |
align=center | 44% | — | 39% | 17% |
UoT/Texas Tribune[19] | May 31–June 9, 2013 | 492 | ± 5.27% | align=center | 45% | 19% | 11% | 25% |
UoT/Texas Tribune[20] | February 15–24, 2013 | 549 | ± 4.18% | align=center | 49% | 17% | — | 31% |
Public Policy Polling[21] | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | align=center | 47% | — | 41% | 13% |
align=center | 41% | 38% | — | 20% |
Burnt Orange Report[22] | May 15–16, 2012 | 462 | ± 4.6% | align=center | 42% | 35% | 7% | 16% | |
Results
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Declined
Results
Libertarian nomination
Candidates
Declared
- Robert Bell, pharmaceutical executive and chemist[33]
- Robert Garrett, veteran, helicopter mechanic and prison officer[34]
- Kathie Glass, attorney[35]
- Robert "Star" Locke, rancher, building contractor, veteran and perennial candidate[36]
Withdrew
Results
Kathie Glass was nominated at the 2014 party convention.
Green nomination
Candidates
Declared
Independents
Candidates
Declared
Declined
General election
Debates
The first of two confirmed gubernatorial debates between Wendy Davis and Greg Abbott took place at the Edinburg Conference Center at Renaissance at 18:00 on Friday, September 19, co-hosted by KGBT-TV, The Monitor and KTLM-TV.[44] KGBT-TV posted the complete video online and can be viewed here.[45] The debate took place in Edinburg, Texas, and it gave both candidates an opportunity to appeal to the Hispanic community, a grouping seen by Reuters as an "increasingly important voting bloc in Texas."[46] The second debate took place on September 30 and was also posted online.
Predictions
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered | class=small | Sample size | Margin of error | Greg Abbott (R) | Wendy Davis (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[51] | October 16–23, 2014 | 3,987 | ± 3% | align=center | 57% | 37% | 0% | 6% |
UoT/Texas Tribune[52] | October 10–19, 2014 | 866 | ± 3.6% | align=center | 54% | 38% | 8%[53] | — |
Survey Research Center[54] | September 22–October 16, 2014 | 781 | ± 3.5% | align=center | 47% | 32% | 2%[55] | 17% |
Crosswind Communications[56] | October 9–12, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.33% | align=center | 52% | 31% | 0% | 16% |
Rasmussen Reports[57] | October 1–2, 2014 | 840 | ± 3.5% | align=center | 51% | 40% | 3% | 7% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[58] | September 20–October 1, 2014 | 4,177 | ± 2% | align=center | 54% | 40% | 0% | 5% |
| September 11–25, 2014 | 666 | ± 3.8% | align=center | 49% | 40% | 4%[59] | 8% |
Benenson
| September 2–4, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | align=center | 46% | 38% | — | 16% |
WPA Opinion Research^[61] | September 3, 2014 | ? | ± ? | align=center | 53% | 35% | — | 12% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[62] | August 18–September 2, 2014 | 4,189 | ± 2% | align=center | 56% | 38% | 2% | 5% |
Rasmussen Reports[63] | August 4–5, 2014 | 850 | ± 3.5% | align=center | 48% | 40% | 3% | 9% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[64] | July 5–24, 2014 | 4,320 | ± 3.7% | align=center | 54% | 37% | 1% | 9% |
UoT/Texas Tribune[65] | May 30–June 8, 2014 | 1,200 | ± 2.83% | align=center | 44% | 32% | 7%[66] | 17% |
Texas Tech University[67] | April 14–17, 2014 | 454 | ± 4.6% | align=center | 54% | 25% | 6% | 15% |
Public Policy Polling[68] | April 10–13, 2014 | 559 | ± 4.1% | align=center | 51% | 37% | — | 13% |
Emerson College[69] | March 7–12, 2014 | 494 | ± ? | align=center | 49% | 42% | — | 9% |
Rasmussen Reports[70] | March 3–4, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.5% | align=center | 53% | 41% | 1% | 4% |
UoT/Texas Tribune | February 7–17, 2014 | 1,200 | ± 2.83% | align=center | 47% | 36% | — | 17% |
Public Policy Polling[71] | align=center rowspan=2 | November 1–4, 2013 | align=center rowspan=2 | 500 | align=center rowspan=2 | ± 4.4% | align=center | 50% | 35% | — | 15% |
align=center | 47% | 37% | 9% | 8% |
UoT/Texas Tribune | align=center rowspan=2 | October 18–27, 2013 | align=center rowspan=2 | 1,200 | align=center rowspan=2 | ± 3.3% | align=center | 40% | 34% | — | 25% |
align=center | 40% | 35% | 5%[72] | 20% |
Texas Lyceum | September 6–20, 2013 | 798 | ± 3.47% | 29% | 21% | — | align=center | 50% |
Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | align=center | 48% | 40% | — | 12% |
Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | align=center | 46% | 34% | — | 20% | |
With Castro
Poll source | Date(s) administered | class=small | Sample size | Margin of error | Greg Abbott (R) | Julian Castro (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|
Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | align=center | 48% | 34% | — | 18% |
Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | align=center | 46% | 36% | — | 18% | |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | class=small | Sample size | Margin of error | Rick Perry (R) | Julian Castro (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|
Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | align=center | 50% | 43% | — | 8% |
Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | align=center | 47% | 42% | — | 11% | |
With Davis
Poll source | Date(s) administered | class=small | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Pauken (R) | Wendy Davis (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|
UoT/Texas Tribune | align=center rowspan=2 | October 18–27, 2013 | align=center rowspan=2 | 1,200 | align=center rowspan=2 | ± 3.3% | 34% | align=center | 38% | — | 28% |
33% | align=center | 36% | 6% | 25% | |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | class=small | Sample size | Margin of error | Rick Perry (R) | Wendy Davis (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|
Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | align=center | 53% | 39% | — | 8% |
Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | align=center | 47% | 41% | — | 13% | |
With Parker
Poll source | Date(s) administered | class=small | Sample size | Margin of error | Greg Abbott (R) | Annise Parker (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|
Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | align=center | 50% | 31% | — | 20% |
Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | align=center | 47% | 35% | — | 18% | |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | class=small | Sample size | Margin of error | Rick Perry (R) | Annise Parker (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|
Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | align=center | 52% | 35% | — | 13% |
Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | align=center | 47% | 40% | — | 13% | |
With White
Poll source | Date(s) administered | class=small | Sample size | Margin of error | Greg Abbott (R) | Bill White (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|
Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | align=center | 48% | 36% | — | 16% |
Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | align=center | 46% | 39% | — | 15% | |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | class=small | Sample size | Margin of error | Rick Perry (R) | Bill White (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|
Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | align=center | 50% | 40% | — | 10% |
Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 44% | align=center | 47% | — | 9% | |
- * Poll for the Wendy Davis campaign
- ^ Poll for the Greg Abbott campaign
Results
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
See also
External links
Notes and References
- Web site: Turnout and Voter Registration Figures (1970-current). www.sos.state.tx.us. April 3, 2019.
- Web site: 2014 Statewide Offices List . Libertarian Party of Texas . July 15, 2014 . https://web.archive.org/web/20140726081410/https://www.lptexas.org/texas-statewide-offices/84-candidates/1118-2014-statewide-offices-list . July 26, 2014 . dead .
- Web site: Green Party of Texas - Peace * Justice * Democracy * Ecology. October 11, 2014.
- Web site: Up and down the ballot, a night of dominance for GOP in Texas and in Harris County. Houston Chronicle. November 5, 2014 . November 15, 2014.
- Web site: 2014 Exit Polls - Politics - Fox News. Fox News. November 15, 2014.
- Web site: Greg Abbott makes it official: He's running for governor of Texas. July 14, 2013. Hoppe. Christy. July 15, 2013. March 3, 2016. https://web.archive.org/web/20160303181519/http://trailblazersblog.dallasnews.com/2013/07/greg-abbott-makes-it-official-hes-running-for-governor.html/. dead.
- Web site: Another Republican jumps into the race for Texas governor. San Antonio Express-News. October 8, 2013. Rauf. David. October 9, 2013. October 12, 2013. https://web.archive.org/web/20131012070636/http://blog.mysanantonio.com/texas-politics/2013/10/another-republican-jumps-into-the-race-for-texas-governor/. dead.
- News: With Stickers, a Petition and Even a Middle Name, Secession Fever Hits Texas. November 23, 2012. February 20, 2013. The New York Times. Manny. Fernandez.
- Web site: Miriam Martinez says she'll run for governor. The Monitor . January 22, 2013.
- Web site: Tom Pauken withdraws from GOP governor's race. The Dallas Morning News. 5 December 2013. 9 December 2013. December 8, 2013. https://web.archive.org/web/20131208233755/http://trailblazersblog.dallasnews.com/2013/12/tom-pauken-withdraws-from-gop-governors-race.html/. dead.
- Web site: Stutz . Terrence . David Dewhurst '101 percent' sure he'll seek re-election as Texas lieutenant governor | Dallasnews.com - News for Dallas, Texas - The Dallas Morning News . Dallasnews.com . July 8, 2013 . April 3, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150403173952/http://www.dallasnews.com/news/politics/state-politics/20130104-david-dewhurst-101-percent-sure-hell-seek-re-election-as-texas-lieutenant-governor.ece . dead .
- News: Dewhurst affirms re-election campaign. https://web.archive.org/web/20130911140411/http://abclocal.go.com/ktrk/story?section=news%2Fstate&id=9199062. dead. September 11, 2013. Associated Press. KTRK-TV Houston. August 7, 2013. August 9, 2013. mdy-all.
- Web site: Debra Medina - Looking forward to a weekend of... . Facebook . July 8, 2013.
- Web site: Medina may run for Texas office again in 2014 - PoliTex . Blogs.star-telegram.com . February 20, 2012 . June 24, 2013 . https://web.archive.org/web/20130511001923/http://blogs.star-telegram.com/politex/2012/02/medina-may-again-run-for-texas-office-in-2014.html . May 11, 2013 . dead .
- http://s3.amazonaws.com/static.texastribune.org/media/documents/utttpoll-201402-1summary.pdf UoT/Texas Tribune
- http://www.texastribune.org/2013/11/04/uttt-poll-governor-race-abbott-leads-davis-6/ UoT/Texas Tribune
- https://web.archive.org/web/20131004234341/http://www.texaslyceum.org/media/staticContent/PubCon_Journals/2013/2013_Poll_Results.pdf Texas Lyceum
- http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_TX_070213.pdf Public Policy Polling
- http://www.texastribune.org/2013/06/17/uttt-poll-texans-favor-cruz-over-perry-president/ UoT/Texas Tribune
- http://s3.amazonaws.com/static.texastribune.org/media/documents/ut-tt-feb2013-summary1.pdf UoT/Texas Tribune
- http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_TX_129.pdf Public Policy Polling
- http://www.burntorangereport.com/diary/12308/bor-poll-republicans-satisfied-with-romney-split-on-senate-and-railroad-race Burnt Orange Report
- Web site: Wendy Davis tells Democrats she's in . Politico . September 26, 2013 . September 26, 2013.
- Web site: Wendy Davis, of filibuster fame, to run for Texas governor . Reuters . September 26, 2013 . September 27, 2013.
- Web site: 2014 campaign now off and running in Texas . Star-Telegram . November 9, 2013 . November 15, 2013 . https://web.archive.org/web/20131110114912/http://www.star-telegram.com/2013/11/09/5321330/2014-campaign-now-off-and-running.html . November 10, 2013 . dead .
- Web site: Cooper. Gary. Mayor Julian Castro says he's not running for governor in 2014. KENS 5. January 17, 2013. January 18, 2013. January 21, 2013. https://web.archive.org/web/20130121021332/http://www.kens5.com/news/Julian-Castro-Im-not-running-for-governor-of-Texas-in-2014-187383471.html. dead.
- Web site: First Reading . www.statesman.com . April 24, 2013.
- Web site: Kennedy . Bud . To Kinky Friedman, a Wendy-for-governor campaign is no joke | Bud Kennedy | Fort Worth, Arlin . Star-telegram.com . June 29, 2013 . October 5, 2013 . https://web.archive.org/web/20131006065434/http://www.star-telegram.com/2013/06/29/4972503/to-kinky-friedman-a-wendy-for.html . October 6, 2013 . dead .
- Web site: Twitter / anniseparker: LOL. I appreciate the . Twitter.com . July 18, 2013.
- Web site: Mike Villarreal - My mother was the first to call me about... . Facebook . June 20, 2013.
- Web site: 2014 Texas Governor's Race: Democratic Primary Preview. Burnt Orange Report . February 18, 2013. June 26, 2013.
- Web site: Bill White says Texas lagging in skilled jobs - Houston Chronicle . Chron.com . February 28, 2013 . June 20, 2013.
- Web site: Interview with Texas Libertarian Party Gubernatorial Hopeful Robert Bell . Independent Political Report . January 27, 2014 . February 14, 2014.
- Web site: Retired Army sergeant running for governor . Killeen Daily Herald . January 5, 2014 . February 14, 2014.
- Web site: Libertarian Kathie Glass Announces Bid for Governor . The Texas Tribune . June 26, 2013 . October 5, 2013.
- Web site: 2014 Texas Statewide Candidates . Burnt Orange Report . October 5, 2013.
- Web site: Chapman for Governor . The Dalhart Texan . July 15, 2013 . July 15, 2013 . https://web.archive.org/web/20131016012628/http://thedalharttexan.com/index.php?mact=News,cntnt01,detail,0&cntnt01articleid=2592&cntnt01origid=15&cntnt01returnid=27 . October 16, 2013 . dead .
- http://verygoodcitizenshiptoday.blogspot.com.au/2014/01/chapman-withdraws-from-texas.html "Chapman Withdraws from Texas Gubernatorial Race"
- Web site: Lee Wrights Considering Run for Texas Governor | Independent Political Report: Third Party News . Independent Political Report . July 5, 2013 . July 9, 2013.
- Web site: Ziggler . Jed . Lee Wrights Drops Out of Texas Gubernatorial Race . January 20, 2014 . Independent Political Report . 2014-03-05.
- Web site: Texas Greens Occupy Ballot In 2014 . Green Party . December 10, 2013 . January 29, 2014 . https://web.archive.org/web/20140201221613/http://www.gp.org/index.php/newsroom/press-releases/details/4/662.html . February 1, 2014 . dead . mdy-all .
- News: If Three's a Crowd.... October 31, 2014. November 3, 2014. Texas Monthly. Jeff Winkler.
- News: Medina not about to run for governor. October 28, 2013. November 5, 2013. Express News. Peggy Fikac.
- http://www.valleycentral.com/debate/ Abbott, Davis to debate in the Rio Grande Valley
- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FThK3OglizQ Texas Governor Debate
- News: Richter. Marie. Texas gubernatorial candidates court Hispanic vote in debate. September 20, 2014 . Reuters. 21 September 2014.
- Web site: 2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014 . The Cook Political Report . September 3, 2018.
- Web site: The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks . Sabato's Crystal Ball . November 3, 2014 . September 3, 2018.
- Web site: 2014 Gubernatorial Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . September 3, 2018.
- Web site: 2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races . Real Clear Politics . September 3, 2018.
- http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/09/governor-races-headline-results/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
- http://s3.amazonaws.com/static.texastribune.org/media/documents/uttt-oct14-summary-2.pdf UoT/Texas Tribune
- Kathie Glass (L) 6%, Brandon Parmer (G) 2%
- https://web.archive.org/web/20141023010225/http://www.khou.com/story/news/politics/2014/10/19/abbott-patrick-command-big-leads-in-khou--houston-public-media-poll/17586309/ Survey Research Center
- Kathie Glass (L) 1%, Brandon Parmer (G) 1%
- http://www.crosswindcommunications.com/#!Crosswind-Poll-Shows-Abbott-with-Significant-Lead/c7a5/33C91DE4-CACE-4B1D-9B9C-4A73C3FD9218 Crosswind Communications
- http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/texas/election_2014_texas_governor Rasmussen Reports
- http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/09/governor-races-headline-results CBS News/NYT/YouGov
- Kathie Glass (L) 2%, Brandon Parmer (G) 2%
- http://blog.chron.com/texaspolitics/2014/09/internal-survey-davis-trails-abbott-by-single-digits/ Benenson*
- http://blog.chron.com/texaspolitics/2014/09/internal-poll-abbott-leads-davis-by-18/ WPA Opinion Research^
- https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/battleground-tracker-2014-texas/#TXgovernor CBS News/NYT/YouGov
- http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/election_2014_archive/texas/texas_governor_abbott_r_48_davis_d_40 Rasmussen Reports
- http://www.cbsnews.com/news/2014-midterms-republicans-narrowly-favored-to-capture-senate-in-november/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
- http://s3.amazonaws.com/static.texastribune.org/media/documents/uttt-jun2014-summary-1.pdf UoT/Texas Tribune
- Kathie Glass (L) 3%, Brandon Parmer (G) 1%, Other 3%
- http://www.newswise.com/articles/texas-tech-survey-abbott-to-win-texas-governor-voter-id-law-didn-t-cause-problems-and-texans-split-on-gay-marriage Texas Tech University
- http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_TX_415.pdf Public Policy Polling
- http://texasresearchinstitute.org/poll/davis-closes-gap-single-digits-first-post-primary-poll Emerson College
- http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/election_2014_archive/texas/texas_governor_abbott_r_53_davis_d_41 Rasmussen Reports
- http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2013/PPP_Release_TX_1105.pdf Public Policy Polling
- Kathie Glass (L)