2016 Slovak parliamentary election explained

Country:Slovakia
Type:parliamentary
Previous Election:2012 Slovak parliamentary election
Previous Year:2012
Next Election:2020 Slovak parliamentary election
Next Year:2020
Seats For Election:All 150 seats in the National Council
Majority Seats:76
Election Date:5 March 2016
Turnout:59.38% (0.48 pp)
Image1:Robert Fico, official portrait (2016, cropped).jpg
Leader1:Robert Fico
Party1:Direction – Social Democracy
Last Election1:83 seats, 44.42%
Seats1:49
Seat Change1: 34
Popular Vote1:737,481
Percentage1:28.28%
Swing1: 16.14 pp
Leader2:Richard Sulík
Party2:Freedom and Solidarity
Last Election2:11 seats, 5.88%
Seats2:21
Seat Change2: 10
Popular Vote2:315,558
Percentage2:12.10%
Swing2: 6.22 pp
Image3:Igor Matovič after an interview (2020) (cropped).jpg
Leader3:Igor Matovič
Party3:OĽaNO–NOVA
Last Election3:16 seats, 8.56%
Seats3:19
Seat Change3: 3
Popular Vote3:287,611
Percentage3:11.03%
Swing3: 2.47 pp
Image4:TOUR DE TABLE-BRATISLAVA INFORMAL PARLIAMENTARY SUMMIT 2016-10-07 (29539538754) (cropped).jpg
Leader4:Andrej Danko
Party4:Slovak National Party
Last Election4:0 seats, 4.56%
Seats4:15
Seat Change4: 15
Popular Vote4:225,386
Percentage4:8.64%
Swing4: 4.08 pp
Image5:Marian Kotleba (cropped 1).jpg
Leader5:Marian Kotleba
Party5:People's Party – Our Slovakia
Last Election5:0 seats, 1.58%
Seats5:14
Seat Change5: 14
Popular Vote5:209,779
Percentage5:8.04%
Swing5: 6.46 pp
Image6:Boris Kollár, 4 May 2022 (cropped).jpg
Leader6:Boris Kollár
Party6:We Are Family (Slovakia)
Last Election6:Did not exist
Seats6:11
Seat Change6:New
Popular Vote6:172,860
Percentage6:6.63%
Swing6:New
Image7:AAA 2065 (44854875305) (cropped).jpg
Leader7:Béla Bugár
Party7:Most–Híd
Last Election7:13 seats, 6.90%
Seats7:11
Seat Change7: 2
Popular Vote7:169,593
Percentage7:6.50%
Swing7: 0.40 pp
Image8:Radoslav prochazka zupny pohar na bicykli detom 2013 (cropped).jpg
Leader8:Radoslav Procházka
Party8:Network
Last Election8:Did not exist
Seats8:10
Seat Change8:New
Popular Vote8:146,205
Percentage8:5.61%
Swing8:New
Prime Minister
Before Election:Robert Fico
After Election:Robert Fico
Before Party:Direction – Social Democracy
After Party:Direction – Social Democracy

Parliamentary elections were held in Slovakia on 5 March 2016 to elect the 150 members of the National Council. The ruling left-wing populist Direction – Social Democracy (SMER–SD) party remained the strongest party, but lost its majority. The Slovak Democratic and Christian Union – Democratic Party (SDKÚ-DS), which led the government between 2000–06 and 2010–12, was defeated heavily, failing to cross the electoral threshold and losing its representation in the National Council. The centre-right Christian Democratic Movement (KDH) also failed to cross the threshold for the first time since 1990, whilst the far-right nationalist Kotleba – People's Party Our Slovakia (ĽSNS) entered parliament for the first time.

Electoral system

The 150 members of the National Council were elected by proportional representation in a single nationwide constituency with an electoral threshold of 5% for single parties, 7% for coalitions grouping at least two parties. The elections used the open list system, with seats allocated using the Hagenbach-Bischoff system. Voters were able to cast up to four preferential votes for candidates on the list of the party they voted for.[1]

All participating parties had to register 90 days before election day and pay a deposit of €17,000, which was refunded to all parties gaining 2% or more of the vote. All Slovak citizens were allowed to vote except for convicted felons in prison (only those who were convicted for serious offences), people declared ineligible to perform legal acts (legally insane) by court and citizens under 18 years of age. All citizens, who are 21 years of age or older and are permanent residents of Slovakia, were allowed to run as candidates except for prisoners, convicted felons and those declared ineligible to perform legal acts (legally insane) by court.[2]

Voters not present in their electoral district at the time of the elections were allowed to request a voting certificate (voličský preukaz), which allowed them to vote in any district regardless of their residency.[3] Voters not in Slovakia on election day were allowed to request a postal vote.[4] According to the Central Election Committee, approx. 20,000 Slovak citizens abroad have requested a postal vote - the deadline for requests passed on 15 January 2016.

Participating parties

PartyIdeologyPolitical positionLeader
Direction – Social Democracy (Smer–SD)Social democracy
Left-wing populism
Centre-leftRobert Fico
Freedom and Solidarity (SaS)Liberalism
Right-libertarianism
Centre-rightRichard Sulík
Ordinary People and Independent Personalities (OĽaNO)Populism
Anti-corruption
CentreIgor Matovič
Slovak National Party (SNS)Slovak nationalism
Right-wing populism
Far-rightAndrej Danko
Kotleba – People's Party Our Slovakia (KĽSNS)Neo-Nazism
Ultranationalism
Far-rightMarian Kotleba
We Are Family (SR)National conservatism
Right-wing populism
Right-wingBoris Kollár
Bridge (Most–Híd)Hungarian minority interests
Christian democracy
Centre-rightBéla Bugár
Network (SIEŤ)Liberal conservatism
Social conservatism
Centre-rightRadoslav Procházka

Campaign

The election date was announced on 12 November 2015.[5] On 7 December 2015, the Ministry of Interior published a list of 23 parties that registered to take part in the elections.[6]

The backdrop of the campaign was centered on the European migrant crisis, with the governing SMER–SD taking an anti-migrant stance into the election.[7] Teacher and nursing strikes occurring at the start of the year also had a negative effect on public opinion.[8]

Opinion polls

See main article: Opinion polling for the 2016 Slovak parliamentary election.

DatePolling firmSample sizeSmer–SDSIEŤKDHMost–HídSNSSMK-MKPSaSNOVASDKÚ-DSOthersLead
10 Feb-14 FebMVK[9] 1,13632.5%14.5%9.0%7.0%5.0%10.5%5.0%4.0%w.OĽaNO1.0%11.7%18.0%
6 Feb-14 FebPolis[10] 1,67038.4%10.4%6.6%9.2%6.8%9.1%4.0%5.2%w.OĽaNO1.3%9.0%28.0%
6 Feb-14 FebFocus[11] 1,00534.6%14.0%7.0%8.2%6.1%8.7%3.5%5.5%w.OĽaNO1.0%8.9%20.6%
31 Jan-7 FebFocus[12] 1,00034.1%13.7%7.5%8.0%6.4%8.1%3.6%5.1%w.OĽaNO1.7%11.8%20.4%
22-31 JanFocus[13] 1,00936.3%13.0%7.1%7.7%6.4%7.3%3.8%5.5%w.OĽaNO1.7%11.2%23.3%
22-28 JanMVK[14] 1,14832.1%14.6%8.2%6.0%5.9%10.1%5.1%3.4%w.OĽaNO1.6%13.0%17.5%
11-14 JanAKO[15] 1,00040.7%8.1%5.6%7.9%5.7%7.4%6.2%w.OĽaNO18.4%33.9%
2016
- style="background:#EFEFEF; font-weight:bold;"10 Mar 20122012 elections[16] 2,553,72644.4%Did not exist8.8%6.9%8.6%4.6%4.3%5.9%Did not exist6.1%10.0%35.6%

Contesting parties

Parliamentary parties prior to the election (2012–2016)

Name! rowspan="2"
LeaderIdeologyPrevious electionStatus
Votes (%)Seats
SmerDirection – Social DemocracyRobert FicoSocial democracy
KDHChristian Democratic MovementJán FigeľChristian democracy
OĽaNONOVAIgor MatovičPopulism
BridgeBridgeBéla BugárLiberal conservatism
SDKÚ–DSSlovak Democratic and Christian Union – Democratic PartyPavol FrešoLiberal conservatism
SaSFreedom and SolidarityRichard SulíkConservative liberalism

Newly elected parliamentary parties (2016–2020)

NameLeaderIdeologyPrevious electionStatus
Votes (%)Seats
SNSSlovak National PartyAndrej DankoNational conservatism
ĽSNSKotleba – People's Party Our SlovakiaMarian KotlebaNeo-Nazism
We Are FamilyWe Are Family – Boris KollárBoris KollárNational conservatismDid not exist
NetworkNetworkRadoslav ProcházkaLiberal conservatismDid not exist

Results

Eight parties passed the 5% threshold to win seats; Direction – Social Democracy (SMER–SD) lost 34 seats, losing its majority in the National Council, but remained the largest party with 49 seats. Freedom and Solidarity (SaS) became the second party with 21 seats and Ordinary People (OĽANO–NOVA) third with 19 seats.[8] Both performed better than their predicted pre-election polls, by distancing themselves from the previous government.[16] [17]

The Christian Democratic Movement (KDH) performed poorly, losing all 16 of their seats. They just failed to cross the 5 percent threshold required for parliamentary representation, for the first time since the establishment of an independent Slovakia in 1993. The far-right nationalist Slovak National Party (SNS) and Kotleba – People's Party Our Slovakia (ĽSNS) parties entered parliament with 8.6 percent (15 seats) and 8.0 percent (14 seats) of the vote respectively.[8] According to an exit poll, dissatisfaction with corruption and social issues led many to vote for ĽSNS.[17]

Other parties who gained representation in parliament include Most–Híd, We Are Family, and Network (the latter two being new parties with their first ever representation in parliament).[18] Overall voter turnout was 59.8 percent.[19]

Twelve of the 150 MPs were elected due to preferential voting despite being initially placed further down their party list than the number of seats won by their party; 7 out of 19 for OĽANO–NOVA, one out of 14 for Kotleba, two out of 11 for SNS, one out of 11 for Most–Híd and one out of 10 for Network.[20]

Government formation

On 7 March, President of Slovakia Andrej Kiska invited each elected party, with the exception of ĽSNS, for post-election talks. Fico was given the first opportunity by the President to form a stable coalition.[21] All parties, except We Are Family, had refused to discuss the possibility of going into government with ĽSNS.[22] An anti-fascist protest was held the same day in Bratislava against ĽSNS representation in parliament.[23]

On 17 March, incumbent Fico informed president Andrej Kiska that he would form a four-party government coalition, including Smer–SD, the Slovak National Party, Most–Híd and Network,[24] which together held 85 of the 150 seats.

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Slovakia Národná rada (National Council) Electoral System. Inter-Parliamentary Union. 8 March 2016.
  2. News: 9 October 2015 . Prieskum: Voľby by vyhral Smer, OĽaNO-NOVA mimo parlamentu. sk . Pravda. 13 October 2015.
  3. Web site: Hlasovací preukaz, Ministerstvo vnútra SR - Verejná správa. sk. Ministry of the Interior. 14 December 2015.
  4. Web site: Voľba poštou, Ministerstvo vnútra SR - Verejná správa. sk. Ministry of the Interior. 14 December 2015.
  5. News: 12 November 2015. Igor. Stupňan. Prieskum: Voľby do Národnej rady sa budú konať 5. marca 2016 . sk . Pravda. 12 November 2015.
  6. Web site: Zoznam politických subjektov, ktoré podali kandidátnu listinu. Ministry of the Interior. 8 March 2016. sk.
  7. News: Germanova. Miroslava. Slovakia’s Governing Party Loses Majority as Far Right Makes Gains. The New York Times. 8 March 2016. 6 March 2016.
  8. News: Cunningham. Benjamin. 5 takeaways from Slovakia’s election. Politico. 8 March 2016. 7 March 2016.
  9. Web site: PRIESKUM: V parlamente by bolo sedem strán, SaS by sa tam nedostala. Teraz.sk. 8 March 2016. 18 February 2016. sk.
  10. Web site: Predvolebný prieskum posiela do parlamentu sedem strán: Veľký presun síl na pravici. 8 March 2016. Topky.sk. 15 February 2016. sk.
  11. Web site: Krbatová. Lucia. Posledný prieskum Focusu: Smer nestúpa, potreboval by partnera. domov.sme.sk. 8 March 2016. sk. 18 February 2016.
  12. Web site: Mikušovič. Dušan. Prieskum Focusu: Smer mierne klesá, stúpa SNS, SaS je v parlamente. Dennikn.sk. 8 March 2016. sk. 10 February 2016.
  13. Web site: SLOVAKIA, January 2016. Focus poll. Electograph. 8 March 2016. 7 February 2016.
  14. Web site: Prieskum MVK: V parlamente by bolo sedem strán, SNS na treťom mieste. domov.sme.sk. 8 March 2016. sk. 4 February 2016.
  15. Web site: PRIESKUM: Do parlamentu by sa dostalo sedem strán, KDH by prešlo tesne. Teraz.sk. sk. 15 January 2016. 16 January 2016.
  16. News: Haughton. Tim. Malova. Darina. Deegan-Krause. Kevin. Slovakia’s newly elected parliament is dramatically different and pretty much the same. Here’s how.. 9 March 2016. The Washington Post. 9 March 2016.
  17. Web site: Kral. Daniel. Slovakia’s election: A party system entering uncharted waters. London School of Economics. 9 March 2016. 9 March 2016.
  18. Web site: Final Results. Slovakia Statistical Office. 9 March 2016. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20160310083500/https://volbysr.sk/en/data03.html. 10 March 2016. dmy-all.
  19. Web site: The Election to the National Council of SR 2016: Final results . Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic . 10 March 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20161020131942/http://volbysr.sk/en/data01.html . 20 October 2016 . dead .
  20. Web site: Order of candidates after taking into account preferential voting. Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic. 12 March 2016. https://web.archive.org/web/20160313030814/https://www.volbysr.sk/en/data04.html. 13 March 2016. dead.
  21. News: President Kiska will authorise Fico to form government. 9 March 2016. The Slovak Spectator. 7 March 2016.
  22. News: Opinions on not inviting Kotleba differ. The Slovak Spectator. 9 March 2016. 9 March 2016.
  23. News: People rallied in protest against Kotleba. 9 March 2016. The Slovak Spectator. 8 March 2016.
  24. News: New Slovak Government and Posts. Nový Čas. 17 March 2016. 17 March 2016.