Opinion polling for the next Maltese general election explained

In the run up to the next Maltese general election, expected by 2027, various organizations have carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Malta. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

In the most recent general election, in 2022, the Labour Party won their third consecutive election, and have been in power since 2013.

Party polling

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and its background is shaded in the leading party's colour. The "lead" column shows the percentage point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a poll result is a tie, the figures with the highest percentages are both shaded and displayed in bold.

It is not uncommon for the third largest party, AD+PD and other smaller parties to be grouped together in polls, or totally excluded.

Expressing a Preference

The values in the table below are derived by removing non-party responses (i.e. non-voters, "don't know", and "no reply"); as the margin is also recalculated, there may be slight differences in exact lead margins due to rounding.

Dates ConductedPolling firmSample
size
PLPNAD+PDOthersLeadNot
voting
Don't
know
No
reply
data-sort-value="2022-06-08"8 June 20242024 EP Election45.342.01.211.23.327
Senior Government Ministers, former Ministers, and civil servants are charged in court following the conclusion of the Magisterial Inquiry into the Vitals Scandal.[1] [2]
data-sort-value="2023-12-06" 28 Nov–6 Dec 2023MaltaToday65047.343.19.64.230.2
data-sort-value="2023-11-09" 1–9 Nov 2023MaltaToday63749.045.45.63.631.0
data-sort-value="2023-10-26" 14–26 Oct 2023Esprimi/Times of Malta60050.044.85.25.027.8
data-sort-value="2023-10-04" 25 Sep–4 Oct 2023MaltaToday65743.845.810.42.031
data-sort-value="2022-03-16" 9–16 Mar 2023Esprimi/Times of Malta60051.642.95.58.727.4
Court annuls contentious 2015 transfer - approved by former PL Prime Minister Joseph Muscat - of three hospitals to international control.[3] [4]
data-sort-value="2022-03-26"26 March 20222022 general election45.834.71.31.311.114.4

Complete Data

Dates ConductedPolling firmSample
size
PLPNAD+PDOthersLeadNot
voting
Don't
know
No
reply
data-sort-value="2023-09-08" 1–8 Sep 2023Independent160034.935.34.94.60.415.94.4
data-sort-value="2023-07-20"10–20 Jul 2023MaltaToday74929.630.21.21.20.622.613.9
data-sort-value="2023-05-19"10–19 May 2023MaltaToday57433.128.70.40.74.420.814.7
data-sort-value="2023-03-10"3–10 Mar 2023MaltaToday57430.828.42.12.62.424.810.0
Court annuls contentious 2015 transfer - approved by former PL Prime Minister Joseph Muscat - of three hospitals to international control.[5] [6]
data-sort-value="2023-02-01"24 Jan–1 Feb 2023MaltaToday64638.722.80.72.015.923.910.5
data-sort-value="2022-12-01"22 Nov–1 Dec 2022MaltaToday65036.424.22.30.812.222.213.2
data-sort-value="2022-09-30"13–30 Sep 2022MaltaToday64739.419.93.20.919.522.514.9
data-sort-value="2022-07-14"6–14 Jul 2022MaltaToday65642.025.82.00.916.214.514.1
data-sort-value="2022-05-25"16–25 May 2022MaltaToday65643.928.82.80.615.111.211.4
data-sort-value="2022-03-26"26 March 20222022 general election45.834.71.31.311.114.4

Leader trust

Fieldwork date! rowspan="2"
Polling firmSample
size
Robert AbelaBernard GrechSandra GauciNeitherLeadDon't
know
data-sort-value="2024-03-21" 7–21 Mar 2024MaltaToday65745.921.734.211.7
data-sort-value="2024-02-05" 26 Jan–5 Feb 2024MaltaToday64741.116.742.21.1
data-sort-value="2023-12-06" 28 Nov–6 Dec 2023MaltaToday65037.521.141.33.8
data-sort-value="2023-11-09" 1–9 Nov 2023MaltaToday63738.023.638.040.4
data-sort-value="2023-10-26" 14–26 Oct 2023Esprimi/Times of Malta60045.736.98.8
data-sort-value="2023-10-04" 25 Sep–4 Oct 2023MaltaToday65739.22040.91.7
data-sort-value="2023-09-08" 1–8 Sep 2023Independent16003627.17.829.16.9
data-sort-value="2023-07-20" 10–20 Jul 2023MaltaToday7493626.833.35.90.7

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Agius . Matthew . Blow-by-blow: Joseph Muscat's first day in court. MaltaToday . 10 June 2024.
  2. Web site: Galea. Albert. Camilleri. Kyle Patrick. Caruana. Andrea. How the second hospitals case ran an 11-hour marathon, before grinding to a halt. Malta Independent. 10 June 2024.
  3. Web site: Court strikes down Malta government hospital management deal . Reuters . 28 March 2024 . 24 February 2023.
  4. Web site: Agius . Matthew . Judge annuls hospitals deal, slams Vitals, Steward and government in damning ruling . MaltaToday . 25 March 2024.
  5. Web site: Court strikes down Malta government hospital management deal . Reuters . 28 March 2024 . 24 February 2023.
  6. Web site: Agius . Matthew . Judge annuls hospitals deal, slams Vitals, Steward and government in damning ruling . MaltaToday . 25 March 2024.