Opinion polling for the next Scottish Parliament election explained

In the run-up to the next Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polls to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. The pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abided by its disclosure rules.

The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held on 6 May 2021, to the next election, which can be held no later than 7 May 2026.

Constituency vote

Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size	SNP	Con	Lab	Lib Dems	Green	Reform	Others	Lead
				data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"				data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
	Survation	Progress Scotland	3,016	32%	14%	27%	9%	6%	10%	–	5
	Norstat	The Times	1,013	33%	15%	23%	10%	6%	11%	–	10
	Alex Salmond, former First Minister and leader of the Alba Party, dies
	Russell Findlay is elected leader of the Scottish Conservatives
	Survation	Progress Scotland	2,059	31%	13%	31%	8%	6%	9%		Tie
	Opinium	The Times	1,028	32%	12%	25%	8%	7%	12%	3%	7
	Survation	Scotland in Union	1,021	31%	12%	30%	9%	6%	9%		1
	Norstat	Sunday Times	1,011	33%	12%	30%	8%	5%	9%	2%	3
	2024 United Kingdom general election
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,200	33%	14%	34%	8%	3%	6%		1
	Savanta	The Scotsman	1,042	37%	14%	35%	8%	–	–	5%	2
	Survation	Ballot Box Scotland	1,022	33%	14%	37%	8%	4%	–		4
	Savanta	The Scotsman	1,069	36%	16%	35%	7%	–	–	6%	1
	Norstat	Sunday Times	1,050	34%	16%	32%	8%	6%	–	5%	2
	YouGov	N/A	1,068	34%	13%	35%	10%	5%	–	4%	1
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,000	33%	17%	32%	9%	2%	4%		1
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,078	33%	15%	35%	9%	3%	–	4%	2
	John Swinney is elected Leader of the Scottish National Party and First Minister of Scotland
	Savanta	The Scotsman	1,080	35%	18%	35%	6%	–	–	5%	Tie
	Norstat	Sunday Times	1,086	34%	14%	33%	9%	5%	–	5%	1
	YouGov	N/A	1,043	36%	16%	32%	9%	3%	–	4%	4
	Norstat	Sunday Times	1,086	35%	17%	30%	10%	5%	–	4%	5
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,000	34%	21%	32%	6%	2%	3%		2
	YouGov	N/A	1,100	34%	15%	32%	9%	4%	–	5%	2
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,000	35%	18%	31%	5%	3%	4%		4
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,000	35%	18%	33%	8%	3%	3%		2
	Ipsos	STV News	1,005	39%	14%	30%	7%	4%	1%		9
	Survation	True North	1,029	35%	16%	31%	8%	5%	–		4
	Norstat	The Sunday Times	1,007	36%	16%	31%	7%	5%	–	5%	5
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,040	37%	18%	32%	8%	3%	1%	1%	5
	Ipsos	STV News	1,004	39%	15%	27%	8%	4%	1%		12
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,092	34%	22%	30%	8%	2%	2%		4
	YouGov	Scottish Elections Study	1,200	34%	14%	32%	9%	7%	–	4%	2
	Savanta	The Scotsman	1,002	37%	18%	33%	6%	–	–	5%	4
	YouGov	Fabians	1,028	37%	20%	29%	9%	3%	–	3%	9
	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,022	35%	16%	31%	7%	7%	–	3%	4
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,094	35%	20%	29%	10%	3%	1%	–	6
	Opinium	Tony Blair Institute	1,004	42%	20%	26%	8%	–	–	5%	16
	YouGov	The Times	1.103	41%	16%	28%	8%	3%	–	4%	13
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,100	39%	16%	30%	8%	–	3%		9
	Survation	True North	1,022	39%	16%	34%	8%	–	–	4%	5
	YouGov	The Times	1,086	41%	14%	31%	7%	3%	–	4%	10
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,050	36%	19%	32%	8%	2%	1%		4
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,030	33%	21%	30%	10%	2%	2%		3
	Survation	N/A	1,891	38%	17%	33%	10%	–	–	3%	5
	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,007	36%	13%	32%	9%	7%	–	3%	4
	Savanta	The Scotsman	1,018	40%	16%	33%	8%	–	–	3%	7
	YouGov	Scottish Elections Study	1,200	27%	11%	21%	6%	5%	–	3%	6
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,395	36%	21%	29%	8%	2%	2%		7
	Ipsos	STV News	1,090	42%	17%	28%	7%	4%	–		14
	Survation	True North	1,009	39%	19%	30%	9%	–	–	4%	9
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,295	36%	18%	32%	8%	2%	2%		4
	YouGov	The Times	1,032	38%	16%	30%	10%	2%	–	4%	8
	Survation	N/A	1,001	38%	16%	27%	7%	–	–	3%	11
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,000	38%	18%	28%	10%	3%	2%	4%	10
	Savanta	The Scotsman	1,009	39%	19%	32%	7%	–	–	3%	7
	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,089	37%	17%	30%	8%	5%	–	4%	7
	Humza Yousaf is elected as the leader of the SNP and then as First Minister of Scotland
	YouGov	Sky News	1,002	43%	15%	26%	8%	4%	–	3%	17
	Panelbase	Scot Goes Pop	1,013	39%	14%	31%	8%	6%	–	2%	8
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,050	40%	20%	29%	7%	2%	2%	1%	11
	YouGov	The Times	1,017	42%	18%	28%	8%	2%	–	3%	14
	Survation	N/A	1,034	43%	17%	29%	8%	1%	–		14
	Savanta	The Scotsman	1008	43%	17%	30%	8%	–	–	2%	13
	YouGov	Scottish Election Study	1239	39%	17%	28%	8%	5%	–	3%	11
	Survation	N/A	1070	43%	17%	29%	7%	–	–	4%	14
	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,088	44%	17%	26%	7%	2%	–	3%	18
	Survation	True North	1,002	46%	17%	27%	8%	–	–	2%	19
	Survation	Scotland in Union	1,025	44%	16%	29%	8%	1%	1%		15
	Savanta	The Scotsman	1,048	44%	18%	28%	8%	–	–	3%	16
	YouGov	The Times	1,090	50%	13%	25%	7%	2%	–	2%	25
	Ipsos MORI	STV News	1,045	50%	14%	24%	7%	3%	–	3%	26
	YouGov	Scottish Elections Study	1,239	34%	11%	17%	6%	4%	–		17
	Panelbase	Alba Party	1,018	45%	15%	28%	6%	3%	–		17
	YouGov	The Times	1,067	49%	13%	26%	8%	–	–	4%	23
	Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	1,029	47%	17%	25%	8%	–	–	2%	22
	Survation	Scotland in Union	1,011	45%	14%	30%	6%	–	–	4%	15
	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,133	45%	19%	22%	8%	–	–	6%	23
	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,010	47%	17%	22%	9%	3%	–	2%	25
	Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	1,029	46%	18%	25%	8%	–	–	4%	21
	YouGov	The Times	1,115	47%	18%	23%	7%	2%	–	3%	24
	Scottish local elections
	Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	1,010	46%	18%	25%	7%	–	–	4%	21
	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,009	42%	19%	24%	7%	4%	–	4%	18
	BMG	The Herald	1,012	44%	21%	22%	8%	–	–	4%	22
	Survation	Ballot Box Scotland	1,002	46%	20%	25%	7%	–	–	2%	21
	Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	1,008	46%	20%	24%	7%	–	–	3%	22
	Savanta ComRes	The Economist	1,866	47%	21%	22%	8%	–	–	2%	25
	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,014	44%	19%	22%	8%	3%	–	3%	22
	Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	1,004	47%	19%	22%	8%	–	–	4%	25
	Ipsos MORI	STV News	1,107	52%	19%	17%	5%	3%	–	4%	33
	YouGov	The Times	1,060	48%	21%	19%	7%	2%	–	3%	27
	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,781	47%	20%	19%	8%	4%	–	2%	27
	Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	1,005	48%	20%	22%	7%	–	–	3%	26
	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	2,003	46%	22%	18%	7%	4%	–	3%	24
	Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	1,016	48%	22%	20%	7%	–	–	3%	26
	Opinium	Sky News	1,014	51%	21%	18%	6%	–	–	4%	30
	Alex Cole-Hamilton becomes leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats
	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,287	46%	24%	19%	6%	3%	–	2%	22
	2021 Scottish Parliament election^[1]			47.7%	21.9%	21.6%	6.9%	1.3%	N/A	0.6%	25.8

Regional vote

Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size	SNP	Con	Lab	Green	Lib Dems	Alba	Reform	Others	Lead
				data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"				data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
	Survation	Progress Scotland	3,016	27%	15%	25%	10%	9%	3%	11%	–	2
	Norstat	The Times	1,013	29%	14%	22%	9%	9%	3%	11%	–	7
	Alex Salmond, former First Minister and leader of the Alba Party, dies
	Russell Findlay is elected leader of the Scottish Conservatives
	Survation	Progress Scotland	2,059	28%	14%	26%	10%	10%	3%	10%	1%	2
	Opinium	The Times	1,028	30%	12%	25%	8%	8%	–	12%	4%	5
	Survation	Scotland in Union	1,021	27%	12%	28%	10%	10%	2%	9%	0%	1
	Norstat	Sunday Times	1,011	28%	14%	28%	8%	7%	5%	9%	0%	Tie
	2024 United Kingdom general election
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,200	27%	14%	34%	8%	9%	1%	6%	1%	7
	Savanta	The Scotsman	1,042	31%	17%	29%	9%	9%	–	–	4%	2
	Survation	Ballot Box Scotland	1,022	30%	16%	34%	7%	8%	2%	–	1%	4
	Savanta	The Scotsman	1,069	29%	16%	29%	12%	10%	–	–	5%	Tie
	Norstat	Sunday Times	1,050	28%	16%	27%	9%	8%	5%	7%	1%	1
	YouGov	N/A	1,068	29%	14%	29%	11%	9%	2%	5%	2%	Tie
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,000	31%	15%	28%	7%	9%	0%*	6%		1
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,078	27%	14%	33%	9%	9%	3%	5%	1%	6
	John Swinney is elected Leader of the Scottish National Party and First Minister of Scotland
	Savanta	The Scotsman	1,080	26%	18%	32%	11%	10%	–	–	4%	6
	Norstat	Sunday Times	1,086	27%	17%	28%	9%	8%	4%	6%	1%	1
	YouGov	N/A	1,043	31%	17%	28%	8%	8%	3%	3%	1%	3
	Norstat	Sunday Times	1,086	28%	19%	25%	9%	10%	3%	4%	1%	3
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,000	26%	17%	29%	9%	9%	3%	5%	2%	3
	YouGov	N/A	1,100	29%	16%	29%	9%	8%	3%	5%	2%	Tie
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,000	28%	16%	29%	9%	9%	3%	5%	0%	1
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,000	27%	16%	29%	9%	9%	1%	5%		2
25-31 Jan 2024	Ipsos	STV News	1,005	33%	13%	31%	11%	7%	1%	2%	2%	2
	Survation	True North	1,029	31%	16%	29%	9%	8%	3%	–	0%	2
	Norstat	The Sunday Times	1,007	30%	19%	29%	9%	7%	3%	2%	1%	1
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,040	25%	17%	30%	11%	10%	3%	4%	1%	5
	Ipsos	STV News	1,004	33%	15%	26%	10%	8%	4%	1%	2%	7
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,092	28%	21%	27%	9%	8%	3%	4%	1%	1
	YouGov	Scottish Elections Study	1,200	30%	14%	30%	11%	8%	4%	3%	2%	Tie
	Savanta	The Scotsman	1,002	28%	20%	29%	13%	8%	–	–	2%	1
	YouGov	Fabians	1,028	28%	19%	28%	11%	7%	3%	2%	1%	Tie
	Panelbase	Sunday Times	1,022	29%	18%	30%	12%	8%	0%*	–		1
	Redfield & Wilton		1,094	26%	19%	25%	12%	12%	3%	2%	1%	1
	Opinium	Tony Blair Institution	1,004	35%	18%	25%	8%	8%	2%	–	3%	10
	YouGov	The Times	1,103	33%	16%	25%	11%	8%	2%	3%	2%	8
	Redfield & Wilton		1,100	25%	15%	30%	14%	9%	4%	3%	1%	5
	Survation	True North	1,022	30%	15%	30%	9%	9%	–	5%	2%	Tie
	YouGov	The Times	1,086	32%	14%	28%	11%	8%	2%	3%	2%	4
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,050	29%	18%	30%	9%	9%	2%	3%	1%	1
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,030	29%	19%	26%	8%	12%	2%	4%	1%	3
	Survation	N/A	1,891	30%	18%	29%	10%	9%	–	2%	2%	1
	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,007	30%	17%	28%	12%	8%	4%	–	1%	2
	Savanta	The Scotsman	1,018	28%	18%	28%	13%	11%	–	–	3%	Tie
	YouGov	Scottish Elections Study	1,200	22%	12%	20%	6%	8%	2%	1%	3%	2
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,395	25%	18%	25%	13%	10%	3%	3%	0%	Tie
	Ipsos	STV News	1,090	35%	17%	27%	12%	5%	2%	1%	1%	8
	Survation	True North	1,009	32%	19%	26%	10%	7%	3%	2%	1%	6
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,295	25%	19%	27%	13%	10%	2%	2%	2%	2
	YouGov	The Times	1,032	30%	17%	26%	12%	9%	2%	2%	3%	4
	Survation	N/A	1,001	32%	17%	23%	8%	7%	–	2%	2%	9
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,000	30%	19%	24%	11%	13%	–	2%	2%	6
	Savanta	The Scotsman	1,009	33%	18%	30%	10%	7%	–	–	2%	3
	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,089	31%	20%	27%	10%	6%	5%	–	2%	4
	Humza Yousaf is elected as the leader of the SNP and First Minister of Scotland
	YouGov	Sky News	1,002	35%	16%	25%	11%	8%	2%	3%	1%	10
	Panelbase	Scot Goes Pop	1,013	32%	17%	27%	12%	8%	–	–	3%	5
	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,050	29%	20%	26%	10%	11%	–	1%	3%	3
	YouGov	The Times	1,017	35%	18%	27%	9%	7%	2%	2%	0%	8
	Survation	N/A	1,034	35%	18%	27%	8%	8%	2%	1%	0%	8
	Savanta	The Scotsman	1008	32%	16%	27%	14%	9%	–	–	2%	5
	Nicola Sturgeon announces her intention to resign as First Minister and leader of the Scottish National Party.
	YouGov	Scottish Election Study	1239	33%	17%	28%	11%	7%	1%	3%	2%	5
	Survation	N/A	1,007	33%	17%	25%	12%	7%	–	2%	3%	8
	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,088	36%	17%	26%	9%	6%	4%	3%	1%	10
	Survation	True North	1,002	33%	18%	25%	12%	8%	–	2%	2%	8
	Survation	Scotland in Union	1,025	33%	15%	26%	12%	9%	2%	2%	1%	7
	Savanta	The Scotsman	1,048	32%	18%	24%	13%	10%	–	–	2%	8
	YouGov	The Times	1,090	40%	13%	24%	11%	6%	3%	2%	1%	16
	Ipsos MORI	STV News	1,045	43%	14%	21%	13%	6%	1%	–	2%	18
	YouGov	Scottish Elections Study	1,239	29%	11%	18%	6%	9%	1%	2%	0%	11
	Panelbase	Alba Party	1,018	37%	17%	26%	9%	7%	4%	–	0%	11
	YouGov	The Times	1,067	38%	14%	24%	12%	8%	1%	1%	1%	14
	Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	1,029	32%	19%	26%	13%	8%	2%	–	1%	6
	Survation	Scotland in Union	1,011	31%	14%	27%	14%	9%	1%	2%	1%	4
	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,133	38%	20%	20%	9%	9%	–	–	4%	18
	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,010	41%	19%	22%	7%	8%	–	–	3%	19
	Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	1,029	33%	20%	24%	13%	8%	2%	–	1%	9
	YouGov	The Times	1,115	39%	18%	21%	10%	8%	2%	1%	1%	18
5 May 2022	Scottish local elections
	Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	1,010	31%	18%	23%	14%	10%	1%*	–		8
	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,009	36%	20%	22%	10%	7%	–	–	5%	14
	BMG	The Herald	1,012	33%	20%	22%	10%	8%	3%	–	4%	11
	Survation	Ballot Box Scotland	1,002	34%	19%	23%	11%	8%	2%	–	3%	11
	Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	1,008	34%	20%	22%	13%	8%	2%	–	1%	12
	Savanta ComRes	The Economist	1,866	34%	21%	20%	14%	8%	2%	–	1%	13
	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,014	38%	21%	20%	9%	8%	–	–	5%	17
	Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	1,004	38%	18%	20%	12%	9%	2%	–	1%	18
	Ipsos MORI	STV News	1,107	43%	20%	15%	12%	6%	1%	–	3%	23
	YouGov	The Times	1,060	38%	19%	19%	11%	7%	1%	–	5%	19
	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,781	41%	21%	18%	10%	8%	–	–	2%	20
	Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	1,005	38%	22%	20%	11%	7%	1%	–	1%	16
	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	2,003	38%	23%	18%	9%	8%	–	–	4%	15
	Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	1,016	36%	23%	18%	13%	7%	2%	–	1%	13
	Opinium	Sky News	1,014	40%	21%	16%	8%	5%	–	–	10%	19
	Alex Cole-Hamilton becomes leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats
	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,287	38%	23%	17%	9%	6%	–	–	6%	15
	2021 Scottish Parliament election		–	40.3%	23.5%	17.9%	8.1%	5.1%	1.7%	0.2%	3.2%	16.8

See also

• List of political parties in Scotland
• Opinion polling on Scottish independence
• Polling in Scotland for 2024 United Kingdom general election
• Polling in Scotland for the next United Kingdom general election

Notes and References

1. Web site: 9 May 2021. Full votes and seats by party etc - SPE21. live. https://web.archive.org/web/20210802001120/https://www.emb.scot/news/article/22/full-votes-and-seats-by-party-etc-spe21. 2 August 2021. 2 August 2021. Electoral Management Board for Scotland.