2014 Ohio gubernatorial election explained

See also: 2014 United States gubernatorial elections.

Election Name:2014 Ohio gubernatorial election
Country:Ohio
Type:presidential
Ongoing:No
Previous Election:2010 Ohio gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2010
Next Election:2018 Ohio gubernatorial election
Next Year:2018
Election Date:November 4, 2014
Image1:File:Governor John Kasich.jpg
Nominee1:John Kasich
Running Mate1:Mary Taylor
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:1,944,848
Percentage1:63.64%
Nominee2:Ed FitzGerald
Running Mate2:Sharen Neuhardt
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:1,009,359
Percentage2:33.03%
Map Size:210px
Governor
Before Election:John Kasich
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:John Kasich
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2014 Ohio gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Republican Governor John Kasich won reelection to a second term in office by a landslide over Democratic candidate Ed FitzGerald and Green Party candidate Anita Rios. Primary elections were held on May 6, 2014.

Despite FitzGerald's massive defeat, he is as of 2023 the last Democrat to carry the historically Democratic Monroe County, which voted for Republican candidate Mike DeWine four years later. Kasich's landslide victory gave him the highest percentage of the vote since George Voinovich's win in 1994, a large improvement from his narrow victory in 2010., this was the last time the counties of Cuyahoga and Franklin voted for the Republican candidate.

Background

Kasich, who was elected with Tea Party support in 2010, faced considerable backlash from the movement. His decision to accept the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act's expansion of Medicaid, his increased spending, taxation of fracking on Ohio farmland and perceived failure to go far enough on charter schools and school vouchers caused Tea Party groups to refuse to support his campaign.[1] When Kasich passed over Tea Party leader Tom Zawistowski for the position of Executive Director of the Ohio Republican Party in favor of Matt Borges, who worked with a gay rights group, that was widely seen as the last straw.[2] Tea Party groups announced they would support a primary challenger, or, if none emerged, the Libertarian nominee. Zawistowski said, "John Kasich is going to lose in 2014. We don't care who else wins."[3] Ultimately, Kasich was unopposed in the Republican primary.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Results

Green primary

Candidates

Declared

Disqualified

Results

Libertarian primary

Charlie Earl gathered enough raw signatures to obtain ballot access.[23] However, he was removed from the ballot because technical faults in collection rendered many of his signatures invalid. The decision was appealed in federal court.[24]

Candidates

Disqualified

General election

Campaign

FitzGerald released a plan for state-funded universal preschool in addition to announcing his support for gay marriage.[27] He criticized Kasich for signing into law income tax cuts that save larger sums of money for wealthier Ohioans than poorer ones, while increasing sales taxes, which tax a larger percentage of income from poorer Ohioans than from wealthier ones.[28] FitzGerald also chided Kasich for a lack of transparency at JobsOhio, the privatized economic development agency that Kasich formed,[29] [30] [31] and for signing into law bills that cut early voting days and limit the distribution of absentee ballot applications.[32] [33] FitzGerald faced several scandals that damaged his candidacy, most notably the revelations that he had driven for several years without a valid driver's license, him being found in a car late at night with a woman who was not his wife, and that his initial running mate, State Sen. Eric Kearney, owed over $1 million in unpaid taxes. Additionally, FitzGerald consistently trailed Kasich in fundraising throughout the entire campaign.[34]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[35] November 3, 2014
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[36] November 3, 2014
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[37] November 3, 2014
align=left Real Clear Politics[38] November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kasich (R)
Ed
FitzGerald (D)
OtherUndecided
The Columbus DispatchOctober 22–31, 20141,009± 3.3% align=center62%34%4%
Fox NewsOctober 28–30, 2014803± 3% align=center51%36%2%11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovOctober 16–23, 20142,728± 3% align=center54%35%1%10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovSeptember 20 – October 1, 20143,082± 2% align=center52%36%1%11%
QuinnipiacSeptember 24–29, 2014999± 3.1% align=center57%35%2%7%
The Columbus DispatchSeptember 3–5, 20141,185± 2.9% align=center59%29%3%[39] 10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovAugust 18 – September 2, 20142,978± 3% align=center50%37%2%11%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 8–9, 2014780± 4% align=center50%30%20%
Buckeye PollAugust 31, 2014600± 4% align=center46%27%4%23%
Public Policy Polling^August 8–9, 2014801± ? align=center50%44%6%
QuinnipiacJuly 24–28, 20141,366± 2.7% align=center48%36%1%15%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovJuly 5–24, 20143,624± ? align=center49%43%1%7%
Public Policy Polling^July 9–10, 2014889± ? align=center45%44%11%
QuinnipiacMay 7–12, 20141,174± 2.9% align=center50%35%1%13%
Public Policy Polling^May 9–11, 2014740± ? align=center47%43%10%
Rasmussen ReportsMay 7–8, 2014750± 4% align=center45%38%4%13%
SurveyUSAApril 24–28, 2014618± 4% align=center46%36%4%14%
Magellan StrategiesApril 14–15, 2014857± 3.35% align=center47%41%5%7%
Public Policy Polling^April 14–15, 20141,050± ?44%44%11%
Quinnipiac February 12–17, 20141,370± 2.7% align=center43%38%1%18%
Public Policy PollingDecember 6–8, 20131,011± 3.1% align=center40%38%6%[40] 16%
Quinnipiac November 19–24, 20131,361± 2.7% align=center44%37%2%19%
Public Policy Polling^November 5–6, 2013595± 4%41%41%6%13%
Public Policy PollingAugust 16–19, 2013551± 4.2%35% align=center38%27%
Quinnipiac June 18–23, 2013941± 3.2% align=center47%33%1%19%
QuinnipiacApril 10–15, 20131,138± 2.9% align=center46%37%1%17%
QuinnipiacFebruary 21–26, 20131,011± 3.1% align=center45%35%1%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kasich (R)
Michael B.
Coleman (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 21–24, 2012673± 3.8% align=center43%36%22%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kasich (R)
Richard
Cordray (D)
OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac June 18–23, 2013941± 3.2% align=center47%36%1%17%
QuinnipiacApril 10–15, 20131,138± 2.9% align=center45%38%2%15%
QuinnipiacFebruary 21–26, 20131,011± 3.1% align=center44%38%1%18%
Public Policy PollingJune 21–24, 2012673± 3.8% align=center41%40%19%
Public Policy PollingMay 3–6, 2012875± 3.3%42%42%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kasich (R)
Larry
Ealy (D)
Anita
Rios (G)
Undecided
SurveyUSAApril 24–28, 2014618± 4% align=center50%25%7%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kasich (R)
Dennis
Kucinich (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 21–24, 2012673± 3.8% align=center45%35%20%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kasich (R)
Tim
Ryan (D)
OtherUndecided
QuinnipiacFebruary 21–26, 20131,011± 3.1% align=center44%36%1%19%
Public Policy PollingJune 21–24, 2012673± 3.8% align=center41%33%26%
Public Policy PollingMay 3–6, 2012875± 3.3%40% align=center41%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kasich (R)
Ted
Strickland (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 21–24, 2012673± 3.8% align=center44%42%14%
Public Policy PollingMay 3–6, 2012875± 3.3%40% align=center47%12%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 28–29, 2012820± 3.4%36% align=center56%8%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kasich (R)
Betty
Sutton (D)
OtherUndecided
QuinnipiacFebruary 21–26, 20131,011± 3.1% align=center45%38%1%16%

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Kasich won 14 of 16 congressional districts, including 2 districts that lean strongly Democratic.[41]

DistrictKasichFitzGeraldRepresentative
65%32%Steve Chabot
69%30%Brad Wenstrup
47%49%Joyce Beatty
71%26%Jim Jordan
69%28%Bob Latta
63%34%Bill Johnson
70%27%Bob Gibbs
74%24%John Boehner
52%44%Marcy Kaptur
65%32%Mike Turner
35%61%Marcia Fudge
70%27%Pat Tiberi
53%43%Tim Ryan
68%29%David Joyce
66%30%Steve Stivers
70%27%Jim Renacci

External links

Official campaign websites (Archived)

Notes and References

  1. Web site: John Kasich Faces Tea Party Protest Over Medicaid Decision. March 11, 2013. September 5, 2013. HuffPost. Amanda. Terkel.
  2. News: Why Does the Tea Party Want to Let Democrats Run Ohio?. May 6, 2013. September 5, 2013. The Daily Beast. Justin. Green.
  3. News: Ohio Republican Party Goes to War With Itself, Leaving 2016 in Doubt. September 4, 2013. September 5, 2013. The Daily Beast. David. Freedlander.
  4. Web site: Kasich focused on his own re-election bid. November 8, 2012. November 10, 2012. Columbus Dispatch. Joe. Vardon.
  5. Web site: Another tea party-backed candidate mulls run for Ohio governor. January 13, 2014. February 4, 2014. The Plain Dealer. Jeremy. Pelzer.
  6. Web site: Tea party has no challenger for Kasich after all. https://archive.today/20140204143321/http://news.cincinnati.com/article/20140129/NEWS010801/301290192/. dead. February 4, 2014. January 30, 2014. February 4, 2014. The Cincinnati Enquirer. Chrissie. Thompson.
  7. Web site: Tea party activist Ted Stevenot won't challenge Ohio Gov. John Kasich in Republican primary. Casey Weldon. WCPO. November 26, 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20141129200817/http://www.wcpo.com/news/political/local-politics/tea-party-activist-ted-stevenot-wont-challenge-ohio-gov-john-kasich-in-republican-primary. November 29, 2014. dead.
  8. Web site: Who is Larry Ealy? Ohio Politics Roundup. February 6, 2014. February 7, 2014. The Plain Dealer. Henry J. Gomez.
  9. Web site: Larry Ealy, little-known Democrat from Dayton, talks about his campaign for governor. February 18, 2014. April 30, 2014. The Plain Dealer. Henry J. Gomez.
  10. Web site: Ex-stripper running for Ohio governor opens up about past. May 1, 2014. September 4, 2014. The Columbus Dispatch. Joe Vardon.
  11. Web site: FitzGerald might have competition. February 2, 2014. April 30, 2014. The Toledo Blade. Jim Provance.
  12. Web site: Cuyahoga County executive Ed FitzGerald announces bid for Ohio governor. April 24, 2013. April 25, 2013. The Blade. Henry J.. Gomez.
  13. Web site: Ed FitzGerald names Sharen Neuhardt as running mate. Joe Vardon. The Columbus Dispatch. November 26, 2014.
  14. Web site: Primary challenge for FitzGerald? Hamilton County Commissioner Todd Portune may run for governor. December 17, 2013. December 18, 2013. The Plain Dealer. Tom. Troy.
  15. Web site: Ohio governor race 2014: 2nd Democrat to go for seat. POLITICO. December 30, 2013. December 30, 2013. Emily. Schultheis.
  16. Web site: With Richard Cordray's future now set, Ed FitzGerald controls his own destiny in Ohio governor's race: Analysis. July 16, 2013. July 17, 2013. The Plain Dealer. Henry J.. Gomez.
  17. Web site: Rep. Tim Ryan decides to skip gubernatorial bid. March 15, 2013. March 16, 2013. The Plain Dealer. Sabrina. Eaton.
  18. Web site: Former Ohio Gov. Ted Strickland to pass on rematch with John Kasich. January 8, 2013. January 10, 2013. The Plain Dealer. Henry J.. Gomez.
  19. Web site: Former Rep. Betty Sutton will not run for governor. March 22, 2013. March 23, 2013. The Plain Dealer. Henry J.. Gomez.
  20. Web site: Write-in candidates file for Primary, state issue added to ballot. February 27, 2014. March 29, 2014. Akron Ohio News. Kathleen. Collins. March 9, 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20140309193319/http://www.akron.com/akron-ohio-community-news.asp?aID=22270. dead.
  21. Web site: Ohio Green Dennis Spisak announces gubernatorial run. November 24, 2013. November 24, 2013. Green Party of Ohio.
  22. News: Vardon. Joe. Larry Ealy qualifies for ballot setting up Democratic gubernatorial primary. March 3, 2014. The Columbus Dispatch. February 19, 2014.
  23. Web site: Ed FitzGerald faces only primary among statewide candidates; Libertarians fail to field full slate. Gomez. Henry J.. The Plain Dealer. February 18, 2014. March 3, 2014.
  24. Web site: Libertarians angry at GOP while acknowledging faults. Joe Vardon. The Columbus Dispatch. November 26, 2014.
  25. News: McAvoy. John. Earl for Ohio Governor Campaign Launch. September 8, 2013. September 6, 2013. October 22, 2013. https://web.archive.org/web/20131022164406/http://toledoteaparty.com/ai1ec_event/earl-for-ohio-governor-campaign-launch/?instance_id=295. dead.
  26. News: Gomez. Henry J.. Charlie Earl, Ohio's libertarian candidate for governor, saddles up for his 'last rodeo'. September 13, 2013. The Plain Dealer. September 13, 2013.
  27. Web site: FitzGerald proposes $500 million universal preschool plan. The Plain Dealer. May 14, 2014. November 26, 2014.
  28. Web site: Ed FitzGerald assails Ohio budget as harmful to middle-class families, the poor and women. The Plain Dealer. June 28, 2013. November 26, 2014.
  29. https://web.archive.org/web/20140517124037/https://www.nbc4i.com/story/25393739/jobs-ohio-doesnt-have-to-disclose-records-on-taxpayer-money Jobs Ohio Doesn't Have To Disclose Records On Taxpayer Money
  30. Web site: Ed FitzGerald Calls For JobsOhio Transparency. WOSU News. November 26, 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20140517122919/http://wosu.org/2012/news/2013/09/09/ed-fitzgerald-calls-for-jobsohio-transparency/. May 17, 2014. dead. mdy-all.
  31. Web site: Ed FitzGerald to Enquirer: Here's my Ohio. The Cincinnati Enquirer. March 21, 2014. November 26, 2014.
  32. Web site: Kasich signs voting bills that end Golden Week and limit distribution of absentee ballots. The Plain Dealer. February 22, 2014. November 26, 2014.
  33. Web site: Cuyahoga County. The Plain Dealer. April 9, 2014. November 26, 2014.
  34. Web site: Ed FitzGerald's campaign is over except for the epitaph, but he may take down the rest of the ticket, too: Brent Larkin. August 6, 2014. The Plain Dealer.
  35. Web site: 2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014 . The Cook Political Report . September 3, 2018.
  36. Web site: The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks . Sabato's Crystal Ball . September 3, 2018.
  37. Web site: 2014 Gubernatorial Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . September 3, 2018.
  38. Web site: 2014 Elections Map – 2014 Governors Races . Real Clear Politics . September 3, 2018.
  39. Anita Rios (G)
  40. Charlie Earl (L)
  41. Web site: Election Results and Data - Ohio Secretary of State. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20170819165555/https://www.sos.state.oh.us/elections/election-results-and-data/. 2017-08-19.