Opinion polling for the 2018 Russian presidential election explained

Election Name:	Opinion polling for the Russian presidential election, 2018
Country:	Russia
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	yes
Previous Election:	Opinion polling for the 2012 Russian presidential election
Previous Year:	2012
Next Election:	Opinion polling for the 2024 Russian presidential election
Next Year:	2024

This page lists public opinion polls in connection with the 2018 Russian presidential election.

Main opinion polls

Polls conducted since 8 February 2018, when all candidates were registered.

Date	Poll source									Spoil the ballot	Undecided	Abstention
		Putin	Grudinin	Zhirinovsky	Yavlinsky	Sobchak	Titov	Baburin	Suraykin
		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=					bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=
11 March	FOM	64.9%	6.2%	6.7%	0.5%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%	0.3%
9 March	WCIOM	69%	7%	5%	1%	2%	0%	1%	0%	1%	11%	3%
4 March	WCIOM	69.7%	7.1%	5.6%	1.0%	1.1%	0.3%	0.2%	0.3%	0.6%	10.7%	3.4%
3-4 March	FOM	64%	6.5%	6.6%	0.7%	1.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	1%	13%	6%
26 February	WCIOM	69.1%	7.8%	5.9%	0.9%	1.6%	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%	0.5%	10.4%	3.1%
24-25 February	FOM	64%	6%	7%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	13%	6%
16-22 February	FBK	56%	4%	4%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%		32%
17-18 February	FOM	67%	6%	6%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	11%	7%
18 February	WCIOM	69.5%	7.5%	5.3%	1.4%	0.9%	0.3%	0.4%	0.1%	0.6%	10.6%	3.4%
17 February	Start of campaigning in the media
9-14 February	FBK	57%	5%	4%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%		30%
10-11 February	FOM	67%	5%	5%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	12%	7%
11 February	WCIOM	71.5%	7.3%	5.5%	0.8%	1.0%	0.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.8%	9.3%	3.0%

Most favorite for president

Date	Poll source									Nobody	Difficult to answer
		Putin	Grudinin	Zhirinovsky	Yavlinsky	Sobchak	Titov	Baburin	Suraykin
		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=				bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=
11 Mar 2018	FOM	72.6%	12.0%	13.7%	2.9%	2.4%	2.5%	2.6%	1.9%
25 Feb 2018	FOM	70.6%	10.4%	17.1%	2.7%	2.0%	1.7%	2.3%	1.2%		11.5%	4.3%
22 Feb 2018	FOM	74.1%	10.1%	14.8%	2.3%	1.3%	1.2%	1.6%	0.6%		11.3%	3.1%
11 Feb 2018	FOM	74.3%	9.7%	15.0%	2.5%	2.2%	1.7%	1.5%	0.6%		11.3%	3.2%
4 Feb 2018	FOM	73.3%	10.0%	15.9%	3.2%	2.5%	2.0%			11.4%	3.2%
28 Jan 2018	FOM	75.0%	9.5%	13.5%	2.1%	1.8%	1.2%			9.9%	3.0%

Least favorite for president

Date	Poll source									Nobody	Difficult to answer
		Putin	Grudinin	Zhirinovsky	Yavlinsky	Sobchak	Titov	Baburin	Suraykin
		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=				bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=
11 Mar 2018	FOM	6.2%	15.0%	17.7%	14.7%	57.0%	8.9%	8.5%	8.3%
25 Feb 2018	FOM	7.5%	13.1%	14.9%	14.2%	57.2%	7.9%	7.9%	6.9%		22.3%	5.7%
22 Feb 2018	FOM	6.2%	13.5%	16.0%	15.4%	57.5%	7.7%	7.5%	7.2%		22.3%	5.6%
11 Feb 2018	FOM	6.1%	10.7%	14.9%	13.9%	58.5%	6.7%	7.5%	6.5%		22.1%	6.2%
4 Feb 2018	FOM	6.7%	10.2%	16.7%	16.8%	58.6%	7.9%			20.8%	6.3%
28 Jan 2018	FOM	6.5%	8.5%	15.5%	16.0%	59.0%	6.4%			21.0%	5.6%

Early opinion polls

Polls conducted before the completion of the official registration of candidates.

Date	Poll source																			Other	Undecided	Abstention
		Putin	Medvedev	Matviyenko	Shoygu	Sobyanin	Zyuganov	Grudinin	Prokhorov	Zhirinovsky	Mironov	Yavlinsky	Kasyanov	Navalny	Rogozin	Khodorkovsky	Sobchak	Titov	Gordon
		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=					bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=			bgcolor=
8 Feb 2018	Ksenia Sobchak and Maxim Suraykin registered as presidential candidates^[1] ^[2]
7 Feb 2018	Sergey Baburin, Boris Titov and Grigory Yavlinsky registered as presidential candidates^[3] ^[4] ^[5]
6 Feb 2018	Vladimir Putin registered as a presidential candidate^[6]
4 Feb 2018	FOM	66.3%						5.5%		6.5%		0.5%					1.2%	0.1%		0.9%	11.2%	7.6%
29 Jun – 4 Feb 2018	WCIOM	71.4%						6.9%		5.7%		0.7%					1.3%	0.4%		0.7%	9.2%	3.2%
26-31 Jan 2018	FBK	60%						5%		5%		<1%					<1%	<1%		2%	25%
27-28 Jan 2018	FOM	69%						6%		6%		1%					1%	0%		0%	9%	7%
26–28 Jan 2018	WCIOM	69.9%						7.2%		5.9%		0.9%					1.2%	0.3%		1.0%	9.2%	3.7%
21 Jan 2018	FOM	67%						6%		6%		1%					1%	0%		1%	9%	8%
15-18 Jan 2018	FBK	62%						6%		6%		<1%					<1%	<1%		2%	21%
15 Jan 2018	WCIOM	73.2%						6.1%		6.1%		0.8%					1.2%	0.3%		0.6%	5.6%	5.5%
14 Jan 2018	FOM	65.9%						6.2%		6.0%		<1%					1.5%	<1%		1.1%	7.9%	9.1%
12 Jan 2018	Pavel Grudinin registered as a presidential candidate^[7]
8–10 Jan 2018	WCIOM	54.3%						5.1%		2.8%		0.4%					0.5%	0.3%		0.4%	13.6%	4.0%
27–30 Dec 2017	CIPKR	58%						7%		3%		>1%					2%	>1%		2%	17%	7%
29 Dec 2017	Vladimir Zhirinovsky registered as a presidential candidate^[8]
25 Dec 2017	CEC rejects Alexei Navalny’s presidential bid^[9]
23–24 Dec 2017	FOM	68%					4%			7%		1%					1%	0%		1%	7%	9%
23 Dec 2017	Pavel Grudinin announces his intention to run
18 Dec 2017	Election campaign begins
15–17 Dec 2017	WCIOM	58.7%					2.3%			2.9%		0.6%					0.2%	0.5%			12%	7%
15 Dec 2017	Federation Council appoints the presidential election
11 Dec 2017	FOM	67%					4%			8%		1%					1%	0%		1%	8%	8%
6 Dec 2017	Vladimir Putin announces his intention to run
1–5 Dec 2017	Levada Centre	61%					6%			8%	2%	1%					1%	<1%	1%	3%	10%	9%
4 Dec 2017	ROMIR	60%					5.6%			6.4%	1.6%	1.6%	0%	2.4%			1.6%			1%	8%	11%
3 Dec 2017	FOM	68%					4%			7%		1%					1%	0%		1%	8%	8%
26 Nov 2017	Boris Titov announces his intention to run
	FOM	68%					4%			7%		1%					1%			3%	9%	9%
24–28 Nov 2017	Levada Centre	53%			1%		3%			4%	1%	<1%		1%			1%			1%	15%	11%
11–12 Nov 2017	FOM	68%					4%			7%		1%					2%			2%	8%	8%
4–5 Nov 2017	FOM	68%					4%			7%		1%					1%			2%	7%	8%
20–24 Oct 2017	Levada Centre	53%	<1%		1%		2%			3%	<1%	<1%		2%			<1%			<1%	20%	11%
18 Oct 2017	Ksenia Sobchak announces her intention to run
15–19 Sep 2017	Levada Centre	52%	<1%		<1%		2%			2%	<1%	<1%		1%						1%	23%	9%
18–22 Aug 2017	Levada Centre	48%	<1%		1%		2%			2%	<1%	<1%		1%						1%	24%	10%
28 Jul 2017	FOM	66%					4%		1%	8%	1%									2%	9%	9%
19–22 May 2017	Levada Centre	63%					3%			6%	1%	1%	<1%	2%							14%	9%
10 May 2017	FOM	62%					5%		1%	9%	1%									1%	10%	9%
28 Apr 2017	FOM	62%					5%		1%	9%	0%									1%	10%	9%
21–24 Apr 2017	Levada Centre	48%	1%		1%		3%		<1%	3%	1%			1%						1%	19%	13%
7 Apr 2017	FOM	66%					4%		1%	10%	1%									1%	8%	8%
1 Mar 2017	FOM	67%					4%		1%	9%	1%									1%	8%	8%
17 Feb 2017	FOM	66%					4%		1%	9%	1%									1%	7%	10%
30 Jan 2017	FOM	65%					4%		1%	10%	1%									1%	8%	9%
22 Jan 2017	FOM	65%					4%		1%	11%	1%									1%	7%	9%
30 Dec 2016	FOM	67%					4%		1%	8%	1%									1%	8%	9%
23 Dec 2016	FOM	65%					5%		1%	9%	1%									1%	7%	10%
16 Dec 2016	FOM	66%					5%		1%	10%	1%									1%	6%	9%
13 Dec 2016	Alexey Navalny announces his intention to run
9 Dec 2016	FOM	66%					5%		1%	10%	1%									0%	7%	9%
2 Dec 2016	FOM	65%					5%		1%	10%	1%									1%	7%	9%
25 Nov 2016	FOM	63%					5%		1%	11%	1%									1%	7%	9%
18 Nov 2016	FOM	62%					5%		1%	11%	1%									1%	8%	10%
11 Nov 2016	FOM	63%					5%		1%	10%	1%									1%	7%	10%
28 Oct 2016	FOM	64%					5%		1%	11%	1%									1%	8%	8%
28 Oct 2016	Vladimir Zhirinovsky announces his intention to run
21 Oct 2016	FOM	63%					5%		1%	13%	1%									1%	7%	8%
14 Oct 2016	FOM	62%					5%		1%	12%	1%									1%	7%	9%
7 Oct 2016	FOM	62%					5%		1%	11%	1%									1%	8%	9%
30 Sep 2016	FOM	62%					4%		1%	12%	1%									1%	8%	9%
18 Sep 2016	Legislative election
10 Sep 2016	FOM	59%					6%		1%	11%	2%									1%	9%	9%
19 Aug 2016	FOM	62%					6%		2%	9%	2%									1%	9%	9%
22 Jul 2016	FOM	64%					5%		1%	9%	2%									1%	8%	9%
5 Jun 2016	FOM	66%					5%		1%	9%	1%									1%	7%	9%
18 Apr 2016	FOM	67%					8%		1%	5%	1%									1%	7%	9%
16–18 Apr 2016	CIMES	49.3%	1.8%		8.3%		2.5%			8.1%	0.6%			3.9%		1.9%				6.4%
19–20 Mar 2016	FOM	70%			2%		5%		2%	7%	1%									1%	7%	9%
28 Feb 2016	Grigory Yavlinsky announces his intention to run
22–25 Feb 2016	Levada Centre	53%	<1%		2%		4%		<1%	3%	1%			1%						1%	17%	11%
7 Feb 2016	FOM	71%			2%		4%		1%	5%	1%									1%	7%	8%
3–5 Nov 2015	CIMES	60.6%	1.6%		2.0%		2.1%		7.3%		0.7%			3.2%		2.6%					6.4%
22–25 August 2014	Levada Centre	57%	1%		<1%		3%			2%	1%			1%						1%	23%	12%
24–25 May 2014	WCIOM	68%	2%	1%	7%	0%	5%		1%	5%		0%	0%							0%	5%	7%
10–11 May 2014	WCIOM	66%	4%	0%	7%	0%	5%		2%	4%		0%	1%							1%	3%	7%
23 Feb 2014	WCIOM	42%	3%	0%	13%	1%	7%		2%	6%				1%	1%					2%	8%	13%
6 Oct 2013	WCIOM	46%	3%	1%	7%	1%	8%		3%	9%				2%	1%					1%	6%	12%
15 May 2013	FoRGO	46.8%					8.1%		4.8%	7.0%	1.9%									5.4%	9.8%	13.5%
4 Mar 2012	2012 Result	63.6%					17.2%		8.0%	6.2%	3.9%

Subnational polls

Moscow

Date	Poll source									Undecided
		Putin	Grudinin	Zhirinovsky	Yavlinsky	Sobchak	Titov	Baburin	Suraykin
		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=			bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=
23 Feb - 1 Mar 2018	FBK	44%	6%	4%	1%	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	41%

Chukotka Autonomous Okrug

Date	Poll source										Other	Undecided
		Putin	Grudinin	Zhirinovsky	Yavlinsky	Sobchak	Titov	Baburin	Gordon	Suraykin
		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=				bgcolor=		bgcolor=			bgcolor=
7–9 Jan 2018	Black Cube	71.7%	8.0%	8.0%	0.8%	6.0%	0.6%	0.7%	0.7%	0.7%	0.0%	2.9%

Jewish Autonomous Oblast

Date	Poll source										Other	Undecided
		Putin	Grudinin	Zhirinovsky	Yavlinsky	Sobchak	Titov	Baburin	Gordon	Suraykin
		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=				bgcolor=		bgcolor=			bgcolor=
7–9 Jan 2018	Black Cube	62.1%	8.7%	9.2%	0.7%	0.7%	1.1%	1.4%	0.7%	1.0%	3.2%	11.2%

Magadan Oblast

Date	Poll source										Other	Undecided
		Putin	Grudinin	Zhirinovsky	Yavlinsky	Sobchak	Titov	Baburin	Gordon	Suraykin
		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=				bgcolor=		bgcolor=			bgcolor=
7–9 Jan 2018	Black Cube	56.1%	9.7%	10.1%	0.8%	4.0%	0.8%	2.9%	0.0%	0.5%	5.0%	10.1%

Kamchatka Krai

Date	Poll source										Other	Undecided
		Putin	Grudinin	Zhirinovsky	Yavlinsky	Sobchak	Titov	Baburin	Gordon	Suraykin
		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=				bgcolor=		bgcolor=			bgcolor=
7–9 Jan 2018	Black Cube	60.0%	12.4%	10.4%	1.1%	3.9%	0.9%	1.9%	0.9%	0.7%	4.5%	3.3%

Sakhalin Oblast

Date	Poll source										Other	Undecided
		Putin	Grudinin	Zhirinovsky	Yavlinsky	Sobchak	Titov	Baburin	Gordon	Suraykin
		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=				bgcolor=		bgcolor=			bgcolor=
7–9 Jan 2018	Black Cube	56.4%	9.6%	10.1%	1.7%	1.2%	0.9%	1.6%	0.0%	0.6%	1.0%	16.9%

Amur Oblast

Date	Poll source										Other	Undecided
		Putin	Grudinin	Zhirinovsky	Yavlinsky	Sobchak	Titov	Baburin	Gordon	Suraykin
		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=				bgcolor=		bgcolor=			bgcolor=
7–9 Jan 2018	Black Cube	63.0%	11.0%	11.5%	1.1%	2.0%	1.0%	1.0%	0.5%	0.7%	1.1%	7.1%

Yakutia

Date	Poll source										Other	Undecided
		Putin	Grudinin	Zhirinovsky	Yavlinsky	Sobchak	Titov	Baburin	Gordon	Suraykin
		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=				bgcolor=		bgcolor=			bgcolor=
7–9 Jan 2018	Black Cube	69.8%	5.1%	8.0%	1.5%	0.5%	0.8%	0.3%	0.0%	0.9%	1.6%	11.5%

Khabarovsk Krai

Date	Poll source										Other	Undecided
		Putin	Grudinin	Zhirinovsky	Yavlinsky	Sobchak	Titov	Baburin	Gordon	Suraykin
		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=				bgcolor=		bgcolor=			bgcolor=
7–9 Jan 2018	Black Cube	56.2%	8.9%	12.0%	2.0%	0.8%	1.5%	0.1%	0.4%	0.5%	1.8%	15.8%

Primorsky Krai

Date	Poll source										Other	Undecided
		Putin	Grudinin	Zhirinovsky	Yavlinsky	Sobchak	Titov	Baburin	Gordon	Suraykin
		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=		bgcolor=				bgcolor=		bgcolor=			bgcolor=
7–9 Jan 2018	Black Cube	58.0%	12.2%	12.8%	1.3%	0.9%	1.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.7%	2.7%	8.7%

Impact of 2017 protests

See also: 2017 Russian protests. On March 26, 2017, protests against alleged corruption in the federal Russian government took place simultaneously in many cities across the country. They were triggered by the lack of proper response from the Russian authorities to the published investigative film He Is Not Dimon To You by Alexei Navalny, which has garnered more than 20 million views on YouTube. The Levada Center survey showed that 38% of surveyed Russians supported protests and that 67 percent held Putin personally responsible for high-level corruption.^[10] A new wave of mass protests has been announced for June 12, 2017.

The Levada Center also conducted another survey, which was released on the April 6, 2017, showing Navalny's recognition among the Russian population at 55%. Out of all voters, 2% would "definitely" and 7% "perhaps" vote for him in the presidential election.^[11]

External links

• FoRGO
• WCIOM
• Levada Centre
• FOM
• CIMES

Notes and References

1. https://rg.ru/2018/02/08/kseniia-sobchak-zaregistrirovana-kandidatom-v-prezidenty-rossii.html Ксения Собчак зарегистрирована кандидатом в президенты России
2. https://rg.ru/2018/02/08/cik-zaregistriroval-maksima-surajkina-kandidatom-v-prezidenty-rossii.html ЦИК зарегистрировал Максима Сурайкина кандидатом в президенты России
3. News: ЦИК зарегистрировал Бабурина кандидатом на пост президента. 2018-02-07. РИА Новости. 2018-02-07. ru.
4. News: ЦИК зарегистрировал Титова кандидатом на пост президента. РИА Новости. 2018-02-07. 2018-02-07. ru.
5. Web site: ЦИК зарегистрировал Явлинского кандидатом на пост президента. 2018-02-07. РИА Новости. 2018-02-07. ru.
6. https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/3540870 ЦИК зарегистрировал Владимира Путина кандидатом в президенты
7. News: ЦИК зарегистрировал выдвинутого КПРФ Грудинина кандидатом в президенты. ТАСС. 2018-01-17. ru.
8. News: Жириновский стал первым официально зарегистрированным кандидатом в президенты. 2017-12-29. РИА Новости. 2018-01-17. ru.
9. Web site: Navalny Calls For Election Boycott As Commission Blocks His Presidential Bid. RadioFreeEurope/RadioLiberty. 2018-01-17.
10. "Alexei Navalny: Is Russia's Anti-Corruption Crusader Vladimir Putin's Kryptonite?". Newsweek. April 17, 2017.
11. Web site: Protests on March 26 and Navalny. April 6, 2017. Levada Center .