Pre-2012 statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election explained

Statewide polls for the 2012 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from 2009 to December 31, 2011, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against incumbent President Barack Obama.

Note that some states did not conduct polling before December 31, 2011.

Arizona

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[1] November 17–20, 2011Barack Obama align=center46%Herman Cain42% align=center4500 RV±4.4%
Barack Obama45%Newt Gingrich45%align=center Tied
Barack Obama43%Ron Paul align=center44% align=center1
Barack Obama align=center47%Rick Perry40% align=center7
Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney align=center49% align=center7
BRC/Rocky Mountain Poll[2] October 13–24, 2011 rowspan=3Barack Obama align=center45%Herman Cain38% align=center7581 RV±4.1%
align=center45%Mitt Romney40% align=center5
align=center44%Rick Perry38% align=center6
Public Policy Polling[3] April 28 – May 1, 2011 rowspan=3Barack Obama align=center47%Newt Gingrich40% align=center7623 RV±3.9%
align=center46%Mike Huckabee44% align=center2
align=center49%Sarah Palin38% align=center11
Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney align=center48% align=center4
Barack Obama align=center48%Donald Trump36% align=center12
Public Policy Polling[4] January 28–30, 2011Barack Obama46%Newt Gingrich46%align=center Tied599 RV±4.0%
Barack Obama44%Mike Huckabee align=center48% align=center4
Barack Obama align=center49%Sarah Palin41% align=center8
Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney align=center49% align=center6
Public Policy Polling[5] September 18–21, 2009Barack Obama47%Sarah Palin47%align=center Tied617 RV±3.9%
Barack Obama45%Mike Huckabee align=center49% align=center4
43%Mitt Romney align=center50% align=center7

Arkansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%

California

55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Field Research Corporation (Field Poll)[7] November 15–27, 2011 rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center50%Mitt Romney40% align=center101,000 RV±3.1%
align=center55%Newt Gingrich35% align=center20
Public Policy Polling[8] November 10–13, 2011 rowspan=6Barack Obama align=center60%Michele Bachmann31% align=center29500 RV±4.4%
align=center61%Herman Cain32% align=center29
align=center60%Newt Gingrich34% align=center26
align=center57%Ron Paul32% align=center25
align=center60%Rick Perry31% align=center29
align=center57%Mitt Romney36% align=center21
Survey USA[9]
November 10, 2011 rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center56%Newt Gingrich32% align=center24800 A±3.5%
align=center50%Mitt Romney39% align=center11
Field Research Corporation (Field Poll)[10] September 1–12, 2011 rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center51%Mitt Romney38% align=center131,001 RV±3.2%
align=center54%Rick Perry35% align=center19
L.A. Times/USC Dornsife/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[11] August 17–28, 2011 rowspan=3Barack Obama align=center56%Rick Perry32% align=center241,408 RV±4%
align=center57%Michele Bachmann31% align=center26
align=center54%Mitt Romney35% align=center19
Public Policy Polling[12] January 28–30, 2011 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center58%Newt Gingrich34% align=center24892 RV±3.3%
align=center54%Mike Huckabee39% align=center15
align=center62%Sarah Palin31% align=center31
align=center56%Mitt Romney36% align=center20

Colorado

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[13] December 1–4, 2011 rowspan=5Barack Obama align=center50%Newt Gingrich42% align=center8793±3.5%
align=center52%Herman Cain36% align=center16
align=center48%Ron Paul39% align=center9
align=center52%Rick Perry37% align=center15
align=center47%Mitt Romney45% align=center2
Public Policy Polling[14] August 4–7, 2011 rowspan=5Barack Obama align=center51%Michele Bachmann39% align=center12510±4.3%
align=center51%Herman Cain35% align=center16
align=center54%Sarah Palin38% align=center16
align=center51%Rick Perry38% align=center13
align=center48%Mitt Romney41% align=center7
Public Policy Polling[15] February 4–6, 2011 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center53%Newt Gingrich39% align=center14517±4.3%
align=center51%Mike Huckabee42% align=center9
align=center55%Sarah Palin36% align=center19
align=center47%Mitt Romney41% align=center6

Connecticut

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[16] September 22–25, 2011 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center55%Michele Bachmann36% align=center19592 RV±4.0%
align=center54%Newt Gingrich38% align=center16
align=center53%Rick Perry41% align=center12
align=center47%Mitt Romney45% align=center2
Quinnipiac University[17] September 8–13, 2011 rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center52%Rick Perry33% align=center191,230 RV±2.8%
align=center49%Mitt Romney36% align=center13

Florida

29 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
NBC News/Marist College[18] December 4–7, 2011 rowspan=3Barack Obama align=center48%Mitt Romney41% align=center72,119±2.1%
align=center51%Newt Gingrich39% align=center12
align=center49%Ron Paul36% align=center13
Quinnipiac University[19] November 28 – December 5, 2011 Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney align=center45% align=center31,226±2.8%
Barack Obama align=center46%Newt Gingrich44% align=center2
Public Policy Polling[20] November 28 – December 1, 2011 rowspan=5Barack Obama align=center45%Mitt Romney44% align=center1700±3.7%
align=center50%Newt Gingrich44% align=center6
align=center51%Herman Cain37% align=center14
align=center46%Rick Perry40% align=center6
align=center50%Ron Paul38% align=center12
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[21] November 17, 2011 Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney align=center46% align=center4500 LV±4.5%
rowspan=2 Barack Obama align=center46%Herman Cain37% align=center9
align=center45%Newt Gingrich43% align=center2
Quinnipiac University[22] October 31 – November 7, 2011 rowspan=3Barack Obama align=center45%Herman Cain41% align=center41,185 RV±2.9%
align=center45%Newt Gingrich42% align=center3
align=center46%Rick Perry40% align=center6
Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney align=center45% align=center3
Suffolk University[23] October 26–30, 2011 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center42%Herman Cain39% align=center3800 RVNot reported
align=center46%Rick Perry34% align=center8
align=center44%Ron Paul32% align=center12
align=center45%Newt Gingrich38% align=center7
Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney42%Tied
NBC News/Marist College[24] October 10–12, 2011 rowspan=3Barack Obama align=center47%Herman Cain41% align=center62,225±2.1%
align=center47%Rick Perry39% align=center8
align=center45%Mitt Romney43% align=center2
Public Policy Polling[25] September 22–25, 2011 rowspan=5Barack Obama align=center49%Michele Bachmann44% align=center5476±4.5%
align=center50%Newt Gingrich42% align=center8
align=center45%Ron Paul44% align=center1
align=center50%Rick Perry43% align=center7
align=center46%Mitt Romney45% align=center1
Quinnipiac University[26] September 14–19, 2011 Barack Obama align=center44%Rick Perry42% align=center21,007±3.1%
Barack Obama40%Mitt Romney align=center47% align=center7
Quinnipiac University[27] August 1–2, 2011 rowspan=3Barack Obama align=center50%Michele Bachmann38% align=center12743 RV±3.6%
align=center53%Sarah Palin34% align=center19
align=center44%Rick Perry39% align=center5
Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney44%Tied
Quinnipiac UniversityJuly 27–31, 2011 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center50%Michele Bachmann36% align=center14674 RV±3.8%
align=center54%Sarah Palin33% align=center21
align=center49%Rick Perry36% align=center13
align=center46%Mitt Romney41% align=center5
Sunshine State News/Voter Survey Service[28] July 5–7, 2011Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney align=center46% align=center41,000 LV±3.10%
Public Policy Polling[29] June 16–19, 2011 rowspan=5Barack Obama align=center49%Michele Bachmann40% align=center9848 RV±3.4%
align=center48%Herman Cain37% align=center11
align=center52%Sarah Palin40% align=center12
align=center48%Tim Pawlenty40% align=center8
align=center47%Mitt Romney43% align=center4
Suffolk University/7 News[30] April 10–12, 2011Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney align=center43% align=center1600 RV±4.0%
rowspan=8Barack Obama align=center44%Mike Huckabee41% align=center3
align=center41%Tim Pawlenty28% align=center13
align=center45%Michele Bachmann30% align=center15
align=center47%Newt Gingrich36% align=center11
align=center52%Sarah Palin34% align=center18
align=center49%Donald Trump34% align=center15
align=center47%Haley Barbour26% align=center17
align=center48%Ron Paul30% align=center18
Ron Sachs Communications/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[31] April 4–7, 2011Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney align=center48% align=center5800 RV±3.5%
44%Mike Huckabee align=center49% align=center5
rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center51%Sarah Palin39% align=center12
align=center48%Donald Trump40% align=center8
Public Policy Polling[32] March 24–27, 2011 rowspan=6Barack Obama align=center50%Newt Gingrich42% align=center8500 RV±4.4%
align=center50%Mike Huckabee43% align=center7
align=center52%Sarah Palin39% align=center13
align=center46%Mitt Romney44% align=center2
align=center48%Jeb Bush45% align=center3
align=center48%Rudy Giuliani42% align=center6
Public Policy Polling[33] December 17–20, 2010 rowspan=5Barack Obama align=center47%Newt Gingrich42% align=center51,034 RV±3.0%
align=center49%Mike Huckabee44% align=center5
align=center52%Sarah Palin38% align=center14
align=center46%Mitt Romney44% align=center2
align=center48%Marco Rubio40% align=center8

Georgia

16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[34] December 12–14, 2011Barack Obama41%Newt Gingrich align=center50% align=center9625±4.0%
38%Mitt Romney align=center55% align=center17
SurveyUSA[35] December 6–7, 2011Barack Obama42%Newt Gingrich align=center48% align=center61,176±2.9%
42%Mitt Romney align=center49% align=center7
Public Policy Polling[36] March 31 – April 3, 2011Barack Obama align=center46%Newt Gingrich45% align=center1790 RV±3.5%
Barack Obama45%Mike Huckabee align=center48% align=center3
Barack Obama align=center48%Sarah Palin43% align=center5
Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney align=center46% align=center3
Barack Obama align=center44%Herman Cain39% align=center5

Hawaii

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 72%–27%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[37] October 13–16, 2011 rowspan=5Barack Obama align=center64%Michele Bachmann28% align=center36568 RV±4.1%
align=center63%Herman Cain30% align=center33
align=center64%Newt Gingrich27% align=center37
align=center63%Rick Perry28% align=center35
align=center59%Mitt Romney32% align=center27

Illinois

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 55%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Paul Simon Public Policy Institute (Southern Illinois University)[38] October 11–16, 2011 rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center46.1%Mitt Romney38.5% align=center7.61,000 RV±3%
align=center49.3%Ron Paul30.3% align=center19

Iowa

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
NBC News/Marist College[39] November 27–29, 2011 rowspan=5Barack Obama align=center48%Rick Perry37% align=center111,393±2.6%
align=center46%Mitt Romney39% align=center7
align=center54%Michele Bachmann31% align=center23
align=center47%Newt Gingrich37% align=center10
align=center50%Herman Cain32% align=center18
Barack Obama42%Ron Paul42%Tied
Public Policy Polling[40] October 7–10, 2011 rowspan=6Barack Obama align=center49%Michele Bachmann39% align=center10749 RV±3.6%
align=center47%Herman Cain41% align=center6
align=center50%Newt Gingrich39% align=center11
align=center47%Ron Paul40% align=center7
align=center49%Rick Perry39% align=center10
align=center46%Mitt Romney42% align=center4
NBC News/Marist College[41] October 3–5, 2011 rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center46%Rick Perry37% align=center92,836 RV±1.8%
align=center43%Mitt Romney40% align=center3
Public Policy Polling[42] August 19–21, 2011 rowspan=5Barack Obama align=center51%Michele Bachmann34% align=center17798 RV±3.5%
align=center51%Herman Cain33% align=center18
align=center54%Sarah Palin33% align=center21
align=center51%Rick Perry38% align=center13
align=center49%Mitt Romney39% align=center10
Every Child Matters Fund/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[43] July 5–7, 2011Barack Obama align=center47%Michele Bachmann46% align=center1629 LV±3.9%
Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney align=center47% align=center3
Public Policy Polling[44] May 27–30, 2011 rowspan=5Barack Obama align=center50%Herman Cain32% align=center181,387 RV±2.6%
align=center54%Newt Gingrich33% align=center21
align=center55%Sarah Palin35% align=center20
align=center49%Tim Pawlenty37% align=center12
align=center49%Mitt Romney40% align=center9
Public Policy Polling[45] April 15–17, 2011Barack Obama align=center50%Newt Gingrich39% align=center111,109 RV±2.9%
Barack Obama45%Mike Huckabee45%Tied
rowspan=3Barack Obama align=center53%Sarah Palin36% align=center17
align=center45%Mitt Romney41% align=center4
align=center51%Donald Trump35% align=center16
Public Policy Polling[46] January 7–9, 2011 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center51%Newt Gingrich38% align=center131,077 RV±3.0%
align=center47%Mike Huckabee43% align=center4
align=center53%Sarah Palin37% align=center16
align=center47%Mitt Romney41% align=center6

Kansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 62%–37%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
KWCH-TV Wichita/Survey USA[47] November 10, 2011Barack Obama35%Newt Gingrich align=center52% align=center17800 RV±3.5%
Barack Obama31%Mitt Romney align=center56% align=center25

Kentucky

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–40%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[48] August 25–28, 2011Barack Obama43%Michele Bachmann align=center46% align=center3600 RV±4.0%
Barack Obama align=center47%Newt Gingrich44% align=center3
Barack Obama align=center48%Sarah Palin44% align=center4
Barack Obama42%Rick Perry align=center49% align=center7
Barack Obama40%Mitt Romney align=center48% align=center8

Louisiana

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Clarus Research Group[49] October 5–7, 2011Barack Obama37%Mitt Romney align=center53% align=center16602 RV±4.0%
Barack Obama37%Rick Perry align=center52% align=center15
Public Policy Polling[50] July 17–19, 2009Barack Obama42%Sarah Palin align=center49% align=center7727 RV±3.6%
Barack Obama40%Bobby Jindal align=center54% align=center14

Maine

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[51] October 28–31, 2011 rowspan=5Barack Obama align=center55%Michele Bachmann35% align=center20673 RV±3.8%
align=center54%Herman Cain37% align=center17
align=center55%Newt Gingrich35% align=center20
align=center55%Rick Perry34% align=center21
align=center49%Mitt Romney38% align=center11
Bangor Daily News/Critical Insights[52] October 18–23, 2011 rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center41%Mitt Romney40% align=center1600 RV±4.0%
align=center46%Rick Perry32% align=center14
Public Policy Polling[53] March 3–6, 2011 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center53%Newt Gingrich37% align=center161,247 RV±2.8%
align=center51%Mike Huckabee39% align=center12
align=center57%Sarah Palin35% align=center22
align=center49%Mitt Romney41% align=center8

Massachusetts

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
University of Massachusetts Amherst/YouGov[54] November 9–22, 2011Barack Obama align=center54%Rick Perry23% align=center31222 RVNot reported
Barack Obama align=center51%Herman Cain28% align=center23228 RV
Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney34% align=center15446 RV±4.6%
Public Policy Polling[55] September 16–18, 2011Barack Obama align=center59%Michele Bachmann28% align=center31791 RV±3.5%
Barack Obama align=center58%Newt Gingrich31% align=center27
Barack Obama align=center55%Ron Paul30% align=center25
Barack Obama align=center58%Rick Perry32% align=center26
Barack Obama align=center53%Mitt Romney40% align=center13
Public Policy Polling[56] June 2–5, 2011Barack Obama align=center60%Herman Cain27% align=center33957 RV±3.2%
Barack Obama align=center63%Newt Gingrich27% align=center36
Barack Obama align=center63%Sarah Palin27% align=center36
Barack Obama align=center59%Tim Pawlenty28% align=center31
Barack Obama align=center57%Mitt Romney37% align=center20
Public Policy Polling[57] November 29 – December 1, 2010Barack Obama align=center57%Newt Gingrich33% align=center24500 RV±4.4%
Barack Obama align=center57%Mike Huckabee33% align=center24
Barack Obama align=center61%Sarah Palin32% align=center29
Barack Obama align=center52%Mitt Romney43% align=center9

Michigan

16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA[58] November 13–16, 2011Barack Obama41%Mitt Romney align=center46% align=center5600 LV±4%
Barack Obama align=center45%Newt Gingrich40% align=center5
Barack Obama align=center50%Herman Cain36% align=center14
SurveyUSA[59] October 12–14, 2011Barack Obama align=center56%Michele Bachmann30% align=center26500 LV±4.5%
Barack Obama align=center53%Herman Cain32% align=center21
Barack Obama align=center54%Newt Gingrich31% align=center23
Barack Obama align=center53%Rick Perry32% align=center21
Barack Obama align=center50%Mitt Romney39% align=center11
Inside Michigan/Marketing Resource Group[60] Sept 14–19, 2011Barack Obama align=center50%Rick Perry39% align=center11600 LV±4%
Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney44%Tied
Public Policy Polling[61] July 21–24, 2011Barack Obama align=center53%Michele Bachmann37% align=center16593 RV±4.0%
Barack Obama align=center50%Herman Cain33% align=center17
Barack Obama align=center54%Sarah Palin36% align=center18
Barack Obama align=center50%Rick Perry35% align=center15
Barack Obama align=center47%Mitt Romney42% align=center5
Barack Obama align=center50%Thaddeus McCotter31% align=center19
EPIC-MRA[62] July 9–11, 2011Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney align=center46% align=center4600 LV±4.0%
Public Policy Polling[63] March 18–20, 2011Barack Obama align=center53%Newt Gingrich37% align=center16502 RV±4.4%
Barack Obama align=center50%Mike Huckabee41% align=center9
Barack Obama align=center55%Sarah Palin35% align=center20
Barack Obama align=center48%Mitt Romney41% align=center7
Barack Obama align=center52%Scott Walker32% align=center20
EPIC-MRA[64] February 12–17, 2011Barack Obama41%Mitt Romney46%5600 LV±4.0%
Public Policy Polling[65] December 3–6, 2010Barack Obama align="center" 52%Newt Gingrich37% align="center" 151,224 RV±2.8%
Barack Obama align=center51%Mike Huckabee39% align=center12
Barack Obama align=center56%Sarah Palin35% align=center21
Barack Obama align=center47%Mitt Romney43% align=center4
Barack Obama align=center49%Rick Snyder38% align=center11

Minnesota

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA[66] November 2–6, 2011Barack Obama align=center57%Michele Bachmann29% align=center28543 RV±4.3%
Barack Obama align=center48%Herman Cain35% align=center13
Barack Obama align=center48%Rick Perry35% align=center13
Barack Obama align=center45%Mitt Romney39% align=center6
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA[67] June 15–17, 2011Barack Obama align=center53%Michele Bachmann39% align=center14558 RV±4.2%
Barack Obama46%Tim Pawlenty46%Tied
Public Policy Polling[68] May 27–30, 2011Barack Obama align=center56%Michele Bachmann35% align=center211,179 RV±2.9%
Barack Obama align=center51%Herman Cain30% align=center21
Barack Obama align=center54%Newt Gingrich36% align=center18
Barack Obama align=center56%Sarah Palin36% align=center20
Barack Obama align=center51%Tim Pawlenty43% align=center8
Barack Obama align=center51%Mitt Romney36% align=center15
Public Policy Polling[69] December 4–5, 2010Barack Obama align=center51%Newt Gingrich38% align=center13949 RV±3.2%
Barack Obama align=center50%Mike Huckabee40% align=center10
Barack Obama align=center54%Sarah Palin36% align=center18
Barack Obama align=center47%Mitt Romney42% align=center5
Barack Obama align=center51%Tim Pawlenty43% align=center8
St. Cloud State University[70] October 24 – November 4, 2009Barack Obama align=center49%Tim Pawlenty40% align=center9550±5.0%
Public Policy Polling[71] July 7–8, 2009Barack Obama align=center56%Sarah Palin35% align=center211,491±2.5%
Barack Obama align=center51%Tim Pawlenty40% align=center11

Mississippi

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[72] November 4–6, 2011Barack Obama40%Michele Bachmann align=center52% align=center12796 RV±3.5%
37%Herman Cain align=center54% align=center17
38%Newt Gingrich align=center54% align=center16
37%Ron Paul align=center52% align=center15
38%Rick Perry align=center55% align=center17
36%Mitt Romney align=center54% align=center18
Public Policy Polling[73] March 24–27, 2011Barack Obama42%Newt Gingrich align=center48% align=center6817 RV±3.4%
40%Mike Huckabee align=center54% align=center14
44%Sarah Palin align=center48% align=center4
40%Mitt Romney align=center46% align=center6
41%Haley Barbour align=center51% align=center10

Missouri

10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 53%–46%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–49%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[74] November 9, 2011Barack Obama align=center47%Herman Cain39% align=center8500 LV±4.5%
Barack Obama align=center47%Rick Perry43% align=center4
Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney align=center45% align=center3
Public Policy Polling[75] September 9–12, 2011Barack Obama align=center47%Michele Bachmann43% align=center4632 RV±3.9%
Barack Obama align=center47%Newt Gingrich45% align=center2
Barack Obama45%Rick Perry align=center47% align=center2
Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney align=center47% align=center4
Public Policy Polling[76] April 28 – May 1, 2011Barack Obama align=center46%Newt Gingrich44% align=center2555 RV±3.9%
Barack Obama44%Mike Huckabee align=center49% align=center5
Barack Obama align=center48%Sarah Palin43% align=center5
Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney align=center45% align=center2
Barack Obama align=center46%Donald Trump41% align=center5
Public Policy Polling[77] March 3–6, 2011Barack Obama44%Newt Gingrich44%Tied612 RV±4.0%
Barack Obama43%Mike Huckabee align=center49% align=center6
Barack Obama align=center48%Sarah Palin43% align=center5
Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney align=center44% align=center1
Public Policy Polling[78] November 29 – December 1, 2010Barack Obama44%Newt Gingrich align=center45% align=center1515 RV±4.3%
Barack Obama42%Mike Huckabee align=center49% align=center7
Barack Obama align=center46%Sarah Palin43% align=center3
Barack Obama41%Mitt Romney align=center47% align=center6

Montana

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[79] November 28–30, 2011Barack Obama43%Herman Cain align=center45% align=center21,625 RV±2.4%
42%Newt Gingrich align=center50% align=center8
40%Ron Paul align=center48% align=center8
40%Mitt Romney align=center50% align=center10
43%Rick Perry align=center46% align=center3
Public Policy Polling[80] June 16–19, 2011Barack Obama42%Michele Bachmann align=center48% align=center6819 RV±3.4%
41%Herman Cain align=center46% align=center5
44%Sarah Palin align=center48% align=center4
41%Tim Pawlenty align=center45% align=center4
41%Mitt Romney align=center49% align=center8
Public Policy Polling[81] November 10–13, 2010Barack Obama44%Newt Gingrich align=center46% align=center21,176 RV±2.9%
41%Mike Huckabee align=center51% align=center10
45%Sarah Palin align=center47% align=center2
39%Mitt Romney align=center50% align=center11

Nebraska

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 66%–33%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[82] September 30 – October 2, 2011Barack Obama41%Michele Bachmann align=center49% align=center8739 RV±3.6%
Barack Obama41%Newt Gingrich align=center48% align=center7
Barack Obama41%Rick Perry align=center48% align=center7
Barack Obama38%Mitt Romney align=center51% align=center13
Public Policy Polling[83] January 26–27, 2011Barack Obama40%Newt Gingrich align=center48% align=center8977 RV±3.1%
Barack Obama38%Mike Huckabee align=center51% align=center13
Barack Obama44%Sarah Palin align=center45% align=center1
Barack Obama37%Mitt Romney align=center49% align=center12

Nevada

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Las Vegas Review-Journal/University of Nevada Las Vegas[84] December 12–20, 2011Barack Obama align=center45.7%Mitt Romney39.8% align=center5.9600 RV±4.0%
Barack Obama align=center45.4%Ron Paul35.7% align=center9.7
Barack Obama align=center47.3%Newt Gingrich35.4% align=center11.9
Barack Obama align=center50.2%Michele Bachmann27.1% align=center23.1
Barack Obama align=center48.8%Jon Huntsman30.1% align=center18.7
Barack Obama align=center50.8%Rick Perry31.1% align=center19.7
Barack Obama align=center49.3%Rick Santorum30.9% align=center18.4
Public Policy Polling[85] October 20–23, 2011Barack Obama align=center49%Michele Bachmann41% align=center8500 RV±4.4%
Barack Obama align=center49%Herman Cain46% align=center3
Barack Obama align=center49%Newt Gingrich46% align=center3
Barack Obama align=center51%Rick Perry41% align=center10
Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney46%align=center Tied
Public Policy Polling[86] July 28–31, 2011Barack Obama align=center50%Michele Bachmann40% align=center10601 RV±4.0%
Barack Obama align=center48%Herman Cain39% align=center9
Barack Obama align=center51%Sarah Palin39% align=center12
Barack Obama align=center49%Rick Perry40% align=center9
Barack Obama align=center47%Mitt Romney46% align=center1
Public Policy PollingApril 21–24, 2011Barack Obama align=center46%Newt Gingrich42% align=center4491 RV±4.4%
Barack Obama align=center45%Mike Huckabee43% align=center2
Barack Obama align=center50%Sarah Palin39% align=center11
Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney align=center46% align=center3
Barack Obama align=center47%Donald Trump41% align=center6
Public Policy Polling[87] January 3–5, 2011Barack Obama align=center51%Newt Gingrich40% align=center11932 RV±3.2%
Barack Obama align=center51%Mike Huckabee41% align=center10
Barack Obama align=center52%Sarah Palin39% align=center13
Barack Obama align=center47%Mitt Romney46% align=center1

New Hampshire

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
NBC News/Marist College[88] November 28–30, 2011Barack Obama align=center51%Rick Perry36% align=center151,144 RV±2.9%
Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney align=center46% align=center3
Barack Obama align=center53%Michele Bachmann33% align=center20
Barack Obama align=center49%Newt Gingrich39% align=center10
Barack Obama align=center53%Herman Cain30% align=center23
Barack Obama align=center44%Ron Paul42% align=center2
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[89] November 15–20, 2011Barack Obama align="center" 54%Rick Perry35% align="center" 19606 LV±4%
Barack Obama align=center52%Newt Gingrich40% align=center12
Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney align=center47% align=center3
NBC News/Marist CollegeOctober 3–5, 2011Barack Obama align=center46%Rick Perry40% align=center62,218 RV±2.1%
Barack Obama40%Mitt Romney align=center49% align=center9
Public Policy Polling[90] June 30 – July 5, 2011Barack Obama align="center" 49%Michele Bachmann42% align="center" 7662 RV±3.8%
Barack Obama align=center49%Herman Cain39% align=center10
Barack Obama align=center53%Sarah Palin38% align=center15
Barack Obama align=center48%Tim Pawlenty41% align=center7
Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney align=center46% align=center2
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[91] June 21 – July 1, 2011Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney align=center47% align=center4773 A±3.5%
Barack Obama align=center47%Tim Pawlenty38% align=center11
Barack Obama align=center47%Michele Bachmann41% align=center6
Public Policy Polling[92] March 31 – April 3, 2011Barack Obama align=center52%Newt Gingrich39% align=center13769 RV±3.5%
Barack Obama align=center52%Mike Huckabee38% align=center14
Barack Obama align=center56%Sarah Palin34% align=center22
Barack Obama align=center47%Mitt Romney46% align=center1
Barack Obama align=center51%Donald Trump37% align=center14
Magellan Strategies[93] February 9–10, 2011Barack Obama align=center48%Mitt Romney44% align=center4789 LV±3.49%
Barack Obama align=center57%Sarah Palin34% align=center23
Barack Obama align=center51%Mike Huckabee38% align=center13
Barack Obama align=center56%Newt Gingrich33% align=center23

New Jersey

14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 52%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[94] January 6–9, 2011Barack Obama align="center" 55%Chris Christie38% align="center" 17520 RV±4.3%
Barack Obama align=center54%Newt Gingrich37% align=center17
Barack Obama align=center53%Mike Huckabee36% align=center17
Barack Obama align=center59%Sarah Palin29% align=center30
Barack Obama align=center52%Mitt Romney37% align=center15

New Mexico

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[95] December 10–12, 2011 rowspan=5Barack Obama align=center56%Newt Gingrich39% align=center17500 RV±4.4%
align=center56%Michele Bachmann36% align=center20
align=center51%Ron Paul38% align=center13
align=center53%Mitt Romney38% align=center15
align=center56%Rick Perry35% align=center21
Public Policy Polling[96] June 23–26, 2011 rowspan=6Barack Obama align=center52%Michele Bachmann37% align=center15732 RV±3.6%
align=center52%Herman Cain36% align=center16
align=center46%Gary Johnson43% align=center3
align=center56%Sarah Palin36% align=center20
align=center51%Tim Pawlenty36% align=center15
align=center49%Mitt Romney42% align=center7
Public Policy Polling[97] February 4–6, 2011 rowspan=5Barack Obama align=center56%Newt Gingrich35% align=center21545 RV±4.2%
align=center55%Mike Huckabee36% align=center19
align=center51%Gary Johnson36% align=center15
align=center62%Sarah Palin33% align=center29
align=center53%Mitt Romney37% align=center16

Three Way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy PollingDecember 10–12, 2011 rowspan=2 Barack Obama45%Newt Gingrich28%Gary Johnson20% align=center17500 RV±4.4%
44%Mitt Romney27%Gary Johnson23% align=center17

New York

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Siena College[98] November 8–13, 2011Barack Obama align=center63%Herman Cain27% align=center36803 RV±3.5%
Barack Obama align=center63%Rick Perry28% align=center35
Barack Obama align=center59%Mitt Romney34% align=center25
Barack Obama align=center64%Michele Bachmann27% align=center37
Barack Obama align=center60%Ron Paul31% align=center29
Marist College[99] October 25–27, 2011Barack Obama align=center62%Herman Cain31% align=center311,030 RV±3.0%
Barack Obama align=center64%Rick Perry29% align=center35
Barack Obama align=center59%Mitt Romney35% align=center24
Siena College[100] October 10–12, 2011Barack Obama align=center58%Herman Cain32% align=center26800 RV±3.5%
Barack Obama align=center58%Rick Perry31% align=center27
Barack Obama align=center55%Mitt Romney37% align=center18

North Carolina

15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[101] December 1–4, 2011Barack Obama align=center50%Herman Cain37% align=center13865 RV±3.3%
Barack Obama align=center49%Newt Gingrich45% align=center4
Barack Obama align=center47%Ron Paul42% align=center5
Barack Obama align=center50%Rick Perry42% align=center8
Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney46%Tied
Public Policy Polling[102] October 27–31, 2011Barack Obama align=center50%Michele Bachmann42% align=center8615 RV±4.0%
Barack Obama align=center47%Herman Cain44% align=center3
Barack Obama align=center50%Newt Gingrich43% align=center7
Barack Obama align=center48%Ron Paul40% align=center8
Barack Obama align=center50%Rick Perry42% align=center8
Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney align=center46% align=center1
Public Policy Polling[103] September 30 – October 3, 2011 align=centerBarack Obama align=center49%Michele Bachmann42% align=center7760 RV±3.6%
Barack Obama45%Chris Christie align=center46% align=center1
Barack Obama align=center49%Newt Gingrich42% align=center7
Barack Obama align=center46%Ron Paul43% align=center3
Barack Obama align=center48%Rick Perry44% align=center4
Barack Obama align=center46%Mitt Romney45% align=center1
Public Policy Polling[104] September 1–4, 2011Barack Obama align=center47%Michele Bachmann45% align=center2520 RV±4.3%
Barack Obama align=center48%Newt Gingrich43% align=center5
Barack Obama align=center49%Sarah Palin42% align=center7
Barack Obama46%Rick Perry46%Tied
Barack Obama align=center45%Mitt Romney44% align=center1
Public Policy Polling[105] August 4–7, 2011Barack Obama align=center50%Michele Bachmann40% align=center10780 RV±3.5%
Barack Obama align=center50%Herman Cain37% align=center13
Barack Obama align=center52%Sarah Palin39% align=center13
Barack Obama align=center48%Rick Perry40% align=center8
Barack Obama align=center46%Mitt Romney43% align=center3
Public Policy Polling[106] July 7–10, 2011Barack Obama align=center46%Michele Bachmann43% align=center3651 RV±3.8%
Barack Obama align=center46%Herman Cain42% align=center4
Barack Obama align=center50%Sarah Palin42% align=center8
Barack Obama align=center46%Tim Pawlenty41% align=center5
Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney45%Tied
Public Policy Polling[107] June 8–11, 2011Barack Obama align=center48%Herman Cain37% align=center11563 RV±4.1%
Barack Obama align=center50%Newt Gingrich40% align=center10
Barack Obama align=center52%Sarah Palin38% align=center14
Barack Obama align=center47%Tim Pawlenty40% align=center7
Barack Obama align=center45%Mitt Romney44% align=center1
Public Policy Polling[108] May 12–15, 2011Barack Obama align=center50%Newt Gingrich42% align=center8835 RV±3.4%
Barack Obama align=center47%Mike Huckabee46% align=center1
Barack Obama align=center52%Sarah Palin40% align=center12
Barack Obama align=center46%Mitt Romney43% align=center3
Barack Obama align=center52%Donald Trump35% align=center17
Public Policy Polling[109] April 14–17, 2011Barack Obama align=center49%Newt Gingrich45% align=center4507 RV±4.4%
Barack Obama align=center48%Mike Huckabee47% align=center1
Barack Obama align=center52%Sarah Palin40% align=center12
Barack Obama align=center47%Mitt Romney44% align=center3
Barack Obama align=center51%Donald Trump39% align=center12
Public Policy Polling[110] March 17–20, 2011Barack Obama align=center47%Newt Gingrich42% align=center5584 RV±4.1%
Barack Obama45%Mike Huckabee45%Tied
align=centerBarack Obama51%Sarah Palin40% align=center11
Barack Obama align=center44%Mitt Romney42% align=center2
Public Policy Polling[111] February 16–21, 2011Barack Obama align=center48%Newt Gingrich44% align=center4650 RV±3.8%
Barack Obama46%Mike Huckabee align=center47% align=center1
Barack Obama align=center51%Sarah Palin41% align=center10
align=centerBarack Obama align=center47%Mitt Romney44% align=center3
Public Policy Polling[112] January 20–23, 2011Barack Obama align=center50%Newt Gingrich44% align=center6575 RV±4.1%
Barack Obama align=center49%Mike Huckabee45% align=center4
Barack Obama align=center50%Sarah Palin41% align=center9
Barack Obama align=center47%Mitt Romney44% align=center3
Public Policy Polling[113] December 17–19, 2010Barack Obama align=center48%Newt Gingrich42% align=center6520 RV±4.3%
Barack Obama45%Mike Huckabee align=center46% align=center1
Barack Obama align=center52%Sarah Palin38% align=center14
Barack Obama align=center46%Mitt Romney43% align=center3
Public Policy Polling[114] November 19–21, 2010Barack Obama align=center46%Newt Gingrich45% align=center1517 RV±4.3%
Barack Obama44%Mike Huckabee align=center48% align=center4
Barack Obama align=center48%Sarah Palin43% align=center5
Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney44%Tied
Public Policy Polling[115] July 10–12, 2009Barack Obama align=center49%Sarah Palin42% align=center7767 RV±3.5%

Ohio

18 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 52%–47%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Quinnipiac UniversityNovember 28 – December 5, 2011 Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney align=center43% align=center11,437 RV±2.6%
Barack Obama42%Newt Gingrich align=center43% align=center1
Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 31 – November 7, 2011 Barack Obama align=center48%Herman Cain38% align=center101,312 RV±2.7%
Barack Obama align=center49%Newt Gingrich37% align=center12
Barack Obama align=center48%Rick Perry36% align=center12
Barack Obama align=center45%Mitt Romney42% align=center3
Public Policy Polling[116] November 4–6, 2011Barack Obama align=center51%Michele Bachmann37% align=center141,022 RV±3.1%
Barack Obama align=center50%Herman Cain39% align=center11
Barack Obama align=center51%Newt Gingrich38% align=center13
Barack Obama align=center50%Ron Paul36% align=center14
Barack Obama align=center53%Rick Perry36% align=center17
Barack Obama align=center50%Mitt Romney41% align=center9
Quinnipiac University[117] October 17–23, 2011Barack Obama align=center47%Rick Perry36% align=center111,668 RV±2.4%
Barack Obama align=center45%Mitt Romney41% align=center4
Barack Obama align=center47%Herman Cain39% align=center8
Public Policy Polling[118] October 13–16, 2011Barack Obama align=center49%Michele Bachmann40% align=center9581 RV±4.1%
Barack Obama align=center48%Herman Cain45% align=center3
Barack Obama align=center51%Newt Gingrich40% align=center11
Barack Obama align=center50%Rick Perry41% align=center9
Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney46%align=center Tied
Quinnipiac University[119] September 22–25, 2011Barack Obama align=center44%Rick Perry41% align=center31,301 RV±2.7%
Barack Obama align=center44%Mitt Romney42% align=center2
Public Policy Polling[120] August 11–14, 2011Barack Obama align=center48%Michele Bachmann41% align=center7792 RV±3.5%
Barack Obama align=center47%Herman Cain39% align=center8
Barack Obama align=center51%Sarah Palin38% align=center13
Barack Obama align=center45%Rick Perry41% align=center4
Barack Obama align=center45%Mitt Romney43% align=center2
Quinnipiac University[121] July 12–18, 2011Barack Obama align=center49%Michele Bachmann36% align=center13563 RV±4.1%
Barack Obama align=center51%Sarah Palin35% align=center16
Barack Obama align=center47%Rick Perry35% align=center12
Barack Obama align=center45%Mitt Romney41% align=center4
Public Policy Polling[122] March 10–13, 2011Barack Obama align=center50%Newt Gingrich38% align=center12559 RV±4.1%
Barack Obama align=center48%Mike Huckabee41% align=center7
Barack Obama align=center52%Sarah Palin36% align=center16
Barack Obama align=center46%Mitt Romney40% align=center6
Public Policy Polling[123] December 10–12, 2010Barack Obama align=center47%Newt Gingrich41% align=center6510 RV±4.3%
Barack Obama align=center45%Mike Huckabee44% align=center1
Barack Obama align=center49%Sarah Palin42% align=center7
Barack Obama align=center44%Mitt Romney42% align=center2

Oregon

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Daily Kos/Service Employees' International Union/Service Employees' International Union/Public Policy Polling (D)[124] December 13–14, 2011 rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center55%Newt Gingrich37% align=center18979 RV±3.1%
align=center53%Mitt Romney40% align=center13
KATU-TV Portland/SurveyUSA[125] November 18–21, 2011 rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center51%Newt Gingrich37% align=center14528 RV±4.4%
align=center48%Mitt Romney40% align=center8
Public Policy Polling[126] June 19–21, 2011 rowspan=5Barack Obama align=center53%Michele Bachmann35% align=center18701 RV±3.7%
align=center53%Herman Cain32% align=center21
align=center57%Sarah Palin35% align=center22
align=center52%Tim Pawlenty34% align=center18
align=center50%Mitt Romney38% align=center12

Pennsylvania

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[127] November 28 – December 7, 2011 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center45%Mitt Romney41% align=center4422 RV±5%
align=center52%Newt Gingrich35% align=center17
align=center48%Rick Perry30% align=center18
align=center55%Herman Cain28% align=center27
Quinnipiac UniversityNovember 28 – December 5, 2011 rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center46%Mitt Romney43% align=center31,453 RV±2.6%
align=center48%Newt Gingrich40% align=center8
Public Policy Polling[128] November 17–20, 2011 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center53%Herman Cain35% align=center18500 RV±4.4%
align=center49%Newt Gingrich43% align=center6
align=center46%Ron Paul42% align=center4
align=center51%Rick Perry38% align=center13
Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney45%Tied
Barack Obama align=center47%Rick Santorum42% align=center5
Survey USA[129] November 10, 2011Barack Obama align=center47%Newt Gingrich40% align=center7800 RV±3.5%
Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney44%Tied
Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 31 – November 7, 2011 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center48%Herman Cain38% align=center101,436 RV±2.6%
align=center48%Newt Gingrich38% align=center10
align=center47%Rick Perry38% align=center9
align=center44%Mitt Romney43% align=center1
Franklin & Marshall College[130] October 24–30, 2011 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center38%Herman Cain24% align=center14525 RV±4.3%
align=center40%Rick Perry20% align=center20
align=center35%Mitt Romney26% align=center9
align=center38%Rick Santorum25% align=center13
Quinnipiac University[131] September 21–26, 2011 rowspan=3Barack Obama align=center46%Rick Perry40% align=center61,370 RV±2.7%
align=center45%Mitt Romney43% align=center2
align=center45%Rick Santorum42% align=center3
Franklin & Marshall College[132] August 22–29, 2011 rowspan=3Barack Obama align=center42%Michele Bachmann23% align=center19525 RV±4.3%
align=center38%Rick Perry27% align=center11
align=center36%Mitt Romney30% align=center6
Quinnipiac University[133] July 25–31, 2011 rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center47%Michele Bachmann39% align=center81,358 RV±2.7%
align=center45%Rick Perry39% align=center6
Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney align=center44% align=center2
Barack Obama align=center45%Rick Santorum43% align=center2
Public Policy Polling[134] June 30 – July 5, 2011 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center50%Michele Bachmann43% align=center7545 RV±4.2%
align=center49%Herman Cain37% align=center12
align=center53%Sarah Palin39% align=center14
align=center47%Tim Pawlenty39% align=center8
Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney44%Tied
Barack Obama align=center50%Rick Santorum40% align=center10
Quinnipiac University[135] June 7–12, 2011 rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center47%Mitt Romney40% align=center71,277 RV±2.7%
align=center49%Rick Santorum38% align=center11
Public Policy Polling[136] April 7–10, 2011 rowspan=3Barack Obama align=center47%Newt Gingrich39% align=center8593 RV±4.0%
align=center45%Mike Huckabee44% align=center1
align=center50%Sarah Palin39% align=center11
Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney align=center43% align=center1
Barack Obama align=center45%Rick Santorum43% align=center2
Public Policy Polling[137] January 3–5, 2011 rowspan=5Barack Obama align=center50%Newt Gingrich40% align=center10547 RV±4.2%
align=center47%Mike Huckabee44% align=center3
align=center51%Sarah Palin36% align=center15
align=center46%Mitt Romney42% align=center4
align=center48%Rick Santorum40% align=center8

Rhode Island

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–35%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[138] February 16–22, 2011Barack Obama align=center60%Newt Gingrich27% align=center33544 RV±4.2%
Barack Obama align=center56%Mike Huckabee31% align=center25
Barack Obama align=center65%Sarah Palin24% align=center41
Barack Obama align=center54%Mitt Romney37% align=center17

South Carolina

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
NBC News/Marist College[139] December 4–7, 2011 Barack Obama align=center45%Mitt Romney42% align=center32,107 RV±2.1%
Barack Obama align=center46%Newt Gingrich42% align=center4
Barack Obama align=center47%Ron Paul37% align=center10
NBC News/Marist College[140] October 10–12, 2011Barack Obama42%Herman Cain align="center" 44% align="center" 22,131 RV±2.1%
Barack Obama42%Rick Perry align=center43% align=center1
Barack Obama40%Mitt Romney align=center46% align=center6
Public Policy Polling[141] August 25–28, 2011Barack Obama44%Michele Bachmann44%Tied587 RV±4.0%
Barack Obama44%Newt Gingrich align=center45% align=center1
Barack Obama45%Sarah Palin45%Tied
Barack Obama41%Rick Perry align=center49% align=center8
Barack Obama38%Mitt Romney align=center53% align=center15
Public Policy Polling[142] June 2–5, 2011Barack Obama align=center43%Herman Cain40% align=center3741 RV±3.6%
Barack Obama44%Jim DeMint align=center47% align=center3
Barack Obama align=center46%Newt Gingrich44% align=center2
Barack Obama align=center48%Sarah Palin43% align=center5
Barack Obama42%Tim Pawlenty42%Tied
Barack Obama41%Mitt Romney align=center50% align=center9
Public Policy Polling[143] January 28–30, 2011Barack Obama align=center44%Newt Gingrich43% align=center11,167 RV±2.9%
Barack Obama43%Mike Huckabee align=center49% align=center6
Barack Obama align=center47%Sarah Palin41% align=center6
Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney align=center49% align=center7
Barack Obama45%Jim DeMint align=center47% align=center2

South Dakota

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[144] January 28–30, 2011Barack Obama align=center44%Newt Gingrich42% align=center21,045 RV±3.0%
Barack Obama41%Mike Huckabee align=center47% align=center6
Barack Obama align=center48%Sarah Palin40% align=center8
Barack Obama40%Mitt Romney align=center46% align=center6
Barack Obama37%John Thune align=center57% align=center20

Tennessee

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Vanderbilt University[145] October 28 – November 5, 2011Barack Obama39%Rick Perry align=center40% align=center11,423 RV±2.6%
Barack Obama37%Herman Cain align=center41% align=center4
Barack Obama38%Mitt Romney align=center42% align=center4
Middle Tennessee State University[146] October 3–14, 2011Barack Obama29%Mitt Romney44%14635 A±4%
Vanderbilt University[147] June 3–8, 2011Barack Obama align="center" 38%Michele Bachmann27% align="center" 11700 RV±3.7%
Barack Obama align=center38%Newt Gingrich26% align=center12
Barack Obama align=center43%Sarah Palin29% align=center14
Barack Obama align=center37%Tim Pawlenty28% align=center9
Barack Obama align=center37%Mitt Romney35% align=center2
Public Policy Polling[148] February 9–13, 2011Barack Obama43%Newt Gingrich align=center46% align=center3500 RV±4.4%
Barack Obama41%Mike Huckabee align=center53% align=center12
Barack Obama45%Sarah Palin45%Tied
Barack Obama41%Mitt Romney align=center48% align=center7
FRONTPAGE Vanderbilt University[149] January 14–16, 2011Barack Obama align=center42%Sarah Palin37% align=center5710 RV±3.3%

Three Way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Third party/independent%Lead margin
Vanderbilt University[150]
October 28 – November 5, 2011 rowspan=6 Barack Obama34%Rick Perry27%"a qualified Independent candidate"23% align=center7
38%Herman Cain30%"a qualified Independent candidate"18% align=center8
36%Mitt Romney25%"a qualified Independent candidate"23% align=center11
33%Mitt Romney28%Michael Bloomberg14% align=center5
34%Mitt Romney28%Warren Buffett18% align=center6
38%Mitt Romney35%Alec Baldwin8% align=center3

Texas

38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 61%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
University of Texas/Texas Tribune/YouGov[151] October 19–26, 2011Barack Obama33%Ron Paul align=center38% align=center5800 A±3.46%
Barack Obama35%Herman Cain align=center40% align=center5
Barack Obama34%Mitt Romney align=center36% align=center2
Barack Obama37%Rick Perry align=center45% align=center8
Public Policy Polling[152] June 25–27, 2011Barack Obama44%Michele Bachmann align=center47% align=center3795 RV±3.5%
Barack Obama43%Herman Cain43%Tied
Barack Obama align=center46%Sarah Palin44% align=center2
Barack Obama43%Tim Pawlenty align=center44% align=center1
Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney align=center50% align=center8
Barack Obama40%Ron Paul align=center45% align=center5
Barack Obama align=center47%Rick Perry45% align=center2
Public Policy Polling[153] January 14–16, 2011Barack Obama43%Newt Gingrich align=center48% align=center5892 RV±3.3%
Barack Obama39%Mike Huckabee align=center55% align=center16
Barack Obama46%Sarah Palin align=center47% align=center1
Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney align=center49% align=center7
Barack Obama45%Rick Perry45%Tied
University of Texas at Austin[154] June 11–22, 2009Barack Obama34%Mitt Romney align=center39% align=center5924 A±3.22%

Utah

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 72%–26%
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[155] July 8–10, 2011Barack Obama35%Michele Bachmann align=center49% align=center14732 RV±3.6%
36%Herman Cain align=center43% align=center7
23%Jon Huntsman align=center63% align=center40
41%Sarah Palin align=center43% align=center2
34%Tim Pawlenty align=center45% align=center11
31%Mitt Romney align=center63% align=center32
Salt Lake Tribune/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[156] April 26–28, 2010Barack Obama22%Mitt Romney align=center73% align=center51400 RV±5.0%
32%Sarah Palin align=center53% align=center22
31%Ron Paul align=center48% align=center17
KSL-TV/Dan Jones & Associates[157] April 29, 2009Barack Obama27%Mitt Romney align=center67% align=center40254 A±6.2%
25%Jon Huntsman align=center58% align=center33

Vermont

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[158] July 28–31, 2011 rowspan=6Barack Obama align=center58%Michele Bachmann30% align=center281,233 RV±2.8%
align=center58%Herman Cain26% align=center32
align=center53%Mike Huckabee36% align=center17
align=center62%Sarah Palin28% align=center34
align=center57%Rick Perry28% align=center29
align=center54%Mitt Romney34% align=center20

Virginia

13 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Quinnipiac University[159] December 13–19, 2011Barack Obama align=center46%Newt Gingrich41% align=center51,135 RV±2.9%
Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney align=center44% align=center2
Public Policy Polling[160] December 11–13, 2011Barack Obama align=center52%Michele Bachmann39% align=center13600 RV±4%
Barack Obama align=center50%Newt Gingrich43% align=center7
Barack Obama align=center48%Ron Paul40% align=center8
Barack Obama align=center51%Rick Perry41% align=center10
Barack Obama align=center48%Mitt Romney42% align=center6
Quinnipiac University[161] October 3–9, 2011Barack Obama align=center45%Herman Cain43% align=center21,459 RV±2.6%
Barack Obama align=center47%Rick Perry42% align=center5
Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney align=center45% align=center1
Richmond Times-Dispatch/Muhlenberg College/Christopher Newport University[162] October 3–8, 2011Barack Obama43%Rick Perry43%Tied1,027 RV±3.1%
Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney align=center46% align=center4
Roanoke College[163] September 6–17, 2011Barack Obama align=center46%Michele Bachmann35% align=center9601 A±4%
Barack Obama align=center50%Sarah Palin31% align=center19
Barack Obama align=center43%Ron Paul33% align=center10
Barack Obama40%Rick Perry align=center42% align=center2
Barack Obama37%Mitt Romney align=center45% align=center8
Quinnipiac University[164] September 7–12, 2011Barack Obama align=center48%Michele Bachmann37% align=center111,368 RV±2.7%
Barack Obama align=center50%Sarah Palin35% align=center15
Barack Obama align=center44%Rick Perry42% align=center2
Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney align=center44% align=center2
Public Policy Polling[165] July 21–24, 2011Barack Obama align=center49%Michele Bachmann40% align=center9500 RV±4.4%
Barack Obama align=center49%Herman Cain38% align=center11
Barack Obama align=center51%Sarah Palin37% align=center14
Barack Obama align=center48%Rick Perry39% align=center9
Barack Obama align=center47%Mitt Romney43% align=center4
Public Policy Polling[166] May 5–8, 2011Barack Obama align=center54%Newt Gingrich37% align=center17547 RV±4.2%
Barack Obama align=center52%Mike Huckabee43% align=center9
Barack Obama align=center55%Sarah Palin40% align=center15
Barack Obama align=center51%Mitt Romney40% align=center11
Barack Obama align=center54%Donald Trump32% align=center22
Barack Obama align=center51%Bob McDonnell43% align=center8
The Washington Post[167] [168] May 2–4, 2011Barack Obama align=center51%Mitt Romney44% align=center7503 RVNot reported
Barack Obama align=center53%Mike Huckabee34% align=center9
Barack Obama align=center55%Tim Pawlenty35% align=center20
Barack Obama align=center61%Donald Trump30% align=center31
Barack Obama align=center61%Sarah Palin30% align=center31
The Washington PostApril 28 – May 1, 2011Barack Obama align=center48%Mitt Romney46% align=center2677 RVNot reported
Barack Obama align=center50%Mike Huckabee46% align=center4
Barack Obama align=center51%Tim Pawlenty38% align=center13
Barack Obama align=center54%Donald Trump35% align=center19
Barack Obama align=center55%Sarah Palin36% align=center19
Public Policy Polling[169] February 24–27, 2011Barack Obama align=center51%Newt Gingrich39% align=center12524 RV±3.5%
Barack Obama align=center51%Mike Huckabee43% align=center8
Barack Obama align=center54%Sarah Palin35% align=center19
Barack Obama align=center48%Mitt Romney42% align=center6
Public Policy Polling[170] November 10–13, 2010Barack Obama align=center48%Mitt Romney43% align=center5551 RV±4.2%
Barack Obama align=center51%Sarah Palin40% align=center11
Barack Obama align=center49%Mike Huckabee44% align=center5
Barack Obama align=center52%Newt Gingrich41% align=center11

Washington

12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA[171] November 21–23, 2011Barack Obama align=center56%Newt Gingrich37% align=center19549 RV±4.3%
Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney41% align=center8
University of Washington[172] October 10–30, 2011Barack Obama align=center54%Rick Perry41% align=center13938 RV±3.2%
Barack Obama align=center50%Mitt Romney41% align=center9
Strategies 360[173] September 11–14, 2011Barack Obama align=center51%Rick Perry37% align=center14400 LV±4.9%
Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney40% align=center9
Public Policy Polling[174] May 12–15, 2011Barack Obama align=center54%Newt Gingrich36% align=center181098 RV±3.0%
Barack Obama align=center53%Mike Huckabee39% align=center14
Barack Obama align=center57%Sarah Palin34% align=center23
Barack Obama align=center51%Mitt Romney40% align=center11
Barack Obama align=center58%Donald Trump31% align=center27

West Virginia

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[175] September 30–
October 2, 2011
Barack Obama37%Michele Bachmann align=center52% align=center15932 RV±3.2%
Barack Obama36%Newt Gingrich align=center51% align=center15
Barack Obama34%Ron Paul align=center48% align=center14
Barack Obama36%Rick Perry align=center52% align=center16
Barack Obama33%Mitt Romney align=center54% align=center21
Public Policy Polling[176] September 1–4, 2011Barack Obama39%Michele Bachmann align=center48% align=center9708 RV±3.7%
Barack Obama40%Newt Gingrich align=center45% align=center5
Barack Obama42%Sarah Palin align=center45% align=center3
Barack Obama38%Rick Perry align=center49% align=center11
Barack Obama37%Mitt Romney align=center49% align=center12
Public Policy Polling[177] January 20–23, 2011Barack Obama39%Newt Gingrich align=center49% align=center101105 RV±2.9%
Barack Obama36%Mike Huckabee align=center54% align=center18
Barack Obama42%Sarah Palin align=center46% align=center4
Barack Obama37%Mitt Romney align=center50% align=center13

Wisconsin

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
WRPI[178] October 18–26, 2011Barack Obama align=center50%Herman Cain31% align=center19605 A±4%
Barack Obama align=center48%Rick Perry30% align=center18
Barack Obama align=center46%Mitt Romney35% align=center11
Public Policy Polling[179] October 20–23, 2011Barack Obama align=center51%Michele Bachmann40% align=center111,170 RV±2.9%
Barack Obama align=center49%Herman Cain42% align=center7
Barack Obama align=center52%Newt Gingrich38% align=center14
Barack Obama align=center50%Rick Perry39% align=center11
Barack Obama align=center46%Mitt Romney43% align=center3
Public Policy PollingAugust 12–14, 2011Barack Obama align=center51%Michele Bachmann39% align=center12830 RV±3.4%
Barack Obama align=center50%Herman Cain36% align=center14
Barack Obama align=center52%Sarah Palin40% align=center12
Barack Obama align=center50%Rick Perry40% align=center10
Barack Obama align=center47%Mitt Romney42% align=center5
Public Policy Polling[180] May 19–22, 2011Barack Obama align=center53%Newt Gingrich35% align=center181,636 RV±2.4%
Barack Obama align=center55%Sarah Palin36% align=center19
Barack Obama align=center51%Mitt Romney39% align=center12
Barack Obama align=center50%Paul Ryan43% align=center7
Public Policy Polling[181] February 24–27, 2011Barack Obama align=center51%Newt Gingrich39% align=center12768 RV±3.5%
Barack Obama align=center48%Mike Huckabee41% align=center7
Barack Obama align=center54%Sarah Palin35% align=center19
Barack Obama align=center48%Mitt Romney38% align=center10
Barack Obama align=center49%Paul Ryan40% align=center9
Public Policy Polling[182] December 10–12, 2010Barack Obama align=center50%Newt Gingrich41% align=center9702 RV±3.7%
Barack Obama align=center47%Mike Huckabee41% align=center6
Barack Obama align=center52%Sarah Palin38% align=center14
Barack Obama align=center46%Mitt Romney42% align=center4
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[183] October 26, 2010Barack Obama align=center47%Herman Cain42% align=center5500 LV±4.5%
Barack Obama42%Rick Perry align=center46% align=center4
Barack Obama align=center45%Mitt Romney41% align=center4

See also

Notes and References

  1. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_AZ_1128925.pdf Public Policy Polling
  2. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2011/RMP_AZ_102611.pdf BRC/Rocky Mountain Poll
  3. https://web.archive.org/web/20120828101238/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_AZ_05031205.pdf Public Policy Polling
  4. https://web.archive.org/web/20110706105859/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_AZ_0202806.pdf Public Policy Polling
  5. http://webarchive.loc.gov/all/20190326070337/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_AZ_922806.pdf Public Policy Polling
  6. http://talkbusiness.net/article/ARKANSANS-RATE-OBAMA-JOB-PERFORMANCE-2-TO-1-NEGATIVE/2503/ Talk Business/Hendrix College
  7. https://web.archive.org/web/20120829025203/http://field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers/Rls2397.pdf Field Research Corporation (Field Poll)
  8. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_CA_1117.pdf Public Policy Polling
  9. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=a6fd94e2-7385-4288-a729-464692799ac2 Survey USA
  10. https://web.archive.org/web/20120805145947/http://field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers/Rls2385.pdf Field Research Corporation (Field Poll)
  11. https://web.archive.org/web/20130114143400/http://www.gqrr.com/articles/2666/6785_USC%20Dornsife%20College-LA%20Times-FQ-Sunday,%209.4.11.pdf L.A. Times/USC Dornsife/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner
  12. https://web.archive.org/web/20120818020530/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_CA_0203424.pdf Public Policy Polling
  13. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_CO_1207925.pdf Public Policy Polling
  14. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_CO_08101118.pdf Public Policy Polling
  15. https://web.archive.org/web/20120818020643/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_CO_0208424.pdf Public Policy Polling
  16. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_CT_0930925.pdf Public Policy Polling
  17. https://archive.today/20121212094150/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1284.xml?ReleaseID=1646&What=&strArea=;&strTime=0 Quinnipiac University
  18. https://web.archive.org/web/20120211180732/http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/NEWS/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/NBC_News-Marist_Poll_Florida_December_2011.pdf NBC News/Marist College
  19. https://web.archive.org/web/20111210062532/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x2882.xml?ReleaseID=1678 Quinnipiac University
  20. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_FL_1201925.pdf Public Policy Polling
  21. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/florida/election_2012_florida_president Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  22. https://web.archive.org/web/20111206225236/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x2882.xml?ReleaseID=1671 Quinnipiac University
  23. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2011/FINAL_Florida_Statewide_Marginals_Oct_30_2011.htm Suffolk University
  24. https://web.archive.org/web/20120905060121/http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/NEWS/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/FL_Poll%20Results_Questionnaire_111018.pdf NBC News/Marist College
  25. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_FL_0929925.pdf Public Policy Polling
  26. https://web.archive.org/web/20110923084027/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1297.xml?ReleaseID=1650 Quinnipiac University
  27. https://web.archive.org/web/20110805061040/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1297.xml?ReleaseID=1632 Quinnipiac University
  28. https://web.archive.org/web/20121009082457/http://www.sunshinestatenews.com/story/us-jobless-numbers-dragging-barack-obama-down-florida Sunshine State News/Voter Survey Service
  29. https://web.archive.org/web/20120904091929/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_FL_624925.pdf Public Policy Polling
  30. http://suffolk.edu/offices/46395.html Suffolk University/7 News
  31. http://miamiherald.typepad.com/files/04-11-11-presidential-poll1.pdf Ron Sachs Communications/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research
  32. https://web.archive.org/web/20120828100303/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_FL_03311023.pdf Public Policy Polling
  33. https://web.archive.org/web/20120811191133/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_FL_1222.pdf Public Policy Polling
  34. https://web.archive.org/web/20140122202648/http://members.jacksonville.com/news/florida/2011-12-18/story/georgia-republicans-prefer-newt-gingrich-poll-shows Mason-Dixon Polling & Research
  35. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=9f7c5d5d-4d53-4675-af4b-65290e7797d2 SurveyUSA
  36. https://web.archive.org/web/20120828100227/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_GA_0405217.pdf Public Policy Polling
  37. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_HI_1020424.pdf Public Policy Polling
  38. https://paulsimoninstitute.siu.edu/_common/documents/opinion-polling/simon-institute-poll/2011/oct-20-simon-poll.pdf Paul Simon Public Policy Institute (Southern Illinois University)
  39. https://web.archive.org/web/20121005044513/http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/NEWS/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/111204_NBCMarist_Iowa_6a.pdf NBC News/Marist College
  40. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_IA_1012513.pdf Public Policy Polling
  41. https://web.archive.org/web/20150107124830/http://www.nbcnews.com/id/44850577 NBC News/Marist College
  42. https://web.archive.org/web/20120907050706/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_IAWI_0824.pdf Public Policy Polling
  43. https://web.archive.org/web/20160315053511/http://www.everychildmatters.org/storage/documents/docs/ia/IA_Poll_Summary_Revised-2.pdf Every Child Matters Fund/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research
  44. https://web.archive.org/web/20120831231313/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_IA_0602.pdf Public Policy Polling
  45. https://web.archive.org/web/20120828100605/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_IA_0421424.pdf Public Policy Polling
  46. https://web.archive.org/web/20120818020013/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_IA_0112513.pdf Public Policy Polling
  47. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=8369e328-51fd-4001-b4db-0097d19a87ed KWCH-TV Wichita/Survey USA
  48. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_KY_0902.pdf Public Policy Polling
  49. https://web.archive.org/web/20121028113102/http://www.wwltv.com/news/politics/Presidential-Poll-131821978.html Clarus Research Group
  50. https://web.archive.org/web/20090806141454/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Louisiana_722.pdf Public Policy Polling
  51. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_ME_1104.pdf Public Policy Polling
  52. https://web.archive.org/web/20120113153350/https://docs.google.com/a/bangordailynews.com/viewer?a=v&pid=explorer&chrome=true&srcid=0Bz1xw7lZwFn_YThiYjZjODktNmI3Ni00ZGI4LTk1NGYtY2Q5ODJhZjdhY2Qz&hl=en_US Bangor Daily News/Critical Insights
  53. https://web.archive.org/web/20120824000822/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_ME_0311.pdf Public Policy Polling
  54. https://web.archive.org/web/20120203125315/http://www.umass.edu/newsoffice/images/upload/UMass%20Poll%20detailed%20results_0.pdf University of Massachusetts Amherst/YouGov
  55. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MA_0921424.pdf Public Policy Polling
  56. https://web.archive.org/web/20120831231531/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_MA_0609.pdf Public Policy Polling
  57. https://web.archive.org/web/20121114162559/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_MA_1203424.pdf Public Policy Polling
  58. http://www.freep.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=2011111120009 Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA
  59. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=0cb14974-4ae3-4c8a-a0a1-b0decd9462f7 SurveyUSA
  60. https://web.archive.org/web/20120312010902/http://www.mrgmi.com/MRG_IMP_09_21_11_FINAL.pdf Inside Michigan/Marketing Resource Group
  61. https://web.archive.org/web/20120904092740/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_MI_727930.pdf Public Policy Polling
  62. http://www.freep.com/article/20110718/NEWS15/110718052/Romney-holds-onto-edge-over-Obama-Michigan-election-poll-shows EPIC-MRA
  63. https://web.archive.org/web/20120828100402/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_MI_0324925.pdf Public Policy Polling
  64. https://ssl2002.webhosting.comcast.net/epic-mra/press/Stwd_Survey_Feb2011_Media_Freq.pdf EPIC-MRA
  65. https://web.archive.org/web/20120916054010/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_MI_1207930.pdf Public Policy Polling
  66. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=98e06008-a002-4bda-b2dc-d5093903734a KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA
  67. https://web.archive.org/web/20120320062738/http://kstp.com/article/stories/S2168808.shtml?cat=1 KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA
  68. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_MN_0606.pdf Public Policy Polling
  69. https://web.archive.org/web/20121114163030/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_MN_12081023.pdf Public Policy Polling
  70. http://www.sctimes.com/article/20091117/NEWS01/111170064/-1/vets/SCSU-survey-finds-similar-ratings-for-Obama--Pawlenty St. Cloud State University
  71. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Minnesota_710.pdf Public Policy Polling
  72. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MS_1110834.pdf Public Policy Polling
  73. https://web.archive.org/web/20120916121145/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_MS_0329915.pdf Public Policy Polling
  74. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/11/14/mo-2012-president-45-romn_n_1092823.html Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  75. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MO_09151023.pdf Public Policy Polling
  76. https://web.archive.org/web/20120831231056/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_MO_0513.pdf Public Policy Polling
  77. https://web.archive.org/web/20120824000603/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_MO_0309424.pdf Public Policy Polling
  78. https://web.archive.org/web/20120811190815/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_MO_12021118.pdf Public Policy Polling
  79. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MT_1202424.pdf Public Policy Polling
  80. https://web.archive.org/web/20120904092032/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_MT_0622.pdf Public Policy Polling
  81. https://web.archive.org/web/20120824062847/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_MT_1117513.pdf Public Policy Polling
  82. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NE_1006.pdf Public Policy Polling
  83. https://web.archive.org/web/20121114111848/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NE_0131.pdf Public Policy Polling
  84. http://www.lvrj.com/news/obama-the-one-to-beat-in-nevada-poll-shows-136055218.html Las Vegas Review-Journal/University of Nevada Las Vegas
  85. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NV_1027513.pdf Public Policy Polling
  86. https://web.archive.org/web/20120828100815/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NV_0427513.pdf Public Policy Polling
  87. https://web.archive.org/web/20120818015829/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NV_0107424.pdf Public Policy Polling
  88. https://web.archive.org/web/20121005044509/http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/NEWS/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/111204_NBCMarist_NH_6a.pdf NBC News/Marist College
  89. https://web.archive.org/web/20120312020751/http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/primary2012_primary112311.pdf WMUR/University of New Hampshire
  90. https://web.archive.org/web/20120904092201/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NH_07071118.pdf Public Policy Polling
  91. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/07/06/nh-2012-primary-35-romney_n_891903.html WMUR/University of New Hampshire
  92. https://web.archive.org/web/20120828100327/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NH_04061023.pdf Public Policy Polling
  93. http://www.politico.com/pdf/PPM185_nhjournalpoll21111.pdf Magellan Strategies
  94. https://web.archive.org/web/20120818015906/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NJ_01111023.pdf Public Policy Polling
  95. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NM_1216513.pdf Public Policy Polling
  96. https://web.archive.org/web/20120904092004/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NM_06291118.pdf Public Policy Polling
  97. https://web.archive.org/web/20120916121148/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NM_0209513.pdf Public Policy Polling
  98. https://web.archive.org/web/20111119120328/http://www.siena.edu/uploadedfiles/home/parents_and_community/community_page/sri/sny_poll/SNY%20November%202011%20Poll%20Release%20--%20FINAL.pdf Siena College
  99. http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/nyspolls/NY111025/2012/Complete%20November%202nd,%202011%20NYS%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf Marist College
  100. Web site: Siena College . 2012-10-13 . 2012-08-24 . https://web.archive.org/web/20120824092212/http://www.siena.edu/uploadedfiles/home/parents_and_community/community_page/sri/sny_poll/SNY%20October%2018%202011%20Poll%20Release%20--%20FINAL.pdf . dead .
  101. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NC_1208925.pdf Public Policy Polling
  102. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NC_1102925.pdf Public Policy Polling
  103. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NC_1006925.pdf Public Policy Polling
  104. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NC_0909513.pdf Public Policy Polling
  105. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NC_0811424.pdf Public Policy Polling
  106. https://web.archive.org/web/20120904092325/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NC_713424.pdf Public Policy Polling
  107. https://web.archive.org/web/20120831231520/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/June2011NCPresidentPoll.pdf Public Policy Polling
  108. https://web.archive.org/web/20120831231238/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NC_0523.pdf Public Policy Polling
  109. https://web.archive.org/web/20120828100751/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NC_0422.pdf Public Policy Polling
  110. https://web.archive.org/web/20120828100427/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NC_03231118.pdf Public Policy Polling
  111. https://web.archive.org/web/20120824000037/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NC_0223925.pdf Public Policy Polling
  112. https://web.archive.org/web/20120818020202/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NC_0125925.pdf Public Policy Polling
  113. https://web.archive.org/web/20110706104229/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NC_1222.pdf Public Policy Polling
  114. https://web.archive.org/web/20120811190723/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NC_1123.pdf Public Policy Polling
  115. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NC_715.pdf Public Policy Polling
  116. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_OH_1109925.pdf Public Policy Polling
  117. https://web.archive.org/web/20111026185455/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1322.xml?ReleaseID=1666 Quinnipiac University
  118. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_OH_1018.pdf Public Policy Polling
  119. https://web.archive.org/web/20110930115820/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1322.xml?ReleaseID=1652 Quinnipiac University
  120. https://web.archive.org/web/20120907050612/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_OH_0816424.pdf Public Policy Polling
  121. https://archive.today/20121210093511/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1284.xml?ReleaseID=1626&What=&strArea=;&strTime=0 Quinnipiac University
  122. https://web.archive.org/web/20120824000845/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_OH_0317925.pdf Public Policy Polling
  123. https://web.archive.org/web/20110706113923/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_OH_1214930.pdf Public Policy Polling
  124. http://www.dailykos.com/polling/2011/12/13/OR-1/92/9SVBa Daily Kos/Service Employees' International Union/Public Policy Polling (D)
  125. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=7d4865d7-5265-4a7a-aa4e-4808b35d89ed KATU-TV Portland/SurveyUSA
  126. https://web.archive.org/web/20121115035245/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_OR_0623513.pdf Public Policy Polling
  127. https://www.scribd.com/doc/75131065/Pa-December-State-Survey-Abridged Morning Call/Muhlenberg College
  128. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_PA_11221023.pdf Public Policy Polling
  129. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=f0a194b5-07c7-495f-b830-c47d40d4c176 Survey USA
  130. https://web.archive.org/web/20121004133902/https://edisk.fandm.edu/FLI/keystone/pdf/keyoct11_1.pdf Franklin & Marshall College
  131. https://web.archive.org/web/20111130144643/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1327.xml?ReleaseID=1653 Quinnipiac University
  132. https://web.archive.org/web/20111211010254/https://edisk.fandm.edu/FLI/keystone/pdf/keyaug11_1.pdf Franklin & Marshall College
  133. https://web.archive.org/web/20111216223424/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1327.xml?ReleaseID=1630 Quinnipiac University
  134. https://web.archive.org/web/20120904092217/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_PA_07081205.pdf Public Policy Polling
  135. https://archive.today/20121211101259/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1284.xml?ReleaseID=1611&What=&strArea=;&strTime=0 Quinnipiac University
  136. https://web.archive.org/web/20120828100451/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_PA_0412513.pdf Public Policy Polling
  137. https://web.archive.org/web/20120818015839/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_PA_0106503.pdf Public Policy Polling
  138. https://web.archive.org/web/20120831140450/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_RI_0228.pdf Public Policy Polling
  139. https://web.archive.org/web/20120211180729/http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/NEWS/A_Politics/NBC_News-Marist_Poll_South_Carolina_December%202011.pdf NBC News/Marist College
  140. https://web.archive.org/web/20120111081655/http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/NEWS/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/SC_Poll%20Results_Questionnaire_111018.pdf NBC News/Marist College
  141. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_SC_0831.pdf Public Policy Polling
  142. https://web.archive.org/web/20120831231502/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_SC_0610.pdf Public Policy Polling
  143. https://web.archive.org/web/20120818020504/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_SC_02021210.pdf Public Policy Polling
  144. https://web.archive.org/web/20121114111902/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_SD_0201513.pdf Public Policy Polling
  145. https://www.vanderbilt.edu/csdi/VU_Poll_113011.pdf Vanderbilt University
  146. Web site: Middle Tennessee State University . 2020-12-29 . 2021-08-10 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210810152704/https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/mtsu-12578 . dead .
  147. https://www.vanderbilt.edu/csdi/JUNE_RESULTS.pdf Vanderbilt University
  148. https://web.archive.org/web/20120823235745/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_TN_0217.pdf Public Policy Polling
  149. http://www.tennessean.com/article/20110207/NEWS02/102070343/Tennesseans-skeptical-President-Obama-Sarah-Palin?odyssey=tab FRONTPAGE Vanderbilt University
  150. http://www.vanderbilt.edu/csdi/VU_Poll_113011.pdf Vanderbilt University
  151. http://www.texastribune.org/texas-politics/2012-presidential-election/cain-edges-perry-new-uttt-poll/ University of Texas/Texas Tribune/YouGov
  152. https://web.archive.org/web/20120916121219/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_TX_629513.pdf Public Policy Polling
  153. https://web.archive.org/web/20110706110629/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_TX_0120513.pdf Public Policy Polling
  154. https://web.archive.org/web/20091116121750/http://www.laits.utexas.edu/txp_media/html/poll/files/200906-summary.pdf University of Texas at Austin
  155. https://web.archive.org/web/20121114112539/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_UT_07141205.pdf Public Policy Polling
  156. https://web.archive.org/web/20100620122058/http://www.sltrib.com/News/ci_15005335 Salt Lake Tribune/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research
  157. http://www.ksl.com/?nid=148&sid=6318494 KSL-TV/Dan Jones & Associates
  158. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_VT_0808.pdf Public Policy Polling
  159. https://web.archive.org/web/20111222105313/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x5822.xml?ReleaseID=1684 Quinnipiac University
  160. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_VA_12141118.pdf Public Policy Polling
  161. https://web.archive.org/web/20111012102447/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x5822.xml?ReleaseID=1658 Quinnipiac University
  162. https://web.archive.org/web/20120312020742/http://static.mgnetwork.com/rtd/pdfs/20111016_poll.pdf Richmond Times-Dispatch/Muhlenberg College/Christopher Newport University
  163. https://web.archive.org/web/20121018060422/http://roanoke.edu/News_and_Events/Campus_News/RC_Poll_Sept_2011.htm Roanoke College
  164. https://web.archive.org/web/20110916031503/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x5822.xml?ReleaseID=1644 Quinnipiac University
  165. https://web.archive.org/web/20120904092659/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_VA_726925.pdf Public Policy Polling
  166. https://web.archive.org/web/20121030013745/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_VA_0510424.pdf Public Policy Polling
  167. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/bin_laden_death_helps_obama_reposition_in_virginia_but_big_challenges_remain/2011/05/06/AFNqFmUG_story.html The Washington Post
  168. Interviews conducted after the news of Osama bin Laden's killing.
  169. https://web.archive.org/web/20120824000355/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_VA_03021118.pdf Public Policy Polling
  170. https://web.archive.org/web/20110706105356/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_VA_1116205.pdf Public Policy Polling
  171. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportUC.aspx?g=ce82d9df-ef4e-4960-84e8-27593cf18ef5 KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA
  172. https://web.archive.org/web/20120128064619/http://www.washingtonpoll.org/results/103111.pdf University of Washington
  173. https://web.archive.org/web/20120312020751/http://www.strategies360.com/images/stories/buzz/crosstabs.pdf Strategies 360
  174. https://web.archive.org/web/20120831231142/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WA_0519.pdf Public Policy Polling
  175. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WV_1007.pdf Public Policy Polling
  176. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WV_0913.pdf Public Policy Polling
  177. https://web.archive.org/web/20121114112602/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WV_0127.pdf Public Policy Polling
  178. http://wpri.org/polls/Oct2011/Toplines.pdf WRPI
  179. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_1028925.pdf Public Policy Polling
  180. https://web.archive.org/web/20120831231220/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0526.pdf Public Policy Polling
  181. https://web.archive.org/web/20120824000619/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0303.pdf Public Policy Polling
  182. https://web.archive.org/web/20110706114055/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_1215930.pdf Public Policy Polling
  183. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/wisconsin/election_2012_wisconsin_president Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research