Results of the 2011 Canadian federal election explained

Election Name:2011 Canadian federal election
Country:Canada
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008
Next Election:2015
Election Date:2 May 2011
Turnout:61.1%
Leader3:Michael Ignatieff
Party3:Liberal
Last Election3:77
Seats3:34
Percentage3:18.9%
Party1:Conservative
Leader1:Stephen Harper
Last Election1:143
Seats1:166
Percentage1:39.6%
Party2:New Democratic
Leader2:Jack Layton
Last Election2:36
Seats2:103
Percentage2:30.6%
Party4:Bloc Québécois
Leader4:Gilles Duceppe
Last Election4:47
Seats4:4
Percentage4:6.0%
Party5:Green
Leader5:Elizabeth May
Last Election5:0
Seats5:1
Percentage5:3.9%
Map:Élection-fédérale-canadienne-2011.png
Prime Minister
Before Election:Stephen Harper
Before Party:Conservative
After Election:Stephen Harper
After Party:Conservative

The 41st Canadian federal election was held on May 2, 2011. It resulted in a Conservative majority government under the leadership of Prime Minister Stephen Harper.[1] It was the third consecutive election win for Harper, and with 166 of 308 seats, giving them a majority government for the first time in their eight-year history. It was also the first right-of-centre majority government since the Progressive Conservatives won their last majority in 1988.[2] The Conservative Party won 39.62% of the popular vote, an increase of 1.96%, and posted a net gain of 24 seats in the House of Commons.[3]

The election resulted in significant upheaval within the opposition parties, as the New Democratic Party (NDP) rode an "orange surge" in the polls during the campaign to 103 seats, becoming Her Majesty's Loyal Opposition for the first time in party history.[4] The total eclipsed the party's previous best of 43 seats in 1988.[5] The Liberals however were reduced to third party status nationwide. They returned only 34 MPs, less than half of what they had at dissolution.[6] It was the first time in Canadian history that the Liberals were not one of the top two parties in the house.[7] Green Party leader Elizabeth May won in her riding, becoming the first Green Party candidate elected to a governmental body in Canada, and to a national body in North America.[8]

Following their staggering defeats, including losing their own seats, Bloc Québécois leader Gilles Duceppe and Liberal leader Michael Ignatieff both announced their resignations as party leaders.[9]

Party summaries

Conservatives

The Conservatives, who had been leading in the polls since the writs were dropped, won 166 seats - enough for the first Conservative majority government since the Progressive Conservative-Canadian Alliance merger that formed the party in 2003. Notably, the Tories made significant inroads in Toronto, taking eight seats there. While the Tories had won a few seats in the Toronto suburbs since the PC-Canadian Alliance merger, this was the first time a right-of-centre party had won seats in the former Metro Toronto itself since the PC meltdown of 1993. Combined with their traditionally heavy support in the west, this was enough to win a 14-seat majority with 39.62 percent of the national popular vote - a result also notable for being the first time the modern Conservative party successfully polled a larger share of the vote than the combined tally of the PC and CA parties in the election preceding their merger.

Despite winning a majority government, the Conservatives lost over half their seats in Quebec to the NDP, retaining only five seats in that province.

New Democrats

The NDP had a major windfall, emerging as a truly national party for the first time in its 50-year history. They won 103 seats—more than double their previous high (when they won 43 seats in 1988). Much of this was due to a breakthrough in Quebec, a province where they had been more or less nonexistent for the better part of their history. From only one seat at dissolution, the NDP took 59 of 75 seats there, dominating Montreal and sweeping Quebec City and the Outaouais. By comparison, the NDP had only won one other seat in Quebec in its entire history prior to 2011 (and had held only one other seat, via a floor-crossing). It had not even been fully organized in the province since 1990, when its Quebec wing seceded to preach sovereigntism. The 59 seats won by the NDP in Quebec is the most won by any party in that province since the Progressive Conservatives won 63 seats there in 1988. In several cases, NDP candidates in Quebec won handily even though they didn't even actively campaign.

Among the new NDP MPs were several university students. Five members of the McGill University NDP club—Charmaine Borg, Matthew Dubé, Mylène Freeman, Laurin Liu, and Jamie Nicholls—were elected from Montreal-area ridings. Liu is the youngest woman ever elected to Parliament. Also elected was Pierre-Luc Dusseault, a freshman at the Université de Sherbrooke; his victory in Sherbrooke, Quebec makes him the youngest MP in Canadian history (he only turned 20 two days before he was sworn in).

However, they were unable to make much of an impact in their former western heartland. They actually lost Elmwood—Transcona, the former seat of longtime MP and former deputy leader Bill Blaikie, by only 300 votes.

Liberals

Winning only 34 seats, the Liberals suffered the worst result in their history. They sat as the third party in the 41st Parliament, the first since Confederation where the Liberals did not form either the Government or the Official Opposition in the House of Commons. This was the worst showing for an incumbent Official Opposition party in terms of seats, and the lowest percentage for a national Official Opposition party (the Bloc Québécois in 1997 won more seats with a smaller vote share on account of its being a regional party).

The Liberals' poor showing was largely due to a collapse of their support in Montreal and Toronto, which had been the backbones of Liberal support for almost two decades. With few exceptions, their support in Toronto flowed to the Tories, while most of their base in Montreal switched to the NDP.

In 2008, they won 20 out of the 23 ridings fully or partially within Toronto. However, in 2011, they only won six, losing 6 to the NDP and 9 to the Conservatives. Additionally, after going into the election holding 30 of the 44 seats in the Greater Toronto Area, they only won seven in 2011.

In Montreal, the Liberals lost five of their 12 seats, and came close to losing several more. Most notably, they came within 2,500 votes of losing Mount Royal, long reckoned as the safest Liberal riding in the nation.

Liberal leader Michael Ignatieff lost his seat of Etobicoke—Lakeshore to first time challenger Bernard Trottier by a margin of 5.27% of the total votes. Other famous MP's who also lost their seats are Ken Dryden (York Centre), Dan McTeague (Pickering—Scarborough East), Gerard Kennedy (Parkdale—High Park), Ujjal Dosanjh (Vancouver South) and Joe Volpe (Eglinton—Lawrence).

All told, the Liberals only won 11 seats in Ontario (all but four in Toronto) and seven in Quebec (all in Montreal)—the fewest the party has ever won in either province. They went into the next Parliament holding only four seats west of Ontario (Winnipeg North, Wascana, Vancouver Centre and Vancouver Quadra).

Bloc Québécois

The Bloc was practically eliminated from the scene, losing 43 seats. This reduced them to a rump of four seats, only a third of the number required for official party status. In many cases, they lost seats they held since their debut performance in 1993. With few exceptions, their support bled over to the NDP. Notably, the Bloc lost all but one seat in the Montreal area. This included all of their seats in the eastern part of the city, the birthplace of the sovereigntist movement. The Bloc went into the election holding all but one seat in eastern Montreal, but lost all of them to the NDP. They also lost all or most of their seats in their longstanding strongholds in the rest of the province, such as Quebec City and central Quebec. Several Bloc MPs who had never had serious difficulty being reelected ended up losing their seats in landslides. Bloc leader Gilles Duceppe, at the time the longest-tenured party leader in Canada, lost his seat in Laurier—Sainte-Marie to NDP challenger Hélène Laverdière.

Greens

Despite losing a significant share of the national vote compared to the 2008 election, Green Party leader Elizabeth May became the first Green Party member elected to the Canadian Parliament.

Vote and seat summaries


Gains, holds and losses

Elections to the 41st Parliament of Canada – seats won/lost by party, 2008–2011
Party2008Gain from (loss to)2011
colspan="2" align="center"Con colspan="2" align="center"NDP colspan="2" align="center"Lib align="center"BQ align="center"Grn align="center"Ind
143 2(6)27(1)1166
37 6 (2) 17 (1) 451 103
77 (27) 1(17)34
49 (45)4
 - 1 1
2 (1) (1)  -
Total 308 7(30) 3 (69) 44 (1) 45(1)2 308

Incumbents defeated

See main article: List of MPs who lost their seat in the 2011 Canadian federal election.

Liberal Party leader Michael Ignatieff lost his riding of Etobicoke—Lakeshore to Bernard Trottier, a Conservative,[10] and the following day he announced he would resign as Liberal leader. Gilles Duceppe, leader of the Bloc Québécois and incumbent in Laurier—Sainte-Marie was defeated by Hélène Laverdière of the NDP and announced his intention to resign as leader of the Bloc.[11]

Four Cabinet ministers, Lawrence Cannon (Foreign Affairs), Gary Lunn (Sport), Jean-Pierre Blackburn (Veterans Affairs and Agriculture), and Josée Verner (Intergovernmental Affairs and Francophonie) lost their seats. Lunn lost to Green Party leader Elizabeth May, and the NDP won the other three seats.[12]

Defeated incumbents and winners by province
Colspan=7British Columbia
Defeated incumbentAffiliationWinnerAffiliationElectoral districtLiberalNDPNewton—North DeltaConservativeGreenSaanich—Gulf IslandsConservativeNDPSurrey NorthLiberalConservativeVancouver South
Colspan=7Manitoba
Defeated incumbentAffiliationWinnerAffiliationElectoral districtNDP    ConservativeElmwood—TransconaLiberalConservativeWinnipeg South Centre
Colspan=7New Brunswick
Defeated incumbentAffiliationWinnerAffiliationElectoral districtLiberalConservativeMadawaska—RestigoucheLiberalConservativeMoncton—Riverview—Dieppe
Colspan=7Newfoundland and Labrador
Defeated incumbentAffiliationWinnerAffiliationElectoral districtLiberalConservativeLabradorLiberalNDPSt. John's South—Mount Pearl
Colspan=7Nova Scotia
Defeated incumbentAffiliationWinnerAffiliationElectoral districtLiberalNDPDartmouth—Cole Harbour
Colspan=7Ontario
Defeated incumbentAffiliationWinnerAffiliationElectoral districtLiberalConservativeAjax—PickeringLiberalNDPBeaches—East YorkLiberalConservativeBramalea—Gore—MaltonLiberalConservativeBrampton WestLiberalConservativeBrampton—SpringdaleLiberalNDPDavenportLiberalConservativeDon Valley EastLiberalConservativeDon Valley WestLiberalConservativeEglinton—LawrenceLiberalConservativeEtobicoke CentreLiberalConservativeEtobicoke—LakeshoreLiberalConservativeLondon North CentreLiberalConservativeMississauga—Brampton SouthLiberalConservativeMississauga SouthLiberalConservativeMississauga—StreetsvilleLiberalConservativeNipissing—TimiskamingLiberalNDPParkdale—High ParkLiberalConservativePickering—Scarborough EastLiberalConservativeRichmond HillNDPConservativeSault Ste. MarieLiberalConservativeScarborough CentreLiberalNDPScarborough SouthwestIndependentConservativeSimcoe—GreyLiberalConservativeWillowdaleLiberalConservativeYork CentreLiberalNDPYork South—Weston
Colspan=7Quebec
Defeated incumbentAffiliationWinnerAffiliationElectoral districtBloc QuébécoisNDPAbitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—EeyouBloc QuébécoisNDPAbitibi—TémiscamingueBloc QuébécoisNDPAlfred-PellanBloc QuébécoisNDPArgenteuil—Papineau—MirabelBloc QuébécoisNDPBeauharnois—SalaberryConservativeNDPBeauport—LimoilouBloc QuébécoisNDPBerthier—MaskinongéLiberalNDPBrossard—La PrairieBloc QuébécoisNDPChambly—BorduasConservativeNDPCharlesbourg—Haute-Saint-CharlesBloc QuébécoisNDPChâteauguay—Saint-ConstantBloc QuébécoisNDPChicoutimi—Le FjordBloc QuébécoisNDPCompton—StansteadBloc QuébécoisNDPDrummondBloc QuébécoisNDPGatineauBloc QuébécoisNDPHochelagaLiberalNDPHonoré-MercierLiberalNDPHull—AylmerBloc QuébécoisNDPJeanne-Le BerBloc QuébécoisNDPJolietteConservativeNDPJonquière—AlmaLiberalNDPLaSalle—ÉmardBloc QuébécoisNDPLaurentides—LabelleBloc QuébécoisNDPLaurier—Sainte-MarieBloc QuébécoisNDPLavalBloc QuébécoisNDPLongueuil—Pierre-BoucherBloc QuébécoisNDPLouis-HébertConservativeNew Democratic PartyNDPLouis-Saint-LaurentBloc QuébécoisNDPManicouaganBloc QuébécoisNDPMontcalmConservativeNDPMontmagny—L'Islet—Kamouraska—Rivière-du-LoupBloc QuébécoisNDPMontmorency—Charlevoix—Haute-Côte-NordLiberalNDPNotre-Dame-de-Grâce—LachineLiberalNDPPierrefonds—DollardConservativeNDPPontiacIndependentNDPPortneuf—Jacques-CartierBloc QuébécoisNDPQuébecBloc QuébécoisNDPRepentignyBloc QuébécoisNDPRimouski-Neigette—Témiscouata—Les BasquesBloc QuébécoisNDPRivière-des-Mille-ÎlesBloc QuébécoisNDPRivière-du-NordBloc QuébécoisNDPRosemont—La Petite-PatrieBloc QuébécoisNDPSaint-Bruno—Saint-HubertBloc QuébécoisNDPSaint-Hyacinthe—BagotBloc QuébécoisNDPSaint-JeanBloc QuébécoisNDPSaint-LambertBloc QuébécoisNDPSaint-Maurice—ChamplainBloc QuébécoisNDPSheffordBloc QuébécoisNDPSherbrookeBloc QuébécoisNDPTerrebonne—BlainvilleBloc QuébécoisNDPTrois-RivièresBloc QuébécoisNDPVaudreuil-SoulangesBloc QuébécoisNDPVerchères—Les Patriotes
Colspan=7Yukon
Defeated incumbentAffiliationWinnerAffiliationElectoral districtLiberalConservativeYukon

Open seats

The Bloc gained Haute-Gaspésie—La Mitis—Matane—Matapédia by the largest margin of victory of their four seats won and vacated by a long-standing member of the Bloc Québécois.

The Conservatives gained Calgary Centre-North and Prince George—Peace River, both vacated by long-standing Conservatives.

Seats that changed hands through vacancies at dissolution or retirements
Colspan=7Alberta
Outgoing incumbentAffiliationWinnerAffiliationElectoral districtVacantMichelle RempelConservativeCalgary Centre-NorthRick CassonConservativeJim HillyerConservativeLethbridge
Colspan=7British Columbia
Outgoing incumbentAffiliationWinnerAffiliationElectoral districtBill SiksayNDPKennedy StewartNDPBurnaby—DouglasChuck StrahlConservativeMark StrahlConservativeChilliwack—Fraser CanyonJohn CumminsConservativeKerry-Lynne FindlayConservativeDelta—Richmond EastKeith MartinLiberalRandall GarrisonNDPEsquimalt—Juan de FucaJim AbbottConservativeDan AlbasConservativeKootenay—ColumbiaStockwell DayConservativeDavid WilksConservativeOkanagan—CoquihallaVacantBob ZimmerConservativePrince George—Peace River
Colspan=7New Brunswick
Outgoing incumbentAffiliationWinnerAffiliationElectoral districtGreg ThompsonConservativeJohn WilliamsonConservativeNew Brunswick Southwest
Colspan=7Ontario
Outgoing incumbentAffiliationWinnerAffiliationElectoral districtPeter MillikenLiberalTed HsuLiberalKingston and the IslandsAlbina GuarnieriLiberalWladyslaw LizonConservativeMississauga East—CooksvilleDerek LeeLiberalRathika SitsabaiesanNDPScarborough—Rouge River
Colspan=7Prince Edward Island
Outgoing incumbentAffiliationWinnerAffiliationElectoral districtShawn MurphyLiberalSean CaseyLiberalCharlottetown
Colspan=7Quebec
Outgoing incumbentAffiliationWinnerAffiliationElectoral districtChristian OuelletBloc QuébécoisPierre JacobNDPBrome—MissisquoiRaynald BlaisBloc QuébécoisPhilip TooneNDPGaspésie—Îles-de-la-MadeleineVacantJean-François FortinBloc QuébécoisHaute-Gaspésie—La Mitis—Matane—MatapédiaFrancine LalondeBloc QuébécoisÈve PécletNDPLa Pointe-de-l'ÎleRaymonde FolcoLiberalFrançois PilonNDPLaval—Les ÎlesSerge MénardBloc QuébécoisAlain GiguèreNDPMarc-Aurèle-Fortin

Results by province

Party nameBCABSKMBONQCNBNSPENLYTNTNUTotal
rowspan="2"     ConservativeSeats:21 <--BC-->27 <--AB-->13 <--SK-->11 <--MB-->73 <--ON-->5 <--QC-->8 <--NB-->4 <--NS-->1 <--PE-->1 <--NL-->1 <--YT-->0 <--NT-->1 <--NU-->166<--Canada/Total-->
Vote:45.5 <--BC-->66.8 <--AB-->56.3 <--SK-->53.5 <--MB-->44.4 <--ON-->16.5 <--QC-->43.9 <--NB-->36.7 <--NS-->41.2 <--PE-->28.4 <--NL-->33.8 <--YT-->32.1 <--NT-->49.9 <--NU-->39.6 <--Canada/Total-->
rowspan="2"     New DemocratsSeats:12 <--BC-->1 <--AB-->0 <--SK-->2 <--MB-->22 <--ON-->59 <--QC-->1 <--NB-->3 <--NS-->0 <--PE-->2 <--NL-->0 <--YT-->1 <--NT-->0 <--NU-->103<--Canada/Total-->
Vote:32.5 <--BC-->16.8 <--AB-->32.3 <--SK-->25.8 <--MB-->25.6 <--ON-->42.9 <--QC-->29.8 <--NB-->30.3 <--NS-->15.4 <--PE-->32.6 <--NL-->14.4 <--YT-->45.8 <--NT-->19.4 <--NU-->30.6 <--Canada/Total-->
rowspan="2"     LiberalSeats:2 <--BC-->0 <--AB-->1 <--SK-->1 <--MB-->11 <--ON-->7 <--QC-->1 <--NB-->4 <--NS-->3 <--PE-->4 <--NL-->0 <--YT-->0 <--NT-->0 <--NU-->34<--Canada/Total-->
Vote:13.4 <--BC-->9.3 <--AB-->8.6 <--SK-->16.6 <--MB-->25.3 <--ON-->14.2 <--QC-->22.6 <--NB-->28.9 <--NS-->41.0 <--PE-->37.9 <--NL-->33.0 <--YT-->18.4 <--NT-->28.7 <--NU-->18.9 <--Canada/Total-->
rowspan="2"     Bloc QuébécoisSeats:<--BC--><--AB--><--SK--><--MB--><--ON-->4 <--QC--><--NB--><--NS--><--PE--><--NL--><--YT--><--NT--><--NU-->4<--Canada/Total-->
Vote:<--BC--><--AB--><--SK--><--MB--><--ON-->23.4 <--QC--><--NB--><--NS--><--PE--><--NL--><--YT--><--NT--><--NU-->6.0 <--Canada/Total-->
rowspan="2"     GreenSeats:1 <--BC-->0 <--AB-->0 <--SK-->0 <--MB-->0 <--ON-->0 <--QC-->0 <--NB-->0 <--NS-->0 <--PE-->0 <--NL-->0 <--YT-->0 <--NT-->0 <--NU-->1<--Canada/Total-->
Vote:7.7 <--BC-->5.3 <--AB-->2.7 <--SK-->3.6 <--MB-->3.8 <--ON-->2.1 <--QC-->3.2 <--NB-->4.0 <--NS-->2.4 <--PE-->0.9 <--NL-->18.9 <--YT-->3.1 <--NT-->2.0 <--NU-->3.9 <--Canada/Total-->
    Independent and no affiliationVote:0.2 <--BC-->1.3 <--AB-->0.2 <--SK-->0.1 <--MB-->0.2 <--ON-->0.6 <--QC-->0.5 <--NB--><--NS--><--PE-->0.3 <--NL--><--YT--><--NT--><--NU-->0.4<--Canada/Total-->
Total seats36 <--BC-->28 <--AB-->14 <--SK-->14 <--MB-->106<--ON-->75 <--QC-->10 <--NB-->11 <--NS-->4 <--PE-->7 <--NL-->1 <--YT-->1 <--NT-->1 <--NU-->308 <--Canada/Total-->

Prairie provinces

Manitoba

Atlantic provinces

Newfoundland and Labrador

See also

Notes and References

  1. News: PM returns to Ottawa after majority win . . May 3, 2011 . May 3, 2011.
  2. News: Maher . Stephen . Harper delivers Conservatives’ first majority since 1988 . https://web.archive.org/web/20110506144204/http://thechronicleherald.ca/Vote2011/9020710.html . dead . May 6, 2011 . Halifax Chronicle-Herald . May 3, 2011 . May 3, 2011 . mdy-all .
  3. Web site: Cheadle . Bruce . Harper finally wins Conservative majority, NDP makes huge gain . https://web.archive.org/web/20110928145901/http://www.660news.com/news/national/article/220436--first-election-polls-have-closed-in-newfoundland-and-labrador . dead . September 28, 2011 . 660news.com . May 3, 2011 . May 3, 2011.
  4. News: Clark . Campbell . Layton gears up for new gig as prime minister in waiting . Globe and Mail . May 3, 2011 . May 3, 2011 . Toronto.
  5. News: Young . Leslie . NDP wins record number of seats . https://web.archive.org/web/20110723223102/http://www.globaltoronto.com/decisioncanada/wins+record+number+seats/4713567/story.html . dead . July 23, 2011 . Global TV Toronto . May 3, 2011 . May 3, 2011.
  6. News: Taber . Jane . Ignatieff resigns after Liberal defeat . Globe and Mail . May 3, 2011 . May 3, 2011 . Toronto.
  7. News: De Souza . Mike . Liberal insiders say party must take long look in mirror . . May 3, 2011 . May 3, 2011.
  8. News: Hartnett . Cindy . May breaks through as first Green MP . Montreal Gazette . May 3, 2011 . May 3, 2011.
  9. News: Leblanc . Daniel . Duceppe resigns as Bloc leader after losing riding . Globe and Mail . May 2, 2011 . May 3, 2011 . Toronto.
  10. News: Ignatieff's Liberals lose Official Opposition stats . May 2, 2011 . May 3, 2011 . CBC News.
  11. News: Duceppe quits after BQ crushed in Quebec . May 3, 2011 . May 2, 2011 . CBC News.
  12. Web site: Major players fall like bowling pins before Tory, NDP surges . Canadian Press . May 3, 2011 . May 3, 2011.