Opinion polling for the 2024 Romanian presidential election explained

In preparation for the next presidential elections in Romania, which will take place at the end of 2024 at the latest, various polling companies and organizations in Romania have already conducted a series of opinion polls to measure and track voting intention among the electorate in assembly. The results of all these opinion polls are shown in the annual tables below in this Wikipedia article.

First round

2024 Opinion polls

PollDateSampleGeoană
Ind.
Ciolacu
PSD
Simion
AUR
Ciucă
PNL
Șoșoacă
S.O.S.
USR[1] Kelemen
UDMR
Cioloș
REPER
Kövesi
Ind.
Others









ARA for Antena39–26 Jul 20241,00920.028.010.06.012.012.014.0
CURS18–26 Jul 20241,06715.031.015.019.04.012.03.0
Sociopol9–17 Jul 20241,00215.025.019.012.09.014.01.0
CURS26 Jun–2 Jul 20241,06717.030.013.020.06.09.03.02.0
INSCOP19 - 27 June 20241,10026.717.811.211.913.414.33.41.2
CSPSJune 20241,01324.016.028.06.04.017.05.0
INSCOP20 - 25 May 20241,10023.718.213.511.512.58.65.56.4
AtlasIntel5-9 April 20241,76433.611.810.710.91.46.9
279.612.6510.611.30.76.1
27.39.212.49.813.63.06.4-
INSCOP14 Feb -5 Mar 20242,00026.024.013.012.08.03.09.0-
INSCOP Research16-24 jan 20241,10026.518.913.311.414.05.93.65.1-1.3
Snap Market Research3–8 Jan 20249981229138145109

Opinion polls with Geoană (independent) (2023)

PollDateSampleGeoană
Ind.
Ciolacu
PSD
Simion
AUR
Ciucă
PNL
Șoșoacă
S.O.S.
Drulă
USR
Lasconi
USR
Orban
FD
Kelemen
UDMR
Cioloș
REPER
Kövesi
Ind.
Hellvig
Ind.
Others
INSCOP20–27 Nov 20231,10026.220.814.012.114.44.22.43.91.9
INSCOP23 Oct–2 Nov 20231,10027.721.818.910.512.13.14.3
AtlasIntel20–29 Oct 20232,00020.410.37.70.713.36.92.33.43.02.410.96.413.4
INSCOP15–22 Sep 20231,55025.319.518.711.210.15.62.74.13.4
AtlasIntel27–30 Jan 20232,00022.610.64.96.18.03.84.42.016.40.420.9
14.66.29.74.65.54.55.12.95.116.90.524.2
ElectionNov 201922.2637.820.34! 15.023.87

Opinion polls without Geoană (2023)

PollDateSampleCiucă
PNL
Ciolacu
PSD
Drulă
USR
Kelemen
UDMR
Kövesi
Ind.
Simion
AUR
Șoșoacă
S.O.S.
Cioloș
REPER
Orban
FD
Hellvig
Ind.
Others
INSCOP20–27 Nov 20231,10014.127.47.12.718.019.16.74.9
AtlasIntel27–30 Jan 20232,0008.013.37.42.115.710.45.95.35.02.924.1
ElectionNov 201937.8222.2615.023.870.34!

Opinion polls with potential candidates (before 2023)

PollDateSampleCîțuPNLOrbanPNLCiolacuPSDBarnaUSR PLUSCioloșUSR PLUSDrulăUSR PLUSDiaconescuPMPKelemenUDMRSimionAURȘoșoacăNR/S.O.S.GeoanăInd.DragneaPAINE/ApPOthers
[2] 15–31 Jul 20211,11211.04.022.05.033.06.0
INSOMAR[3] 1–8 May 20211,03012.0316.122.0013.48.314.24.06.63.37
INSOMAR[4] 8–11 Feb 20211,0303.011.423.021.0412.63.017.00.08.96
ElectionNov 201937.8222.2615.025.723.870.34-! 14.97

Second round

Geoană vs Ciolacu

PollDateSampleGeoană
Ind.
Ciolacu
PSD
INSCOP19 - 27 June 20241,10063.736.3
INSCOP14 Feb -5 Mar 20242,00061.039.0
AtlasIntel20–29 Oct 20232,00064.935.1

Geoană vs Simion

PollDateSampleGeoană
Ind.
Simion
AUR
INSCOP14 Feb -5 Mar 20242,00075.025.0
AtlasIntel20–29 Oct 20232,00071.828.2
INSCOP15–22 Sep 20231,55063.536.5
AtlasIntel27–30 Jan 20232,00069.530.5

Geoană vs Ciucă

PollDateSampleGeoană
Ind.
Ciucă
PNL
INSCOP19 - 27 June 20241,10063.936.1
AtlasIntel27–30 Jan 20232,00076.223.8

Geoană vs Kövesi

PollDateSampleGeoană
Ind.
Kövesi
Ind.
INSCOP14 Feb -5 Mar 20242,00066.034.0
AtlasIntel20–29 Oct 20232,00061.238.8
AtlasIntel27–30 Jan 20232,00053.146.9

Ciolacu vs Simion

PollDateSampleCiolacu
PSD
Simion
AUR
AtlasIntel20–29 Oct 20232,00069.530.5
INSCOP15–22 Sep 20231,55058.841.2
AtlasIntel27–30 Jan 20232,00054.145.9

Ciolacu vs Lasconi

Ciolacu vs Ciucă

PollDateSampleCiolacu
PSD
Ciucă
PNL
INSCOP14 Feb -5 Mar 20242,00063.037.0
AtlasIntel27–30 Jan 20232,00051.748.3

Ciolacu vs Kövesi

PollDateSampleKövesi
Ind.
Ciolacu
PSD
AtlasIntel20–29 Oct 20232,00058.641.4
AtlasIntel27–30 Jan 20232,00057.842.2

The first round among Romanian citizens from the Republic of Moldova

PollDateSampleGeoană
Ind.
Ciolacu
PSD
Simion
AUR
Ciucă
PNL
Șoșoacă
S.O.S.
Drulă
USR
Kelemen
UDMR
Cioloș
REPER
Piedone
PUSL
Others/n/a









iDATA22 – 26 Apr1,00615.03.12.43.44.80.71.05.56.158.0[5]
34.67.15.57.811.11.6[6] 2.312.714.1
CBS-Research6 – 13 Apr1,00814.14.71.02.44.10.972.8[7]
51.917.33.715.014.03.3

Notes

  1. Cătălin Drulă in January, February, April and May 2024

    Elena Lasconi since june 2024

  2. Web site: Vă prezentăm cifrele ultimului sondaj pentru Palatul Cotroceni. Gazeta Civică Cotidian Național de opinie și atitudine civică!. 2021-08-05. ro-RO. 2021-08-04. https://web.archive.org/web/20210804211517/https://www.gazetacivica.ro/politica/va-prezentam-cifrele-ultimului-sondaj-pentru-palatul-cotroceni/. dead.
  3. Web site: Opțiuni politice de mai INSOMAR.ORG. insomar.org. 2021-05-14. ro-RO.
  4. News: SONDAJ INSOMAR. Răsturnare de situație – pe cine vor românii la Cotroceni. Calculele care dau fiori clasei politice. Realitatea de Tulcea. 2021-02-12.
  5. Niciunul dintre cei menționați – 15% Nu știu/Nu răspund – 41,6%

    Dan Barna – 1,4%

  6. Dan Barna 3.2%
  7. 44% dintre respondenți au arătat că nu au decis încă pentru cine ar vota la viitoarele alegeri prezidențiale din România, în timp ce 24,8% nu ar participa la vot. 4.0% NR