2015 Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario leadership election explained

Election Name:2015 Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario leadership election
Country:Ontario
Ongoing:no
Previous Year:2009
Next Election:2018 Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario leadership election
Next Year:2018
Turnout:49.3%
Election Date:May 9, 2015
2Blank:Riding
3Blank:Points
Colour1:246AC9
Candidate1:Patrick Brown
2Data1:N/A
3Data1:6,543
(61.83%)
Colour2:367D22
2Data2:Whitby—Oshawa
3Data2:4,040
(38.17%)
Leader
Before Election:Jim Wilson (interim)
After Election:Patrick Brown
Party:Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario
Year:2015
Date:May 9, 2015
Location:Toronto Congress Centre
Winner:Patrick Brown
Replaces:Tim Hudak
Numcands:2
Ballots:1
Entryfee:$75,000 fee + $25,000 deposit
Spendcap:$1.25 million

The 2015 Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario leadership election was held on May 9, 2015, as a result of the resignation of Ontario Progressive Conservative leader Tim Hudak following the provincial election on June 12, 2014, his second loss in a row as party leader. Patrick Brown won the leadership with 61.8% of votes allocated, defeating Christine Elliott who had 38.2%.

Rules and procedure

The party's 76,587 members were eligible to cast votes by preferential ballot. The vote will be weighted so that each of the province's 107 ridings that has more than 100 votes cast are allocated 100 electoral votes; ridings in which fewer than 100 party members vote will not be weighted, but will instead have the votes counted as individual votes.[1] If at least 100 members votes in each riding the number of electoral college votes needed to win will be 5,351. The registration fee was $75,000 plus a refundable deposit of $25,000[1] and the spending limit was $1.25 million. 20% of money raised by candidates after the first $100,000 will be transferred to the PC Ontario Fund. The lowest ranked candidate will be dropped from the next round as ballots are counted, and the first candidate to get 50 per cent of the votes will be declared the new leader.

Timeline

Interim leadership

The following MPPs stood in the July 2, 2014, election by caucus to be interim leader of the party until the leadership election for a permanent leader is held:

Jim Wilson was elected by caucus to be interim leader and also assumed the position of Leader of the Opposition. Vote totals were not released.[13]

Declared candidates

Patrick Brown

BackgroundFederal Conservative Party MP for Barrie (2006–2015), Barrie City Councillor (2000–2006), President of the Progressive Conservative Youth Federation (PCYF) (1998–2002). Former vice-president of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario. Lawyer by profession.
  • Date candidacy declared: September 28, 2014[14]
    Supporters

    Christine Elliott

    BackgroundMPP since 2006 (Whitby—Ajax (2006–2007), Whitby—Oshawa (2007–2015). Deputy Leader of the Opposition and Critic for Health and Long-Term Care since 2009. Ran in the 2009 leadership election, placing third. Widow of former federal Minister of Finance Jim Flaherty. Prior to entering politics, Elliott was a lawyer who practiced corporate, estate and real estate law.
  • Date candidacy declared: June 25, 2014[25]
    Supporters

    Withdrawn

    Vic Fedeli

    BackgroundMPP for Nipissing (2011–present), Opposition Finance Critic (2013–present), Energy Critic (2011–2013), Finance Critic (2013–Present), Fedeli served as mayor of North Bay, Ontario (2003–2010) for two terms, during which he donated his entire salary to charity. Before entering politics, he ran Fedeli Advertising, which in 1989 was ranked by Profit - the magazine for Small Business as the firm 34th on its list of 50 Best Places to Work in Canada. Fedeli was also recognized as one of Canada's Most Successful Entrepreneurs in an episode of MoneyMakers, hosted by Everett Banning. Additionally, Fedeli served as the dollar-per-year chairman of a non-profit organization in North Bay. Fedeli's campaign is called "OntarioFirst".
  • Date candidacy declared: September 24, 2014[33]
  • Date withdrawn: February 4, 2015, endorsed Elliott[34]
    Supporters
  • Support from caucus members: Randy Pettapiece (Perth—Wellington)
  • Support from federal caucus members: Jay Aspin (Nipissing—Timiskaming)
  • Support from former provincial caucus members:
  • Other prominent supporters: Paula Peroni, 2014 Sudbury candidate and Sudbury Catholic District School Board trustee;[35]
  • Policies

    Lisa MacLeod

    BackgroundMPP for Nepean—Carleton (2006–present), Opposition Treasury Board Critic (2014–present), Energy and Francophone Affairs Critic (2013–2014), Education Critic (2011–2013), Revenue and Government Accountability Critic (2009–2011).
  • Date candidacy declared: October 6, 2014[36]
  • Date withdrawn: February 6, 2015, endorsed Elliott[27]
    Supporters
  • Support from caucus members: Steve Clark (Leeds—Grenville), Garfield Dunlop (Simcoe North), Julia Munro (York—Simcoe), Jim McDonell (Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry)
  • Support from federal caucus members: Senator Bob Runciman, former interim PC Leader and cabinet minister, former MPP for Leeds—Grenville[37]
  • Support from former provincial caucus members: Norm Sterling (Carleton—Mississippi Mills, Lanark—Carleton, Carleton, 1979–2011)[38]
  • Other prominent supporters:
  • Policies:

    Monte McNaughton

    BackgroundMPP for Lambton—Kent—Middlesex (2011–present), Opposition Critic for Citizenship, Immigration and International Trade (2014–present), Labour Critic (2013–2014), Economic Development and Innovation Critic (2011–2013). Prior to entering provincial politics, McNaughton sat on the city council of Newbury and was general manager and co-owner of McNaughton Family Shopping Centre in Newbury. He also served as chair of the Newbury Economic Development Committee and was president of the Strathroy and District Chamber of Commerce in 2009–10.
  • Date candidacy declared: September 17, 2014[39]
  • Date withdrawn: April 9, 2015; endorsed Brown.[40]
    Supporters
  • Support from caucus members: Bob Bailey (Sarnia—Lambton)
  • Supports from federal caucus members:
  • Supports from former provincial caucus members: Darcy McKeough (Kent West, 1963–1967; Chatham—Kent 1967–1981), Marcel Beaubien, (Lambton then Lambton—Kent—Middlesex, 1995–2003), Andrew Naismith Watson, (Chatham—Kent 1978–1985)[41]
  • Other prominent supporters: Rob Ford, Toronto city councillor and former mayor (2010–2014)[42]
  • Policies: Social conservative

    Declined

    Results

    Results announced in Toronto on May 9, 2015

    Ballot Count
    CandidateWeighted votes
    (sum of percentages in each riding)
    Percentage
    Patrick Brown6,54361.8
    Christine Elliott4,04038.2
    Total10,583100
    Eligible voters: 76,587; turnout: 49.3%[53]

    Riding results

    Toronto
    RidingMPP/MP (supported)BrownElliottTotal
    Toronto & York
    Beaches-East York5446100
    Davenport7328100
    Eglinton-LawrenceMP: Joe Oliver2872100
    Parkdale-High Park6535100
    St. Paul's4159100
    Toronto Centre3070100
    Toronto-Danforth5347100
    Trinity-Spadina3961100
    Etobicoke
    Etobicoke CentreMP: Ted Opitz (Elliott)4753100
    Etobicoke-LakeshoreMP: Bernard Trottier (Elliott)5842100
    Etobicoke North7723100
    North York
    Don Valley EastMP: Joe Daniel (Brown)6139100
    Don Valley WestMP: John Carmichael (Elliott)3862100
    WillowdaleMP: Chungsen Leung5842100
    York CentreMP: Mark Adler (Brown)5842100
    York South-WestonMP: Mike Sullivan8218100
    York West8614100
    Scarborough
    Scarborough-Agincourt8416100
    Scarborough CentreMP: Roxanne James7624100
    Scarborough-Guildwood8119100
    Scarborough-Rouge River9010100
    Scarborough Southwest7228100
    905
    RidingMPP/MP (supported)BrownElliottTotal
    Hamilton & Niagara
    Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-WestdaleMP: David Sweet (Elliott)5545100
    BrantMP: Phil McColeman (Brown)7030100
    Haldimand-NorfolkMPP: Toby Barrett (Brown)
    MP: Diane Finley
    7129100
    Hamilton Centre7030100
    Hamilton East-Stoney Creek7228100
    Hamilton Mountain8119100
    Niagara FallsMP: Rob Nicholson (Elliott)4357100
    Niagara West-GlanbrookMPP: Tim Hudak
    MP: Dean Allison (Brown)
    6436100
    St. CatharinesMP: Rick Dykstra (Brown)7030100
    Welland6832100
    Peel & Halton
    Bramalea-Gore-MaltonMP: Bal Gosal (Brown)7624100
    Brampton-SpringdaleMP: Parm Gill (Brown)6733100
    Brampton WestMP: Kyle Seeback (Brown)7228100
    Mississauga-Brampton SouthMP: Eve Adams8119100
    Mississauga East-CooksvilleMP: Wladyslaw Lizon (Brown)8812100
    Mississauga-ErindaleMP: Bob Dechert7525100
    Mississauga SouthMP: Stella Ambler4852100
    Mississauga-StreetsvilleMP: Brad Butt (Brown)7426100
    BurlingtonMP: Mike Wallace (Elliott)4159100
    HaltonMP: Lisa Raitt (Elliott)6832100
    OakvilleMP: Terence Young (Elliott)4456100
    York & Simcoe
    Markham-Unionville8713100
    Newmarket-AuroraMP: Lois Brown6436100
    Oak Ridges-MarkhamMP: Paul Calandra (Brown)7426100
    Richmond HillMP: Costas Menegakis7228100
    ThornhillMPP: Gila Martow (Elliott)
    MP: Peter Kent (Elliott)
    5248100
    Vaughan5941100
    York-SimcoeMPP: Julia Munro (Elliott)
    MP: Peter Van Loan
    7129100
    BarrieMP: Patrick Brown (Brown)8911100
    Simcoe-GreyMPP: Jim Wilson
    MP: Kellie Leitch (Elliott)
    6535100
    Simcoe NorthMPP: Garfield Dunlop
    MP: Bruce Stanton (Elliott)
    4852100
    Durham
    Ajax-PickeringMP: Chris Alexander (Elliott)5446100
    DurhamMP: Erin O'Toole (Elliott)3664100
    OshawaMP: Colin Carrie4852100
    Pickering-Scarborough EastMP: Corneliu Chisu6634100
    Whitby-OshawaMPP: Christine Elliott (Elliott)
    MP: Pat Perkins (Elliott)
    2773100
    Eastern Ontario
    RidingMPP/MP (supported)BrownElliottTotal
    Ottawa
    Carleton-Mississippi MillsMPP: Jack MacLaren (Brown)
    MP: Gordon O'Connor
    6832100
    Nepean-CarletonMPP: Lisa MacLeod (Elliott)
    MP: Pierre Poilievre
    6238100
    Ottawa Centre5644100
    Ottawa-OrleansMP: Royal Galipeau (Brown)6931100
    Ottawa South6535100
    Ottawa-Vanier6040100
    Ottawa West-NepeanMP: John Baird (Elliott)5347100
    Eastern Ontario
    Glengarry-Prescott-RussellMP: Pierre Lemieux (Brown)5842100
    Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-BrockMPP: Laurie Scott (Elliott)
    MP: Barry Devolin
    2971100
    Kingston and the Islands5446100
    Lanark-Frontenac-Lennox and AddingtonMPP: Randy Hillier
    MP: Scott Reid
    5644100
    Leeds-GrenvilleMPP: Steve Clark (Elliott)
    MP: Gord Brown (Brown)
    4753100
    Northumberland-Quinte WestMP: Rick Norlock (Elliott)3961100
    PeterboroughMP: Dean Del Mastro6139100
    Prince Edward-HastingsMPP: Todd Smith (Elliott)
    MP: Daryl Kramp (Elliott)
    3367100
    Renfrew-Nipissing-PembrokeMPP: John Yakabuski
    MP: Cheryl Gallant
    6634100
    Stormont-Dundas-South GlengarryMPP: Jim McDonell (Elliott)
    MP: Guy Lauzon
    5545100
    Southwestern Ontario
    RidingMPP/MP (supported)BrownElliottTotal
    Kitchener-Waterloo
    CambridgeMP: Gary Goodyear6139100
    Guelph5644100
    Kitchener CentreMP: Stephen Woodworth5050100
    Kitchener-ConestogaMPP: Michael Harris (Elliott)
    MP: Harold Albrecht
    5347100
    Kitchener-WaterlooMP: Peter Braid (Elliott)5842100
    Wellington-Halton HillsMPP: Ted Arnott (Elliott)
    MP: Michael Chong (Elliott)
    5347100
    London
    Elgin-Middlesex-LondonMPP: Jeff Yurek (Elliott)
    MP: Joe Preston (Elliott)
    4951100
    London-Fanshawe7525100
    London North CentreMP: Susan Truppe6634100
    London WestMP: Ed Holder (Elliott)6733100
    Windsor-Essex
    Chatham-Kent-EssexMPP: Rick Nicholls (Brown)
    MP: Dave Van Kesteren (Elliott)
    7327100
    EssexMP: Jeff Watson7525100
    Windsor-Tecumseh8020100
    Windsor West8911100
    Rural
    Bruce-Grey-Owen SoundMPP: Bill Walker (Elliott)
    MP: Larry Miller
    4654100
    Dufferin-CaledonMPP: Sylvia Jones (Elliott)
    MP: David Tilson
    5743100
    Huron-BruceMPP: Lisa Thompson (Elliott)
    MP: Ben Lobb
    5248100
    Lambton-Kent-MiddlesexMPP: Monte McNaughton (Brown)
    MP: Bev Shipley
    8515100
    OxfordMPP: Ernie Hardeman (Elliott)
    MP: Dave Mackenzie (Brown)
    4654100
    Perth-WellingtonMPP: Randy Pettapiece (Elliott)
    MP: Gary Schellenberger
    5743100
    Sarnia-LambtonMPP: Bob Bailey (Brown)
    MP: Pat Davidson
    7129100
    Northern Ontario
    RidingMPP/MP (supported)BrownElliottTotal
    Algoma-Manitoulin492877
    Kenora-Rainy RiverMP: Greg Rickford7921100
    Nickel Belt583593
    NipissingMPP: Vic Fedeli (Elliott)
    MP: Jay Aspin (Elliott)
    4060100
    Parry Sound-MuskokaMPP: Norm Miller (Elliott)
    MP: Tony Clement
    3763100
    Sault Ste. MarieMP: Bryan Hayes8812100
    Sudbury7327100
    Thunder Bay-Atikokan7327100
    Thunder Bay-Superior North553287
    Timiskaming-Cochrane431861
    Timmins-James Bay382765

    Opinion polling

    All Ontarians

    Poll sourceDate1st2nd3rdOther
    Forum Research
    Sample size: 881
    March 26, 2015Christine Elliott
    24%
    Monte McNaughton 7%Patrick Brown
    6%
    Someone else 29%, Don't know 34%
    Forum Research
    Sample size: 1,079
    September 30-October 1, 2014Christine Elliott
    14%
    Lisa MacLeod
    9%
    Patrick Brown
    5%
    Vic Fedeli 4%, Monte McNaughton 4%, Someone else 14%, Don't know 43%
    Forum Research
    Sample size: 810
    July 3, 2014Christine Elliott
    21%
    John Baird
    9%
    Doug Ford
    8%
    Tony Clement 7%, Lisa MacLeod 6%, Lisa Raitt 3%, Someone else 15%, Don't know 30%

    Progressive Conservative supporters only

    Poll sourceDate1st2nd3rdOther
    Forum Research
    Sample size: 310
    March 26, 2015Christine Elliott
    35%
    Monte McNaughton 15%Patrick Brown
    11%
    None of these 9%, Don't know 30%
    Forum Research
    Sample size: 367
    September 30-October 1, 2014Christine Elliott
    24%
    Lisa MacLeod
    11%
    Patrick Brown
    6%
    Vic Fedeli 5%, Monte McNaughton 3%, Someone else 20%, Don't know 30%
    Forum Research
    Sample size: 287
    July 3, 2014Christine Elliott
    25%
    John Baird
    14%
    Lisa MacLeod
    11%
    Tony Clement 7%, Doug Ford 6%, Lisa Raitt 3%, Someone else 15%, Don't know 19%

    Progressive Conservative Members Only

    Poll sourceDate1st2nd3rdOther
    Mainstreet Research
    Sample size: 442
    April 30, 2015Patrick Brown
    62%
    Christine Elliott 33%-
    Undecided 5%
    Mainstreet Research
    Sample size: 348
    April 14, 2015Patrick Brown
    47%
    Christine Elliott 41%-
    Undecided 12%
    Forum Research
    Sample size: 65
    March 26, 2015Christine Elliott
    51%
    Monte McNaughton 13%Patrick Brown
    10%
    Someone else 14%, Don't know 11%

    See also

    Notes and References

    1. News: Ontario PCs to choose new leader in May. September 21, 2014. Globe and Mail. September 22, 2014.
    2. News: Tim Hudak will step down as Ontario Progressive Conservative Leader July 2. The Globe and Mail. June 18, 2014. June 19, 2014.
    3. News: Tim Hudak to quit July 2 amid Tory revolt. June 18, 2014. Toronto Star. June 18, 2014.
    4. News: Ontario Tories not rushing into a leadership race. July 10, 2014. Toronto Star.
    5. News: Ontario Progressive Conservatives delay leadership race decision. July 6, 2014. CBC News. July 6, 2014.
    6. Web site: Babbage. Maria. New Ontario Conservative leader to be chosen in spring 2015, no specific date set. National Post. August 9, 2014. August 9, 2014.
    7. Web site: Ontario Tory leadership candidates urge party to broaden support base. 24 November 2014. thestar.com.
    8. News: Ontario Tories announce rules for leadership race. September 21, 2014. Hamilton Spectator. September 22, 2014.
    9. News: Lisa MacLeod to withdraw from Progressive Conservative leadership race. February 5, 2015. Toronto Star. February 5, 2015.
    10. News: Ontario Progressive Conservative party to choose new leader next May. September 22, 2014. National Post. September 21, 2014.
    11. News: Time to count the Tories. May 8, 2015. Toronto Star. May 8, 2015.
    12. News: Eastern Ontario MPPs Hillier and Yakabuski seek interim Tory leadership. June 28, 2014. Ottawa Citizen. June 26, 2014.
    13. News: Progressive Conservatives pick Jim Wilson as interim leader. July 2, 2014. Toronto Star. July 2, 2014.
    14. News: Brown launches bid for Ontario PC leadership, promises 'fresh start'. September 28, 2014. Globe and Mail. September 28, 2014.
    15. News: Rick Dykstra will not seek Ontario PC leadership bid . News Talk 610 CKTB Radio . September 12, 2014.
    16. Web site: Patrick Brown on Twitter. Twitter.
    17. Web site: Brad Butt on Twitter. Twitter.
    18. Web site: Vote Patrick Brown on Twitter. Twitter.
    19. Web site: Endorsements - Patrick Brown Campaign . patrickbrown.nationbuilder.com . 6 June 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20141129081435/http://patrickbrown.nationbuilder.com/endorsement . 29 November 2014 . dead.
    20. Web site: Vote Patrick Brown › Log In. https://web.archive.org/web/20150106204458/http://votepatrickbrown.ca/endorsements/. dead. 2015-01-06. votepatrickbrown.ca.
    21. Web site: Joe DiPaola on Twitter. Twitter.
    22. News: Patrick Brown urges 'greater market access' for beer and wine. April 2, 2015. Toronto Star. April 2, 2015.
    23. News: Patrick Brown's friendship with Modi could reap rewards at the ballot box. The Globe and Mail. 15 April 2015 . Taber . Jane .
    24. Web site: Mark Towhey. twitter.com.
    25. News: Christine Elliott aims to rebuild PC party 'from ground up'. June 25, 2014. Toronto Star. June 25, 2014.
    26. Web site: Martin Regg Cohn on Twitter. Twitter.
    27. News: Lisa MacLeod endorses Christine Elliott for PC leadership. February 6, 2015. Toronto Star. February 6, 2015.
    28. Web site: Cohn. Martin. Doug Ford's next conquest could be Ontario's PCs: Cohn. thestar.com. Toronto Star Newspapers Ltd. 12 May 2015. 8 November 2014.
    29. Web site: Endorsements | Christine Elliott for Ontario PC Leader . christineelliott.ca . 6 June 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20141123200146/http://christineelliott.ca/endorsements/ . 23 November 2014 . dead.
    30. Web site: Doug Ford won't enter race for Ontario PC leadership. 27 November 2014. thestar.com.
    31. News: Radwanski. Adam. Outsider Rod Phillips could gain traction in race to succeed Hudak. July 4, 2014. Globe and Mail. July 4, 2014.
    32. Web site: A DYNAMIC START TO THE ELLIOTT LEADERSHIP CAMPAIGN WITH FORMER PREMIER BILL DAVIS & STRONG SHOWING OF SUPPORTERS | Christine Elliott for Ontario PC Leader . christineelliott.ca . 6 June 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20141205173722/http://christineelliott.ca/2014/11/08/a-dynamic-start-to-the-elliott-leadership-campaign-with-former-premier-bill-davis-strong-showing-of-supporters/ . 5 December 2014 . dead.
    33. News: Vic Fedeli launches PC leadership bid with vow to 'restore trust'. September 24, 2014. Toronto Star. September 24, 2014.
    34. Web site: Radical change in PC leadership race as Fedeli drops out. 4 February 2015. thestar.com.
    35. Web site: PC leadership hopefuls to debate in Sudbury. Sudbury Star.
    36. News: Ottawa MPP Lisa MacLeod enters Ontario PC leadership race. October 6, 2014. CTV News. October 6, 2014.
    37. Web site: Runciman backs Lisa MacLeod for PC leader. Ottawa Sun.
    38. Web site: Norm Sterling on Lisa MacLeod leadership. 20 October 2014. CBC.ca Player.
    39. News: Monte McNaughton launches bid for Ontario PC leadership. September 17, 2014. The Globe and Mail. September 17, 2014.
    40. News: Monte McNaughton drops out of Tory leadership race. April 9, 2015. Toronto Star. April 9, 2015.
    41. Web site: Monte McNaughton on Twitter. Twitter.
    42. News: Rob Ford endorses Monte McNaughton as Progressive Conservative leader. January 16, 2015. Toronto Star. January 16, 2015.
    43. News: Blizzard. Christina. Who will replace Hudak?. June 14, 2014. Toronto Sun. June 13, 2014.
    44. Web site: Joanne Chianello on Twitter. Twitter.
    45. Web site: The Wellington Advertiser. www.wellingtonadvertiser.com. 2014-11-27. https://web.archive.org/web/20141205123407/http://www.wellingtonadvertiser.com/comments/index.cfm?articleID=23931. 2014-12-05. dead.
    46. News: Frustrated Tory MPPs say they were blindsided by Tim Hudak's controversial pledge to cut 100,000 jobs. June 17, 2014. National Post. June 16, 2014.
    47. News: Ontario election 2014: Potential contenders to replace Tim Hudak as PC leader. June 12, 2014. CBC News. June 12, 2014.
    48. Web site: Clement dispels rumour about running for Ontario PC leader. My Muskoka Now.
    49. Web site: News Talk 610 CKTB :: EXCLUSIVE: Rick Dykstra will not seek Ontario PC leadership bid :: News News - Article. 610 CKTB.
    50. News: Who will replace Tim Hudak?. June 14, 2014. Toronto Star. June 14, 2014.
    51. "Touted PC leadership candidate declines to run", National Post, page A5, August 8, 2014
    52. News: Returning to work after health scare just Lisa Raitt's latest comeback. January 15, 2015. National Post. January 12, 2015.
    53. News: Patrick Brown elected leader of Ontario PC party. May 9, 2015. Globe and Mail. May 9, 2015.