2002 South Korean presidential election explained

Country:Republic of Korea
Flag Year:1997
Type:presidential
Previous Election:1997 South Korean presidential election
Previous Year:1997
Next Election:2007 South Korean presidential election
Next Year:2007
Turnout:70.83% (9.82pp)
Election Date:19 December 2002
Image1:Roh Moo-hyun presidential portrait.jpg
Nominee1:Roh Moo-hyun
Party1:Millennium Democratic Party
Popular Vote1:12,014,277
Percentage1:48.91%
Nominee2:Lee Hoi-chang
Party2:Grand National Party
Popular Vote2:11,443,297
Percentage2:46.59%
President
Before Election:Kim Dae-jung
Before Party:Independent (politician)
After Election:Roh Moo-hyun
After Party:Millennium Democratic Party

Presidential elections were held in South Korea on 19 December 2002. The result was a victory for Roh Moo-Hyun of the ruling Millennium Democratic Party, who defeated Lee Hoi-chang of the Grand National Party by just over half a million votes.[1]

Background

President Kim Dae-jung's National Congress for New Politics (NCNP) re-branded itself to Millennium Democratic Party (MDP) in 2000, but was struggling as it had defeated by the Grand National Party (GNP) both the 2000 parliamentary election and 2002 gubernatorial elections. GNP's then leader and probable presidential nominee Lee Hoi-chang was polling higher than any MDP candidates.

Primaries

Millennium Democratic Party

For the first time in South Korean history, the Democratic Party nominated its presidential candidate through open primaries.

At the beginning of the primaries, Rhee In-je, the 3-term congressman who ran against President Kim Dae-jung in 1997 but afterwards joined the ruling party, led the other candidates by a considerable margin in every poll. However, fringe candidate Roh Moo-hyun rose to prominence after winning the Gwangju contest, eventually winning his party's nomination and then the presidential election.

Candidates

Results

ContestRoh
Chung
Lee
Kim
Han
Yu
Kim
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
Jeju
12518.611016.417225.6558.217526.1182.7162.4
Ulsan
29829.4656.422221.928127.811611.5202.0101.0
Gwangju
59537.9543.449131.31489.428017.9
Daejeon
21916.5544.189467.5816.1775.8
South Chungcheong
27714.2392.01,43273.719610.1
Gangwon
63042.5714.862342.015910.7
South Gyeongsang
1,71372.21918.146819.7
North Jeolla
75634.373833.571032.2
Daegu
1,13762.31819.950627.7
Incheon
1,02251.91316.781641.4
North Gyeongsang
1,24659.41838.766831.9
North Chungcheong
38732.1836.973461.0
South Jeolla
1,29762.034016.345421.7
Busan
1,32862.579637.5
Gyeonggi
1,19145.51,42654.5
Internet voting
1,42381.332718.7
Seoul
3,92466.51,97833.5
Total17,57772.26,76727.8WithdrewWithdrewWithdrewWithdrewWithdrew

Grand National Party

Candidates

Results

ContestLee
Choi
Lee
Lee
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
Incheon
795.620114.3100.7
Ulsan
20627.2739.7314.1
Jeju
6513.24812.1182.2
Gangwon
1019.1716.4444.0
North Gyeongsang and Daegu
42711.41333.5541.4
North Jeolla
11712.627829.9313.3
South Gyeongsang and Busan
93422.61974.81032.5
South Chungcheong and Daejeon
1537.81246.3452.3
South Jeolla and Gwangju
36817.951224.9673.3
Gyeonggi
42412.348614.1812.3
North Chungcheong
15218.6607.3151.8
Seoul
1,66834.574315.31092.3
Total4,69418.32,92611.46082.4

Democratic Labor Party

Labor activist Kwon Young-ghil of the Democratic Labor Party was nominated for president.[3]

Campaign

Although corruption scandals marred the incumbent government, Lee Hoi-chang's campaign suffered from the wave of Anti-American sentiment in Korea generated by the Yangju highway incident. Public opinion of Lee, who was widely seen as being both pro-U.S. and the preferred candidate of the George W. Bush administration in Washington, D.C., suffered. After losing to Roh by 2% in the December 2002 elections, Lee subsequently announced his retirement from politics.[4]

Roh-Chung coalition

Chung Mong-joon, the 3-term independent congressman from Ulsan and son of Hyundai founder Chung Ju-yung, became so popular that he began appearing on polls for presidential election after he, as the president of the Korean Football Association, was credited for winning the right to host 2002 FIFA World Cup in Korea.[5]

Chung officially launched his presidential campaign in September, and in many polls beat Roh and came close to beating Lee. Many Democratic politicians that weren't happy with Roh's nomination joined Chung's campaign. However, when it seemed clear that if both Roh and Chung ran, Lee would win easily. The two sides decided to combine forces, instead of competing against each other.

The two sides agreed on conducting two polls, each by different polling companies, where the winner would run as the unified candidate. The winner had to win both polls, or a second round had to occur.

So the two poll was conducted on 24 November, but only one validated. The other one was invalidated, as the two sides had agreed that any poll with Lee Hoi-chang polling less than 30.4% must be invalidated, since there could be a chance that Lee's supporters were attempting to manipulate the results by responding with an untrue answer.

The only poll that was validated was the one conducted by the Research and Research, and it was won by Roh.

Consequently, Chung withdrew his candidacy and endorsed Roh.

24 November 2002!Candidate!Research and Research Poll!# of polls won
Roh46.8%1
Chung42.2%0
Lee32.1%-
However, Chung later broke his pledge on the night before the election, when he felt that Roh broke the promise to include Chung in for policy decisions and surrounded himself only with Democrats.[6] Chung announced less than eight hours before the election that he was withdrawing his support for Roh and urged people to vote their conscience, but Roh won anyway.

Results

By region

Major candidates

Breakdown of votes by region for candidates with at least 1% of the total votes.

RegionRoh Moo-hyunLee Hoi-changKwon Young-ghil
colspan="2"
Votes%Votes%Votes%
Seoul2,447,37645.0179,7903.3
Busan587,94629.961,2813.1
Daegu240,74518.742,1743.3
Incheon547,20544.661,6555.0
Gwangju26,8693.67,2431.0
Daejeon266,76039.829,7284.4
Ulsan178,58435.357,78611.4
Gyeonggi2,120,19144.2209,3464.4
Gangwon316,72241.538,7225.1
North Chungcheong311,04442.941,7315.8
South Chungcheong375,11041.249,5795.5
North Jeolla65,3346.214,9041.4
South Jeolla53,0744.612,2151.1
North Gyeongsang311,35821.762,5224.4
South Gyeongsang434,64227.179,8535.0
Jeju105,74439.68,6193.3
Total11,443,29746.6957,1483.9
Source: National Election Commission

Minor candidates

Breakdown of votes by region for candidates with less than 1% of the total votes.

RegionLee
Kim
Kim
Seoul12,7246,4374,706
Busan2,1482,0641,380
Daegu1,6991,317810
Incheon3,6001,9781,612
Gwangju8031,014305
Daejeon1,1571,408747
Ulsan997716502
Gyeonggi26,0728,0854,119
Gangwon3,4062,713969
North Chungcheong3,2052,610949
South Chungcheong4,9734,3221,303
North Jeolla2,5055,187817
South Jeolla2,8306,707988
North Gyeongsang3,3322,9361,344
South Gyeongsang2,8322,6291,224
Jeju744981288
Total74,02751,10422,063
Source: National Election Commission

Notes and References

  1. Web site: IFES Election Guide Elections: South Korea Presidential Dec 19 2002. www.electionguide.org. en. 2017-04-25.
  2. Web site: donga.com[정치:한나라당 경선]]. The Dong-a Ilbo. 2018-04-20. 2011-02-14. https://web.archive.org/web/20110214165008/http://www.donga.com/news/votehan/han_result.html. dead.
  3. Web site: "세상 바꾸려 대통령 후보 나섰다'20억 기탁금' 목숨 걸고 싸울터". 2002-09-09. OhmyNews. 2018-04-20.
  4. Web site: Cossa. Ralph A.. U.S.-Korea Relations: Trials, Tribulations, Threats, Tirades. Comparative Connections—An E-Journal on East Asian Bilateral Relations. 24 April 2015. December 2012.
  5. News: [여론조사 자료실]민주 통합신당 대선후보 선호도 鄭42.1%-盧29.5%]. 2002-09-08. The Dong-a Ilbo. 2018-04-20. ko. https://web.archive.org/web/20180421031717/http://news.donga.com/3//20020908/7860550/1. 2018-04-21. dead.
  6. News: 정몽준, 자서전서 "노무현 전 대통령 지지 철회 이유는…". 2018-04-20. ko.