Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries explained

See also: Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries and Nationwide opinion polling for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries.

This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries. For currency and accuracy, please note the specific dates for each polling as listed below.For the significance of the earliest state votes, the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, see United States presidential primary – Iowa and New Hampshire. To know when any given state votes, see the timeline of primaries and caucuses.

Note: A statistical tie occurs when two data points from within a set are within twice the margin of error of each other. When adding polls remember to double the margin of error provided to see the true result.

Statewide polling

Alabama

See main article: Alabama Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 53 Pledged, 7 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: March 1, 2016

Alaska

See main article: Alaska Democratic caucuses, 2016. Delegate count: 16 Pledged, 4 UnpledgedWinner: Bernie Sanders
Caucus date: March 26, 2016

Arizona

See main article: Arizona Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 75 Pledged, 10 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: March 22, 2016

Arkansas

See main article: Arkansas Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 32 Pledged, 5 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: March 1, 2016

California

See main article: California Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 475 Pledged, 71 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: June 7, 2016

Colorado

See main article: Colorado Democratic caucuses, 2016. Delegate count: 66 Pledged, 13 UnpledgedWinner: Bernie Sanders
Caucus date: March 1, 2016

Connecticut

See main article: Connecticut Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 55 Pledged, 15 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: April 26, 2016

Delaware

See main article: Delaware Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 21 Pledged, 10 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: April 26, 2016

Florida

See main article: Florida Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 214 Pledged, 32 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: March 15, 2016

Georgia

See main article: Georgia Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 102 Pledged, 15 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: March 1, 2016

Hawaii

See main article: Hawaii Democratic caucuses, 2016. Delegate count: 53 Pledged, 7 UnpledgedDelegate count: 25 Pledged, 9 UnpledgedWinner: Bernie Sanders
Caucus date: March 26, 2016

Idaho

See main article: Idaho Democratic caucuses, 2016. Delegate count: 23 Pledged, 4 UnpledgedWinner: Bernie Sanders
Caucus date: March 22, 2016

Illinois

See main article: Illinois Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 156 Pledged, 26 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: March 15, 2016

Indiana

See main article: Indiana Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 83 Pledged, 9 UnpledgedWinner: Bernie Sanders
Primary date: May 3, 2016

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	Other
Official Primary Results^[1]	May 3, 2016	Bernie Sanders 52.5%	Hillary Clinton 47.5%
ARG^[2] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 400	April 27–28, 2016		Hillary Clinton 51%		Bernie Sanders 43%	Others / Undecided 6%
NBC/WSJ/Marist^[3] Margin of error: ± 3.9% Sample size: 645	April 26–28, 2016		Hillary Clinton 50%		Bernie Sanders 46%	Others / Undecided 4%
IPFW/Mike Downs Center^[4] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 400	April 13–27, 2016		Hillary Clinton 55%	Bernie Sanders 40%	Others / Undecided 5%
IPFW/Downs Center^[5] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 400	April 18–23, 2016		Hillary Clinton 54%	Bernie Sanders 41%	Others / Undecided 5%
CBS/YouGov^[6] Margin of error: ± 8.2% Sample size: 439	April 20–22, 2016		Hillary Clinton 49%		Bernie Sanders 44%	Others / Undecided 7%
FOX News^[7] Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 603	April 18–21, 2016		Hillary Clinton 46%		Bernie Sanders 42%	Others / Undecided 12%
WTHR News^[8] Margin of error: ± 4.47% Sample size: 500	April 18–21, 2016		Hillary Clinton 48%		Bernie Sanders 45%	Others / Undecided 7%

Iowa

See main article: Iowa Democratic caucuses, 2016. Delegate count: 44 Pledged, 8 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Caucus date: February 1, 2016

Kansas

See main article: Kansas Democratic caucuses, 2016. Delegate count: 33 Pledged, 4 UnpledgedWinner: Bernie Sanders
Caucus date: March 5, 2016

Kentucky

See main article: Kentucky Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 55 Pledged, 5 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: May 17, 2016

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Official Primary results^[9]	May 17, 2016	Hillary Clinton 46.8%	Bernie Sanders 46.3%		Others / Uncommitted 6.9%
Public Policy Polling^[10] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 501	March 1–2, 2016		Hillary Clinton 43%		Bernie Sanders 38%		Others / Undecided 19%
Public Policy Polling^[11] Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 610	June 18–21, 2015		Hillary Clinton 56%	Bernie Sanders 12%	Jim Webb 7%	Lincoln Chafee 5%, Martin O'Malley 3%, Not sure 18%

Louisiana

See main article: Louisiana Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 51 Pledged, 8 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: March 5, 2016

Maine

See main article: Maine Democratic caucuses, 2016. Delegate count: 25 Pledged, 5 UnpledgedWinner: Bernie Sanders
Primary date: March 6, 2016

Maryland

See main article: Maryland Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 95 Pledged, 23 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: April 26, 2016

Massachusetts

See main article: Massachusetts Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 91 Pledged, 25 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: March 1, 2016

Michigan

See main article: Michigan Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 130 Pledged, 17 UnpledgedWinner: Bernie Sanders
Primary date: March 8, 2016

Minnesota

See main article: Minnesota Democratic caucuses, 2016. Delegate count: 77 Pledged, 16 UnpledgedWinner: Bernie Sanders
Caucus date: March 1, 2016

Mississippi

See main article: Mississippi Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 36 Pledged, 5 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: March 8, 2016

Missouri

See main article: Missouri Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 71 Pledged, 13 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: March 15, 2016

Montana

See main article: Montana Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 21 Pledged, 6 UnpledgedWinner: Bernie Sanders
Primary date: June 7, 2016

Nebraska

See main article: Nebraska Democratic caucuses, 2016. Delegate count: 25 Pledged, 5 UnpledgedWinner: Bernie Sanders
Primary date: March 5, 2016

Nevada

See main article: Nevada Democratic caucuses, 2016. Delegate count: 35 Pledged, 8 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Caucus date: February 20, 2016

New Hampshire

See main article: New Hampshire Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 24 Pledged, 8 UnpledgedWinner: Bernie Sanders
Primary date: February 9, 2016

New Jersey

See main article: New Jersey Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 126 Pledged, 16 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: June 7, 2016

New Mexico

See main article: New Mexico Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 34 Pledged, 9 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: June 7, 2016

New York

See main article: New York Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 247 Pledged, 44 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: April 19, 2016

North Carolina

See main article: North Carolina Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 107 Pledged, 14 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: March 15, 2016

North Dakota

See main article: North Dakota Democratic caucuses, 2016. Delegate count: 18 Pledged, 5 UnpledgedWinner: Bernie Sanders
Primary date: June 7, 2016

Ohio

See main article: Ohio Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 143 Pledged, 16 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: March 15, 2016

Oklahoma

See main article: Oklahoma Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 38 Pledged, 4 UnpledgedWinner: Bernie Sanders
Primary date: March 1, 2016

Oregon

See main article: Oregon Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 61 Pledged, 13 UnpledgedWinner: Bernie Sanders
Primary date: May 17, 2016

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	Other
Official Primary Results^[13]	May 17, 2016	Bernie Sanders 56.2%	Hillary Clinton 42.1%	Misc. 1.7%
DHM Research^[14] Margin of error: ± 5.6% Sample size: 901	May 6–9, 2016		Hillary Clinton 48%	Bernie Sanders 33%	Others / Undecided 19%
KATU-TV/SurveyUSA^[15] Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 630	March 28-April 1, 2016		Hillary Clinton 37%		Bernie Sanders 36%	Others / Undecided 27%
DHM Research^[16] Margin of error: ± 7% Sample size: 206	July 22–27, 2015		Hillary Clinton 44%		Bernie Sanders 39%	Others / Undecided 17%

Pennsylvania

See main article: Pennsylvania Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 189 Pledged, 21 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: April 26, 2016

Rhode Island

See main article: Rhode Island Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 24 Pledged, 9 UnpledgedWinner: Bernie Sanders
Primary date: April 26, 2016
Primary Results

South Carolina

See main article: South Carolina Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 53 Pledged, 6 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: 27 February 2016

South Dakota

See main article: South Dakota Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 20 Pledged, 5 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: June 7, 2016

Tennessee

See main article: Tennessee Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 67 Pledged, 9 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: March 1, 2016

Texas

See main article: Texas Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 222 Pledged, 30 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: March 1, 2016

Utah

See main article: Utah Democratic caucuses, 2016. Delegate count: 33 Pledged, 4 UnpledgedWinner: Bernie Sanders
Caucus date: March 22, 2016

Vermont

See main article: Vermont Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 16 Pledged, 10 UnpledgedWinner: Bernie Sanders
Primary date: March 1, 2016

Virginia

See main article: Virginia Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 95 Pledged, 14 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: March 1, 2016

Washington

See main article: Washington (state) Democratic caucuses, 2016. Delegate count: 101 Pledged, 17 UnpledgedWinner: Bernie Sanders
Caucus date: March 26, 2016

West Virginia

See main article: West Virginia Democratic primary, 2016.

Delegate count: 29 Pledged, 8 UnpledgedWinner: Bernie Sanders
Primary date: May 10, 2016

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Primary results^[17]	May 10, 2016	Bernie Sanders 51.4%	Hillary Clinton 35.8%	Paul Farrell 8.9%	Others 3.9%
MetroNews^[18] Margin of error: ±4.0% Sample size: 315	April 22-May 2, 2016		Bernie Sanders 47%		Hillary Clinton 43%		Undecided 11%
Public Policy Polling^[19] Margin of error: ±3.9% Sample size: 637	April 29-May 1, 2016		Bernie Sanders 45%	Hillary Clinton 37%		Undecided 18%
West Virginia Veterans/Thirty-Ninth Street Strategies^[20] Margin of error: ±3.9% Sample size: 600	March 2–6, 2016		Hillary Clinton 44%	Bernie Sanders 31%	Paul Farrell 6%	Keith Judd 1% Others 7% Undecided 11%
Orion Strategies^[21] Margin of error: ±5.6% Sample size: 306	February 20–21, 2016		Bernie Sanders 32%	Hillary Clinton 24%		Undecided 44%
REPASS ResearchMargin of error: ±4.9%^[22] Sample size: 411	February 11–16, 2016		Bernie Sanders 57%	Hillary Clinton 29%
Orion Strategies^[23] Margin of error: ±4.9%^[24] Sample size: 306	August 27, 2015		Hillary Clinton 23%	Joe Biden 16%	Bernie Sanders 12%	Undecided 49%
Prism Surveys^[25] Margin of error: ± 3.21% Sample size: 900	August 21, 2015		Hillary Clinton 36%		Bernie Sanders 32%		Undecided 32%

Wisconsin

See main article: Wisconsin Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 86 Pledged, 10 UnpledgedWinner: Bernie Sanders
Primary date: April 5, 2016

Wyoming

See main article: Wyoming Democratic caucuses, 2016. Delegate count: 14 Pledged, 4 UnpledgedWinner: Bernie Sanders
Caucus date: April 9, 2016

District/territories

American Samoa

See main article: American Samoa Democratic caucus, 2016. Delegate count: 6 Pledged, 5 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: March 1, 2016

District of Columbia

See main article: District of Columbia Democratic primary, 2016. Delegate count: 20 Pledged, 26 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: June 14, 2016

Guam

See main article: Guam Democratic caucus, 2016. Delegate count: 7 Pledged, 5 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: May 7, 2016

Northern Marianas

See main article: Northern Mariana Islands Democratic caucus, 2016. Delegate count: 6 Pledged, 5 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: March 1, 2016

Puerto Rico

See main article: United States presidential primaries in Puerto Rico, 2016. Delegate count: 60 Pledged, 7 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: June 5, 2016

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	Other
Primary results^[30]	June 5, 2016	Hillary Clinton 60.0%	Bernie Sanders 38.0%	Others 2.0%
Pasquines Polls^[31] Margin of error: ±% Sample size: 249	May 23–30, 2016		Hillary Clinton 64%	Bernie Sanders 30%	Others / Undecided 6%

Virgin Islands

See main article: United States Virgin Islands Democratic caucuses, 2016. Delegate count: 7 Pledged, 5 UnpledgedWinner: Hillary Clinton
Caucus date: June 4, 2016

See also

General election polling

• Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016
• Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election by demographics, 2016
• Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016

Democratic primary polling

• Nationwide opinion polling for the Democratic Party 2016 presidential primaries

Republican primary polling

• Nationwide opinion polling for the Republican Party 2016 presidential primaries
• Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016

Notes and References

1. http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/IN-D Official Primary Results
2. Web site: American Research Group, Inc.. 2016-04-29.
3. Web site: NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll May 2016 Indiana Questionnaire. 2016-05-02. https://web.archive.org/web/20160508133335/http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/NEWS/NBC%20NewsWSJMarist.pdf. 2016-05-08. dead.
4. Web site: 1) Cruz Ahead in Indiana 2) Clinton Leads 3) Young Edging Stutzman but Many Yet to Decide. 2016-04-30.
5. Web site: IPFW poll: Hoosiers like Clinton. 2016-04-29.
6. Web site: Poll: Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton lead in Pennsylvania, Indiana. . 24 April 2016 . 2016-04-24.
7. Web site: Fox News Poll: Indiana Presidential Primaries. Fox News. April 22, 2016. April 22, 2016.
8. Web site: Exclusive WTHR/HPI Poll: Trump, Clinton have small leads in Indiana, overall tight race. WTHR News. April 22, 2016. April 22, 2016. April 23, 2016. https://web.archive.org/web/20160423122933/http://www.wthr.com/story/31792956/exclusive-wthrhpi-poll-trump-clinton-ahead-in-indiana. dead.
9. http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/KY-D Official Primary results
10. Web site: Kentucky Survey Results. publicpolicypolling.com. 2016-03-08.
11. Web site: PPP KY. publicpolicypolling.com. 2015-07-09.
12. https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/north-dakota Caucus results
13. http://records.sos.state.or.us/ORSOSWebDrawer/RecordView/6873801 Official Primary Results
14. Web site: Poll: Despite Bernie Sanders' Crowds, Hillary Clinton Ahead In Oregon . May 10, 2016 . May 11, 2016.
15. Web site: In City of Portland, Oregon: Ted Wheeler Is Overwhelming Favorite to Win Mayoral Primary; But Will He Avoid an 11/08/16 Runoff? . 2016-04-02.
16. Web site: Oregon presidential poll: Hillary Clinton pressed by Bernie Sanders; Donald Trump leads GOP field. 2015-08-06.
17. https://apps.sos.wv.gov/elections/results/results.aspx?year=2016&eid=22&county=Statewide Primary results
18. Web site: Overwhelming support for Trump, small lead for Sanders in MetroNews West Virginia Poll. MetroNews. 6 May 2016 . 6 May 2016.
19. Web site: Trump, Sanders lead in West Virginia (april 2016). Scribd. 3 May 2016.
20. Web site: WV-Gov Thirty-Ninth Street Strategies for West Virginia Veterans (March 2016). Scribd. 21 April 2016.
21. Web site: Poll: WV prefers GOP for president, Democrat for governor. wvgazettemail.com. 25 February 2016 . 2016-02-29.
22. Web site: Trump and Sanders Have Big Leads in MetroNews West Virginia Poll. 22 February 2016. wvmetronews.com. 2016-02-22. 2016-02-26. https://web.archive.org/web/20160226232239/http://wvmetronews.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/MetroNews-WV-Poll-Press-Release-2-22-2016-Presidential-Race-FINAL.pdf?1ac489. dead.
23. Web site: Survey: WV residents likely to pick Trump over Clinton in 2016. Statejournal.com. 2015-08-27.
24. Web site: Trump leads Republican field and Clinton in West Virginia, according to new Orion Strategies statewide poll. 26 August 2015. prnewswire.com.
25. Web site: Poll: Democrats running for WV gov locked in dead heat. Wvgazettemail.com/. 26 August 2015 . 2015-08-26.
26. http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/AS-D Caucus results
27. https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/district-of-columbia Primary results
28. http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/GU-D Caucus results
29. http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/MP-D Caucus results
30. http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/PR-D Primary results
31. Web site: 2016 Elections Puerto Rico Poll. PDF. June 5, 2016.
32. http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/VI-D Caucus results