Opinion polling for the 2023 Spanish local elections (Castilla–La Mancha) explained
In the run up to the 2023 Spanish local elections, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities in Castilla–La Mancha are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 26 May 2019, to the day the next elections will be held, on 28 May 2023.
Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.
Municipalities
Albacete
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | | | | | Lead |
|---|
| | | | |
|---|
| GAD3/RTVE–FORTA[1] | 12–27 May 2023 | ? | ? | 29.0
| | 42.0
| 3.0
| 9.0
| 12.0
| 13.0 |
| UCLM[2] [3] | 6–12 May 2023 | 3,082 | ? | | ?
| ?
| ?
| ?
| ?
| ? |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[4] | 13 May–8 Oct 2021 | 352 | ? | 34.8
| | 35.9
| 5.1
| 10.6
| 10.6
| 1.1 |
|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | | 62.2 | | 31.1
| 29.9
| 18.3
| 10.8
| 6.6
| 1.2 |
| |
Ciudad Real
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | | | | | Lead |
|---|
| | | | |
|---|
| GAD3/RTVE–FORTA | 12–27 May 2023 | ? | ? | 39.0
| | 40.0
| 2.0
| 5.0
| 11.0
| 1.0 |
|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | | 64.6 | | 38.7
| 33.0
| 12.5
| 7.6
| 6.8
| 5.7 |
| |
Cuenca
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | CNU | | | | | | Lead |
|---|
| | | | | | |
|---|
| GAD3/RTVE–FORTA | 12–27 May 2023 | ? | ? | | 39.0
| ?
| 31.0
| – | 5.0
| 9.0
| ?
| 8.0 |
|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | | 66.7 | | 36.2
| 22.4
| 21.0
| 5.8
| 5.5
| 3.6
| – | 13.8 |
| |
Guadalajara
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | | | | | | Lead |
|---|
| | | | | |
|---|
| GAD3/RTVE–FORTA | 12–27 May 2023 | ? | ? | | 39.0
| 33.0
| ?
| 11.0
| 5.0
| ?
| 6.0 |
| Idus3/GuadaTV Media[5] [6] | 7–24 Nov 2022 | 700 | ? | | 46.2
| 28.4
| 3.9
| 12.4
| 5.6
| 2.8
| 17.8 |
| Celeste-Tel/Nueva Alcarria[7] [8] | 18–29 Apr 2022 | 600 | 68.5 | | 39.7
| 28.7
| 5.5
| 14.3
| 5.3
| 6.5
| 11.0 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[9] | 14 May–10 Oct 2021 | 365 | ? | 33.3
| | 36.4
| 4.6
| 13.0
| 4.7
| 6.8
| 3.1 |
|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | | 68.5 | | 35.2
| 31.2
| 12.2
| 7.7
| 7.0
| 6.1
| 4.0 |
| |
Illescas
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | | | | | Lead |
|---|
| | | | |
|---|
| Data10[10] [11] | 27 Feb–1 Mar 2023 | 400 | ? | | 38.7
| 33.1
| 2.2
| 6.8
| 16.4
| 5.6 |
|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | | 60.1 | | 52.5
| 24.1
| 13.4
| 7.4
| – | 28.4 |
| |
Talavera de la Reina
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | | | | | NT | Lead |
|---|
| | | | | |
|---|
| GAD3/RTVE–FORTA | 12–27 May 2023 | ? | ? | | 45.0
| 29.0
| 13.0
| – | – | – | 16.0 |
| Data10/PP[12] | 16–17 May 2023 | 700 | ? | | 36.1
| 34.5
| 11.9
| – | 4.1
| 6.0
| 1.6 |
| Data10/PP[13] | 24–25 Apr 2023 | 700 | ? | | 36.9
| 33.2
| 13.2
| – | 4.3
| 6.2
| 3.7 |
| GAD3/PP[14] | 6–13 Feb 2023 | 600 | 65.1 | | 39.6
| 37.0
| 10.1
| 1.4
| 3.2
| – | 2.6 |
|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | | 63.2 | | 46.6
| 20.0
| 11.9
| 10.9
| 4.1
| – | 26.6 |
| |
Toledo
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | | | | | Lead |
|---|
| | | | |
|---|
| GAD3/RTVE–FORTA | 12–27 May 2023 | ? | ? | | 42.0
| 35.0
| ?
| 10.0
| 6.0
| 7.0 |
| IO Investigación/La Tribuna[15] | 3–17 Apr 2023 | 1,000 | ? | | 54.5
| 28.2
| 3.7
| 5.3
| 5.2
| 26.3 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[16] [17] | 18–24 Nov 2022 | 400 | ? | | 48.8
| 29.9
| 1.1
| 11.2
| 4.6
| 18.9 |
| SW Demoscopia/La Tribuna[18] | 23–25 Nov 2021 | 420 | 62.2 | | 44.4
| 33.2
| 5.1
| 8.0
| 7.6
| 11.2 |
| La Tribuna[19] | 14 Jun 2021 | ? | 66 | | 42.0
| 35.1
| – | 11.7
| 6.9
| 6.9 |
|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | | 69.8 | | 44.2
| 25.5
| 12.6
| 8.3
| 8.1
| 18.7 |
| |
Notes and References
- Web site: El PSOE ganaría las elecciones en Castilla-La Mancha, según el sondeo de GAD3 para CMM . es . CMM . 28 May 2023.
- Web site: El PSOE ganaría las elecciones en Albacete pero no gobernaría por la suma PP-VOX . es . Cadena SER . 18 May 2023.
- Web site: La encuesta de la UCLM da el Gobierno local a PP y Vox . es . La Tribuna de Albacete . 18 May 2023.
- Web site: EP Albacete (13O): empate PSOE-PP y UP-Vox. Cs, a punto de quedarse sin escaños, decidiría el tripartito . es . Electomanía . 13 October 2021.
- Web site: Alberto Rojo volvería a ganar las elecciones municipales del mes de mayo, esta vez con mayoría absoluta . es . Nueva Alcarria . 24 January 2023.
- Web site: [MUN] GUADALAJARA. Encuesta IDUS 3 24/01/2023: PODEMOS-IU 5,6% (1), AIKE 2,8%, PSOE 46,2% (13), CS 3,9%, PP 28,4% (8), VOX 12,4% (3) ]. es . Electográfica . 24 January 2023.
- Web site: Encuesta: El PSOE ganaría las elecciones municipales y Vox duplicaría sus concejales . es . Nueva Alcarria . 6 June 2022.
- Web site: GUADALAJARA. Encuesta Celeste-Tel 06/06/2022: PODEMOS-IU 5,3% (1), AIKE 6,5% (1), PSOE 39,7% (11), Cs 5,5% (1), PP 28,1% (7), VOX 14,3% (4) . es . Electograph . 6 June 2022.
- Web site: EP Guadalajara (19O): UP y Cs, fuera del Consistorio. Sube la derecha y aike duplica concejales . es . Electomanía . 19 October 2021.
- Web site: El PSOE podría perder la emblemática Alcaldía de Illescas (Toledo) según una encuesta . es . El Digital CLM . 12 March 2023.
- Web site: [MUN] ILLESCAS. Encuesta Data10 12/03/2023: PODEMOS-IU 6,8% (1), PSOE 38,7% (9), CS 2,2%, PP 33,1% (8), VOX 16,4% (3) ]. es . Electográfica . 12 March 2023.
- Web site: El PP acorta distancia con el PSOE y podría gobernar Talavera con Vox . es . ABC . 19 May 2023.
- Web site: Data 10 concede el gobierno de Talavera de la Reina a una coalición entre PP y Vox . es . ABC . 26 April 2023.
- Web site: Una encuesta del PP de Talavera le da el gobierno local en coalición con Vox . es . La Voz Digital . 22 February 2023.
- Web site: El PSOE obtendría la mayoría absoluta con hasta 15 concejales . es . La Tribuna de Toledo . 11 May 2023.
- Web site: El PSOE se refuerza y mantendrá el bastón de mando en Toledo . es . El Mundo . 28 November 2022.
- Web site: TOLEDO. Encuesta SigmaDos 28/11/2022: PODEMOS-IU 4,6% (0/1), PSOE 48,8% (14/15), Cs 1,1%, PP 29,9% (8), VOX 11,2% (3) . es . Electográfica . 28 November 2022.
- Web site: Tolón encara el año preelectoral consolidando su mayoría . es . La Tribuna de Toledo . 20 December 2021.
- Web site: Tolón revalida su mayoría y obtendría 12 concejales . es . La Tribuna de Toledo . 14 June 2021.
