Statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election explained

Election Name:2012 United States presidential election polling
Country:United States
Type:legislative
Previous Election:Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election
Previous Year:2008
Next Election:Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election
Next Year:2016
Seats For Election:Leading Presidential 2012 candidate by electoral vote count. States in gray have no polling data. Polls from lightly shaded states are older than August 1, 2012 (and no more recent polls are available).
Map Size:500px
Incumbent
Before Election:Barack Obama
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
Posttitle:President-elect
After Election:Barack Obama
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

Statewide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2012 United States presidential election, which was won by incumbent President Barack Obama, are as follows. The polls show the status between Republican nominee Mitt Romney and President Obama. Also included are three- and four-way race polls with the Republican and Democratic nominees against various third party candidates.

Opinion polling: Obama vs Romney

Sample size key:

LV – Likely Voters
RV – Registered Voters.

Poll source key

(R) – Source polls normally for Republicans
(D) – Source polls normally for Democrats

Alabama

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 62%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 60%–38%

See also: Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012.

Alaska

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 61%–35%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–37%

No polls conducted

Arizona

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[1] November 2–3, 2012Obama46%Romney align=center53% align=center71080 LV±3.0%
YouGov[2] October 31–November 3, 2012Obama44%Romney align=center52% align=center8702 LV±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[3] October 21, 2012Obama44%Romney align=center52% align=center8500 LV±4.5%
YouGov[4] October 4–11, 2012Obama43% Romney align=center52% align=center9469 LV±5.4%
Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll)[5] October 4–10, 2012Obama align=center44%Romney42% align=center2523 LV±4.4%
Public Policy Polling[6] October 1–3, 2012Obama44%Romney align=center53% align=center9595 LV±4.0%
Moore Information/HighGround (R)[7] September 25–26, 2012Obama42%Romney align=center46% align=center4500 LV±4%
Rasmussen Reports[8] September 25, 2012Obama42%Romney align=center52% align=center10500 LV±4.5%
Purple Strategies[9] September 15–19, 2012Obama45%Romney align=center48% align=center3600 LV±4.0%
YouGov[10] September 7–14, 2012Obama41%Romney align=center51% align=center10628 LVNot reported
Public Policy Polling[11] September 7–9, 2012Obama44%Romney align=center53% align=center9993±3.1%

Arkansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
The Arkansas Poll[12] October 9–14, 2012Obama31%Romney align=center58% align=center27642 LV±4%
Talk Business/Hendrix College[13] September 17, 2012Obama34.5%Romney align=center55.5% align=center212228 LV±2%

California

55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGov[14] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama align=center55%Romney40% align=center151,575 LVNot reported
Field Research[15] October 17–30, 2012Obama align=center54%Romney39% align=center151,566 LV±2.6%
CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies[16] October 21–28, 2012Obama align=center55.9%Romney33% align=center22.92,115 LV±3%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint[17] October 15–21, 2012 Obama align=center55%Romney38% align=center171,400 LVNot reported
Public Policy Institute of California[18] October 14–21, 2012Obama align=center53%Romney41% align=center12993 LV±4.0%
Reason-Rupe Public Opinion/Princeton Survey Research Associates International[19] October 11–15, 2012Obama align=center53%Romney38% align=center15508 LV±5.1%
YouGov[20] October 4–11, 2012Obama align=center58%Romney39% align=center191169 LV±3.5%
CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies[21] October 7–10, 2012Obama align="center" 54%Romney32.9% align="center" 21.1830 LV±3.4%
SurveyUSA[22] October 7–9, 2012Obama align=center53%Romney39% align=center14539 LV±4.3%
Field Research Corporation/UC Berkeley (Field Poll)[23] September 5 – 17, 2012Obama align=center58%Romney34% align=center24848 LV±3.4%
Public Policy Institute of California[24] September 9 – 16, 2012Obama align=center53%Romney39% align=center14995 LV±4.4%
YouGov[25] September 7 – 14, 2012Obama align=center56%Romney39% align=center171,361 LVNot reported
CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies[26] September 9–12, 2012Obama align=center55.4%Romney33.4% align=center22802 LV±3.5%
SurveyUSA[27] September 9–11, 2012Obama align=center57%Romney35% align=center22524 LV±4.3%

Colorado

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Reuters/Ipsos[28] November 3–5, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney47% align=center1774 LV±4%
Public Policy Polling[29] November 3–4, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney46% align=center61,096 LV±3%
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs[30] November 2–4, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney46% align=center4603 LV±4%
Reuters/Ipsos[31] November 2–4, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied676 LV±4.3%
USAction/Lake Research Partners (D)[32] October 31–November 4, 2012Obama align=center45%Romney44% align=center1400 LV±5%
Reuters/Ipsos[33] November 1–3, 2012Obama45%Romney align=center47% align=center2973 LV±3.6%
YouGov[34] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney47% align=center1752 LV±4.1%
Reuters/Ipsos[35] October 31 – November 2, 2012Obama46%Romney46%Tied1,052 LV±3.4%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)[36] October 31 – November 1, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney46% align=center4825 LVNot reported
Reuters/Ipsos[37] October 30 – November 1, 2012Obama46%Romney align=center47% align=center1694 LV±4.2%
Denver Post/SurveyUSA[38] October 28–31, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney45% align=center2695 LV±3.8%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[39] October 26–31, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney48% align=center2764 LV±3.5%
Reuters/Ipsos[40] October 29–31, 2012Obama45%Romney align=center46% align=center1744 LV±4.1%
We Ask America[41] October 30, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney47% align=center31,246 LV±2.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[42] October 29, 2012Obama47%Romney align=center50% align=center3500 LV±4.5%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D)[43] October 28–29, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney45% align=center3500 LV±4.4%
American Research Group[44] October 25–28, 2012Obama47% Romney align=center48% align=center1600 LV±4.0%
Public Policy Polling[45] October 23–25, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney47% align=center4904 LV±3.3%
Purple Strategies[46] October 23–25, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney46% align=center1600 LV±4.0%
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs[47] October 23–24, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney45% align=center3502 LV±4.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[48] October 23–24, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied1,128 LV±2.9%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D)[49] October 23–24, 2012Obama align=center46%Romney43% align=center3500 LV±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[50] October 21, 2012Obama46%Romney align=center50% align=center4500 LV±4.0%
Public Policy Polling[51] October 16–18, 2012 Obama align=center50%Romney47% align=center31000 LV±3.1%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D)[52] October 15–16, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney44% align=center3500 LV±4.4%
We Ask America[53] October 15, 2012Obama47%Romney align=center48% align=center11,206 LV±2.9%
Gravis Marketing[54] October 5–11, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney46% align=center22,089 LV±2.2%
Denver Post/SurveyUSA[55] October 9–10, 2012Obama47%Romney align=center48% align=center1614 LV±4.0%
New York Times/CBS News/Quinnipiac University[56] October 4–9, 2012Obama47%Romney align=center48% align=center11,254 LV±3.0%
American Research Group[57] October 5–8, 2012Obama46%Romney align=center50% align=center4600 LV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[58] October 7, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney48% align=center1500 LV±4.5%
University Of Denver/Selzer & Co.[59] October 4–5, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney43% align=center4604 LV±4.0%
American Conservative Union/McLaughlin & Associates (R)[60] September 30 – October 2, 2012Obama46%Romney align=center50% align=center4300 LV±5.7%
We Ask America[61] September 25 – 27, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney46% align=center31,273 LV±2.8%
Public Policy Polling[62] September 20–23, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney45% align=center6940 LV±3.2%
Purple Strategies[63] September 15 – 19, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney45% align=center3600 LV±4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[64] September 16–18, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney45% align=center5971 LV±3.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[65] September 17, 2012Obama45%Romney align=center47% align=center2500 LV±4.5%
New York Times/CBS News/Quinnipiac University[66] September 11–17, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney47% align=center11,497 LV±2.5%
American Research Group[67] September 10–12, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney47% align=center2600 LV±4.0%
Project New America/Keating Research/Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs (D)[68] September 10–11, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney44% align=center5503 LV±4.4%
Public Policy Polling[69] August 31 – September 2, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney46% align=center31,001 LV±3.1%

Three way race

Connecticut

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGov[71] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama align=center54%Romney39% align=center15895 LV±3.6%
Public Policy Polling[72] November 1 – 2, 2012 Obama align=center55%Romney42% align=center131,220 LV±2.8%
Quinnipiac University[73] October 19–22, 2012 Obama align=center55%Romney41% align=center141,412 LV±2.6%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[74] October 21, 2012 Obama align=center52%Romney45% align=center7500 LV±4.5%
SurveyUSA[75] October 19–21, 2012 Obama align=center53%Romney40% align=center13575 LV±4.2%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)[76] October 15–16, 2012 Obama align=center53%Romney44% align=center91,015 LV±3.1%
University of Connecticut/Hartford Courant[77] October 11–16, 2012 Obama align=center51%Romney37% align=center14574 LV±4.0%
Siena College Research Institute[78] October 4–14, 2012 Obama align=center53%Romney38% align=center15552 LV±4.2%
YouGov[79] October 4–11, 2012 Obama align=center53%Romney39% align=center14434 LV±5.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[80] October 7, 2012 Obama align=center51%Romney45% align=center6500 LV±4.5%
Quinnipiac University[81] September 28 – October 2, 2012 Obama align=center54%Romney42% align=center121,696 LV±2.4%
Public Policy Polling[82] September 24 – 26, 2012 Obama align=center54%Romney41% align=center13801 LV±3.5%
University of Connecticut/Hartford Courant[83] September 11 – 16, 2012 Obama align=center53%Romney32% align=center21508 LV±4.4%
YouGov[84] September 7 – 14, 2012 Obama align=center53%Romney40% align=center13634 LVNot reported

Delaware

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%

No polls conducted

District of Columbia

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 89%–9%
(Democratic in 2008) 92%–7%

Florida

29 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Gravis Marketing[86] November 4–5, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tied1,060 LV±3.1%
Reuters/Ipsos[87] November 3–5, 2012Obama47%Romney align="center" 48% align="center" 1769 LV±4%
Florida Times-Union/Insider Advantage[88] November 4, 2012Obama47%Romney align="center" 52% align="center" 5437 LV±4.6%
Public Policy Polling[89] November 3–4, 2012Obama align="center" 50%Romney49% align="center" 1955 LV±3.2%
Reuters/Ipsos[90] November 2–4, 2012Obama46%Romney46%Tied743 LV±4.1%
Angus Reid Public Opinion[91] November 1–3, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tied525 LV±4.3%
Reuters/Ipsos[92] November 1–3, 2012Obama47%Romney47%Tied946 LV±3.6%
YouGov[93] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama47%Romney align=center48% align=center11,621 LV±3%
Reuters/Ipsos[94] October 31 – November 2, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney46% align=center2985 LV±3.6%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D)[95] October 30 – November 2, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney45% align=center2800 LV±3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[96] October 30 – November 1, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney47% align=center21,545 LV±2.5%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[97] October 30 – November 1, 2012Obama45%Romney align="center" 51% align="center" 6800 LV±3.5%
We Ask America[98] October 30, 2012Obama48.9%Romney align=center49.8% align=center0.91,146 LV±3%
Gravis Marketing[99] October 30, 2012Obama47%Romney align=center50% align=center3549 LV±4.2%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)[100] October 29, 2012Obama48%Romney align="center" 50% align="center" 21,000 LV±3%
USAction/Project New America/Project New America/Grove Insight (D)[101] October 28–29, 2012Obama align="center" 48%Romney47% align="center" 1600 LV±4%
Public Policy Polling[102] October 26–28, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney48% align=center1687 LV±3.7%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[103] October 25–28, 2012Obama49%Romney align=center50% align=center1770 LV±3.5%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[104] October 23–28, 2012Obama align="center" 48%Romney47% align="center" 11,073 LV±3%
WFLA-TV Tampa/SurveyUSA[105] October 25–27, 2012Obama47%Romney47%Tied595 LV±4.1%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D)[106] October 24–27, 2012Obama align="center" 49%Romney47% align="center" 2800 LV±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[107] October 25, 2012Obama48%Romney align="center" 50% align="center" 2750 LV±4.0%
Gravis Marketing[108] October 24, 2012Obama48.8%Romney align="center" 49.7% align="center" 0.91,182 LV±2.8%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D)[109] October 23–24, 2012Obama align="center" 47%Romney45% align="center" 2600 LV±4.0%
Sunshine State News/Voter Survey Service[110] October 22–24, 2012Obama46%Romney align="center" 51% align="center" 51,001 LV±3.1%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D)October 18–21, 2012Obama47%Romney47%Tied800 LV±3.4%
Angus Reid Public Opinion[111] October 18–20, 2012Obama46% Romney align=center51% align=center5502 LV±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[112] October 18, 2012Obama46%Romney align=center51% align=center5750 LV±4.0%
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company[113] October 17–18, 2012Obama45%Romney align=center48% align=center31,130 LV±3.0%
WFLA-TV Tampa/SurveyUSA[114] October 17–18, 2012Obama align="center" 47%Romney46% align="center" 1600 LV±4.1%
WPTV News/Scripps Treasure Coast Newspapers/Public Policy Polling[115] October 17–18, 2012Obama47%Romney align=center48% align=center1800 LV±4%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D)[116] October 17–18, 2012Obama align="center" 48%Romney45% align="center" 3600 LV±4.0%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[117] October 17–18, 2012Obama48%Romney align="center" 49% align="center" 1681 LV±4.0%
Gravis Marketing[118] October 13–14, 2012Obama48%Romney align=center49% align=center1617 LV±4.0%
Public Policy Polling[119] October 12–14, 2012Obama48%Romney align=center49% align=center1791 LV±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[120] October 11, 2012Obama47%Romney align=center51% align=center4750 LV±4.0%
American Research Group[121] October 8–11, 2012Obama46%Romney align=center49% align=center3600 LV±4.0%
YouGov[122] October 4–11, 2012Obama align="center" 48%Romney47% align="center" 11,244 LV±4.0%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[123] October 8–10, 2012Obama44%Romney align="center" 51% align="center" 7800 LV±3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[124] October 7–9, 2012Obama align="center" 48%Romney47% align="center" 1988±3.1%
University of North Florida[125] October 1–9, 2012Obama align="center" 49%Romney45% align="center" 4653 LV Not reported
We Ask America[126] October 4, 2012Obama46%Romney align=center49% align=center31,200 LV±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[127] October 4, 2012Obama47%Romney align=center49% align=center2500 LV±4.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[128] September 30 – October 1, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney46% align=center11,191 LV±3.3%
Gravis Marketing[129] September 29 – 30, 2012Obama align=center49.03%Romney48.42% align=center0.61914 LV±3.4%
WSVN-TV Miami/Suffolk University[130] September 27 – 30, 2012Obama align="center" 46%Romney43% align="center" 3600 LV±4.0%
Southern Political Report/Florida Times-Union/InsiderAdvantage[131] September 24, 2012Obama align="center" 49%Romney46% align="center" 3540 LV±4.0%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[132] September 18 – 24, 2012Obama align="center" 53%Romney44% align="center" 91,196 LV±3.0%
Washington Post[133] September 19–23, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney47% align=center4769 LV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[134] September 20–23, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney46% align=center4861 LV±3.3%
American Research Group [135] September 20–22, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney45% align=center5600 LV±4%
Miami Herald/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[136] September 17–19, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney47% align=center1800 LV±3.5%
Purple Strategies[137] September 15 – 19, 2012Obama47%Romney align=center48% align=center1600 LV±4.0%
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company[138] September 16–18, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney44% align=center5829 LV±3.0%
Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing[139] September 15–16, 2012Obama47.1%Romney align=center47.7% align=center0.61,728 LV±2.5%
YouGov[140] September 7–14, 2012Obama align="center" 49%Romney47% align="center" 21,415 LVNot reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[141] September 12, 2012Obama align="center" 48%Romney46% align="center" 2500 LV±4.5%
Secure America Now/Caddell Associates/Caddell Associates/McLaughlin & Associates (R)[142] September 8–12, 2012Obama44%Romney align="center" 48% align="center" 4600 LV±4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[143] September 9–11, 2012Obama align="center" 49%Romney44% align="center" 5980 LV±3.1%
Consensus Communications/OnSight Inc. (R)[144] September 8–11, 2012 Obama42%Romney42%Tied606 LV±4.0%
Associated Industries of Florida/McLaughlin & Associates (R)[145] September 9–10, 2012Obama47%Romney align="center" 50% align="center" 3600 LV±4.0%
WFLA-TV Tampa/SurveyUSA[146] September 7–9, 2012Obama align="center" 48%Romney44% align="center" 4596 LV±4.1%
Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing[147] September 2, 2012Obama46.7%Romney align="center" 48% align="center" 1.31,288 LV±2.7%
Public Policy Polling[148] August 31 – September 2, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney47% align=center11,548 LV±2.5%
Three-way race

Georgia

16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGov[150] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama44%Romney align=center52% align=center81,070 LV±3.5%
20/20 Insight[151] October 29–31, 2012Obama46%Romney align=center52% align=center61,316 LV±2.7%
WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSA[152] October 25–28, 2012Obama44%Romney align=center52% align=center8574 LV±4.2%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution/Abt SRBI[153] October 8–11, 2012Obama43%Romney align=center51% align=center8706 LV±5.0%
Fox 5 Atlanta/Insider Advantage[154] September 18, 2012Obama35%Romney align=center56% align=center21483 LV±4.5%
YouGov[155] September 7 – 14, 2012Obama44%Romney align=center51% align=center71,020 LVNot reported

Hawaii

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 72%–27%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Honolulu Civil Beat/Merriman River Group[156] October 24–26, 2012Obama align=center61%Romney34% align=center271,218 LV±2.8%
Honolulu Civil Beat/Merriman River Group[157] September 26–28, 2012Obama align=center62%Romney30% align=center321,648 LV±2.4%

Idaho

4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 68%–30%
(Republican in 2008) 61%–36%

Illinois

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 55%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGov[159] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama align=center57%Romney38% align=center191,126 LV±3.3%
We Ask America[160] October 30, 2012Obama align=center57%Romney41% align=center161,198 LV±2.95%
YouGov[161] October 4–11, 2012Obama align=center58%Romney38% align=center20850 LV±3.9%
WGN-TV/Chicago Tribune[162] October 4–8, 2012Obama align=center55%Romney36% align=center19700 RV±3.7%
YouGov[163] September 7–14, 2012Obama align=center59%Romney36% align=center231,086 LV Not reported
We Ask America[164] September 5, 2012Obama align=center54%Romney37% align=center171,382 LV ±2.8%

Indiana

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGov[165] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama44%Romney align=center51% align=center7768 LV±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[166] November 1, 2012 Obama43%Romney align=center52% align=center9600 LV±4.0%
Howey Politics/DePauw University/Bellwether Research/Bellwether
Research/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group[167] 		October 28–30, 2012 Obama41%Romney align=center51% align=center10800 LV±3.5%
Pharos Research Group[168] October 26–28, 2012 Obama42%Romney align=center55% align=center13753 LV±3.5%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[169] October 24–25, 2012 Obama41%Romney align=center55% align=center14600 LV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[170] October 10–11, 2012 Obama41%Romney align=center54% align=center13600 LV±4.0%
Howey Politics/DePauw University/Bellwether Research/Bellwether
Research/Garin-Hart-Yang-Research Group[171] 		September 19–23, 2012 Obama40%Romney align=center52% align=center12800 LV±3.5%
YouGov[172] September 7–14, 2012 Obama45%Romney align=center50% align=center5628 LV±4.0%

Iowa

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[173] November 3–4, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney48% align=center21,122 LV±2.9%
American Research Group[174] November 2–4, 2012 Obama48%Romney align=center49% align=center1600 LV±4%
YouGov[175] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney47% align=center11,040 LV±3.5%
USAction/Project New America/Project New America/Grove Insight (D)[176] November 1–2, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney44% align=center3500 LV±4.4%
Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co.[177] October 30 – November 2, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney42% align=center5800 LV±3.5%
Gravis Marketing[178] November 1, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney45% align=center4594 LV±4.0%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D)October 30 – November 1, 2012Obama align=center46%Romney44% align=center2600 LV±4.0%
We Ask America[179] October 30, 2012 Obama align=center48.8%Romney47.3% align=center1.51,174 LV±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[180] October 30, 2012 Obama48%Romney align=center49% align=center1750 LV±4%
Public Policy Polling[181] October 29–30, 2012 Obama align=center50%Romney45% align=center5676 LV±3.8%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[182] October 28–29, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney44% align=center61,142 LV±3%
University of Iowa[183] October 18–27, 2012 Obama44.4%Romney align=center45.2% align=center0.8320 LV±5.6%
Gravis Marketing[184] October 24, 2012 Obama align=center50%Romney46% align=center4517 LV±4.3%
Public Policy Polling[185] October 23–24, 2012 Obama align=center49%Romney47% align=center2690 LV±3.7%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[186] October 21, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied500 LV±4.5%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D)[187] October 18–19, 2012 Obama align=center49%Romney48% align=center1660 LV±3.8%
Public Policy Polling[188] October 17–19, 2012 Obama48%Romney align=center49% align=center1869 LV±3.3%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[189] October 15–17, 2012 Obama align=center51%Romney43% align=center81,137 LV±2.9%
We Ask America[190] October 15, 2012 Obama align=center48.7%Romney45.9% align=center2.81,499 LV±2.6%
American Research Group[191] October 11–14, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied600 LV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[192] October 7, 2012 Obama align=center49%Romney47% align=center2500 LV±4.5%
We Ask America[193] September 25–27, 2012 Obama align=center47.5%Romney43.7% align=center3.81,064 LV±3.1%
Public Policy Polling[194] September 24–26, 2012 Obama align=center51%Romney44% align=center7754 LV±3.6%
American Research Group[195] September 20 – 23, 2012 Obama align=center51%Romney44% align=center7600 LV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[196] September 19, 2012 Obama44%Romney align=center47% align=center3500 LV±4.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[197] September 16–18, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney42% align=center8898 LV±3.3%

Kansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 62%–37%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Kentucky

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–40%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%

Louisiana

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Magellan Strategies[199] October 2 – 4, 2012Obama36.2%Romney align=center58.8% align=center22.62,682 LV±1.9%
Clarus Research Group[200] September 5 – 7, 2012Obama37%Romney align=center53% align=center16602 LV±4.0%

Maine

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Maine People's Resource Center[201] November 1–3, 2012Obama align=center53.3%Romney42.2% align=center11.1905 LV±3.26%
Public Policy Polling[202] November 1–2, 2012Obama align=center55%Romney42% align=center131,633 LV±2.4%
Critical Insights[203] October 30–31, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney42% align=center7613 LV±4%
Pan Atlantic SMS Group[204] September 24–28, 2012Obama align=center50.8%Romney36.8% align=center14400 LV±4.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[205] September 25, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney40% align=center12500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[206] September 17–18, 2012Obama align=center55%Romney39% align=center16804 LV±3.5%

Maryland

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 56%–43%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGov[207] October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama align=center59%Romney37% align=center22705 LV±4.1%
OpinionWorks[208] October 20 – 23, 2012Obama align=center55%Romney36% align=center19801 LV±3.5%
Washington Post[209] October 11 – 15, 2012Obama align=center60%Romney36% align=center24843 LV±4.0%
YouGov[210] October 4 – 11, 2012 Obama align=center58%Romney37% align=center21498 LV±5.2%
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies[211] September 17–23, 2012Obama align=center55%Romney36% align=center19813 RV±3.5%

Massachusetts

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
The Boston Herald/University of Massachusetts Lowell[212] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama align=center57%Romney37% align=center20800 LV±4.1%
YouGov[213] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama align=center57%Romney37% align=center20811 LV±3.6%
Public Policy Polling[214] November 1 – 2, 2012Obama align=center57%Romney42% align=center151,089 LV±3%
MassLive.com/Western New England University[215] October 26 – November 1, 2012Obama align=center58%Romney40% align=center18535 LV±4%
Suffolk University[216] October 25 – 28, 2012Obama align=center63%Romney31% align=center32600 LV±4.0%
Boston Globe/University of New Hampshire[217] October 24 – 28, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney38% align=center14583 LV±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[218] October 25, 2012Obama align=center59%Romney40% align=center19500 LV±4.5%
WBUR/MassINC Polling Group[219] October 21 – 22, 2012Obama align=center56%Romney36% align=center20516 LV±4.4%
Kimball Political Consulting[220] October 18 – 21, 2012Obama align=center55%Romney39% align=center16761 LV±3.48%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)[221] October 15 – 16, 2012Obama align=center57%Romney39% align=center18709 LV±3.7%
Public Policy Polling[222] October 9 – 11, 2012Obama align="center" 55%Romney41% align="center" 141,051 LV±3.0%
YouGov[223] October 4–11, 2012Obama align=center55%Romney36% align=center19669 LV±4.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[224] October 10, 2012Obama align="center" 57%Romney42% align="center" 15500 LV±4.5%
University of Massachusetts Amherst/YouGov[225] October 2 – 8, 2012Obama align="center" 55%Romney34% align="center" 21437 LV±5.4%
WBUR/MassINC Polling Group[226] October 5 – 7, 2012Obama align="center" 52%Romney36% align="center" 16501 LV±4.4%
Western New England University[227] September 28 – October 4, 2012Obama align="center" 63%Romney33% align="center" 30516 RV±4.3%
WBUR/MassINC Polling Group[228] September 26 – 28, 2012Obama align="center" 60%Romney32% align="center" 28504 LV±4.4%
Mass Insight Global Partnerships/Opinion Dynamics Corporation[229] September 25–30, 2012Obama align=center60%Romney34% align=center26405 RV±4.6%
Boston Globe/University of New Hampshire[230] September 21 – 27, 2012Obama align="center" 57%Romney30% align="center" 27502 LV±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[231] September 24, 2012Obama align="center" 55%Romney40% align="center" 15500 LV±4.5%
The Boston Herald/University of Massachusetts Lowell[232] September 13 – 17, 2012Obama align="center" 60%Romney36% align="center" 24497 LV±5.5%
Public Policy Polling[233] September 13 – 16, 2012Obama align="center" 57%Romney39% align="center" 18876 LV±3.3%
Suffolk University[234] September 13 – 16, 2012Obama align=center64%Romney31% align=center33600 LV±4.0%
YouGov[235] September 7–14, 2012Obama align=center55%Romney39% align=center16825 LVNot reported
MassLive.com/Western New England University[236] September 6 – 13, 2012Obama align="center" 60%Romney38% align="center" 22444 LV±4.6%
Kimball Political Consulting[237] September 7 – 9, 2012Obama align=center56%Romney40% align=center16756 LV±3.5%

Michigan

16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Mitchell Research & Communications[238] November 4, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney46% align=center51,305 LV±2.7%
Angus Reid Public Opinion[239] November 1 – 3, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney47% align=center5502 LV±4.4%
Public Policy Polling[240] November 1 – 3, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney46% align=center6700 LV±3.7%
YouGov[241] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney44% align=center71,091 LV±3.3%
Fox 2 News Detroit/Foster McCollum White & Associates/Baydoun Consulting[242] November 2, 2012Obama46.24%Romney46.86% align=center0.621,913 LV±2.24%
Rasmussen Reports[243] November 1, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney47% align=center5750 LV±4%
USAction/Project New America/Project New America/Grove Insight (D)[244] October 31 – November 1, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney41% align=center7500 LV±4.4%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)[245] October 31 – November 1, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney46% align=center6500 LV±4.4%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D)[246] October 30–31, 2012Obama align=center53%Romney45% align=center8500 LV±4.4%
Detroit News/Glengariff Group[247] October 27–29, 2012Obama align=center47.7%Romney45% align=center2.7600 LV±4%
EPIC-MRA[248] October 26–29, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney42% align=center6600 LV±4%
Fox 2 News Detroit/Foster McCollum White & Associates/Baydoun Consulting[249] October 22–23, 2012Obama align=center46.92%Romney46.56% align=center0.361,122 LV±2.9%
Angus Reid Public Opinion[250] October 18–20, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney43% align=center9551 LV±4.2%
EPIC-MRA[251] October 17, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney46% align=center6800 LV±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[252] October 11, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney45% align=center7500 LV±4.5%
YouGov[253] October 4–11, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney42% align=center10895 LV±3.9%
Lambert, Edwards & Associates/Denno Research[254] October 9–10, 2012Obama align=center44.2%Romney40.5% align=center3.7600 LV±4.0%
Detroit News/Glengariff Group[255] October 6 – 8, 2012Obama align="center" 49%Romney42% align="center" 7600 LV±4.0%
Capitol CorrespondentGravis Marketing[256] October 5 – 8, 2012Obama align="center" 46%Romney44% align="center" 21,122 LV±3.2%
EPIC-MRA[257] October 4 – 6, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney45% align=center3600 LV±4.0%
Fox 2 News Detroit/Foster McCollum White/Baydoun Consulting[258] October 5, 2012Obama align=center49.3%Romney45.85% align=center3.451,122 LV±2.93%
We Ask America[259] September 25 – 27, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney39.9% align=center12.11,064 LV±3.1%
Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing[260] September 21 – 22, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney46.2% align=center3.8804 LV±3.3%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[261] September 20, 2012Obama align=center54%Romney42% align=center12500 LV±4.5%
National Resource Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D)[262] September 17–19, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney42% align=center91021 LV±3.1%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[263] September 14–18, 2012Obama align="center" 52%Romney44% align="center" 8754 LV±3.5%
Detroit News/Glengariff Group[264] September 15–17, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney38% align=center14600 LV±4%
Marketing Resource Group[265] September 10–14, 2012Obama align=center47.5%Romney42.3% align=center5.2600 LV±4.0%
YouGovSeptember 7–14, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney42% align=center91114 LVNot reported
Foster McCollum White/Baydoun & Associates[266] September 12, 2012Obama align="center" 45.49%Romney43.65% align="center" 1.841,156 LV±2.88%
EPIC-MRA[267] September 8–11, 2012Obama align="center" 47%Romney37% align="center" 10600 LV±4.0%
Public Policy Polling[268] August 31 – September 2, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney44% align=center7815 LV±3.4%

Minnesota

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[269] November 2–3, 2012Obama align=center53%Romney45% align=center81,164 LV±2.9%
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA[270] November 1–3, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney41% align=center11556 LV±4.2%
YouGov[271] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney43% align=center7790 LV±3.8%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)[272] October 31 – November 1, 2012Obama align=center53%Romney44% align=center9772 LVNot reported
American Future Fund/NMB Research (R)[273] October 29–31, 2012Obama45%Romney align=center46% align=center1500 LV±4.38%
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/Survey USA[274] October 26–28, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney43% align=center7574 LV±4.2%
Star Tribune Minnesota/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[275] October 23–25, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney44% align=center3800 LV±3.5%
St. Cloud State University[276] October 15–21, 2012Obama align=center53%Romney45% align=center8601 LV±5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[277] October 21, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney46% align=center5500 LV±4.5%
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA[278] October 12 – 14, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney40% align=center10550 LV±4.3%
YouGov[279] October 4 – 11, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney44% align=center8683 LV±4.2%
American Future Fund/NMB Research (R)[280] October 7 – 8, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney43% align=center4500 LV±4.38%
Public Policy Polling[281] October 5–8, 2012Obama align=center53%Romney43% align=center10937 LV±3.2%
Star Tribune Minnesota/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[282] September 10–11, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney44% align=center7824 LV±3.4%
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA[283] September 6–9, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney40% align=center10551 LV±4.3%

Mississippi

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%

Missouri

10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 53%–46%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–49%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[284] November 2–3, 2012Obama45%Romney align=center53% align=center8835 LV±3.4%
YouGov[285] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama42%Romney align=center53% align=center11779 LV±3.8%
KSDK-TV St. Louis/KSHB-TV Kansas City/KSPR-TV Springfield/KYTV-TV Springfield/Survey USA[286] October 28 – November 3, 2012Obama43%Romney align=center50% align=center7589 LV±4.1%
We Ask America[287] October 30, 2012Obama42.2%Romney align=center53.8% align=center11.61,217 LV±2.9%
Saint Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[288] October 23 – 25, 2012Obama41%Romney align=center54% align=center13624 LV±4%
Public Policy Polling[289] October 19 – 21, 2012Obama46%Romney align=center52% align=center6582 LV±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[290] October 12 – 13, 2012Obama43%Romney align=center54% align=center11500 LV±4.5%
Wenzel Strategies[291] October 12 – 13, 2012Obama41.1%Romney align=center54.9% align=center13.81,000 LV±3.07%
Public Policy Polling[292] October 1 – 3, 2012Obama45%Romney align=center51% align=center6700 LV±3.7%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[293] October 2, 2012Obama46%Romney align=center49% align=center3500 LV±4.5%
We Ask America[294] September 25 – 27, 2012Obama44.5%Romney align=center47.7% align=center3.21,145 LV±2.9%
Missouri Scout/Chilenski Strategies[295] September 20, 2012Obama44%Romney align=center50% align=center6817 LV±3.4%
YouGov[296] September 7 – 14, 2012Obama43%Romney align=center50% align=center7734 LVNot reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[297] September 11, 2012Obama45%Romney align=center48% align=center3500 LV±4.5%

Montana

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[298] November 2–3, 2012Obama45%Romney align=center52% align=center7836 LV±3.4%
Billings Gazette/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[299] October 29–31, 2012 Obama43%Romney align=center53% align=center10625 LV±4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[300] October 29, 2012 Obama43%Romney align=center53% align=center10500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[301] October 15 – 16, 2012Obama43%Romney align=center53% align=center10806 LV±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[302] October 14, 2012Obama45%Romney align=center53% align=center8500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling [303] October 8 – 10, 2012Obama41%Romney align=center52% align=center11737 LV±3.6%
Montana Jobs, Energy, and Technology/Mellman Group (D)[304] September 23 – 26, 2012 Obama44%Romney align=center48% align=center4600 LV±4%
Public Policy Polling[305] September 10–11, 2012 Obama45%Romney align=center50% align=center5656 LV±3.8%

Three way race

Nebraska

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 66%–33%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
We Ask America[307] November 1, 2012Obama41%Romney align=center54% align=center131,178 LV±2.95%
Wiese Research Associates[308] October 23 – 25, 2012Obama38%Romney align="center" 52% align="center" 14800 LV±3.5%
Wiese Research Associates[309] September 17 – 20, 2012Obama40%Romney align="center" 51% align="center" 11800 LV±3.5%

2nd Congressional District

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Wiese Research Associates[310] October 23 – 25, 2012Obama44%Romney align=center49% align=center5679 LV±3.8%
Wiese Research Associates[311] September 17 – 20, 2012Obama44%Romney44%TiedNot reportedNot reported

Nevada

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[312] November 3–4, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney47% align=center4750 LV±3.6%
YouGov[313] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney45% align=center4732 LV±4.1%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D)[314] October 29–31, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney44% align=center6600 LV±4%
Las Vegas Review-Journal/SurveyUSA[315] October 23–29, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney46% align=center41,212 LV±2.9%
USAction/Project New America/Project New America/Grove Insight (D)[316] October 27–28, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney43% align=center6500 LV±4.4%
Gravis Marketing[317] October 24, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney49% align=center1955 LV±3.2%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[318] October 23–24, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney47% align=center31,042 LV±3%
Public Policy Polling[319] October 22–24, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney47% align=center4636 LV±3.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[320] October 23, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney48% align=center2500 LV±4.5%
American Research Group[321] October 19 – 22, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney47% align=center2600 LV±4.0%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D)[322] October 15–17, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney43% align=center8600 LV±4.0%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D)[323] October 15–16, 2012Obama align="center" 50%Romney43% align="center" 7500 LV±4.4%
Las Vegas Review-Journal/SurveyUSA[324] October 11–15, 2012Obama align="center" 48%Romney45% align="center" 3806 LV±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[325] October 15, 2012Obama align="center" 50%Romney47% align="center" 3500 LV±4.5%
YouGov[326] October 4 – 11, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney45% align=center5358 LV±6.7%
Public Policy Polling[327] October 8–10, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney47% align=center4594 LV±4%
KSNV-Nevada/Suffolk University[328] October 6–9, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney45% align=center2500 LV±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[329] October 8, 2012Obama47%Romney47%Tied500 LV±4.5%
Las Vegas Review-Journal/SurveyUSA[330] October 3–8, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney46% align=center11,222 LV±2.9%
Gravis Marketing[331] October 3, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney48% align=center11,006 LV±3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[332] September 23 – 25, 2012Obama align="center" 49%Romney47% align="center" 2984 LV±3.1%
American Research Group[333] September 20 – 23, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney44% align=center7600 LV±4.0%
Retail Association of Nevada/Public Opinion Strategies (R)[334] September 19 – 20, 2012Obama46%Romney46%Tied500 LV±4.4%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)[335] September 18 – 20, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney43% align=center9501 LV±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[336] September 18, 2012Obama align="center" 47%Romney45% align="center" 2500 LV±4.5%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[337] September 14–18, 2012Obama align="center" 49%Romney46% align="center" 3741 LV±3.5%

Three way race

New Hampshire

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[339] November 4, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney48% align=center2750 LV±4%
New England College[340] November 3–4, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney46% align=center4687 LV±3.7%
Public Policy Polling[341] November 3–4, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney48% align=center21,550 LV±2.5%
American Research Group[342] November 2–4, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tied600 LV±4%
University of New Hampshire[343] November 1–4, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney48% align=center3789 LV±3.5%
YouGov[344] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney43% align=center4690 LV±4.1%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[345] October 31 – November 2, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied502 LV±4.4%
Gravis Marketing[346] November 1, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney49% align=center1497 LV±4.3%
New England College[347] October 29–31, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney44% align=center61,017 LV±3.7%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[348] October 28–29, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney47% align=center21,013 LV±3.1%
Public Policy Polling[349] October 26 – 28, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney47% align=center2874 LV±3.3%
USAction/Lake Research Partners (D)[350] October 24 – 28, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney42% align=center5400 LV±5%
USAction/Project New America/Project New America/Grove Insight (D)[351] October 24 – 25, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney44% align=center3500 LV±4.4%
New England College[352] October 23 – 25, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney46% align=center3571 LV±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[353] October 23, 2012Obama48%Romney align=center50% align=center2500 LV±4.5%
American Research Group[354] October 19 – 22, 2012Obama47%Romney align=center49% align=center2600 LV±4.0%
USAction/Lake Research Partners (D)[355] October 18 – 22, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney45% align=center3400 LV±4.9%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[356] October 17 – 21, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney42% align=center9773 LV±3.5%
Public Policy Polling[357] October 17 – 19, 2012Obama48%Romney align=center49% align=center11,036 LV±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[358] October 15, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney49% align=center1500 LV±4.5%
7 News/Suffolk University[359] October 12 – 14, 2012Obama47%Romney47%Tied500 LV±4.4%
American Research Group[360] October 9 – 11, 2012Obama46%Romney align=center50% align=center4600 LV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[361] October 9, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied500 LV±4.5%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[362] September 30 – October 6, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney44% align=center6559 LV±4.1%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[363] September 27 – 30, 2012Obama align=center54%Romney39% align=center15600 LV±4.0%
American Research Group[364] September 25 – 27, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney45% align=center5600 LV±4.0%
Progressive Change Campaign Committee/Public Policy Polling (D)[365] September 24–25, 2012Obama align="center" 51%Romney44% align=center7862 LV±3.3%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[366] September 23 – 25, 2012Obama align="center" 51%Romney44% align="center" 71,012±3.1%
New Hampshire Democratic Party/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D)[367] September 15 – 19, 2012Obama align="center" 52%Romney45% align="center" 7600 LV±4.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[368] September 18, 2012Obama45%Romney align="center" 48% align="center" 3500 LV±4.5%
American Research Group[369] September 15–17, 2012Obama align="center" 48%Romney47% align="center" 1463 LVNot reported
YouGov[370] September 7–14, 2012Obama align="center" 48%Romney42% align=center6340 LVNot reported
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[371] September 4–10, 2012Obama align="center" 45%Romney40% align="center" 5592 LV±4.0%

New Jersey

14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 52%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGov[372] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama align=center53%Romney41% align=center12987 LV±3.4%
Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research[373] October 23 – 25, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney41% align=center10601 LV±4.0%
Quinnipiac University[374] October 10 – 14, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney43% align=center81,319 LV±2.7%
Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research[375] October 4 – 8, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney40% align=center11604 LV±4.0%
Rutgers University[376] September 27 – 30, 2012Obama align=center56%Romney39% align=center17645 LV±3.8%
Monmouth University[377] September 19 – 23, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney37% align=center15613 LV±4.0%
YouGov[378] September 7 – 14, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney40% align=center121,040 LVNot reported
Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research[379] September 9–12, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney37% align=center14600 LV±4.0%
Quinnipiac University[380] August 27 – September 2, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney44% align=center71,471 LV±2.6%

New Mexico

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGov[381] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney43% align=center6650 LVNot reported
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[382] October 30–31, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney41% align=center8500 LV±4.38%
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc.[383] October 23–25, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney41% align=center9662 LV±3.8%
Public Policy Polling[384] October 23–24, 2012Obama align=center53%Romney44% align=center9727 LVNot reported
October 21–22, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney42% align=center5500 LV±4.38%
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc.[385] October 9–10, 2012Obama align="center" 49%Romney39% align="center" 10658 LV±3.8%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[386] October 8, 2012Obama align="center" 54%Romney43% align="center" 11500 LV±4.5%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)[387] October 2–3, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney43% align=center9778 LVNot reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[388] September 27, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney40% align=center11500 LV±4.5%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[389] September 25–27, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney40% align=center7500 LV±4.38%
NRDC Action Fund/Public Policy Polling (D)[390] September 17 – 20, 2012Obama align="center" 52%Romney43% align="center" 93,111 LV±1.8%
YouGov[391] September 7–14, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney43% align=center8293 LVNot reported
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)[392] September 7–9, 2012Obama align="center" 53%Romney42% align="center" 111,122 LV±2.9%
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc.[393] September 3–6, 2012Obama align="center" 45%Romney40% align="center" 5667 LV±3.8%

Three way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[394] October 30–31, 2012Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney41%Gary Johnson6% align=center8500 LV±4.38%
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc.[395] October 23–25, 2012Barack Obama align=center50%Mitt Romney41%Gary Johnson5% align=center9662 LV±3.8%
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc.[396] October 9–11, 2012Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney39%Gary Johnson6% align=center10658 LV±3.8%
We Ask America[397] September 25–27, 2012Barack Obama align=center50.9%Mitt Romney40.6%Gary Johnson3.9% align=center10.31,258 LV±2.58%
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc.[398] September 3–6, 2012Barack Obama align=center45%Mitt Romney40%Gary Johnson7% align=center5667 LV±3.8%

New York

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGov[399] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama align=center59%Romney36% align=center231,430 LV±2.8%
WABC-TV New York/SurveyUSA[400] October 23 – 25, 2012Obama align=center62%Romney33% align=center29554 LV±4.1%
Siena College[401] October 22 – 24, 2012Obama align=center59%Romney35% align=center24750 LV±3.6%
Marist College[402] October 18 – 21, 2012Obama align=center61%Romney35% align=center26565 LV±4.1%
YouGov[403] October 4 – 11, 2012Obama align=center59%Romney35% align=center241,142 LV±3.2%
Quinnipiac University[404] September 4–9, 2012Obama align=center62%Romney34% align=center281,486 LV±2.5%

North Carolina

15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Gravis Marketing[405] November 4, 2012Obama46%Romney align=center50% align=center41,130 LV±2.9%
Public Policy Polling[406] November 3–4, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tied926 LV±3.2%
YouGov[407] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama47%Romney align=center49% align=center21,500 LV±2.8%
Public Policy Polling[408] October 29 – 31, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tied730 LV±3.6%
High Point University[409] October 22–30, 2012Obama45%Romney align=center46% align=center1403 LV±5%
WRAL-TV Raleigh/SurveyUSA[410] October 26–29, 2012Obama45%Romney align=center50% align=center5682 LV±3.8%
Elon University[411] October 21 – 26, 2012Obama45%Romney45%Tied1,238 LV±2.79%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[412] October 25, 2012Obama46%Romney align="center" 52% align="center" 6500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[413] October 23 – 25, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied880 LV±3.3%
Gravis Marketing[414] October 24, 2012Obama45%Romney align=center53% align=center81,723 LV±2.4%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D)[415] October 23 – 24, 2012Obama align="center" 47%Romney44% align="center" 3500 LV±4.4%
Civitas Institute/National Research (R)[416] October 20–21, 2012Obama47%Romney align="center" 48% align="center" 1600 LV±4%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D)[417] October 17 – 18, 2012Obama align="center" 47%Romney44% align="center" 3500 LV±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[418] October 17, 2012Obama46%Romney align="center" 52% align="center" 6500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[419] October 12 – 14, 2012Obama47%Romney align=center49% align=center21,084 LV±3.0%
North Carolina Republican Party/Tel Opinion Research (R)[420] October 12–13, 2012Obama45%Romney align=center49% align=center4600 LV±4.0%
YouGov[421] October 4–11, 2012Obama48%Romney align=center49% align=center1810 LV±3.9%
University of North Carolina/High Point University[422] September 29 – October 10, 2012Obama align="center" 46%Romney45% align="center" 1605 RV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[423] October 9, 2012Obama48%Romney align="center" 51% align="center" 3500 LV±4.5%
Gravis Marketing[424] October 6–8, 2012Obama41.2%Romney align="center" 49.9% align="center" 8.71,325 LV±2.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[425] October 2, 2012Obama47%Romney align="center" 51% align="center" 4500 LV±4.5%
Survey USA[426] September 29 – October 1, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney47% align=center2573 LV±4.2%
American Research Group[427] September 28 – 30, 2012Obama46%Romney align=center50% align=center4600 LV±4.0%
Public Policy Polling[428] September 27 – 30, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied981 LV±3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[429] September 23–25, 2012Obama align="center" 48%Romney46% align="center" 21,035 LV±3.0%
Civitas Institute/National Research (R)[430] September 18–19, 2012Obama align="center" 49%Romney45% align="center" 4600 RV±4%
Purple Strategies[431] September 15–19, 2012Obama align="center" 48%Romney46% align="center" 2600 LV±4%
FOX 8/High Point University[432] September 8–13, 15–18, 2012Obama align="center" 46%Romney43% align="center" 3448 RV±4.7%
YouGov[433] September 7–14, 2012Obama46%Romney align="center" 48% align="center" 21,060 LVNot reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[434] September 13, 2012Obama45%Romney align="center" 51% align="center" 6500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[435] September 7–9, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney48% align=center11,087 LV±3.0%
Civitas Institute/SurveyUSA[436] September 4–6, 2012Obama43%Romney align=center53% align=center10500 RV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[437] August 31 – Sept 2, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied1,012 LV±3.1%

North Dakota

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 63%–36%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[438] October 26 – 28, 2012Obama40%Romney align=center54% align=center14625 LV±4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[439] October 17 – 18, 2012Obama40%Romney align="center" 54% align="center" 14600 LV±4.0%
Forum Communications/Essman Research[440] October 12 – 15, 2012Obama32%Romney align="center" 57% align="center" 25500 LV±4.4%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[441] October 3 – 5, 2012Obama40%Romney align="center" 54% align="center" 14625 LV±4.0%
North Dakota Democratic-NPL State Party/DFM Research (D)[442] September 24 – 27, 2012Obama39%Romney align="center" 51% align="center" 12600 LV±4.0%

Ohio

18 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 52%–47%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Gravis Marketing[443] November 4–5, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney48% align=center11,316 LV±2.7%
Reuters/Ipsos[444] November 3–5, 2012Obama align="center" 50%Romney46% align="center" 4680 LV±4.3%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[445] November 4, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tied750 LV±4.0%
Public Policy Polling[446] November 3–4, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney47% align=center51,000 LV±3.1%
Angus Reid Public Opinion[447] November 2–4, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney48% align=center3572 LV±4.1%
Reuters/Ipsos[448] November 2–4, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney44% align=center4712 LV±4.2%
WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA[449] November 1–4, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney44% align=center5803 LV±3.5%
University of Cincinnati[450] October 31 – November 4, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney49% align=center1901 LV±3.3%
Reuters/Ipsos[451] November 1–3, 2012Obama align=center46%Romney45% align=center11,031 LV±3.5%
YouGov[452] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney46% align=center31,620 LV±3%
Columbus Dispatch[453] October 24 – November 3, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney48% align=center21,501 LV±2.2%
USAction/Project New America/Project New America/Grove Insight (D)[454] November 1–2, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney45% align=center4500 LV±4.4%
Reuters/Ipsos[455] October 31 – November 2, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney45% align=center21,012 LV±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[456] November 1, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tied750 LV±4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[457] October 30 – November 1, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney45% align=center6971 LV±3.1%
We Ask America[458] October 30 – November 1, 2012Obama align=center50.2%Romney45.8% align=center41,649 LV±2.6%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[459] October 30 – November 1, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney47% align=center3796 LV±3.5%
Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R)[460] October 30–31, 2012Obama46%Romney align="center" 49% align="center" 31,281 LV±2.7%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D)[461] October 29 – 30, 2012Obama align="center" 50%Romney45% align="center" 5600 LV±4.0%
University of Cincinnati[462] October 25 – 30, 2012Obama align="center" 48%Romney46% align="center" 21,141 LV±2.9%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)[463] October 29, 2012Obama align="center" 48%Romney46% align="center" 21,000 LV±3%
USAction/Project New America/Project New America/Grove Insight (D)[464] October 28 – 29, 2012Obama align="center" 48%Romney45% align="center" 3500 LV±4.4%
WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA[465] October 26 – 29, 2012Obama align="center" 48%Romney45% align="center" 3603 LV±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[466] October 28, 2012Obama48%Romney align="center" 50% align="center" 2750 LV±4%
Pharos Research[467] October 26 – 28, 2012Obama align="center" 49%Romney46.3% align="center" 2.7765 LV±3.5%
Public Policy Polling[468] October 26 – 28, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney47% align=center4718 LV±3.7%
CBS News/Quinnipiac University[469] October 23 – 28, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney45% align=center51,100 LV±3%
Gravis Marketing[470] October 27, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney49% align=center1730 LV±3.6%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D)[471] October 23 – 25, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney44% align=center5600 LV±4%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[472] October 23 – 25, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney46% align=center4741 RV±3.5%
Purple Strategies[473] October 23 – 25, 2012Obama align=center46%Romney44% align=center2600 LV±4.0%
American Research Group[474] October 23 – 25, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney47% align=center2600 LV±4.0%
TIME/Abt SRBI[475] October 22 – 23, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney44% align=center5783 LV±3%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[476] October 23, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied750 LV±4.0%
USAction/Lake Research (D)[477] October 20 – 23, 2012Obama align=center46%Romney44% align=center2600 LV±4.0%
Ohio Newspaper Organization/University of Cincinnati[478] October 18 – 23, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tied1,015 LV±3.1%
WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA[479] October 20 – 22, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney44% align=center3609 LV±4.1%
Suffolk University[480] October 18 – 21, 2012Obama47%Romney47%Tied600 LV±4.0%
CBS News/Quinnipiac University[481] October 17–20, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney45% align=center51,548 LV±3%
Angus Reid Public Opinion[482] October 18–20, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied550 LV±4.2%
Public Policy Polling[483] October 18–20, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney48% align=center1532 LV±4.3%
Gravis Marketing[484] October 18 – 19, 2012Obama47%Romney47%Tied1,943 LV±2.2%
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company[485] October 17–18, 2012Obama align=center46%Romney43% align=center31,131 LV±3%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[486] October 17, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney48% align=center1750 LV±4.0%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)[487] October 15, 2012Obama46%Romney align=center47% align=center11,000 LV±3.0%
WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA[488] October 12–15, 2012Obama align="center" 45%Romney42% align="center" 3613 LV±4.0%
Public Policy Polling[489] October 12–13, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney46% align=center5880 LV±3.3%
YouGov[490] October 4–11, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney46% align=center4851 LV±4.8%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[491] October 10, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney47% align=center1750 LV±4.0%
Gravis Marketing[492] October 6 – 10, 2012Obama45.1%Romney align=center45.9% align=center0.81,313 LV±2.7%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[493] October 7 – 9, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney45% align=center6994 LV±3.1%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)[494] October 8, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney46% align=center11,000 LV±3.0%
WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA[495] October 5 – 8, 2012Obama align="center" 45%Romney44% align="center" 1808 LV±3.5%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[496] October 5–8, 2012Obama align="center" 51%Romney47% align="center" 4722 LV±3.5%
American Research Group[497] October 5 – 8, 2012Obama47%Romney align=center48% align=center1600 LV±4.0%
Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R)[498] October 4–5, 2012Obama47.3%Romney align=center48% align=center0.71,072 LV±2.96%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[499] October 4, 2012Obama align="center" 50%Romney49% align="center" 1500 LV±4.5%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)[500] October 1, 2012Obama align="center" 50%Romney43% align="center" 71,000 LV±3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[501] September 30 – October 1, 2012Obama align="center" 51%Romney43% align="center" 8931 LV±3.2%
Public Policy Polling[502] September 27 – 30, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney45% align=center4897 LV±3.3%
Columbus Dispatch[503] September 19 – 29, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney42% align=center91,662 LV±2.2%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[504] September 18 – 24, 2012Obama align=center53%Romney43% align=center101,162 LV±3.0%
Washington Post[505] September 19 – 23, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney44% align=center8759 LV±4.5%
Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing[506] September 21 – 22, 2012Obama align=center45.2%Romney44.3% align=center0.9594 LV±4.3%
Purple Strategies[507] September 15 – 19, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney44% align=center4600 LV±4.0%
Ohio Newspaper Organization/University of Cincinnati[508] September 13 – 18, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney46% align=center5861 LV±3.3%
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company[509] September 16–18, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney42% align=center71,009 LV±3.0%
National Resource Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D)[510] September 14–18, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney44% align=center62,890 LVNot reported
Secure America Now/Caddell Associates/Caddell Associates/McLaughlin & Associates (R)[511] September 13–15, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney44% align=center3 600 LV±4.0%
YouGov[512] September 7–14, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney44% align=center31,036 LVNot reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[513] September 12, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney46% align=center1500 LV±4.5%
American Research Group[514] September 10–12, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney47% align=center1600 LV±4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[515] September 9–12, 2012Obama align="center" 50%Romney43% align="center" 7979 LV±3.1%
Public Policy Polling[516] September 7–9, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney45% align=center51,072 LV±3.0%
Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing[517] September 7–8, 2012Obama align=center47.27%Romney43.19% align=center4.081,548 LV±2.7%
Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing[518] September 2, 2012Obama43.7%Romney align=center46.8% align=center3.11,381 RV±2.9%

Three way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
We Ask America[519] October 4, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney47%Gary Johnson1%11,200 LV±3%
Gravis Marketing[520] September 21–22, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney38%Gary Johnson11% align="center" 7594 LV±4.3%
Gravis Marketing[521] September 7–8, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney43%Gary Johnson5% align="center" 21,548 LV±2.7%

Oklahoma

7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 66%–34%
(Republican in 2008) 67%–34%

Oregon

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[523] October 31 – November 1, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney46% align=center6921 LV±3.2%
Elway Research[524] October 25 – 28, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney41% align=center6405 LV±5%
Hoffman Research[525] October 24 – 25, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney42% align=center5615 LV±3.9%
Survey USA[526] October 16 – 18, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney42% align=center7579 LV±4.2%
Survey USA[527] September 10–13, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney41% align=center9552 LV±4.3%

Pennsylvania

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Gravis Marketing[528] November 4, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney46% align=center31,060 LV±3%
Angus Reid Public Opinion[529] November 2 – 4, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney47% align=center4479 LVNot reported
Public Policy Polling[530] November 2 – 3, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney46% align=center6790 LV±3.5%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[531] November 1 – 3, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney46% align=center3430 LV±5%
YouGov[532] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney44% align=center81,273 LV±3.3%
Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.[533] October 29–31, 2012Obama47%Romney47%Tied800 LV±3.5%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)[534] October 30, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney46% align=center31,000 LV±3%
Franklin & Marshall College[535] October 23–28, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney45% align=center4547 LV±4.2%
Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research Inc.[536] October 23–25, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney43% align=center6600 LV±4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[537] October 24, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney46% align=center5500 LV±4.5%
Gravis Marketing[538] October 21, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney45% align=center3887 LV±3.3%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[539] October 17 – 21, 2012Obama align="center" 50%Romney45% align="center" 5444 LV±5.0%
Angus Reid Public Opinion[540] October 18 – 20, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney42% align=center10559 LV±4.2%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)[541] October 15, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney44% align=center41,000 LV±3%
Quinnipiac University[542] October 12 – 14, 2012Obama align="center" 50%Romney46% align="center" 41,519 LV±2.5%
Public Policy Polling[543] October 12 – 14, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney44% align=center7500 LV±4.4%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[544] October 10 – 14, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney45% align=center4438 LV±5.0%
YouGov[545] October 4–11, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney44% align=center7967 LV±4.3%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[546] October 9, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney46% align=center5500 LV±4.5%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)[547] October 8, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney45% align=center21,000 LV±3%
Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research Inc.[548] October 4–8, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney42% align=center2600 LV±4%
Siena College[549] October 1 – 5, 2012 Obama align="center" 43%Romney40% align="center" 3545 LV±4.2%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[550] September 22–26, 2012Obama align="center" 49%Romney42% align="center" 7427 LV±5.0%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[551] September 18–24, 2012Obama align="center" 54%Romney42% align="center" 121,180 LV±3.0%
Franklin and Marshall College[552] September 18–23, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney43% align=center9392 LV±4.9%
Tribune-Review/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.[553] September 18–20, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney45% align=center2800 LV±3.46%
Mercyhurst University[554] September 12–20, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney40% align=center8522 LV±4.29%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[555] September 19, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney39% align=center12500 LV±4.5%
We Ask America[556] September 18, 2012Obama align=center48.1%Romney42.2% align=center5.91,214 LV±2.8%
National Research Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D)[557] September 17–18, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney40% align=center122,051 LV±2.2%
Republican State Committee of Pennsylvania/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R)[558] September 15–17, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney47% align=center1800 LV±3.46%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[559] September 10–16, 2012Obama align="center" 50%Romney41% align="center" 9640 LV±4.0%
YouGov[560] September 7–14, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney43% align=center91,139 LVNot reported
Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research Inc.[561] September 9–12, 2012Obama align="center" 50%Romney39% align="center" 11600 LV±4%
Three-way raceFour-way race

Rhode Island

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–35%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
WPRI 12/Fleming & Associates[564] October 24–27, 2012Obama align=center54%Romney33% align=center21601 LV±4%
Brown University[565] September 26 – October 5, 2012Obama align=center58.2%Romney32.3% align=center25.9471 LV±4.4%
WPRI 12/Fleming & Associates[566] September 26–29, 2012Obama align=center57.3%Romney33.1% align=center24.2501 LV±4.38%

South Carolina

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%

South Dakota

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Nielson Brothers Polling[567] October 31 – November 4, 2012Obama41%Romney align=center53% align=center12633 LV±3.90%
Nielson Brothers Polling[568] October 28–31, 2012Obama42%Romney align=center50% align=center8671 LV±3.78%
Nielson Brothers Polling[569] August 29 – September 6, 2012Obama39%Romney align=center54% align=center15509 LV±4.34%
Nielson Brothers Polling[570] July 19–23, 2012Obama43%Romney align=center49% align=center6541 LV±4.21%

Tennessee

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGov[571] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama42%Romney align=center53% align=center11697 LV±4%
Middle Tennessee State University[572] October 16 – 21, 2012Obama34%Romney align=center59% align=center25609 LV±4%
YouGov[573] October 4 – 11, 2012Obama43%Romney align=center52% align=center9484 LV±5%
YouGov[574] September 7 – 14, 2012Obama42%Romney align=center50% align=center8694 LVNot reported

Texas

38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 61%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGov[575] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama38%Romney align=center57% align=center191,563 LV±3.2%
University of Texas at Austin/Texas Tribune/YouGov[576] October 15 – 21, 2012Obama39%Romney align=center55% align=center16540 LV±4.22%
YouGov[577] October 4 – 11, 2012Obama41%Romney align=center55% align=center14958 LV±4.5%
Texas Lyceum[578] September 10 – 26, 2012Obama39%Romney align=center58% align=center19443 LV±4.66%
Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research[579] September 9–11, 2012Obama40%Romney align=center55% align=center151,000 LV±3.1%

Utah

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 72%–26%
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
KSL-TV/Deseret News/Dan Jones & Associates[580] October 26 – November 1, 2012Obama26%Romney align=center69% align=center43870 LV±3.4%
Brigham Young University/Key Research[581] October 9–13, 2012Obama20%Romney align=center71% align=center51500 LV±4.4%
InsiderAdvantage[582] October 8–13, 2012Obama21%Romney align=center74% align=center53Not reported±7.6%

Vermont

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%

Virginia

13 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Reuters/Ipsos[583] November 3–5, 2012Obama align="center" 48%Romney46% align="center" 2828 LV±3.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[584] November 4, 2012Obama48%Romney align="center" 50% align="center" 2750 LV±4%
Public Policy Polling[585] November 3–4, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney47% align=center4975 LV±3.1%
Reuters/Ipsos[586] November 2–4, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney46% align=center1662 LV±4.3%
Reuters/Ipsos[587] November 1–3, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney45% align=center3947 LV±3.6%
YouGov[588] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney46% align=center21,497 LV±2.7%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[589] November 1–2, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney47% align=center11,165 LV±2.9%
Reuters/Ipsos[590] October 31 – November 2, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney45% align=center31,065 LV±3.4%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D)[591] October 30 – November 2, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney45% align=center3800 LV±3.4%
We Ask America[592] October 30 – November 1, 2012Obama align=center48.5%Romney47.6% align=center0.91,069 LV±3%
Reuters/Ipsos[593] October 30 – November 1, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney44% align=center5792 LV±4%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D)[594] October 30 – 31, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney46% align=center3600 LV±4.0%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)[595] October 30, 2012Obama align="center" 49%Romney48% align="center" 11,000 LV±3%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[596] October 23 – 28, 2012Obama align="center" 49%Romney47% align="center" 21,074 LV±3%
Priorities USA Action/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D)[597] October 25–27, 2012Obama align="center" 49%Romney46% align="center" 3807 LVNot reported
Gravis Marketing[598] October 26, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied645 LV±3.9%
Roanoke College[599] October 23–26, 2012Obama44%Romney align=center49% align=center5638 LV±4%
The Washington Post[600] October 22–26, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney47% align=center41,228 LV±3.5%
Purple Strategies[601] October 23 – 25, 2012Obama47%Romney47%Tied600 LV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[602] October 24, 2012Obama48%Romney align=center50% align=center2750 LV±4.0%
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company[603] October 23–24, 2012Obama45%Romney align=center47% align=center21126 LV±3.0%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D)[604] October 23 – 24, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney46% align=center5722 LV±3.6%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D)[605] October 18 – 21, 2012Obama align="center" 46%Romney45% align="center" 1800 LV±3.46%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D)[606] October 18 – 19, 2012Obama align="center" 49%Romney47% align="center" 2500 LV±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[607] October 18, 2012Obama47%Romney align="center" 50% align="center" 3750 LV±4.0%
Virginian-Pilot/Old Dominion University[608] September 19 – October 17, 2012Obama align="center" 50%Romney43% align="center" 7465 LV±3.4%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)[609] October 15 – 16, 2012Obama align="center" 49%Romney48% align="center" 1733 LV±3.6%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)[610] October 15, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney46% align=center11,000 LV±3.0%
American Research Group[611] October 12 – 14, 2012Obama47%Romney align=center48% align=center1600 LV±4.0%
Kimball Political Consulting[612] October 12 – 13, 2012Obama43%Romney align=center54% align=center11696 LV±3.7%
YouGov[613] October 4–11, 2012Obama align=center46%Romney45% align=center1743 LV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[614] October 11, 2012Obama47%Romney align="center" 49% align="center" 2750 LV±4.0%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[615] October 8–9, 2012Obama44%Romney align="center" 51% align="center" 7600 LV±4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[616] October 7–9, 2012Obama47%Romney align="center" 48% align="center" 1981 LV±3.1%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[617] October 4–9, 2012Obama align="center" 51%Romney46% align="center" 51,288 LV±2.7%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)[618] October 8, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied1,000 LV±3.0%
Public Policy Polling[619] October 4–7, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney47% align=center3725 LV±3.7%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[620] October 4, 2012Obama48%Romney align=center49% align=center1500 LV±4.5%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)[621] October 1, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney47% align=center11,000 LV±3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[622] September 30 – October 1, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney46% align=center2969 LV±3.1%
Roanoke College[623] September 19 – 28, 2012Obama align=center47%Romney39% align=center8589 LV±4.0%
American Research Group[624] September 24 – 27, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney47% align=center2600 LV±4.0%
National Research Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D)[625] September 17–19, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney43% align=center62,770 LV±1.9%
Purple Strategies[626] September 15 – 19, 2012Obama align=center46%Romney43% align=center3600 LV±4.0%
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company[627] September 16–18, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney43% align=center71,006 LV±3.0%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[628] September 11–17, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney46% align=center41,474 LV±3.0%
Public Policy Polling[629] September 13–16, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney46% align=center51,021 LV±3.1%
Washington Post[630] September 12–16, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney44% align=center8847 LV±3.5%
YouGov[631] September 7–14, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney44% align=center4753 LVNot reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[632] September 13, 2012Obama align="center" 49%Romney48% align="center" 1500 LV±4.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[633] September 9–11, 2012Obama align="center" 49%Romney44% align="center" 5996 LV±3.1%
Gravis Marketing[634] September 8–9, 2012Obama44.04%Romney align="center" 49.39% align="center" 5.352,238 LV±2.2%
Three-way race
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%MarginSample sizeMargin of error
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & CompanyOctober 23–24, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney46%Virgil Goode1%21,126 LV±3%
We Ask America[635] October 4, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney48%Gary Johnson2%31,200 LV±3%
We Ask America[636] September 17, 2012Barack Obama48.5%Mitt Romney45.7%Gary Johnson1.1%2.81,238 LV±2.8%
Four-way raceFive-way race

Washington

12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGov[639] October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama align=center54%Romney40% align=center14837 LVNot reported
Public Policy Polling[640] November 1 – 3, 2012Obama align=center53%Romney46% align=center7932 LV±3.2%
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA[641] October 28 – 31, 2012Obama align=center54%Romney40% align=center14555 LV±4.2%
KCTS9/University of Washington[642] October 18 – 31, 2012Obama align=center57.1%Romney36.4% align=center20.7632 LV±3.9%
Strategies 360[643] October 17 – 20, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney39% align=center13500 LV±4.4%
Washington Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)[644] October 15 – 16, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney45% align=center5574 LVNot reported
KCTS9/University of Washington[645] October 1–16, 2012Obama align=center51.9%Romney42.9% align=center9644 LV±3.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[646] October 14, 2012Obama align=center55%Romney42% align=center13500 LV±4.5%
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA[647] October 12 – 14, 2012Obama align=center54%Romney40% align=center14543 LV±4.3%
YouGov[648] October 4–11, 2012Obama align=center56%Romney39% align=center17748 LV±4.3%
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA[649] September 28 – 30, 2012Obama align="center" 56%Romney36% align="center" 20540 LV±4.3%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[650] September 26, 2012Obama align="center" 52%Romney41% align="center" 11500 LV±4.5%
Gravis Marketing[651] September 21–22, 2012Obama align="center" 56%Romney39% align="center" 17625 LV±4.6%
YouGov[652] September 7–14, 2012Obama align=center53%Romney39% align=center14880 LVNot reported
Elway Research[653] September 9–12, 2012Obama align="center" 53%Romney36% align="center" 17405 RV±5.0%
Washington Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)[654] September 7–9, 2012Obama align="center" 53%Romney42% align="center" 11563 LVNot reported
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA[655] September 7–9, 2012Obama align="center" 54%Romney38% align="center" 16524 LV±4.4%

West Virginia

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%

Wisconsin

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[656] November 2 – 3, 2012Obama align="center" 51%Romney48% align="center" 31,256 LV±2.8%
Angus Reid Public Opinion[657] November 1–3, 2012Obama align=center53%Romney46% align=center7482 LV±4.5%
YouGov[658] October 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama align=center50%Romney46% align=center41,225 LV±3.1%
USAction/Project New America/Project New America/Grove Insight (D)[659] November 1–2, 2012Obama align=center48%Romney42% align=center6500 LV±4.4%
We Ask America[660] October 30 – November 1, 2012Obama align=center51.5%Romney44.8% align=center6.71,210 LV±3%
Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R)[661] October 30–31, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney47% align=center21,074 LV±3%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)[662] October 30, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney48% align=center11,000 LV±3%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D)[663] October 29–30, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney46% align=center5825 LV±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[664] October 29, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tie750 LV±4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[665] October 28–29, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney46% align=center31,065 LV±3%
St. Norbert College[666] October 25–29, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney42% align=center9402 LV±5%
Marquette Law School[667] October 25–28, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney43% align=center81,243 LV±2.8%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[668] October 25, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tie500 LV±4.5%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D)[669] October 24–25, 2012Obama align="center" 48%Romney43% align="center" 5500 LV±4.4%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D)[670] October 23–24, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney45% align=center6827 LV±3.4%
Angus Reid Public Opinion[671] October 18–20, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney46% align=center5469 LVNot reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[672] October 18, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney48% align=center2500 LV±4.5%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D)[673] October 17–18, 2012Obama align="center" 47%Romney44% align="center" 3500 LV±4.4%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[674] October 15 – 17, 2012Obama align="center" 48%Romney46% align="center" 2625 LV±4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[675] October 15 – 17, 2012Obama align="center" 51%Romney45% align="center" 61,013 LV±3.1%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)[676] October 15, 2012Obama align="center" 50%Romney47% align="center" 31,000 LV±3%
Marquette Law School[677] October 11–14, 2012Obama align="center" 49%Romney48% align="center" 1870 LV±3.4%
YouGov[678] October 4 – 11, 2012Obama align="center" 51%Romney47% align="center" 4638 LV±4.9%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[679] October 4–9, 2012Obama align="center" 50%Romney47% align="center" 31,327 LV±2.7%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[680] October 9, 2012Obama align="center" 51%Romney49% align="center" 2500 LV±4.5%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)[681] October 8, 2012Obama align="center" 50%Romney46% align="center" 41,000 LV±3.0%
Public Policy Polling[682] October 4 – 6, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney47% align=center2979 LV±3.1%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)[683] October 1, 2012Obama align="center" 51%Romney44% align="center" 71,000 LV±3.0%
JZ Analytics[684] September 29–30, 2012Obama align="center" 48.9%Romney38.8% align="center" 10.1414 LV±4.9%
Marquette Law School[685] September 27 – 30, 2012Obama align="center" 53%Romney42% align="center" 11894 LV±3.3%
Public Policy Polling[686] September 18 – 19, 2012Obama align=center52%Romney45% align=center7842 LV±3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[687] September 16 – 18, 2012Obama align=center50%Romney45% align=center5968 LV±3.2%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[688] September 17, 2012Obama align=center49%Romney46% align=center3500 LV±4.5%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[689] September 11–17, 2012Obama align=center51%Romney45% align=center61,485 LV±3.0%
Marquette Law School[690] September 13–16, 2012Obama align="center" 54%Romney40% align="center" 14601 LV±4%
YouGov[691] September 7–14, 2012 Obama align="center" 48%Romney47% align="center" 1753 LVNot reported
Democracy for America/Public Policy Polling (D)[692] September 12–13, 2012Obama align="center" 49%Romney48% align="center" 1959 LV±3.16%

Three way race

Wyoming

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 69%–29%
(Republican in 2008) 65%–33%

No polls conducted

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_AZMT_1104.pdf Public Policy Polling
  2. http://today.yougov.com/news/2012/11/04/arizona/ YouGov
  3. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/arizona/election_2012_arizona_president Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  4. http://today.yougov.com/news/2012/10/16/arizona/ YouGov
  5. Web site: Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) . 2012-10-14 . 2012-10-14 . https://web.archive.org/web/20121014232934/http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/10/13/poll-presidential-race-close-in-arizona/ . dead .
  6. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_AZ_1003.pdf Public Policy Polling
  7. http://www.azhighground.com/?p=913 Moore Information/HighGround (R)
  8. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/arizona/election_2012_arizona_president Rasmussen Reports
  9. https://web.archive.org/web/20120921152521/http://www.purplestrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/PurplePoll-9.21.12.pdf Purple Strategies
  10. http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/9h4ma1z63z/Tabs_AZ.pdf YouGov
  11. http://images.politico.com/global/2012/09/arizonaresultsivr2.html Public Policy Polling
  12. https://web.archive.org/web/20130113094207/http://www.uark.edu/depts/plscinfo/partners/arkpoll/12/2012_Arkansas_Poll_Summary_Report.pdf The Arkansas Poll
  13. http://talkbusiness.net/2012/09/mitt-romney-holds-big-lead-on-president-obama/ Talk Business/Hendrix College
  14. http://today.yougov.com/news/2012/11/04/california/ YouGov
  15. https://web.archive.org/web/20130113202655/http://www.field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers/Rls2433.pdf Field Research
  16. http://www.cbrt.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/CBRTPep.ToplineTest8.Breakouts.FINAL_.102812.pdf CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies
  17. https://www.latimes.com/world/la-xpm-2012-oct-27-la-na-california-poll-20121026-story.html USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint
  18. http://www.ppic.org/main/publication.asp?i=1038 Public Policy Institute of California
  19. http://reason.com/assets/db/13505849198068.pdf Reason-Rupe Public Opinion/Princeton Survey Research Associates International
  20. https://today.yougov.com/topics/politics/articles-reports/2012/10/16/california YouGov
  21. http://www.cbrt.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/CBRTPep.ToplineTest7.Breakouts.FINAL_.pdf CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies
  22. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollPrint.aspx?g=b04e8f04-f3fd-4ced-9b18-5b374f5f13d8&d=0 SurveyUSA
  23. https://web.archive.org/web/20120901184654/http://field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers/Rls2416.pdf Field Research Corporation/UC Berkeley (Field Poll)
  24. http://www.ppic.org/content/pubs/survey/S_912MBS.pdf Public Policy Institute of California
  25. http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/jjrzpgk0uy/Tabs_CA.pdf YouGov
  26. http://www.cbrt.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/CBRTPep.ToplineTest5.Breakouts.FINAL_.pdf CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies
  27. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollPrint.aspx?g=26d4dab7-8c9c-4c48-9eea-71be8f536341&d=0 SurveyUSA
  28. http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/ReutersIpsosStates.pdf Reuters/Ipsos
  29. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_CONV_1105.pdf Public Policy Polling
  30. https://web.archive.org/web/20121115052107/http://onsightpublicaffairs.com/media/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/KR-CO-Tracking-Poll-November-2-4-Presidential-Results.pdf Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs
  31. http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/ipsosstate110412.pdf Reuters/Ipsos
  32. http://howwillamericavote.com/polls.aspx?ID=252385 USAction/Lake Research Partners (D)
  33. http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/ipsosstate110312.pdf Reuters/Ipsos
  34. http://today.yougov.com/news/2012/11/04/colorado/ YouGov
  35. http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/ipsosstate110212.pdf Reuters/Ipsos
  36. http://images.politico.com/global/2012/11/121102_coloradoresults_lcv.pdf League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)
  37. http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/ipsosstate111012.pdf Reuters/Ipsos
  38. http://www.denverpost.com/breakingnews/ci_21914514/poll-obama-romney-still-essentially-tied-colorado Denver Post/SurveyUSA
  39. http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/11/01/topco1.pdf CNN/Opinion Research Corporation
  40. http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/ipsosstate103112.pdf Reuters/Ipsos
  41. https://web.archive.org/web/20121103224818/http://weaskamerica.com/2012/10/31/hot-off-the-presses/ We Ask America
  42. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/political_updates/daily_presidential_tracking_poll Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  43. https://www.scribd.com/doc/111611304/Memo-PNA-CO3-102912-Docx Project New America/Grove Insight (D)
  44. http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2012/CO12.html American Research Group
  45. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_CO_1025.pdf Public Policy Polling
  46. http://www.purplestrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/October_v7.pdf Purple Strategies
  47. http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/KeatingCO10231024.pdf Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs
  48. https://web.archive.org/web/20121026082510/http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/NBC%20News_WSJ_Marist%20Poll%20Colorado%20Annotated%20Questionnaire_October%2025%202012.pdf NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College
  49. http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/GroveCO102512.pdf Project New America/Grove Insight (D)
  50. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/colorado/election_2012_colorado_president Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  51. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_CO_1018.pdf Public Policy Polling
  52. http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/PNAColorado1007.pdf Project New America/Grove Insight (D)
  53. https://web.archive.org/web/20121018211902/http://weaskamerica.com/2012/10/16/ia-co/ We Ask America
  54. http://gravismarketing.blogspot.com/2012/10/gravis-marketing-colorado-presidential.html Gravis Marketing
  55. http://www.denverpost.com/breakingnews/ci_21759147/poll-romney-gains-obama-colorado-but-race-remains Denver Post/SurveyUSA
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