Opinion polling for the next Ukrainian presidential election explained

In the run up to the next Ukrainian presidential election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Ukraine. The results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these polls is from the 2019 Ukrainian presidential election to the present day.

First round

During the 2019 Ukrainian presidential election, candidate (and later winner of the election) Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated that he was running for only one term. In May 2021, Zelenskyy stated that it was too early to say whether he would run for a second term, but this decision would depend on the attitude to him in society and would be influenced by his family.[1]

Since November 2023

Dates
conducted
Polling firmMargin
of error
Sample
size
Zelenskyy
Razumkov
Poroshenko
Tymoshenko
Boyko
Prytula
Klitschko
Groysman
Zaluzhnyi
Arestovych
OthersLead
data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:#00264A;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
SOCIS± 2.1 pp3,00023.75.66.42.81.14.10.941.41.53.217.7
Rating± 2.2 pp2,00047.41.94.61.64.91.21.230.70.95.616.7

October 2021 – March 2022

Dates
conducted
Polling firmMargin
of error
Sample
size
Zelenskyy
Razumkov
Poroshenko
Tymoshenko
Boyko
Medvedchuk
Hrytsenko
Smeshko
Liashko
Koshulynskyi
Tyahnybok
Prytula
Rudik
Klitschko
Groysman
Yatsenyuk
Murayev
Sadovyi
OthersLead
data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:#00264A;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
Info Sapiens± 3.1 pp1,00081.31.25.92.21.62.10.12.00.10.41.01.10.975.4
11 parties, including OPZZh, OB, Nashi and PSh, were suspended by the National Security and Defense Council for the period of martial law due to their ties to Russia.[2] [3]
Russia invades Ukraine
Info Sapiens± 2.2 pp2,07629.25.217.39.77.58.63.11.86.21.44.16.00.011.9
Rating± 1.4 pp4,80024.66.918.09.58.37.52.91.92.05.32.25.95.26.6
SOCIS± 2.4 pp2,00023.78.221.99.38.52.37.41.71.70.46.47.70.61.8
Rating± 2.2 pp2,00024.66.216.89.98.36.63.12.02.35.71.86.92.13.67.8
KIIS± 2.4 pp2,00025.17.221.811.88.36.13.92.00.74.86.52.03.3
Razumkov Centre± 2.9 pp1,20626.08.224.210.37.01.65.42.00.93.17.04.31.8
KIIS± 3.2 pp1,20523.55.020.911.89.32.69.63.41.14.36.81.72.6
± 2.3 pp2,01824.29.316.19.99.21.66.41.72.22.71.45.06.34.18.1
Rating± 2.0 pp2,50024.26.813.79.69.26.73.12.22.06.22.96.92.34.110.5
KIIS± 3.3 pp2,02527.65.916.09.09.41.96.64.10.53.00.35.21.41.14.93.111.6
SOCIS± 2.4 pp2,00024.37.117.912.511.52.07.41.21.30.16.26.32.06.4
KIIS± 2.4 pp2,00027.16.319.711.36.67.74.81.80.55.16.52.67.4
SMC± 1.0 pp10,00023.67.515.59.411.96.92.41.31.23.80.77.03.18.1
Rating± 2.0 pp2,50023.57.513.49.99.36.73.21.52.75.53.16.52.44.810.1
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01825.27.517.59.410.92.65.23.12.21.90.84.94.84.07.7
Rating± 2.0 pp2,50023.18.313.310.79.26.93.31.42.26.12.37.02.83.29.8
Rating± 1.5 pp5,00021.88.814.510.811.06.24.02.41.75.76.42.64.27.3
SOCIS± 2.4 pp2,00027.86.718.811.712.31.95.41.91.50.04.66.01.89.0

April 2021 – October 2021

Dates
conducted
Polling firmMargin
of error
Sample
size
Zelenskyy
Razumkov
Poroshenko
Tymoshenko
Boyko
Medvedchuk
Hrytsenko
Smeshko
Liashko
Vilkul
Koshulynskyi
Tyahnybok
Rudik
Klitschko
Groysman
Yatsenyuk
Murayev
Sadovyi
OthersLead
data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
Razumkov Centre± 2.9 pp1,20028.08.219.07.59.32.54.83.02.10.46.14.64.59.0
Rating± 2.0 pp2,50025.17.314.110.19.54.37.13.92.05.16.01.54.211.0
KIIS± 2.7 pp1,20024.77.115.612.29.42.97.85.11.30.85.36.21.59.1
KIIS± 2.4 pp2,00233.316.810.39.58.74.60.80.05.76.43.916.5
Rating± 2.0 pp2,50031.13.713.39.210.96.14.11.40.25.73.15.75.517.8
Rating± 1.0 pp2,00027.23.014.99.710.56.63.82.11.65.15.62.77.212.3
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01928.82.315.910.914.61.75.92.80.92.60.92.710.212.9
SOCIS?2,00025.83.718.98.98.94.18.91.61.31.65.55.26.36.9
Rating± 2.0 pp2,50027.74.113.411.410.17.82.62.70.46.12.66.05.114.3
Rating± 2.0 pp2,50029.113.411.312.58.73.42.40.24.62.65.56.315.7
SOCIS± 2.4 pp2,00028.84.118.48.57.93.410.31.91.20.71.94.23.94.810.4
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01832.42.217.29.813.02.97.01.81.02.21.43.75.415.2
KIIS± 2.4 pp2,00330.617.412.710.68.14.01.50.55.85.53.213.2
SOCIS± 2.4 pp2,00028.12.416.712.29.24.09.62.01.50.31.14.44.04.311.4
KIIS± 2.4 pp2,00027.33.114.611.99.24.39.53.81.70.81.84.65.71.812.7
± 2.3 pp2,02031.01.818.611.712.73.35.72.11.12.21.12.85.912.4
Rating± 2.0 pp2,50030.212.811.111.97.63.01.60.12.44.81.95.13.44.117.4
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,02128.32.418.110.514.52.26.22.61.11.91.13.37.810.2
KIIS± 2.4 pp2,00331.418.111.99.610.44.01.20.15.35.03.113.3
SOCIS± 2.4 pp2,00026.72.519.610.19.72.27.52.70.90.41.34.53.09.07.1
Rating± 2.0 pp2,50024.94.813.112.111.96.84.91.80.45.12.24.62.64.811.8

September 2020 – March 2021

Dates
conducted
Polling firmMargin
of error
Sample
size
Zelenskyy
Razumkov
Poroshenko
Tymoshenko
Boyko
Medvedchuk
Hrytsenko
Smeshko
Liashko
Vilkul
Koshulynskyi
Tyahnybok
Prytula
Rudik
Biletsky
Klitschko
Groysman
Shariy
Palytsia
Yatsenyuk
Murayev
OthersLead
data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
Rating± 2.0 pp2,50024.73.813.911.812.63.37.73.71.60.55.22.83.74.810.8
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01827.42.019.710.117.11.76.32.40.92.80.93.35.37.7
Rating± 2.0 pp2,50022.54.214.611.311.68.04.41.50.31.76.62.94.65.77.9
KIIS± 2.9 pp1,20725.34.014.011.914.73.88.44.11.90.10.63.05.40.22.610.6
24.04.314.012.616.78.64.92.20.40.73.04.90.23.47.3
SMC± 1.5 pp3,01724.63.015.111.116.32.95.23.21.40.41.64.41.25.38.3
24.73.215.511.018.13.05.82.81.50.71.94.71.62.76.6
Rating± 2.0 pp2,50023.15.314.410.911.37.24.12.40.52.45.72.94.94.88.7
KIIS & SOCIS± 1.8 pp3,00025.63.519.411.711.13.58.23.80.90.31.35.52.62.86.2
KIIS± 2.4 pp2,00522.73.318.314.511.45.14.18.21.71.94.54.44.4
Info Sapiens± 3.1 pp1,00328.820.412.018.22.74.04.20.52.00.53.53.58.4
Rating± 2.2 pp2,00021.23.216.412.317.17.54.02.13.11.14.37.74.1
Info Sapiens± 2.2 pp2,01222.22.915.513.316.37.34.83.53.45.35.55.9
± 2.3 pp2,01923.12.117.811.219.93.44.92.81.51.61.23.17.43.2
KIIS± 0.95 pp1,20522.14.013.711.213.57.94.81.52.64.50.45.51.25.58.4
22.113.110.617.58.84.71.82.94.80.41.85.61.24.74.6
SMC± 1.5 pp3,01425.615.211.515.53.36.43.62.21.12.03.60.95.410.1
24.815.611.118.43.26.23.92.21.01.93.40.84.26.4
KIIS± 0.95 pp1,00519.815.711.811.07.58.90.92.12.50.30.95.84.23.45.34.1
Rating± 2.0 pp2,50026.213.310.516.66.44.72.64.12.36.17.39.6
KIIS± 0.95 pp1,20027.03.413.77.514.78.76.31.21.74.11.22.25.50.82.212.3
27.714.27.320.86.56.21.20.83.80.81.66.01.31.96.9
Rating± 2.2 pp2,00026.54.114.39.810.17.76.03.62.22.92.26.44.212.2
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01828.02.519.37.717.23.05.81.60.91.91.54.16.48.7
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,02031.221.18.316.95.62.11.12.810.810.1
SOCIS?2,00033.718.48.214.96.84.41.12.110.315.3
KIIS± 2.6 pp1,50233.317.311.110.58.89.54.60.44.416.0
SOCIS± 2.2 pp2,00030.118.97.414.08.52.80.93.913.411.2
KIIS± 2.2 pp2,00031.818.99.813.34.96.86.02.30.06.112.9
Rating± 2.2 pp2,00029.02.714.09.315.56.43.61.93.60.73.67.313.5

February 2020 – July 2020

Dates
conducted
Polling firmMargin
of error
Sample
size
Zelenskyy
Razumkov
Poroshenko
Tymoshenko
Boyko
Medvedchuk
Hrytsenko
Smeshko
Liashko
Vilkul
Koshulynskyi
Tyahnybok
Vakarchuk
Prytula
Biletsky
Klitschko
Groysman
Shariy
OthersLead
data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
SOCIS?4,00033.417.88.815.77.02.91.02.910.515.6
Rating± 2.2 pp2,00030.22.113.79.114.43.05.83.92.21.60.83.18.315.8
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,02236.815.37.817.23.44.51.91.31.610.219.6
SOCIS?2,00036.620.96.916.06.92.80.98.915.7
Rating± 2.2 pp2,00034.611.47.211.23.03.06.73.41.23.22.82.58.623.2
± 2.3 pp2,01734.616.17.720.03.14.21.21.61.99.714.6
KIIS± 0.95 pp4,00037.616.28.713.24.46.84.42.03.03.621.4
SOCIS± 2.1 pp2,00041.115.27.414.56.02.32.00.810.725.9
Rating± 1.8 pp3,00039.313.38.613.93.65.92.41.72.10.48.725.4
KIIS± 0.95 pp1,50740.915.78.78.96.49.24.01.54.825.2
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,05641.512.85.410.83.56.02.314.128.7
KIIS± 1.7 pp4,02442.614.99.712.24.36.43.50.81.83.727.7
SOCIS± 2.1 pp2,00051.315.06.511.25.52.91.00.46.736.3
KIIS± 3.3 pp2,03844.211.66.913.13.34.94.01.92.56.531.1
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01840.113.510.215.33.34.23.31.22.16.724.8
SOCIS± 2.1 pp2,00048.712.29.511.84.93.02.41.16.836.5
2019 election30.2415.9513.4011.676.916.045.484.151.624.5414.29

Second round

Zelenskyy v Poroshenko

Dates
conducted
Polling firmMargin
of error
Sample
size
Zelenskyy
Poroshenko
Lead
data-sort-type="number" style="background:;" data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
SOCIS± 2.4 pp2,00051492
DIF & Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01849.950.10.2
KIIS± 3.3 pp2,02555.744.311.4
SMC± 1.0 pp10,00057.442.614.8
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01854468
Rating± 2.0 pp2,500594118
Razumkov Centre± 2.9 pp1,20055.644.411.2
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01960.739.321.4
Rating± 2.0 pp2,500653530
SOCIS± 2.4 pp2,000604020
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01860.439.620.8
DIF & Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,020604020
Rating± 2.0 pp2,500683236
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,02160.539.521.0
SOCIS± 2.4 pp2,00056.343.712.6
Rating± 2.0 pp2,500643628
Rating & IRI± 2.0 pp2,400722448
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01857.242.814.4
KIIS & SOCIS± 1.8 pp3,00056.443.612.8
Rating± 2.2 pp2,000564412
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01954468
KIIS± 0.95 pp1,00555.244.810.4
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,018574314
SOCIS?2,000584216
SOCIS?4,00068.431.636.8
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,02271.528.543.0
SOCIS?2,00065.434.630.8
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01769.830.239.6
SOCIS± 2.1 pp2,00051.118.332.8
Rating± 1.8 pp3,000752550
SOCIS± 2.1 pp2,00047.915.832.1
2019 election73.224.548.7

Zelenskyy v Tymoshenko

Dates
conducted
Polling firmMargin
of error
Sample
size
Zelenskyy
Tymoshenko
Lead
data-sort-type="number" style="background:;" data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
DIF & Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01853.546.57.0
KIIS± 3.3 pp2,02551.648.43.2
SMC± 1.0 pp10,00055.144.910.2
Rating± 2.0 pp2,500594118
Rating± 2.0 pp2,500613922
Rating± 2.0 pp2,500623824
Rating± 2.0 pp2,500574314
Rating± 2.2 pp2,000554510
Rating± 1.8 pp3,000742648

Zelenskyy v Boyko

Dates
conducted
Polling firmMargin
of error
Sample
size
Zelenskyy
Boyko
Lead
data-sort-type="number" style="background:;" data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
DIF & Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01863.136.926.2
KIIS± 3.3 pp2,02560.239.820.4
SMC± 1.0 pp10,00057.142.914.2
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01866.333.732.6
Rating± 2.0 pp2,500623824
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,019683236
Rating± 2.0 pp2,500663432
SOCIS± 2.4 pp2,000762452
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01875.724.351.4
DIF & Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,020742648
Rating± 2.0 pp2,500693138
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,02170.929.141.8
SOCIS± 2.4 pp2,00072.927.145.8
Rating± 2.0 pp2,500673334
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01866.433.632.8
KIIS & SOCIS± 1.8 pp3,00061.338.722.6
Rating± 2.2 pp2,000604020
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,019584216
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,018623824
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,02268.231.836.4
Rating± 1.8 pp3,000752550

Zelenskyy v Razumkov

Dates
conducted
Polling firmMargin
of error
Sample
size
Zelenskyy
Razumkov
Lead
data-sort-type="number" style="background:;" data-sort-type="number" style="background:#989898;"
DIF & Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01843.656.412.8
KIIS± 3.3 pp2,02553.246.86.4
SMC± 1.0 pp10,00047.452.65.2
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01849.650.40.8

Zelenskyy v Zaluzhnyi

Dates
conducted
Polling firmMargin
of error
Sample
size
Zelenskyy
Zaluzhnyi
Lead
data-sort-type="number" style="background:;" data-sort-type="number" style="background:#989898;"
SOCIS± 2.1 pp3,00032.567.535.0
Rating± 2.2 pp2,00042402

Poroshenko v Tymoshenko

Dates
conducted
Polling firmMargin
of error
Sample
size
Poroshenko
Tymoshenko
Lead
data-sort-type="number" style="background:;" data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
KIIS± 3.3 pp2,02545.254.89.6
Rating± 2.0 pp2,500415918

Poroshenko v Boyko

Dates
conducted
Polling firmMargin
of error
Sample
size
Poroshenko
Boyko
Lead
data-sort-type="number" style="background:;" data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
SOCIS± 2.4 pp2,000604020
SOCIS± 2.4 pp2,00064.435.628.8
Rating± 2.0 pp2,50049512
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,018584216
KIIS & SOCIS± 1.8 pp3,00052.747.35.4
Rating± 2.2 pp2,00049512
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01954.245.88.4
KIIS± 0.95 pp1,00547536
Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01854.345.78.6

Poroshenko v Razumkov

See also

Notes and References

  1. Zelensky answered whether he would go for a second term, Ukrayinska Pravda (20 May 2021)
  2. Web site: Зеленский: РНБО призупиняє діяльність ОПЗЖ, Партії Шарія та інших . 2022-03-20 . Українська правда . uk.
  3. Web site: As it happened: Ukraine war latest: Resilience making Russia assess reality, negotiator says .