Opinion polling for the next Czech parliamentary election explained

Opinion polling for the next Czech parliamentary election started immediately after the 2021 parliamentary election.

Polling aggregations

The following table displays the most recent aggregations of polling results from different organisations

Vote share

Polling firmLast updateLead
Seznam Zprávy23 June 202414.72.84.532.87.09.583.42.94.318.1
Politico23 May 202411.02.04.032.07.011.010.04.04.03.02.04.02.06.021.0
Europe ElectsMay 202415.72.94.632.67.010.88.43.63.52.32.516.9
Programy do voleb23 June 202414.72.74.533.07.09.37.93.42.94.51.41.52.11.018.3

Seat projection

Polling firmLast updateGov.Opp.Lead
Programy do voleb23 June 202441009918231900000008211858
Mandáty.cz13 July 202457831923180009910127
41–6768–970–2613–310–260–160–110–131–27

Party polling

The polls in this section are done by individual party.

Polls

Polling firmFieldwork
date
Sample
size
OthersLeadGov.Opp.Others
NMS1 – 8 Aug 20241,29114.32.44.729.39.68.06.04.64.12.85.72.36.215.039.035.325.7
Phoenix ResearchJul 2024?14.53.85.526.97.27.75.84.124.512.438.732.728.6
NMS4 – 12 Jul 20241,30711.33.25.228.210.19.16.93.27.23.25.66.916.938.935.026.1
Median1 – 30 Jun 20241,00312.04.55.030.59.010.58.55.02.54.52.01.53.518.541.039.020.0
Kantar CZ10 – 21 Jun 20241,03516.03.04.034.08.59.06.02.54.52.53.02.54.518.042.540.517.0
2024 European Parliament Election7–8 Jun 2024N/A22.326.18.76.25.71.810.31.99.61.62.22.93.837.231.831.0
STEMJun 20241,60914.82.54.532.96.88.77.31.72.03.72.72.55.12.01.90.918.137.340.222.5
Median6 – 31 May 20241,03114.52.05.533.08.510.07.51.53.03.54.01.53.02.018.540.540.519.0
Sanep15–23 May 20242,30010.42.23.932.16.511.110.14.03.83.73.36.12.821.034.142.223.7
Kantar CZ22 Apr – 10 May 20241,00815.53.55.032.07.511.09.03.53.02.52.55.016.542.541.016.5
Sanep18–24 Apr 20241,90012.11.84.132.65.810.710.33.63.23.13.85.83.120.534.542.922.6
Median5 Mar – 3 Apr 20241,04114.03.53.532.06.010.57.02.03.54.54.53.04.02.018.037.539.023.5
Kantar CZ18 Mar – 5 Apr 20241,01516.03.04.534.56.510.58.02.52.53.03.02.02.02.018.540.542.517.0
Sanep25–31 Mar 20241,70010.11.54.233.57.111.311.13.53.42.33.55.33.221.634.244.621.2
STEM15–25 Mar 20241,09614.53.15.232.96.610.59.30.81.92.83.64.52.11.90.418.441.342.217.6
Median1 Feb – 4 Mar 2024100612.53.05.531.09.011.09.53.04.54.02.02.03.018.541.040.518.5
Kantar CZ12 Feb – 1 Mar 20241,01514.52.05.038.57.09.59.02.52.59.524.038.047.514.5
Sanep22–28 Feb 20241,56010.31.64.433.16.411.211.53.73.52.53.25.53.121.633.944.621.5
Kantar CZ15 Jan – 2 Feb 20241,01315.53.55.035.06.59.59.52.53.54.03.02.519.540.044.515.5
Median15 Jan – 1 Feb 2024101912.03.05.531.57.013.010.53.04.04.51.53.01.518.540.542.016.0
Sanep22–29 Jan 20241,42710.51.74.333.46.110.511.72.73.62.42.95.34.921.733.145.121.8
STEM18 – 27 Jan 20241,09213.22.75.033.47.011.310.01.41.72.63.14.82.50.70.520.239.243.417.4
Median29 Nov – 30 Dec 202398813.02.56.035.06.510.59.02.54.54.51.52.52.022.038.544.017.5
Sanep23–29 Nov 20231,75611.32.64.733.05.89.911.22.72.62.83.15.85.121.734.344.221.5
STEMNov 20231,09711.63.55.233.26.410.212.01.22.32.94.53.01.61.90.421.236.945.217.8
Sanep19–25 Oct 20231,82611.63.64.733.15.68.910.32.42.73.12.95.25.321.534.443.422.2
Kantar CZ16 Oct – 3 Nov 20231,20015.52.54.532.57.010.510.52.53.53.52.05.517.040.043.017.0
Median3 – 31 Oct 20231,01613.53.56.035.06.09.010.53.03.53.01.52.53.021.538.045.516.5
Median5 Sep – 2 Oct 20231,01713.04.05.534.06.511.59.54.04.52.02.53.021.040.543.516.0
Sanep21–27 Sep 20231,63211.83.74.632.95.29.110.22.22.82.73.25.75.921.134.443.122.5
Kantar CZ11–29 Sep 202398212.03.55.033.57.58.59.53.04.03.53.02.03.02.021.536.54320.5
STEM7–17 Sep 20231,12313.15.05.430.85.39.610.91.12.83.24.04.32.71.20.617.738.441.719.9
Median1 Jul – 8 Aug 20231,01915.04.05.533.06.512.08.03.05.03.01.51.51.518.043.041.015.5
Median12–30 Jun 20231,00714.02.05.035.55.511.010.02.52.54.02.52.51.51.521.537.545.517.0
Kantar CZ15 May – 2 Jun 202396217.04.03.533.56.511.58.02.53.03.52.02.03.016.542.541.516.0
Median1 May – 2 Jun 20231,01215.04.05.534.56.010.58.52.52.04.03.54.019.541.043.016.0
STEM18–29 May 20231,14114.63.44.733.55.810.89.31.42.22.94.13.82.31.20.218.939.342.818.1
Kantar CZ17 Apr – 5 May 202398117.05.05.030.56.011.09.02.55.52.52.02.02.013.544.039.516.5
Median1 Apr – 2 May 20231,01515.05.54.531.07.510.58.51.52.04.04.02.04.016.043.039.517.5
Sanep20 – 26 Apr 20231,54313.23.84.233.54.710.19.46.714.420.336.042.921.5
Phoenix ResearchApr 202314.23.15.331.57.88.99.61.65.212.817.339.341.119.6
Kantar CZ20 Mar – 6 Apr 202397020.03.04.029.55.511.08.03.55.02.53.05.09.543.537.519.0
Median2 Mar – 3 Apr 20231,00615.54.05.034.58.08.510.03.02.04.03.02.01.519.041.044.515.5
Sanep23 – 29 Mar 20231,43213.34.13.433.14.39.99.66.415.919.835.042.722.3
Median12 Feb – 7 Mar 20231,01114.53.55.032.07.011.59.51.52.55.03.52.02.517.541.541.517.0
Kantar CZ13 Feb – 3 Mar 202395121.54.05.029.57.09.08.52.54.52.06.58.046.538.015.5
PhoenixFeb – Mar 20231,02214.15.86.527.65.68.99.52.21.24.314.313.540.937.122.0
Sanep9–12 Feb 20231,53613.53.13.932.74.67.99.33.06.115.919.233.042.025.0
STEM29 Nov – 5 Dec 20222,00513.94.94.630.86.49.412.44.04.29.516.939.243.217.7
Kantar CZ17 Oct – 4 Nov 20221,20021.53.55.526.56.011.511.02.02.53.52.54.05.048.037.514.5
Median1–31 Oct 20221,00513.56.05.031.55.511.012.01.52.05.52.02.02.518.041.043.515.5
Kantar CZ12–30 Sep 202299718.06.04.029.57.59.011.54.02.52.02.04.011.544.541.014.5
Median1–30 Sep 20221,01016.02.56.030.55.511.011.52.03.04.52.52.02.514.541.042.016.5
Sanep8–14 Sep 20221,67813.13.43.929.94.57.412.63.55.316.415.732.342.525.2
STEM1–8 Sep 20222,00314.24.55.030.05.09.414.33.54.010.115.738.144.317.6
Kantar CZ15 Aug – 2 Sep 202289319.54.04.530.56.58.511.02.03.03.03.54.011.043.041.515.5
Median1 – 31 Aug 20221,00516.03.53.529.04.011.514.02.03.55.03.52.02.513.038.543.018.5
Sanep25–30 Aug 20221,63213.93.63.431.14.27.213.13.13.916.517.232.344.223.5
STEM4 – 11 Aug 20222,09315.53.45.631.15.59.311.94.83.49.615.639.343.017.8
Median8 Jul – 2 Aug 20221,00515.54.55.030.05.510.512.52.53.05.02.52.01.514.541.042.516.5
Median20 Jun – 4 Jul 20221,54316.14.65.229.04.811.812.51.62.25.62.81.81.812.942.541.515.8
Sanep23–27 Jun 20221,54316.14.13.129.24.95.713.73.53.016.713.133.942.923.2
Kantar CZ16 May – 2 Jun 202296222.53.54.028.06.58.511.02.04.52.52.05.05.545.039.016.0
Median1 May – 2 Jun 20221,01816.54.54.528.58.59.011.52.53.05.53.03.012.043.040.017.0
Sanep26–30 May 20221,42919.64.03.330.17.84.614.33.62.31.09.410.539.344.416.3
Kantar CZ8–29 Apr 20221,20026.04.53.027.510.05.011.03.02.52.02.03.51.048.538.513.0
Sanep13–20 Apr 20221,63119.83.96.228.18.74.812.93.32.60.88.98.343.441.015.6
Kantar CZ14 Mar – 1 Apr 20221,20022.54.05.027.510.07.59.52.03.52.52.53.55.049.037.014.0
Sanep10–16 Mar 20221,67319.14.86.527.99.85.112.73.43.00.96.88.845.340.614.1
Kantar CZ14 Feb – 4 Mar 20221,20021.05.56.525.011.07.511.53.03.02.04.04.051.536.512.0
Sanep24–28 Feb 20221,67317.34.66.428.79.55.211.22.13.72.41.27.711.443.039.917.1
PhoenixFeb 20221,06615.46.55.126.410.37.17.511.044.433.921.7
Sanep20–26 Jan 20221,83914.74.16.029.19.25.411.31.84.23.21.26.914.439.440.417.3
Sanep18–24 Nov 20211,91214.14.36.227.610.77.69.93.25.13.81.06.513.542.935.219.6
Kantar CZ1–19 Nov 202193515.53.57.027.013.08.09.52.52.54.03.54.011.547.036.516.5
2021 legislative election8–9 Oct 2021N/A27.827.115.69.62.84.7N/A4.73.61.0N/A2.90.743.436.719.7

Seat projections

Polling firmFieldwork
date
LeadGov.Opp.
Median6 – 31 May 2024310157924292200000004899
Median5 Apr – 2 May 202435008922272700000005484
Median5 Mar – 3 Apr 202441009217302000000005188
Median1 Feb – 4 Mar 2024310157922292400000004897
Kantar CZ12 Feb – 1 Mar 202435099515242200000006083
Median15 Jan – 1 Feb 2024300147917332700000004694
Median 29 Nov – 30 Dec 2023330158715272300000005490
Median 3 – 31 Oct 2023350158715232700000005086
Median 5 Sep – 2 Oct 2023 350138516292400000005091
Median 1 Jul – 8 Aug 2023 3501277162919012000004292
Median 12–30 Jun 2023 370148715262100000005092
Median1 May – 2 Jun 2023370148715262100000005092
Kantar CZ17 Apr – 5 May 2023490081142520011000003288
Median2 Mar – 3 Apr 2023380128520212400000004791
STEM1–18 Sep 2022370118211223700000004581
2021 legislative election8–9 Oct 20217172372000000192
342314723342000000038

Coalition scenarios

Polls including SPOLU

The polls in this section took place after the Pirates and Mayors alliance, which ran in the 2021 election, ruled out working together at the next election.[1] They show the polls if the ODS, KDU-ČSL and TOP 09 join to continue the SPOLU alliance that contested the 2021 election and came in first place, over ANO.

Polling firmFieldwork
date
Sample
size
OthersLead
Kantar CZ18 Mar – 5 Apr 20241,01521.535.56.511.08.02.53.03.02.52.02.02.514.0
Kantar CZ12 Feb – 1 Mar 20241,01520.039.07.510.09.02.52.52.02.05.519.0
Kantar CZ15 Jan – 2 Feb 20241,01322.535.57.010.010.03.54.03.02.52.013.0
Kantar CZ16 Oct – 3 Nov 20231,20021.533.07.010.510.52.53.53.52.06.011.5
Kantar CZ11–29 Sep 202398219.533.57.58.59.54.03.53.03.02.03.03.014.0
Kantar CZ15 May – 2 Jun 202395524.033.56.011.58.02.53.53.52.52.03.09.5
Kantar CZ17 Apr – 5 May 202396425.031.06.511.59.52.55.52.52.02.02.06.0
Kantar CZ20 Mar – 6 Apr 202395127.529.55.510.58.03.55.02.53.05.02.0
2021 legislative election8–9 Oct 2021N/A27.827.115.69.64.74.73.62.81.0N/A2.90.7

Polls including SPOLU and PirSTAN

The polls in this section include both the SPOLU alliance and the Pirates and Mayors alliance.

Polls

Polling firmFieldwork
date
Sample
size
OthersLead
Kantar CZ13 Feb – 3 Mar 202395131.030.513.09.02.55.02.07.00.5
Kantar CZ17 Oct – 4 Nov 20221,20031.528.014.011.52.54.03.02.03.53.5
Kantar CZ12–30 Sep 202299728.531.512.012.04.02.52.02.05.03.0
Kantar CZ15 Aug – 2 Sep 202289329.032.010.011.03.53.54.07.03.0
Kantar CZ16 May – 2 Jun 202296228.529.512.511.52.55.02.52.55.51.0
Kantar CZ8–29 Apr 20221,20033.528.511.511.03.04.02.02.04.55.0
Kantar CZ14 Mar – 4 Apr 20221,20031.529.015.59.54.03.02.52.52.52.5
Median1 Mar – 1 Apr 20221,15926.527.516.510.03.05.54.03.04.01.0
Kantar CZ14 Feb – 4 Mar 20221,20032.527.514.512.03.53.02.03.02.05.0
Median1 Nov – 2 Dec 20211,07326.029.516.58.54.04.54.53.03.53.5
Kantar CZ1–19 Nov 202193528.028.017.09.53.54.03.53.53.0Tie
2021 legislative election8–9 Oct 2021N/A27.827.115.69.64.74.73.62.81.0N/A2.90.7

Seat projections

Polling firmFieldwork
date
Lead
Kantar CZ12 Feb – 1 Mar 2024499314232109000044
Kantar CZ17 Apr – 5 May 2023637513221809000012
Kantar CZ1–19 Nov 20217171382000000Tie
2021 legislative election8–9 Oct 202171723720000001
342314723342000000038

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Rakušan: Příště půjdeme do voleb bez Pirátů. 2023-06-05 . Novinky.cz. cs.