2016 Serbian parliamentary election explained

Election Name:2016 Serbian parliamentary election
Country:Serbia
Type:parliamentary
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2014
Previous Year:2014
Next Election:2020
Next Year:2020
Majority Seats:126
Election Date:24 April 2016
Turnout:56.07% (2.98pp)
Party1:For Our Children (Serbia)
Leader1:Aleksandar Vučić
Last Election1:170
Seats1:131
Percentage1:49.71
Party2:SPSJSZSKP
Leader2:Ivica Dačić
Last Election2:33
Seats2:29
Percentage2:11.28
Party3:Serbian Radical Party
Last Election3:0
Seats3:22
Percentage3:8.34
Party4:Enough is Enough (party)
Leader4:Saša Radulović
Last Election4:0
Seats4:16
Percentage4:6.21
Party5:DS coalition
Leader5:Bojan Pajtić
Last Election5:19
Seats5:16
Percentage5:6.20
Party6:DSSDveri
Last Election6:0
Seats6:13
Percentage6:5.19
Party7:SDSLDPLSV
Leader7:Boris Tadić
Last Election7:15
Seats7:13
Percentage7:5.17
Heading8:Minority lists
Party8:VMSZVMDP
Leader8:István Pásztor
Last Election8:6
Seats8:4
Percentage8:1.54
Party9:BDZS
Leader9:Muamer Zukorlić
Last Election9:new
Seats9:2
Percentage9:0.89
Party10:Party of Democratic Action of Sandžak
Leader10:Sulejman Ugljanin
Last Election10:3
Seats10:2
Percentage10:0.82
Party11:ZES
Leader11:Goran Čabradi
Last Election11:new
Seats11:1
Percentage11:0.65
Party12:Party for Democratic Action
Leader12:Riza Halimi
Last Election12:2
Seats12:1
Percentage12:0.44
Map:2016 Serbian parliamentary election map.svg
Map Upright:0.9
Prime Minister
Before Election:Aleksandar Vučić
Before Party:Serbian Progressive Party
After Election:Aleksandar Vučić
After Party:Serbian Progressive Party

Parliamentary elections were held in Serbia on 24 April 2016.[1] Initially, the election were originally due to be held by March 2018, but on 17 January 2016 Prime Minister Aleksandar Vučić called for a snap election claiming Serbia "needs four more years of stability so that it is ready to join the European Union". The elections were held simultaneously with provincial elections in Vojvodina and nationwide local elections.

Voter turnout was 56%. Vučić's Serbian Progressive Party-led coalition retained its majority, winning 131 of the 250 seats. In contrast to the 2014 elections, a record-breaking seven non-minority lists passed the 5% threshold. Several parties returned to the National Assembly, including the Serbian Radical Party, the Liberal Democratic Party and the Democratic Party of Serbia, while three parties entered for the first time; the liberal Enough is Enough, the conservative Dveri (in coalition with the Democratic Party of Serbia) and the Green Party (as a Slovak ethnic minority list).

Vučić announced formation of the new government by early June.[2] He stated that the Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians were the only certain partners in the cabinet, and remained ambiguous about the future cooperation with the Socialist Party of Serbia, the coalition partners in the previous government.[3] After a two-month delay, Vučić announced the new cabinet on 8 August, consisting of eight old and eight new ministers, retaining the coalition with the Socialist Party.[4] The government was approved by the National Assembly on 10 August.[5]

Electoral system

The 250 members of the National Assembly are elected by proportional representation in a single nationwide constituency with a 5% electoral threshold (with the percentages calculated including the invalid and blank votes cast), although the threshold is disregarded for coalitions representing ethnic minorities. Seats are allocated using the d'Hondt method.[6]

Election in Kosovo

Serbia does not recognise Kosovo as an independent state and holds standpoint that the area is still just a province of Republic of Serbia. This meant that Belgrade also wanted to count votes in Kosovo. Republic of Kosovo analogously did not allow Serbian Election Commission to organise election as it would have violated its own sovereignty. However, Republic of Kosovo still recognises dual citizenship and this offered possibility to its Serb citizens to vote in Elections of Serbia. Hence, OSCE and Kosovo agreed that Serbia’s election official would not have role in the elections in Kosovo, but five collection centres of votes were provided in different parts of the country. Two of these were in northern part of Kosovo and three in southern part. OSCE guaranteed that the votes were collected accordingly in line with the rules and procedures. Corresponding arrangement had been made also for previous Serbian parliamentary elections in 2012 and 2014.[7]

Campaign

In November 2014 Dveri and the Democratic Party of Serbia declared that they would contest the elections as the "Patriotic Bloc" alliance.[8] In January 2015 PULS and SLS also joined the bloc.[9]

On 19 February 2016, the Party of United Pensioners of Serbia (PUPS) decided to leave the coalition with SPS, and sign an agreement with SNS,[10] as did the SDPS.[11]

DS, SDS and the LDP agreed to form a coalition called "Democratic Serbia - DS-LDP-SDS", with Dragoljub Mićunović as the leader.[12] However, on 28 February DS leader Bojan Pajtić said that his party would not join the SDS and the LDP in a pre-election coalition.[13]

Electoral lists

The Republic Electoral Commission (RIK) published an official list of competing parties and coalitions.[14]

Ballot nameBallot carrierMain ideologyPolitical positionNote
Aleksandar VučićPopulismBig tent
Bojan PajtićSocial democracyCentre-left
Ivica DačićPopulismBig tent
Vojislav ŠešeljUltranationalismFar-right
Sanda Rašković IvićConservatismRight-wing to
far-right
Bálint PásztorMinority interestsCentre-right
Nenad ČanakSocial democracyCentre-left
Muamer ZukorlićMinority interests
Sulejman UgljaninMinority interestsRight-wing
Božidar ZečevićUltranationalismFar-right
Jovan DeretićConspiracy theorismRight-wing
Slobodan NikolićNational conservatismRight-wing
Nikola SandulovićMinority interests
Dragan TodorovićNational conservatismRight-wing
Borko StefanovićSocial democracyCentre-left
Stanko DebeljakovićLiberalismCentre
Saša RadulovićSocial liberalismCentre
Ardita SinaniMinority interestsCentre-right
Goran ČabradiMinority interestsCentre-left
Vladan GlišićNational conservatismFar-right

Opinion polls

See main article: Opinion polling for the 2016 Serbian parliamentary election.

Aftermath

After the polls closed, it soon became clear that the Serbian Progressive Party would maintain its absolute majority in the Assembly, albeit with a smaller number of MPs, and that their partners, the Socialist Party of Serbia, would maintain their standing. However, the Republic Electoral Commission (RIK) and organizations monitoring the election (such as CeSID) were cautious about the results of most other lists, as they hovered around the 5% threshold. For a while, it looked as if all seven main contestants would pass the threshold, but as the Commission published the final results on Thursday 28 April, the DSS-Dveri coalition ended up a single vote short. Tensions ran high, as the participants started to accuse each other and the Commission of fraud, which along with demolition of Savamala resulted in start of protests.[15] [16] Still, there were additional 18,000 votes to share, as voting had to be repeated at 15 polling stations due to irregularities.[17] In the re-run held on 4 May, DSS–Dveri comfortably won the required number of votes and ended up with 5.03% of the electorate.[15] The Electoral Commission released the final results of the election on Thursday 5 May.

Vučić announced formation of the new government by early June.[2] He stated that the Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians were the only certain partners in the cabinet, and remained ambiguous about the future cooperation with the Socialist Party of Serbia, the coalition partners in the previous government, hinting that he will "certainly not form a government with someone who can't wait to stab him in the back."[3]

Constitutive session of the new parliament was held on 3 June. Maja Gojković of Serbian Progressive Party was re-elected president, and six vice-presidents from major parliamentary clubs were elected. The seventh vice-presidential seat, reserved for Enough is Enough, was left unfilled after the movement refused to propose their candidate despite previous agreement.[18]

Formation of the new government, however, took much longer than announced. On 23 July PM-designate Aleksandar Vučić said he was not ruling out the possibility that Serbia's government could be "formed by somebody else at his proposal", stating that "we have problems, this is not about some kind of whim", but without elaborating the details.[19] Fueled by hints from Vučić and statements made by his associates, media started speculating on external pressures, pointing at Western and Russian attempts to influence personal solutions in the new cabinet.[20] President Nikolić expressed "full understanding" that the government had not been formed yet, and stated that the only important thing is that the constitutional deadlines [three months from constitution of the Assembly] are met.[21]

Vučić announced the new cabinet on 8 August, consisting of eight old and eight new ministers, retaining a coalition with the Socialist Party.[4] The government was approved by the National Assembly on 10 August.[5]

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Nikolić raspisao izbore: Želim da pobedi SNS . B92 . 4 March 2016.
  2. Web site: Vučić najavio formiranje vlade u junu . https://archive.today/20160802134110/http://rs.n1info.com/a155066/Video/Vucic-najavio-formiranje-vlade-u-junu.html . dead . August 2, 2016 . 25 April 2016 .
  3. Web site: Vucic says he won't form government with "backstabbers" . B92 . 29 April 2016.
  4. Web site: Objavljen sastav nove Vlade, osam novih imena . N1 . 8 August 2016.
  5. Web site: New Serbian government gets parliament approval . Reuters . 11 August 2016.
  6. http://www.ipu.org/parline-e/reports/2355_B.htm Electoral system
  7. Web site: OSCE Agrees to Run Serbian Elections in Kosovo . 2016-04-21 . 2024-08-02 . Balkan Insight . Isufi . Perparim .
  8. http://www.rts.rs/page/stories/sr/story/9/Politika/1754301/DSS+i+Dveri+formirali+patriotski+blok.html DSS i Dveri formirali patriotski blok
  9. http://www.blic.rs/Vesti/Politika/530731/Uz-DSS-i-Dveri-sada-i-PULS-i-SLS Uz DSS i Dveri sada i PULS i SLS
  10. http://www.b92.net/eng/news/politics.php?yyyy=2016&mm=02&dd=18&nav_id=97089 Pensioner party leaves coalition with Socialists
  11. http://www.blic.rs/vesti/politika/sns-ide-na-izbore-sa-sdps-rasim-ljajic-kljucan-za-pobedu-naprednjaka-u-raskoj/m5f1jh0 SNS IDE NA IZBORE SA SDPS
  12. http://www.b92.net/info/vesti/index.php?yyyy=2016&mm=02&dd=27&nav_category=11&nav_id=1101617 Dogovor opozicije - na izbore na jednoj listi
  13. http://www.b92.net/eng/news/politics.php?yyyy=2016&mm=02&dd=29&nav_id=97210 Opposition parties won't form single list for elections
  14. Web site: Изборне листе. sr. RIK. 5 March 2016. 5 March 2016. https://web.archive.org/web/20180427083209/http://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/izbori-za-narodne-poslanike-2016-izborne-liste.php. 27 April 2018. dead.
  15. Web site: Serbian Right-Wingers Win Seats in Poll Re-Run . 5 May 2016 . Balkan Insight . Saša Dragojlo.
  16. Web site: IGRA ŽIVACA: DSS-Dveri ispod cenzusa za JEDAN GLAS . Game of nerves: DSS-Dveri below the threshold for one vote . Blic . 29 April 2016.
  17. Web site: 18.000 BIRAČA PONOVO NA GLASANJE Poništeni izbori na ukupno 15 biračkih mesta, neizvesna sudbina dve liste . Blic . 27 April 2016.
  18. Web site: Maja Gojković na čelu parlamenta . 6 June 2016. Večernje Novosti.
  19. Web site: Vucic says "someone else" may have to form new government . 25 July 2016 . B92.
  20. Web site: Pritisci sa istoka i zapada: Evo zašto Vučić već 3 meseca ne formira vladu . https://web.archive.org/web/20160727144102/http://www.newsweek.rs/srbija/75769-pritisci-sa-istoka-i-zapada-evo-zasto-vucic-vec-3-meseca-ne-formira-vladu.html . dead . 27 July 2016 . Pressures from West and East: Here's Why Vučić Hasn't Formed The New Government for Three Months . 26 July 2016 . Radio Free Europe/Newsweek Serbia .
  21. Web site: Nikolić: Vučić poštuje rokove, vlada će biti formirana na vreme . 10 July 2016 . Večernje Novosti.