2010 South Carolina gubernatorial election explained

Election Name:2010 South Carolina gubernatorial election
Country:South Carolina
Type:presidential
Ongoing:Yes
Previous Election:2006 South Carolina gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2006
Next Election:2014 South Carolina gubernatorial election
Next Year:2014
Election Date:November 2, 2010
Nominee1:Nikki Haley
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:690,525
Percentage1:51.37%
Nominee2:Vincent Sheheen
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:630,535
Percentage2:46.91%
Map Size:230px
Governor
Before Election:Mark Sanford
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Nikki Haley
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2010 South Carolina gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Republican Governor Mark Sanford was term limited and unable to seek re-election. Primary elections took place on June 8, 2010, and a runoff election, as was necessary on the Republican side, was held two weeks later on June 22.

Republican Nikki Haley defeated Democrat Vincent Sheheen in the general election by a margin of 4.5%. As of 2023, this is the closest that the Democrats have come to winning the governorship of South Carolina since their last victory in 1998. This is the first open-seat election since 1994. Haley was re-elected in 2014 in a rematch with Sheheen.

Republican primary

According to CNN, Haley initially entered the gubernatorial primary as a dark horse candidate. In an article covering her surge in the primary in the weeks prior to the election, it was noted that a "surprise" endorsement from former Alaska governor and 2008 vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin boosted Haley's candidacy. Haley's campaign was backed by TV ads run by ReformSC, an advocacy group funded by allies of outgoing governor Mark Sanford.[1]

Candidates

Endorsements

Nikki Haley

Gresham Barrett

Henry McMaster

André Bauer

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Henry
McMaster
Gresham
Barrett
André
Bauer
Nikki
Haley
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling (report)June 5–6, 2010998± 3.1%16%23%12% align=center43%--7%
Public Policy Polling (report)May 22–23, 2010638± 3.9%18%16%13% align=center39%--14%
Rasmussen Reports (report)May 17, 2010931± 4.5%19%17%12% align=center30%3%13%
Rasmussen Reports (report)March 3, 2010500± 4.5% align=center21%

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jim
Rex
Vincent
Sheheen
Robert
Ford
Dwight
Drake*
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling (report)May 22–23, 2010410± 4.8%30% align=center36%11%----23%
Rasmussen Reports (report)May 17, 2010404± 5.0%22% align=center30%4%--12%32%
Rasmussen Reports (report)March 3, 2010500± 4.5%16%16%12%5%15%37%
  • as of March 5, 2010 Dwight Drake withdrew from the race for Governor.[16]

Results

Other Parties

  • Morgan Reeves, Businessman, Minister, and retired National Football League player from Irmo[17]
    • Dr. Reeves was nominated on March 30 by the United Citizens Party and South Carolina Green Party on April 7 (see SC Election Commission website). Reeves appeared on the November 2nd general election ballot for both parties. An Independent, Dr. Reeves collected enough voter petition signatures to qualify by the July 15th deadline onto a 3rd ballot line.[18]
  • Jim Rex, State Superintendent of Education from Fairfield County[19]
    • Rex was nominated by the Working Families Party prior to losing the Democratic primary. Rex did not appear on the Working Families ballot line in November due to South Carolina's "sore loser" law that requires candidates not to seek nominations from multiple parties from appearing on the ballot after they lose any one party's nomination (see candidate party pledge forms). Several election law issues are before US appellate court in Richmond, Virginia regarding conformity to the 1965 Voting Rights Act and US Constitutional provisions, see ACLU/Platt v SC [20]

General election

Debates

  • "First in the State" Republican Gubernatorial Primary Debate

Sponsored by the Republican Parties of Newberry and Laurens Counties
Aired on WIS-TV on September 22, 2009
Watch here

  • "Spotlight on the Candidates" Joint Gubernatorial Primary Debate

Sponsored by the SC Natural Resources Society
Aired on SCETV on November 3, 2009
(This debate marked the first time in state history that gubernatorial primary candidates from both parties participated in the same debate.)[21]
Watch here

  • SCGOP Gubernatorial Debate

Sponsored by the South Carolina Republican Party
Moderated by MSNBC hosts Joe Scarborough and Mika Brzezinski
Aired on WCSC-TV on January 28, 2010
Watch here

Endorsements

Senator Vincent Sheheen -- South Carolina Chamber of Commerce[22]

Representative Nikki Haley-- National Rifle Association of America

Representative Nikki Haley-- South Citizens for Life

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report[23] October 14, 2010
Rothenberg[24] October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[25] November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[27] October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredNikki Haley (R)Vincent Sheheen (D)
Crantford & AssociatesOctober 21, 2010 align=center48% 37%
Crantford & AssociatesOctober 18, 2010 align=center43% 41%
Winthrop UniversityOctober 13, 2010 align=center47% 39%
Hamilton CampaignsOctober 5, 2010 align=center49% 44%
Hamilton CampaignsOctober 5, 2010 align=center49% 44%
Hamilton CampaignsOctober 4, 2010 align=center51% 41%
Crantford & AssociatesOctober 2, 2010 align=center45% 41%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 22, 2010 align=center50% 33%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 25, 2010 align=center52% 36%
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 29, 2010 align=center49% 35%
Rasmussen ReportsJune 23, 2010 align=center52% 40%
Rasmussen ReportsJune 10, 2010 align=center55% 34%
Public Policy PollingMay 22–23, 2010 align=center44% 34%

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

External links

Debates
Official campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Hamby . Peter . May 20, 2010 . Haley has momentum in South Carolina race, rivals admit . February 8, 2023 . CNN . en . https://web.archive.org/web/20100523235726/https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/05/20/haley-has-momentum-in-south-carolina-race-rivals-admit/ . May 23, 2010 . dead.
  2. http://www.thestate.com/154/story/702819.html Barrett running for S.C. governor
  3. http://www.carolinalive.com/news/story.aspx?id=369789 Lt Gov Bauer makes run for governor official
  4. http://www.thestate.com/breaking/story/786616.html Haley announces run for governor
  5. http://www2.counton2.com/cbd/news/local/article/henry_mcmaster_seeking_s.c._governor_post/49952/ Henry McMaster seeking S.C. Governor post
  6. Web site: Governor Mitt Romney Endorses Nikki Haley for South Carolina Governor . Nikkihaley.com . 2010-03-16 . 2010-08-21 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20100819185632/http://www.nikkihaley.com/romney . 2010-08-19 .
  7. Web site: Sarah Palin to Endorse Nikki Haley . 2013-03-27 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20120829034501/http://www.nikkihaley.com/2010/05/13/sarah-palin-to-endorse-nikki-haley/ . 2012-08-29 .
  8. Web site: O'Connor . John . Jenny Sanford endorses Nikki Haley - Yahoo elections . TheState.com . 2009-11-12 . 2010-08-21 . https://web.archive.org/web/20101028015327/http://www.thestate.com/2009/11/12/1024206/jenny-sanford-endorses-nikki-haley.html . 2010-10-28 . dead .
  9. Web site: Vice President Cheney Endorses Gresham Barrett . GreshamBarrett.com . 2010-06-01 . 2010-08-21 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20100602193726/http://www.greshambarrett.com/home/2010/05/vice-president-cheney-endorses-gresham-barrett/ . 2010-06-02 .
  10. Web site: ANDY BARR. Rudy latest '08 vet to endorse in S.C. – Jessica Taylor . Politico.Com . 2010-08-21 . https://web.archive.org/web/20110107013628/http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0610/38207.html . January 7, 2011 . live.
  11. Web site: Henry McMaster Endorsed by David Beasley wltx.com | Columbia, SC News, Weather and Sports | . Wltx.com . 2010-08-21.
  12. http://www.wciv.com/news/stories/1209/690080.html
  13. http://www.postandcourier.com/news/2009/jan/14/ford_focus_on_return_video_poker68317/ Ford to focus on return of video poker
  14. http://www2.counton2.com/cbd/news/local/local_govtpolitics/article/jim_rex_announces_campaign_for_governor/64644/ Jim Rex announces campaign for governor
  15. http://www.wltx.com/news/story.aspx?storyid=80066 Sheheen Announces Run for Governor
  16. http://www.dwightdrake.com/blog/2010/3/thank-you/ Dwight Drake Drops out of SC race
  17. http://www.midlandsconnect.com/news/story.aspx?id=423695/ Irmo man clears hurdle to run for governor
  18. http://www.scvotes.org/files/2010%20Convention%20Party%20Candidates.pdf Green, Libertarian, Working Families, Labor, Constitution, United Citizens, Independence
  19. Web site: Rex counting on fusion voters in governor's race . GoUpstate.com . 2010-08-21.
  20. Web site: ACLU to Argue in Appeals Court That South Carolina's Ballot Access Law Is Unconstitutional . CommonDreams.org . 2010-08-21.
  21. http://www.scetv.org/index.php/press/release/ten_gubernatorial_candidates_share_stage_for_historic_debate_on_etv/ Ten Gubernatorial Candidates to Share Stage for Historic Debate on ETV
  22. Web site: WFAE 90.7 FM . Wfae.org . 2010-08-21 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20110718150044/http://www.wfae.org/wfae/stat_search.cfm?id=6255&action=display . 2011-07-18 .
  23. Web site: 2010 Governors Race Ratings . https://web.archive.org/web/20101028141343/http://cookpolitical.com/charts/governors/raceratings_2010-10-14_12-35-09.php . dead . October 28, 2010 . . October 28, 2010.
  24. Web site: Governor Ratings . . October 28, 2010.
  25. Web site: 2010 Governor Races . . October 28, 2010.
  26. Web site: THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS . October 28, 2010 . . October 28, 2010.
  27. Web site: Race Ratings Chart: Governor . . October 28, 2010 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20101005231611/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-governor . October 5, 2010 .