2005 Schleswig-Holstein state election explained

Election Name:2005 Schleswig-Holstein state election
Country:Schleswig-Holstein
Type:parliamentary
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2000 Schleswig-Holstein state election
Previous Year:2000
Next Election:2009 Schleswig-Holstein state election
Next Year:2009
Seats For Election:All 69 seats of the Landtag of Schleswig-Holstein
Majority Seats:35
Election Date:20 February 2005[1]
Turnout:1,434,805 (66.5%)
3.0%
Leader1:Peter Harry Carstensen
Party1:Christian Democratic Union of Germany
Last Election1:33 seats, 35.2%
Seats1:30
Seat Change1: 3
Popular Vote1:576,095
Percentage1:40.2%
Swing1: 5.0%
Leader2:Heide Simonis
Party2:Social Democratic Party of Germany
Last Election2:41 seats, 43.1%
Seats2:29
Seat Change2: 12
Popular Vote2:554,879
Percentage2:38.7%
Swing2: 4.4%
Leader3:Wolfgang Kubicki
Party3:Free Democratic Party (Germany)
Last Election3:7 seats, 7.6%
Seats3:4
Seat Change3: 3
Popular Vote3:94,935
Percentage3:6.6%
Swing3: 1.0%
Leader4:Anne Lütkes
Party4:Alliance 90/The Greens
Last Election4:5 seats, 6.2%
Seats4:4
Seat Change4: 1
Popular Vote4:89,387
Percentage4:6.2%
Swing4: 0.0%
Leader5:Anke Spoorendonk
Party5:South Schleswig Voter Federation
Last Election5:3 seats, 4.1%
Seats5:2
Seat Change5: 1
Popular Vote5:51,920
Percentage5:3.6%
Swing5: 0.5%
Map Size:350px
Minister-President
Before Election:Heide Simonis
Before Party:Social Democratic Party of Germany
After Election:Peter Harry Carstensen
After Party:Christian Democratic Union (Germany)

The 2005 Schleswig-Holstein state election was held on 20 February 2005 to elect the members of the Landtag of Schleswig-Holstein. The incumbent coalition government of the Social Democratic Party (SPD) and The Greens led by Minister-President Heide Simonis was defeated, bringing an end to 17 years of SPD governments in the state.

The result was a deadlock, with the right-wing parties (CDU and FDP) being one seat short of majority and the left-wing parties (SPD and the Greens) two seats short, with SSW thus holding the balance of power.

After a failed attempt to invest a minority SPD–Green government supported by the South Schleswig Voters' Association (SSW), the SPD agreed to join a grand coalition with the Christian Democratic Union (CDU). CDU leader Peter Harry Carstensen was subsequently elected Minister-President.

Campaign and issues

Surveys before the election indicated that most voters considered high unemployment in Germany and Schleswig-Holstein to be the key issue of the campaign. Pre-election polls indicated that the personal popularity of Heide Simonis was still high, though, and that the SPD–Green coalition had the support of a plurality of voters. However, the unpopularity of the federal SPD and the Hartz IV reforms appeared to have taken a toll.

Parties

The table below lists parties represented in the previous Landtag of Schleswig-Holstein.

NameIdeologyLeader(s)2000 result
Votes (%)Seats
bgcolor= SPDSocial Democratic Party of Germany
Social democracyHeide Simonis43.1%
bgcolor= CDUChristian Democratic Union of Germany
Christian democracyPeter Harry Carstensen35.2%
bgcolor= FDPFree Democratic Party
Classical liberalismWolfgang Kubicki7.6%
bgcolor= GrüneAlliance 90/The Greens
Green politicsAnne Lütkes6.2%
bgcolor= SSWSouth Schleswig Voters' Association
Danish and Frisian minority interestsAnke Spoorendonk4.1%

Opinion polling

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
SPDCDUFDPGrüneSSWOthersLead
2005 state electiondata-sort-value="2005-02-20"20 Feb 200538.740.26.66.23.64.71.5
Forsadata-sort-value="2005-02-16"16 Feb 20051,002403776463
Universität Kieldata-sort-value="2005-02-15"17 Jan–11 Feb 200575039.437.37.010.63.31.22.1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlendata-sort-value="2005-02-11"8–10 Feb 20051,106403777453
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2005-02-10"7–9 Feb 20051,000413677.535.55
Forsadata-sort-value="2005-02-08"1–4 Feb 20051,059403777363
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2005-01-21"14–18 Jan 20051,000403778353
Forsadata-sort-value="2004-12-23"17–21 Dec 2004752393777462
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2004-12-15"8–13 Dec 20041,000383978351
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2004-11-05"1–3 Nov 20041,0003839610341
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2004-08-26"18–23 Aug 20041,00031427114511
Forsadata-sort-value="2004-08-22"22 Aug 2004?324089568
dimapdata-sort-value="2004-05-28"7–12 May 20041,0053148694217
Forsadata-sort-value="2004-02-22"22 Feb 2004?3344884311
dimapdata-sort-value="2003-12-17"17 Dec 2003?2948694419
dimapdata-sort-value="2001-05-02"2 May 20011,0054135106446
2000 state electiondata-sort-value="2000-02-27"27 Feb 200043.135.27.66.24.13.77.9

Election result

|-| colspan=8| |-! colspan="2" | Party! Votes! %! +/-! Seats ! +/-! Seats %|-| bgcolor=| | align=left | Christian Democratic Union (CDU)| align=right| 576,095| align=right| 40.2| align=right| 5.0| align=right| 30| align=right| 3| align=right| 43.5|-| bgcolor=| | align=left | Social Democratic Party (SPD)| align=right| 554,879| align=right| 38.7| align=right| 4.4| align=right| 29| align=right| 12| align=right| 42.0|-| bgcolor=| | align=left | Free Democratic Party (FDP)| align=right| 94,935| align=right| 6.6| align=right| 1.0| align=right| 4| align=right| 3| align=right| 5.8|-| bgcolor=| | align=left | Alliance 90/The Greens (Grüne)| align=right| 89,387| align=right| 6.2| align=right| 0.0| align=right| 4| align=right| 1| align=right| 5.8|-| bgcolor=| | align=left | South Schleswig Voters' Association (SSW)| align=right| 51,920| align=right| 3.6| align=right| 0.5| align=right| 2| align=right| 1| align=right| 2.9|-! colspan=8||-| bgcolor=| | align=left | National Democratic Party (NPD)| align=right| 27,676| align=right| 1.9| align=right| 0.9| align=right| 0| align=right| ±0| align=right| 0|-| bgcolor=|| align=left | Others| align=right| 39,913| align=right| 2.8| align=right| | align=right| 0| align=right| ±0| align=right| 0|-! align=right colspan=2| Total! align=right| 1,434,805! align=right| 100.0! align=right| ! align=right| 69! align=right| 20! align=right| |-! align=right colspan=2| Voter turnout! align=right| ! align=right| 66.5! align=right| 3.0! align=right| ! align=right| ! align=right| |}

Outcome

After the election, the SPD–Green coalition no longer commanded a majority of the Landtag. The SSW announced that although it would not enter a coalition, it saw more common ground with the SPD than the CDU. Minister-President Simonis proceeded to form an SPD–Green coalition based on an agreement with the SSW backing it.

On 17 March, the vote to invest the government failed, with the secret ballot tying 34–34. It is not known who abstained, though it is widely believed to have been a representative of the SPD. Since the coalition had failed, the SPD was forced to negotiate a grand coalition agreement with the CDU, capitulating to the CDU's demand that CDU leader Peter Harry Carstensen replace Simonis as Minister-President.

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Endgültiges Ergebnis der 2009er Landtagswahl in Schleswig-Holstein . 2012-05-05 . 2010-01-28 . PDF . . German .