Opinion polling for the 2024 Slovak presidential election explained

This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2024 Slovak presidential election. Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading candidate's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication; however, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Opinion polls for the first round

Since nominations were closed

DateAgencyIvan KorčokPeter PellegriniŠtefan HarabinKrisztián ForróIgor MatovičJán KubišPatrik DubovskýMarian KotlebaMilan NáhlikAndrej DankoRóbert Švec
23 March 2024First round election[1] 42.52%37.03%11.74%2.91%2.18%2.04%0.71%0.57%0.14%0.08%0.08%
23 March 2024(Exit Poll)RTVS + Median[2] 34.9%34.3%15.0%3.0%4.5%4.3%0.5%2.8%0.5%——
20 March 2024Róbert Švec drops out and endorses Štefan Harabin (remains on ballot)[3]
16–19 March 2024Ipsos36.3%37.5%13.1%4.3%3.6%2.5%1.1%0.9%0.1%—0.8%
18 March 2024Andrej Danko drops out and endorses Štefan Harabin (remains on ballot)[4]
13–18 March 2024NMS[5] 36.0%34.2%16.0%2.7%4.0%2.8%0.9%2.2%0.2%0.5%0.5%
11–17 March 2024Sanep[6] 33.1%35.6%12.0%2.6%5.2%3.6%1.9%2.7%0.5%2.0%0.8%
12–16 March 2024Ipsos[7] 36.6%37.4%11.3%2.8%4.3%2.4%—1.8%1.1%0.9%—
7–13 March 2024Median[8] 35.7%34.2%11.4%2.7%3.2%3.2%1.8%2.3%1.0%2.3%2.2%
7–11 March 2024Focus[9] 33.1%34.4%12.7%3.2%4.7%4.5%1.5%1.8%0.4%3.1%0.6%
26–29 February 2024Sanep[10] 32.7%38.3%10.2%2.8%5.8%4.1%1.3%1.9%0.6%2.0%0.3%
23–27 February 2024Median[11] 36.0%32.7%11.2%2.7%4.9%3.2%2.0%2.1%1.1%2.2%1.9%
16–21 February 2024Ipsos[12] 36.3%40.2%8.5%3.0%4.3%3.4%1.3%1.7%—1.1%—
14–21 February 2024Focus[13] 34.0%35.2%11%3.1%5.0%4.3%1.3%2.4%0.5%3.2%—
14–18 February 2024NMS[14] 34.6%35.8%10%2.2%6.6%4.8%1.1%2%1.5%1.3%—
5–12 February 2024AKO[15] 37.2%39.0%8.1%2.4%4.8%3.0%1.9%0.9%0.6%2.1%—

Before nominations were closed

DateAgencyPeter PellegriniIvan KorčokMaroš ŽilinkaŠtefan HarabinPeter WeissRobert MistríkMarian KotlebaJán KubišMiriam LexmannRobert FicoJán DrgonecAndrej DankoKrisztián ForróĽudovít ÓdorJozef BanášMilan UhríkBoris KollárOthers
28 January 2024Focus[16] 38.1%35.6%—10.9%———4.9%———3.3%2.3%—————
22–25 January 2024Ipsos[17] 40.7%38.2%—8.0%——1.6%2.1%———1.7%3.3%————3.3%
11–16 January 2024AKO[18] 40.6%37.7%—8.0%———3.1%——2.2%—2.4%—————
16 January 2024NMS[19] 32.4%33.0%—11.0%———4.3%——2.2%1.8%1.9%————4.1%
2 January 2024SANEP[20] 43.9%32.3%—9.8%———9.9%———3.5%0.6%—————
13–18 December 2023Ipsos[21] 25%16%—7%———2%2%———2%—————
13 November-17 December 2023Median SK[22] 30.3%23.3%2.1%——3.2%——2.5%15.2%———4.9%5.5%4.2%3.7%5.1%
7–14 November 2023AKO[23] 40.0%30.4%—8.9%—3.6%—5.8%1.9%————————9.5%
10 November 2023Ipsos[24] 19%14%8%8%—3%—2%——————————
July 2023Ipsos[25] 12%11%8%7%—3%—3%3%13%——4%—————
21–28 June 2023Focus[26] 13%10%8%4%3%2%2%2%1%—————————

Polls with Čaputová

DateAgencyZuzana ČaputováPeter PellegriniRobert FicoŠtefan HarabinMilan UhríkMaroš ŽilinkaMarian KotlebaMaroš ŠefčovičMikuláš DzurindaIveta RadičováJozef BanášEduard ChmelárAndrej KiskaBoris KollárIvan KorčokMiroslav LajčákPeter WeissRobert MistríkOthers
26-29 February 2024Sanep14%20%4.0%———————————9.0%———22.0%
14 March 2023Ipsos[27] 30.0%——7.0%—7.0%3.0%———————6.0%—3.0%2.0%—
1–8 February 2023Focus[28] 18.3%6.0%5.4%2.5%1.5%1.5%1.4%1.4%1.3%1.3%1.2%1.2%1.2%1.0%1.0%1.0%——52.7%

Opinion polls for the second round

Diagram

Pellegrini vs Korčok

DateAgencyPeter PellegriniIvan Korčok
6 April 2024Second round election53.146.9
6 April 2024
(Exit poll)		Median SK[29] 48.951.1
30 March–2 April 2024Ipsos[30] 49.950.1
28 March–2 April 2024NMS[31] 48.351.7
28 March–2 April 2024Focus[32] 50.849.2
28–31 March 2024Median SK[33] 51.148.9
25–2 April 2024SCIO45.0154.99
23 March 2024 1st round of election
16–19 March 2024Ipsos54.545.5
13–18 March 2024NMS50.949.1
11–17 March 2024Sanep54.945.1
12–16 March 2024Ipsos53.446.6
7–13 March 2024Median52.947.1
7–11 March 2024Focus5644
26-29 February 2024Sanep54.145.9
23–27 February 2024Median51.748.3
16–21 February 2024Ipsos53.846.2
14–21 February 2024Focus54.945.1
14–18 February 2024NMS52.347.7
5–12 February 2024AKO53.746.3
28 January 2024Focus54.245.8
22–25 January 2024Ipsos54.745.3
16 January 2024NMS51.548.5
2 January 2024Sanep58.141.9
15–22 November 2023Focus[34] 6040
13–18 December 2023Ipsos 4827
10 November 2023Ipsos4026
6–13 September 2023Focus5842

Hypothetical polling

The polls listed below include candidates who decided not to run, withdrawn from election or failed to advance to second round.

Pellegrini vs Harabin

DateAgencyPeter PellegriniŠtefan Harabin
7–11 March 2024Focus72.927.1
14–21 February 2024Focus76.123.9
14–18 February 2024NMS[35] 71.029.0
5–12 February 2024AKO68.631.4
15–22 November 2023Focus8416
10 November 2023Ipsos4513

Korčok vs Harabin

DateAgencyIvan KorčokŠtefan Harabin
7–11 March 2024Focus56.143.9
14–21 February 2024Focus62.837.2
14–18 February 2024NMS59.840.2
5–12 February 2024AKO63.136.9
15–22 November 2023Focus6733
6–13 September 2023Focus6337

Pellegrini vs Kubiš

DateAgencyPeter PellegriniJán Kubiš
14–21 February 2024Focus71.228.8
15–22 November 2023Focus7426
10 November 2023Ipsos4919

Korčok vs Kubiš

DateAgencyIvan KorčokJán Kubiš
5–12 February 2024AKO64.335.7
15–22 November 2023Focus6238
6–13 September 2023Focus5842

Kubiš vs Harabin

DateAgencyJán KubišŠtefan Harabin
15–22 November 2023Focus6733
6–13 September 2023Focus6634

Pellegrini vs Matovič

Pellegrini vs Danko

Pellegrini vs Kotleba

Korčok vs Matovič

Korčok vs Danko

Korčok vs Kotleba

Pellegrini vs Fico

Pellegrini vs Mistrík

DateAgencyPeter PellegriniRobert Mistrík
10 November 2023Ipsos4218
6–13 September 2023Focus6832

Pellegrini vs Žilinka

Korčok vs Fico

Čaputová vs Fico

Čaputová vs Harabin

Čaputová vs Mistrík

Čaputová vs Pellegrini

Čaputová vs Weiss

Čaputová vs Žilinka

Other polls

Polling
firm! rowspan="3"
Fieldwork
date		Sample
size		QuestionAnswerLead
Certainly
yes		MaybeCertainly
no		Don't know
Focus[38] 25–31
May 2022		1,008Would you vote for Zuzana Čaputová
in the presidential election?		15%31%46%8%15%
Polling
firm! rowspan="3"
Fieldwork
date		Sample
size		QuestionAnswerLead
Certainly
yes		Probably
yes		Probably
no		Certainly
no
AKO[39] 20–23
Nov 2021		1,000Would you vote for Zuzana Čaputová
in the presidential election?		44.9%15.9%8.4%30.8%14.1%

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Voľby prezidenta SR - Voľby prezidenta Slovenskej republiky 2024 . 2024-03-24 . www.volbysr.sk.
  2. Web site: REFRESHER . PRVÝ EXIT POLL MEDIANU: Medzi Pellegrinim a Korčokom je veľmi tesný rozdiel (+ graf) . 2024-03-24 . news.refresher.sk . sk.
  3. Web site: Róbert Švec odstúpil z boja o prezidentské kreslo . 2024-03-20 . Štandard . sk-SK.
  4. Web site: 18 March 2024 . Danko sa vzdal kandidatúry na prezidenta v prospech Harabina . 18 March 2024 . Denník N . sk-SK.
  5. Web site: Tomečková . Nicol . Prezidentom by sa tesne stal Peter Pellegrini, ukazuje prieskum . Správy RTVS . 20 March 2024 . sk-SK . 20 March 2024.
  6. Web site: PRIESKUM krátko pred voľbami mieša karty: Prvé kolo tesné, v druhom jasný víťaz! . Topky.sk . 19 March 2024 . sk . 19 March 2024.
  7. Web site: Franková . Andrea . Lídrom oboch kôl prezidentských volieb by bol Peter Pellegrini . Správy RTVS . 17 March 2024 . sk-SK . 17 March 2024.
  8. Web site: Korčok by vyhral prvé kolo, v druhom by ho však Pellegrini porazil (prezidentský prieskum) . domov.sme.sk . 16 March 2024 . sk.
  9. Web site: Kiššová . Katarína . Exkluzívny prieskum: Prezidentské voľby by v oboch kolách vyhral Peter Pellegrini. tvnoviny.sk . 15 March 2024.
  10. Web site: Prieskum SANEP: Pellegrini naďalej vedie, zväčšuje svoj náskok pred Korčokom. Vo voľnom výbere by porazil aj Čaputovú . ta3 . 12 March 2024 . 7 March 2024.
  11. Web site: Tomečková . Nicol . Prvé kolo volieb by vyhral I. Korčok, v druhom by sa karta obrátila . Správy RTVS . 1 March 2024 . sk. 1 March 2024.
  12. Web site: Ďalší predvolebný PRIESKUM: Pellegrini si drží prvenstvo, jasný by bol aj výsledok druhého kola . Topky.sk . 26 February 2024 . sk . 24 February 2024.
  13. Web site: Plávalová . Barbora . Prieskum: Pellegrini by mal v druhom kole pred Korčokom pohodlný náskok. Čo vplýva na voličov? . SME. 26 February 2024 . sk.
  14. Web site: Prezidentský prieskum: Ani v druhom kole to Pellegrini nemá isté. Danka zatieňuje Harabin . SME. 20 February 2024 . sk.
  15. Web site: Katuška . Michal . Prezidentský prieskum: Matovič je už v prvej štvorke. Súboj Korčoka s Pellegrinim je tesný. SME . 17 February 2024 . sk . 15 February 2024.
  16. Web site: Poloha . Natanael Leo . Aktuálny PRIESKUM: Pellegrini by v druhom kole Korčoka rozdrvil. Harabinovi stúpajú preferencie . Startitup.sk . 17 February 2024 . sk . 28 January 2024.
  17. Web site: Mikušovič . Dušan . Ipsos: Súboj medzi Pellegrinim a Korčokom je tesný, druhé kolo môžu rozhodnúť Harabinovi voliči (+ kde berú kandidáti podporu) . Denník N . 1 February 2024 . sk. 26 January 2024.
  18. Web site: Kerekes . Daniel . Korčok mobilizuje a doťahuje sa na Pellegriniho. Danka by nevolili ani dve percentá voličov . Denník N . 18 January 2024 . 18 January 2024.
  19. Web site: Hajčáková . Daniela . Volebný model: Duel Pellegriniho s Korčokom môže byť omnoho tesnejší, ako sa zdalo . Sme . 16 January 2024 . 16 January 2024.
  20. Web site: Belej . Martin . PRIESKUM: Kto bude naším novým prezidentom? Z vlády má šancu len jeden, veľkú časť hlasov ukradol kandidát z vonku . ta3 . 4 January 2024 . 2 January 2024.
  21. Web site: Podpora Pellegriniho rastie, aj keď neohlásil prezidentskú kandidatúru. Teraz by ho Korčok neporazil. dennikn.sk. 21 December 2023. 21 December 2023. sk.
  22. Web site: Prezidentský volebný model. median.sk. sk. 4 January 2023.
  23. Web site: Prezidentský prieskum AKO: Pellegrini by zbieral hlasy aj medzi voličmi opozície, pred Korčokom vedie. Denník N . 25 November 2023 . sk . 23 November 2023.
  24. Web site: Kern . Miro . Prieskum Ipsosu: Najväčšiu šancu vyhrať prezidentské voľby má Pellegrini, pred Korčokom má zatiaľ náskok . Denník N . 10 November 2023 . 12 November 2023.
  25. Web site: Mikušovič . Dušan . Korčok po rozhodnutí prezidentky nekandidovať získava nových voličov. V druhom kole by porazil Fica, Pellegriniho nie . Denník N . 4 August 2023 . sk . 3 August 2023.
  26. Web site: Exkluzívny PRIESKUM: Najväčšiu šancu stať sa novým prezidentom by mal Pellegrini . tvnoviny.sk . 6 July 2023 . sk . 4 July 2023.
  27. Web site: Mikušovič . Dušan . Čaputová má šancu na znovuzvolenie, určite by ju volilo 30 % ľudí. Žilinka má podporu ako Harabin (prieskum Ipsosu) . Denník N . 14 March 2023 . sk. 14 March 2023.
  28. Web site: Mikušovič . Dušan . Čaputovú by chcelo za prezidentku 18 percent ľudí, s odstupom nasledujú Pellegrini a Fico . Denník N . 8 March 2023 . sk . 5 March 2023.
  29. https://twitter.com/ForeignpolicyWB/status/1776705606671274235
  30. Web site: Muradajová . Alex . Prieskum IPSOS: Tesnejšie to medzi Korčokom a Pellegrinim ani nemôže byť . TV Noviny . 3 April 2024. sk.
  31. Web site: Katuška. Michal. Hajčáková. Daniela. Finálový prieskum k prezidentským voľbám: Korčok si drží náskok, ale víťazstvo nemá isté. 2 April 2024. 2 April 2024. sk. SME.
  32. Web site: Muradajová . Alex . PRIESKUM: Prezidentom by sa stal Peter Pellegrini s mimoriadne tesným náskokom. TV Noviny. 2 April 2024. 2 April 2024. sk.
  33. Web site: AKTUÁLNE Predvolebné prieskumy sú už takmer kompletné! Zverejnili ďalšie dva, tie výsledky musíte vidieť . Topky.sk . 3 April 2024 . sk . 3 April 2024.
  34. Web site: Hajčáková . Daniela . Prieskum: V druhom kole by Pellegrini porazil Korčoka so 60-percentnou podporou . domov.sme.sk . 17 February 2024 . sk.
  35. Web site: Veľký predvolebný PRIESKUM: Pellegrini stále vedie, črtá sa však najtesnejší súboj v histórii Slovenka . Topky.sk . 20 February 2024 . sk . 20 February 2024.
  36. Web site: Prezidentské voľby: Ivan Korčok by našiel podľa prieskumu svojho premožiteľa . Aktuality.sk . 23 September 2023 . sk . 17 September 2023.
  37. Web site: Čaputová by vo voľbách porazila Fica, Pellegriniho aj Harabina. Prieskum ukázal, ako by si s nimi poradila . news.refresher.sk . 9 May 2023 . sk.
  38. Web site: Prieskum: Čaputovú by za prezidentku nevolila takmer polovica opýtaných . 2022-06-19 . domov.sme.sk . sk.
  39. Web site: Exkluzívny prieskum pre HN: Čaputová by voľby vyhrala aj dnes. Jedna otázka odhalila jej slabinu. 2022-01-23. slovensko.hnonline.sk. 25 November 2021 . sk.

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