2010 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election explained

Election Name:2010 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election
Country:Pennsylvania
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2006 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2006
Next Election:2014 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election
Next Year:2014
Election Date:November 2, 2010
Image1:File:Portrait of PA Governor Tom Corbett (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Tom Corbett
Running Mate1:Jim Cawley
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:2,172,763
Percentage1:54.49%
Nominee2:Dan Onorato
Running Mate2:H. Scott Conklin
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:1,814,788
Percentage2:45.51%
Map Size:250px
Governor
Before Election:Ed Rendell
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Tom Corbett
After Party:Republican Party (United States)
Turnout:41.7%

The 2010 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in Pennsylvania and other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic governor Ed Rendell was term-limited and thus ineligible to seek re-election in 2010. In the primary, Democrats nominated Allegheny County Chief Executive Dan Onorato, who defeated Pennsylvania Auditor General Jack Wagner, State Senator Anthony H. Williams and Montgomery County Commissioner Joe Hoeffel. Republicans nominated Pennsylvania Attorney General Tom Corbett, who defeated State Representative Sam Rohrer in the primary. In primary elections for lieutenant governor, which were held separately, H. Scott Conklin defeated Jonathan Saidel and Doris Smith-Ribner in the Democratic primary. Jim Cawley emerged from a nine-candidate field in the Republican primary.

Corbett defeated Onorato in the November general election. As lieutenant gubernatorial nominees run on a joint ticket with the gubernatorial nominee of their respective parties in the general election in Pennsylvania, Cawley was elected lieutenant governor over Conklin. As of 2024, this is the last time a Republican was elected Governor of Pennsylvania and the only time in the 21st century. This is also the last time Republicans won the following counties in a gubernatorial election: Allegheny, Erie, Beaver, Centre, Dauphin, Luzerne, Monroe, Northampton, Lehigh, Berks, Bucks, and Chester. This is the last Pennsylvania gubernatorial election in which the winner won a majority of counties.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Dropped Out

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredDan
Onorato
Jack
Wagner
Joe
Hoeffel
Anthony
Williams
Chris
Doherty
Tom
Knox
Undecided
Muhlenberg/Morning Call[1] May 7, 2010 align=center35%8%11%10% align=center36%
Rasmussen Reports[2] May 6, 2010 align=center34%17%9%17%17%
Quinnipiac[3] April 28 – May 5, 2010 align=center36%8%9%8% align=center37%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call[4] May 2, 2010 align=center41%5%6%8%40%
Quinnipiac[5] March 31 – April 5, 2010 align=center20%13%15%5% align=center47%
Research 2000[6] March 8–10, 2010 align=center19%10%12%3% align=center56%
Franklin and Marshall[7] February 23, 20106%6%6%1%4% align=center72%
Rasmussen Reports[8] October 13, 2009 align=center19%14%11%6%4% align=center37%
Quinnipiac[9] September 30, 2009 align=center14%7%12%5%4% align=center46%

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Dropped Out

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredJim
Gerlach
Tom
Corbett
Sam
Rohrer
Undecided
QuinnipiacMarch 31 – April 5, 2010 align=center58%7%35%
Franklin and MarshallFebruary 23, 2010 align=center26%4% align=center65%
Rasmussen Reports[11] October 13, 200910% align=center54%30%
QuinnipiacSeptember 30, 200913% align=center42% align=center43%

Results

General election

Candidates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[12] October 14, 2010
Rothenberg Political Report[13] October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[14] November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[16] October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredTom
Corbett (R)
Dan
Onorato (D)
Quinnipiac[17] October 25–30, 2010 align=center52%42%
Rasmussen Reports[18] October 28, 2010 align=center52%43%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call[19] October 28, 2010 align=center52%37%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 21, 2010 align=center50%45%
Public Policy Polling[20] October 17–18, 2010 align=center48%46%
Quinnipiac[21] October 13–17, 2010 align=center49%44%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 15, 2010 align=center54%40%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 2, 2010 align=center53%41%
Franklin & Marshall College in Lancaster[22] September 29, 2010 align=center36%32%
Suffolk University[23] September 24–27, 2010 align=center47%40%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call[24] September 18–23, 2010 align=center46%37%
CNN/Time[25] September 17–21, 2010 align=center52%44%
Quinnipiac[26] September 15–19, 2010 align=center54%39%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 13, 2010 align=center49%39%
Rasmussen Reports[27] August 30, 2010 align=center50%37%
Rasmussen Reports[28] August 16, 2010 align=center48%38%
Public Policy Polling[29] August 14–16, 2010 align=center48%35%
Rasmussen Reports[30] July 28, 2010 align=center50%39%
Rasmussen Reports[31] July 14, 2010 align=center48%38%
Quinnipiac[32] July 6–11, 2010 align=center44%37%
Rasmussen Reports[33] June 29, 2010 align=center49%39%
Public Policy Polling[34] June 19–21, 2010 align=center45%35%
Rasmussen Reports[35] June 2, 2010 align=center49%33%
Rasmussen Reports[36] May 19, 2010 align=center49%36%
Quinnipiac[37] May 4–10, 2010 align=center43%37%
Rasmussen Reports[38] April 15, 2010 align=center45%36%
Quinnipiac[39] March 30 – April 5, 2010 align=center45%33%
Public Policy Polling[40] March 29 – April 1, 2010 align=center45%32%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 16, 2010 align=center46%29%
Research 2000March 8–10, 2010 align=center40%34%
Rasmussen Reports[41] February 10, 2010 align=center52%26%
Rasmussen ReportsDecember 10, 2009 align=center44%28%
QuinnipiacSeptember 30, 2009 align=center47%28%

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

External links

Official campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. https://web.archive.org/web/20120306032645/http://www.muhlenberg.edu/pdf/main/academics/polisci/Release5-7.pdf Muhlenberg/Morning Call
  2. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/pennsylvania/election_2010_pennsylvania_democratic_primary_for_governor Rasmussen Reports
  3. https://archive.today/20100505202355/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1327.xml?ReleaseID=1452 Quinnipiac
  4. https://web.archive.org/web/20121024191547/http://www.muhlenberg.edu/pdf/main/academics/polisci/PADemocraticPrimary.pdf Muhlenberg/Morning Call
  5. https://archive.today/20100410010248/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1327.xml?ReleaseID=1441 Quinnipiac
  6. http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2010/3/10/PA/457 Research 2000
  7. https://web.archive.org/web/20110504060657/https://edisk.fandm.edu/FLI/keystone/pdf/keyfeb10_1.pdf Franklin and Marshall
  8. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/pennsylvania/2010_governor_election/election_2010_pennsylvania_democratic_primary_for_governor/ Rasmussen Reports
  9. https://web.archive.org/web/20110605052109/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1327.xml?ReleaseID=1378%2F Quinnipiac
  10. Web site: Meehan quits governor's race.
  11. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_state_toplines/pennsylvania/toplines_2010_gop_governor_primary_october_13_2009/ Rasmussen Reports
  12. Web site: 2010 Governors Race Ratings . https://web.archive.org/web/20101028141343/http://cookpolitical.com/charts/governors/raceratings_2010-10-14_12-35-09.php . dead . October 28, 2010 . . October 28, 2010.
  13. Web site: Governor Ratings . . October 28, 2010.
  14. Web site: 2010 Governor Races . . October 28, 2010.
  15. Web site: THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS . October 28, 2010 . . October 28, 2010.
  16. Web site: Race Ratings Chart: Governor . . October 28, 2010 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20101005231611/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-governor . October 5, 2010 .
  17. https://web.archive.org/web/20101104015119/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1327.xml?ReleaseID=1529 Quinnipiac
  18. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/pennsylvania/election_2010_pennsylvania_governor Rasmussen Reports
  19. http://www.muhlenberg.edu/pdf/main/academics/polisci/2010TrackingRelease9_October28.doc.pdf Muhlenberg/Morning Call
  20. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_PA_1020.pdf Public Policy Polling
  21. https://web.archive.org/web/20101023051154/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1327.xml?ReleaseID=1523 Quinnipiac
  22. http://webarchive.loc.gov/all/20110504060326/http://edisk.fandm.edu/FLI/keystone/pdf/keysep10_1.pdf Franklin & Marshall College in Lancaster
  23. http://www.suffolk.edu/43904.html Suffolk University
  24. http://www.mcall.com/news/local/elections/mc-poll-results-0926,0,4689018.acrobat Muhlenberg/Morning Call
  25. http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/09/22/topstate3.pdf CNN/Time
  26. https://web.archive.org/web/20100924113701/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1327.xml?ReleaseID=1502 Quinnipiac
  27. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/pennsylvania/toplines/toplines_pennsylvania_governor_i_august_30_2010 Rasmussen Reports
  28. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/pennsylvania/toplines/toplines_pennsylvania_governor_august_16_2010/ Rasmussen Reports
  29. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_PA_818.pdf Public Policy Polling
  30. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/pennsylvania/election_2010_pennsylvania_governor/ Rasmussen Reports
  31. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/pennsylvania/toplines/toplines_pennsylvania_governor_july_14_2010/ Rasmussen Reports
  32. https://web.archive.org/web/20100715055140/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1327.xml?ReleaseID=1474 Quinnipiac
  33. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/pennsylvania/toplines/toplines_pennsylvania_governor_june_29_2010/ Rasmussen Reports
  34. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_PA_623.pdf Public Policy Polling
  35. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/pennsylvania/toplines/toplines_pennsylvania_governor_june_2_2010/ Rasmussen Reports
  36. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/pennsylvania/toplines/toplines_pennsylvania_governor_may_19_2010/ Rasmussen Reports
  37. http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1284.xml?ReleaseID=1454&What=&strArea=;&strTime=0 Quinnipiac
  38. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/pennsylvania/election_2010_pennsylvania_governor Rasmussen Reports
  39. https://web.archive.org/web/20100411001218/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1327.xml?ReleaseID=1442 Quinnipiac
  40. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_PA_407.pdf Public Policy Polling
  41. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_state_toplines/pennsylvania/toplines_2010_pennsylvania_governor_election_february_10_2010/ Rasmussen Reports