Opinion polling for the 2024 Romanian presidential election explained

In preparation for the next presidential elections in Romania, which will take place at the end of 2024 at the latest, various polling companies and organizations in Romania have already conducted a series of opinion polls to measure and track voting intention among the electorate in assembly. The results of all these opinion polls are shown in the annual tables below in this Wikipedia article.

First round

2024 Opinion polls

Poll	Date	Sample	Geoană Ind.	Ciolacu PSD	Simion AUR	Ciucă PNL	Șoșoacă S.O.S.	USR^[1]	Kelemen UDMR	Cioloș REPER	Kövesi Ind.	Others
ARA for Antena3	9–26 Jul 2024	1,009	20.0	28.0	10.0	6.0	12.0	12.0	—	—	—	14.0
CURS	18–26 Jul 2024	1,067	15.0	31.0	15.0	19.0	4.0	12.0	3.0	—	—	—
Sociopol	9–17 Jul 2024	1,002	15.0	25.0	19.0	12.0	9.0	14.0	1.0	—	—	—
CURS	26 Jun–2 Jul 2024	1,067	17.0	30.0	13.0	20.0	6.0	9.0	3.0	—	—	2.0
INSCOP	19 - 27 June 2024	1,100	26.7	17.8	11.2	11.9	13.4	14.3	3.4			1.2
CSPS	June 2024	1,013	24.0	16.0	28.0	6.0	4.0	17.0	5.0	—	—	—
INSCOP	20 - 25 May 2024	1,100	23.7	18.2	13.5	11.5	12.5	8.6	5.5			6.4
AtlasIntel	5-9 April 2024	1,764	33.6		11.8		10.7	10.9	1.4	6.9
			27	9.6	12.6	5	10.6	11.3	0.7	6.1
			27.3	9.2	12.4		9.8	13.6	3.0	6.4		-
INSCOP	14 Feb -5 Mar 2024	2,000	26.0	24.0	13.0	12.0	8.0		3.0		9.0	-
INSCOP Research	16-24 jan 2024	1,100	26.5	18.9	13.3	11.4	14.0	5.9	3.6	5.1	-	1.3
Snap Market Research	3–8 Jan 2024	998	12	29	13	8	14	—	5	—	10	9

Opinion polls with Geoană (independent) (2023)

Poll	Date	Sample	Geoană Ind.	Ciolacu PSD	Simion AUR	Ciucă PNL	Șoșoacă S.O.S.	Drulă USR	Lasconi USR	Orban FD	Kelemen UDMR	Cioloș REPER	Kövesi Ind.	Hellvig Ind.	Others
INSCOP	20–27 Nov 2023	1,100	26.2	20.8	14.0	12.1	14.4	4.2	—	—	2.4	3.9	—	—	1.9
INSCOP	23 Oct–2 Nov 2023	1,100	27.7	21.8	18.9	—	10.5	—	12.1	—	3.1	4.3	—	—	—
AtlasIntel	20–29 Oct 2023	2,000	20.4	10.3	7.7	0.7	13.3	6.9	2.3	3.4	3.0	2.4	10.9	6.4	13.4
INSCOP	15–22 Sep 2023	1,550	25.3	19.5	18.7	11.2	10.1	5.6	—	—	2.7	4.1	—	—	3.4
AtlasIntel	27–30 Jan 2023	2,000	22.6	—	10.6	4.9	6.1	8.0	—	3.8	4.4	2.0	16.4	0.4	20.9
			14.6	6.2	9.7	4.6	5.5	4.5	—	5.1	2.9	5.1	16.9	0.5	24.2
Election	Nov 2019			22.26		37.82	0.34!	15.02		—	3.87	—	—	—	—

Opinion polls without Geoană (2023)

Poll	Date	Sample	Ciucă PNL	Ciolacu PSD	Drulă USR	Kelemen UDMR	Kövesi Ind.	Simion AUR	Șoșoacă S.O.S.	Cioloș REPER	Orban FD	Hellvig Ind.	Others
INSCOP	20–27 Nov 2023	1,100	14.1	27.4	7.1	2.7	—	18.0	19.1	6.7	—	—	4.9
AtlasIntel	27–30 Jan 2023	2,000	8.0	13.3	7.4	2.1	15.7	10.4	5.9	5.3	5.0	2.9	24.1
Election	Nov 2019		37.82	22.26	15.02	3.87	—		0.34!	—	—	—	—

Opinion polls with potential candidates (before 2023)

Poll	Date	Sample	Cîțu^PNL	Orban^PNL	Ciolacu^PSD	Barna^USR PLUS	Cioloș^USR PLUS	Drulă^USR PLUS	Diaconescu^PMP	Kelemen^UDMR	Simion^AUR	Șoșoacă^NR/S.O.S.	Geoană^Ind.	DragneaPAINE/ApP	Others
^[2]	15–31 Jul 2021	1,112	11.0		4.0			22.0		5.0			33.0		6.0
INSOMAR^[3]	1–8 May 2021	1,030		12.03	16.1	22.00	13.4		8.3		14.2	4.0		6.6	3.37
INSOMAR^[4]	8–11 Feb 2021	1,030	3.0	11.4	23.0	21.04	12.6			3.0	17.0			0.0	8.96
Election	Nov 2019		37.82		22.26	15.02			5.72	3.87	0.34		-!		14.97

Second round

Geoană vs Ciolacu

Poll	Date	Sample	Geoană Ind.	Ciolacu PSD
INSCOP	19 - 27 June 2024	1,100	63.7	36.3
INSCOP	14 Feb -5 Mar 2024	2,000	61.0	39.0
AtlasIntel	20–29 Oct 2023	2,000	64.9	35.1

Geoană vs Simion

Poll	Date	Sample	Geoană Ind.	Simion AUR
INSCOP	14 Feb -5 Mar 2024	2,000	75.0	25.0
AtlasIntel	20–29 Oct 2023	2,000	71.8	28.2
INSCOP	15–22 Sep 2023	1,550	63.5	36.5
AtlasIntel	27–30 Jan 2023	2,000	69.5	30.5

Geoană vs Ciucă

Poll	Date	Sample	Geoană Ind.	Ciucă PNL
INSCOP	19 - 27 June 2024	1,100	63.9	36.1
AtlasIntel	27–30 Jan 2023	2,000	76.2	23.8

Geoană vs Kövesi

Poll	Date	Sample	Geoană Ind.	Kövesi Ind.
INSCOP	14 Feb -5 Mar 2024	2,000	66.0	34.0
AtlasIntel	20–29 Oct 2023	2,000	61.2	38.8
AtlasIntel	27–30 Jan 2023	2,000	53.1	46.9

Ciolacu vs Simion

Poll	Date	Sample	Ciolacu PSD	Simion AUR
AtlasIntel	20–29 Oct 2023	2,000	69.5	30.5
INSCOP	15–22 Sep 2023	1,550	58.8	41.2
AtlasIntel	27–30 Jan 2023	2,000	54.1	45.9

Ciolacu vs Lasconi

Ciolacu vs Ciucă

Poll	Date	Sample	Ciolacu PSD	Ciucă PNL
INSCOP	14 Feb -5 Mar 2024	2,000	63.0	37.0
AtlasIntel	27–30 Jan 2023	2,000	51.7	48.3

Ciolacu vs Kövesi

Poll	Date	Sample	Kövesi Ind.	Ciolacu PSD
AtlasIntel	20–29 Oct 2023	2,000	58.6	41.4
AtlasIntel	27–30 Jan 2023	2,000	57.8	42.2

The first round among Romanian citizens from the Republic of Moldova

Poll	Date	Sample	Geoană Ind.	Ciolacu PSD	Simion AUR	Ciucă PNL	Șoșoacă S.O.S.	Drulă USR	Kelemen UDMR	Cioloș REPER	Piedone PUSL	Others/n/a
iDATA	22 – 26 Apr	1,006	15.0	3.1	2.4	3.4	4.8	0.7	1.0	5.5	6.1	58.0^[5]
			34.6	7.1	5.5	7.8	11.1	1.6^[6]	2.3	12.7	14.1
CBS-Research	6 – 13 Apr	1,008	14.1	4.7	1.0	2.4	4.1	0.9				72.8^[7]
			51.9	17.3	3.7	15.0	14.0	3.3

Notes

1. Cătălin Drulă in January, February, April and May 2024

   Elena Lasconi since june 2024

2. Web site: Vă prezentăm cifrele ultimului sondaj pentru Palatul Cotroceni. Gazeta Civică Cotidian Național de opinie și atitudine civică!. 2021-08-05. ro-RO. 2021-08-04. https://web.archive.org/web/20210804211517/https://www.gazetacivica.ro/politica/va-prezentam-cifrele-ultimului-sondaj-pentru-palatul-cotroceni/. dead.
3. Web site: Opțiuni politice de mai INSOMAR.ORG. insomar.org. 2021-05-14. ro-RO.
4. News: SONDAJ INSOMAR. Răsturnare de situație – pe cine vor românii la Cotroceni. Calculele care dau fiori clasei politice. Realitatea de Tulcea. 2021-02-12.
5. Niciunul dintre cei menționați – 15% Nu știu/Nu răspund – 41,6%

   Dan Barna – 1,4%

6. Dan Barna 3.2%
7. 44% dintre respondenți au arătat că nu au decis încă pentru cine ar vota la viitoarele alegeri prezidențiale din România, în timp ce 24,8% nu ar participa la vot. 4.0% NR