2010 Rhode Island gubernatorial election explained

Election Name:2010 Rhode Island gubernatorial election
Country:Rhode Island
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2006 Rhode Island gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2006
Election Date:November 2, 2010
Next Election:2014 Rhode Island gubernatorial election
Next Year:2014
Image1:File:Lincoln Chafee official portrait (cropped 2).jpg
Nominee1:Lincoln Chafee
Party1:Independent (United States)
Popular Vote1:123,571
Percentage1:36.1%
Governor
Before Election:Donald Carcieri
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Lincoln Chafee
After Party:Independent (politician)
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:114,911
Percentage2:33.6%
Image4:File:Frank Caprio (cropped).JPG
Nominee4:Frank Caprio
Party4:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote4:78,896
Percentage4:23.1%
Nominee5:Ken Block
Party5:Moderate Party of Rhode Island
Popular Vote5:22,146
Percentage5:6.5%

The 2010 Rhode Island gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010. It was preceded by the primary election on September 14, 2010. Incumbent Republican Governor Donald Carcieri was term-limited in 2010. The non-partisan Cook Political Report, The New York Times and CQ Politics rated the gubernatorial election as a toss-up.[1] [2] [3]

With 90 percent of the districts reporting on election night, Independent Lincoln Chafee was declared the winner, with 36.1% of the vote.[4], this was the last time Newport County voted for the Republican candidate in a statewide election. Chafee had served Rhode Island in the U.S. Senate as a Republican from 1999 to 2007; he later joined the Democratic Party in 2013. [5]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Results

General election

Candidates

Major

Minor

Campaign

The campaign drew nationwide attention in late October when President Barack Obama, faced with a choice between Democrat Caprio and independent Chafee (who, although he had been a Republican as a senator, had endorsed the Democratic Obama for president in 2008) chose not to make any endorsement in the race. Caprio responded to the lack of an endorsement by his fellow Democrat by stating that the President "can take his endorsement and really shove it as far as I'm concerned."[9]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report[10] October 14, 2010
Rothenberg[11] October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[12] November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[14] October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredIndependent Democratic nomineeRepublican nomineeModerate nominee
Lincoln ChafeeFrank CaprioJohn RobitailleKen Block
WJAR Channel 10October 23–26, 201035%25%28%2%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 21, 201035%28%25%
WJAR Channel 10October 4–6, 201033%37%22%2%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 6, 201033%30%22%4%
Brown UniversitySeptember 27–29, 201023%30%14%2%
WPRI-TVSeptember 22–26, 201030%33%19%4%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 16, 201033%30%23%5%
Quest ResearchSeptember 15–17, 201024%36%13%2%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 17, 201032%38%20%
Brown UniversityJuly 27–30, 201026%28%7%3%
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 21, 201037%30%23%
Rasmussen ReportsJune 1, 201035%32%25%
Rasmussen ReportsApril 21, 201033%34%21%
Rasmussen ReportsFebruary 25, 201037%27%19%
Brown UniversityFebruary 9–12, 201034%28%12%

By county

align=center colspan=2Lincoln Chafee
Independent
align=center colspan=2John Robitaille
Republican
align=center colspan=2Frank Caprio
Democratic
align=center colspan=2Kenneth Block
Moderate
align=center colspan=2Othersalign=center rowspan=2Total
align=center CountyVotes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
Bristol7,32337.04%6,79634.37%3,95019.98%1,5477.82%1550.78%19,771
Kent22,56335.62%23,30336.79%12,19919.26%4,7457.49%5330.85%63,343
Newport11,31337.55%11,88539.45%5,16517.15%1,4974.97%2640.88%30,124
Providence62,60834.90%55,25830.80%49,26627.46%10,8376.04%1,4170.79%179,386
Washington19,73439.80%17,63735.57%8,19216.73%3,5187.10%3960.80%49,577

Counties that flipped from Republican to Independent

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Independent

See also

External links

Debate
Official campaign sites (Archived)

Notes and References

  1. Web site: The Cook Political Report | The insider's choice for election analysis . Cookpolitical.com . 2010-08-17 . 2010-08-21.
  2. Web site: CQ Politics | Governors 2010 map . Innovation.cq.com . 2010-08-21 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20100611142405/http://innovation.cq.com/atlas/gov2010 . 2010-06-11 .
  3. Web site: Governor Races - Election 2010 - The New York Times . Elections.nytimes.com . 2010-08-21.
  4. Web site: Lincoln Chafee elected RI's next governor - WPRI.com . wpri.com . 2010-11-02 . 2010-11-03 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20101106012148/http://www.wpri.com/dpp/news/politics/local_politics/lincoln-chafee-elected-rhode-islands-next-governor . 2010-11-06 .
  5. Web site: 2013-05-29 . Facing difficult re-election, Chafee officially becomes a Democrat . https://web.archive.org/web/20240309173220/https://www.nbcnews.com/id/wbna52036828 . dead . March 9, 2024 . 2024-03-09 . NBC News . en.
  6. Web site: Steve PeoplesJournal State House Bureau . R.I. General Treasurer Frank T. Caprio announces run for governor | Politics | projo.com | The Providence Journal . projo.com . 2009-11-10 . 2010-08-21.
  7. Web site: Moderate Party of Rhode Island – Common Ground. Common Sense . Moderate-ri.org . 2010-08-21 . https://web.archive.org/web/20100308054926/http://www.moderate-ri.org/KennethBlock.asp . 2010-03-08 . dead .
  8. Web site: The Latest News . Riloveslusiforgov.com . 2010-08-21 .
  9. News: Frank Caprio: Obama Can Take His Endorsement and "Shove It" . CBS News . Stephanie . Condon . October 25, 2010 .
  10. Web site: 2010 Governors Race Ratings . https://web.archive.org/web/20101028141343/http://cookpolitical.com/charts/governors/raceratings_2010-10-14_12-35-09.php . dead . October 28, 2010 . . October 28, 2010.
  11. Web site: Governor Ratings . . October 28, 2010.
  12. Web site: 2010 Governor Races . . October 28, 2010.
  13. Web site: THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS . . October 28, 2010.
  14. Web site: Race Ratings Chart: Governor . . October 28, 2010 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20101005231611/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-governor . October 5, 2010 .