Results of the 2022 Italian general election explained

The 2022 Italian general election was held on 25 September, resulting in a majority of seats of both houses of the Italian Parliament for the centre-right coalition.[1] [2] The Meloni Cabinet was announced on 21 October and was officially sworn in on the next day. The first Cabinet headed by a female Prime Minister of Italy,[3] it was variously described as a shift to the political right,[4] as well as the first far-right-led Italian government since World War II.[5] [6] The Meloni Cabinet successufully won the confidence votes on 25–26 October with a comfortable majority in both houses of Parliament.[7] [8] [9]

Voter turnout

Voter turnout was the lowest in the history of republican Italy at 63.9%,[10] about 9 percentage points below the 2018 election.[11]

RegionTime
12:0019:0023:00
Abruzzo17.16%51.38%63.99%
Aosta Valley19.92%48.76%60.59%
Apulia16.80%42.57%56.56%
Basilicata13.86%41.27%58.77%
Calabria12.84%36.91%50.80%
Campania12.44%38.70%53.27%
Emilia-Romagna23.46%59.74%71.97%
Friuli-Venezia Giulia21.68%56.20%66.21%
Lazio20.83%53.42%64.34%
Liguria21.89%53.44%64.19%
Lombardy22.42%58.34%70.09%
Marche20.15%55.69%68.39%
Molise13.00%44.04%56.54%
Piedmont20.47%53.60%66.35%
Sardinia15.58%40.96%53.17%
Sicily14.77%41.89%57.34%
Tuscany22.31%58.06%69.75%
Trentino-Alto Adige18.93%52.54%66.04%
Umbria20.09%56.07%68.83%
Veneto22.13%57.57%70.17%
Total19.21%51.14%63.91%
Source: Ministry of the Interior

Chamber of Deputies

Vote and seats share


Results by constituency

FPTP results by constituency
ConstituencyTotal
seats
Seats won
CDXCSXM5SSVPPATTScN
Abruzzo33
Aosta Valley11
Apulia1091
Basilicata11
Calabria541
Campania 177
Campania 277
Emilia-Romagna1174
Friuli-Venezia Giulia33
Lazio 1972
Lazio 255
Liguria431
Lombardy 1972
Lombardy 255
Lombardy 355
Lombardy 444
Marche44
Molise11
Piedmont 1541
Piedmont 255
Sardinia44
Sicily 1651
Sicily 2651
Trentino-Alto Adige422
Tuscany972
Umbria22
Veneto 155
Veneto 277
Total147121131021
Source: Ministry of the Interior
Proportional results by constituency
ConstituencyTotal
seats
Seats won
CDXCSXM5SA–IVSVPPATTMAIE
Abruzzo6321
Apulia177451
Basilicata3111
Calabria8422
Campania 1133361
Campania 2114331
Emilia-Romagna188622
Friuli-Venezia Giulia5311
Lazio 1157422
Lazio 27421
Liguria6321
Lombardy 1167522
Lombardy 295121
Lombardy 395211
Lombardy 47421
Marche6321
Molise11
Piedmont 1104411
Piedmont 29521
Sardinia7322
Sicily 194131
Sicily 2115231
Trentino-Alto Adige3111
Tuscany156522
Umbria422
Veneto 18521
Veneto 2127311
Overseas82411
Total25311672422111
Source: Ministry of the Interior

Senate of the Republic

Results by constituency

FPTP results by constituency
ConstituencyTotal
seats
Seats won
CDXCSXM5SSVPPATTScN
Abruzzo11
Aosta Valley11
Apulia55
Basilicata11
Calabria22
Campania734
Emilia-Romagna532
Friuli-Venezia Giulia11
Lazio66
Liguria22
Lombardy11101
Marche22
Molise11
Piedmont541
Sardinia22
Sicily6411
Trentino-Alto Adige6222
Tuscany431
Umbria11
Veneto55
Total74597521
Source: Ministry of the Interior
Proportional results by constituency
ConstituencyTotal
seats
Seats won
CDXCSXM5SA–IVMAIE
Abruzzo3111
Apulia8422
Basilicata211
Calabria4211
Campania114241
Emilia-Romagna94311
Friuli-Venezia Giulia321
Lazio126321
Liguria3111
Lombardy2010622
Marche3111
Molise11
Piedmont94311
Sardinia3111
Sicily104231
Tuscany83311
Umbria211
Veneto116311
Overseas431
Total12656372391
Source: Ministry of the Interior

Analysis of proportionality

Using the Gallagher index, the disproportionality of both houses was 12.31 and 10.83. For comparison, the disproportionality in the 2018 election was 5.50 and 6.12.

Coalition!Vote share!Seat share!Difference!Difference²
Centre-right coalition43.7859.25239.32
Centre-left coalition26.1321.2523.81
Five Star Movement15.4313.005.90
Action – Italia Viva7.795.256.45
SVPPATT0.420.750.11
South calls North0.760.250.26
MAIE0.480.250.05
Others5.210.0027.14
TOTAL303.04
TOTAL /2151.52
12.31
Coalition!Vote share!Seat share!Difference!Difference²
Centre-right coalition44.0257.50181.71
Centre-left coalition25.9922.0015.92
Five Star Movement15.5514.002.40
Action – Italia Viva7.734.5010.43
SVPPATT0.411.000.34
South calls North0.990.500.24
MAIE0.480.500.00
Others4.830.0023.33
TOTAL234.37
TOTAL /2117.85
10.83

Leaders' races

CoalitionPartyNameConstituencyVotes%PositionResult
Centre-rightFdIGiorgia MeloniL'Aquila 104,82351.491st Elected
LegaMatteo SalviniApulia 1st Elected
FISilvio BerlusconiMonza 231,44050.261st Elected
NMMaurizio LupiLecco 131,30554.801st Elected
Centre-leftPDEnrico LettaVeneto 1st Elected
AVSAngelo BonelliImola 90,00438.341st Elected
+EEmma BoninoRome (XIV) 182,23933.212nd Not elected
ICLuigi Di MaioFuorigrotta 41,74324.422nd Not elected
Five Star MovementGiuseppe ConteLombardy 2nd Elected
Action – Italia VivaCarlo CalendaRome (XIV) 77,21114.073rd Not elected
Lazio 1st Elected
South calls NorthCateno De LucaCatania 60,06714.443rd Not elected

Electorate demographics

Sociology of the electorate
DemographicCentre-rightCentre-leftM5SA–IVOthersTurnout
Total vote43.8%26.1%15.4%7.8%6.9%63.8%
Sex
Men44.6%24.3%15.2%8.6%7.3%63.1%
Women42.9%28.0%15.6%6.9%6.6%58.5%
Age
18–34 years old30.0%32.9%20.9%8.5%7.7%57.3%
35–49 years old49.6%21.0%17.4%5.7%6.3%57.6%
50–64 years old45.6%22.5%16.6%6.9%8.4%65.2%
65 or older46.9%29.3%8.8%9.9%5.1%61.8%
Occupation
Student19.1%44.5%24.8%8.0%3.6%64.5%
Unemployed43.5%22.3%23.5%3.3%7.4%52.2%
Housewife51.1%19.9%19.0%5.4%4.6%63.0%
Blue-collar56.5%15.7%16.4%3.9%7.5%56.6%
White-collar38.4%30.7%13.8%10.8%6.3%67.2%
Self-employed 43.3%16.0%15.8%7.5%17.4%70.0%
Manager 42.6%28.2%11.6%12.3%5.3%74.1%
Retired44.4%30.5%9.9%9.0%6.2%59.9%
Education
Elementary school49.8%22.0%16.7%5.2%6.3%54.8%
High school42.4%25.5%16.1%7.4%8.6%64.2%
University32.8%36.7%11.3%14.3%4.9%71.1%
Economic condition
Lower49.2%14.4%25.0%3.4%8.0%50.6%
Middle-lower50.1%19.7%18.2%5.2%6.8%52.7%
Middle41.7%28.9%14.0%7.9%7.5%64.0%
Upper-middle37.1%32.6%11.4%11.5%7.4%71.7%
Upper41.1%34.8%10.2%11.7%2.2%72.5%
Source: Ipsos Italia[12]

See also

Notes and References

  1. News: 25 September 2022. Giorgia Meloni: Italy's far-right wins election and vows to govern for all. BBC. 29 September 2022.
  2. News: Horowitz. Jason. Giorgia Meloni Wins Voting in Italy, in Breakthrough for Europe's Hard Right. live. 29 September 2022. The New York Times. 25 September 2022. https://web.archive.org/web/20220927040606/https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/25/world/europe/italy-meloni-prime-minister.html. 27 September 2022.
  3. News: Harlan. Chico. Pitrelli. Stefano. 21 October 2022. Meloni sworn in as Italy's first female prime minister. The Washington Post . 22 October 2022. 0190-8286.
  4. News: Amante. Angelo. Weir. Keith. 21 October 2022. Meloni takes charge as PM as Italy swings to the right. Reuters. 21 October 2022.
  5. News: Associated Press. 21 October 2022. Presidential palace says Giorgia Meloni forms government, giving Italy first far-right-led coalition since World War II. 21 October 2022. ABC News.
  6. News: 21 October 2022 . Far-right Meloni set to become Italy's first woman PM. 21 October 2022. France 24. Agence France-Presse.
  7. Web site: Cipolla. Alessandro. Imparato. Rosaria. 25 October 2022. Meloni alla Camera, diretta video voto di fiducia al governo: cosa ha detto nella replica la presidente del Consiglio. Money. it. https://web.archive.org/web/20221026003822/https://www.money.it/meloni-camera-diretta-video-voto-fiducia-governo. 26 October 2022. 26 October 2022.
  8. News: 26 October 2022. Il Senato vota la fiducia al governo Meloni: 115 sì, 79 no e 5 astenuti. live. 26 October 2022. Agenzia Nazionale Stampa Associata. it. https://web.archive.org/web/20221026200317/https://www.ansa.it/sito/notizie/politica/2022/10/26/il-senato-vota-la-fiducia-al-governo-meloni-115-si-79-no-e-5-astenuti_1f316e11-70d5-491d-801f-7e5cea2d1b71.html. 26 October 2022.
  9. Web site: Governo Meloni, le ultime notizie. Fiducia in Senato per l'esecutivo: 115 sì e 79 no. live. 26 October 2022. Sky TG24. it. https://web.archive.org/web/20221026200523/https://tg24.sky.it/politica/2022/10/26/governo-meloni-fiducia-ultime-notizie. 26 October 2022.
  10. News: Proiezioni: FdI primo partito. Calano M5s, Lega e Forza Italia. Pd al 19%, Terzo polo al 7%. RAI. it. 26 September 2022. 29 September 2022.
  11. News: Kirby. Paul. 26 September 2022. Giorgia Meloni: Italy's far right wins election and vows to govern for all. BBC. 29 September 2022.
  12. Web site: 28 September 2022. I sondaggi politici di Pagnoncelli: elezioni politiche 2022, chi sono gli elettori italiani di ciascuna forza politica?. Ipsos. it. 29 September 2022.