Storm David Explained

David/Friederike
Type:Extratropical cyclone, European windstorm, winter storm, blizzard
Formed:16 January over Newfoundland
Active:17–19 January 2018 (as a storm)
(20–22 January as a weak low)
Dissipated:22 January over Western Russia
Fatalities:13 direct, 2 indirect[1]
Power Outages:471,000+ [2] [3]
Pressure:[4]
Damages:€1.14bn[5] [6] – 2.6bn[7]
Gust:, Capel Curig, Wales[8] (alt)[9]

, Brocken, Saxony-Anhalt (at altitude)
Areas Affected:Ireland, UK, France, Benelux countries, Germany, Switzerland, Austria, Italy, Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Belarus, Ukraine, Russia
Partof:the 2017–18 European windstorm season

Storm David (also called Cyclone Friederike in Germany) was a compact but deadly European windstorm that heavily affected the British Isles, France, Benelux, Central Europe, Northern Italy, Poland and parts of Eastern Europe in early 2018 with widespread hurricane-force gusts and severe snowfall, creating blizzard conditions in some areas. The storm caused extensive damage and traffic disruption. It was given the name David by Météo France while the FUB named it Friederike.

Meteorological history

On 14 January a weak low pressure area in the Southern Caribbean developed a trough to its northeast.[10] During the formation of the trough, weather in the North Atlantic was dominated by the strong Icelandic Low Fionn (called Evi by the Free University of Berlin) that itself brought windy conditions to Greenland, Iceland and Scotland and bottomed out at a very intense central low pressure of .[11] At that time, a very intense jet stream was prevalent in the North Atlantic, driven by the powerful arctic low. Thus, two of the main global weather prediction centres, GFS and ECMWF, predicted Fionn to steer the new cyclone into Europe, leading to an impact on the British Isles and Continental Europe. By that time, the track and intensity of the new storm were not clear. Likewise it was unclear if the new weather feature would affect Europe as a cyclone or if it would remain an open trough until it arrives.

By 16 January the trough now stretched from its Southern Caribbean origin to eastern Newfoundland. During that day, the trough developed a circulation centre near its northern end (Newfoundland), forming closed isobars around it[12] which indicate a closed wind circulation and qualify the system as an extratropical cyclone. Hours after formation, the storm was caught by Fionn's strong jetstream and started moving to the east, posing a threat to Europe. While crossing the Atlantic, David once again lost some structural definition and opened up into a trough under the strong influence of Fionn.[13] The weakened David was racing eastward through the North Atlantic, taking aim at the British Isles. Meanwhile, the ECMWF and GFS lowered their predictions concerning David's intensity as it was unclear if the system would be able to recover from the structural deterioration that was inflicted by Fionn. David would cross the North Atlantic in less than two days.

While David was approaching Ireland in the evening of 17 January, Fionn started to weaken as its centre began to fill. David managed to redevelop a closed circulation while passing over the British Isles and the North Sea in the morning of 18 January, worsening the risks for Central and Eastern Europe.[14] Britain received some hurricane-force gusts up to . Subsequently, the storm had some hours to gain additional energy while moving quickly over the North Sea before making landfall in the Netherlands. The cyclone's minimal pressure bottomed out at while centred over the North Sea, which was substantially lower than predicted by GFS and ECMWF. Vlieland, an island off the northern Dutch coast, where the storm made the first of its two landfalls in the Netherlands, experienced wind gusts up to . Moving on, the winter storm rampaged in Germany, disrupting public transport services as it already did in the Benelux and causing ten deaths on 18 January. While centred over Germany, the storm still was near peak intensity, having a central pressure between, and caused widespread gusts in the range, with gusts up to on mountains. During the evening of 18 January, the eastward moving centre of David crossed the Polish border and weakened to .[15] David weakened to a regular low pressure area as its winds fell below storm force on 19 January. It continued its eastward motion through Belarus[16] and the westernmost part of Russia.[17] The southern flank of the low also affected the weather in Slovakia and Ukraine. On 22 January 2018, being located over western Russia, David merged with another weak low that was located over Scandinavia. Thus, David dissipated as a meteorological entity.[18]

David was a compact and fast-moving cyclone, which is typical for systems that are steered by strong Icelandic lows which develop a strong easterly flow on their southern side. Similar to Fionn, David itself had its main wind field located to the south of its centre; the northern semicircle featured comparatively low winds but was more intense in terms of precipitation. Heavy snowfall occurred on the northern flank of the storm,[19] causing blizzard conditions in some areas.

Impact

Impacts of Cyclone David
data-sort-type="text" style="text-align:left" Country data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:left" Deaths data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:left" Damage (euros as of 2018) data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:left" Power outages Ref
Ireland
United Kingdom
France
Netherlands[20]
Belgium [21] [22]
Luxembourg
Germany[23] [24]
[25]
Austria
Switzerland
Italy[26]
Czech Republic [27]
Poland[28]
Total13 (2) 1.14bn–2.6bn471,000

Beginning on 16 January, prior to David's arrival, the very deep and large arctic low Fionn battered the British isles with high winds. Storm conditions also occurred in other parts of Western and Central Europe in the middle of January 2018 (even affecting Corsica). The intense winds were caused by an extensive "squeeze in isobars" that, probably amongst other meteorological factors, was caused by Fionn's great depth and extension. During that time, David was crossing the Atlantic and fluctuated in intensity, leading some models to a rather optimistic forecast.

Nevertheless, David managed to begin a strengthening trend while crossing the British isles the night between 17 and 18 January. Thus, the fast-moving cyclone delivered winds up to and heavy snowfall in Britain, creating blizzard conditions there.[29] Windthrown trees blocked roads and rail routes. Approximately 140,000 households in Britain were temporarily without power.

The Netherlands were even worse affected by the cyclone.[30] All flights were cancelled at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol. The rail transportation system was also completely defunct due to windthrow. Because of thrown trees and high winds, road traffic was, as well, nearly impossible and life-threatening. Winds up to knocked down trucks and cost three people's lives in the Netherlands. In the neighbouring country of Belgium, similar conditions occurred, leading to the death of one woman. Furthermore, while the cyclone was centred over the Benelux, the northern French region of Hauts-de-France was lashed by winds up to .[31]

Maximum gusts of Cyclone David[32]
CountryLowland
(<200 m)
Upland
(200 – 500 m)
Highland or mountains
(>500 m)
data-sort-type="number"highest gustdata-sort-type="number"alt
[m]
data-sort-type="number"highest gustdata-sort-type="number"alt
[m]
data-sort-type="number"highest gustdata-sort-type="number"alt
[m]
Ireland 00
United Kingdom

Notes and References

  1. News: Wetterdienst: "Das ist ein Extremorkan". 18 January 2018. Miteteldeutscher Rundfunk. 18 January 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20180119031245/https://www.mdr.de/nachrichten/vermischtes/sturmtief-friederike-wuetet-ueber-deutschland-100.html. 19 January 2018. dead.
  2. News: Thousands lose power after gales hit UK. 18 January 2018. BBC News. 18 January 2018.
  3. News: Liveblog: Orkan "Friederike" fordert zwei Todesopfer - Fernverkehr bundesweit eingestellt. 18 January 2018. wz.de. 18 January 2018.
  4. Web site: Wetterdienst. Deutscher. Orkantief FRIEDERIKE wütet am 18. Januar 2018 über Europa. 29 January 2018. de.
  5. News: "Friederike" kostet rund eine Milliarde Euro. 25 January 2018. Tagesschau (ARD). 25 January 2018.
  6. Web site: CURRENT CATASTROPHES. https://web.archive.org/web/20180205184359/https://www.rms.com/current-catastrophes/CatSummary?event_id=4098134 . 2018-02-05. 2023-08-21 .
  7. Web site: Lerner. Matthew. Storm Friederike insured losses mount . 26 January 2018 . Business Insurance . en.
  8. News: BRITAIN IS BATTERED BY 95 MPH WINDS. 19 January 2018. Swazi Observer. 19 January 2018.
  9. Web site: Office. Met. Capel Curig climate. www.metoffice.gov.uk. 28 January 2018. en.
  10. Web site: NOAA Doppler Image of Isobars (14-January-2018). www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov . 18 January 2018.
  11. Web site: 1800 UTC 14 Jan 2018 Analysis chart. Met Office. 20 January 2018.
  12. Web site: NOAA Doppler Image of Isobars (16-January-2018). www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov . 18 January 2018.
  13. Web site: David/Friederike while opening up into a trough. 2023-08-21. GIF. 19 November 2020. https://web.archive.org/web/20201119202318/http://www.met.fu-berlin.de/de/wetter/maps/Analyse_20180117.gif. dead.
  14. Web site: Analyse . . 19 July 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20230719065428/https://www.met.fu-berlin.de/de/wetter/maps/Analyse_20180118.gif . 2023-07-19 . de . GIF . 18 Nov 2018 . live.
  15. Web site: Analyse_20180119.gif . met.fu-berlin.de.
  16. Web site: Analyse_20180120.gif . met.fu-berlin.de.
  17. Web site: Analyse_20180121.gif . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20201119105449/http://www.met.fu-berlin.de/de/wetter/maps/Analyse_20180121.gif . 19 November 2020 . 17 May 2023 . met.fu-berlin.de . German.
  18. Web site: Analyse_20180122.gif . met.fu-berlin.de.
  19. News: Orkan: Tote und Bahn-Chaos . 19 January 2018. ZDF. 18 January 2018.
  20. News: Storm Friederike kills at least seven across western Europe with winds of 200 kph. 19 January 2018. Euronews. 18 January 2018.
  21. News: The Latest: 6 dead as high winds sweep across western Europe. 18 January 2018. Bradenton. 18 January 2018.
  22. Web site: RMS. Friederike/David: The Day Our Luck Ran Out?. 27 February 2018. en.
  23. News: Orkantief "Friederike" - "Die Bäume fallen um wie Streichhölzer". 18 January 2018. SPIEGEL ONLINE. 18 January 2018.
  24. News: Die Bahn fährt wieder - teilweise. 19 January 2018. ZDF. 19 January 2018.
  25. News: Bilanz nach Sturmtief "Friederike" - Sturm und bang. 19 January 2018. SPIEGEL ONLINE. 18 January 2018.
  26. News: Mehrere Tote durch Sturmtief "Friederike" in Europa. 19 January 2018. Salzburger Nachrichten. 18 January 2018.
  27. News: Friederike: Sturmschäden in Tschechien vergleichsweise gering. 23 January 2018. Czech Radio. 19 January 2018.
  28. News: Sturm "Friederike" kostet Versicherer etwa 500 Millionen Euro. 19 January 2018. SPIEGEL ONLINE. 18 January 2018.
  29. News: Met Office criticised for not naming storm which battered Britain as fresh weather warnings are issued . 19 January 2018. The Telegraph. 18 January 2018.
  30. News: Sturm "Friederike" verursacht Verkehrschaos in den Niederlanden. 19 January 2018. Wochenblatt. 18 January 2018. 26 January 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20180126070704/https://www.wochenblatt.de/news-stream/deutschland-welt/artikel/222586/sturm-friederike-verursacht-verkehrschaos-in-den-niederlanden. dead.
  31. News: La tempête David balaie le nord de l'Europe . 19 January 2018. le monde. 18 January 2018.
  32. Web site: Aktuelle Messwerte Deutschland . kachelmannwetter.com . 5 February 2018.