Opinion polling for the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election explained

In the run up to the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Norway. The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2021 Norwegian parliamentary election, held on 13 September, to the present day. Unlike most nations, Norway's constitution does not allow early elections before the four-year term limit.

Poll results

There are several websites tracking party support ahead of the election, using somewhat different methods.[1] [2]

2024

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample sizeRSVMDGApSpVKrFHFrPINPOthersLead
InFact10645.48.43.720.45.15.94.222.420.71.72.11.7
Norfakta100277.06.09.03.720.64.64.94.127.413.01.25.56.8
Verian9984.911.03.822.44.55.93.524.815.71.52.02.4
Norstat9936.18.64.722.04.56.52.825.016.83.03.0
Respons Analyse1,00073.05.58.53.019.97.65.93.726.217.50.61.66.3
Opinion1,00075.05.110.83.619.97.26.53.319.819.33.60.1
Norfakta1,00280.08.09.93.418.97.55.83.523.415.71.42.54.5
InFact1,0966.08.83.018.95.75.83.925.417.82.52.26.5
Verian9988.911.52.718.65.44.83.725.515.90.82.06.9
Norstat3.89.63.320.36.66.44.223.417.31.04.23.1
Norstat9925.79.33.819.65.26.54.823.618.53.14.0
Norfakta1,00178.04.910.53.317.86.66.63.426.515.41.42.18.7
Respons Analyse1,0005.88.73.620.37.55.34.025.915.11.62.25.6
Opinion1,0004.69.73.517.35.95.84.428.017.81.51.510.2
Verian1,0495.010.23.121.35.26.83.824.916.52.31.03.6
InFact1,0705.18.94.420.06.14.44.423.518.82.62.03.5
Opinion1,00074.05.07.74.222.65.65.53.525.417.02.11.52.8
Opinion1,00073.5 5.910.92.819.36.07.33.022.216.82.73.12.9
Respons Analyse1,0016.98.94.121.25.75.53.328.413.41.61.07.2
Norfakta9994.910.63.621.05.55.24.428.313.01.12.57.3
Norstat9915.910.44.017.16.94.64.125.517.61.62.47.9
Opinion1,00171.0 4.29.43.419.05.35.23.330.515.32.71.811.5
InFact1,1305.710.23.418.45.45.74.525.415.33.42.57.0
Verian1,0035.09.43.620.58.65.32.924.614.91.12.04.1
Respons Analyse1,0005.610.23.617.96.15.84.428.514.42.21.310.6
Norstat9976.210.13.518.26.76.14.027.015.21.12.08.8
Norfakta1,00180.05.09.44.418.65.96.44.825.714.81.33.77.1
InFact1,0956.79.24.117.87.25.73.526.015.72.51.68.2
Opinion1,00072.05.810.94.918.85.45.82.624.916.31.43.16.1
Verian9995.69.13.319.56.25.83.026.913.82.93.97.4
Opinion9855.810.14.516.87.95.54.226.713.32.72.69.9
Norstat98574.06.210.64.018.66.44.93.625.116.41.82.46.5
Respons Analyse1,0014.811.03.719.15.15.84.127.414.72.91.48.3
Opinion1,00069.05.210.03.717.87.75.84.229.513.61.31.211.7
Norstat1,0005.39.53.617.86.86.63.726.514.32.63.38.7
Norfakta1,0104.39.12.720.56.55.73.527.613.73.03.37.1
Opinion1,00071.04.610.04.317.64.65.94.731.211.83.51.913.6
Verian9975.88.73.122.06.66.14.027.611.62.71.85.6
InFact1,0235.710.34.018.85.85.94.226.814.62.31.78.0
Norstat9894.911.43.319.45.76.03.726.812.13.33.37.4
Opinion1,00069.06.211.13.619.46.24.83.826.012.83.72.56.6
Verian9874.810.72.919.26.97.23.527.311.44.51.68.1
Respons Analyse1,0005.410.73.520.57.65.94.126.213.51.70.95.7
Norfakta1,00381.04.310.63.519.06.65.94.125.214.23.43.26.2
InFact1,0875.69.13.618.57.85.34.623.514.56.11.55.0
2021 election77.14.77.63.926.313.54.63.820.411.60.33.35.9

2023

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample sizeRSVMDGApSpVKrFHFrPINPOthersLead
InFact1,1615.79.73.518.97.86.03.324.514.24.71.75.6
Respons Analyse1,0004.911.83.618.46.35.74.226.812.44.21.78.4
Norstat98774.06.012.04.817.96.55.53.727.312.22.91.29.4
Norfakta1,00578.05.410.83.717.75.55.93.825.016.03.42.87.3
Opinion1,00072.04.99.93.319.97.46.13.823.914.23.53.24.0
Norstat1,0004.811.43.918.66.14.04.726.313.64.12.57.7
Verian9896.410.82.620.97.94.73.125.411.04.42.84.5
Opinion1,00074.06.810.24.017.65.07.24.325.513.13.92.57.9
Respons Analyse1,0005.49.33.518.46.46.84.726.913.33.61.78.5
Norfakta1,03880.04.910.32.922.26.55.53.727.211.13.52.25.0
Opinion1,00072.03.98.24.021.05.36.63.627.913.23.43.06.9
Verian1,0005.69.94.716.86.26.24.727.512.14.32.110.7
InFact1,0385.99.34.419.85.05.03.924.114.85.32.64.3
Opinion1,00073.04.911.04.418.05.95.83.826.313.33.72.98.3
Norstat9944.210.64.620.25.66.44.024.612.94.32.84.4
Opinion1,0004.79.93.819.37.65.23.625.113.37.55.8
InFact1,0455.28.64.020.75.85.34.225.014.04.03.34.3
Norfakta1,00482.05.010.53.021.05.55.64.126.512.84.11.95.5
Opinion1,00079.06.69.14.120.26.06.03.325.612.34.82.15.4
Verian4.98.73.820.66.16.54.127.012.64.31.56.4
Norstat9925.38.73.821.06.65.83.027.611.63.20.36.6
Respons Analyse1,0005.68.74.320.87.77.22.927.211.22.61.86.4
Respons Analyse1,0014.67.44.920.37.14.84.129.012.42.72.78.7
Norfakta1,00581.04.18.54.019.86.96.23.427.813.12.24.18.0
Opinion1,00073.04.57.23.720.76.65.13.928.313.04.52.77.6
InFact1,0535.58.84.319.35.55.04.726.014.33.63.06.7
Norstat99272.36.010.23.717.56.85.43.527.513.82.13.410.0
Opinion1,0004.610.03.320.94.74.63.730.012.82.62.79.1
Norstat5.79.34.418.45.55.03.229.114.11.93.410.7
Verian1,3005.58.44.018.15.45.13.629.912.44.03.611.8
Opinion1,0015.59.43.618.05.74.63.430.314.25.312.3
Norstat98571.25.39.63.217.46.64.53.131.112.72.14.413.7
Respons Analyse1,0025.07.44.719.87.84.44.330.612.12.51.410.8
Norstat1,0004.18.14.219.16.36.33.928.312.24.82.79.2
Opinion1,00068.04.98.85.017.76.03.13.633.011.72.73.415.3
Kantar9863.89.03.217.87.55.22.531.512.43.04.113.7
InFact1,0395.48.73.219.17.36.02.926.813.84.62.17.7
Norfakta1,00176.05.69.13.818.84.94.84.331.812.22.22.513.0
InFact1,0014.96.83.920.87.53.83.829.014.61.43.58.2
Norfakta1,00475.05.88.02.818.56.55.73.130.513.83.02.412.0
Norstat9875.17.63.620.16.74.73.930.911.53.22.710.8
Respons Analyse1,00076.36.39.23.719.85.74.83.032.110.73.31.412.3
Norfakta1,0025.87.93.318.46.54.04.131.6131.34.113.2
InFact1,0054.78.43.619.96.24.44.429.811.73.83.19.9
Opinion1,00068.05.08.23.817.65.74.54.531.814.14.914.2
Kantar9847.28.23.618.06.54.54.131.711.42.32.513.7
Norstat99168.56.67.43.218.77.14.62.93113.43.31.812.3
Opinion1,00671.08.68.33.816.35.24.53.132.113.22.22.615.8
Norstat1,0005.39.13.818.45.24.73.434.111.91.62.415.7
Respons Analyse1,0006.37.63.119.56.54.73.931.814.22.412.3
Opinion1,0007.08.13.717.96.54.24.130.313.43.01.712.4
Norfakta1,00075.05.38.43.617.05.95.54.231.812.32.63.414.8
InFact1,0055.19.14.918.86.53.74.232.110.91.83.013.3
Kantar2,00077.35.78.53.619.86.34.74.131.210.62.43.211.4
Opinion1,0005.98.93.817.75.54.74.429.812.56.812.1
Norstat9755.48.53.320.16.83.73.832.610.61.93.312.5
Respons Analyse1,0005.28.04.218.65.64.63.931.812.82.52.813.2
Norstat9915.48.84.819.35.05.42.831.69.83.63.612.3
Norfakta1,0025.310.03.418.66.34.94.030.812.30.93.512.2
InFact1,0006.28.03.217.65.75.54.632.211.12.13.814.6
Opinion1,00068.06.66.83.616.95.84.63.932.214.84.815.3
Kantar9776.49.94.018.05.64.33.130.612.61.54.112.6
Norstat99272.45.69.62.817.15.74.93.733.810.62.83.416.7
Opinion6.18.12.916.25.85.44.034.212.52.82.118.0
Norstat9886.310.22.917.05.55.04.034.611.43.117.6
Respons Analyse1,0006.39.14.018.16.35.53.930.910.03.51.912.8
Norfakta1,00074.05.410.63.316.57.23.63.732.911.02.23.616.4
Opinion99970.05.07.92.415.56.24.84.136.912.25.121.4
Kantar9925.79.43.516.56.64.74.329.914.45.013.4
Norstat98571.07.09.03.618.57.25.13.530.611.81.81.912.1
Opinion1,05370.06.99.23.416.06.03.93.432.513.62.12.916.5
Respons Analyse1,0006.39.52.318.65.34.83.532.412.84.513.8
Norfakta1,00173.06.56.92.221.05.44.34.634.610.93.813.6
InFact1,0326.98.23.521.25.63.13.330.812.32.13.09.6
Opinion99268.07.98.83.616.85.14.13.931.912.85.115.1
Kantar9776.810.03.816.97.44.62.429.013.16.012.1
Norstat98673.16.08.84.017.55.44.93.531.014.54.313.5
Opinion1,0036.48.04.317.45.55.04.031.912.65.014.5
InFact1,0446.87.83.420.56.03.94.229.113.12.03.38.6
Respons Analyse1,0015.88.73.919.26.94.82.830.113.12.12.610.9
Opinion1,00069.96.27.62.618.57.13.43.633.512.45.115.0
Kantar9906.38.73.219.56.24.63.030.413.92.51.810.9
Opinion96767.06.99.54.117.76.34.02.431.013.21.43.513.3
Norfakta1,00676.06.59.44.219.14.54.03.931.312.51.53.012.2
Norstat95573.85.48.44.019.45.95.12.630.911.91.25.011.5
2021 election77.14.77.63.926.313.54.63.820.411.60.33.35.9

2022

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
RSVMDGApSpVKrFHFrPOthersLead
Norstat9477.78.84.114.63.84.23.135.614.23.921.0
Ipsos88981.06.39.64.119.96.24.63.429.111.85.014.6
Respons Analyse10017.29.32.618.24.53.63.732.813.44.714.6
Sentio10007.59.34.117.75.94.62.832.810.25.115.1
Norfakta100778.07.29.53.616.37.14.53.332.811.64.116.5
Opinion96768.06.79.53.218.15.45.83.432.712.22.914.6
Kantar9807.48.94.119.85.15.62.930.910.64.811.1
Norstat9477.38.63.917.15.94.63.430.112.86.113.0
Opinion95167.09.58.13.917.43.53.43.731.613.35.714.2
Ipsos9455.98.43.319.84.86.03.129.814.74.210.0
Norstat9546.39.23.315.45.04.92.833.612.76.818.2
Sentio1,0004.710.04.816.74.54.44.631.613.45.414.9
Respons Analyse1,0006.18.53.918.56.65.03.332.011.94.213.5
Opinion96768.07.58.73.416.95.33.14.532.313.84.415.4
Norfakta1,01178.06.97.34.020.56.05.33.329.413.14.28.9
Kantar1,1787.88.63.819.16.24.63.728.612.15.59.5
Norstat9455.98.43.718.24.33.43.632.414.75.414.2
Ipsos6.410.14.918.16.93.83.729.313.13.711.2
InFact1,0046.08.13.819.75.55.03.728.715.04.59.0
Norstat9536.78.94.418.06.05.14.028.913.24.910.9
Sentio1,0007.19.33.818.15.24.03.729.313.76.011.2
Norfakta1,00075.05.410.13.420.55.95.03.630.512.33.410.0
Respons Analyse1,0007.09.83.720.05.54.12.930.013.13.910.0
Opinion96867.05.48.22.922.65.63.43.430.213.64.77.6
Norstat9607.09.13.119.96.23.43.429.214.44.39.3
Kantar9848.17.24.219.46.74.43.526.114.26.16.7
Ipsos8.46.33.419.47.74.12.728.215.54.48.8
Norstat9508.37.62.820.53.94.34.428.215.54.47.7
Sentio1,0007.57.44.019.15.45.04.326.616.74.27.5
Respons Analyse1,0006.58.93.519.86.04.93.330.212.74.210.4
Opinion96868.08.69.53.021.56.34.52.728.311.04.76.8
Norfakta1,0036.09.24.019.26.54.63.728.714.14.09.5
Norstat9406.87.43.419.66.45.33.132.412.63.012.8
Kantar9768.28.43.720.84.64.53.527.814.14.57.0
Norstat9408.57.33.121.55.74.23.429.313.53.77.8
Ipsos26 Aug7.47.43.521.65.74.23.827.215.14.15.6
Sentio1,0005.88.73.820.26.93.84.928.913.43.58.7
Respons Analyse1,0007.59.53.819.96.64.13.928.912.33.59.0
Norstat9605.88.93.719.45.94.63.830.014.43.510.6
Opinion97170.05.18.43.119.36.05.03.229.114.85.99.8
Kantar98170.37.09.93.620.46.84.93.327.213.23.76.8
Norfakta1,00579.06.48.54.122.27.23.72.928.713.33.06.5
Norfakta1,0055.410.03.621.25.64.03.228.914.04.17.7
Kantar97679.06.98.33.021.46.74.43.129.513.13.98.1
Ipsos6.39.03.523.14.74.03.626.814.84.23.7
Norstat95175.05.38.53.820.57.33.52.629.115.83.68.6
Sentio1,0005.79.54.322.27.04.63.524.614.63.92.4
Respons Analyse1,0006.89.04.020.27.44.93.926.814.03.06.6
Norfakta1,00178.05.68.33.023.06.95.33.827.813.13.24.8
Opinion96572.05.49.32.919.79.24.22.828.014.14.58.3
Kantar9797.010.02.721.87.75.12.026.313.93.54.5
Norstat9495.49.73.621.86.35.43.226.713.05.04.9
Ipsos6.98.44.121.87.46.13.625.713.03.13.9
Norstat95077.06.57.33.023.96.14.74.726.812.84.32.9
Sentio1,0006.07.13.221.38.44.93.528.813.43.37.5
Opinion96771.06.87.92.622.86.93.84.427.013.93.84.2
Respons Analyse1,0005.78.43.322.16.44.43.829.012.84.16.9
Norfakta1,0006.07.93.523.18.04.93.626.413.03.63.3
Kantar6.58.24.123.17.44.43.528.411.52.75.3
Norstat96377.06.77.63.324.86.65.03.026.513.03.61.7
Ipsos9365.98.63.923.89.45.53.426.210.62.72.4
Norstat9526.69.63.220.95.54.33.128.314.34.27.4
Sentio1,0005.76.03.924.58.65.73.227.611.23.63.1
Opinion6.47.13.225.87.15.63.425.612.73.20.2
Norfakta1,00179.07.28.73.323.86.14.42.529.611.33.15.8
Respons Analyse1,0036.27.82.923.18.03.74.027.613.33.44.5
Kantar9825.08.33.423.26.64.33.327.713.94.44.5
Norstat9456.97.84.220.98.54.14.627.312.53.26.4
Ipsos93879.06.67.12.624.07.64.33.126.413.25.12.4
Norstat9588.55.94.222.66.63.93.328.611.25.26.0
Respons Analyse1,0006.57.44.223.08.04.93.625.513.33.61.5
Sentio1,00075.07.28.72.922.59.24.92.527.510.44.15.0
Opinion96572.08.06.54.423.67.54.33.826.911.63.43.3
Norfakta1,00780.07.38.74.321.89.75.13.125.811.13.14.0
Norstat95677.08.97.93.422.69.14.34.224.910.94.02.3
Ipsos98974.08.18.12.825.58.04.72.726.810.52.91.3
Kantar13037.89.53.621.78.45.13.926.410.03.64.7
Norstat95210.58.33.022.87.54.62.425.411.34.32.6
Respons Analyse1,0009.48.93.322.08.23.53.025.312.53.93.3
Sentio99.98.110.63.321.97.94.93.124.911.43.83.0
Opinion10.38.23.321.99.54.43.625.89.83.13.9
Norfakta8.48.52.623.47.25.03.725.812.23.32.4
Norstat8.310.43.320.08.73.83.626.212.23.56.2
Kantar8.49.73.021.29.04.83.325.411.43.84.2
Ipsos6.19.94.222.410.23.43.324.312.63.61.9
Norstat9699.58.53.520.88.83.73.127.111.23.86.3
Sentio1,0005.89.23.822.39.34.15.025.612.03.03.3
Respons Analyse1,0006.69.44.323.59.84.42.725.610.63.12.1
Opinion97075.07.89.74.818.99.44.22.826.612.82.97.7
Kantar9726.29.14.621.710.75.12.923.711.44.82.0
Norfakta1,0017.18.43.624.39.94.43.724.910.92.90.6
Norstat9436.29.43.321.19.84.93.224.713.93.63.6
2021 election77.14.77.63.926.313.54.63.820.411.63.65.9

2021

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
RSVMDGApSpVKrFHFrPOthersLead
InFact1,0156.19.13.421.69.94.73.225.413.82.83.8
Norstat9577.69.33.722.710.15.33.623.311.03.40.6
Ipsos94784.05.89.42.820.710.46.32.924.812.84.14.1
Respons Analyse1,0016.110.43.522.610.04.03.426.311.42.33.7
Sentio1,0005.68.13.525.09.95.83.523.011.73.82.0
Opinion6.99.23.023.912.04.83.123.111.13.00.8
Norfakta1,00285.05.19.63.621.712.35.13.524.811.13.23.0
Kantar4.99.83.323.410.75.13.424.610.04.81.2
Norstat98880.05.010.33.725.012.43.52.622.112.03.32.9
Ipsos9415.49.34.224.013.44.52.522.311.33.12.7
Norstat9646.59.93.424.311.64.43.420.513.03.13.8
Sentio1,0005.18.54.127.311.45.03.920.711.12.96.6
Respons Analyse1,00186.04.88.54.125.513.15.22.821.711.03.33.8
Opinion9625.38.83.026.013.34.83.620.912.02.25.1
Norfakta4.68.24.127.912.74.73.321.710.02.86.5
Kantar5.38.63.726.812.04.33.221.411.53.25.4
Ipsos31 Oct4.98.33.425.715.04.14.020.79.84.05.0
Norstat9545.98.24.226.814.04.43.021.29.82.55.6
Norstat9534.78.93.228.013.24.73.121.111.02.26.9
Sentio1,0004.88.63.927.412.84.62.721.011.03.26.4
Respons Analyse1,0014.89.33.726.712.45.43.421.210.32.85.5
Opinion9775.38.53.825.813.14.73.821.511.02.64.3
Norfakta1,0034.78.93.526.013.74.34.120.611.62.65.4
Norstat1,00083.04.99.03.725.613.14.53.420.512.03.45.1
Kantar9785.48.34.227.913.24.33.218.911.72.99.0
Norstat9594.08.74.427.312.84.33.520.811.23.26.5
Sentio1,0005.47.55.528.212.04.13.120.011.22.98.2
2021 election77.14.77.63.926.313.54.63.820.411.63.65.9

By county

Finnmark

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
RSVApSpMDGVKrFHFrPOthersLead
InFact10 Feb 20221,00912.87.427.29.02.21.81.69.513.814.713.4
2021 election5.06.231.418.42.31.41.76.810.813.913.0

Nord-Trøndelag

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
RSVApSpMDGVKrFHFrPOthersLead
Sentio30 Jun–6 Jul 202260075.05.46.229.618.71.22.22.518.512.92.710.9
Norstat7–12 Feb 202250090.07.18.029.625.51.41.92.214.26.33.84.1
2021 election4.05.733.628.81.92.02.310.68.03.14.8

Oppland

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
RSVApSpMDGVKrFHFrPOthersLead
Markedsinfo14–16 Jun 20227.27.228.914.32.12.61.823.111.11.85.8
2021 election3.75.335.226.22.22.31.612.58.62.44.8

Oslo

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
RSVApSpMDGVKrFHFrPOthersLead
Respons Analyse14–18 Mar 20221,00010.412.419.31.76.910.01.630.65.21.911.3
Respons Analyse9–16 Dec 20211,0008.415.920.72.56.910.31.627.84.51.47.1
2021 election8.313.323.03.18.510.01.823.56.02.50.5

Sogn og Fjordane

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
RSVApSpMDGVKrFHFrPOthersLead
InFact17 Feb 20221,0117.96.223.421.83.03.53.417.610.82.51.6
2021 election4.05.626.528.72.33.33.913.99.42.42.2

Sør-Trøndelag

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
RSVApSpMDGVKrFHFrPOthersLead
Norstat7–10 Feb 20225009.69.923.812.24.44.22.421.19.03.32.7
2021 election5.69.129.815.14.84.42.216.58.63.913.3

Troms

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
RSVApSpMDGVKrFHFrPOthersLead
InFact10 Feb 20221,0099.59.619.78.23.62.32.524.718.01.95.0
2021 election4.810.827.119.13.02.52.213.514.03.08.0

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Stortingsvalg: Hele landet. Poll of Polls. no. 13 September 2021.
  2. Web site: Norwegian Poll Tracker. Estimite. 13 April 2022.