Opinion polling for the 2024 Belgian elections explained

In the run up to the 2024 Belgian federal election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Belgium. The results of nationwide polls are usually numerically split into the three Belgian regions: Flanders, Brussels and Wallonia. Federal seat projections for the Chamber of Representatives are presented together under these regional polls. The federal election was part of a group of elections which also include the regional elections and the European elections held on the same day. Some polls might be undefined voting intentions without differentiating between the elections.

Flanders

Federal

The graph and the table below show the results for the opinion polls conducted in the Flemish Region, as well as for polls conducted nationwide the part of the results related to the Flemish Region.

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm	Publisher	Sample size	NVA	VB	cd&v<	Open Vld	Vooruit	Groen	PVDA	Others	Lead
9 June 2024	Federal election^[1]			25.6% <	-- N-VA -->	21.8%	12.8%	8.8%	13.0%	7.5%	8.2%	2.3%	3.8% <	-- Lead -->	42.1%	57.9% <	-- Opp -->
3 – 4 June 2024	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws^[2]	2,000	21.0%	25.8% <	-- VB -->	12.3%	7.0%	15.6%	6.1%	10.2%	2.0%	4.8% <	-- Lead -->	41.0%	59.0% <	-- Opp -->
28 – 31 May 2024	Cluster17	RTL^[3]	1,140	19.6%	27.2% <	-- VB -->	12.0%	9.2%	13.0%	6.9%	9.3%	2.8%	7.6% <	-- Lead -->	41.1%	58.2% <	-- Opp -->
14 – 20 May 2024	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[4]	2,000	20.6%	26.8% <	-- VB -->	12.2%	8.2%	14.3%	6.6%	8.9%	2.4%	6.2% <	-- Lead -->	41.3%	58.7% <	-- Opp -->
8 - 18 Apr 2024	Kantar	La Libre Belgique / RTBF^[5]	1016	20.9%	26.0% <	-- VB -->	11.6%	10.4%	11.5%	6.0%	12.2%	1.4%	5.1% <	-- Lead -->	39.5%	60.5% <	-- Opp -->
11 – 18 Mar 2024	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[6]	1,000	20.4%	27.4% <	-- VB -->	13.1%	8.3%	11.4%	7.8%	9.5%	2.1%	7.0% <	-- Lead -->	40.6%	59.4% <	-- Opp -->
22 Jan – 8 Feb 2024	Kantar	Knack / Le Vif^[7]	1,077	20.6%	25.5% <	-- VB -->	10.5%	8.0%	14.7%	8.7%	10.9%	1.1%	4.9% <	-- Lead -->	41.8%	58.2% <	-- Opp -->
9 – 22 Jan 2024	iVox	Het Nieuwsblad / GVA / HBVL^[8]	2,000	22.7%	26.6% <	-- VB -->	12.3%	7.6%	12.8%	7.4%	9.3%	1.4%	3.9% <	-- Lead -->	42.6%	57.4% <	-- Opp -->
4 – 11 Dec 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[9]	1,000	22.0%	25.1% <	-- VB -->	11.7%	7.1%	13.8%	9.2%	9.7%	1.4%	3.1% <	-- Lead -->	41.8%	58.2% <	-- Opp -->
23 Nov – 28 Nov 2023	iVox	Het Nieuwsblad / GVA / HBVL^[10]	1,000	22.0%	26.5% <	-- VB -->	11.6%	8.8%	14.3%	7.1%	8.7%	0.9%	4.5% <	-- Lead -->	41.7%	58.3% <	-- Opp -->
10 Sep – 9 Oct 2023	Kantar	La Libre Belgique / RTBF^[11]	566	20.4%	23.3% <	-- VB -->	13.9%	7.9%	16.1%	8.2%	8.8%	1.4%	2.9% <	-- Lead -->	46.1%	53.9% <	-- Opp -->
18 – 25 Sep 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[12]	1,000	20.2%	25.8% <	-- VB -->	12.2%	8.2%	15.4%	6.4%	9.5%	2.3%	5.6% <	-- Lead -->	42.2%	57.8% <	-- Opp -->	7%
29 May – 6 Jun 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[13]	1,000	21.8%	22.7% <	-- VB -->	10.7%	8.3%	16.8%	7.6%	10.3%	1.8%	0.9% <	-- Lead -->	43.4%	56.6% <	-- Opp -->
20 – 27 Mar 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[14]	1,000	21.6%	25.0% <	-- VB -->	11.8%	9.2%	15.5%	7.4%	8.0%	1.5%	3.4% <	-- Lead -->	43.9%	56.1% <	-- Opp -->
16 – 29 Jan 2023	Kantar	La Libre Belgique^[15]	514	21.5%	24.8% <	-- VB -->	9.6%	12.1%	15.2%	10.3%	5.7%	0.9%	3.3% <	-- Lead -->	46.9%	53.1% <	-- Opp -->
21 – 29 Nov 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[16]	1,001	22.0%	25.5% <	-- VB -->	9.6%	9.3%	16.1%	8.7%	7.4%	1.4%	3.5% <	-- Lead -->	43.7%	56.3% <	-- Opp -->
7 – 13 Sep 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[17]	1,000	21.5%	21.6% <	-- VB -->	9.9%	11.1%	16.8%	8.6%	8.7%	1.8%	0.1% <	-- Lead -->	46.4%	53.6% <	-- Opp -->
6 – 14 Jun 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[18]	1,008	24.9% <	-- N-VA -->	22.6%	10.2%	9.3%	14.8%	7.9%	8.5%	1.8%	2.3% <	-- Lead -->	42.2%	57.8% <	-- Opp -->
15 – 22 Mar 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[19]	1,007	23.4% <	-- N-VA -->	22.2%	11.3%	9.8%	14.2%	8.4%	8.9%	1.8%	1.2% <	-- Lead -->	43.7%	56.3% <	-- Opp -->
1 – 8 Dec 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[20]	988	21.6%	24.5% <	-- VB -->	10.7%	10.3%	13.9%	8.4%	8.9%	1.7%	2.9% <	-- Lead -->	43.3%	56.7% <	-- Opp -->
7 – 14 Sep 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[21]	1,000	21.2%	23.6% <	-- VB -->	12.6%	11.4%	12.3%	9.6%	7.7%	1.6%	2.4% <	-- Lead -->	45.9%	54.1% <	-- Opp -->
25 May – 1 Jun 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[22]	1,002	21.8%	26.1% <	-- VB -->	10.0%	11.4%	12.6%	8.3%	7.8%	2.0%	4.3% <	-- Lead -->	42.3%	57.7% <	-- Opp -->
29 Mar – 19 Apr 2021	TNS	VRT / De Standaard^[23]	1,908	21.5%	24.7% <	-- VB -->	10.0%	11.5%	12.0%	10.9%	7.9%	1.4%	3.2% <	-- Lead -->	44.4%	55.5% <	-- Opp -->
4 – 9 Mar 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[24]	1,006	20.0%	23.6% <	-- VB -->	13.2%	12.9%	12.3%	8.2%	8.2%	1.6%	3.6% <	-- Lead -->	46.6%	53.4% <	-- Opp -->
2 – 8 Dec 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[25]	1,007	19.9%	26.3% <	-- VB -->	12.4%	12.0%	13.6%	8.1%	6.6%	1.1%	6.4% <	-- Lead -->	46.1%	53.9% <	-- Opp -->
2 – 8 Oct 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[26]	1,001	22.2%	27.1% <	-- VB -->	10.6%	10.9%	13.7%	7.6%	6.0%	1.9%	4.9% <	-- Lead -->	42.8%	57.2% <	-- Opp -->
1 Oct 2020	De Croo Government formed with Open Vld, sp.a (currently named Vooruit), cd&v, Groen (Flemish), MR, PS and Ecolo (Francophone)
10 – 15 Jun 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[27]	951	20.0%	27.7% <	-- VB -->	11.8%	10.0%	12.5%	9.4%	7.3%	1.3%	7.7% <	-- Lead -->	43.7%	56.3% <	-- Opp -->
9 – 28 Apr 2020	TNS	VRT / De Standaard^[28]	2,040	20.3%	24.5% <	-- VB -->	11.9%	11.6%	11.0%	11.1%	8.2%	1.4%	4.2% <	-- Lead -->	45.6%	54.4% <	-- Opp -->
4 – 9 Mar 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir / De Morgen^[29]	958	20.7%	28.0% <	-- VB -->	11.7%	10.3%	9.6%	8.8%	9.3%	1.9%	7.3% <	-- Lead -->	40.4%	59.6% <	-- Opp -->
29 Nov – 6 Dec 2019	ESOMAR	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[30]	999	22.1%	27.3% <	-- VB -->	11.4%	9.9%	8.9%	10.7%	8.4%	1.3%	5.2% <	-- Lead -->	40.9%	59.1% <	-- Opp -->
2–10 Sep 2019	ESOMAR	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[31]	1,000	22.7%	24.9% <	-- VB -->	11.7%	13.3%	8.4%	11.0%	6.2%	1.8%	2.2% <	-- Lead -->	44.4%	55.6% <	-- Opp -->
26 May 2019	Federal election			25.5% <	-- N-VA -->	18.6%	14.2%	13.5%	10.8%	9.8%	5.6%	1.9%	6.9% <	-- Lead -->	48.3%	51.6% <	-- Opp -->

Regional

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm	Publisher	Sample size	NVA	VB	cd&v<	Open Vld	Vooruit	Groen	PVDA	Others	Lead
23 Apr – 3 May 2024	iVox	OVV^[32]	1,579	21.4%	26.3% <	-- VB -->	12.5%	7.7%	13.5%	8.2%	8.8%	1.7%	4.9% <	-- Lead -->	41.9%	58.1% <	-- Opp -->
8 – 22 Jan 2024	Kantar	VRT / De Standaard^[33]	2,029	18.9%	27.8% <	-- VB -->	11.3%	9.0%	13.7%	8.2%	10.7%	0.5%	8.9% <	-- Lead -->	39.2%	60.8% <	-- Opp -->	10.1%
23 Nov – 28 Nov 2023	iVox	Het Nieuwsblad / GVA / HBVL^[34]	1,000	21.3%	27.5% <	-- VB -->	12.9%	8.7%	13.2%	6.9%	8.5%	0.9%	6.2% <	-- Lead -->	42.9%	57.1% <	-- Opp -->
13 – 23 Mar 2023	VUB, UA	VRT / De Standaard^[35]	2,092	21.0%	24.6% <	-- VB -->	9.2%	9.3%	16.9%	7.9%	9.5%	1.6%	3.6% <	-- Lead -->	39.5%	60.5% <	-- Opp -->
14 – 31 Mar 2022	VUB, UA	VRT / De Standaard^[36]	2,064	22.4%	22.9% <	-- VB -->	8.7%	10.2%	15.5%	9.4%	9.1%	1.8%	0.5% <	-- Lead -->	41.3%	58.7% <	-- Opp -->
26 May 2019	Regional election			24.8% <	-- N-VA -->	18.5%	15.4%	13.1%	10.4%	10.1%	5.3%	2.4%	6.3% <	-- Lead -->	53.3% <	-- Gov -->	46.7%

Wallonia

The graph and the table below show the results for the opinion polls conducted in the Walloon Region, as well as for polls conducted nationwide the part of the results related to the Walloon Region.

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm	Publisher	Sample size	PS	MR	Ecolo	PTB	LE	DéFI	Others	Lead
28 – 31 May 2024	Cluster17	RTL^[37]	1,000	23.9% <	-- PS -->	23.0%	8.0%	16.0%	17.9%	4.0%	7.2%	0.9% <	-- Lead -->	54.9% <	-- Gov -->	45.1%
14 – 20 May 2024	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	1,000	22.6% <	-- PS -->	22.6% <	-- MR -->	8.8%	14.5%	18.1%	4.3%	9.1%	0.0%	54.0% <	-- Gov -->	46.0%
8 - 18 Apr 2024	Kantar	La Libre Belgique, RTBF	1004	25.4% <	-- PS -->	20.8%	12.7%	16.0%	13.9%	4.2%	7.0%	4.6% <	-- Lead -->	58.9% <	-- Gov -->	41.1%
11 – 18 Mar 2024	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	1,000	21.3% <	-- PS -->	20.5%	11.9%	14.9%	16.8%	4.8%	9.8%	0.8% <	-- Lead -->	53.7% <	-- Gov -->	46.3%
22 Jan – 8 Feb 2024	Kantar	Knack / Le Vif	1,004	24.3% <	-- PS -->	19.9%	13.8%	18.4%	13.2%	4.1%	6.4%	3.1% <	-- Lead -->	58.0% <	-- Gov -->	42.0%
4 – 11 Dec 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	1,000	23.9% <	-- PS -->	20.0%	14.0%	14.0%	13.8%	3.9%	10.4%	3.9% <	-- Lead -->	57.9% <	-- Gov -->	42.1%
10 Sep – 9 Oct 2023	Kantar	La Libre Belgique, RTBF	436	27.2% <	-- PS -->	20.6%	11.6%	19.2%	11.1%	4.5%	5.8%	6.6% <	-- Lead -->	59.4% <	-- Gov -->	41.6%
18 – 25 Sep 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	1,000	21.8% <	-- PS -->	19.7%	14.9%	19.8%	13.8%	2.7%	7.3%	2.0% <	-- Lead -->	56.4% <	-- Gov -->	43.6%
29 May – 6 Jun 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	1,000	25.7% <	-- PS -->	19.8%	12.7%	18.9%	10.3%	3.8%	8.8%	5.9% <	-- Lead -->	58.2% <	-- Gov -->	41.8%
20 – 27 Mar 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	1,000	25.5% <	-- PS -->	18.5%	12.8%	17.6%	11.1%	4.9%	9.6%	7.0% <	-- Lead -->	56.8% <	-- Gov -->	43.2%
16 – 29 Jan 2023	Kantar	La Libre Belgique	502	25.8% <	-- PS -->	19.7%	11.3%	20.1%	9.3%	5.4%	8.5%	5.7% <	-- Lead -->	56.8% <	-- Gov -->	43.2%
21 – 29 Nov 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	1,002	23.7% <	-- PS -->	20.4%	13.1%	17.9%	9.1%	5.3%	10.5%	3.3% <	-- Lead -->	57.2% <	-- Gov -->	42.8%
7 – 13 Sep 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	1,002	22.9% <	-- PS -->	22.0%	13.6%	18.4%	9.1%	5.6%	8.0%	0.9% <	-- Lead -->	58.5% <	-- Gov -->	41.5%
6 – 14 Jun 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	1,008	25.3% <	-- PS -->	19.2%	14.4%	19.1%	8.8%	4.2%	9.0%	5.9% <	-- Lead -->	58.9% <	-- Gov -->	41.1%
15 – 22 Mar 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	1,009	22.4% <	-- PS -->	20.1%	15.0%	19.7%	9.5%	3.7%	9.4%	2.3% <	-- Lead -->	57.7% <	-- Gov -->	42.5%
1 – 8 Dec 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	961	24.9% <	-- PS -->	22.3%	15.5%	18.2%	8.0%	4.2%	9.9%	2.6% <	-- Lead -->	62.7% <	-- Gov -->	37.3%
7 – 14 Sep 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	930	21.4% <	-- PS -->	20.3%	16.7%	18.7%	10.0%	5.1%	7.8%	1.1% <	-- Lead -->	58.4% <	-- Gov -->	41.6%
25 May – 1 Jun 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	992	24.0% <	-- PS -->	18.7%	15.0%	19.1%	10.8%	5.1%	7.3%	4.9% <	-- Lead -->	57.7% <	-- Gov -->	42.3%
4 – 9 Mar 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[38]	958	22.8% <	-- PS -->	20.1%	16.4%	19.0%	8.7%	3.9%	9.1%	2.7% <	-- Lead -->	59.3% <	-- Gov -->	40.7%
2 – 8 Dec 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[39]	995	23.2% <	-- PS -->	20.6%	15.6%	17.2%	10.3%	3.7%	9.7%	2.6% <	-- Lead -->	59.4% <	-- Gov -->	40.6%
2 – 8 Oct 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	1,001	21.1% <	-- PS -->	19.2%	17.8%	18.9%	9.7%	3.8%	9.5%	1.9% <	-- Lead -->	58.1% <	-- Gov -->	41.9%
1 Oct 2020	De Croo Government formed with Open Vld, sp.a (currently named Vooruit), cd&v, Groen (Flemish), MR, PS and Ecolo (Francophone)
10 – 15 Jun 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	986	23.7% <	-- PS -->	20.5%	15.1%	18.7%	8.1%	4.7%	9.2%	3.2% <	-- Lead -->	59.3% <	-- Gov -->	40.7%
4 – 9 Mar 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir / De Morgen	974	25.5% <	-- PS -->	19.6%	15.5%	18.6%	7.5%	5.1%	8.2%	5.9% <	-- Lead -->	60.6% <	-- Gov -->	39.4%
29 Nov – 6 Dec 2019	ESOMAR	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	983	23.8% <	-- PS -->	20.5%	17.2%	16.5%	8.8%	4.7%	8.5%	3.3% <	-- Lead -->	61.5% <	-- Gov -->	38.5%
2–10 Sep 2019	ESOMAR	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	992	22.9% <	-- PS -->	22.6%	16.2%	15.5%	8.5%	5.0%	9.3%	0.3% <	-- Lead -->	61.7% <	-- Gov -->	38.3%
26 May 2019	Federal election			26.1% <	-- PS -->	20.5%	14.9%	13.8%	10.7%	4.1%	9.9%	5.6% <	-- Lead -->	61.5% <	-- Gov -->	38.5%

Brussels

The graph and the table below show polling results in the Brussels Region (which may be part of a larger, nationwide poll). In September 2022, only polling results for Francophone parties were published for polls conducted for VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir.

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm	Publisher	Sample size	Ecolo	PS	MR	PTB- PVDA	DéFI	LE	NVA	Open Vld	VB	cd&v<	Groen	Vooruit	Others	Lead
28 – 31 May 2024	Cluster17	RTL^[40]	501	11.6%	15.0%	22.9% <	-- MR -->	19.8%	7.0%	7.8%							3.2%	3.1%<	-- Lead -->
14 – 20 May 2024	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	600	12.5%	15.2%	23.3% <	-- MR -->	19.8%	7.2%	7.7%								3.5% <	-- Lead -->
8 - 18 Apr 2024	Kantar	La Libre Belgique, RTBF	807	15.5%	14.2%	22.9% <	-- MR -->	15.4%	7.4%	5.4%	3.8%	1.2%	5.0%	1.6%	4.6%	1.0%	2.0%	7.4% <	-- Lead -->	61.0% <	-- Gov -->	39.0%
11 – 18 Mar 2024	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	600	14.7%	15.4%	21.8% <	-- MR -->	17.5%	8.8%	6.9%	2.2%	2.2%	3.0%	1.3%	1.0%	1.3%	3.9%	4.3% <	-- Lead -->	57.7% <	-- Gov -->	42.3%
22 Jan – 8 Feb 2024	Kantar	Knack / Le Vif	600	14.2%	13.5%	17.9%	20.8% <	-- PTB-PVDA -->	7.8%	5.4%	3.8%	1.9%	5.2%	1.2%	5.3%	1.3%	1.3%	2.9% <	-- Lead -->	55.3% <	-- Gov -->	44.7%
4 – 11 Dec 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	600	16.8%	15.7%	18.1%	19.3% <	-- PTB-PVDA -->	9.1%	7.2%	3.4%	2.0%	3.0%	0.5%	1.9%	0.7%	2.3%	1.2% <	-- Lead -->	55.7% <	-- Gov -->	44.3%
10 Sep – 9 Oct 2023	Kantar	La Libre Belgique, RTBF	545	13.0%	18.8%	19.7% <	-- MR -->	16.3%	6.9%	5.1%	5.3%	3.3%	4.2%	0.8%	4.2%	1.3%	1.2%	0.9% <	-- Lead -->	61.1% <	-- Gov -->	38.9%
18 – 25 Sep 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	600	17.9%	18.1%	21.9% <	-- MR -->	15.3%	8.0%	6.5%	3.6%	1.2%	2.3%	0.6%	0.8%	1.8%	2.0%	3.8% <	-- Lead -->	62.3% <	-- Gov -->	37.7%
29 May – 6 Jun 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	600	18.1%	18.6%	19.9% <	-- MR -->	17.6%	8.3%	4.3%	2.9%	1.4%	3.1%	0.9%	1.3%	0.6%	3.0%	1.3% <	-- Lead -->	60.8% <	-- Gov -->	39.2%
20 – 27 Mar 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[41]	600	15.7%	16.8%	19.8% <	-- MR -->	19.4%	10.2%	5.1%	3.0%	0.8%	3.0%	0.5%	1.8%	2.0%	1.9%	0.4% <	-- Lead -->	57.4% <	-- Gov -->	42.6%
16 – 29 Jan 2023	Kantar	La Libre Belgique	493	16.0%	18.0% <	-- PS -->	16.8%	16.7%	9.6%	2.9%	4.5%	1.2%	2.6%	1.0%	6.1%	1.6%	3.1%	1.2% <	-- Lead -->	60.7% <	-- Gov -->	39.3%
21 – 29 Nov 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	601	13.0%	21.6% <	-- PS -->	20.3%	16.1%	10.4%	6.1%	2.8%	0.8%	2.5%	1.8%	1.0%	0.3%	3.3%	1.3% <	-- Lead -->	58.8% <	-- Gov -->	41.2%
7 – 13 Sep 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	600	15.8%	22.7% <	-- PS -->	21.2%	12.7%	9.6%	3.8%								1.6% <	-- Lead -->	<	-- Gov -->
6 – 14 Jun 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	536	18.0%	19.1%	22.0% <	-- MR -->	13.6%	10.8%	3.8%	2.8%	2.0%	2.2%	0.6%	1.4%	0.9%	2.8%	2.9% <	-- Lead -->	64.0% <	-- Gov -->	36.0%
15 – 22 Mar 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	485	20.3% <	-- Ecolo -->	15.1%	19.9%	16.4%	10.8%	4.9%	3.5%	1.6%	2.3%	0.2%	3.0%	1.0%	1.0%	0.4% <	-- Lead -->	61.1% <	-- Gov -->	38.9%
1 – 8 Dec 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[42]	485	19.3% <	-- Ecolo -->	15.1%	17.4%	15.1%	11.3%	5.2%	3.0%	2.9%	3.3%	1.3%	0.6%	0.3%	5.2%	1.9% <	-- Lead -->	56.9% <	-- Gov -->	43.1%
7 – 14 Sep 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[43]	485	19.1% <	-- Ecolo -->	18.6%	18.5%	15.1%	10.4%	3.7%	2.6%	2.4%	1.5%	0.6%	2.5%	0.8%	4.2%	0.5% <	-- Lead -->	62.5% <	-- Gov -->	37.7%
25 May – 1 Jun 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	523	18.0% <	-- Ecolo -->	17.6%	17.9%	15.0%	11.1%	5.3%	4.1%	2.5%	3.1%	0.7%	2.8%	0.5%	1.4%	0.1% <	-- Lead -->	60.0% <	-- Gov -->	40.0%
4 – 9 Mar 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	557	18.2% <	-- Ecolo -->	16.8%	16.4%	16.0%	11.4%	4.0%	2.9%	2.8%	3.2%	1.5%	2.4%	1.1%	3.3%	1.4% <	-- Lead -->	59.2% <	-- Gov -->	40.8%
2 – 8 Dec 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	533	19.5% <	-- Ecolo -->	16.8%	15.0%	15.1%	11.5%	5.0%	4.9%	1.9%	3.7%	0.3%	2.8%	1.4%	0.6%	2.7% <	-- Lead -->	57.7% <	-- Gov -->	42.3%
2 – 8 Oct 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	593	21.6% <	-- Ecolo -->	19.1%	14.0%	12.1%	11.3%	3.2%	4.8%	2.4%	3.7%	1.7%	3.2%	2.3%	0.6%	2.5% <	-- Lead -->	64.3% <	-- Gov -->	35.7%
1 October 2020	De Croo Government formed with Open Vld, sp.a (currently named Vooruit), cd&v, Groen (Flemish), MR, PS and Ecolo (Francophone)
10 – 15 Jun 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	580	19.1% <	-- Ecolo -->	18.2%	17.4%	12.6%	10.9%	4.8%	4.9%	1.4%	3.7%	1.5%	1.8%	0.7%	3.0%	0.9% <	-- Lead -->	60.1% <	-- Gov -->	39.9%
4 – 9 Mar 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	531	20.3%	20.5% <	-- PS -->	17.6%	12.2%	10.0%	3.8%	4.1%	0.9%	3.3%	0.9%	1.4%	1.4%	3.6%	0.2% <	-- Lead -->	63% <	-- Gov -->	37%
29 Nov – 6 Dec 2019	ESOMAR	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	526	19.7% <	-- Ecolo -->	18.9%	16.2%	12.5%	12.0%	5.1%	4.8%	2.2%	1.9%	0.9%	2.8%	0.5%	2.2%	0.8% <	-- Lead -->	61.2% <	-- Gov -->	38.8%
2–10 Sep 2019	ESOMAR	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	548	21.4% <	-- Ecolo -->	19.2%	16.4%	11.0%	11.0%	4.9%	3.6%	2.4%	2.5%	0.2%	3.1%	1.0%	3.3%	2.2% <	-- Lead -->	63.7% <	-- Gov -->	36.3%
26 May 2019	Federal election^[44]			21.6% <	-- Ecolo -->	20.0%	17.5%	12.3%	10.3%	5.8%	3.2%	2.3%	1.6%	1.3%			4.3%	1.6% <	-- Lead -->	62.7% <	-- Gov -->	37.3%

Seat projections

The graph and table below shows seat projections for the Chamber of Representatives according to a reporting newspaper or polling firm.

By party

76 seats needed for majority

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm	Publishers	NVA	PS	VB	MR	Ecolo	cd&v<	Open Vld	PVDA- PTB	Vooruit	Groen	LE	DéFI	Others	Lead			Lead
9 june 2024	Federal election		24 <	-- N-VA -->	16	20	20	3	11	7	15	13	6	14	1	0	4 <	-- Lead -->	76 <	-- Gov -->		74	1 <	-- Lead -->
28 – 31 May 2024	Cluster17	RTL^[45]	20	18	26 <	-- VB -->	18	4	10	7	20	11	5	10	1	0	6 <	-- Lead -->	73	77 <	-- Opp -->	4 <	-- Lead -->
14 – 20 May 2024	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[46]	20	16	26 <	-- VB -->	18	4	10	7	19	12	5	12	1	0	6 <	-- Lead -->	72	78 <	-- Opp -->	6 <	-- Lead -->
8 - 18 Apr 2024	Kantar	La Libre Belgique / RTBF^[47]	19	18	26 <	-- VB -->	14	8	10	11	20	10	4	9	1	0	6 <	-- Lead -->	75 <	-- Gov -->	75 <	-- Opp -->		0
11 – 18 Mar 2024	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[48]	20	16	27 <	-- VB -->	15	9	11	6	19	10	5	10	2	0	7 <	-- Lead -->	72	78 <	-- Opp -->	6 <	-- Lead -->
22 Jan – 8 Feb 2024	Kantar	Knack / Le Vif^[49]	19	16	25 <	-- VB -->	15	10	10	6	21	13	7	7	1	0	4 <	-- Lead -->	77 <	-- Gov -->	73	4 <	-- Lead -->
4 – 11 Dec 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[50]	21	18	25 <	-- VB -->	14	10	10	5	19	11	7	8	2	0	4 <	-- Lead -->	75 <	-- Gov -->	75 <	-- Opp -->		0
10 Sep – 9 Oct 2023	Kantar	La Libre Belgique^[51]	21 <	-- N-VA -->	19	21 <	-- VB -->	16	9	10	6	20	16	6	5	1	0		0	82 <	-- Gov -->	69	13 <	-- Lead -->
18 – 25 Sep 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[52]	19	16	26 <	-- VB -->	16	10	10	6	20	14	4	8	1	0	6 <	-- Lead -->	76 <	-- Gov -->	74	2 <	-- Lead -->
29 May – 6 Jun 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[53]	20	20	22 <	-- VB -->	15	10	10	6	21	16	5	4	1	0	1 <	-- Lead -->	82 <	-- Gov -->	68	14 <	-- Lead -->
20 – 27 Mar 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	20	20	24 <	-- VB -->	14	10	10	8	18	14	5	5	2	0	4 <	-- Lead -->	83 <	-- Gov -->	67	16 <	-- Lead -->
16 – 29 Jan 2023	3rd party analysis based on Kantar	La Libre Belgique^[54]	21	19	24 <	-- VB -->	14	10	6	10	17	14	9	4	2	0	3 <	-- Lead -->	82 <	-- Gov -->	68	14 <	-- Lead -->
21 – 29 Nov 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	20	19	25 <	-- VB -->	15	9	8	7	18	15	7	5	2	0	5 <	-- Lead -->	80 <	-- Gov -->	70	10 <	-- Lead -->
7 – 13 Sep 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	20 <	-- N-VA -->	18	20 <	-- VB -->	17	10	9	9	18	15	7	4	3	0		0	85 <	-- Gov -->	65	20 <	-- Lead -->
6 – 14 Jun 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	25 <	-- N-VA -->	19	21	15	11	9	7	20	12	5	4	2	0	4 <	-- Lead -->	78 <	-- Gov -->	72	6 <	-- Lead -->
15 – 22 Mar 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir	23 <	-- N-VA -->	17	21	15	12	10	7	21	12	6	4	2	0	2 <	-- Lead -->	79 <	-- Gov -->	71	8 <	-- Lead -->
1 – 8 Dec 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[55]	20	17	24 <	-- VB -->	16	11	10	9	19	11	6	5	2	0	4 <	-- Lead -->	80 <	-- Gov -->	70	10 <	-- Lead -->
7 – 14 Sep 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[56]	20	16	22 <	-- VB -->	15	13	11	10	18	10	9	4	2	0	2 <	-- Lead -->	84 <	-- Gov -->	66	18 <	-- Lead -->
25 May – 1 Jun 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[57]	20	18	25 <	-- VB -->	14	12	9	10	17	11	7	5	2	0	5 <	-- Lead -->	81 <	-- Gov -->	69	12 <	-- Lead -->
4 – 9 Mar 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[58]	20	16	22 <	-- VB -->	15	13	11	11	19	11	6	4	2	0	2 <	-- Lead -->	83 <	-- Gov -->	67	16 <	-- Lead -->
2 – 8 Dec 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[59]	20	17	25 <	-- VB -->	15	12	10	10	17	12	5	5	2	0	5 <	-- Lead -->	81 <	-- Gov -->	69	12 <	-- Lead -->
2 – 8 Oct 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[60] ^[61]	21	17	25 <	-- VB -->	14	14	10	10	16	12	5	4	2	0	4 <	-- Lead -->	82 <	-- Gov -->	68	14 <	-- Lead -->
10 – 15 Jun 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[62]	20	19	26 <	-- VB -->	14	12	10	9	17	10	7	4	2	0	6 <	-- Lead -->	81 <	-- Gov -->	69	12 <	-- Lead -->
4 – 9 Mar 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[63]	19	19	26 <	-- VB -->	14	13	10	9	19	7	8	4	2	0	7 <	-- Lead -->	80 <	-- Gov -->	70	10 <	-- Lead -->
29 Nov – 6 Dec 2019	ESOMAR	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[64]	20	18	27 <	-- VB -->	14	13	10	8	18	6	9	5	2	0	7 <	-- Lead -->	78 <	-- Gov -->	72	6 <	-- Lead -->
2–10 Sep 2019	ESOMAR	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir^[65]	21	17	25 <	-- VB -->	17	13	11	11	14	6	9	4	2	0	4 <	-- Lead -->	84 <	-- Gov -->	66	18 <	-- Lead -->
26 May 2019	Federal election		25 <	-- N-VA -->	20 <	-- PS -->	18 <	-- VB -->	14 <	-- MR -->	13 <	-- Ecolo -->	12 <	-- cd&v -->	12 <	-- Open Vld -->	12 <	-- PVDA-PTB -->	9 <	-- sp.a -->	8 <	-- Groen -->	5 <	-- cdH -->	2 <	-- DéFI -->	0 <	-- Others -->	5 <	-- Lead -->	88 <	-- Gov -->	62 <	-- Opp -->	26 <	-- Lead -->

By political family

Below are tallies for each ideological 'group' as well as probable coalitions. In bold on dark grey, if the coalition commands an absolute majority.

Note that "asymetrical" coalitions are now frequent: between 2007 and 2011, PS was part of each cabinet but not sp.a (Vooruit); and between 2014 and 2018, the Michel Government included cd&v but not cdH (LE), as well as the N-VA, of which there is no equivalent in Wallonia.

Political family seat projections

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm	Ideologies									Coalitions
									<	-- Left-wing -->			<	-- Big Olive Tree -->				<	-- Olive Tree -->			<	-- Purple Green -->			<	--Vivaldi-->				<	--National Unity-->					<	-- Tripartite -->			<	-- Arizona -->				<	-- Sunset -->			<	-- Burgundy/Purple-Yellow -->			<	-- Swedish + LE -->			<	-- Centre-right -->				<	-- Right-wing -->
data-sort-value="2024-06-09"	9 June 2024		15	9	29 <	-- Social Democrats -->	1	27	25	24	20	53 <			-- Left-wing -->	81 <	-- Big Olive Tree -->	63 <			-- Olive Tree -->	65 <			-- Purple Green -->	76 (90) <	-- Vivaldi-->	114 <	-- National Unity -->	81 <	-- Tripartite -->	105 <	-- Arizona -->	78 <	-- Sunset -->	80 <	-- Burgundy/Purple-Yellow -->	76 <	-- Swedish + LE -->	96 <	-- Centre-right -->	71 <			-- Right-wing -->
data-sort-value="2024-05-20"	14 - 20 May 2024	Ipsos	19	9	28 <	-- Social Democrats -->	1	25	22	20	26	56 <			-- Left-wing -->	78 <	-- Big Olive Tree -->	59 <			-- Olive Tree -->	62 <			-- Purple Green -->	72 (84) <	-- Vivaldi -->	104 <	-- National Unity -->	75 <			-- Tripartite -->	95 <	-- Arizona -->	70 <			-- Sunset -->	73 <			-- Burgundy/Purple-Yellow -->	67 <			-- Swedish + LE -->	93 <	-- Centre-right -->	71 <			-- Right-wing -->
data-sort-value="2024-04-18"	8 - 18 Apr 2024	Kantar	20	12	28 <	-- Social Democrats -->	1	25	19	19	26	60 <			-- Left-wing -->	79 <	-- Big Olive Tree -->	59 <			-- Olive Tree -->	65 <			-- Purple Green -->	75 (84) <	-- Vivaldi -->	103 <	-- National Unity -->	72 <			-- Tripartite -->	91 <	-- Arizona -->	66 <			-- Sunset -->	72 <			-- Burgundy/Purple-Yellow -->	63 <			-- Swedish + LE -->	89 <	-- Centre-right -->	70 <			-- Right-wing -->
data-sort-value="2024-03-18"	1 – 18 Mar 2024	Ipsos	19	14	26	2	21	21	20	27 <	-- Far-right -->	59 <			-- Left-wing -->	80 <	-- Big Olive Tree -->	61 <			-- Olive Tree -->	61 <			-- Purple Green -->	72 (82)<	-- Vivaldi -->	102 <	-- National Unity -->	68 <			-- Tripartite -->	87 <	-- Arizona -->	67 <			-- Sunset -->	67 <			-- Burgundy/Purple-Yellow -->	62 <			-- Swedish + LE -->	89 <	-- Centre-right -->	68 <			-- Right-wing -->
data-sort-value="2024-02-08"	22 Jan – 8 Feb 2024	Kantar	21	17	29 <	-- Social Democrats -->	1	21	17	19	25	67 <			-- Left-wing -->	84 <	-- Big Olive Tree -->	63 <			-- Olive Tree -->	67 <			-- Purple Green -->	77 (84) <	-- Vivaldi -->	103 <	-- National Unity -->	67 <			-- Tripartite -->	86 <	-- Arizona -->	65 <			-- Sunset -->	69 <			-- Burgundy/Purple-Yellow -->	57 <			-- Swedish + LE -->	82 <	-- Centre-right -->	65 <			-- Right-wing -->
data-sort-value="2023-12-11"	4 – 11 Dec 2023	Ipsos	19	17	29 <	-- Social Democrats -->	2	19	18	21	25	65 <			-- Left-wing -->	83 <	-- Big Olive Tree -->	64 <			-- Olive Tree -->	65 <			-- Purple Green -->	75 (83) <	-- Vivaldi -->	104 <	-- National Unity -->	66 <			-- Tripartite -->	87 <	-- Arizona -->	68 <			-- Sunset -->	69 <			-- Burgundy/Purple-Yellow -->	58 <			-- Swedish + LE -->	83 <	-- Centre-right -->	65 <			-- Right-wing -->
data-sort-value="2023-10-09"	10 Sep – 9 Oct 2023	Kantar	20	15	35 <	-- Social Democrats -->	1	22	15	21	21	70 <			-- Left-wing -->	85 <	-- Big Olive Tree -->	65 <			-- Olive Tree -->	72 <			-- Purple Green -->	82 (87) <	-- Vivaldi -->	108 <	-- National Unity -->	72 <			-- Tripartite -->	93 <	-- Arizona -->	71 <			-- Sunset -->	78 <	-- Burgundy/Purple-Yellow -->	58 <			-- Swedish + LE -->	79 <	-- Centre-right -->	64 <			-- Right-wing -->
data-sort-value="2023-09-29"	18 – 25 Sep 2023		20	14	30 <	-- Social Democrats -->	1	22	18	19	26	64 <			-- Left-wing -->	82 <	-- Big Olive Tree -->	62 <			-- Olive Tree -->	66 <			-- Purple Green -->	76 (84) <	-- Vivaldi -->	103 <	-- National Unity -->	70 <			-- Tripartite -->	89 <	-- Arizona -->	67 <			-- Sunset -->	71 <			-- Burgundy/Purple-Yellow -->	59 <			-- Swedish + LE -->	85 <	-- Centre-right -->	67 <			-- Right-wing -->
data-sort-value="2023-06-09"	29 May – 6 Jun 2023		21	15	36 <	-- Social Democrats -->	1	21	14	20	22	72 <			-- Left-wing -->	86 <	-- Big Olive Tree -->	65 <			-- Olive Tree -->	72 <			-- Purple Green -->	82 (86) <	-- Vivaldi -->	106 <	-- National Unity -->	71 <			-- Tripartite -->	91 <	-- Arizona -->	70 <			-- Sunset -->	77 <	-- Burgundy/Purple-Yellow -->	55 <			-- Swedish + LE -->	77 <	-- Centre-right -->	63 <			-- Right-wing -->
data-sort-value="2023-03-30"	20–27 Mar 2023		18	15	34 <	-- Social Democrats -->	2	22	15	20	24	67 <			-- Left-wing -->	82 <	-- Big Olive Tree -->	64 <			-- Olive Tree -->	71 <			-- Purple Green -->	81 (86) <	-- Vivaldi -->	106 <	-- National Unity -->	71 <			-- Tripartite -->	91 <	-- Arizona -->	69 <			-- Sunset -->	76 <	-- Burgundy/Purple-Yellow -->	57 <			-- Swedish + LE -->	81 <	-- Centre-right -->	66 <			-- Right-wing -->
data-sort-value="2023-02-29"	16–29 Jan 2023		17	19	33 <	-- Social Democrats -->	2	24	10	21	24	69 <			-- Left-wing -->	79 <	-- Big Olive Tree -->	62 <			-- Olive Tree -->	76 <	-- Purple Green -->	82 (86) <	-- Vivaldi -->	107 <	-- National Unity -->	67 <			-- Tripartite -->	88 <	-- Arizona -->	64 <			-- Sunset -->	78 <	-- Burgundy/Purple-Yellow -->	55 <			-- Swedish + LE -->	79 <	-- Centre-right -->	69 <			-- Right-wing -->
data-sort-value="2022-12-02"	21–29 Nov 2022		18	16	34 <	-- Social Democrats -->	2	22	13	20	25	68 <			-- Left-wing -->	81 <	-- Big Olive Tree -->	63 <			-- Olive Tree -->	72 <			-- Purple Green -->	80 (85) <	-- Vivaldi -->	105 <	-- National Unity -->	69 <			-- Tripartite -->	89 <	-- Arizona -->	67 <			-- Sunset -->	76 <	-- Burgundy/Purple-Yellow -->	55 <			-- Swedish + LE -->	80 <	-- Centre-right -->	67 <			-- Right-wing -->
data-sort-value="2022-09-16"	7–13 Sep 2022	Ipsos	18	17	33 <	-- Social Democrats -->	3	26	13	20	20	68 <			-- Left-wing -->	81 <	-- Big Olive Tree -->	63 <			-- Olive Tree -->	76 <	-- Purple Green -->	85 (89) <	-- Vivaldi -->	109 <	-- National Unity -->	72 <			-- Tripartite -->	92 <	-- Arizona -->	66 <			-- Sunset -->	79 <	-- Burgundy/Purple-Yellow -->	59 <			-- Swedish + LE -->	79 <	-- Centre-right -->	66 <			-- Right-wing -->
data-sort-value="2022-06-17"	6–14 Jun 2022	Ipsos	20	16	31 <	-- Social Democrats -->	2	22	13	25	21	67 <			-- Left-wing -->	80 <	-- Big Olive Tree -->	60 <			-- Olive Tree -->	69 <			-- Purple Green -->	78 (82) <	-- Vivaldi -->	107 <	-- National Unity -->	66 <			-- Tripartite -->	91 <	-- Arizona -->	69 <			-- Sunset -->	78 <	-- Burgundy/Purple-Yellow -->	60 <			-- Swedish + LE -->	81 <	-- Centre-right -->	68 <			-- Right-wing -->
data-sort-value="2022-03-25"	15–22 Mar 2022	Ipsos	21	18	29 <	-- Social Democrats -->	2	22	14	23	21	68 <			-- Left-wing -->	82 <	-- Big Olive Tree -->	61 <			-- Olive Tree -->	69 <			-- Purple Green -->	79 (83) <	-- Vivaldi -->	106 <	-- National Unity -->	65 <			-- Tripartite -->	88 <	-- Arizona -->	66 <			-- Sunset -->	74 <			-- Burgundy/Purple-Yellow -->	59 <			-- Swedish + LE -->	80 <	-- Centre-right -->	66 <			-- Right-wing -->
data-sort-value="2021-12-10"	1–8 Dec 2021	Ipsos	19	17	28 <	-- Social Democrats -->	2	25	15	20	24	64 <			-- Left-wing -->	79 <	-- Big Olive Tree -->	60 <			-- Olive Tree -->	70 <			-- Purple Green -->	80 (85) <	-- Vivaldi -->	105 <	-- National Unity -->	68 <			-- Tripartite -->	88 <	-- Arizona -->	63 <			-- Sunset -->	73 <			-- Burgundy/Purple-Yellow -->	60 <			-- Swedish + LE -->	84 <	-- Centre-right -->	69 <			-- Right-wing -->
data-sort-value="2021-09-18"	7–14 Sep 2021	Ipsos	18	22	26 <	-- Social Democrats -->	2	25	15	20	22	66 <			-- Left-wing -->	81 <	-- Big Olive Tree -->	63 <			-- Olive Tree -->	73 <			-- Purple Green -->	84 (88) <	-- Vivaldi -->	108 <	-- National Unity -->	66 <			-- Tripartite -->	86 <	-- Arizona -->	61 <			-- Sunset -->	71 <			-- Burgundy/Purple-Yellow -->	60 <			-- Swedish + LE -->	82 <	-- Centre-right -->	67 <			-- Right-wing -->
data-sort-value="2021-06-01"	25 May – 1 Jun 2021	Ipsos	17	19	29 <	-- Social Democrats -->	2	24	14	20	25	65 <			-- Left-wing -->	79 <	-- Big Olive Tree -->	62 <			-- Olive Tree -->	72 <			-- Purple Green -->	81 (86) <	-- Vivaldi -->	106 <	-- National Unity -->	67 <			-- Tripartite -->	87 <	-- Arizona -->	63 <			-- Sunset -->	73 <			-- Burgundy/Purple-Yellow -->	58 <			-- Swedish + LE -->	83 <	-- Centre-right -->	69 <			-- Right-wing -->
data-sort-value="2021-03-09"	4–9 Mar 2021	Ipsos	19	19	27 <	-- Social Democrats -->	2	26	15	20	22	65 <			-- Left-wing -->	80 <	-- Big Olive Tree -->	61 <			-- Olive Tree -->	72 <			-- Purple Green -->	83 (87) <	-- Vivaldi -->	107 <	-- National Unity -->	68 <			-- Tripartite -->	88 <	-- Arizona -->	62 <			-- Sunset -->	73 <			-- Burgundy/Purple-Yellow -->	61 <			-- Swedish + LE -->	83 <	-- Centre-right -->	68 <			-- Right-wing -->
data-sort-value="2020-12-10"	2–10 Dec 2020	Ipsos	17	17	29 <	-- Social Democrats -->	2	25	15	20	25	63 <			-- Left-wing -->	78 <	-- Big Olive Tree -->	61 <			-- Olive Tree -->	71 <			-- Purple Green -->	81 (86) <	-- Vivaldi -->	106 <	-- National Unity -->	69 <			-- Tripartite -->	89 <	-- Arizona -->	64 <			-- Sunset -->	74 <			-- Burgundy/Purple-Yellow -->	60 <			-- Swedish + LE -->	85 <	-- Centre-right -->	70 <			-- Right-wing -->
data-sort-value="2020-10-10"	2–10 Oct 2020	Ipsos	16	19	29 <	-- Social Democrats -->	2	24	14	21	25	64 <			-- Left-wing -->	78 <	-- Big Olive Tree -->	62 <			-- Olive Tree -->	71 <			-- Purple Green -->	82 (86) <	-- Vivaldi -->	107 <	-- National Unity -->	67 <			-- Tripartite -->	88 <	-- Arizona -->	64 <			-- Sunset -->	74 <			-- Burgundy/Purple-Yellow -->	59 <			-- Swedish + LE -->	84 <	-- Centre-right -->	70 <			-- Right-wing -->
data-sort-value="2020-06-15"	10–15 Jun 2020	Ipsos	17	19	29 <	-- Social Democrats -->	2	23	14	20	26	65 <			-- Left-wing -->	79 <	-- Big Olive Tree -->	62 <			-- Olive Tree -->	71 <			-- Purple Green -->	81 (85) <	-- Vivaldi -->	105 <	-- National Unity -->	66 <			-- Tripartite -->	86 <	-- Arizona -->	63 <			-- Sunset -->	72 <			-- Burgundy/Purple-Yellow -->	57 <			-- Swedish + LE -->	83 <	-- Centre-right -->	69 <			-- Right-wing -->
data-sort-value="2020-03-09"	4–9 Mar 2020	Ipsos	19	21	26 <	-- Social Democrats -->	2	23	14	19	26 <	-- Far-right -->	66 <			-- Left-wing -->	80 <	-- Big Olive Tree -->	61 <			-- Olive Tree -->	70 <			-- Purple Green -->	80 (84) <	-- Vivaldi -->	105 <	-- National Unity -->	63 <			-- Tripartite -->	82 <	-- Arizona -->	66 <			-- Sunset -->	68 <			-- Burgundy/Purple-Yellow -->	56 <			-- Swedish + LE -->	82 <	-- Centre-right -->	68 <			-- Right-wing -->
data-sort-value="2019-12-06"	29 Nov – 6 Dec 2019	ESOMAR	18	22	24	2	22	15	20	27 <	-- Far-right -->	64 <			-- Left-wing -->	79 <	-- Big Olive Tree -->	61 <			-- Olive Tree -->	68 <			-- Purple Green -->	78 (83) <	-- Vivaldi -->	105 <	-- National Unity -->	61 <			-- Tripartite -->	81 <	-- Arizona -->	59 <			-- Sunset -->	66 <			-- Burgundy/Purple-Yellow -->	57 <			-- Swedish + LE -->	84 <	-- Centre-right -->	69 <			-- Right-wing -->
data-sort-value="2019-09-10"	2–10 Sep 2019	ESOMAR	14	22	23	2	28 <	-- Liberals -->	15	21	25	59 <			-- Left-wing -->	74 <				-- Big Olive Tree -->	60 <			-- Olive Tree -->	73 <			-- Purple Green -->	84 (88) <	-- Vivaldi -->	109 <	-- National Unity -->	66 <			-- Tripartite -->	86 <	-- Arizona -->	59 <			-- Sunset -->	72 <			-- Burgundy/Purple-Yellow -->	67 <			-- Swedish + LE -->	89 <	-- Centre-right -->	74 <			-- Right-wing -->
data-sort-value="2019-05-26"	26 May 2019		12	21	29 <	-- Social Democrats -->	2	26	17	25	18	62 <			-- Left-wing -->	79 <	-- Big Olive Tree -->	67 <			-- Olive Tree -->	76 <	-- Purple Green -->	88 (93) <	-- Vivaldi-->	120 <	-- National Unity -->	72 <			-- Tripartite -->	97 <	-- Arizona -->	71 <			-- Sunset -->	80 <	-- Burgundy/Purple-Yellow -->	68 <			-- Swedish + LE -->	86 <	-- Centre-right -->	69 <			-- Right-wing -->

European Parliament election

See also: Opinion polling for the 2024 European Parliament election.

Dutch-speaking

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm	Publisher	Sample size	NVA	VB	Open Vld	cd&v<	Groen	Vooruit	PVDA	Others	Lead
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024	Ipsos	Euronews^[66]	1,500	18.7%	23.5% <	-- VB -->	12.7%	11.5%	9.7%	13.8%	9.3%	0.8%	4.8%<	-- Lead -->
26 May 2019	European election			22.4% <	-- N-VA -->	19.1%	15.9%	14.5%	12.4%	10.2%	4.9%	0.5%	3.3%<	-- Lead -->

French-speaking

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm	Publisher	Sample size	PS	Ecolo	MR	PTB	LE	DéFI	Others	Lead
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024	Ipsos	Euronews	1,500	26.7% <	-- PS -->	12.8%	22.8%	19.2%	11.0%	2.8%	4.7%	3.9%<	-- Lead -->
26 May 2019	European election			26.7% <	-- PS -->	19.9%	19.3%	14.6%	8.9%	5.9%	4.7%	6.8%<	-- Lead -->

See also

• Opinion polling for the 2019 Belgian federal election
• List of political parties in Belgium

Notes and References

1. Web site: VP2024 . 9 June 2024 . 10 June 2024 . Dutch.
2. News: 2024-06-06 . DE LAATSTE PEILING. Vlaams Belang blijft de grootste, voor N-VA en Vooruit . nl . 2024-06-06.
3. Web site: Delfosse . RTL info avec Frederic . 2024-06-04 . Sondage RTL info-Cluster17: bataille entre le MR et le PS en Wallonie, le Vlaams Belang conforte sa place de futur premier parti en Flandre . 2024-06-04 . RTL Info . fr.
4. News: 2024-05-24 . DE GROTE PEILING. Vlaams Belang blijft grootste partij van Vlaanderen, Vooruit profiteert van Conner-effect . nl . 2024-05-24.
5. News: 2024-04-25 . Découvrez les résultats de notre sondage : le Vlaams Belang toujours plus haut, le MR en grande forme à Bruxelles . fr . 2024-04-25 .
6. News: 2024-03-22 . DE GROTE PEILING. Vlaams Belang met voorsprong de grootste, Vooruit neemt een duik . nl . 2024-03-24.
7. News: Open Vld verliest helft zetels in Knack-peiling, liberalen duiken in Antwerpen onder kiesdrempel . De Morgen . DPG Media nv . 2024-02-20.
8. News: 2024-03-11 . Nieuwe peiling zet De Wever opnieuw met twee voeten in de campagne . nl . 2024-03-11.
9. News: 2023-12-15 . DE GROTE PEILING. Open Vld wordt kleinste partij van Vlaanderen, kwart kiest voor Vlaams Belang . nl . 2023-12-15.
10. News: 2023-12-05 . GVA PEILING. De Wever zit federaal Vlaams Belang op de hielen, Vivaldi-partijen boeken verlies van meer dan 6% . nl . 2023-12-06.
11. News: 2023-10-12 . La percée du PTB et du Vlaams Belang, la mauvaise forme d'Ecolo: découvrez les résultats de notre grand sondage politique . fr . 2023-10-12.
12. News: 2023-09-29 . DE GROTE PEILING. Kwart Vlamingen zou voor Vlaams Belang kiezen, malaise voor Open Vld en Groen is enorm . nl . 2023-09-29.
13. News: 2023-06-09 . DE GROTE PEILING. Slechtste resultaat voor Open Vld ooit, Vlaams Belang blijft de grootste partij van Vlaanderen . nl . 2023-06-09.
14. News: 2023-03-31 . DE GROTE PEILING. Kwart van Vlamingen zou voor Vlaams Belang stemmen, beste peiling in anderhalf jaar voor CD&V . nl . 2023-03-31.
15. News: 2023-02-16 . Notre sondage politique : le Vlaams Belang triomphe en Flandre, le PTB enregistre la plus grande progression en Wallonie . fr . 2023-02-16.
16. News: 2022-12-02 . DE GROTE PEILING. Een kwart van de Vlamingen stemt voor Vlaams Belang, Conner Rousseau wordt de populairste politicus van Vlaanderen . nl . 2022-12-02.
17. News: 2022-09-16 . DE GROTE PEILING. Vooruit scoort historisch hoog, Vlaams Belang wordt nipt de grootste partij van Vlaanderen . nl . 2022-09-16.
18. News: Roelandt . Astrid . 2022-06-17 . GROTE PEILING. Open Vld op laagste peil ooit, N-VA bijna terug op verkiezingsresultaat . nl . 2022-06-17.
19. News: DE GROTE PEILING. N-VA weer nipt de grootste partij van Vlaanderen, Vlaams Belang volgt op korte afstand. 25 March 2022. Het Laatste Nieuws (Dutch).
20. News: DE GROTE PEILING. Vlaams Belang blijft de grootste partij in Vlaanderen, PS sterkste stijger in Wallonië. 10 December 2021. Het Laatste Nieuws (Dutch).
21. News: DE GROTE PEILING. Vlaams Belang blijft de grootste partij in Vlaanderen, PS krijgt klappen in Wallonië. 18 September 2021. Het Laatste Nieuws (Dutch).
22. News: DE GROTE PEILING. Vlaams Belang blijft de grootste partij, cd&v op dieptepunt met 10 procent. 4 June 2021. Het Laatste Nieuws (Dutch).
23. News: Vlaams Belang blijft de grootste partij, premier Alexander De Croo (Open VLD) de populairste: dit zegt "De Stemming". 22 May 2021. VRT NWS (Dutch).
24. News: DE GROTE PEILING. Vlaams Belang zakt maar blijft de grootste partij. 12 March 2021. Het Laatste Nieuws (Dutch).
25. News: DE GROTE PEILING. Vlaams Belang blijft de grootste, N-VA zakt net onder de 20%. 11 December 2020. Het Laatste Nieuws (Dutch).
26. News: De Grote Peiling. Vlaams Belang blijft de grootste partij, sp.a blijft 'vooruit' gaan. 20 October 2020. Het Laatste Nieuws (Dutch).
27. News: GROTE PEILING. Vlaams Belang blijft afgetekend de grootste, sp.a klimt naar derde plaats. 19 June 2020. Het Laatste Nieuws (Dutch).
28. News: De Stemming: de kiezer ruilt het centrum meer en meer in voor de uitersten. 23 May 2020. VRT NWS (Dutch).
29. News: Grote Peiling: Vlaams Belang wordt de grootste, ook PVDA scoort, N-VA zakt richting 20%. 14 March 2020. Het Laatste Nieuws (Dutch).
30. News: De Grote Peiling. Vlaams Belang stijgt tot ongekende hoogtes, Open Vld afgestraft. 13 December 2019. Het Laatste Nieuws (Dutch).
31. News: De Grote Peiling. Vlaams Belang wipt over N-VA naar eerste plaats, dramatische score voor cd&v en sp.a. 13 September 2019. Het Laatste Nieuws (Dutch).
32. News: 2024-05-17 . NIEUWE PEILING. Vlaams Belang en N-VA halen samen meerderheid in Vlaams Parlement . nl . 2024-05-17.
33. News: De Stemming 2024; Vlaams Belang peilde nooit hoger, N-VA zakt voor het eerst onder de 20 procent . De Standaard . 2024-03-02.
34. News: 2023-12-04 . PEILING. Vooruit gaat achteruit na heisa rond Conner Rousseau, Vlaams Belang heeft wind in de zeilen . nl . 2023-12-04.
35. News: Peiling "De Stemming": Vlaams Belang blijft de grootste, Vooruit gaat meest vooruit en PVDA wordt vierde partij. 12 May 2023. VRTNWS.
36. News: cd&v verliest bijna helft van kiezers en wordt de kleinste partij van Vlaanderen. 6 May 2022. VRTNWS.
37. Web site: Delfosse . RTL info avec Frederic . 2024-06-04 . Sondage RTL info-Cluster17: bataille entre le MR et le PS en Wallonie, le Vlaams Belang conforte sa place de futur premier parti en Flandre . 2024-06-04 . RTL Info . fr.
38. News: Grand Baromètre: le PTB monte en puissance. 12 March 2021. Le Soir (French).
39. News: Grand Baromètre: le gouvernement De Croo fait chuter la N-VA sous les 20%. 11 December 2020. Le Soir (French).
40. Web site: Delfosse . RTL info avec Frederic . 2024-06-04 . Sondage RTL info-Cluster17: bataille entre le MR et le PS en Wallonie, le Vlaams Belang conforte sa place de futur premier parti en Flandre . 2024-06-04 . RTL Info . fr.
41. Web site: Ipsos: De Grote Peiling – Le Grand Baromètre . Het Laatste Nieuws . 1 April 2023 . Dutch, French . 31 March 2023.
42. News: Grand Baromètre: le PS décroche à Bruxelles mais redécolle en Wallonie. 10 December 2021. Le Soir (French).
43. News: Grand Baromètre: le PS chute en Wallonie, la N-VA et le Belang baissent en Flandre. 18 September 2021. Le Soir (French).
44. News: Federale verkiezingen 2019: alle uitslagen. 26 May 2019. 10 December 2019.
45. Web site: Delfosse . RTL info avec Frederic . 2024-06-04 . Sondage RTL info-Cluster17: bataille entre le MR et le PS en Wallonie, le Vlaams Belang conforte sa place de futur premier parti en Flandre . 2024-06-04 . RTL Info . fr.
46. News: seat projections. 2024-05-24.
47. News: seat projections. 2024-04-25.
48. News: seat projections. 2024-03-22.
49. News: seat projections. 2024-02-20.
50. News: seat projections. 2023-12-16.
51. News: seat projections. 2023-10-12.
52. News: seat projections. 2023-09-29.
53. News: Extreme droite et extreme gauche conditionnent la campagne de 2024. 2023-06-10.
54. News: 2023-02-17 . Opinion Poll by Kantar for La Libre Belgique, 16–29 January 2023 . en . 2023-02-17.
55. News: De Grote Peiling. Regering-De Croo verliest 7 zetels, maar behoudt meerderheid. 11 December 2021.
56. News: BELGIUM · Ipsos poll 17/09/2021: VB largest party in Flanders (23.6%), PS in Wallonia (21.4%), Ecolo in Brussels (19.1%). 17 September 2021.
57. News: Amper helft Groen- en Vooruitkiezers heeft vertrouwen in regering, Vivaldi verliest zes zetels in peiling. 5 June 2021.
58. News: Seat projections. 12 March 2021.
59. News:
    1. GrandBaromètre IProjection en sièges à la Chambre
    . 12 December 2020.
60. News: De Grote Peiling. Regering-De Croo verliest 5 zetels, maar behoudt ruime meerderheid. 12 October 2020.
61. News: Grand Baromètre: le gouvernement De Croo serait moins représentatif si les élections avaient lieu demain. 12 October 2020.
62. News:
    1. GrandBaromètre Ipsos RTL-Soir-HLN: The Projection and Sessions à la Chambre
    . 14 March 2020.
63. News: Les francophones bien à gauche, La Flandre à droite. March 14, 2020. Le Soir (French).
64. News: Le Vlaams Belang s'envole, la Flandre à droite toute. 15 December 2019. Le Soir (French).
65. News: Grand Baromètre: le Vlaams Belang et la N-VA obtiennent la majorité flamande à la Chambre (infographie). 14 September 2019. Le Soir (French).
66. News: 2024-03-19 . Euronews-Ipsos Poll . 2024-04-17 . en.