Opinion polling for the 2018 Pakistani general election explained
General elections were held in Pakistan on 25 July 2018. Since the previous general election, several pollsters conducted opinion polls at both the national and provincial levels.
Nationwide voting intention
Voting intention polls conducted since 2013 for the National Assembly.
| Pollster | | Sample | | PTI | PPP | | | ANP | Others | Lead |
|---|
| | | | | |
|---|
| | ECP | 53,123,733 | 24.35% | 31.82% | 13.01% | 1.38% | 4.81% | 1.53% | 22.98% | 7.47% |
|---|
| SDPI[1] | Herald | 6,004 | 25% | 29% | 20% | | 3% | 1% | 20% | 4% |
| IPOR[2] | GSP | 3,735 | 32% | 29% | 13% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 20% | 3% |
| 06 Jun 2018 | Gallup Pakistan[3] | Geo/Jang | 3,000 | 26% | 25% | 16% | | 2% | 1% | 30% | 1% |
| Pulse Consultant | 3,163 | 27% | 30% | 17% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 20% | 3% |
| Gallup Pakistan[4] | Self | 3,000 | 38% | 25% | 15% | 22% | 13% |
| Gallup Pakistan[5] | WSJ | 2,000 | 36% | 24% | 17% | 23% | 12% |
| Gallup Pakistan[6] | Geo/Jang | 3,000 | 34% | 26% | 15% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 19% | 8% |
| 25 Oct 2017 | | 3,243 | 36% | 23% | 15% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 13% |
| 24 Oct 2017 | IPOR[7] [8] | GSP | 4,540 | 38% | 27% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 14% | 11% |
| 24 Apr 2017 | Gallup Pakistan[9] | Self | 1,400 | 36% | 25% | 16% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 16% | 11% |
| 38% | 22% | 17% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 14% | 16% |
| 27 Aug 2015 | SDPI[10] [11] | 3,014 | 27% | 33% | 14% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 20% | 6% |
| 17 Jul 2014 | SDPI[12] | Herald | 1,354 | 17% | 33% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 18% | 14% |
| [13] | ECP | 45,388,404 | 32.77% | 16.92% | 15.23% | 5.41% | 3.22% | 1.00% | 25.57% | 15.85% | |
|---|
Notes and References
- News: Survey shows elections too close to call.
- News: National Survey of Current Political Survey in Pakistan.
- Web site: Elections Exclusive: 3 poll results in! Who will you vote for Pakistan?. geo.tv.
- Web site: Dr. Ijaz Shafi Gilani, Chairman Gallup Pakistan talks about the changing trends in public opinion and motivations of the voters with respect to the upcoming Election on Jirga with SaleemKhanSafi on Geo News. Gallup Pakistan. 21 May 2018.
- Web site: Trial of Ex-Leader Rattles Pakistan's Democracy . Saeed . Shah . [www.wsj.com] . 25 April 2018.
- Web site: PML-N remains most popular party, Nawaz most favourite leader: survey . Manzar . Elahi . Sajjad . Haider . . 24 November 2017.
- Web site: Shehbaz favoured by Pakistan's majority to become premier: GSP survey . . 28 October 2017.
- Web site: National Public Opinion Survey . Global Strategic Partners . 24 October 2017 .
- Web site: Gallup Public Pulse on Panama Leaks Verdict – 24 Hours after the Announcement . Gallup Pakistan . 24 April 2017.
- Web site: Political Barometer, 2015 . Abid Q . Suleri . Sustainable Development Policy Institute . 2015.
- Web site: PTI more popular than PML-N: survey . Ismail . Sheikh . . 28 October 2015 . 29 March 2018.
- Web site: State of the nation: public opinion of the government's first year in power . . 29 March 2018.
- Web site: Party wise total vote bank . 27 May 2013 . Government of Pakistan . https://web.archive.org/web/20171008130607/https://ecp.gov.pk/Documents/Downloads/General%20Election%202013/Statistics/Party%20wise%20Vote%20Bank.pdf . 8 October 2017.
