1987 Portuguese legislative election explained

Election Name:1987 Portuguese legislative election
Country:Portugal
Type:parliamentary
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:1985 Portuguese legislative election
Previous Year:1985
Next Election:1991 Portuguese legislative election
Next Year:1991
Seats For Election:250 seats to the Portuguese Assembly
Majority Seats:126
Registered:7,930,668 1.4%
Turnout:5,676,358 (71.6%)
2.6 pp
Election Date:19 July 1987
Leader1:Aníbal Cavaco Silva
Party1:Social Democratic Party (Portugal)
Leader Since1:2 June 1985
Leaders Seat1:Lisbon
Last Election1:88 seats, 29.9%
Seats1:148
Seat Change1: 60
Popular Vote1:2,850,784
Percentage1:50.2%
Swing1: 20.3 pp
Leader2:Vítor Constâncio
Party2:Socialist Party (Portugal)
Leader Since2:29 June 1986
Leaders Seat2:Lisbon
Last Election2:57 seats, 20.8%
Seats2:60
Seat Change2: 3
Popular Vote2:1,262,506
Percentage2:22.2%
Swing2: 1.4 pp
Leader3:Álvaro Cunhal
Party3:Portuguese Communist Party
Alliance3:Unitary Democratic Coalition
Leader Since3:30 September 1987
Leaders Seat3:Lisbon
Last Election3:38 seats, 15.5%
Seats3:31
Seat Change3: 7
Popular Vote3:689,137
Percentage3:12.1%
Swing3: 3.4 pp
Leader4:Ramalho Eanes
Party4:Democratic Renewal Party (Portugal)
Leader Since4:29 April 1986
Leaders Seat4:Lisbon
Last Election4:45 seats, 17.9%
Seats4:7
Seat Change4: 38
Popular Vote4:278,561
Percentage4:4.9%
Swing4: 13.0 pp
Leader5:Adriano Moreira
Party5:CDS – People's Party
Leader Since5:13 April 1986
Leaders Seat5:Lisbon
Last Election5:22 seats, 10.0%
Seats5:4
Seat Change5: 18
Popular Vote5:251,987
Percentage5:4.4%
Swing5: 5.6 pp
Prime Minister
Posttitle:Prime Minister after election
Before Election:Aníbal Cavaco Silva
Before Party:Social Democratic Party (Portugal)
After Election:Aníbal Cavaco Silva
After Party:Social Democratic Party (Portugal)

The 1987 Portuguese legislative election took place on 19 July. The election renewed all 250 members of the Assembly of the Republic.

In the previous election, in 1985, the Social Democratic Party had won a minority government managing to survive in coalition with the Democratic and Social Center and the Democratic Renewal Party, and after the approval of a no-confidence motion from the left-wing parties, with the aid of the Democratic Renewal Party, the government fell. The PS tried to form a new government with the support of the PRD and CDU, but Mário Soares, the President at the time, rejected the idea and called for a new election.[1]

The PSD was reelected in a landslide, winning a majority government with just over 50 percent of the votes and 148 of the 250 seats, a majority of 46. Not only was this the most seats that a Portuguese party had ever won in a free election, but it was first time since the Carnation Revolution that a single party won an absolute majority. Although the PSD was very popular going into the election, the size of its victory far exceeded the party's most optimistic expectations. The PSD won every district with the exception of Setúbal, Évora and Beja, which voted for the CDU.

The Socialist Party gained a few seats and got a slightly higher share of the vote, 22 percent compared with the almost 21 percent in 1985, but the scale of the PSD victory made the party lose most of its influence. Like in 1979, 1980 and 1985, the PS failed to win a single district. The left-wing Democratic Unity Coalition lost some of its MPs to the Socialist Party and the Democratic Renewal Party, now led by former President António Ramalho Eanes, lost almost all of its influence, mainly due to its responsibility in the fall of the former PSD minority government. The right-wing Democratic and Social Center lost almost half of its vote share, due to the effect of tactical voting for the also right-wing, Social Democratic Party.

European elections were held on the same day.

Background

Fall of the government

In the first months of 1987, a trip of a Portuguese parliamentary delegation to the Soviet Union, which also passed by Estonia, a territory that wasn't recognized by Portugal as under Soviet control, created a diplomatic issue that was used by the Opposition to bring down the Cavaco Silva minority government.[2] Parliament approved, by a 134 to 108 vote, a motion of no confidence and the government fell.[3] President Mário Soares refused an alternative PS-PRD-PCP government and decided to dissolve Parliament and call a snap election.[4]

Leadership changes and challenges

CDS 1986 leadership election

The 1985 general election results were quite disappointing for CDS, and then party leader Francisco Lucas Pires resigned from the leadership.[5] Adriano Moreira, supported by the more conservative wings, and João Morais Leitão, supported by the more "centrist" wings of the party, were the two candidates running for the leadership in the April 1986 congress.[6] Adriano Moreira was elected new party leader by a 82-vote difference.[7] The results are the following:|- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"! align="center" colspan=2 style="width: 60px"|Candidate! align="center" style="width: 50px"|Votes! align="center" style="width: 50px"|%|-|bgcolor=|| align=left | Adriano Moreira| align=right | 533| align=right | 54.2|-|bgcolor=|| align=left | João Morais Leitão| align=right | 451| align=right | 45.8|-|- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"| colspan=2 style="text-align:left;" | Turnout| align=right |984| align=center | |-| colspan="4" align=left|Source: Results|}

PS 1986 leadership election

In the 1985 general election the PS nominated António Almeida Santos, while an internal leadership, head by António Macedo, ruled the party, but the Socialists achieved their worst result ever, just 20.8 percent.[8] The PS candidate for the Presidency of the Republic, Mário Soares, was narrowly elected to that post by a 51 to 49 percent margin against Diogo Freitas do Amaral, the candidate supported by CDS and PSD.[9] After that victory, the party called a party congress, for late June 1986, to elect a new leader. There were two candidates on the ballot, Vítor Constâncio and Jaime Gama.[10] Vítor Constâncio was elected as new party leader.[11] |- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"! align="center" colspan=2 style="width: 60px"|Candidate! align="center" style="width: 50px"|Votes! align="center" style="width: 50px"|%|-|bgcolor=|| align=left | Vítor Constâncio| align=center | WIN| align=right | |-|bgcolor=|| align=left | Jaime Gama| align=right | | align=right | |-|- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"| colspan=2 style="text-align:left;" | Turnout| align=right || align=center | |-| colspan="4" align=left|Source: |}

PRD 1986 leadership election

The Democratic Renewal Party surprised with their excellent results in the 1985 elections, winning almost 18 percent of the votes.[12] António Ramalho Eanes, the main figure and inspiration for PRD, left the post of President of the Republic in March 1986, and, shortly after in late April, was unanimously elected as the new leader of the PRD, succeeding Hermínio Martinho.[13] |- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"! align="center" colspan=2 style="width: 60px"|Candidate! align="center" style="width: 50px"|Votes! align="center" style="width: 50px"|%|-|bgcolor=|| align=left | António Ramalho Eanes| colspan="2" align=right | Voice vote|-|- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"| colspan=2 style="text-align:left;" | Turnout| align=right || align=right | 100.0|-| colspan="4" align=left|Source: |}

Electoral system

The Assembly of the Republic has 250 members elected to four-year terms. Governments do not require absolute majority support of the Assembly to hold office, as even if the number of opposers of government is larger than that of the supporters, the number of opposers still needs to be equal or greater than 126 (absolute majority) for both the Government's Programme to be rejected or for a motion of no confidence to be approved.[14]

The number of seats assigned to each district depends on the district magnitude.[15] The use of the d'Hondt method makes for a higher effective threshold than certain other allocation methods such as the Hare quota or Sainte-Laguë method, which are more generous to small parties.[16]

For these elections, and compared with the 1985 elections, the MPs distributed by districts were the following:[17]

District Number of MPs Map
56
39
17
15
12
11
10
9
6
5
Bragança and Évora4
3
Europe and Outside Europe 2

Parties

The table below lists the parties represented in the Assembly of the Republic during the 4th legislature (1985–1987) and that also partook in the election:

NameIdeologyPolitical positionLeader1985 result
%Seats
PPD/PSDSocial Democratic Party
Centre-rightAníbal Cavaco Silva29.9%
PSSocialist Party
Social democracyCentre-leftVítor Constâncio20.8%
PRDDemocratic Renewal Party
Centrism
Third Way
António Ramalho Eanes17.9%
PCPPortuguese Communist Party
Communism
Marxism–Leninism
Far-leftÁlvaro Cunhal
15.5%
MDP/CDEPortuguese Democratic Movement
Left-wing nationalism
Democratic socialism
Left-wingJosé Manuel Tengarrinha
CDSDemocratic and Social Centre
Christian democracy
Conservatism
Adriano Moreira10.0%

Campaign period

Party slogans

Party or allianceOriginal sloganEnglish translationRefs
PSD« Portugal não pode parar »"Portugal can't stop"[18]
PS« A alternativa »"The alternative"[19]
CDU« CDU, É melhor para Portugal »"CDU, It's better for Portugal"[20]
PRD« Agora Portugal »"Now Portugal"[21]
CDS« Vote prá maioria »"Vote for the majority"[22]

Candidates' debates

No debates between the main parties were held as the PSD leader and Prime Minister, Aníbal Cavaco Silva, refused to take part in any debate.[23]

Opinion polling

See also: Exit poll and Opinion poll. The following table shows the opinion polls of voting intention of the Portuguese voters before the election. Those parties that are listed were represented in parliament (1985-1987). Included is also the result of the Portuguese general elections in 1985 and 1987 for reference.

Date ReleasedPolling FirmPSOthersLead
19 Jul 1987Leg. election50.2
22.2
4.9
12.1
4.4
6.2
28.0
19 Jul 1987RTP148.0–50.021.0–23.05.0–7.012.5–14.53.0–5.027.0
19 Jul 1987Antena145.0–47.024.0–25.021.0–22.0
17 Jul 1987Euroexpansão/Expresso41.0–44.022.0–25.011.0–14.013.0–15.04.0–6.019.0
9 Oct 1986Tempo35.624.89.29.810.8
15 Dec 1985Local elections34.227.64.719.69.84.16.6
6 Oct 1985Leg. election29.9
20.8
17.9
15.5
10.0
5.9
9.1

National summary of votes and seats

|-| colspan=11| |- ! rowspan="2" colspan=2 style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=left|Parties! rowspan="2" style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=right|Votes! rowspan="2" style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=right|%! rowspan="2" style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=right|±! colspan="5" style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align="center"|MPs! rowspan="2" style="background-color:#E9E9E9;text-align:right;" |MPs %/
votes %|- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"! style="background-color:#E9E9E9;text-align=center|1985! style="background-color:#E9E9E9;text-align=center|1987! style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=right|±! style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=right|%! style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=right|±|-| |2,850,784||50.22||20.3||88||148||60||59.20||24.0||1.18|-| |1,262,506||22.24||1.4||57||60||3||24.00||1.2||1.08|-| |689,137||12.14||3.4||38||31||7||12.40||2.8||1.02|-| |278,561||4.91||13.0||45||7||38||2.80||15.2||0.57|-| |251,987||4.44||5.6||22||4||18||1.60||7.2||0.36|-|style="width: 10px" bgcolor= align="center" | |align=left|People's Democratic Union|50,717||0.89||0.4||0||0||0||0.00||0.0||0.0|-| |32,977||0.58||0.0||0||0||0||0.00||0.0||0.0|-| |32,607||0.57||||||0||||0.00||||0.0|-| |31,667||0.56||0.1||0||0||0||0.00||0.0||0.0|-| |23,218||0.41||||||0||||0.00||||0.0|-| |20,800||0.37||0.1||0||0||0||0.00||0.0||0.0|-| |18,544||0.33||0.1||0||0||0||0.00||0.0||0.0|-| |9,185||0.16||0.6||0||0||0||0.00||0.0||0.0|-|colspan=2 align=left style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|Total valid |width="65" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|5,552,690|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|97.82|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|0.3|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|250|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|250|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|0|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|100.00|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|0.0|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"||-|colspan=2|Blank ballots|50,135||0.88||0.1||colspan=6 rowspan=4||-|colspan=2|Invalid ballots|73,533||1.30||0.4|-|colspan=2 align=left style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|Total|width="65" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|5,676,358|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|100.00|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"||-|colspan=2|Registered voters/turnout||7,930,668||71.57||2.6|-| colspan=11 align=left | Source: Comissão Nacional de Eleições|}

Distribution by constituency

|- class="unsortable"!rowspan=2|Constituency!!%!!S!!%!!S!!%!!S!!%!!S!!%!!S!rowspan=2|Total
S|- class="unsortable" style="text-align:center;"!colspan=2 | PSD!colspan=2 | PS!colspan=2 | CDU!colspan=2 | PRD!colspan=2 | CDS|-| style="text-align:left;" | Azores| style="background:; color:white;"|66.7| 4| 20.0| 1| 2.3| -| 3.0| -| 3.3| -| 5|-| style="text-align:left;" | Aveiro| style="background:; color:white;"|60.4| 11| 22.9| 4| 4.4| -| 2.7| -| 5.3| -| 15|-| style="text-align:left;" | Beja| 24.5| 1| 20.3| 1| style="background:red; color:white;"|38.7| 3| 5.7| -| 2.0| -| 5|-| style="text-align:left;" | Braga| style="background:; color:white;"|53.4| 10| 25.9| 5| 6.1| 1| 3.3| -| 5.9| 1| 17|-| style="text-align:left;" | Bragança| style="background:; color:white;"|60.8| 3| 19.2| 1| 3.2| -| 1.3| -| 7.6| -| 4|-| style="text-align:left;" | Castelo Branco| style="background:; color:white;"|52.1| 4| 22.4| 2| 7.1| -| 6.0| -| 4.7| -| 6|-| style="text-align:left;" | Coimbra| style="background:; color:white;"|50.0| 6| 28.7| 4| 7.2| 1| 3.5| -| 4.5| -| 11|-| style="text-align:left;" | Évora| 32.1| 2| 15.4| -| style="background:red; color:white;"|36.2| 2| 7.7| -| 2.1| -| 4|-| style="text-align:left;" | Faro| style="background:; color:white;"|46.7| 5| 24.9| 3| 10.9| 1| 6.3| -| 3.1| -| 9|-| style="text-align:left;" | Guarda| style="background:; color:white;"|60.0| 4| 21.8| 1| 3.3| -| 2.0| -| 6.6| -| 5|-| style="text-align:left;" | Leiria| style="background:; color:white;"|60.8| 9| 18.7| 2| 5.9| -| 3.0| -| 6.0| -| 11|-| style="text-align:left;" | Lisbon| style="background:; color:white;"|45.8| 28| 21.2| 12| 16.5| 10| 6.9| 4| 3.7| 2| 56|-| style="text-align:left;" | Madeira| style="background:; color:white;"|65.5| 4| 16.2| 1| 1.9| -| 3.3| -| 5.2| -| 5|-| style="text-align:left;" | Portalegre| style="background:; color:white;"|37.4| 1| 25.1| 1| 20.9| 1| 6.3| -| 3.1| -| 3|-| style="text-align:left;" | Porto| style="background:; color:white;"|50.9| 22| 26.7| 11| 9.4| 4| 4.0| 1| 4.0| 1| 39|-| style="text-align:left;" | Santarém| style="background:; color:white;"|47.9| 7| 21.7| 3| 12.6| 1| 7.3| 1| 3.6| -| 12|-| style="text-align:left;" | Setúbal| 32.6| 6| 17.6| 3| style="background:red; color:white;"|32.7| 7| 8.7| 1| 1.9| -| 17|-| style="text-align:left;" | Viana do Castelo| style="background:; color:white;"|54.5| 5| 20.3| 1| 6.3| -| 4.8| -| 7.7| -| 6|-| style="text-align:left;" | Vila Real| style="background:; color:white;"|62.5| 5| 20.3| 1| 4.1| -| 1.4| -| 5.0| -| 6|-| style="text-align:left;" | Viseu| style="background:; color:white;"|64.1| 8| 17.9| 2| 2.9| -| 1.7| -| 7.0| -| 10|-| style="text-align:left;" | Europe| style="background:; color:white;"|37.0| 1| 28.4| 1| 15.9| -| 4.9| -| 6.6| -| 2|-| style="text-align:left;" | Outside Europe | style="background:; color:white;"|63.2| 2| 7.3| -| 1.4| -| 1.7| -| 19.9| -| 2|-|- class="unsortable" style="background:#E9E9E9"| style="text-align:left;" | Total| style="background:; color:white;"|50.2| 148| 22.2| 60| 12.1| 31| 4.9| 7| 4.4| 4| 250|-| colspan=12 style="text-align:left;" | Source: Comissão Nacional de Eleições|}

Maps

Further reading

External links

See also

Notes and References

  1. https://ionline.sapo.pt/artigo/624225/1987-da-mocao-de-censura-a-primeira-maioria-de-cavaco-?seccao=Portugal "1987. Da moção de censura à primeira maioria de Cavaco"
  2. Web site: 1987. Da moção de censura à primeira maioria de Cavaco. Jornal i. 30 August 2018. 23 October 2022. pt.
  3. Web site: A única moção de censura e as duas moções de rejeição que derrubaram governos. Jornal Económico. 20 February 2019. 23 October 2022. pt.
  4. Web site: Crise. Soares dissolveu em 1987. Cavaco não o pode fazer em 2015. Jornal i. 16 October 2015. 23 October 2022. pt.
  5. https://www.cds.pt/historia.html "Histórica CDS-PP"
  6. http://analisesocial.ics.ul.pt/documentos/1223396163T3dDP4zc0Vt79YR2.pdf "Do CDS ao CDS-PP: o Partido do Centro Democrático Social e o seu papel na política portuguesa"
  7. https://www.tsf.pt/vida/adriano-moreira-completa-hoje-90-anos-2754802.html "Adriano Moreira completa hoje 90 anos"
  8. https://www.dn.pt/politica/quando-o-candidato-do-ps-nao-foi-o-lider-3950902.html "Quando o candidato do PS não foi o líder"
  9. https://www.tsf.pt/politica/1986-o-ano-de-soares-e-fixe-5577128.html "1986, o ano de "Soares é fixe""
  10. https://as.ps.pt/pdf/1998/accao997-sup.pdf "20 Anos Acção Socialista 1978-1998"
  11. http://www1.ci.uc.pt/cd25a/wikka.php?wakka=constanc "Vítor Constâncio (n.1943)"
  12. https://www.rtp.pt/noticias/politica/prd-e-a-surpresa-das-legislativas-de-1985_v853563 "PRD é a surpresa das legislativas de 1985 "
  13. https://www.dn.pt/edicao-do-dia/29-abr-2019/aconteceu-em-1986---eanes-assume-lideranca-do-prd-10842934.html "Exclusivo 1986. Eanes assume liderança do PRD"
  14. Web site: Constitution of the Portuguese Republic. 2019-12-29. https://web.archive.org/web/20160303222446/http://www.en.parlamento.pt/Legislation/CRP/Constitution7th.pdf. 2016-03-03. dead.
  15. Web site: Effective threshold in electoral systems . Trinity College, Dublin . 2015-10-21.
  16. Gallaher, Michael (1992). "Comparing Proportional Representation Electoral Systems: Quotas, Thresholds, Paradoxes and Majorities"
  17. Web site: Eleição da Assembleia da República de 19 de Julho de 1987. CNE - Comissão Nacional de Eleições - Eleição da Assembleia da República de 19 de Julho de 1987. 3 December 2020.
  18. News: ELEIÇÕES LEGISLATIVAS DE 1987 – PSD. pt. EPHEMERA . 11 May 2020.
  19. News: Evolução da Comunicação Política e Eleitoral em Portugal. pt. 11 May 2020.
  20. News: ELEIÇÕES LEGISLATIVAS DE 1987 – CDU – AUTOCOLANTES. pt . EPHEMERA . 11 May 2020.
  21. News: Campanha eleitoral do PRD. pt . RTP . 11 May 2020.
  22. News: ELEIÇÕES LEGISLATIVAS DE 1987 – CDS. pt . EPHEMERA . 11 May 2020.
  23. News: 4 September 2009 . O que mudam os debates na TV. pt . Correio da Manhã . 11 May 2020.