Opinion polling for the next German federal election explained

In the run-up to the next German federal election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Germany. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.

Poll results

2024

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size		SPD	Union	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	FW	BSW	Others	Lead
INSA		2,006	–	15.5		30.5	10.5	5	19	3	–	9.5	7	11.5
Forsa		2,503	–	15		31	11	5	17	3	–	7	11	14
INSA		1,203	–	16		30	11	5	19	3	–	9	7	11
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,334	14	14		32	13	4	16	3	–	8	10	16
YouGov		1,998	–	15		31	12	5	19	3	1	8	6	12
INSA		2,008	–	15		30.5	10.5	5	18	3	–	9.5	8.5	12.5
Forsa		2,502	22	15		30	11	5	17	3	–	7	12	13
GMS		1,006	–	14		32	12	5	17	3	2	8	7	15
INSA		1,203	–	16		31	10	5	18	3	–	9	8	13
Infratest dimap		1,311	–	15		32	12	5	16	–	–	9	11	16
Verian		1,449	–	16		31	13	5	16	3	–	7	9	15
INSA		2,002	–	15		30.5	10.5	5	17	3	–	9.5	9.5	13.5
Forsa		2,500	20	15		30	11	5	17	3	3	7	9	13
Ipsos		1,000	–	14		30	13	5	16	3	2	8	9	14
INSA		1,199	–	15		31	10	5	18	3	–	9	9	13
INSA		2,006	–	15		30	10	5	18	3.5	–	9.5	9	12
Forsa		2,501	21	15		30	11	4	17	3	–	7	13	13
INSA		1,203	–	15		30	11	5	18	3	–	10	8	12
INSA		2,010	–	15		31	10.5	5	17	3.5	–	9	9	14
Forsa		2,504	18	14		31	11	5	17	4	–	7	11	14
INSA		1,207	–	15		30	11	5	17	3	–	9	10	13
Allensbach		1,003	–	16.5		32	11.5	6	17	–	–	8	9	15
INSA		2,500	–	15		31	11.5	5	18	3	–	8.5	8	13
Forsa		2,503	18	14		32	11	5	16	3	–	7	12	16
INSA		1,449	–	15		30	12	5	18	2	–	9	9	12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,341	15	14		32	13	4	17	3	–	7	10	15
Verian		1,486	–	15		31	13	5	16	3	–	7	10	15
INSA		2,007	–	15		30.5	11	5.5	17.5	3	1.5	8.5	7.5	13
Forsa		2,504	19	14		30	11	5	17	–	–	8	15	13
Ipsos		1,000	–	14		30	12	5	16	3	2	8	10	14
INSA		1,204	–	15		30	11	5	18	2	–	9	10	12
Infratest dimap		1,294	–	14		31	13	5	17	3	–	8	9	14
YouGov		1,711	–	14		30	12	6	19	3	2	9	6	11
INSA		2,006	–	15		29.5	12	5.5	17.5	2.5	2	8.5	7.5	12
Forsa		2,506	18	15		31	11	6	16	–	–	7	14	15
INSA		1,203	–	15		30	12	6	17	2	2	9	7	13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,186	11	14		31	13	4	17	3	–	7	11	14
INSA		2,008	–	14.5		30.5	11.5	5	17.5	3	2	8.5	7.5	13
Forsa		2,505	19	15		31	11	5	16	–	3	7	12	15
INSA		1,204	–	15		30	12	5	17	3	2	8	8	13
INSA		2,010	–	15		31	11	5	17	3	2	8	8	14
Forsa		2,504	–	15		30	12	5	16	–	2	7	12	14
GMS		1,007	–	14		31	14	5	18	3	2	6	7	13
INSA		1,205	–	16		31	11	5	17	3	2	7	8	14
Allensbach		1,084	–	16		32	13	6	15	3	–	7	8	16
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,334	15	14		30	14	5	16	–	–	7	14	14
Verian		1,425	–	16		30	13	5	17	3	3	6	7	13
INSA		2,008	–	15.5		30	12	5	16	3	2.5	7.5	8.5	14
Forsa		2,505	22	16		30	13	6	16	–	–	6	13	14
2024 EU Parliament Election		–	–	13.9		30.0	11.9	5.2	15.9	2.7	2.7	6.2	11.5	14.1
INSA		1,203	–	16		30	12	5	16	3	3	8	7	14
YouGov		1,894	–	14		29	12	4	18	4	2	9	8	11
Ipsos		957	–	15		29	13	5	17	3	3	8	7	12
INSA		2,002	–	16		30.5	12	5	15.5	3.5	2.5	7.5	7.5	14.5
Forsa		2,506	22	17		30	13	6	15	–	–	6	13	13
INSA		1,205	–	16		31	12	5	16	3	3	7	7	15
Infratest dimap		1,479	–	15		31	14	4	18	3	3	5	7	13
INSA		2,004	–	15		30.5	12	5	17	3	2.5	7	8	13.5
Forsa		2,503	22	16		30	13	6	15	–	–	6	14	14
INSA		1,202	–	15		30	13	5	17	3	3	7	7	13
INSA		2,010	–	16		30	12.5	5	17	3	3	7	6.5	13
Wahlkreisprognose		2,500	24	16.5		31	13.5	6	15	3	–	6	9	14.5
Forsa		2,001	–	16		32	14	5	15	–	–	5	13	16
INSA		1,206	–	16		30	12	5	17	3	3	7	7	13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,247	18	15		31	13	5	16	4	–	5	11	15
Allensbach		1,093	–	17.5		32.5	13	6	14	3	–	8	6	15
Verian		1,506	–	16		30	14	5	16	4	3	5	7	14
INSA		2,087	–	15.5		30.5	13	5	17	3.5	2.5	7	6	13.5
Forsa		2,006	23	16		32	13	5	15	3	–	5	11	16
INSA		1,247	–	15		30	13	5	17	4	2	7	7	13
YouGov		1,749	–	16		30	14	4	19	4	1	7	5	11
INSA		2,006	–	15.5		30.5	12	5	18	3.5	2.5	7.5	5.5	12.5
Forsa		2,000	–	16		31	12	6	15	3	–	4	13	15
GMS		1,005	–	15		31	14	4	18	2	3	6	7	13
Ipsos		2,000	–	16		28	13	5	18	4	3	7	6	10
INSA		1.203	–	15		30	12	5	18	4	2	7	7	12
Infratest dimap		1,280	–	15		31	15	5	18	–	–	5	11	13
INSA		2.004	–	16.5		29.5	12.5	5	18.5	3.5	2.5	7	5	11
Forsa		2,505	23	17		30	12	5	16	3	–	4	13	13
INSA		1,203	–	16		29	13	5	18	4	2	7	6	11
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,228	18	15		30	15	4	17	4	–	5	10	13
INSA		2,008	–	15		30.5	12.5	5	18.5	4	2.5	7	5	12
Forsa		2,501	25	16		31	12	5	16	–	–	5	15	15
INSA		1,204	–	15		30	13	5	18	4	2	7	6	12
Allensbach		1,041	–	16		32.5	15	6	16	3	–	7	4.5	16.5
Verian		1,445	–	16		30	14	5	18	3	3	5	6	12
INSA		2,006	–	16		29.5	13	6	18.5	3	2.5	6.5	5	11
Forsa		2,505	23	16		31	12	5	17	–	–	5	14	14
INSA		1,203	–	16		30	13	5	18	3	2	6	7	12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,254	20	16		31	12	4	18	3	–	6	10	13
YouGov		1,588	–	14		29	15	5	19	4	1	7	6	10
INSA		2,084	–	15		30.5	13	5	18.5	3.5	2.5	6.5	5.5	12
Forsa		2,506	24	16		30	13	5	17	–	–	5	14	13
Ipsos		2,000	–	15		29	13	5	18	4	3	7	6	11
INSA		1,243	–	15		31	13	5	19	3	2	6	6	12
Infratest dimap		1,304	–	15		30	15	4	18	3	3	5	7	12
INSA		2,004	–	15		30	12.5	5	19.5	3.5	2.5	6.5	5.5	10.5
Forsa		1,508	24	16		31	13	4	17	–	–	5	14	14
INSA		1,210	–	15		30	13	5	20	3	2	6	6	10
INSA		2,008	–	15.5		30	12.5	5	19.5	3.5	2.5	6.5	5	10.5
Forsa		2,503	24	16		31	13	4	17	3	3	5	8	14
INSA		1,204	–	16		30	13	5	19	3	2	6	6	11
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,296	19	16		31	13	4	18	3	–	6	9	13
Wahlkreisprognose		1,300	25	19.5		29	14	4	15	3.5	–	6.5	8.5	9.5
Verian		1,480	–	17		29	15	5	18	3	–	5	8	11
INSA		2,002	–	16		29.5	12	5	19.5	3.5	2.5	6.5	5.5	10
Forsa		2,500	24	16		31	13	4	17	3	3	5	8	14
INSA		1,199	–	15		30	12	5	19	3	2	6	8	11
Allensbach		1,027	–	15		34	14	5	16	3	–	7	6	18
INSA		2,079	–	14.5		31	12.5	5.5	18.5	3.5	2.5	6.5	5.5	12.5
Forsa		2,502	26	15		30	14	5	17	3	3	5	8	13
INSA		1,249	–	15		31	12	5	19	3	2	7	6	12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,260	19	15		30	15	4	18	3	3	5	7	12
Infratest dimap		1,288	–	16		29	14	5	19	3	–	6	8	10
YouGov		1,762	–	15		29	14	4	19	4	1	7	7	10
INSA		2,024	–	14.5		30.5	13	5.5	19.5	3	2.5	6.5	5	11
Forsa		2,506	–	15		31	14	5	17	3	3	4	8	14
Ipsos		2,000	–	15		29	14	5	18	3	3	7	6	11
INSA		1,200	–	15		30	13	5	19	3	3	7	5	11
Verian		1,392	–	16		30	15	5	18	3	–	4	9	12
INSA		2,006	–	15.5		30.5	13	4.5	19	3	3	7.5	4	11.5
Forsa		2,503	–	14		30	15	5	17	3	3	4	9	13
INSA		1,203	–	15		30	13	5	19	3	3	8	4	11
Wahlkreisprognose		1,300	–	14		28.5	12.5	5.5	19	2	2	8.5	8	9.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,294	18	15		30	14	4	19	4	–	5	9	11
Verian		1,505	–	16		29	15	4	19	3	–	5	9	10
INSA		2,007	–	14.5		30.5	12.5	4.5	19.5	3.5	3	7.5	4.5	11
Forsa		2,504	24	15		30	14	5	17	3	3	4	9	13
INSA		1,203	–	14		31	13	4	19	3	3	8	5	12
Allensbach		1,053	–	15		32	14	6	18	3	–	7	5	14
INSA		2,083	–	15		30	12.5	3.5	20.5	3.5	3	7.5	4.5	9.5
Forsa		2,502	25	15		31	14	4	18	3	–	5	10	13
INSA		1,276	–	15		30	13	4	20	3	3	7	5	10
YouGov		2,018	–	14		31	12	4	20	3	1	7	6	11
INSA		2,004	–	15		30	12.5	4.5	20.5	3.5	3	7.5	3.5	9.5
GMS		1,012	–	16		32	13	4	18	2	3	5	7	14
Forsa		2,503	25	15		31	14	4	18	3	3	5	7	13
Ipsos		2,000	–	15		30	13	4	18	4	3	8	5	12
INSA		1,202	–	15		30	13	4	20	4	3	7	4	10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,217	20	15		31	13	4	19	3	3	6	6	12
Infratest dimap		1,303	–	16		30	14	4	19	3	–	5	9	11
INSA		2,002	–	14.5		30	12.5	5	21	3.5	2.5	7	4	9
Forsa		2,506	27	15		32	14	3	19	3	3	3	8	13
INSA		1,201	–	14		31	13	4	21	4	2	7	4	10
Wahlkreisprognose	1,366	26	17.5		30.5	11	4.5	22	2.5	4	–	8	8.5
	15.5			27.5	12.5	6.5	19	2.5	2	9	5.5	8.5
Verian		1,922	–	16		29	16	4	19	4	–	3	9	10
pollytix		1,530	–	15		29	12	5	22	4	–	9	4	7
INSA		2,006	–	13.5		30.5	12.5	5	21.5	3	2.5	–	11.5	8
Forsa		2,503	–	14		31	14	4	20	4	3	3	7	11
INSA		1,203	–	13		30	13	5	22	3	3	7	4	8
Allensbach		1,018	–	15		34	13.5	6	19.5	4	3	–	5	14.5
INSA		2,004	–	14		31	12	5	23	4	3	–	8	8
Forsa		2,504	–	13		31	14	4	22	4	3	–	9	9
INSA		1,002	–	14		27	12	4	18	3	3	14	5	9
INSA		1,202	–	15		30	12	5	22	4	3	–	9	8
Verian		1,359	–	14		31	16	4	22	4	3	–	6	9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,337	21	13		31	14	4	22	4	4	4	4	9
INSA		2,008	–	16		32	12	5	23	4	3	–	5	9
YouGov		1,614	–	15		29	12	6	24	5	2	–	7	5
Forsa		2,502	–	15		30	14	4	22	4	3	–	8	8
Ipsos		2,000	–	15		30	13	6	22	5	–	–	9	8
INSA		1,204	–	16		31	12	5	23	4	3	–	6	8
Wahlkreisprognose		1,500	24	12		34	10.5	4.5	24.5	3	4	–	7.5	9.5
Infratest dimap		1,321	–	14		31	13	5	22	4	3	–	8	9
INSA		2,002	–	15		32	13	5	22.5	4	3	–	5.5	9.5
GMS		1,004	–	14		33	13	6	23	3	3	–	5	10
2021 federal election		–	23.4		25.7	24.2	14.7	11.4	10.4	4.9	2.4	–	6.3	1.6

2023

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size		SPD	Union	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	FW	Others	Lead
INSA		1,001	–	15		32	12	5	23	4	3	6	9
INSA		2,000	–	15		32	12	5	23	4	3	6	9
Forsa		–	–	14		31	14	5	22	3	–	11	9
INSA		1,202	–	15		32	12	5	22	4	3	7	10
Infratest dimap		1,210	–	14		32	14	5	21	3	4	7	11
Verian		1,421	–	15		31	15	4	21	4	–	10	10
INSA		2,002	–	15.5		31.5	12.5	5	23	4	2.5	6	8.5
Forsa		2,501	26	14		31	13	5	23	3	–	11	8
INSA		1,202	–	15		32	12	5	23	4	2	7	9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,146	21	14		32	14	5	22	4	3	6	10
Allensbach		1,013	–	17		34	15	5	18	3.5	3	4.5	16
Verian		1,515	–	15		30	16	5	20	4	–	10	10
INSA		2,008	–	16		30	12.5	6	22.5	4	3	6	7.5
GMS		1,001	–	14		32	15	5	22	2	3	7	10
Forsa		2,501	27	14		31	13	5	22	4	–	11	9
INSA		1,203	–	16		30	12	6	22	4	3	7	8
Infratest dimap		1,364	–	14		32	15	4	21	3	3	8	11
YouGov		1,669	–	14		30	14	6	23	4	2	7	7
Verian		1,402	–	14		30	17	4	20	4	–	11	10
INSA		2,006	–	15.5		29.5	13	6	22.5	3.5	3	7	7
Forsa		2,501	–	14		30	14	5	22	4	–	11	8
Ipsos		2,000	–	16		29	13	6	21	5	–	10	8
INSA		1,202	–	16		30	13	6	22	3	3	7	8
Verian		1,806	–	17		29	16	5	19	4	–	10	10
Wahlkreisprognose		1,200	25	15		31	13	5	26	3.5	–	6.5	5
INSA		2,007	–	15.5		30.5	12.5	6	22	4	3	6.5	8.5
Forsa		2,500	25	14		30	15	5	21	4	–	11	9
INSA		1,202	–	16		30	12	6	22	4	3	7	8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,242	22	15		31	15	5	22	4	–	8	9
Verian		1,452	–	16		29	17	5	20	4	–	9	9
INSA		2,003	–	16.5		30	13	5.5	21	4.5	3	6.5	9
Forsa		2,501	26	15		30	14	5	21	3	3	9	9
INSA		1,201	–	16		30	13	6	21	4	3	7	9
Allensbach		1,047	–	17		32	13.5	6	19	3.5	4	5	13
Verian		1,421	–	16		28	16	6	20	4	–	10	8
INSA		2,008	–	16.5		30.5	13.5	5	21.5	4.5	3	5.5	9
Forsa		2,504	–	14		30	14	5	21	4	3	9	9
INSA		1,204	–	17		30	14	5	21	4	3	6	9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,234	21	16		30	15	5	21	4	3	6	9
Infratest dimap		1,195	–	15		30	15	5	21	4	3	7	9
YouGov		1,732	–	15		29	15	5	22	5	2	7	7
Kantar		1,443	–	16		28	16	6	20	4	3	7	8
INSA		2,006	–	16.5		29.5	13.5	5.5	22	4.5	3	5.5	7.5
Forsa		2,502	–	15		29	14	5	21	4	3	9	8
Ipsos		2,000	–	17		28	15	6	20	5	–	9	8
INSA		1,204	–	16		30	13	6	22	4	3	6	8
Infratest dimap		1,314	–	16		30	14	4	22	5	3	6	8
Kantar		1,418	–	17		27	16	5	21	4	–	10	6
INSA		2,010	–	16.5		30.5	13	5.5	21	4	3.5	6	9.5
Forsa		2,501	26	15		29	14	5	22	3	3	9	7
INSA		1,216	–	16		31	13	6	21	4	3	6	10
Wahlkreisprognose		1,300	24	14.5		30	14	6	22	4	–	9.5	8
Kantar		1,422	–	16		28	16	5	20	5	–	10	8
INSA		2,004	–	16.5		28.5	13	5.5	22	5	3.5	6	6.5
Forsa		2,504	–	14		31	14	5	21	4	3	8	10
INSA		1,202	–	16		29	13	5	22	5	4	6	7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,252	21	15		30	14	5	21	5	3	7	9
Allensbach		1,010	–	17		34	13	5	19	3	4	5	15
Kantar		1,388	–	14		31	15	5	21	4	3	7	10
INSA		2,006	–	16.5		28	13	6	23	4.5	4	5	5
Forsa		2,501	22	14		32	14	4	21	4	3	8	11
INSA		1,202	–	17		28	13	6	23	5	4	4	5
Infratest dimap		1,203	–	15		29	13	5	23	4	4	5	6
YouGov		1,842	–	16		29	15	5	21	6	2	5	8
Kantar		1,386	–	16		27	15	6	22	5	3	6	5
INSA		2,001	–	17		27	13.5	6	22.5	5	3	6	4.5
Forsa		2,003	–	18		28	14	6	20	4	–	10	8
Ipsos		2,000	–	17		26	14	7	22	5	–	9	4
INSA		1,201	–	17		27	14	6	22	5	3	6	5
INSA		2,010	–	18		26.5	13.5	7	22	5	2.5	5.5	4.5
Forsa		2,004	25	18		28	14	5	20	4	–	11	8
INSA		1,206	–	18		26	14	7	22	5	3	5	4
Kantar		1,391	–	16		26	16	7	21	5	–	9	5
Infratest dimap		1,302	–	16		28	14	6	22	4	3	7	6
Kantar		1,356	–	16		27	15	7	21	5	–	9	6
Wahlkreisprognose		1,200	24	18.5		24	15	6.5	23	3.5	–	9.5	1
INSA		2,003	–	17.5		27	13.5	6.5	21.5	5	3	6	5.5
Forsa		2,503	27	17		27	14	6	21	4	–	11	6
INSA		1,203	–	17		27	14	6	22	5	3	6	5
Kantar		1,370	–	17		27	15	7	21	4	–	9	6
INSA		2,008	–	17		26.5	14.5	6	21	5	3.5	6.5	5.5
GMS		1,002	–	16		27	15	6	23	4	–	9	4
Forsa		2,504	27	17		27	14	6	22	4	–	10	5
INSA		1,204	–	17		27	15	6	21	5	3	6	6
Allensbach		1,030	–	18		30	14	7	19	5	–	7	11
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,201	21	17		26	16	6	21	5	3	6	5
Infratest dimap		1,222	–	16		28	15	7	22	4	–	8	6
Kantar		1,442	–	16		26	15	7	22	5	–	9	4
INSA		2,002	–	18		26.5	14	7	22	4.5	–	8	4.5
Forsa		2,505	28	17		27	13	7	21	4	–	11	6
INSA		1,201	–	18		27	13	7	22	5	–	8	5
YouGov		1,833	–	16		29	14	5	23	5	1	8	6
Kantar		1,441	–	17		26	15	6	21	5	–	10	5
INSA		2,010	–	17.5		26.5	13.5	7.5	21.5	4.5	–	9	5
Forsa		2,506	–	16		27	14	7	21	4	–	11	6
Ipsos		2,000	–	17		26	14	8	21	6	–	8	5
INSA		1,195	–	18		27	13	7	21	5	–	9	6
Infratest dimap		1,310	–	16		29	14	6	22	4	–	9	7
Kantar		1,330	–	18		25	15	7	20	5	–	10	5
INSA		2,006	–	18		26.5	14.5	7	21	4.5	–	8.5	5.5
Forsa		2,504	29	17		26	14	7	21	4	–	11	5
Wahlkreisprognose		1,200	26	20.5		25	13	7.5	22	4	–	8	3
INSA		1,285	–	18		27	14	7	21	5	–	8	6
Kantar		1,426	–	18		26	14	7	20	5	–	10	6
INSA		2,008	–	18.5		26.5	14	8	20.5	5	–	7.5	6
Forsa		2,506	29	18		26	14	7	20	4	–	11	6
INSA		1,203	–	18		27	14	8	21	5	–	7	6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,288	26	19		26	15	7	20	5	–	8	6
Infratest dimap		1,216	–	17		27	14	7	21	4	–	10	6
Allensbach		1,026	–	19		29	14	7	19	5	–	7	10
Kantar		1,426	–	18		26	15	7	19	5	–	10	7
INSA		2,002	–	19.5		26	13.5	7	21	4.5	–	8.5	5
Forsa		2,501	28	17		25	15	7	21	4	–	11	4
INSA		1,200	–	20		26	13	7	21	5	–	8	5
GMS		1,004	–	17		27	14	7	21	4	–	10	6
Kantar		1,330	–	19		27	16	6	18	6	–	8	8
INSA		2,004	–	19		27	14.5	7.5	20.5	4.5	–	7	6.5
Forsa		2,502	28	17		25	15	7	21	4	–	11	4
Ipsos		1,000	–	17		26	15	8	22	5	–	7	4
INSA		1,203	–	19		27	14	7	21	5	–	7	6
Infratest dimap		1,297	–	17		27	15	7	21	4	–	9	6
Kantar		1,310	–	19		27	16	6	19	5	–	8	8
YouGov		1,756	–	17		27	14	5	23	6	1	7	4
INSA		2,003	–	18.5		26.5	14	6.5	21.5	5	–	8	5
Forsa		2,500	28	17		25	15	6	21	5	–	11	4
INSA		1,200	–	18		26	14	7	22	5	–	8	4
Wahlkreisprognose		1,525	23	20.5		25	13	7	20.5	4.5	3	6.5	4.5
Kantar		1,402	–	18		27	16	6	20	5	–	8	7
INSA		2,006	–	18.5		26.5	14	7.5	21.5	4.5	–	7.5	5
Forsa		2,504	28	18		27	14	6	19	5	–	11	8
INSA		1,266	–	18		26	14	7	22	5	–	8	4
Infratest dimap		1,235	–	18		28	13	7	20	4	–	10	8
Allensbach		1,011	–	19		29	16	7	18	4	–	7	10
Kantar		1,403	–	18		26	16	7	20	5	–	8	6
INSA		2,004	–	18		27	14	7	20.5	5	–	8.5	6.5
Forsa		2,502	26	18		26	15	7	20	4	–	10	6
INSA		1,184	–	18		27	14	7	20	5	–	9	7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,347	27	17		27	16	7	20	4	–	9	7
Kantar		1,393	–	19		26	15	7	20	5	–	8	6
INSA		2,008	–	19		26	14	7	20.5	5	–	8.5	5.5
Ipsos		1,000	–	18		26	14	7	22	5	–	8	4
Forsa		2,003	25	18		27	14	7	19	5	–	10	8
INSA		1,204	–	19		27	13	7	20	5	–	9	7
Infratest dimap		1,305	–	18		28	14	7	20	4	–	9	8
YouGov		1,694	–	18		27	14	6	21	6	1	6	6
Kantar		1,403	–	18		27	15	6	20	5	–	9	7
INSA		2,897	–	19		25.5	14.5	6.5	21	5	–	8.5	4.5
GMS		1,005	–	17		28	14	7	20	4	–	10	8
Forsa		2,501	25	18		27	15	6	19	5	–	10	8
INSA		1,401	–	19		26	14	7	20	5	–	9	6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,379	24	18		28	16	6	19	5	–	8	9
Kantar		1,408	–	18		26	15	7	19	5	–	10	7
INSA		2,004	–	19.5		26.5	13.5	6.5	20.5	4.5	–	9	6
Forsa		2,506	25	18		27	15	7	19	4	–	10	8
Wahlkreisprognose		1,399	25	21		24	14.5	6	21	4.5	–	9	3
INSA		1,203	–	20		26	13	7	20	4	–	10	6
Allensbach		1,039	–	19		31	15	8	17	4	–	6	12
Infratest dimap		1,191	–	17		29	15	6	19	4	–	10	10
Kantar		1,406	–	19		27	15	7	20	4	–	8	7
INSA		2,006	–	20		26.5	13.5	7.5	20	4.5	–	8	6.5
Forsa		2,503	25	18		27	15	7	19	4	–	10	8
INSA		1,203	–	20		27	13	8	19	4	–	9	7
Civey		10,031	–	19		25	16	7	20	5	–	8	5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,224	21	19		28	16	6	18	5	–	8	9
Kantar		1,387	–	20		27	15	6	19	5	–	8	7
INSA		2,003	–	20		27	13	8	19.5	4.5	–	8	7
Forsa		2,504	24	18		29	14	7	19	4	–	9	10
INSA		1,201	–	20		27	13	8	19	5	–	8	7
YouGov		1,628	–	19		28	13	5	20	6	1	7	8
Kantar		1,402	–	20		27	15	7	18	5	–	8	7
INSA		2,009	–	19		26.5	13.5	9	19	5	–	8	7.5
GMS		1,001	–	18		29	15	7	19	4	–	8	10
Forsa		2,505	23	18		30	14	7	17	4	–	10	12
Ipsos		1,000	–	20		28	13	8	19	6	–	6	8
Wahlkreisprognose		1,100	24	21		27	13	8	19	4	–	8	6
INSA		1,205	–	19		27	13	9	19	5	–	8	8
Infratest dimap		1,302	–	18		29	15	7	18	4	–	9	11
INSA		2,004	–	20.5		28	13	8.5	18	4.5	–	7.5	7.5
Kantar		1,379	–	20		27	15	8	17	5	–	8	7
Forsa		2,001	23	18		29	14	7	17	5	–	10	11
INSA		1,207	–	20		28	13	9	18	4	–	8	8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,257	24	20		28	16	6	17	5	–	8	8
Kantar		1,321	–	18		29	15	8	16	5	–	9	11
INSA		2,004	–	20.5		27.5	14	8.5	17	5	–	7.5	7
Forsa		2,003	–	18		30	14	7	16	5	–	10	12
INSA		1,195	–	21		28	14	8	17	5	–	7	7
Kantar		1,401	–	18		28	16	8	16	5	–	9	10
INSA		2,010	–	20		28	14.5	8.5	16.5	5	–	7.5	8
Forsa		2,503	25	17		30	15	8	16	4	–	10	13
INSA		1,205	–	20		28	15	9	16	4	–	8	8
Infratest dimap		1,220	–	18		28	16	8	16	5	–	9	10
Allensbach		1,001	–	18		32	16	8	15	5	–	6	14
YouGov		1,700	–	16		31	16	5	17	6	2	7	14
Kantar		1,405	–	18		29	17	8	16	5	–	7	11
INSA		2,008	–	20		28	14	9	16.5	4.5	–	8	8
Forsa		2,505	–	18		29	16	7	16	4	–	10	11
Ipsos		1,000	–	19		29	15	8	16	5	–	8	10
INSA		1,204	–	20		28	14	9	16	4	–	9	8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,225	28	19		30	17	6	15	5	–	8	11
Infratest dimap		1,360	–	17		30	16	7	16	5	–	9	13
INSA		2,006	–	21		27	15	8	16.5	4.5	–	8	6
Kantar		1,394	–	17		31	16	8	16	4	–	8	14
Wahlkreisprognose		1,400	24	21		27.5	14	10.5	15	3.5	–	8.5	6.5
Forsa		2,007	–	17		30	16	7	16	4	–	10	13
INSA		1,202	–	21		28	14	8	16	5	–	8	7
Kantar		1,426	–	18		30	16	7	16	5	–	8	12
INSA		2,004	–	20		27.5	14.5	9	16	4.5	–	8.5	7.5
Forsa		2,506	23	18		30	16	7	15	4	–	10	12
INSA		1,202	–	20		28	15	9	16	4	–	8	8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,266	24	18		31	18	6	15	4	–	8	13
Kantar		1,407	–	19		29	17	7	15	4	–	9	10
Allensbach		1,007	–	20		31	15	7.5	16	5	–	5.5	11
INSA		2,008	–	21		27.5	15	8	16	4.5	–	8	6.5
Forsa		2,508	24	18		29	17	7	15	4	–	10	11
INSA		1,204	–	21		27	15	8	16	5	–	8	6
Infratest dimap		1,204	–	19		29	17	7	15	4	–	9	10
INSA		2,005	–	20		27.5	15.5	8	16	4.5	–	8.5	7.5
Kantar		1,367	–	21		27	17	8	14	5	–	8	6
Forsa		1,501	25	18		30	18	7	14	4	–	10	12
INSA		1,204	–	20		28	16	8	16	4	–	8	8
Infratest dimap		1,304	–	18		30	17	7	15	4	–	9	12
Ipsos		1,000	–	21		27	17	8	15	4	–	8	6
YouGov		1,522	–	20		30	15	6	17	6	1	6	10
Kantar		1,269	–	20		27	18	8	14	5	–	8	7
INSA		2,007	–	20		28	15.5	7.5	16	4.5	–	8.5	8
GMS		1,007	–	19		31	17	6	15	4	–	8	12
Forsa		2,502	25	18		29	18	7	14	4	–	10	11
INSA		1,200	–	21		27	16	8	16	4	–	8	6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,379	25	19		30	17	7	15	5	–	7	11
Kantar		1,387	–	18		28	19	7	15	4	–	9	10
INSA		2,004	–	20.5		28	16	8	15.5	4	–	8	7.5
Forsa		2,506	24	19		29	18	6	14	4	–	10	10
Wahlkreisprognose		1,200	23	23		26.5	15	7.5	13.5	4	–	10.5	3.5
INSA		1,203	–	21		28	16	8	15	4	–	8	7
Kantar		1,504	–	18		28	18	7	15	5	–	9	10
INSA		2,006	–	21.5		28	15	7.5	16	5	–	7	6.5
Forsa		2,503	23	19		29	18	6	14	5	–	9	10
INSA		1,202	–	21		28	15	8	16	5	–	7	7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,146	24	21		29	19	5	14	5	–	7	8
Infratest dimap		1,215	–	18		30	16	7	15	5	–	9	12
Allensbach		1,101	–	21		31	16	6.5	15	4.5	–	6	10
Kantar		1,432	–	19		28	18	7	15	5	–	8	9
INSA		2,002	–	21.5		28.5	15.5	7.5	16	4	–	7	7
Forsa		2,505	22	20		29	17	6	14	5	–	9	9
INSA		1,268	–	21		29	16	7	15	4	–	8	8
YouGov		1,649	–	20		28	16	6	17	7	1	6	8
Kantar		1,504	–	19		29	19	7	13	5	–	8	10
INSA		2,007	–	20		29.5	15.5	7.5	15.5	5	–	7	9.5
Forsa		2,504	–	20		31	17	5	13	5	–	9	11
Ipsos		1,000	–	20		27	18	7	15	5	–	8	7
INSA		1,203	–	20		30	16	7	15	5	–	7	10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,165	24	21		29	18	5	15	5	–	7	8
Infratest dimap		1,311	–	18		31	17	6	14	5	–	9	13
Wahlkreisprognose		1,419	25	23.5		32	15.5	5	14	3	–	7	8.5
Kantar		1,722	–	20		28	18	6	14	6	–	8	8
INSA		2,010	–	20.5		29.5	15.5	7.5	15.5	4.5	–	7	9
Forsa		2,501	22	20		31	17	5	13	5	–	9	11
INSA		1,200	–	21		29	16	7	15	5	–	7	8
Kantar		1,373	–	21		29	17	6	15	5	–	7	8
INSA		2,006	–	21.5		29	15.5	7	15.5	5	–	6.5	7.5
GMS		1,004	–	19		29	17	7	15	5	–	8	10
Forsa		2,510	–	19		31	17	6	13	5	–	9	12
INSA		1,207	–	21		29	16	7	16	5	–	6	8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,361	25	20		30	19	5	14	5	–	7	10
Infratest dimap		1,216	–	19		29	17	6	15	5	–	9	10
Kantar		1,386	–	21		26	18	7	15	5	–	8	5
INSA		2,005	–	20		28	16	7.5	16	5	–	7.5	8
Forsa		2,505	23	21		28	18	6	13	5	–	9	7
INSA		1,457	–	20		28	16	8	16	5	–	7	8
YouGov		1,736	–	19		27	16	6	17	6	2	7	8
Allensbach		1,088	–	22.5		30	16	7.5	14	4	–	6	7.5
Kantar		1,410	–	21		25	19	7	15	5	–	8	4
INSA		2,008	–	21		27	16	8	15.5	5	–	7.5	6
Forsa		2,502	24	21		28	18	7	13	5	–	8	7
Ipsos		1,000	–	20		26	17	8	16	5	–	8	6
INSA		1,462	–	21		28	16	8	15	5	–	7	7
Infratest dimap		1,328	–	20		27	18	7	15	4	–	9	7
Kantar		1,405	–	21		25	19	7	15	5	–	8	4
INSA		2,007	–	20.5		28.5	16	7.5	15	5	–	7.5	8
Forsa		2,503	–	20		27	19	7	13	5	–	9	7
Wahlkreisprognose		1,421	26		24		24	18	6.5	14.5	3.5	–	9.5	Tie
INSA		1,506	–	20		29	16	7	15	5	–	8	9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,345	26	21		27	19	6	15	6	–	6	6
Kantar		1,392	–	21		27	19	7	14	5	–	7	6
INSA		2,009	–	20.5		28	16.5	7.5	15	4.5	–	8	7.5
Forsa		2,502	23	19		28	20	7	12	5	–	9	8
INSA		1,504	–	20		28	16	7	15	5	–	9	8
Infratest dimap		1,211	–	19		29	19	6	14	4	–	9	10
Allensbach		1,023	–	21		31	17	6	14	4.5	–	6.5	10
Kantar		1,418	–	20		27	20	6	14	5	–	8	7
Wahlkreisprognose		1,500	–	21.5		24.5	17	8	16.5	3.5	–	9	3
INSA		2,006	–	21		28	16.5	7.5	15	5	–	7	7
Forsa		2,500	24	18		28	20	7	13	5	–	9	8
INSA		1,202	–	20		27	17	8	15	5	–	8	7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,259	26	20		27	21	6	14	6	–	6	6
Civey		10,065	–	18		28	20	7	14	5	–	8	8
Ipsos		1,000	–	19		27	18	7	15	6	–	8	8
YouGov		1,561	–	18		27	17	8	16	6	1	6	9
Kantar		1,398	–	19		28	18	7	14	4	–	10	9
INSA		2,006	–	20		27	17.5	7.5	15	5	–	8	7
Forsa		2,502	23	18		29	20	7	13	5	–	8	9
INSA		1,465	–	20		27	18	7	15	5	–	8	7
Infratest dimap		1,314	–	18		29	19	6	15	5	–	8	10
GMS		1,002	–	19		29	17	7	14	5	–	9	10
INSA		2,010	–	20		27	17.5	7.5	15	4.5	–	8.5	7
2021 federal election		–	23.4		25.7	24.2	14.7	11.4	10.4	4.9	2.4	6.3	1.6

2022

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size		SPD	Union	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	FW	Others	Lead
INSA		1,205	–	20		26	18	7	15	5	−	9	6
INSA		1,203	–	21		27	17	8	14	5	−	8	6
YouGov		1,608	–	19		30	17	7	14	5	1	8	11
INSA		2,005	–	21		27.5	17.5	7.5	14.5	4.5	−	7.5	6.5
Forsa		2,503	24	19		28	19	7	13	5	−	9	9
INSA		1,501	–	21		27	18	7	15	5	−	7	6
Kantar		1,717	–	19		29	18	7	14	5	−	8	10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,365	22	20		28	20	6	15	5	−	6	8
Allensbach		1,035	–	22		30	18	7.5	12	4.5	−	6	8
INSA		2,007	–	20		28.5	18	7	15.5	4.5	−	6.5	8.5
Kantar		1,429	–	18		28	19	7	14	5	−	9	9
Forsa		2,506	24	19		29	19	7	12	5	−	9	10
Wahlkreisprognose		1,500	–	22.5		25	16.5	7	14.5	4	−	10.5	2.5
INSA		1,502	–	20		28	18	7	15	4	−	8	8
Infratest dimap		1,259	–	18		29	18	6	15	5	−	9	11
Kantar		1,443	–	19		27	19	6	15	5	−	9	8
INSA		2,008	–	20.5		28	17	7	14.5	5	−	8	7.5
Forsa		2,500	25	19		29	19	7	12	5	−	9	10
Ipsos		1,000	–	19		27	19	7	14	6	−	8	8
INSA		1,502	–	20		28	17	7	15	5	−	8	8
Civey		10,016	–	19		28	21	7	13	4	−	8	7
GMS		1,005	–	18		28	21	7	12	4	−	10	7
Infratest dimap		1,318	–	18		30	18	5	15	5	−	9	12
Kantar		1,414	–	18		27	20	7	14	5	−	9	7
INSA		2,006	–	21		27	17.5	7	15	5	−	7.5	6
Forsa		2,505	24	19		29	20	6	12	5	−	9	9
INSA		1,501	–	21		27	18	7	15	5	−	7	6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,273	26	19		28	22	5	14	6	−	6	6
Kantar		1,430	–	19		29	19	7	13	4	−	9	10
INSA		2,004	–	20		28	17	7.5	15	5	−	7.5	8
Forsa		2,502	25	19		28	20	6	13	5	−	9	8
INSA		1,314	–	20		28	17	7	15	5	−	8	8
Allensbach		1,042	–	20		29.5	20	7	14	4	−	5.5	9.5
Kantar		1,443	–	20		27	19	7	13	5	−	9	7
INSA		2,010	–	20.5		27.5	17.5	7	15	4.5	−	8	7
Forsa		2,503	25	19		28	20	6	14	4	−	9	8
INSA		1,255	–	21		28	18	7	15	4	−	7	7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,310	23	19		28	22	5	15	5	−	6	6
Infratest dimap		1,225	–	18		28	19	7	14	4	−	10	9
YouGov		1,608	–	18		29	20	5	16	7	1	5	9
Wahlkreisprognose		1,300	–	24.5		25.5	16	8.5	14	3.5	−	8	1
Kantar		1,442	–	21		26	20	7	14	5	−	7	5
Ipsos		1,000	–	19		27	20	7	13	6	−	8	7
INSA		2,007	–	21		27	17.5	8	14.5	4.5	−	7.5	6
Forsa		2,502	24	19		28	19	6	14	5	−	9	9
INSA		1,286	–	21		27	17	8	15	5	−	7	6
Infratest dimap		1,307	–	19		28	19	6	14	5	−	9	9
Kantar		1,516	–	21		26	19	8	14	5	−	7	5
INSA		2,009	–	20.5		26	18	9	15	4.5	−	7	5.5
Forsa		2,503	23	20		27	20	6	14	4	−	9	7
INSA		1,230	–	20		26	18	9	15	5	−	7	6
Kantar		1,406	–	21		25	20	7	15	5	−	7	4
GMS		1,002	–	18		28	20	6	15	4	−	9	8
INSA		2,007	–	20.5		26.5	17.5	8.5	15	4.5	−	7.5	6
Forsa		2,502	22	19		28	20	6	14	4	−	9	8
Wahlkreisprognose		1,910	–	22		25	17.5	8	16	3.5	−	8	3
INSA		1,503	–	20		27	18	8	15	5	−	7	7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,389	22	19		28	21	6	15	5	−	6	7
Kantar		1,435	–	22		23	20	7	16	4	−	8	1
INSA		2,000	–	19.5		27.5	18.5	7.5	15.5	4.5	−	7	8
Forsa		2,505	–	20		27	20	6	14	4	−	9	7
INSA		1,327	–	19		28	18	8	15	5	−	7	9
Allensbach		1,021	–	19		30.5	19	7	14	5	−	5.5	11.5
Infratest dimap		1,225	–	19		26	20	6	15	5	−	9	6
YouGov		1,617	–	16		29	19	6	15	6	2	7	10
Kantar		1,433	–	20		25	21	6	15	5	−	8	4
Forsa		2,501	24	18		28	20	6	14	5	−	9	8
INSA		2,005	–	19.5		27.5	19	7.5	15	5	−	6.5	8
Ipsos		1,000	–	18		27	21	7	13	6	−	8	6
INSA		1,315	–	19		27	19	8	15	5	−	7	8
Wahlkreisprognose		1,923	–	21		25	16	9	16	4.5	−	8.5	4
Infratest dimap		1,307	–	17		28	19	7	15	5	−	9	9
Kantar		1,864	–	18		27	20	8	14	6	−	7	7
INSA		2,008	–	19		27.5	18.5	8	15	5.5	−	6.5	8.5
Forsa		2,001	25	18		28	20	6	14	5	−	9	8
INSA		1,210	–	19		28	18	8	15	6	−	6	9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,355	27	18		27	22	7	14	5	−	7	5
Kantar		1,381	–	19		27	21	8	13	5	−	7	6
INSA		2,102	–	18		27.5	19.5	8	15	5.5	−	6.5	8
Forsa		2,505	23	18		28	20	7	13	5	−	9	8
INSA		1,255	–	19		28	19	8	14	5	−	7	9
Wahlkreisprognose		1,700	–	22		26	18	8	13.5	4	−	8.5	4
Kantar		1,444	–	19		27	20	7	14	5	−	8	7
GMS		1,003	–	18		28	21	7	13	4	−	9	7
INSA		2,080	–	18.5		28.5	19	7.5	14	5.5	−	7	9.5
Forsa		2,506	23	19		28	19	7	13	5	−	9	9
INSA		1,476	–	19		28	19	7	13	6	−	8	9
Infratest dimap		1,224	–	17		28	21	7	14	5	−	8	7
Allensbach		1,030	–	20		30	19	7	13	5.5	−	5.5	10
YouGov		1,635	–	16		29	19	6	14	7	1	7	10
Kantar		1,443	–	20		26	21	7	13	5	−	8	5
Forsa		2,501	–	19		28	20	6	13	5	−	9	8
INSA		2,039	–	18		28	20	8	13.5	5.5	−	7	8
Wahlkreisprognose		1,300	–	20		25.5	19	7	14	5.5	−	9	5.5
INSA		1,443	–	19		27	20	8	13	5	−	8	7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,299	25	19		28	23	6	13	5	−	6	5
Kantar		1,416	–	20		25	21	8	12	5	−	9	4
INSA		2,004	–	18		28	20.5	7.5	13.5	5.5	−	7	7.5
Forsa		2,500	25	18		26	24	7	11	5	−	9	2
Ipsos		1,000	–	19		26	21	8	12	6	−	8	5
INSA		1,203	–	19		28	20	8	13	5	−	7	8
Infratest dimap		1,324	–	17		27	22	8	13	5	−	8	5
Kantar		1,411	–	21		24	22	8	12	5	−	8	2
INSA		2,138	–	19		27.5	20.5	8	13	5.5	−	6.5	7
Forsa		2,503	25	17		26	25	7	11	5	−	9	1
INSA		1,204	–	20		28	21	8	12	5	−	6	7
Civey		10,014	–	19		27	22	7	11	5	−	9	5
Kantar		1,431	–	19		26	23	7	12	5	−	8	3
INSA		2,091	–	18.5		28	21	7.5	13	5.5	−	6.5	7
Forsa		2,505	25	18		26	25	7	11	4	−	9	1
INSA		1,427	–	19		28	21	8	12	5	−	7	7
Wahlkreisprognose		1,433	–	18	25		26	6	14	3	−	8	1
Allensbach		1,038	–	19.5		29	21	8	12	5	−	5.5	8
Infratest dimap		1,273	–	18		28	23	7	12	4	−	8	5
Kantar		1,429	–	20		28	23	6	12	4	−	7	5
INSA		2,146	–	19		28	22	8	12	5	−	6	6
Forsa		2,500	28	18		26	25	6	11	4	−	10	1
INSA		1,502	–	19		27	22	9	12	5	−	6	5
Wahlkreisprognose		2,920	–	16	24		25.5	8	14.5	3.5	−	8.5	1.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,389	25	19		26		26	7	12	4	−	6	Tie
YouGov		1,595	–	19		27	21	6	14	6	1	7	6
Kantar		1,422	–	21		27	22	7	11	5	−	7	5
Ipsos		1,000	–	19		27	22	8	11	5	−	8	5
INSA		2,099	–	18		27	21.5	8	12.5	5.5	−	7.5	5.5
Forsa		2,504	26	18		26	24	7	10	5	−	10	2
INSA		1,701	–	19		27	21	9	12	5	−	7	6
Infratest dimap		1,313	–	17		28	23	7	13	4	−	8	5
Kantar		1,426	–	21		25	23	6	11	5	−	9	2
INSA		2,144	–	18.5		26.5	22	8	12	5	−	8	4.5
Forsa		2,504	–	18		27	24	7	10	5	−	9	3
INSA		1,202	–	19		26	22	9	12	5	−	7	4
Kantar		1,413	–	21		26	22	7	11	5	−	8	4
INSA		2,043	–	18.5		26.5	22	8	12	5	−	8	4.5
GMS		1,005	–	18		27	23	9	10	5	−	8	4
Forsa		2,510	22	19		26	24	6	10	5	−	10	2
INSA		1,501	–	18		27	23	8	12	5	−	7	4
Allensbach		1,006	–	22		27.5	22	7	11	5	−	5.5	5.5
Infratest dimap		1,210	–	19		27	22	7	12	4	−	9	5
Wahlkreisprognose		1,400	−	22		24		24	8.5	10.5	3.5	−	7.5	Tie
Kantar		1,392	–	19		25	23	8	11	5	−	9	2
INSA		2,062	–	18.5		26.5	22	8	12	4.5	−	8.5	4.5
Forsa		2,501	–	20		26	24	6	9	5	−	10	2
Civey		10,018	–	20		27	23	7	10	5	−	8	4
INSA		1,277	–	19		26	22	8	11	5	−	9	4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,167	25	21		26	25	6	11	5	−	6	1
Kantar		1,433	–	20		25	24	8	11	4	−	8	1
INSA		2,044	–	20		27	21	8.5	11	4.5	−	8	6
Forsa		2,503	22	19		26	24	7	9	5	−	10	2
INSA		1,202	–	19		28	22	8	10	4	−	9	6
Wahlkreisprognose		1,700	−	22		25	22	8	10	4	−	9	3
Infratest dimap		1,327	–	19		27	23	8	11	4	−	8	4
YouGov		1,655	–	19		28	20	7	12	5	1	8	8
Kantar		1,426	–	20		25	24	7	10	5	−	9	1
INSA		2,066	–	19		28	21	9.5	11	4	−	7.5	7
Forsa		2,502	23	20		26	24	8	9	4	−	9	2
Ipsos		1,000	–	22		26	20	9	10	5	−	8	4
INSA		1,253	–	20		27	22	9	11	4	−	7	5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,186	20	21		27	25	6	10	5	−	6	2
Kantar		1,410	–	20		26	25	8	10	4	−	7	1
INSA		2,101	–	20		27	21.5	9	10.5	4	−	8	5.5
Forsa		2,500	22	20		26	24	8	9	4	−	9	2
Wahlkreisprognose		2,430	−	22		25	21	7	12	4	−	9	3
INSA		1,414	–	20		26	22	9	11	4	−	8	4
Infratest dimap		1,248	–	20		26	23	8	12	4	−	7	3
Kantar		1,769	–	20		26	24	8	10	4	−	8	2
INSA		2,063	–	19.5		28	21	9.5	10	4	−	8	7
GMS		1,003	–	21		29	21	8	8	4	−	9	8
Forsa		2,504	25	19		28	23	8	9	4	−	9	5
INSA		1,501	–	20		27	21	9	10	4	−	9	6
Allensbach		1,046	–	23		27	22	8	10	4.5	−	5.5	4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,133	22	22		26	25	6	10	5	−	6	1
Kantar		1,895	–	20		28	22	8	9	4	−	9	6
INSA		2,082	–	20		27.5	21	9.5	10.5	3.5	−	8	6.5
Forsa		2,511	20	20		27	23	8	9	4	−	9	4
INSA		1,203	–	21		27	21	9	10	4	−	8	6
Wahlkreisprognose		1,603	−	22		24	20	7	13	6	−	8	2
Ipsos		1,000	–	23		27	19	9	10	4	−	8	4
YouGov		1,633	–	18		30	21	7	12	6	1	6	9
INSA		2,055	–	20		27	21.5	9.5	10.5	3.5	−	8	5.5
Kantar		1,428	–	22		26	23	9	8	4	−	8	3
Forsa		2,002	20	19		27	23	8	10	4	−	9	4
INSA		1,501	–	22		27	20	9	9	4	−	9	5
Infratest dimap		1,226	–	21		27	21	8	11	4	−	8	6
Wahlkreisprognose		1,500	−	18		27	25.5	8	9	4	−	8.5	1.5
Kantar		1,428	–	20		28	23	8	8	4	−	9	5
INSA		2,056	–	22		27	20.5	8.5	10	3.5	−	8.5	5
GMS		1,005	–	22		30	20	8	7	4	−	9	8
Forsa		2,004	21	19		29	24	7	9	4	−	8	5
INSA		1,337	–	23		27	19	9	9	4	−	9	4
Kantar		1,422	–	21		27	21	8	9	5	−	9	6
INSA		2,100	–	22		28.5	20	8.5	10.5	3	−	7.5	6.5
Forsa		2,505	22	21		28	23	7	9	4	−	8	5
Civey		10,050	–	22		27	20	8	11	5	−	7	5
INSA		1,214	–	21		28	19	10	10	3	−	9	7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,162	22	22		26	24	7	10	4	−	7	2
Allensbach		1,118	–	24		29	20.5	8	9	4.5	−	5	5
Kantar		1,425	–	22		26	21	8	10	5	−	8	4
Wahlkreisprognose		1,302	−	23.5		29	23	5.5	7.5	2.5	−	9	5.5
INSA		2,147	–	21.5		28	20.5	9	11	3	−	7	6.5
Forsa		2,502	23	22		27	22	8	8	4	−	9	5
INSA		1,501	–	22		27	18	10	10	4	−	9	5
Infratest dimap		1,226	–	22		26	20	8	11	4	−	9	4
YouGov		1,659	–	20		28	19	9	10	5	1	7	8
Kantar		1,426	–	22		26	20	9	10	5	−	8	4
Wahlkreisprognose		1,610	−		24	23.5	22.5	10.5	9	3	−	7.5	0.5
INSA		2,086	–	22.5		27.5	19	10	10.5	3.5	−	7	5
Forsa		2,501	–	23		26	21	9	9	4	−	8	3
Ipsos		906	–	24		25	16	11	11	5	−	8	1
INSA		1,501	–	23		27	18	11	10	3	−	8	4
pollytix		1,303	–	22		26	17	12	12	5	−	6	4
Kantar		1,570	–	23		27	19	9	9	5	−	8	4
INSA		2,146	–	23		27	19	9.5	10.5	4.5	−	6.5	4
Forsa		2,508	–	23		26	20	9	9	4	−	9	3
INSA		1,202	–	23		26	18	10	11	4	−	8	3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,170	21		25	23	21	9	11	4	−	7	2
Infratest dimap		1,314	–	24		26	18	9	11	3	−	9	2
Kantar		1,431	–	23		25	20	9	9	5	−	9	2
INSA		2,056	–	24		26.5	18	9	11.5	4.5	−	6.5	2.5
GMS		1,003	–		26		26	18	8	9	4	−	9	Tie
Forsa		2,507	25	24		25	20	9	9	4	−	9	1
Civey		10,011	–	24		25	20	9	11	4	−	7	1
Wahlkreisprognose		1,007	−		24.5	22.5	22	11	8.5	3	−	8.5	2
INSA		1,296	–	24		26	18	9	11	5	−	7	2
Kantar		1,715	–		25		25	19	9	9	4	−	9	Tie
INSA		2,073	–	23.5		26	19	9	11	4.5	−	7	2.5
Forsa		1,501	25		25		25	20	8	9	4	−	9	Tie
INSA		1,402	–	25		26	17	10	10	5	−	7	1
Infratest dimap		1,226	–	24		26	18	8	11	4	−	9	2
YouGov		1,643	–	21		26	18	9	12	6	1	7	5
Kantar		1,960	–		26	25	19	8	10	4	−	8	1
INSA		2,061	–	25		27	17.5	9	11	4.5	−	6	2
Forsa		2,500	25		27	24	19	8	9	4	−	9	3
INSA		1,503	–	25		26	16	10	11	4	−	8	1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,230	21		27	24	19	8	11	4	−	7	3
Infratest dimap		1,325	–	24		25	19	9	11	4	−	8	1
Allensbach		1,075	–		28	24	17	9	9	6	−	7	4
Kantar		1,437	–		27	25	19	8	10	4	−	7	2
Wahlkreisprognose		2,450	−		27	25.5	19	8.5	9	3	−	8	1.5
INSA		2,063	–	25		26	17.5	10.5	10.5	4.5	−	6	1
Ipsos		912	–		25	23	15	12	12	6	−	7	2
Forsa		2,508	24		27	24	19	8	9	4	−	9	3
INSA		1,501	–		26		26	16	10	11	4	−	7	Tie
Kantar		1,428	–	25		26	18	9	9	5	−	8	1
INSA		2,070	–	25		26	16.5	10	10.5	5.5	−	6.5	1
Forsa		2,507	22	24		26	18	9	9	5	−	9	2
INSA		1,205	–		26		26	16	10	11	5	−	6	Tie
Kantar		1,429	–		26	25	18	9	9	6	−	7	1
INSA		2,122	–	24.5		26.5	16.5	11	11	4.5	−	6	2
Forsa		2,501	22	23		27	18	10	9	5	−	8	4
Allensbach		1,041	–		25		25	17	10.5	10	5	−	7.5	Tie
Wahlkreisprognose		1,923	−		26.5	25.5	18.5	10	8.5	3	−	8	1
INSA		1,198	–		26		26	16	10	10	5	−	7	Tie
Infratest dimap		1,254	–	25		26	17	9	11	4	−	8	1
Kantar		1,416	–		26		26	19	8	9	5	−	7	Tie
INSA		2,073	–	25		25.5	15.5	10.5	10.5	5	−	8	0.5
Forsa		2,502	–	25		26	18	9	9	5	−	8	1
INSA		1,201	–		26	24	16	10	10	6	−	8	2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,345	19		27	24	18	9	10	5	−	7	3
YouGov		1,629	–	23		26	16	9	11	6	1	7	3
Kantar		1,426	–	25		26	19	8	10	5	−	7	1
INSA		2,103	–		25	24.5	15.5	11	10.5	6	−	7.5	0.5
Ipsos		935	–		25	24	16	11	11	6	−	7	1
Forsa		2,501	22		26	25	18	9	7	6	−	9	1
INSA		1,185	–		25		25	15	11	11	6	−	7	Tie
Infratest dimap		1,320	–	25		26	16	9	11	5	−	8	1
Kantar		1,405	–		26		26	17	8	10	6	−	7	Tie
INSA		2,067	–	23		27	15.5	11	10.5	6.5	−	6.5	4
Forsa		1,500	–	25		26	18	9	7	6	−	9	1
Wahlkreisprognose		2,030	−		26	23.5	17.5	11.5	10.5	4	−	7	2.5
GMS		1,005	–	24		27	15	10	9	6	−	9	3
INSA		1,405	–	23		26	15	11	12	7	−	6	3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,103	20		26	24	17	9	11	6	−	7	2
Kantar		1,432	–		26	25	17	9	10	7	−	6	1
INSA		1,539	–	23		27	14.5	12.5	11	6	−	6	4
Forsa		2,500	23	23		27	17	9	9	6	−	9	4
INSA		1,303	–	22		27	15	11	12	7	−	6	5
Infratest dimap		1,202	–	24		26	15	9	12	5	−	9	2
Allensbach		1,033	–	23		27	15	10.5	10	6	−	6.5	4
Wahlkreisprognose		1,200	−		25	24.5	17	9.5	9.5	6	−	8.5	0.5
YouGov		1,659	–	21		27	17	9	11	7	1	6	6
Kantar		1,434	–		24		24	16	10	12	6	−	8	Tie
INSA		2,141	–	22.5		26	15	12	12	6	−	6.5	3.5
Forsa		2,504	22	23		27	16	9	9	6	−	10	4
INSA		1,504	–	22		26	16	11	12	6	−	7	4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,224	18		25		25	16	9	11	6	−	8	Tie
pollytix		1,547	–	23		27	15	9	12	8	−	6	4
Kantar		1,287	–	22		26	16	10	12	6	−	8	4
INSA		2,067	–	23		26	15	12	11	7	−	6	3
Ipsos		910	–		25	24	16	8	12	8	−	7	1
Forsa		2,502	23	22		27	16	9	10	6	−	10	5
INSA		1,202	–	22		27	16	11	11	6	−	7	5
Wahlkreisprognose		2,330	−	21		28	19	8.5	10	5.5	−	8	7
Civey		10,070	–		25		25	15	10	11	6	–	8	Tie
Infratest dimap		1,339	–	22		27	16	10	12	5	–	8	5
Kantar		1,410	–		24		24	17	9	11	6	−	9	Tie
INSA		2,247	–	24		25	15	12.5	10	6.5	–	7	1
Forsa		2,501	23	23		27	16	9	10	6	–	9	4
INSA		1,383	–		26	24	16	11	11	6	–	6	2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,249	21		24	23	18	10	10	7	–	8	1
YouGov		1,602	–	23		26	15	8	12	8	2	7	3
Kantar		1,415	–		24		24	18	10	10	6	–	8	Tie
INSA		2,146	–		26	24	15	11.5	11	6	–	6.5	2
Forsa		2,502	22		25	24	16	10	10	6	–	9	1
INSA		1,204	–		26	23	16	12	12	6	–	5	3
Allensbach		1,090	–		27.5	23	14.5	12.5	10	5.5	–	7	4.5
Infratest dimap		1,424	–		25	24	16	10	12	5	–	8	1
Wahlkreisprognose		1,920	−		27.5	22.5	17	10.5	10	4.5	–	8	5
Kantar		1,441	–		26	22	17	9	12	6	–	8	4
INSA		2,130	–		26	22.5	15.5	12	12	6	–	6	3.5
Forsa		2,504	22		25		25	16	10	10	5	–	9	Tie
INSA		1,504	–		27	23	16	11	12	5	–	6	4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,128	21		27	22	16	11	10	6	–	8	5
Kantar		1,426	–		26	23	17	10	10	6	–	8	3
INSA		2,107	–		26.5	23	15	12	12	5	–	6.5	3.5
Forsa		3,003	22		25		25	17	10	9	5	–	9	Tie
Ipsos		929	–		25	21	15	11	12	6	–	10	4
INSA		1,504	–		27	23	16	12	11	5	–	6	4
Infratest dimap		1,325	–		26	23	16	11	11	5	–	8	3
INSA		2,060	–		26.5	23	15.5	11	11.5	6	–	6.5	3.5
GMS		1,003	–		26	24	16	12	11	4	–	7	2
2021 federal election		–	23.4		25.7	24.2	14.7	11.4	10.4	4.9	2.4	6.3	1.5

2021

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size		SPD	Union	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	FW	Others	Lead
INSA		1,201	–		27	24	16	10	11	5	–	7	3
INSA		1,195	–		28	23	15	11	11	5	–	7	5
INSA		2,075	–		27.5	21.5	14.5	13	11.5	5.5	–	6.5	6
Forsa		2,501	–		26	24	16	10	9	5	–	10	2
Wahlkreisprognose		1,120	−		30	21.5	14.5	11.5	10	4	–	8.5	8.5
INSA		1,501	–		27	23	14	12	12	5	–	7	4
Kantar		1,436	–		27	22	16	11	11	5	–	8	5
Allensbach		1,069	–		26	24	15	13	10.5	5	–	6.5	2
YouGov		1,715	–		27	23	16	10	11	6	2	6	4
Kantar		1,440	–		27	22	16	11	10	5	–	9	5
INSA		2,221	–		27	22	14.5	13	11.5	5.5	–	6.5	5
Forsa		2,509	–		26	23	15	11	10	5	–	10	3
INSA		1,480	–		26	22	15	13	11	5	–	8	4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,303	21		28	21	17	12	10	5	–	7	7
Infratest dimap		1,266	–		26	23	16	12	11	5	–	7	3
Civey		10,043	–		27	23	15	11	11	5	–	8	4
Kantar		1,439	–		28	21	15	11	11	5	3	6	7
INSA		2,119	–		26	22	15	13.5	11.5	5.5	–	6.5	4
Wahlkreisprognose		1,002	−		29	18	16.5	13.5	11	4	–	8	11
Forsa		2,503	–		25	22	17	11	10	5	–	10	3
INSA		1,348	–		26	21	15	13	12	5	–	8	5
Infratest dimap		1,316	–		25	23	17	12	11	5	–	7	2
Civey		10,078	–		26	24	15	11	11	5	–	8	2
Kantar		1,425	–		27	20	16	12	11	6	–	8	7
INSA		2,129	–		25	21	16	14	11	5.5	–	7.5	4
Forsa		2,509	–		24	22	17	12	10	5	–	10	2
INSA		1,403	–		26	21	15	13	12	6	–	7	5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,344	19		28	19	17	13	11	5	–	7	9
Infratest dimap		1,239	–		25	21	17	13	11	5	–	8	4
Wahlkreisprognose		1,002	–		27	22.5	15.5	11.5	10	5	–	8.5	4.5
Civey		10,064	–		25	24	15	11	11	5	–	9	1
YouGov		1,797	–		25	23	16	11	12	6	2	5	2
Kantar		1,424	–		24	22	18	11	11	6	–	8	2
INSA		2,096	–		26	22	14	14	11	5.5	–	7.5	4
Forsa		2,501	21		24	22	17	12	10	5	–	10	2
INSA		1,501	–		26	21	15	13	12	5	–	8	5
Civey		10,077	–		26	23	15	12	11	5	–	8	3
Kantar		1,433	–		24	21	18	12	11	6	–	8	3
INSA		2,091	–		27	21	15	13	11.5	5.5	–	7	6
Forsa		2,510	21		24	22	17	12	10	5	–	10	2
INSA		1,202	–		26	22	15	13	11	5	–	8	4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,257	16		28	20	16	13	11	5	–	7	8
Allensbach		1,016	–		27	23	15	14	9.5	5.5	–	6	4
Civey		9,999	–		26	22	15	13	11	5	–	8	4
Kantar		1,424	–		25	21	16	14	10	6	–	8	4
INSA		2,112	–		26.5	20.5	16	13.5	10.5	5.5	–	7.7	6
Forsa		2,502	–		25	22	16	14	9	5	–	9	3
INSA		1,212	–		27	21	15	14	11	5	–	7	6
Wahlkreisprognose		1,200	–		28	20.5	15.5	14	10.5	4	–	7.5	7.5
GMS		1,005	–		26	21	16	15	10	4	–	8	5
Infratest dimap		1,329	–		27	21	16	13	10	5	–	8	6
Civey		10,069	–		26	22	15	13	11	5	–	8	4
Kantar		1,417	–		25	22	16	13	10	5	3	6	3
INSA		2,140	–		27	20	16	13.5	11.5	5	–	7	7
Forsa		2,501	–		25	21	16	15	9	5	–	9	4
INSA		1,503	–		27	21	16	13	11	5	–	7	6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,208	15		27	20	16	14	11	5	–	7	7
Infratest dimap		1,239	–		26	22	16	13	10	4	–	9	4
Civey		10,050	–		25	21	15	14	12	5	–	8	4
Kantar		1,422	–		25	21	17	14	11	5	–	7	4
INSA		2,105	–		28	20	16	14	11	5	–	6	8
Forsa		2,510	–		25	20	17	16	9	5	–	8	5
INSA		1,205	–		27	20	17	14	11	4	–	7	7
Civey		10,028	–		25	20	15	15	11	6	–	8	5
Kantar		1,424	–		25	21	16	13	11	5	–	9	4
INSA		2,140	–		28	18.5	16	15	11.5	5	–	6	9.5
Forsa		2,502	–		26	20	16	15	9	5	–	9	6
INSA		1,195	–		28	19	16	13	11	4	–	9	9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,329	14		28	19	17	13	11	5	–	7	9
Allensbach		1,045	–		28	21	15	14	9.5	5	–	7.5	7
Civey		9,999	–		26	20	14	15	11	6	–	8	6
Kantar		1,410	–		26	19	17	14	10	5	–	9	7
INSA		2,101	–		28.5	19.5	16	14.5	11	4	–	6.5	9
Wahlkreisprognose		1,210	–		27	19	17.5	14	10	4	–	8.5	8
Forsa		2,503	–		26	20	16	14	9	5	–	10	6
INSA		1,509	–		28	20	15	14	10	5	–	8	8
Civey		10,009	–		28	19	15	14	11	6	–	7	9
Kantar		1,985	–		26	20	17	13	10	5	3	6	6
INSA		2,000	–		28	21	15.5	13.5	10	4.5	–	7.5	7
Forsa		3,004	–		26	20	16	14	9	5	–	10	6
INSA		1,254	–		28	21	16	12	10	5	–	8	7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,249	15		28	20	16	13	10	5	–	8	8
2021 federal election		–	23.4		25.7	24.2	14.7	11.4	10.4	4.9	2.4	6.3	1.5

CDU and CSU

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	CDU	Grüne	FDP	AfD	CSU	Linke	FW	BSW	Others	Lead
INSA		2,008	15		23.5	10.5	5	18	7	3	–	9.5	8.5	5.5
INSA		2,002	15		24	10.5	5	17	6.5	3	–	9.5	9.5	7
INSA		2,006	15		24.5	10	5	18	5.5	3.5	–	9.5	9	6.5
INSA		2,010	15		24.5	10.5	5	17	6.5	3.5	–	9	9	7.5
INSA		2,500	15		24.5	11.5	5	18	6.5	3	–	8.5	8	6.5
INSA		2,007	15		24	11	5.5	17.5	6.5	3	1.5	8.5	7.5	6.5
INSA		2,006	15		24	12	5.5	17.5	5.5	2.5	2	8.5	7.5	6.5
INSA		2,008	14.5		24.5	11.5	5	17.5	6	3	2	8.5	7.5	7
INSA		2,010	15		24.5	11	5	17	6.5	3	2	8	8	7.5
INSA		2,008	15.5		23	12	5	16	7	3	2.5	7.5	8.5	7
INSA		2,002	16		24	12	5	15.5	6.5	3.5	2.5	7.5	7.5	8
INSA		2,004	15		25	12	5	17	5.5	3	2.5	7	8	8
INSA		2,010	16		23.5	12.5	5	17	6.5	3	3	7	6.5	6.5
INSA		2,087	15.5		24.5	13	5	17	6	3.5	2.5	7	6	7.5
INSA		2,006	15.5		23.5	12	5	18	7	3.5	2.5	7.5	5.5	5.5
Forsa		2,000	16		24.5	12	6	15	6.5	3	–	4	13	8.5
INSA		2,004	16.5		23.5	12.5	5	18.5	6	3.5	2.5	7	5	5
INSA		2,008	15		23.5	12.5	5	18.5	7	4	2.5	7	5	5
INSA		2,006	16		23.5	13	6	18.5	6	3	2.5	6.5	5	5
INSA		2,084	15		23.5	13	5	18.5	7	3.5	2.5	6.5	5.5	5
INSA		2,004	15		23.5	12.5	5	19.5	6.5	3.5	2.5	6.5	5.5	4
INSA		2,008	15.5		23.5	12.5	5	19.5	6.5	3.5	2.5	6.5	5	4
INSA		2,002	16		23.5	12	5	19.5	6	3.5	2.5	6.5	5.5	4
INSA		2,079	14.5		25.5	12.5	5.5	18.5	5.5	3.5	2.5	6.5	5.5	7
INSA		2,007	14.5		24.5	13	5.5	19.5	6	3	2.5	6.5	5	5
INSA		2,006	15.5		24	13	4.5	19	6.5	3	3	7.5	4	5
INSA		2,007	14.5		24	12.5	4.5	19.5	6.5	3.5	3	7.5	4.5	4.5
INSA		2,083	15		23.5	12.5	3.5	20.5	6.5	3.5	3	7.5	4.5	3
INSA		2,004	15		24	12.5	4.5	20.5	6	3.5	3	7.5	3.5	3.5
INSA		2,002	14.5		23.5	12.5	5	21	6.5	3.5	2.5	7	4	2.5
INSA		2,006	13.5		23.5	12.5	5	21.5	7	3	2.5	–	11.5	2
INSA		2,004	14		24	12	5	23	7	4	3	–	8	1
INSA		2,008	16		25	12	5	23	7	4	3	–	5	2
INSA		2,002	15		25	13	5	22.5	7	4	3	–	5.5	2.5
INSA		2,000	15		25	12	5	23	7	4	3	–	6	2
INSA		2,002	15,5		24.5	12.5	5	23	7	4	2.5	–	6	1.5
INSA		2,008	16		23.5	12.5	6	22.5	6.5	4	3	–	6	1
INSA		2,006	15.5		23	13	6	22.5	6.5	3.5	3	–	7	0.5
INSA		2,007	15.5		24.5	12.5	6	22	6	4	3	–	6.5	2.5
INSA		2,008	16.5		25.5	13	5.5	21	4.5	4.5	3	–	6.5	4.5
INSA		2,008	16.5		24.5	13.5	5	21.5	6	4.5	3	–	5.5	3
INSA		2,006	16.5		23	13.5	5.5	22	6.5	4.5	3	–	5.5	1
INSA		2,010	16.5		23.5	13	5.5	21	7	4	3.5	–	6	2.5
INSA		2,004	16.5		22	13	5.5		22	6.5	5	3.5	–	6	Tie
INSA		2,006	16.5	21.5	13	6		23	6.5	4.5	4	–	5	1.5
INSA		2,001	17	20.5	13.5	6		22.5	6.5	5	3	–	6	2
INSA		2,010	18	21	13.5	7		22	5.5	5	2.5	–	5.5	1
INSA		2,003	17.5	20.5	13.5	6.5		21.5	6.5	5	3	–	6	1
INSA		2,008	17		21	14.5	6		21	5.5	5	3.5	–	6.5	Tie
INSA		2,002	18	19.5	14	7		22	7	4.5	–	–	8	2.5
INSA		2,010	17.5	20	13.5	7.5		21.5	6.5	4.5	–	–	9	1.5
INSA		2,006	18	20.5	14.5	7		21	6	4.5	–	–	8.5	0.5
INSA		2,008	18.5	19.5	14	8		20.5	7	5	–	–	7.5	1
INSA		2,002	19.5	19.5	13.5	7		21	6.5	4.5	–	–	8.5	1.5
INSA		2,004	19		22	14.5	7.5	20.5	5	4.5	–	–	7	1.5
INSA		2,003	18.5	20	14	6.5		21.5	6.5	5	–	–	8	1.5
INSA		2,006	18.5	20.5	14	7.5		21.5	6	4.5	–	–	7.5	1
INSA		2,004	18	20	14	7		20.5	7	5	–	–	8.5	0.5
INSA		2,008	19		21	14	7	20.5	5	5	–	–	8.5	0.5
INSA		2,897	19	20.5	14.5	6.5		21	5	5	–	–	8.5	0.5
INSA		2,004	19.5	20	13.5	6.5		20.5	6.5	4.5	–	–	9	0.5
INSA		2,006	20		20.5	13.5	7.5	20	6	4.5	–	–	8	0.5
INSA		2,003	20		21	13	8	19.5	6	4.5	–	–	8	1
INSA		2,009	19		20.5	13.5	9	19	6	5	–	–	8	1.5
INSA		2,004	20.5		23	13	8.5	18	5	4.5	–	–	7.5	2.5
INSA		2,004	20.5		21	14	8.5	17	6.5	5	–	–	7.5	0.5
INSA		2,010	20		22	14.5	8.5	16.5	6	5	–	–	7.5	2
INSA		2,008	20		22	14	9	16.5	6	4.5	–	–	8	2
INSA		2,006		21		21	15	8	16.5	6	4.5	–	–	8	Tie
INSA		2,004	20		21	14.5	9	16	6.5	4.5	–	–	8.5	1
INSA		2,008		21	20.5	15	8	16	7	4.5	–	–	8	0.5
INSA		2,005	20		22	15.5	8	16	5.5	4.5	–	–	8.5	2
INSA		2,007	20		22	15.5	7.5	16	6	4.5	–	–	8.5	2
INSA		2,004	20.5		23	16	8	15.5	5	4	–	–	8	2.5
INSA		2,006	21.5		22	15	7.5	16	6	5	–	–	7	0.5
INSA		2,002	21.5		22	15.5	7.5	16	6.5	4	–	–	7	0.5
INSA		2,007	20		23.5	15.5	7.5	15.5	6	5	–	–	7	3.5
INSA		2,010	20.5		23.5	15.5	7.5	15.5	6	4.5	–	–	7	3
INSA		2,006	21.5		24	15.5	7	15.5	5	5	–	–	6.5	2.5
INSA		2,005	20		21	16	7.5	16	7	5	–	–	7.5	1
INSA		2,008		21	20	16	8	15.5	7	5	–	–	7.5	1
INSA		2,007	20.5		21	16	7.5	15	7.5	5	–	–	7.5	0.5
INSA		2,009	20.5		22	16.5	7.5	15	6	4.5	–	–	8	1.5
INSA		2,006		21		21	16.5	7.5	15	7	5	–	–	7	Tie
INSA		2,006	20		21	17.5	7.5	15	6	5	–	–	8	1
INSA		2,010	20		21	17.5	7.5	15	6	4.5	–	–	8.5	1
INSA		2,005	21		22	17.5	7.5	14.5	5.5	4.5	–	–	7.5	1
INSA		2,007	20		21.5	18	7	15.5	7	4.5	–	–	6.5	1.5
INSA		2,008	20.5		22	17	7	14.5	6	5	–	–	8	1.5
INSA		2,006		21		21	17.5	7	15	6	5	–	–	7.5	Tie
INSA		2,004	20		22	17	7.5	15	6	5	–	–	7.5	2
INSA		2,010	20.5		21	17.5	7	15	6.5	4.5	–	–	8	0.5
INSA		2,007		21		21	17.5	8	14.5	6	4.5	–	–	7.5	Tie
INSA		2,009		20.5	20	18	9	15	6	4.5	–	–	7	0.5
INSA		2,007		20.5		20.5	17.5	8.5	15	6	4.5	–	–	7.5	Tie
INSA		2,000	19.5		20.5	18.5	7.5	15.5	7	4.5	–	–	7	1
INSA		2,005	19.5		20.5	19	7.5	15	7	5	–	–	6.5	1
INSA		2,008	19		21.5	18.5	8	15	6	5.5	–	–	6.5	2.5
INSA		2,102	18		21.5	19.5	8	15	6	5.5	–	–	6.5	2
INSA		2,080	18.5		22	19	7.5	14	6.5	5.5	–	–	7	3
INSA		2,039	18		22	20	8	13.5	6	5.5	–	–	7	2
INSA		2,004	18		22	20.5	7.5	13.5	6	5.5	–	–	7	1.5
INSA		2,138	19		22.5	20.5	8	13	5	5.5	–	–	6.5	2
INSA		2,091	18.5		22	21	7.5	13	6	5.5	–	–	6.5	1
INSA		2,146	19		22		22	8	12	6	5	–	–	6	Tie
INSA		2,099	18	21		21.5	8	12.5	6	5.5	–	–	7.5	0.5
INSA		2,144	18.5	20.5		22	8	12	6	5	–	–	8	1.5
INSA		2,043	18.5	21.5		22	8	12	5	5	–	–	8	0.5
INSA		2,062	18.5	21.5		22	8	12	5	4.5	–	–	8.5	0.5
INSA		2,044	20		21.5	21	8.5	11	5.5	4.5	–	–	8	0.5
INSA		2,066	19		23	21	9.5	11	5	4	–	–	7.5	2
INSA		2,101	20		22	21.5	9	10.5	5	4	–	–	8	0.5
INSA		2,063	19.5		21		21	9.5	10	7	4	–	–	8	Tie
INSA		2,082	20		21.5	21	9.5	10.5	6	3.5	–	–	8	0.5
INSA		2,055	20		21.5		21.5	9.5	10.5	5.5	3.5	–	–	8	Tie
INSA		2,056		22	20.5	20.5	8.5	10	6.5	3.5	–	–	8.5	1.5
INSA		2,100		22		22	20	8.5	10.5	6.5	3	–	–	7.5	Tie
INSA		2,147	21.5		23	20.5	9	11	5	3	–	–	7	1.5
INSA		2,086		22.5	21	19	10	10.5	6.5	3.5	–	–	7	1.5
INSA		2,146		23	21	19	9.5	10.5	6	4.5	–	–	6.5	2
INSA		2,056		24	20	18	9	11.5	6.5	4.5	–	–	6.5	4
INSA		2,073		23.5	20	19	9	11	6	4.5	–	–	7	3.5
INSA		2,061		25	20	17.5	9	11	7	4.5	–	–	6	5
INSA		2,063		25	21	17.5	10.5	10.5	5	4.5	–	–	6	4
INSA		2,070		25	21	16.5	10	10.5	5	5.5	–	–	6.5	4
INSA		2,122		24.5	20.5	16.5	11	11	6	4.5	–	–	6	4
INSA		2,073		25	19.5	15.5	10.5	10.5	6	5	–	–	8	5.5
INSA		2,103		25	19	15.5	11	10.5	5.5	6	–	–	7.5	6
INSA		1,539		23	22	14.5	12.5	11	5	6	–	–	6	1
INSA		2,141		22.5	21	15	12	12	5	6	–	–	6.5	1.5
INSA		2,067		23	20	15	12	11	6	7	–	–	6	3
INSA		2,147		24	20	15	12.5	10	5	6.5	–	–	7	4
INSA		2,146		26	19	15	11.5	11	5	6	–	–	6.5	7
INSA		2,130		26	17	15.5	12	12	5.5	6	–	–	6.5	9
INSA		2,107		26.5	18	15	12	12	5	5	–	–	6.5	8.5
INSA		2,060		26.5	17	15.5	11	11.5	6	6	–	–	6.5	9.5
INSA		2,075		27.5	17	14.5	13	11.5	4.5	5.5	–	–	6.5	10.5
INSA		2,221		27	17	14.5	13	11.5	5	5.5	–	–	6.5	10
INSA		2,119		26	17	15	13.5	11.5	5	5.5	–	–	6.5	9
INSA		2,129		25	17	16	14	11	4	5.5	–	–	7.5	8
INSA		2,096		26	18	14	14	11	4	5.5	–	–	7.5	8
INSA		2,091		27	16.5	15	13	11.5	4.5	5.5	–	–	7	10.5
INSA		2,112		26.5	16.5	16	13.5	10.5	4	5.5	–	–	7.5	10
INSA		2,105		28	16	16	14	11	4	5	–	–	6	12
INSA		2,140		28	13.5	16	15	11.5	5	5	–	–	6	12
INSA		2,101		28.5	14	16	14.5	11	5.5	4	–	–	6.5	12.5
INSA		2,000		28	15	15.5	13.5	10	6	4.5	–	–	7.5	12.5
2021 federal election		–		25.7	19.0	14.7	11.4	10.4	5.2	4.9	2.4	–	6.3	6.8

Scenario polls

New party scenarios

Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size		SPD	Union	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	FW	BSW	Others	Don't Know	Lead
Wahlkreisprognose		1,500	24	13		28.5	11.5	6	23.5	3	2	6	6.5	–	5
Wahlkreisprognose		1,200	25	14.5		28	12.5	5.5	23.5	3	–	6	7	–	4.5
INSA		1,004	–	17		24	13	5	17	2	3	14	5	–	7
INSA		1,005	–	15		29	12	5	17	4	–	14	2	–	12
Wahlkreisprognose		1,300	24	15.5		26.5	12.5	5.5	18	3	–	13	6	–	8.5
INSA		2,004	–	15.5		26.5	12.5	5.5	18	4	–	12	6	–	8.5
INSA		2,003	–	17		23	14	6	16	3	–	15	6	–	6
YouGov		2,317	5	14		25	12	5	19	5	–	2	5	9	6
Wahlkreisprognose		1,419	25	22		26	14	4	13	2	–	14	5	–	4
Wahlkreisprognose		1,700	–	20		24	17	7	11	3	–	10	8	–	4

Boris Palmer list

Leadership scenarios

Friedrich Merz as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	Union	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	FW	BSW	Others	Lead
Wahlkreisprognose		1,200	15.5		26.5	10	5	24.5	3	–	6.5	9	2
Wahlkreisprognose		1,525		22.5	20	14	6.5	20	4	5	–	8	2.5

Boris Pistorius as SPD chancellor candidate

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	Union	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	FW	BSW	Others	Lead
Wahlkreisprognose		1,200		24	23	9	4	23	2	–	7	8	1
Wahlkreisprognose		1,525		27.5	17	13.5	6	20	3.5	3	–	9.5	7.5

Hendrik Wüst as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate

Markus Söder as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate

Sahra Wagenknecht as Linke lead candidate

Other scenarios

National-wide CSU

CDU/CSU open for cooperation with AfD

By state

Bavaria

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	CSU	SPD	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Free Voters	Linke	Others	Lead
Wahlkreisprognose		1,944		33	18	15	6	12	8	2	6	15
Forsa		1,049		36	12	22	8	8	-	2	12	14
Forsa		1,235		34	14	21	8	8	7	2	6	13
2021 federal election		–		31.7	18.0	14.1	10.5	9.0	7.5	2.8	6.4	13.7

Brandenburg

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	AfD	CDU	FDP	Grüne	Linke	BSW	Others	Lead
Forsa		1,007	17		33	20	4	8	6	3	9	13
Wahlkreisprognose		1,100		25		25	14	5	12.5	9	–	9.5	Tie
Wahlkreisprognose		1,001		35.5	16.5	15.5	4	14	5.5	–	9	19
2021 federal election		–		29.5	18.1	15.3	9.3	9.0	8.5	–	10.3	11.4

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	AfD	CDU	Linke	FDP	Grüne	BSW	Others	Lead
Infratest dimap		1,177	19		23		23	6	–	8	12	9	Tie
Forsa		1,005	15		27	23	6	3	7	13	6	4
Forsa		1,002	15		32	22	8	3	8	5	7	10
Infratest dimap		1,182	21		32	21	7	4	8	–	7	11
Forsa		1,004	20		23	22	11	4	10	–	10	1
Infratest dimap		1,168		25	24	20	10	4	9	–	8	1
Infratest dimap		1,183		25	18	23	9	5	12	–	8	2
Forsa		1,001		29	16	21	10	6	9	–	9	8
2021 federal election		–		29.1	18.0	17.4	11.1	8.2	7.8	–	8.4	11.1

North Rhine-Westphalia

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	CDU	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	BSW	Others	Lead
Forsa		1,060	18		34	13	5	14	2	5	9	16
Forsa		1,502	18		32	16	5	14	3	4	8	14
Forsa		1,506	23		30	15	7	15	3	–	7	7
Forsa		1,005	22		32	18	6	10	4	–	8	10
Forsa		1,511	21		30	22	6	10	4	–	7	9
Wahlkreisprognose		1,040		25.5	25	22	8	8.5	3	–	8	0.5
Forsa		1,008	25		30	25	6	6	2	–	6	5
Forsa		2,006		28	25	18	10	8	4	–	7	3
Forsa		2,009		29	23	18	12	7	4	–	7	6
2021 federal election		–		29.1	26.0	16.1	11.4	7.3	3.7	–	6.5	3.1

Rhineland-Palatinate

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	CDU	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	Others	Lead
Wahlkreisprognose		1,042	30		30.5	19	5	5	1.5	9	0.5
2021 federal election		–		29.4	24.7	12.6	11.7	9.2	3.3	9.2	4.7

Saxony

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	AfD	SPD	CDU	Linke	FDP	Grüne	BSW	Others	Lead
Forsa		1,507		36	9	23	6	4	8	4	7	13
2021 federal election		–		24.6	19.3	17.2	9.3	11.0	8.6	–	9.9	5.3

Saxony-Anhalt

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	CDU	AfD	Linke	FDP	Grüne	BSW	Others	Lead
Wahlkreisprognose		1,000	12	20		28	5	5	5	17	8	8
Wahlkreisprognose		1,005		21.5		21.5	19.5	13	7.5	7.5	–	9.5	Tie
2021 federal election		–		25.4	21.0	19.6	9.6	9.5	6.5	–	8.4	4.4

Schleswig-Holstein

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	CDU	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	Others	Lead
Wahlkreisprognose		2,000		28	22.5	22	10	6	4.5	7	5.5
2021 federal election		–		28.0	22.0	18.3	12.5	6.8	3.6	8.7	6.0

Thuringia

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	AfD	SPD	CDU	Linke	FDP	Grüne	BSW	Others	Lead
Forsa		1,253		36	12	23	9	3	6	3	8	13
Wahlkreisprognose		1,016		32	19.5	18.5	8.5	5	7.5	–	9	12.5
Wahlkreisprognose		994	22.5		27	18	8	6	8.5	–	10	4.5
2021 federal election		–		24.0	23.4	16.9	11.4	9.0	6.5	–	8.7	0.6

By West and East Germany

West Germany

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	Union	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	FW	BSW	Others	Lead
INSA		2,008 in all of Germany	16		32	12	5	16	2	–	8	9	16
YouGov		2,295 in all of Germany	15		32	12	4	16	3	2	7	8	16
INSA		2,000 in all of Germany	16		34	13	5	20	3	–	–	9	14
Forsa		2,505 in all of Germany	19		30	16	7	13	5	–	–	10	11
INSA		2,102 in all of Germany	19		28	21	8	12	5	–	–	7	9
2021 federal election		–		26.1	25.6	15.9	11.9	8.2	3.7	–	–	8.6	0.5

East Germany

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	AfD	CDU	Linke	FDP	Grüne	BSW	Others	Lead
INSA		2,008 in all of Germany	11		28	22	5	5	6	15	8	6
YouGov		2,295 in all of Germany	10		26	19	5	2	10	19	8	7
INSA		2,000 in all of Germany	12		36	24	7	4	8	–	9	12
Verian		830 in East Germany	12		32	24	9	4	9	–	10	8
Forsa		2,505 in all of Germany	16		32	23	8	6	6	–	9	9
INSA		7,618 in all of Germany	20		26	23	9	8	10	–	4	3
INSA		2,102 in all of Germany	15		27	26	8	7	14	–	3	1
2021 federal election		–		24.1	20.5	16.8	10.4	9.5	9.2	–	9.5	3.6

Chancellor polling

These polls were conducted before the announcement of each party's candidate for Chancellor; they gauged opinion on various politicians who were considered to be plausible candidates for their respective parties.

Scholz vs. Merz

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz	Merz	Neither
Forsa		2,503	26	26	48
Forsa		2,502	27	27	46
INSA		1,004	23		35	42
Forsa		2,500	28	28	44
Forsa		2,501	27	27	46
Forsa		2,504	26		29	45
Forsa		2,503	26		29	45
Forsa		2,504	25		28	47
Forsa		2,506	27		28	45
Forsa		2,505	27		29	44
Forsa		2,504	28		30	42
Forsa		2,505		30	28	42
Forsa		2,506		31	28	41
Forsa		2,503		33	31	36
Wahlkreisprognose		2,500	26		31	43
Forsa		1,503		32	29	39
Wahlkreisprognose		1,300		26		26	48
Wahlkreisprognose		1,300	23		25	52
INSA		1,001	21		28	51
Wahlkreisprognose		1,366	21		32	47
Forsa		1,502	27		28	45
INSA		1,004	23		26	51
Wahlkreisprognose		1,500	17		34	49
INSA		1,001	17		18	65
Forsa		2,501		36	32	32
Wahlkreisprognose		1,200	19		29	52
Wahlkreisprognose		1,300		25	24	51
Wahlkreisprognose		1,200		27	24	49
INSA		1,001		23	15	62
Wahlkreisprognose		1,200		23	20	57
Wahlkreisprognose		1,525		26	24	50
Wahlkreisprognose		1,399		31	21	48
INSA		1,003		25	16	59
Wahlkreisprognose		1,100		28	27	45
Wahlkreisprognose		1,400		36	30	34
Wahlkreisprognose		1,200		33	21	46
Wahlkreisprognose		1,419		33	20	47
Wahlkreisprognose		1,421		33	19	48
Wahlkreisprognose		1,500		29	25	46
Wahlkreisprognose		1,500		38	21	41
Wahlkreisprognose		1,300		37	21	42
Wahlkreisprognose		1,910		36	24	40
Wahlkreisprognose		1,923		36	29	35
Wahlkreisprognose		1,700		36	24	40
Wahlkreisprognose		1,433		40	13	47
Wahlkreisprognose		2,920		42	13	45
Wahlkreisprognose		1,400		46	16	38
Forsa		2,501		40	18	42
Forsa		2,503		43	17	40
Forsa		2,502		43	17	40
Forsa		2,500		42	19	39
Wahlkreisprognose		2,430		46	15	39
Forsa		2,504		39	20	41
Forsa		2,511		38	21	41
Wahlkreisprognose		1,603		46	16	38
Forsa		2,002		41	20	39
Wahlkreisprognose		1,500		45	18	37
Forsa		2,004		39	20	41
Forsa		2,505		41	19	40
INSA		1,003		26	15	59
Wahlkreisprognose		1,302		42	26	32
Forsa		2,502		42	19	39
Wahlkreisprognose		1,610		46	26	28
Forsa		2,501		42	18	40
Forsa		2,508		43	19	38
Forsa		2,507		42	18	40
Wahlkreisprognose		1,007		45	16	39
Forsa		1,501		43	18	39
Forsa		2,500		42	18	40
Wahlkreisprognose		2,450		51	17	32
Forsa		2,508		43	18	39
Forsa		2,507		42	20	38
Forsa		2,501		44	20	36
Wahlkreisprognose		3,923		51.5	21.5	27
Forsa		2,502		46	19	35
Forsa		2,501		48	19	33
Forsa		1,500		45	20	35
Wahlkreisprognose		2,030		49	19	32
Forsa		2,500		42	20	38
Wahlkreisprognose		1,220		43	25	32
Forsa		2,504		40	21	39
Forsa		2,502		40	22	38
Wahlkreisprognose		2,330		42	31	27
Forsa		2,501		43	21	36
Forsa		2,502		48	19	33
Forsa		2,504		48	17	35
Wahlkreisprognose		1,030		54	19	27
Forsa		3,003		49	18	33
Forsa		2,501		50	18	32
Wahlkreisprognose		1,120		55	20	25
Forsa		2,509		45	18	37
Forsa		2,501		45	19	36
Forsa		2,510		46	19	35
Wahlkreisprognose		1,004		44	21	35
Forsa		2,502		52	17	31

Scholz vs. Söder

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz	Söder	Neither
INSA		1,004	23		41	36
Forsa		1,503	30		36	34
Forsa		1,502	27		40	33
INSA		1,004	20		36	44
INSA		1,001	26		32	42
INSA		1,003	30		31	39
INSA		1,003		32	29	39
Wahlkreisprognose		1,120		49	28	23
Forsa		2,502		39	33	28
Forsa		2,503		37	33	30

Scholz vs. Wüst

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz	Wüst	Neither
INSA		1,004	23		26	51
Forsa		1,503	28	28	44
Forsa		1,502	25		36	39
INSA		1,003		29	18	53
INSA		1,003		32	14	54

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Habeck

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz	Merz	Habeck	Neither
INSA		1,250	17		31	16	36
Forsa		2,001	17		26	18	39
Forsa		2,006	17		25	17	41
Forsa		2,000	18		23	17	42
Forsa		2,505	17		23	17	43
Forsa		2,501	17		22	16	45
Forsa		2,505	17		22	16	45
INSA		1,003	20		30	14	36
Forsa		2,506	18		21	17	44
Forsa		1,508	19		22	17	42
Forsa		2,503	18		22	17	43
Forsa		2,500	16		21	18	45
Forsa		2,502	15		21	19	45
Forsa		2,506	15		23	18	44
Forsa		2,503	15		25	18	42
Forsa		2,504	14		24	18	44
Forsa		2,502	15		23	19	43
Forsa		2,503	12		25	19	44
Forsa		2,506	12		24	19	45
Forsa		2,503	13		25	17	45
Forsa		2,504	15		24	15	46
Forsa		2,502	15		24	15	46
Forsa		–	15		25	17	43
Forsa		2,501	15		24	18	43
Forsa		2,501	15		24	18	43
Forsa		2,501	16		24	18	42
Forsa		2,500	17		22	19	42
Forsa		2,501	19		21	18	42
Forsa		2,504	19		22	18	41
Forsa		2,502	20		21	17	42
Forsa		2,501		20		20	16	44
Forsa		2,504	20		21	15	44
Forsa		2,501	19		20	17	44
Forsa		2,003		22	20	16	42
Forsa		2,004		22	20	16	42
Forsa		2,503		22	20	16	42
Forsa		2,504		21	19	16	44
Forsa		2,505		21	19	16	44
Forsa		2,506		21	20	16	43
Forsa		2,504		21	19	15	45
Forsa		2,506		21	19	15	45
Forsa		2,501		21	18	15	46
Forsa		2,502		21	17	16	46
Forsa		2,500		22	18	17	43
Forsa		2,504		23	20	16	41
Forsa		2,502		23	20	17	40
Forsa		2,003		22	20	16	42
Forsa		2,501		21	20	16	43
Forsa		2,506		23	20	16	41
Forsa		2,503		25	20	15	40
Forsa		2,504		25	21	15	39
Forsa		2,505		25	23	14	38
Forsa		2,001		25	23	14	38
Forsa		2,003		26	22	13	39
Forsa		2,503		24	23	14	39
Forsa		2,505		24	22	15	39
Wahlkreisprognose		1,400		31	26	8	35
Forsa		2,007		23	22	16	39
Forsa		2,506	22		24	16	38
Forsa		2,508	23		25	17	35
Forsa		1,501	21		23	18	38
Forsa		2,502		23	21	17	39
Forsa		2,506		24	22	18	36
Wahlkreisprognose		1,200		29	18	13	40
Forsa		2,503		26	21	17	36
Forsa		2,505		27	21	17	35
Forsa		2,504		25	20	19	36
Wahlkreisprognose		1,419		27	17	11	45
Forsa		2,501		27	19	19	35
Forsa		2,510		25	20	19	36
Forsa		2,505		27	20	20	33
Forsa		2,502		26	20	20	34
Forsa		2,503		25	21	20	34
Wahlkreisprognose		1,421		26	16	12	46
Forsa		2,502		23	21	21	35
Wahlkreisprognose		1,500		22	21	15	42
Forsa		2,500		22	20	20	38
Forsa		2,502		21	20	20	39
Forsa		2,503		23	19	20	38
Forsa		2,506		24	19	19	38
Wahlkreisprognose		1,500		24	22	13	41
Forsa		2,500		22	20	20	38
Forsa		2,505		23	20	20	37
Forsa		2,502		22	20	20	38
Forsa		2,503		21	20	20	39
Wahlkreisprognose		1,300		25	22	13	40
Forsa		2,502		22	19	19	40
Forsa		2,503		23	19	19	39
Forsa		2,502		24	19	18	39
Wahlkreisprognose		1,910		28	19	15	38
Forsa		2,505		23	19	19	39
Forsa		2,501		24	18	17	41
Wahlkreisprognose		1,923		28	25	14	33
Forsa		2,001		22	20	17	41
Forsa		2,505		22		22	17	39
Wahlkreisprognose		1,700		29	25	15	31
Forsa		2,506		23	22	18	37
Forsa		2,501		21	20		21	38
Wahlkreisprognose		1,300		30	24	15	31
INSA		1,000		24	23	19	34
Forsa		2,500	21	18		25	36
Forsa		2,503	20	16		27	37
Forsa		2,505	20	16		25	39
INSA		1,002	18	19		25	38
Wahlkreisprognose		1,433		36	13	30	21
Forsa		2,500	22	16		26	36
Wahlkreisprognose		2,920		32	15	28	25
Forsa		2,504	24	16		27	33
Forsa		2,504	23	18		28	31
INSA		1,002		24	18	21	37
Forsa		2,510	25	17		30	28
Wahlkreisprognose		1,400		39	11	32	18
Forsa		2,002	26	17		31	26
Wahlkreisprognose		2,430		40	13	31	16
Wahlkreisprognose		1,603		38	13	27	22
Wahlkreisprognose		1,500		35	14	29	21
Wahlkreisprognose		1,302		37	21	25	17
Wahlkreisprognose		1,610		38	21	24	17

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel vs. Wagenknecht

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz	Merz	Baerbock	Weidel	Wagenknecht	Neither
Wahlkreisprognose		2,500	14		18	9	13	9	37
Wahlkreisprognose		1,300	15		18	10	11	12	34
Wahlkreisprognose		1,300	13		17	10	12	11	37
Wahlkreisprognose		1,366	11		19	10	14	10	36
Wahlkreisprognose		1,500	10		22	11	18	8	31
Wahlkreisprognose		1,200	16		19	9	17	8	31
Wahlkreisprognose		1,300		18	16	9	14	13	30

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz	Merz	Baerbock	Neither
Forsa		2,001	20		29	17	34
Forsa		2,006	20		28	15	37
Forsa		2,000	21		26	16	37
Forsa		2,505	21		26	16	37
Forsa		2,501	20		25	16	39
Forsa		2,505	20		25	17	38
INSA		1,003	18		32	17	33
Forsa		1,506	21		24	16	39
Forsa		1,508	22		25	16	37
Forsa		2,503	21		25	16	38
Forsa		2,500	19		24	17	40
Forsa		2,502	18		24	19	39
Forsa		2,506	18		26	17	39
Forsa		2,503	18		27	18	37
Forsa		2,504	17		27	18	38
Forsa		2,502	18		26	18	38
Forsa		2,503	16		28	18	38
Forsa		2,506	15		28	17	40
Forsa		2,503	16		28	16	40
Forsa		2,504	17		27	15	41
Forsa		2,502	17		27	15	41
Forsa		–	18		28	17	37
Forsa		2,501	19		27	17	37
Forsa		2,501	18		28	17	37
Forsa		2,501	19		27	17	37
Forsa		2,500	19		25	17	39
Forsa		2,501	22		24	16	38
Forsa		2,504	22		25	16	37
Forsa		2,502	23		24	16	37
Forsa		2,501	22		23	17	38
Forsa		2,504		23		23	17	37
Forsa		2,501		22		22	18	38
Forsa		2,003		23	22	18	37
Forsa		2,004		24	22	17	37
Forsa		2,503		24	22	18	36
Forsa		2,504		23	21	17	39
Forsa		2,505		23	22	17	38
Forsa		2,506		22		22	17	39
Forsa		2,504		22	21	17	40
Forsa		2,506		22	21	16	41
Forsa		2,501		22	20	16	42
Forsa		2,502		22	19	18	41
Forsa		2,500		24	21	18	37
Forsa		2,504		25	23	17	35
Forsa		2,502		25	22	18	35
Forsa		2,003		24	22	18	36
Forsa		2,501		23		23	19	35
Forsa		2,506		24	23	19	34
Forsa		2,503		26	23	19	32
Forsa		2,504		26	23	19	32
Forsa		2,505		26	25	19	30
Forsa		2,001		27	25	19	29
Forsa		2,003		27	24	18	31
Forsa		2,503		25		25	18	32
Forsa		2,505		26	24	18	32
Wahlkreisprognose		1,400		30	25	13	32
Forsa		2,007		25		25	19	31
Forsa		2,506	24		26	19	31
Forsa		2,508	25		27	18	30
Forsa		1,501	24		25	19	32
Forsa		2,502		24	23	20	33
Forsa		2,506		26	24	20	30
Wahlkreisprognose		1,200		28	18	14	40
Forsa		2,503		28	24	19	29
Forsa		2,505		28	23	18	31
Forsa		2,504		28	23	19	30
Wahlkreisprognose		1,419		26	17	14	43
Forsa		2,501		30	22	18	30
Forsa		2,510		28	22	19	31
Forsa		2,505		30	22	19	29
Forsa		2,502		30	22	18	30
Forsa		2,503		27	23	19	31
Wahlkreisprognose		1,421		26	15	15	44
Forsa		2,502		25	24	22	29
Wahlkreisprognose		1,500		23		23	20	34
Forsa		2,500		24	23	23	30
Forsa		2,502		24	23	22	31
Forsa		2,503		24	22	21	33
Forsa		2,506		24	22	22	32
Wahlkreisprognose		1,500		26	18	15	41
Forsa		2,500		24	22	22	32
Forsa		2,505		24	22	22	32
Forsa		2,502		25	22	22	31
Forsa		2,503		24	22	22	32
Wahlkreisprognose		1,300		27	17	14	42
Forsa		2,502		24	21	20	35
Forsa		2,503		25	20	20	35
Forsa		2,502		25	20	19	36
Wahlkreisprognose		1,910		29	21	16	34
Forsa		2,505		24	21	21	34
Forsa		2,501		25	20	20	35
Wahlkreisprognose		1,923		28	24	16	32
Forsa		2,001		23	22	19	36
Forsa		2,505		23		23	19	35
Wahlkreisprognose		1,700		28	24	17	31
Forsa		2,506		23		23	20	34
Forsa		2,501		23		23	20	34
Forsa		2,500		23	21		23	33
Forsa		2,503	23	19		24	34
Forsa		2,505		26	17	23	34
Forsa		2,500		29	17	22	32
Wahlkreisprognose		1,610		38	20	23	19
Wahlkreisprognose		1,007		37	13	24	26

Pistorius vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel vs. Wagenknecht

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Pistorius	Merz	Baerbock	Weidel	Wagenknecht	Neither
Wahlkreisprognose		1,300		27	18	12	11	11	21
Wahlkreisprognose		1,200		31	12	10	16	10	21

Pistorius vs. Merz

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Pistorius	Merz	Neither
INSA		1,004		25	23	52
Wahlkreisprognose		1,500		32	28	40
Wahlkreisprognose		1,200		30	29	41
Wahlkreisprognose		1,200		41	18	41

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz	Merz	Baerbock	Weidel	Neither
Wahlkreisprognose		1.200		20	16	15	18	31
Forsa		2.506		25	23	19	9	24

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Weidel

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz	Merz	Weidel	Neither
Wahlkreisprognose		1,200		21	15	17	47
Wahlkreisprognose		1,525		24	18	16	42
Wahlkreisprognose		1,399		27	15	15	43
Wahlkreisprognose		1,100		25	22	16	37
Wahlkreisprognose		1,400		34	22	11	33
Wahlkreisprognose		1,200		33	18	13	36
Wahlkreisprognose		1,419		31	15	13	41
Wahlkreisprognose		1,421		30	14	14	42
Wahlkreisprognose		1,500		24	17	16	43
Wahlkreisprognose		1,500		31	18	13	38
Wahlkreisprognose		1,300		26	18	17	39

Scholz vs. Habeck

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz	Habeck	Neither
Wahlkreisprognose		1,433		36	32	32
Wahlkreisprognose		2,920		38	33	29

Merz vs. Habeck

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Merz	Habeck	Neither
Wahlkreisprognose		1,433	19		30	51
Wahlkreisprognose		2,920	18		32	50

Scholz vs. Röttgen

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz	Röttgen	Neither
Forsa		2,509		45	19	36
Forsa		2,501		45	20	35
Forsa		2,510		45	21	34
Wahlkreisprognose		1,004		41	20	39
Forsa		2,502		51	20	29

Scholz vs. Braun

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz	Braun	Neither
Forsa		2,509		50	11	39
Forsa		2,501		50	12	38
Wahlkreisprognose		1,004		42	22	36

Scholz vs. Laschet

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz	Laschet	Neither
YouGov		2,167		46	6	48
Forsa		2,501		50	8	42
Forsa		2,510		52	8	40
Forsa		2,502		53	8	39
Forsa		2,503		52	8	40
Forsa		3,004		52	9	39
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,249		76	13	11
Infratest dimap		1,084		62	16	22
Forsa		1,006		56	11	33
YouGov		1,596		43	13	43

Scholz vs. Kretschmer

Preferred coalition

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD Grüne		Union FDP		SPD Grüne FDP			Union SPD		Union Grüne		Union Grüne FDP			Union SPD FDP			SPD Grüne Linke			SPD FDP
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,334	15		10		1			colspan="2"	17	7		–			–			2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,341	12		13		1			colspan="2"	18	8		–			–			2			–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,186	9		11		2			colspan="2"	17	9		–			–			2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,334	9		10		2			colspan="2"	19	8		–			–			1			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,247	13		10		1			colspan="2"	23	7		–			–			2			2
Forsa		1,007	–		–		10			colspan="2"	21	10		4			11			–			–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,228	colspan="2"	17	13		2			colspan="2"	17	7		–			–			2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,254	11		11		2			colspan="2"	20	8		–			–			2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,296	12		11		2			colspan="2"	20	8		–			–			2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,260	15		9		1			colspan="2"	20	7		–			–			2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,294	12		13		2			colspan="2"	18	9		–			–			2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,217	10		9		2			colspan="2"	23	8		–			–			1			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,337	13		8		1			colspan="2"	19	7		–			–			2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,146	13		14		2			colspan="2"	16	6		–			–			1			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,242	15		10		1			colspan="2"	19	8		–			–			2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,234	16		9		2			colspan="2"	17	10		–			–			2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,252	13		10		1			colspan="2"	18	8		–			–			2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,201	colspan="2"	18	13		3			14		7		–			–			3			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,288	colspan="2"	16	11		3			15		6		–			–			2			2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,346	14		11		3			colspan="2"	15	8		–			–			4			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,379	17		10		2			colspan="2"	19	6		–			–			3			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,224	colspan="2"	19	11		3			colspan="2"	19	6		–			–			2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,257	15		11		3			colspan="2"	17	7		–			–			4			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,225	colspan="2"	16	13		3			15		7		–			–			3			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,266	colspan="2"	19	12		2			16		9		–			–			2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,379	colspan="2"	18	12		3			15		7		–			–			2			2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,146	colspan="2"	21	11		4			14		9		–			–			2			2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,165	colspan="2"	19	10		2			17		10		–			–			2			2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,361	colspan="2"	18	10		3			13		12		–			–			3			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,345	colspan="2"	20	10		5			10		11		–			–			2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,259	colspan="2"	19	11		4			12		9		–			–			3			2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,365	colspan="2"	21	11		4			11		11		–			–			2			2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,273	colspan="2"	21	12		3			12		9		–			–			2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,310	colspan="2"	24	9		3			11		11		–			–			3			2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,389	colspan="2"	23	11		3			11		9		–			–			2			2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,355	colspan="2"	20	11		5			10		9		–			–			3			2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,299	colspan="2"	18	13		6			10		9		–			–			3			3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,389	colspan="2"	19	8		6			10		13		–			–			4			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,167	colspan="2"	19	7		5			8		14		–			–			2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,186	colspan="2"	22	8		5			11		15		–			–			2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,133	colspan="2"	20	7		6			10		15		–			–			3			3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,162	colspan="2"	22	8		7			10		16		–			–			2			1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,170	colspan="2"	21	10		10			10		7		–			–			4			2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,230	colspan="2"	23	8		9			14		7		–			–			4			2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,345	colspan="2"	18	11		12			15		5		–			–			3			4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,103	colspan="2"	17	11		9			12		5		–			–			5			3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,224	colspan="2"	16	13		11			15		5		–			–			4			2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,249	colspan="2"	16	11		11			9		6		–			–			4			3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,128	colspan="2"	16	11		12			10		4		–			–			5			5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen		1,303	colspan="2"	16	10		12			10		6		–			–			4			4

Constituency projections

Direct mandates

Polling firm	Release date	Union	SPD	Grüne	AfD	Linke	FDP	BSW
election.de			227	22	10	38	2	0	0
INSA			250	6	4	38	1	0	0
INSA			254	8	4	33	0	0	0
INSA			271	8	3	17	0	0	0
INSA			256	5	3	33	2	0	0
election.de			222	21	13	41	2	0	0
INSA			258	4	7	29	1	0	0
INSA			255	5	7	32	0	0	0
INSA			258	6	11	23	1	0	0
INSA			278	4	5	12	0	0	0
INSA			258	7	5	29	0	0	0
election.de			218	30	12	37	2	0	0
INSA			267	13	9	10	0	0	0
INSA			261	9	6	21	2	0	0
INSA			271	7	10	11	0	0	0
INSA			261	10	11	17	0	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			246	23	6	23	1	0	0
election.de			217	28	14	38	2	0	0
INSA			258	7	11	23	0	0	0
INSA			250	6	10	31	2	0	0
INSA			231	10	12	45	1	0	0
INSA			243	6	10	38	2	0	0
election.de			213	30	12	42	2	0	0
INSA			255	9	13	22	0	0	0
INSA			259	5	11	22	2	0	0
INSA			260	8	12	19	0	0	0
INSA			240	6	10	43	0	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			212	43	7	35	1	0	0
INSA			257	10	9	22	1	0	0
election.de			210	29	14	44	2	0	0
INSA			250	3	10	34	2	0	0
INSA			262	4	11	22	0	0	0
INSA			261	6	13	19	0	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			235	8	6	48	0	0	2
INSA			245	4	10	39	1	0	0
election.de			214	27	12	44	2	0	0
INSA			242	4	10	42	1	0	0
INSA			240	9	11	39	0	0	0
INSA			243	6	10	40	0	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			219	23	6	48	1	0	2
INSA			252	4	10	33	0	0	0
election.de			217	20	13	48	1	0	0
INSA			243	4	8	43	1	0	0
INSA			253	6	6	34	0	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			230	4	4	61	0	0	0
INSA			244	4	10	39	2	0	0
INSA			242	3	7	46	1	0	0
INSA			244	5	10	39	1	0	0
election.de			217	20	13	48	1	0	0
INSA			230	9	11	48	1	0	0
INSA			225	9	14	50	1	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			221	14	4	60	0	0	0
INSA			243	6	10	39	1	0	0
INSA			237	12	13	35	2	0	0
election.de			203	31	16	47	2	0	0
INSA			233	12	13	40	1	0	0
INSA			231	14	14	38	2	0	0
INSA			242	10	10	36	1	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			220	23	7	31	0	0	18
INSA			230	15	13	39	2	0	0
INSA			210	24	11	53	1	0	0
election.de			190	43	17	47	2	0	0
INSA			202	23	17	56	1	0	0
INSA			200	40	16	41	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			153	62	21	62	1	0	0
INSA			199	32	15	51	2	0	0
INSA			198	31	20	48	2	0	0
INSA			194	30	18	56	1	0	0
INSA			198	33	17	49	2	0	0
election.de			185	49	16	47	2	0	0
INSA			194	30	23	50	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			151	78	12	57	1	0	0
INSA			194	35	19	50	1	0	0
election.de			181	51	18	47	2	0	0
INSA			189	49	16	43	2	0	0
INSA			200	53	17	29	0	0	0
election.de			183	48	19	47	2	0	0
INSA			198	41	17	41	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			154	79	13	51	2	0	0
INSA			201	44	18	34	2	0	0
election.de			188	46	16	46	3	0	0
INSA			208	30	19	40	2	0	0
INSA			210	41	19	27	2	0	0
election.de			184	49	17	46	3	0	0
INSA			190	46	23	38	2	0	0
INSA			197	43	16	41	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			139	82	19	57	2	0	0
election.de			189	48	16	43	3	0	0
INSA			194	47	15	41	2	0	0
INSA			215	47	15	20	2	0	0
election.de			190	48	16	42	3	0	0
INSA			214	47	17	19	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			168	85	12	32	2	0	0
INSA			227	48	13	10	1	0	0
election.de			196	49	16	35	3	0	0
INSA			217	51	18	11	2	0	0
INSA			229	41	19	9	1	0	0
election.de			196	49	16	35	3	0	0
INSA			225	42	20	10	2	0	0
INSA			207	51	22	17	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			182	75	10	29	3	0	0
election.de			196	49	18	33	3	0	0
INSA			218	44	19	17	1	0	0
INSA			216	48	19	15	1	0	0
election.de			191	54	19	32	3	0	0
INSA			212	46	23	17	1	0	0
INSA			221	48	19	9	2	0	0
election.de			191	54	19	32	3	0	0
INSA			214	49	25	10	1	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			159	99	14	24	3	0	0
INSA			224	54	17	3	1	0	0
election.de			185	60	19	32	3	0	0
INSA			217	51	20	10	1	0	0
election.de			193	56	18	29	3	0	0
INSA			233	37	18	10	1	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			192	73	11	22	1	0	0
INSA			243	36	19	0	1	0	0
election.de			191	57	19	29	3	0	0
INSA			223	51	24	0	1	0	0
INSA			228	45	23	1	2	0	0
election.de			178	61	25	32	3	0	0
INSA			203	50	27	17	2	0	0
INSA			216	39	23	19	2	0	0
election.de			181	59	27	29	3	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			134	109	23	30	3	0	0
INSA			211	49	26	11	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			149	93	22	33	2	0	0
INSA			223	46	25	4	1	0	0
election.de			181	57	29	29	3	0	0
INSA			212	45	31	9	2	0	0
INSA			216	48	32	3	0	0	0
election.de			179	61	29	27	3	0	0
INSA			214	50	30	3	2	0	0
election.de			182	54	31	29	3	0	0
INSA			214	45	31	7	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			146	100	20	31	2	0	0
INSA			219	50	27	1	2	0	0
election.de			180	55	32	29	3	0	0
INSA			212	52	33	0	2	0	0
INSA			210	44	28	15	2	0	0
election.de			177	55	32	32	3	0	0
INSA			215	49	30	4	1	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			141	113	18	24	3	0	0
INSA			205	50	33	9	2	0	0
election.de			174	57	33	32	3	0	0
INSA			203	51	36	7	2	0	0
election.de			174	57	33	32	3	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			145	96	24	31	3	0	0
INSA			219	40	36	3	1	0	0
INSA			212	38	38	8	2	0	0
election.de			177	54	33	32	3	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			149	99	17	31	3	0	0
INSA			219	35	39	5	1	0	0
INSA			209	30	39	19	2	0	0
election.de			180	55	33	28	3	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			150	102	19	26	2	0	0
INSA			211	28	37	17	2	0	0
INSA			218	35	42	3	1	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			154	90	22	30	3	0	0
election.de			177	59	38	23	2	0	0
INSA			209	24	44	19	3	0	0
INSA			206	37	42	12	2	0	0
election.de			177	60	41	19	2	0	0
INSA			214	28	45	10	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			140	73	55	30	1	0	0
INSA			203	33	48	13	2	0	0
election.de			174	61	43	19	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			146	49	69	34	1	0	0
INSA			215	29	50	3	2	0	0
INSA			196	32	51	18	2	0	0
election.de			171	66	42	18	2	0	0
INSA			196	32	51	18	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			136	89	52	21	1	0	0
INSA			197	34	51	15	2	0	0
election.de			174	69	39	15	2	0	0
INSA			205	43	46	3	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			145	94	45	14	1	0	0
INSA			216	37	43	1	2	0	0
election.de			175	70	38	14	2	0	0
INSA			212	42	45	0	0	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			144	98	37	18	2	0	0
INSA			216	32	46	3	2	0	0
election.de			177	70	37	13	2	0	0
INSA			194	44	45	15	1	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			144	94	33	24	4	0	0
INSA			203	43	47	5	1	0	0
election.de			178	71	36	12	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			168	62	57	11	1	0	0
INSA			204	49	44	0	2	0	0
INSA			213	48	37	1	0	0	0
election.de			157	97	31	12	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			162	89	34	13	1	0	0
INSA			202	46	40	10	1	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			138	100	45	15	1	0	0
INSA			209	52	33	3	2	0	0
election.de			145	110	28	13	3	0	0
INSA			199	62	35	1	2	0	0
INSA			182	77	30	8	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose		121		128	36	13	1	0	0
election.de			144	115	24	13	3	0	0
INSA			182	74	37	4	2	0	0
INSA			179	83	27	8	2	0	0
election.de			144	116	23	13	3	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose		128		134	25	11	1	0	0
INSA			184	86	27	1	1	0	0
INSA			165	93	22	16	3	0	0
election.de			161	104	19	12	3	0	0
INSA			192	74	27	3	3	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose		132		133	23	10	1	0	0
election.de			150	115	19	12	3	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose		128		131	22	16	2	0	0
election.de			159	103	18	16	3	0	0
INSA			213	66	16	2	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			143	117	20	16	3	0	0
INSA			203	71	20	3	2	0	0
election.de			158	103	18	17	3	0	0
INSA			196	81	19	1	2	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose			195	63	28	10	3	0	0
INSA			178	100	18	0	3	0	0
election.de			133	121	20	21	4	0	0
INSA			146	129	19	2	3	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose		124		139	17	16	3	0	0
INSA		125		140	23	9	2	0	0
election.de			129		129	19	19	3	0	0
INSA		128		142	19	8	2	0	0
INSA		118		137	19	23	2	0	0
election.de		111		148	20	17	3	0	0
INSA		108		160	17	11	3	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose		102		167	12	15	3	0	0
election.de		109		149	20	18	3	0	0
INSA		114		153	17	12	3	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose		75		176	24	21	3	0	0
INSA		118		145	20	13	3	0	0
election.de		111		143	22	19	4	0	0
INSA		112		140	27	13	7	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose		123		140	16	17	3	0	0
INSA		122		147	15	12	3	0	0
election.de		103		153	20	19	4	0	0
INSA		99		160	20	17	2	0	0
INSA		110		158	23	5	3	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose		125		137	16	18	3	0	0
election.de		101		156	20	18	4	0	0
INSA		84		176	21	14	3	1	0
election.de		101		154	20	20	4	0	0
Wahlkreisprognose		113		145	20	18	3	0	0
election.de		108		148	20	19	4	0	0
INSA		94		163	21	19	2	0	0
2021 federal election			143	121	16	16	3	0	0

By probability

Polling firm	Release date	Union			SPD			Grüne			AfD			Linke
		Safe	Likely	Lean	Safe	Likely	Lean	Safe	Likely	Lean	Safe	Likely	Lean	Safe	Likely	Lean
election.de			125		58		44	1	5	16	1	2	7	1	19	18	0	1	1
election.de			122		58		42	1	4	16	1	3	9	2	18	21	0	1	1
election.de			113		61		44	1	6	23	1	4	7	1	19	17	0	1	1
election.de			118		55		44	1	5	22	1	5	8	1	19	18	0	1	1
election.de			114		62		37	1	6	23	1	3	8	3	19	20	0	1	1
election.de			111		61		38	1	5	23	1	4	9	5	22	17	0	1	1
election.de			113		62		39	1	4	22	1	2	9	5	25	14	0	1	1
election.de			106		71		40	1	4	15	1	2	10	9	28	11	0	1	0
election.de			107		68		42	1	4	15	1	3	9	9	27	12	0	1	0
election.de			94		72		37	1	6	24	1	4	11	11	25	11	0	1	1
election.de			69		83		38	1	11	31	1	5	11	17	24	6	0	1	1
election.de			65		78		42	2	16	31	1	5	10	16	23	8	0	1	1
election.de			63		74		44	2	23	26	1	5	12	16	22	9	0	1	1
election.de			66		74		43	2	17	29	1	7	11	16	22	9	0	1	1
election.de			73		74		41	1	18	27	1	5	10	9	26	11	0	1	2
election.de			71		73		40	2	18	29	1	6	10	9	25	12	0	1	2
election.de			78		71		40	2	18	28	1	5	10	7	22	14	1	0	2
election.de			85		70		35	1	16	31	1	5	10	2	24	16	1	0	2
election.de			88		63		45	2	18	29	1	5	10	1	17	17	1	1	1
election.de			89		62		45	2	18	29	1	6	9	1	16	18	1	1	1
election.de			91		62		43	1	17	31	1	6	11	1	15	17	1	1	1
election.de			85		64		42	2	18	34	1	7	11	1	14	17	1	1	1
election.de			82		63		46	2	20	32	1	7	11	1	15	16	1	1	1
election.de			77		65		43	2	26	32	1	6	12	1	14	17	1	1	1
election.de			83		62		48	2	23	31	1	7	10	1	13	15	1	1	1
election.de			80		63		48	2	25	30	1	7	11	1	13	15	1	1	1
election.de			66		66		46	5	26	30	1	9	15	1	14	17	1	1	1
election.de			69		70		42	3	25	31	1	9	17	1	13	15	1	1	1
election.de			67		70		44	3	25	29	3	11	15	1	13	15	1	1	1
election.de			67		68		44	4	24	33	3	11	15	1	13	13	1	1	1
election.de			71		67		44	2	26	26	3	11	17	1	13	15	1	1	1
election.de			66		71		43	3	24	28	3	12	17	1	13	15	1	1	1
election.de			67		70		40	2	25	28	3	12	17	1	14	17	1	1	1
election.de			61		71		42	4	24	29	3	13	17	1	14	17	1	1	1
election.de			61		70		43	3	24	30	3	13	17	1	14	17	1	1	1
election.de			67		69		41	2	25	27	3	13	17	1	14	17	1	1	1
election.de			66		70		44	2	25	28	3	13	17	0	14	14	1	1	1
election.de			58		71		48	4	21	34	4	14	20	0	10	13	1	1	0
election.de			57		67		53	4	21	35	5	17	19	0	8	11	1	1	0
election.de			53		69		52	4	22	35	5	20	18	0	8	11	1	1	0
election.de			52		64		55	4	28	34	4	17	21	0	8	10	1	1	0
election.de			52		64		58	4	33	32	4	15	20	0	5	10	1	0	1
election.de			51		66		58	5	33	32	4	13	21	0	3	11	1	0	1
election.de			54		64		59	5	35	30	3	13	21	0	1	12	1	0	1
election.de			53		67		58	5	36	30	3	13	20	0	1	11	1	0	1
election.de			47		51		59	12	44	41	2	12	17	0	4	8	1	0	1
election.de			44		52	49	15	44		51	2	10	16	0	5	8	1	0	2
election.de			46		51	47	15	46		54	2	9	13	0	6	7	1	1	1
election.de			46		51	47	16	43		57	2	8	13	0	6	7	1	0	2
election.de			51		51		59	12	46	46	2	4	13	0	5	7	1	1	1
election.de			48		51	51	15	44		56	2	4	13	0	4	8	1	1	1
election.de			53		50		56	12	42	49	2	3	13	0	7	9	1	1	1
election.de			49		51		58	12	44	47	2	3	13	0	7	10	1	1	1
election.de			41		50	42	22	42		57	2	6	12	0	9	12	1	1	2
election.de			37		50	42	27	44		58	2	5	12	0	9	10	1	1	1
election.de		30	41	40		31		57		60	2	5	13	1	7	9	1	0	2
election.de		30	41	38		33		58		58	2	5	13	1	7	10	1	1	1
election.de		27	42	42		28		55		60	2	8	12	1	10	8	1	1	2
election.de		26	39	38		35		55		63	2	5	13	1	8	10	1	1	2
election.de		25	35	41		40		57		59	2	6	12	1	9	8	1	0	3
election.de		26	35	40		39		54		61	2	5	13	1	10	9	1	1	2
election.de		28	42	38		30		59		59	2	5	13	1	9	9	1	1	2
2021 federal election		143			121			16			16			3

Second place

Polling firm	Release date	SPD	Union	Grüne	AfD	Linke	FDP	FW
election.de			126	67	38	66	2	0	0
election.de			122	71	38	66	2	0	0
election.de			123	74	41	59	2	0	0
election.de			117	74	48	58	2	0	0
election.de			118	79	39	62	1	0	0
election.de			113	80	39	66	1	0	0
election.de			111	75	36	76	1	0	0
election.de			102	72	34	88	3	0	0
election.de			105	72	37	83	2	0	0
election.de			105	81	32	79	2	0	0
election.de			106	84	29	78	2	0	0
election.de			108	89	30	70	2	0	0
election.de			112	91	30	64	2	0	0
election.de			111	90	32	64	2	0	0
election.de			116	86	34	62	1	0	0
election.de			118	89	34	57	1	0	0
election.de			120	85	37	56	1	0	0
election.de			123	87	38	50	1	0	0
election.de			130	82	44	42	1	0	0
election.de			132	82	45	39	1	0	0
election.de			135	83	43	37	1	0	0
election.de			132	87	44	35	1	0	0
election.de			132	87	44	35	1	0	0
election.de			133	92	45	27	2	0	0
election.de			136	86	47	28	2	0	0
election.de			137	87	45	28	2	0	0
election.de			137	92	44	24	2	0	0
election.de			128	92	52	25	2	0	0
election.de			127	91	55	24	2	0	0
election.de			126	92	54	25	2	0	0
election.de			125	91	57	24	2	0	0
election.de			123	92	58	24	2	0	0
election.de			121	95	59	22	2	0	0
election.de			123	95	57	22	2	0	0
election.de			122	94	59	22	2	0	0
election.de			119	95	62	21	2	0	0
election.de			118	92	64	23	2	0	0
election.de			117	90	72	16	4	0	0
election.de			116	88	74	18	3	0	0
election.de			117	90	73	15	4	0	0
election.de			122	89	71	13	4	0	0
election.de			124	87	70	14	4	0	0
election.de			124	88	69	14	4	0	0
election.de			129	88	65	13	4	0	0
election.de			132	87	65	11	4	0	0
election.de			128	99	55	14	3	0	0
election.de			127	114	43	13	2	0	0
election.de			127	113	42	13	4	0	0
election.de			127	114	42	13	3	0	0
election.de			135	102	42	15	4	1	0
election.de			130	112	41	12	4	0	0
election.de			135	109	35	15	4	0	0
election.de			137	103	38	16	4	0	0
election.de			122	120	40	13	4	0	0
election.de		120		125	36	13	4	1	0
election.de		111		135	35	12	4	2	0
election.de		110		135	34	14	4	2	0
election.de		104		126	46	17	4	2	0
election.de		104		133	41	15	4	2	0
election.de		108		128	41	17	3	2	0
election.de		103		130	40	19	5	2	0
election.de		107		129	39	18	4	2	0
2021 federal election			129	115	33	14	4	2	2

External links

• Wahlrecht.de
• pollytix-Wahltrend
• DAWUM Wahltrend
• X: @Wahlen_DE