2022 United States Senate election in Missouri explained

Election Name:2022 United States Senate election in Missouri
Country:Missouri
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States Senate election in Missouri
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2028 United States Senate election in Missouri
Next Year:2028
Election Date:November 8, 2022
Image1:File:Sen. Eric Schmitt, official portrait, 118th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Eric Schmitt
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:1,146,966
Percentage1:55.43%
Nominee2:Trudy Busch Valentine
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:872,694
Percentage2:42.18%
U.S. Senator
Before Election:Roy Blunt
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Eric Schmitt
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2022 United States Senate election in Missouri was held on November 8, 2022, concurrently with elections for all other Class 3 U.S. senators and elections for the U.S. House of Representatives, to select a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Missouri. Incumbent senator Roy Blunt, a Republican, did not seek a third term in office. Republican Missouri Attorney General Eric Schmitt won the open seat, defeating Democrat Trudy Busch Valentine.

Republican primary

In March 2021, incumbent Republican Senator Roy Blunt announced that he would not seek reelection in 2022.[1]

Republican candidates for Blunt's Senate seat included former Gov. Eric Greitens,[2] U.S. Rep. Vicky Hartzler,[3] U.S. Rep. Billy Long,[4] and Missouri Attorney General Eric Schmitt.[5]

Schmitt's candidacy was backed by Missouri mega-donor Rex Sinquefield.[6] In the speech announcing his candidacy, Schmitt tied himself to Donald Trump and spoke against "the radical left". He pledged to vote against Mitch McConnell for the Senate Republican party leadership position.[7]

In February 2022, Hartzler's campaign released a 30-second ad criticizing Lia Thomas, a transgender swimmer on the University of Pennsylvania women's team. In the ad, Hartzler said, "Women's sports are for women, not men pretending to be women", adding that, as Missouri's senator, she would not "look away while woke liberals destroy women's sports."[8]

U.S. Sen. Josh Hawley endorsed Hartzler in February 2022.[9] On July 8, 2022, Donald Trump refused to endorse Hartzler, saying, "I don't think she has what it takes to take on the Radical Left Democrats."[10] [9]

Greitens was endorsed by former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani, former U.S. Secretary of the Interior Ryan Zinke, and Fox News personality Kimberly Guilfoyle, the latter joining his campaign as a national chair.[11]

Many Republican officials, strategists, and donors maneuvered to stymie Greitens's attempted comeback, believing that the scandal surrounding his resignation as governor, his extramarital affair, and the sexual assault accusation against him would make him a weak general election candidate and lead to the loss of the Senate seat to a Democrat.[12] Notable Republican opponents of Greitens's candidacy included Karl Rove, Johnny DeStefano,[12] and Senator Rick Scott, the chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee.[13] After Greitens's ex-wife filed an affidavit against him in March 2022 accusing him of physical abuse, Senator Josh Hawley (who had endorsed Vicky Hartzler the previous month[14]) called upon Greitens to drop out.[15]

Republican megadonor Richard Uihlein funded a pro-Greitens super PAC ("Team PAC"), contributing $2.5 million to it.[16] Other Republican megadonors, including Rex Sinquefield and August Busch, aligned against Greitens.[12] A Republican-funded anti-Greitens super PAC ("Show Me Values PAC") was created in June 2022[17] and ran $6.2 million in ads through late July 2022.[18]

Republican officials, including Rick Scott, waged a campaign to persuade Donald Trump not to endorse Greitens.[13] On the eve of the primary election, Trump issued a statement endorsing "ERIC" in the primary, leaving it unclear which "Eric" he was endorsing.[13] [19]

In the primary election, Schmitt prevailed with 45.7% of the vote; Hartzler received 22.1%, Greitens 18.9%, and Long 5%.

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Missed filing deadline

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

The day before the primary, former president Donald Trump released a statement endorsing "ERIC". There were three candidates with the first name Eric running in the Republican primary: Eric Greitens, Eric McElroy, and Eric Schmitt. Trump's statement did not offer any clarification on whether this was an endorsement for one or multiple candidates, and when reached for comment by NBC News, Trump's office declined to clarify the endorsement.[51] [52]

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Eric
Greitens		Vicky
Hartzler		Billy
Long		Mark
McCloskey		Dave
Schatz		Eric
Schmitt		OtherUndecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)[55] July 31 – August 1, 20221,078 (LV)± 2.9%21%18%5%5%3%34%–15%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[56] July 27–28, 2022818 (LV)± 3.4%18%22%6%5%5%34%2%8%
co/efficient (R)[57] July 27, 2022891 (LV)± 3.3%17%16%–––28%––
SurveyUSA[58] July 24–27, 2022787 (LV)± 4.2%20%13%8%4%3%28%4%21%
Emerson College[59] July 21–23, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%16%21%5%4%2%33%1%17%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[60] July 23–24, 2022802 (LV)± 3.4%18%25%8%4%3%32%–10%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[61] July 22–24, 20221,059 (LV)± 2.9%20%24%7%5%2%27%–16%
The Tarrance Group (R)[62] July 5–7, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%16%24%6%4%4%28%–18%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[63] June 28–30, 20221,072 (LV)± 2.9%24%24%6%3%4%23%–17%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[64] June 22–23, 2022911 (LV)± 3.1%20%19%8%5%2%25%–21%
Emerson College[65] June 2–5, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%26%16%8%4%0%20%1%27%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[66] May 16–18, 20221,065 (LV)± 2.9%26%23%9%3%3%19%–17%
SurveyUSA[67] May 11–15, 2022642 (LV)± 5.0%26%11%7%2%2%17%7%28%
Remington Research (R)[68] May 11–12, 2022945 (LV)± 3.0%21%23%–––29%10%17%
co/efficient (R)[69] May 2–4, 2022806 (LV)± 3.5%26%19%7%5%2%14%–27%
NMB Research (R)[70] April 6–7, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%23%20%7%3%2%25%20%–
OnMessage Inc. (R)[71] April 4–6, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%22%23%11%5%2%16%–21%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[72] March 24–29, 20221,079 (LV)± 3.0%24%25%8%2%3%22%–16%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[73] March 22–23, 2022941 (LV)± 3.1%21%19%9%5%3%24%–19%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[74] February 22–24, 20221,026 (LV)± 3.0%31%17%6%5%2%23%3%15%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[75] February 16–17, 2022917 (LV)± 3.1%25%18%8%5%2%22%–20%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[76] January 26–27, 2022902 (LV)± 3.1%28%19%7%5%1%23%–17%
OnMessage Inc. (R)January 2022– (LV)–30%16%9%6%1%16%–23%
CMA Strategies (R)[77] January 2022400 (LV)± 5.0%27%12%6%4%1%15%–36%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[78] December 1–2, 2021744 (LV)± 3.4%27%16%7%4%3%24%–19%
NMB Research (R)December 2021– (LV)–34%––––17%49%–
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[79] October 20–21, 2021806 (LV)± 3.2%27%19%8%4%–25%–17%
Fabrizio Lee (R)[80] October 3–5, 2021400 (LV)± 4.9%36%10%6%4%–17%1%25%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[81] September 8–9, 2021847 (LV)± 3.2%27%17%8%5%–28%–15%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[82] August 4–5, 2021911 (LV)± 3.0%27%13%12%9%–24%–15%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[83] June 9–10, 20211,011 (LV)± 3.0%34%14%–7%–25%–20%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[84] March 24–25, 20211,041 (LV)± 3.0%36%–14%––30%–20%
40%––––39%–21%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Roy
Blunt		John
Brunner		Eric
Greitens		Vicky
Hartzler		Billy
Long		Eric
Schmitt		Jason
Smith		Ann
Wagner		Undecided
Remington Research (R)/Missouri ScoutMarch 24–25, 20211,041 (LV)± 3.0%–2%31%8%6%18%9%12%14%
–10%38%––30%––22%
––36%––29%16%–19%
––38%––26%–18%18%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[85] March 23–25, 2021400 (LV)± 4.9%––48%––11%7%9%26%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[86] December 2–3, 2020840 (LV)± 3.4%43%–32%–––––25%

Results

Democratic primary

As the Democratic primary season progressed, three main contenders emerged: Lucas Kunce, director of national security at the American Economic Liberties Project; Spencer Toder, a businessman; and Trudy Busch Valentine, heiress of the Anheuser-Busch brewing company.[87] Kunce and Toder both campaigned as anti-establishment populists, whereas Valentine campaigned in a staid manner with few public appearances.[87]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Lucas
Kunce		Spencer
Toder
Valentine
Wright		OtherUndecided
SurveyUSAJuly 24–27, 2022547 (LV)± 5.6%14%3%40%6%9%28%
Emerson CollegeJuly 21–23, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%35%3%39%1%1%22%
Triton Polling & Research (D)[103] May 2022~544 (LV)± 4.2%19%24%26%––31%
SurveyUSAMay 11–15, 2022500 (LV)± 5.0%10%3%8%3%12%63%
Public Policy Polling (D)[104] April 13–14, 2022546 (LV)± 4.2%25%–18%––56%

Results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Constitution primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Independents

Candidates

John Wood, a former Bush administration official and a January 6 Committee investigator, announced that he would run for the seat as an independent on June 29, but he withdrew from the race after former Missouri Governor Eric Greitens lost the Republican primary to Schmitt.[105] [106]

Withdrew

Missed ballot deadline

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
538[110] November 7, 2022
align=left The Cook Political Report[111] November 7, 2022
DDHQ[112] November 7, 2022
The Economist[113] November 7, 2022
Fox News[114] November 1, 2022
align=left Inside Elections[115] November 3, 2022
Politico[116] August 12, 2022
RCP[117] November 5, 2022
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[118] November 7, 2022

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Eric
Schmitt (R)		Trudy Busch
Valentine (D)		Undecided
Margin
RealClearPolitics[120] October 24 – November 1, 2022November 1, 202252.0%41.3%6.7%Schmitt +10.7
FiveThirtyEight[121] May 15 – November 4, 2022November 4, 202253.1%41.9%5.0%Schmitt +11.2
270towin[122] October 29 – November 7, 2022November 7, 202252.0%40.8%7.2%Schmitt +11.2
Average52.4%41.3%6.3%Schmitt +11.0
Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Eric
Schmitt (R)		Trudy Busch
Valentine (D)		John
Wood (I)		OtherUndecided
Civiqs[123] November 4–7, 2022746 (LV)± 4.7%55%40%–4%2%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[124] October 30 – November 1, 20221,079 (LV)± 2.9%53%42%–2%2%
SurveyUSA[125] October 27 – November 1, 2022791 (LV)± 4.1%50%41%–3%6%
Emerson College[126] October 26–28, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%54%40%–5%–
51%39%–4%6%
Remington Research (R)[127] October 24–25, 20221,011 (LV)± 3.0%51%42%–3%4%
Emerson College[128] September 23–27, 20221,160 (VLV)± 2.8%49%38%–3%10%
SurveyUSA[129] September 14–18, 2022670 (LV)± 4.4%47%36%–4%14%
Remington Research (R)[130] August 24–25, 20221,011 (LV)± 3.0%51%40%–2%7%
August 23, 2022Wood withdraws from the race
YouGov/SLU[131] August 8–16, 2022900 (LV)± 3.8%49%38%–5%8%
44%31%10%3%13%
SurveyUSAJuly 24–27, 20221,591 (LV)± 3.0%36%30%9%6%18%
SurveyUSAMay 11–15, 20221,412 (LV)± 3.2%47%34%––19%
Remington Research (R)[132] April 27–28, 2022986 (LV)± 3.0%50%32%––18%
Eric Greitens vs. Lucas Kunce
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Eric
Greitens (R)		Lucas
Kunce (D)		John
Wood (I)		OtherUndecided
SurveyUSAJuly 24–27, 20221,591 (LV)± 3.0%31%26%13%10%21%
SurveyUSAMay 11–15, 20221,412 (LV)± 3.2%42%36%––22%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[133] March 9–13, 20221,075 (LV)± 3.0%46%45%––9%
co/efficient (R)[134] December 16–17, 20211,210 (LV)± 4.2%34%26%––40%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[135] October 3–4, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%47%40%––13%
Eric Greitens vs. Trudy Busch Valentine
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Eric
Greitens (R)		Trudy Busch
Valentine (D)		John
Wood (I)		OtherUndecided
SurveyUSAJuly 24–27, 20221,591 (LV)± 3.0%31%31%10%8%20%
SurveyUSAMay 11–15, 20221,412 (LV)± 3.2%43%37%––20%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[136] April 27–28, 2022986 (LV)± 3.0%46%37%––17%
Vicky Hartzler vs. Lucas Kunce
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Vicky
Hartzler (R)		Lucas
Kunce (D)		John
Wood (I)		OtherUndecided
SurveyUSAJuly 24–27, 20221,591 (LV)± 3.0%34%25%12%9%20%
SurveyUSAMay 11–15, 20221,412 (LV)± 3.2%45%31%––24%
The Trafalgar Group (R)March 9–13, 20221,075 (LV)± 3.0%56%39%––5%
co/efficient (R)December 16–17, 20211,210 (LV)± 4.2%23%16%––61%
Vicky Hartzler vs. Trudy Busch Valentine
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Vicky
Hartzler (R)		Trudy Busch
Valentine (D)		John
Wood (I)		OtherUndecided
SurveyUSAJuly 24–27, 20221,591 (LV)± 3.0%32%31%9%7%21%
SurveyUSAMay 11–15, 20221,412 (LV)± 3.2%44%33%––23%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri ScoutApril 27–28, 2022986 (LV)± 3.0%49%33%––18%
Billy Long vs. Lucas Kunce
Eric Schmitt vs. Lucas Kunce
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Eric
Schmitt (R)		Lucas
Kunce (D)		John
Wood (I)		OtherUndecided
SurveyUSAJuly 24–27, 20221,591 (LV)± 3.0%37%27%10%6%20%
SurveyUSAMay 11–15, 20221,412 (LV)± 3.2%46%34%––19%
The Trafalgar Group (R)March 9–13, 20221,075 (LV)± 3.0%55%40%––5%
co/efficient (R)December 16–17, 20211,210 (LV)± 4.2%28%23%––49%

Eric Greitens vs. Lucas Kunce vs. generic independent

Eric Greitens vs. Jay Nixon

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Eric
Greitens (R)		Jay
Nixon (D)		Undecided
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[138] July 14–15, 2021922 (LV)± 3.0%48%44%8%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[139] April 7–8, 2021936 (LV)± 3.0%48%44%8%
Eric Greitens vs. Scott Sifton
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Eric
Greitens (R)		Scott
Sifton (D)		Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)March 9–13, 20221,075 (LV)± 3.0%45%45%10%
co/efficient (R)December 16–17, 20211,210 (LV)± 4.2%39%26%35%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)October 3–4, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%46%40%14%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri ScoutApril 7–8, 2021936 (LV)± 3.0%49%42%9%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[140] February 17–18, 2021954 (LV)± 3.0%49%41%10%
Eric Greitens vs. generic Democrat
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Eric
Greitens (R)		Generic
Democrat		Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)[141] November 16–18, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%49%36%15%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)October 3–4, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%47%41%12%
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Vicky Hartzler vs. Scott Sifton
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Vicky
Hartzler (R)		Scott
Sifton (D)		Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)March 9–13, 20221,075 (LV)± 3.0%57%37%6%
co/efficient (R)December 16–17, 20211,210 (LV)± 4.2%22%17%61%
Billy Long vs. Scott Sifton
Eric Schmitt vs. Jay Nixon
Eric Schmitt vs. Scott Sifton
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Eric
Schmitt (R)		Scott
Sifton (D)		Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)March 9–13, 20221,075 (LV)± 3.0%54%40%6%
co/efficient (R)December 16–17, 20211,210 (LV)± 4.2%23%18%60%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri ScoutApril 7–8, 2021936 (LV)± 3.0%51%39%10%
Roy Blunt vs. Jason Kander
Roy Blunt vs. Scott Sifton
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Roy
Blunt (R)		Scott
Sifton (D)		Undecided
Remington Research (R)/Missouri ScoutFebruary 17–18, 2021954 (LV)± 3.0%50%40%10%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[143] January 6–7, 2021980 (LV)± 3.0%52%34%14%

Results

Schmitt prevailed over Valentine on Election Day.[144]

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Schmitt won 6 of 8 congressional districts.[145]

DistrictSchmittBusch ValentineRepresentative
20%79%Cori Bush
51%48%Ann Wagner
59%38%Blaine Luetkemeyer
66%31%Vicky Hartzler (117th Congress)
Mark Alford (118th Congress)
35%62%Emanuel Cleaver
65%32%Sam Graves
68%29%Billy Long (117th Congress)
Eric Burlison (118th Congress)
73%24%Jason Smith

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

Official campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. News: Ballentine. Summer. Salter. Jim. March 8, 2021. GOP Sen. Roy Blunt of Missouri won't seek reelection in 2022. live. March 9, 2021. Associated Press. https://web.archive.org/web/20210308165939/https://apnews.com/article/roy-blunt-will-not-seek-reelection-2022-687c91186e10fdf24a4f05bbc6959b80 . March 8, 2021 .
  2. News: Grietens Leads Field But Anyone's Game – Emory for CE-4 – Schroer PAC Gets $200K – Hallway on US Senate and more... . June 12, 2021 . Missouri Scout . July 29, 2021 .
  3. Web site: GOP Rep. Vicky Hartzler launches Missouri Senate bid . The Hill . June 10, 2021.
  4. Web site: Bowman. Bridget. August 3, 2021. GOP Rep. Billy Long joins Missouri Senate race. live. August 3, 2021. Roll Call. en. https://web.archive.org/web/20210804010343/https://www.rollcall.com/2021/08/03/gop-rep-billy-long-joins-missouri-senate-race/ . August 4, 2021 .
  5. Web site: March 24, 2021. Eric Schmitt joins Missouri race for U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Roy Blunt . March 24, 2021. Missouri Independent. en-US.
  6. Web site: GOP Missouri Attorney General Schmitt running for US Senate. July 18, 2021. ABC News. en.
  7. News: Keller . Rudi . July 28, 2022 . After months of wavering, Schmitt comes out against McConnell days before Senate primary . August 8, 2022 . Missouri Independent . en-US.
  8. Web site: Natalie. Adamson. Senate ad slams transgender athletes 'pretending to be women'. Politico. February 13, 2022. February 14, 2022.
  9. News: Allison . Natalie . Missouri Senate poll alarms GOP . February 16, 2022 . POLITICO . February 16, 2022 . en.
  10. https://news.yahoo.com/trump-says-won-t-endorse-191005744.html Trump says he won't endorse Vicky Hartzler, calls Eric Greitens 'smart' and 'tough'
  11. Web site: Quint. Forgey. Kimberly Guilfoyle joins Greitens' Senate campaign as national chair. Politico. April 19, 2021. March 22, 2022.
  12. Alex Isenstadt, Inside the secret, yearlong campaign to torpedo Eric Greitens' attempted comeback, Politico (august 2, 2022).
  13. David Weigel, Trump endorses 'ERIC' in Missouri primary, a name shared by rivals, Washington Post (August 1, 2022).
  14. Web site: Bacharier. Galen. February 12, 2022. Josh Hawley endorses Vicky Hartzler for Missouri's open U.S. Senate seat. February 12, 2022. Springfield News-Leader.
  15. News: Hawley says Greitens should drop out of Senate race amid abuse allegations . March 21, 2022 . . Kelsey . Carolan . July 17, 2022 .
  16. News: GOP megadonor bankrolling super PAC for Eric Greitens . July 6, 2021 . . Alex . Isenstadt . July 29, 2021 .
  17. Web site: Isenstadt . Alex . Republicans launch super PAC to stop Greitens in Missouri . 2022-07-17 . POLITICO . June 23, 2022 . en.
  18. Web site: Anti-Greitens group spends big in Missouri Senate primary. July 26, 2022. NBC News.
  19. Martin Pengelly, Donald Trump endorses 'Eric' in Missouri primary – but which one?, The Guardian (August 2, 2022).
  20. Web site: March 24, 2021. Eric Schmitt joins Missouri race for U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Roy Blunt • Missouri Independent. March 24, 2021. Missouri Independent. en-US.
  21. News: Senate: Missouri Primary Results (R) . . 3 August 2022 . 2 August 2022.
  22. Web site: Filing begins for primary election. February 23, 2022. Sedalia Democrat. February 23, 2022 . en.
  23. Web site: Politics1 - Online Guide to Missouri Elections, Candidates & Politics .
  24. Web site: Held. Kevin S.. March 22, 2021. Eric Greitens announces Senate bid for Blunt's seat. live. March 22, 2021. KTV (FOX 2). en-US. https://web.archive.org/web/20210323043105/https://fox2now.com/news/missouri/eric-greitens-announces-senate-bid-for-blunts-seat/ . March 23, 2021 .
  25. Web site: SOS, Missouri - Elections: Offices Filed in Candidate Filing . March 29, 2022 . s1.sos.mo.gov.
  26. Web site: Wellsville resident Patrick Lewis to run for U.S. Senator. April 8, 2022. June 15, 2022.
  27. Web site: February 29, 2024. Missouri GOP Candidate for Governor Was Only 'Honorary' KKK Member. February 29, 2024. Riverfront Times. en-us.
  28. Web site: May 18, 2021. Mark McCloskey announces candidacy for US Senate. May 18, 2021. FOX 2. en-US.
  29. Web site: June 16, 2021 . Congressional candidate Dan McQueen visits Saline County . June 20, 2021 . . April 7, 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220407102000/https://www.marshallnews.com/story/2890051.html . dead .
  30. Web site: Schallhorn. Kaitlyn. November 16, 2021. Dave Schatz jumps into US Senate race. November 16, 2021. The Missouri Times. en.
  31. Web site: Sims . Dave . June 29, 2021 . Dave Sims Announcement . March 5, 2022 . . en.
  32. Web site: March 12, 2021 . Rik Combs announces candidacy for US Senate . March 5, 2022 . News Tribune . en.
  33. Web site: Barmeier . Elizabeth . December 14, 2021 . Who is running for U.S. Senate in Missouri . December 23, 2021 . fox4kc.com . WDAF-TV.
  34. News: Becket. Stefan. March 8, 2021. GOP Senator Roy Blunt won't run for reelection in 2022. CBS News. March 8, 2021. MSN.
  35. Web site: April 20, 2021. Missouri state lawmaker to challenge US Sen. Roy Blunt. June 20, 2021. AP News.
  36. Web site: Lowry. Bryan. May 3, 2021. He was mayor of a Texas city for 37 days. Now he wants to be Missouri's next senator. June 20, 2021. The Kansas City Star.
  37. Web site: Qualified Candidates . Texas Secretary of State . December 14, 2021.
  38. Web site: Axelrod. Tal. March 10, 2021. Ashcroft declines run to replace Blunt in Missouri. live. March 22, 2021. The Hill. en. https://web.archive.org/web/20210310170642/https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/542530-ashcroft-declines-run-to-replace-blunt-in-missouri . March 10, 2021 .
  39. Web site: Hancock . Jason . March 8, 2021 . Roy Blunt is out. So who's in? A list of possible Missouri GOP senate candidates • Missouri Independent . live . https://web.archive.org/web/20210310181222/https://missouriindependent.com/2021/03/08/roy-blunt-is-out-so-whos-in-a-list-of-possible-missouri-gop-senate-candidates/ . March 10, 2021 . March 8, 2021 . . en-US.
  40. Web site: Missouri Treasurer Scott Fitzpatrick On 2022 Effort To Expand His Office's Investment Options. July 15, 2021. St. Louis Public Radio. en.
  41. Web site: Springfield native, former US Attorney Tim Garrison says he won't run for Senate . March 25, 2021 . Huguelet . Austin . . June 20, 2021.
  42. Web site: Schallhorn. Kaitlyn. March 22, 2021. Kehoe announces 2024 gubernatorial run, forgoing US Senate bid. live. March 22, 2021. The Missouri Times. en. https://web.archive.org/web/20210322112318/https://themissouritimes.com/kehoe-announces-2024-gubernatorial-run-forgoing-us-senate-bid/ . March 22, 2021 .
  43. Web site: Missouri Lt. Gov. Mike Kehoe won't pursue Senate but will run for governor in 2024. March 22, 2021 .
  44. Web site: Rogger. John. June 13, 2021. Representative Luetkemeyer Will Not Run For Open Senate Seat. live. June 15, 2021. KRMS. en. https://web.archive.org/web/20210627231221/https://www.krmsradio.com/representative-luetkemeyer-will-not-run-for-open-senate-seat/ . June 27, 2021 .
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  46. Web site: Suntrup . Jack . March 8, 2021 . Sen. Roy Blunt says he won't run next year, potentially clearing way crowded GOP primary . live . https://web.archive.org/web/20211205191051/https://www.stltoday.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/sen-roy-blunt-says-he-wont-run-next-year-potentially-clearing-way-crowded-gop-primary/article_18a524eb-ae1e-5cc1-a099-afb0b34b6ec1.html . December 5, 2021 . March 8, 2021 . . en.
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  50. Web site: Schallhorn. Kaitlyn. August 3, 2021. Ann Wagner running for re-election to Missouri's 2nd congressional district. August 3, 2021. The Missouri Times. en.
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  94. Web site: Hancock . Jason . March 11, 2021 . Jay Nixon comeback? Democrats lining up for shot at open Missouri Senate seat . live . https://web.archive.org/web/20210311180132/https://missouriindependent.com/2021/03/11/jay-nixon-comeback-democrats-lining-up-for-shot-at-open-missouri-senate-seat/ . March 11, 2021 . March 11, 2021 . . en-US.
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  98. News: Wilson . Reid . May 12, 2021 . Kansas City's Democratic mayor eyes Senate run . en-US . . May 12, 2021.
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  141. https://archive.today/20211123170304/https://twitter.com/stephanie_murr/status/1463172620375969801 WPA Intelligence (R)
  142. https://www.filesforprogress.org/datasets/2021/1/dfp-missouri-josh-hawley-resignation-polling.pdf Data for Progress (D)
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  144. Web site: Republican Eric Schmitt Wins Missouri Senate Race . 2022-11-09 . sg.news.yahoo.com . November 9, 2022 . en-SG.
  145. Results . docs.google.com .

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