Opinion polling for the 2023 New Zealand general election explained

Several polling firms conducted opinion polls during the term of the 53rd New Zealand Parliament (2020–2023) for the 2023 New Zealand general election. The regular polls are the quarterly polls produced by Television New Zealand (1News) conducted by Verian (formerly known as Colmar Brunton and Kantar Public) and Discovery New Zealand (Newshub) conducted by Reid Research, along with monthly polls by Roy Morgan, and by Curia (Taxpayers' Union). The sample size, margin of error and confidence interval of each poll varies by organisation and date.

The current parliament was elected on 17 October 2020. The general election took place on 14 October 2023.[1]

Party vote

Nationwide polling

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. The 'party lead' column shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. In the instance of a tie, both figures are shaded and displayed in bold. Percentages may not add to 100 percent due to polls not reporting figures for all minor parties and due to rounding. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between survey organisations.

The parties shown in the table are Labour (LAB), National (NAT), Green (GRN), ACT, Māori (TPM), New Zealand First (NZF), Opportunities (TOP), New Conservative (NCP), and New Zealand Loyal (NZL). Other parties may have also registered in some polls, but are not listed in this table.

DatePolling organisationSample sizeLABNATGRNACTTPMNZFTOPNCPdata-sort-type="number" style="width:40px;" Lead
data-sort-value="2020-10-27" 14 Oct 2023data-sort-value="z" 2023 election resultN/A 26.92 38.0811.61 8.64 3.08 6.09 2.22 0.15 11.16
data-sort-value="2023-10-10" 7–10 Oct 20231 News–Verian1,001 28 37 14 9 1.7 6 2.3 – 9
data-sort-value="2023-10-10" 5–10 Oct 2023Newshub–Reid Research27.5 34.5 14.9 8.8 2.7 6.8 2.2 – 7
9 Oct 2023The Port Waikato electorate vote is cancelled after ACT candidate Neil Christensen dies; a replacement by-election will be held on 25 November 2023.[2]
data-sort-value="2023-10-02" 4 Sep – 8 Oct 2023Roy Morgan1,250 26 30.5 15 11.5 3 7.5 3.5 - 4.5
data-sort-value="2023-10-08" 4–8 Oct 2023Guardian Essential1,20030.3 34 10.6 7.9 1.9 8.2 – – 3.7
data-sort-value="2023-10-04" 1–4 Oct 2023Taxpayers' Union-Curia 1,000 27.9 35.9 10.6 9.1 3.7 6.9 2.9 0.7 8
data-sort-value="2023-10-03" 30 Sep – 3 Oct 20231 News–Verian1,000 26 36 13 10 2.2 6 1.5 – 10
2 Oct 2023Advance voting for the 2023 general election begins.
data-sort-value="2023-09-28" 22–28 Sep 2023Talbot Mills1,027 27 38 13 9 3.1 6.4 2.3 – 11
data-sort-value="2023-09-26" 23–26 Sep 20231 News–Verian1,002 26 36 13 12 1.9 6 1.3 0.6 10
data-sort-value="2023-09-23" 17–23 Sep 2023Newshub–Reid Research26.5 39.1 14.2 8.8 2.2 5.2 1.9 1.1 12.6
data-sort-value="2023-09-20" 16–19 Sep 20231 News–Verian1,001 27 37 12 12 2.9 5 1.4 0.1 10
data-sort-value="2023-09-13" 9–12 Sep 20231 News–Verian1,002 28 39 10 10 2.6 5 1.4 0.8 11
data-sort-value="2023-09-12" 6–10 Sep 2023Guardian Essential1,154 26.9 34.5 11 10.3 2.5 6 – – 7.6
data-sort-value="2023-09-09" 3–9 Sep 2023Newshub–Reid Research26.8 40.9 12.3 10.1 3.1 4.6 0.7 0.8 14.1
data-sort-value="2023-09-06" 31 Aug – 6 Sep 2023Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,000 26.5 35 12.7 14.3 2.9 3.9 2.7 0.8 8.5
data-sort-value="2023-08-30" 28–30 Aug 2023The Post–Freshwater Strategy1,51126 36 12 11 3 6 – – 10
data-sort-value="2023-08-30" 24–30 Aug 2023Talbot Mills30 36 12 10 2.4 5.4 1.5 – 6
data-sort-value="2023-08-27" 31 Jul – 27 Aug 2023Roy Morgan1,04624 31 12.5 18 4 5.5 2 – 7
data-sort-value="2023-08-25" 25 Aug 2023Talbot Mills32 34 11 10 4 6 – – 2
data-sort-value="2023-08-21" 12–16 Aug 20231 News–Verian1,00229 37 12 13 2.6 3.7 0.6 0.3 8
data-sort-value="2023-08-08" 3–8 Aug 2023Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,00027.1 34.9 12 13 2.5 5.8 1 0.6 7.8
data-sort-value="2023-08-07" 31 Jul – 7 Aug 2023Talbot Mills1,01232 35 10 11 3.1 4.4 1.8 – 3
data-sort-value="2023-08-06" 2–6 Aug 2023Guardian Essential1,16329 34.5 8.5 11.6 2.5 5.3 – – 5.5
data-sort-value="2023-07-31" 26–31 Jul 2023Newshub–Reid Research32.3 36.6 9.6 12.1 2.7 4.1 1.5 0.7 4.3
24 Jul 2023Kiri Allan of the Labour Party resigns as a minister.
data-sort-value="2023-07-23" 26 Jun – 23 Jul 2023Roy Morgan93726 33.5 9 14 6 5 4 – 7.5
data-sort-value="2023-07-12" 8–12 Jul 20231 News–Verian1,00033 35 10 12 2.8 3.1 1.7 0.4 2
data-sort-value="2023-07-10" 2–10 Jul 2023Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,00031.1 33.3 8.9 13.2 5 3.3 0.3 0.4 2.2
data-sort-value="2023-07-02" 28 Jun – 2 Jul 2023Talbot Mills1,036 31 36 8 12 4.2 4 2.9 – 5
data-sort-value="2023-06-25" 29 May – 25 Jun 2023Roy Morgan955 30.5 30 9.5 15 7 3 3 – 0.5
21 Jun 2023Michael Wood of the Labour Party resigns as a minister.
data-sort-value="2023-06-06" 30 May – 6 Jun 2023Talbot Mills1,00136 35 7 11 3.65 2.9 – – 1
data-sort-value="2023-06-06" 31 May – 6 Jun 2023Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,000 32.9 35.7 9.7 12.7 3.5 1.6 0.8 1.3 2.8
data-sort-value="2023-05-24" 20–24 May 20231 News–Kantar Public1,00235 37 7 11 2.4 3 1.4 0.6 2
data-sort-value="2023-05-21" 24 Apr – 21 May 2023Roy Morgan952 31 31.5 12 13.5 4.5 3.5 2 0.5 0.5
18 May 2023The 2023 Budget is delivered.
data-sort-value="2023-05-17" 12–17 May 2023Horizon Research1,563 34.4 26.5 9.5 12.3 4.3 5.3 2.8 1.4 7.9
data-sort-value="2023-05-11" 5–11 May 2023Newshub–Reid Research35.9 35.3 8.1 10.8 3.5 3 2 – 0.6
data-sort-value="2023-05-07" 2–7 May 2023Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,000 33.8 35.6 7 12.7 3.7 2.6 1.7 1.6 1.8
3 May 2023Meka Whaitiri resigns from the Labour Party and joins Te Pāti Māori.
data-sort-value="2023-05-03" 27 Apr – 3 May 2023Talbot Mills1,04633 36 9 10 4.1 3.4 1.8 – 3
data-sort-value="2023-04-23" 27 Mar – 23 Apr 2023Roy Morgan929 30 32 12 12.5 4.5 4.5 2 0.5 2
data-sort-value="2023-04-05" 2–5 Apr 2023Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,00036.9 36.5 6.7 9.5 2.9 2.6 0.8 1.7 0.4
data-sort-value="2023-04-05" 30 Mar – 5 Apr 2023Talbot Mills36 36 9 10 1.9 3.9 0.8 – Tie
28 Mar 2023Stuart Nash of the Labour Party is stripped of all his ministerial portfolios.
data-sort-value="2023-03-26" 27 Feb – 26 Mar 2023Roy Morgan943 33 32 10.5 13 2 3 3.5 1 1
data-sort-value="2023-03-09" 1–9 Mar 2023Talbot Mills1,02137 34 8 12 3.2 2.9 1.5 – 3
data-sort-value="2023-03-08" 4–8 Mar 20231 News–Kantar Public1,00236 34 11 11 2.6 3.1 1 0.5 2
data-sort-value="2023-03-07" 2–7 Mar 2023Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,00035.5 34.8 5.7 9.3 1.4 4.2 1.7 2.5 0.7
data-sort-value="2023-02-26" 30 Jan – 26 Feb 2023Roy Morgan943 33 32 12.5 13.5 3.5 2 2.5 0.5 1
12 Feb 2023Cyclone Gabrielle begins impacting the North Island
data-sort-value="2023-02-09" 2–9 Feb 2023Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,00034.4 34.4 7.8 11.7 2.1 2.9 2 0.8 Tie
data-sort-value="2023-01-31" 26–31 Jan 2023Talbot Mills33 36 11 10 3 3.4 2.3 – 3
data-sort-value="2023-01-29" 9–29 Jan 2023Roy Morgan948 30 32 12 13.5 4.5 5 1.5 0.5 2
data-sort-value="2023-01-29" 25–29 Jan 20231 News–Kantar Public1,00838 37 7 10 1.4 2.2 1.1 0.6 1
data-sort-value="2023-01-28" 23–28 Jan 2023Horizon Research1,147 35.5 27.7 9 13 4.64.5 1.6 1.1 7.8
27 Jan 20232023 Auckland Anniversary Weekend floods begin
data-sort-value="2023-01-27" 22–27 Jan 2023Newshub–Reid Research38 36.6 8.1 10.7 1.8 2.2 1.5 – 1.4
25 Jan 2023Chris Hipkins is sworn in as the 41st Prime Minister of New Zealand.
22 Jan 2023Chris Hipkins is unanimously elected Leader of the Labour Party.
19 Jan 2023Jacinda Ardern announces her resignation as Prime Minister of New Zealand, taking effect 25 January 2023.
data-sort-value="2023-01-16" 10–16 Jan 2023Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,00031.7 37.2 10.6 10.8 1.6 2.8 – – 5.5
data-sort-value="2022-12-31" Dec 2022Roy Morgan947 27.5 35 11 14.5 4 4 2.5 1 7.5
10 Dec 2022Tama Potaka of the National Party wins the Hamilton West by-election.
data-sort-value="2022-12-06" 1–6 Dec 2022Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,00033.1 39.4 8.1 10.4 3.5 2.9 – – 6.3
data-sort-value="2022-12-31" Dec 2022Talbot Mills32 35 9 11 3.5 4.3 2.4 – 3
data-sort-value="2022-11-30" 26–30 Nov 20221 News–Kantar Public1,01133 38 9 11 2 3.6 1.7 0.6 5
data-sort-value="2022-11-27" 31 Oct – 27 Nov 2022Roy Morgan926 25.5 39 12 11 4 3.5 2.5 0.5 13.5
data-sort-value="2022-11-08" 3–8 Nov 2022Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,00035.3 37.6 7.8 9.9 1.6 3.8 2.1 0.9 2.3
data-sort-value="2022-11-07" 31 Oct – 7 Nov 2022Talbot Mills34 35 9 10 3.2 4.4 2 – 1
data-sort-value="2022-11-03" 25 Oct – 3 Nov 2022Newshub–Reid Research32.3 40.7 9.5 10 1.9 3.3 1.2 – 8.4
data-sort-value="2022-10-25" 20–25 Oct 2022Horizon Research1,154 29.7 26.6 13 13.5 2.2 7.2 2 1.8 3.1
data-sort-value="2022-10-23" 26 Sep – 23 Oct 2022Roy Morgan951 29 32 15.5 12.5 3 3.5 3 0.5 3
data-sort-value="2022-10-11" 2–11 Oct 2022Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,00034.4 39.2 7.2 9.4 2.1 2.1 3.4 1 4.8
data-sort-value="2022-10-31" Oct 2022Talbot Mills35 35 9 11 2.2 4 –– Tie
data-sort-value="2022-09-25" 29 Aug – 25 Sep 2022Roy Morgan942 29.5 36 12.5 12.5 3.5 1 2.5 0.5 6.5
data-sort-value="2022-09-21" 17–21 Sep 20221 News–Kantar Public1,001 34 37 9 9 1.6 3 1.3 1 3
12 Sep 2022The COVID-19 Protection Framework officially ends.
data-sort-value="2022-09-09" 1–9 Sep 2022Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,00033.4 37 9.9 12.4 1.5 1.6 0.7 1.5 3.6
data-sort-value="2022-09-07" 31 Aug – 7 Sep 2022Talbot Mills35 38 8 9 3 – – – 3
data-sort-value="2022-08-21" 25 Jul – 21 Aug 2022Roy Morgan947 35 35.5 9 10.5 5 1.5 1 0.5 0.5
data-sort-value="2022-08-11" 3–11 Aug 2022Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,20035.2 34 9.5 11 3.5 2.6 – – 1.2
data-sort-value="2022-08-08" 28 Jul – 8 Aug 2022Talbot Mills36 37 9 10 – – – – 1
data-sort-value="2022-08-03" 30 Jul – 3 Aug 20221 News–Kantar Public1,023 33 37 9 11 2.3 2.6 1.9 0.7 4
data-sort-value="2022-08-03" 29 Jul – 3 Aug 2022Horizon Research1,044 34.1 31.4 10.2 10.7 2.2 3.5 1.7 2.7 2.7
data-sort-value="2022-07-31" Jul 2022Roy Morgan937 34 35 10.5 11 4 1.5 2.5 1 1
data-sort-value="2022-07-10" 3–10 Jul 2022Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,20034.7 37 8.5 10 3.7 2.8 – – 2.3
data-sort-value="2022-06-30" 30 May – 26 Jun 2022Roy Morgan947 33.5 39 10 9.5 1.5 1.5 2 0.5 5.5
18 Jun 2022Sam Uffindell of the National Party wins the Tauranga by-election.
data-sort-value="2022-06-12" 1–12 Jun 2022Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,20034.2 37.4 8.3 9.4 1.8 2.3 3 1.4 3.2
data-sort-value="2022-06-10" 2–10 Jun 2022Talbot Mills1,20036 35 10 8 3.1 3.3 – – 1
data-sort-value="2022-05-29" 26 Apr – 22 May 2022Roy Morgan934 31.5 40 11.5 10 1 3 1 0.5 8.5
data-sort-value="2022-05-25" 21–25 May 20221 News–Kantar Public1,002 35 39 10 7 1.9 1.3 1.7 1.2 4
data-sort-value="2022-05-19" style="background:#E8E8E8 19 May 2022The 2022 Budget is delivered.
data-sort-value="2022-05-11" 4–11 May 2022Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,00034.2 36.8 9.7 10.9 2.4 1.8 1.4 1.3 2.6
data-sort-value="2022-05-31" 29 Apr – 10 May 2022Talbot Mills37 36 8 7 3 4 – – 1
data-sort-value="2022-04-27" 18–27 Apr 2022Newshub–Reid Research1,000 38.2 40.5 8.4 6.4 2.5 1.7 0.9 0.7 2.3
data-sort-value="2022-04-24" 28 Mar – 24 Apr 2022Roy Morgan918 33.5 37.5 10.5 10 1.5 2.5 2 0.5 4
data-sort-value="2022-04-13" style="background:#E8E8E8 13 Apr 2022New Zealand shifts from the Red Light setting to the Orange Light setting of the COVID-19 Protection Framework.
data-sort-value="2022-04-13" 7–13 Apr 2022Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,00036.8 37.8 9.4 8.4 3.6 1.7 – – 1
data-sort-value="2022-03-27" 28 Feb – 27 Mar 2022Roy Morgan944 32 38 10.5 9 2 4 1.5 0.5 6
data-sort-value="2022-03-15" 2–7, 14–15 Mar 2022Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,00036.2 35.3 12.4 11.2 0.2 1.8 0.1 0.6 0.9
data-sort-value="2022-03-08" 5–8 Mar 20221 News–Kantar Public1,000 37 39 9 8 2.3 2.2 1.3 0.9 2
data-sort-value="2022-02-27" 31 Jan – 27 Feb 2022Roy Morgan963 32 38 11 11.5 2 2 1 1 6
data-sort-value="2022-02-10" 1–10 Feb 2022Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,00042.3 38.4 6.3 6.6 1 1.5 2 – 3.9
data-sort-value="2022-02-04" 22 Jan – 4 Feb 2022Newshub–Reid Research1,000 44.3 31.3 9.6 8 2 1.8 1.5 1.1 13
data-sort-value="2022-01-30" 4–30 Jan 2022Roy Morgan951 33 35 10.5 13.5 2.5 2.5 1.5 1 2
data-sort-value="2022-01-26" 22–26 Jan 20221 News–Kantar Public1,000 40 32 9 11 1.6 1.8 1.6 1 8
data-sort-value="2022-01-23" style="background:#E8E8E8 23 Jan 2022Nationwide Red Light restrictions are implemented due to the COVID−19 Omicron variant being detected in the community.
data-sort-value="2022-01-17" 10–17 Jan 2022Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,00041.2 33 10.7 11.5 0.5 0.9 1.1 – 8.2
data-sort-value="2021-12-19" 22 Nov – 19 Dec 2021Roy Morgan967 35.5 31.5 8.5 18.5 1 2 1 0.5 4
data-sort-value="2021-12-08" 1–8 Dec 2021Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,00039.532.6 10.9 10.6 3 2.3 – – 6.9
data-sort-value="2020-12-02" style="background:#E8E8E8 2 Dec 2021New Zealand shifts from the COVID-19 alert level system to the new COVID-19 Protection Framework system.
data-sort-value="2020-11-30" style="background:#E8E8E8 " 30 Nov 2021Christopher Luxon is elected Leader of the National Party with Nicola Willis as his deputy.
data-sort-value="2020-11-25" style="background:#E8E8E8 25 Nov 2021Judith Collins loses the National Party leadership.
data-sort-value="2021-11-22" 25 Oct – 21 Nov 2021Roy Morgan951 36 26.5 10.5 17.5 3 2.5 1.5 1 9.5
data-sort-value="2021-11-17" 10–17 Nov 2021Newshub–Reid Research1,000 42.7 26.9 7.2 16 2.1 2.5 1.2 0.9 15.8
data-sort-value="2021-11-10" 6–10 Nov 20211 News–Kantar Public1,001 41 28 9 14 0.9 3.3 1.2 1 13
data-sort-value="2021-11-08" 1–8 Nov 2021Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,00039.3 26.2 8.6 15.9 2.3 1.7 – – 13.1
data-sort-value="2021-11-03" 29 Oct – 3 Nov 2021Labour–Talbot Mills1,023 41 24 9 17 2.4 4.2 – – 17
data-sort-value="2021-11-01" 27 Sep – 24 Oct 2021Roy Morgan929 39.5 26 10.5 16 2 2.5 1 1.5 13.5
data-sort-value="2021-10-11" 3–11 Oct 2021Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,00044.8 22.5 6.4 16.6 1.5 3.6 – – 22.3
data-sort-value="2021-10-05" 28 Sep – 5 Oct 2021Labour–Talbot Mills1,200+ 46 22 7 16 1.9 3.8 – – 24
data-sort-value="2021-09-30" 30 Aug – 26 Sep 2021Roy Morgan940 45.5 23 9.5 16 2 1.5 1.5 – 22.5
data-sort-value="2021-09-26" 22–26 Sep 20211 News–Kantar Public1,001 43 26 8 14 2.1 2.5 1.2 1.3 17
data-sort-value="2021-09-09" 5–9 Sep 2021Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,000 45.8 21.3 9.6 14.9 1.2 2.7 – – 24.5
data-sort-value="2021-09-06" 31 Aug – 6 Sep 2021Labour–Talbot Mills1,050 45 26 6 13 2 4.1 – – 19
data-sort-value="2021-08-27" 26 Jul – 22 Aug 2021Roy Morgan940 39.5 25 12 13 2.5 2.5 2 – 14.5
data-sort-value="2020-08-17" style="background:#E8E8E8 17 Aug 2021Nationwide Level 4 restrictions are implemented due to the COVID−19 Delta variant being detected in the community.
data-sort-value="2021-08-01" 21 Jul – 1 Aug 2021Labour–Talbot Mills1,216 43 28 7 13 1.7 4.4 – – 15
data-sort-value="2021-07-29" 22–29 Jul 2021Newshub–Reid Research1,000 43 28.7 8.5 11.1 1.9 3.4 0.8 1.6 14.3
data-sort-value="2021-07-30" 28 Jun – 25 Jul 2021Roy Morgan945 39.5 29 10 13 2.5 2 3 – 10.5
data-sort-value="2021-07-01" 24 Jun – 1 Jul 2021Labour–Talbot Mills1,199 48 24 8 11 1.5 5 – – 24
data-sort-value="2021-06-27" 31 May – 27 Jun 2021Roy Morgan927 38.5 29.5 12.5 11.5 2.5 1.5 2 – 9
data-sort-value="2021-05-26" 22–26 May 20211 News–Kantar Public1,002 46 29 8 9 1.8 1.2 1.8 1.5 17
data-sort-value="2021-05-28" 26 Apr – 23 May 2021Roy Morgan932 45 28.5 11 9 1.5 2 1.5 – 16.5
data-sort-value="2021-05-20" style="background:#E8E8E8 20 May 2021The 2021 Budget is delivered.
data-sort-value="2021-05-13" 7–13 May 2021Newshub–Reid Research1,000 52.7 27 7.1 6.9 1.2 1.9 1.3 1.2 25.7
data-sort-value="2021-05-03" 29 Mar – 25 Apr 2021Roy Morgan933 41.5 29.5 13.5 9 2.5 1 0.5 – 12
data-sort-value="2021-03-28" 21–28 Mar 2021Roy Morgan924 45.5 23 12 11 1 2.5 2 – 22.5
data-sort-value="2021-03-13" 9–13 Mar 20211 News–Kantar Public1,006 49 27 9 8 1.5 1.8 1.2 1.4 22
data-sort-value="2021-02-21" 25 Jan – 21 Feb 2021Roy Morgan924 45 29 13.5 7.5 1 1.5 1 – 16
data-sort-value="2021-01-24" 4–24 Jan 2021Roy Morgan937 47 25 11.5 9 2 2 1.5 – 22
data-sort-value="2020-12-13" 23 Nov – 13 Dec 2020Roy Morgan923 44 28 10.5 10 2 2 2 – 16
data-sort-value="2020-12-02" 28 Nov – 2 Dec 20201 News–Kantar Public1,004 53 25 8 8 1.5 1.6 0.5 1.1 28
data-sort-value="2020-11-22" 26 Oct – 22 Nov 2020Roy Morgan939 44 25.5 12.5 10.5 1.5 1 2 – 18.5
data-sort-value="2020-10-27" 17 Oct 2020data-sort-value="z" 2020 election result50 25.6 7.9 7.6 1.2 2.6 1.5 1.5 24.4
DatePolling organisationSample sizeLABNATGRNACTTPMNZFTOPNCPLead

General electorates

Auckland Central

Electorate vote! Date! Polling organisation! Sample size! colspan=1 style="background-color:#90EE90"
GRNLABNATACTNZFLead
24 Sep 2023Taxpayers' Union–Curia[3] 5003817 36242
17 Oct 20202020 election resultN/A35.10 32.13 27.161.63 0.762.97
Party vote!Date!Polling organisation!Sample size! style="background-color:#FFB6B6;width:40px"
LABNATACTGRNLead
24 Sep 2023Taxpayers' Union–Curia[4] [5] 500263792311
17 Oct 20202020 election resultN/A46.0221.107.4819.06 24.92

Ilam

Electorate vote! Date! Polling organisation! Sample size! style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
LABNATTOPGRNLead
23 Aug 2023Taxpayers' Union–Curia[6] 4001533 14518
17 Oct 20202020 election resultN/A45.6737.69N/A 7.51 7.98

Napier

Electorate vote! Date! Polling organisation! Sample size! style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
LABNATACTNZFLead
20 Aug 2023Taxpayers' Union–Curia[7] 4003748 1 511
9 Nov 2022Curia[8] 400374512 18
17 Oct 20202020 election resultN/A51.0637.04N/A N/A 18.77
Party vote!Date!Polling organisation!Sample size! style="background-color:#FFB6B6;width:40px"
LABNATACTLead
20 Aug 2023Taxpayers' Union–Curia4002735178
9 Nov 2022Curia40025432018
17 Oct 20202020 election resultN/A50.5927.908.1212.76

Northland

Electorate vote

NAT! style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
LABNZFGRNDNZACTLead
10 Sep 2023Taxpayers' Union-Curia[9] 40049201555329
17 Oct 20202020 election resultN/A37.7438.1111.433.91N/A2.860.37

Tāmaki

Electorate vote! Date! Polling organisation! Sample size! style="background-color:#B0CEFF"
NATLABGRNACTLead
18–28 Sep 2023Taxpayers' Union–Curia[10] 4004014 –38 2
20 Jul 2023Sentio Group[11] 700368 634 2
17 Oct 20202020 election resultN/A51.7332.29 7.855.18 19.44
Party vote!Date!Polling organisation!Sample size! style="background-color:#FFB6B6;width:40px"
LABNATACTGRNLead
18–28 Sep 2023Taxpayers' Union–Curia400204914829
20 Jul 2023Sentio Group700134918–36
17 Oct 20202020 election resultN/A38.4236.8711.687.651.55

Tauranga

An opinion poll was held in the electorate prior to the June 2022 Tauranga by-election. The by-election was won by National's Sam Uffindell.[12]

Party vote!Date!Polling organisation!Sample size! style="background-color:#FFB6B6;width:40px"
LABNATACTGRNNZFTPMLead
18 Jun 2022data-sort-value="z" 2022 by-election resultN/A25.3055.8710.26N/AN/AN/A30.57
19–29 May 2022Newshub–Reid Research[13] ?27.951.57.12.82.94.723.6
17 Oct 20202020 election resultN/A42.032.58.95.53.60.359.5

Wellington Central

Electorate vote! Date! Polling organisation! Sample size! style="background-color:#B0CEFF"
NATLABGRNLead
3–14 Sep 2023Newshub–Reid Research50028.0 30.626.6 2.6
17 Oct 20202020 election resultN/A17.76 57.26 17.54 39.50
Party vote!Date!Polling organisation!Sample size! style="background-color:#FFB6B6;width:40px"
LABNATGRNACTTOPTPMNZFLead
3–14 Sep 2023Newshub–Reid Research[14] 50027.82826.55.74.932.80.2
17 Oct 20202020 election resultN/A43.014.4330.334.863.720.531.1112.67

Māori electorates

Hauraki-Waikato

Electorate vote! Date! Polling organisation! Sample size! style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
LABTPMLead
27 September 2023Whakaata Māori–Curia[15] 50036 324
17 Oct 20202020 election resultN/A65.2625.5739.69
Party vote!Date!Polling organisation!Sample size! style="background-color:#FFB6B6;width:40px"
LABTPMNATGRNNZFACTLead
27 September 2023Whakaata Māori–Curia50026 26 14 8 6 5 0
17 Oct 20202020 election resultN/A63.3812.003.656.213.581.2851.38

Ikaroa-Rāwhiti

Electorate vote

DatePolling organisationSample sizeLABTPMLead
21 September 2023Whakaata Māori–Curia[16] 50033258
17 Oct 20202020 election resultN/A55.5730.9424.63

Party vote

DatePolling organisationSample sizeLABTPMNATGRNNZFACTLead
21 September 2023Whakaata Māori–Curia50035 24 11 7 6 4 11
17 Oct 20202020 election resultN/A67.3312.162.336.483.760.8855.17

Tāmaki Makaurau

Electorate vote

DatePolling organisationSample sizeLABTPMNATGRNLead
10 October 2023Whakaata Māori–Curia[17] 5003727 9610
17 Oct 20202020 election resultN/A39.5635.98 N/A19.313.58

Party vote

DatePolling organisationSample sizeLABTPMNATGRNNZFACTLead
10 October 2023Whakaata Māori–Curia50035 22 10 9 8 2 13
17 Oct 20202020 election resultN/A59.9812.73.2110.464.341.0650.01

Te Tai Hauāuru

DatePolling organisationSample sizeLABTPMNATLead
19 September 2023Whakaata Māori–Curia[18] 5003429 125
17 Oct 20202020 election resultN/A47.4043.29 N/A4.11

Party vote

DatePolling organisationSample sizeLABTPMNATGRNNZFACTLead
19 September 2023Whakaata Māori–Curia50034 22 13 6 7 2 12
17 Oct 20202020 election resultN/A61.0315.452.996.713.511.2045.58

Te Tai Tokerau

DatePolling organisationSample sizeLABTPMGRNALCLead
5 October 2023Whakaata Māori–Curia[19] 50032 26 766
17 Oct 20202020 election resultN/A55.0724.96 N/A7.8630.11

Party vote

DatePolling organisationSample sizeLABTPMNATGRNACTLead
5 October 2023Whakaata Māori–Curia50035 22 8 9 4 13
17 Oct 20202020 election resultN/A60.0610.183.617.351.3149.88

Te Tai Tonga

Electorate vote

DatePolling organisationSample sizeLABTPMLead
26 September 2023Whakaata Māori–Curia50036 25 9
17 Oct 20202020 election resultN/A48.8825.41 23.47

Party vote

DatePolling organisationSample sizeLABTPMNATGRNNZFACTLead
26 September 2023Whakaata Māori–Curia[20] 50031 18 9 14 3 6 13
17 Oct 20202020 election resultN/A58.708.695.6411.543.452.7550.01

Waiariki

Electorate vote

DatePolling organisationSample sizeTPMLABLead
9 October 2023Whakaata Māori–Curia[21] 50050 22 28
17 Oct 20202020 election resultN/A46.7843.623.16

Party vote

DatePolling organisationSample sizeLABTPMNATGRNNZFACTLead
9 October 2023Whakaata Māori–Curia50037 29 6 7 4 3 8
17 Oct 20202020 election resultN/A60.6717.752.395.953.670.9442.92

Preferred prime minister

Some opinion pollsters ask voters who they would prefer as prime minister. The phrasing of questions and the treatment of refusals, as well as "don't know" answers, differ from poll to poll. To qualify for this table and graph, this person must reach at least 3 percent in three separate polls.

DatePolling organisationSample sizeHipkinsLuxonSeymourPeters<--! style="background-color:#90EE90;width:40px" Swarbrick-->ArdernCollinsLead
data-sort-value="2023-10-10" 7–10 Oct 20231 News–Verian1,001 25 25 4 5 2-->0.5 0.2 Tie
data-sort-value="2023-10-10" 5–10 Oct 2023Newshub–Reid Research22.2 23.6 4.2 5 3.7-->3.4 – 1.4
data-sort-value="2023-10-03" 1–4 Oct 2023Taxpayers’ Union–Curia1,000 27 29 4 4.3 6.1-->4.5 – 2
data-sort-value="2023-10-03" 30 Sep – 3 Oct 20231 News–Verian1,000 25 26 3 4 2-->0.4 – 1
data-sort-value="2023-09-26" 23–26 Sep 20231 News–Verian1,002 23 23 5 4 1-->1 – Tie
data-sort-value="2023-09-23"17–23 Sep 2023Newshub–Reid Research19.1 24 6.1 6 4.4-->4.1 – 4.9
data-sort-value="2023-09-20" 16–19 Sep 20231 News–Verian1,001 23 23 5 4 2-->1 0.2 Tie
data-sort-value="2023-09-12" 9–12 Sep 20231 News–Verian1,002 23 23 5 4 1-->1 0.1 Tie
data-sort-value="2023-09-09"3–9 Sep 2023Newshub–Reid Research22.5 22.5 7 4.6 3.2-->– – Tie
data-sort-value="2023-08-30" 28–30 Aug 2023The Post–Freshwater Strategy1,511 45 43 – – -->– – 2
data-sort-value="2023-08-30"24–30 Aug 2023Talbot Mills28 26 11 - --> - - 2
data-sort-value="2023-08-21" 12–16 Aug 20231 News–Verian1,000 21 20 6 3 2-->2 0.2 1
data-sort-value="2023-08-08" 3–8 Aug 2023Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,000 25 25 7 7 --> – – Tie
data-sort-value="2023-08-07"31 Jul – 7 Aug 2023Talbot Mills1,012 34 24 - - --> - - 10
data-sort-value="2023-07-31"26–31 Jul 2023Newshub–Reid Research24 15.9 10.9 4.3 -->– – 8.1
data-sort-value="2023-07-12"8–12 Jul 20231 News–Verian1,000 24 20 7 2 2--> 1 – 4
data-sort-value="2023-07-10" 2–10 Jul 2023Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,000 23 20 6 3.6 2.3--> 8 - 3
data-sort-value="2023-07-02"28 Jun – 2 Jul 2023Talbot Mills1,036 32 21 - - 2--> - - 11
data-sort-value="2023-06-10"31 May – 6 Jun 2023Taxpayers' Union Curia1,000 29 23 7 2.8 2--> 9 - 6
data-sort-value="2023-05-24"20–24 May 20231 News–Kantar Public1,002 25 18 7 2 2--> 1 0.1 7
data-sort-value="2023-05-11"5–11 May 2023Newshub–Reid Research23.4 16.4 7.5 3.6 2.3-->8.5 – 7
data-sort-value="2023-05-03"27 Apr – 3 May 2023Talbot Mills1,046 32 25 – – – – 7
data-sort-value="2023-04-05"30 Mar – 5 Apr 2023Talbot Mills36 24 11 – – – 12
data-sort-value="2023-03-09"1–9 Mar 2023Talbot Mills1,021 39 23 – – – – 16
data-sort-value="2023-03-08"4–8 Mar 20231 News–Kantar Public1,002 27 17 6 3 0.9--> 2 0.2 10
data-sort-value="2023-03-07"2–7 Mar 2023Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,000 30 21 8 – 7 – 9
data-sort-value="2023-02-09"1–9 Feb 2023Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,000 30 26 8 3.5 9 – 4
data-sort-value="2023-01-31"26–31 Jan 2023Talbot Mills35 27 9 – – – 8
data-sort-value="2023-01-29"25–29 Jan 20231 News–Kantar Public1,008 23 22 6 2 2--> 5 0.3 1
data-sort-value="2023-01-27"22–27 Jan 2023Newshub–Reid Research19.6 18.8 8 2.9 -->12.4 – 0.8
25 Jan 2023Chris Hipkins is sworn in as the 41st Prime Minister of New Zealand.
22 Jan 2023Chris Hipkins is unanimously elected Leader of the Labour Party.
19 Jan 2023Jacinda Ardern announces her resignation as Prime Minister of New Zealand, taking effect 25 January 2023.
data-sort-value="2022-12-06"1–6 Dec 2022Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,000 26.3 7.1 3.4 3.1 -->35.3 — 9
data-sort-value="2022-11-30"26–30 Nov 20221 News–Kantar Public1,011 0.2 23 6 2 2--> 29 0.1 6
data-sort-value="2022-11-08"3–8 Nov 2022Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,000 21.1 6.1 2.5 5.8 -->35 — 13.9
data-sort-value="2022-11-07"31 Oct – 7 Nov 2022Talbot Mills24 — – 40 – 16
data-sort-value="2022-11-03"25 Oct – 3 Nov 2022Newshub–Reid Research21.5 7.3 4.2 2.4 -->29.9 – 8.4
data-sort-value="2022-10-11"2–11 Oct 2022Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,000 22.5 7.3 3.6 4.8 -->32.9 — 10.4
data-sort-value="2022-08-03"17–21 Sep 20221 News–Kantar Public1,001 0.2 21 4 2 1--> 30 0.1 9
data-sort-value="2022-09-09"1–9 Sep 2022Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,000 25.9 6.6 2.6 3.2 -->36.5 — 10.6
data-sort-value="2022-09-07"31 Aug – 7 Sep 2022Talbot Mills26 — – 38 – 12
data-sort-value="2022-08-11"3–11 Aug 2022Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,200 19.5 7.7 4.2 — -->39.5 — 20
data-sort-value="2022-08-08"28 Jul – 8 Aug 2022Talbot Mills26 9 – 39 – 13
data-sort-value="2022-08-03"30 Jul – 3 Aug 20221 News–Kantar Public1,023 0.2 22 5 2 1--> 30 0.2 8
data-sort-value="2022-07-10"3–10 Jul 2022Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,200 22.4 6.1 2.3 — -->41.2 — 18.8
data-sort-value="2022-06-12"1–12 Jun 2022Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,200 28 5.6 3.8 — -->39.7 — 11.7
data-sort-value="2022-06-10"2–10 Jun 2022Talbot Mills1,200 29 8 42 13
data-sort-value="2022-05-25"21–25 May 20221 News–Kantar Public1,002 – 25 3 1 2--> 33 0.1 8
data-sort-value="2022-05-11"4–11 May 2022Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,000 27.9 – – — -->35.1 — 7.2
data-sort-value="2022-04-27"18–27 Apr 2022Newshub–Reid Research23.9 5.1 — — -->36.3 – 12.4
data-sort-value="2022-04-13"7–13 Apr 2022Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,000 28.6 4.8 2.6 — -->36.3 — 7.7
data-sort-value="2022-03-15"2–7, 14–15 Mar 2022Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,000 26.6 4.4 5.5 — -->38.7 — 12.1
data-sort-value="2022-03-08"5–8 Mar 20221 News–Kantar Public1,000 0.3 25 5 2 0.8--> 34 0.3 9
data-sort-value="2022-02-10"1–10 Feb 2022Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,000 28.5 2.4 1.8 — -->38.9 1.5 10.4
data-sort-value="2022-02-04"22 Jan – 4 Feb 2022Newshub–Reid Research17.8 7.9 — — -->43.3 – 25.5
data-sort-value="2022-01-26"22–26 Jan 20221 News–Kantar Public1,000 0.1 17 6 1.0 1 -->35 0.2 18
data-sort-value="2022-01-17"10–17 Jan 2022Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,000 18.4 8.4 0.9 — -->37.5 3.8 19.1
data-sort-value="2021-12-08"1–8 Dec 2021Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,000 20.4 5.6 2.4 — -->39.1 0.8 18.7
data-sort-value="2020-11-30" style="background:#E8E8E8 30 Nov 2021data-sort-value="Z" colspan="11" style="text-align:center;" style="background:#E8E8E8 Christopher Luxon is elected Leader of the National Party.
data-sort-value="2020-11-25" style="background:#E8E8E8 25 Nov 2021data-sort-value="Z" colspan="11" style="text-align:center;" style="background:#E8E8E8 Judith Collins is removed as National Party leader in a vote of no confidence.
data-sort-value="2021-11-17"10–17 Nov 2021Newshub–Reid Research1,000 2.5 11.9 — — -->41.7 6.1 29.8
data-sort-value="2021-11-10"6–10 Nov 20211 News–Kantar Public1,001 – 4 11 1 2 -->39 5 28
data-sort-value="2021-11-08" 1–8 Nov 2021Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,000 4.1 10.5 1.5 – -->34 6.3 23.5
data-sort-value="2021-11-03" 29 Oct – 3 Nov 2021Talbot Mills1,023 2 15 — — -->47 10 32
data-sort-value="2021-10-11" 3–11 Oct 2021Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,000 2.3 12.3 1.3 – -->47.2 5.2 34.9
data-sort-value="2021-10-05"28 Sep – 5 Oct 2021Talbot Mills1,200+ – 16 — — -->51 9 35
data-sort-value="2021-09-26"22–26 Sep 20211 News–Kantar Public1,001 0.1 3 11 0.7 0.8 -->44 5 33
data-sort-value="2021-09-09" 5–9 Sep 2021Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,000 3.3 9.3 1.5 – -->50.8 4.4 41.5
data-sort-value="2021-09-06"31 Aug – 6 Sep 2021Talbot Mills1,050 1.3 14 — — -->55 13 41
data-sort-value="2021-08-01"21 Jul – 1 Aug 2021Talbot Mills1,216 2.1 14 — — -->50 11 36
data-sort-value="2021-07-29"22–29 Jul 2021Newshub–Reid Research1,000 – 8.6 — — -->45.5 8.2 36.9
data-sort-value="2021-07-01"24 Jun – 1 Jul 2021Talbot Mills1,199 – 12 — — -->55 10 43
data-sort-value="2021-05-26"22–26 May 20211 News–Kantar Public1,002 – 3 6 1 2 -->48 9 39
data-sort-value="2021-05-13"7–13 May 2021Newshub–Reid Research1,000 2.4 — — — -->48.1 5.6 42.5
data-sort-value="2021-03-13"9–13 Mar 20211 News–Kantar Public1,006 – 2 4 0.7 0.8 -->43 8 35
data-sort-value="2020-12-02"28 Nov – 2 Dec 20201 News–Kantar Public1,004 0.3 2 4 1 0.6 -->58 12 46

Government approval rating

The government approval rating is a statistic which measures the proportion of people who say they think the country is heading in the right direction or wrong direction politically.

DatePolling organisationSample sizeRight directionWrong directionDo not knowLead
data-sort-value="2023-10-08"4 Sep – 8 Oct 2023Roy Morgan– 38 45 17 7
data-sort-value="2023-09-05"31 Jul – 27 Aug 2023Roy Morgan1,046 32 56 12 23
data-sort-value="2023-08-30"28–30 Aug 2023The Post–Freshwater Strategy1,511 21 63 15 42
data-sort-value="2023-08-07"31 Jul – 7 Aug 2023Talbot Mills1,012 37 55 8 18
data-sort-value="2023-08-06"2–6 Aug 2023Guardian Essential1,16331 55 14 24
data-sort-value="2023-07-23"26 Jun – 23 Jul 2023Roy Morgan93729 60.5 10.5 31.5
data-sort-value="2023-07-12"2–10 Jul 2023Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,000 22.1 64.5 13.4 42.4
data-sort-value="2023-06-25"29 May – 25 Jun 2023Roy Morgan955 38 54 8 16
data-sort-value="2023-05-21"24 Apr – 21 May 2023Roy Morgan952 34.5 54.5 11 20
data-sort-value="2023-05-03"27 Apr – 3 May 2023Talbot Mills1,046 40 52 8 12
data-sort-value="2023-04-23"27 Mar – 23 Apr 2023Roy Morgan929 35 55 10 20
data-sort-value="2023-03-26"27 Feb – 26 Mar 2023Roy Morgan945 38.5 52.5 9 14
data-sort-value="2023-02-26"30 Jan – 26 Feb 2023Roy Morgan943 42.5 47.5 10 5
data-sort-value="2023-01-29"9–29 Jan 2023Roy Morgan948 40 49 11 9
data-sort-value="2022-12-31"Dec 2022Roy Morgan947 32 57 11 25
data-sort-value="2022-11-27"31 Oct – 27 Nov 2022Roy Morgan926 35 55 10 20
data-sort-value="2022-11-07"31 Oct – 7 Nov 2022Talbot Mills41 49 10 8
data-sort-value="2022-10-23"26 Sep – 23 Oct 2022Roy Morgan951 42 50 8 8
data-sort-value="2022-10-11"2–11 Oct 2022Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,000 29 56 15 27
data-sort-value="2022-09-25"29 Aug – 25 Sep 2022Roy Morgan942 37.5 51.5 11 14
data-sort-value="2022-09-09"1–9 Sep 2022Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,000 32 54 14 22
data-sort-value="2022-09-07"31 Aug – 7 Sep 2022Talbot Mills44 49 7 5
data-sort-value="2022-08-21"25 Jul – 21 Aug 2022Roy Morgan947 37.5 53 9.5 15.5
data-sort-value="2022-08-08"28 Jul – 8 Aug 2022Talbot Mills42 50 8 8
data-sort-value="2022-07-24"27 Jul – 24 Jul 2022Roy Morgan937 40.5 51 8.5 10.5
data-sort-value="2022-06-26"30 May – 26 Jun 2022Roy Morgan947 39 51.5 9.5 12.5
data-sort-value="2022-06-12"1–12 Jun 2022Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,200 36 50 14 14
data-sort-value="2022-06-10"2–10 Jun 2022Talbot Mills1,200 50 42 8 8
data-sort-value="2022-05-22"26 Apr – 22 May 2022Roy Morgan934 40 50 10 10
data-sort-value="2022-04-11"4–11 May 2022Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,000 34 48 18 14
data-sort-value="2022-05-31" 29 Apr – 10 May 2022Talbot Mills51 40 9 11
data-sort-value="2022-03-27"28 Mar – 24 Apr 2022Roy Morgan913 43 49.5 7.5 6.5
data-sort-value="2022-03-27"28 Feb – 27 Mar 2022Roy Morgan944 39 51.5 9.5 12.5
data-sort-value="2022-02-27"31 Jan – 27 Feb 2022Roy Morgan963 42.5 47.5 10 5
data-sort-value="2022-01-30"4–30 Jan 2022Roy Morgan951 48.5 42 9.5 6.5
data-sort-value="2021-12-19"22 Nov – 19 Dec 2021Roy Morgan967 42.5 44.5 13 2
data-sort-value="2021-11-21"25 Oct – 21 Nov 2021Roy Morgan951 46 44.5 9.5 1.5
data-sort-value="2021-11-08"1–8 Nov 2021Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,000 44 45 11 1
data-sort-value="2021-10-24"27 Sep – 24 Oct 2021Roy Morgan929 48 38.5 13.5 9.5
data-sort-value="2021-10-05"28 Sep – 5 Oct 2021Talbot Mills1,20063 30 7 33
data-sort-value="2021-09-26"30 Aug – 26 Sep 2021Roy Morgan940 57 32 11 25
data-sort-value="2021-08-22"26 Jul – 22 Aug 2021Roy Morgan940 52.5 37.5 10 15
data-sort-value="2021-07-25"28 Jun – 25 Jul 2021Roy Morgan945 55.5 34.5 10 21
data-sort-value="2021-06-27" 31 May – 27 Jun 2021Roy Morgan927 57 33 10 24
data-sort-value="2021-04-25" 26 Apr – 23 May 2021Roy Morgan932 62.5 28.5 9 34
data-sort-value="2021-04-25" 29 Mar – 25 Apr 2021Roy Morgan933 62.5 26.5 11 36
data-sort-value="2021-03-28" 21–28 Mar 2021Roy Morgan924 61.5 26 12.5 35.5
data-sort-value="2021-02-25" 25 Jan – 21 Feb 2021Roy Morgan924 69.5 20 10.5 49.5
data-sort-value="2021-01-24" 4–24 Jan 2021Roy Morgan937 71.5 18.5 10 53
data-sort-value="2020-12-13" 23 Nov – 13 Dec 2020Roy Morgan923 71.5 18 10.5 53.5
data-sort-value="2020-11-22" 26 Oct – 22 Nov 2020Roy Morgan939 69.5 20 10.5 49.5

See also

Notes and References

  1. News: 2023-01-19 . 'I no longer have enough in the tank': Jacinda Ardern resigns as New Zealand Prime Minister . en-AU . ABC News . 2023-01-19 . 19 January 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20230119015059/https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-01-19/jacinda-ardern-will-not-seek-re-election/101871232 . live .
  2. Web site: ACT Party Port Waikato candidate Neil Christensen dies . Radio NZ News . 10 October 2023.
  3. Web site: 26 September 2023 . National's Muralidhar nipping at Swarbrick's heels in Auckland central electorate poll . Radio New Zealand . en-NZ . 26 September 2023 . 26 September 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20230926085650/https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/election-2023/498824/national-s-muralidhar-nipping-at-swarbrick-s-heels-in-auckland-central-electorate-poll . live .
  4. Web site: Poll shows Chlöe Swarbrick in fight to hold Auckland Central . Newstalk ZB . 27 September 2023.
  5. Web site: Auckland Central Electorate Debate 2023 - Taxpayers' Union The Working Group . . New Zealand Taxpayers' Union . 26 September 2023.
  6. Web site: 29 August 2023 . Christchurch's Ilam electorate swings back to National, according to latest poll . Radio New Zealand . en-NZ . 29 August 2023 . 29 August 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20230829075232/https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/political/496841/christchurch-s-ilam-electorate-swings-back-to-national-according-to-latest-poll . live .
  7. Web site: 23 August 2023 . NEW POLL: National Leads In Napier Electorate . New Zealand Taxpayers' Union . en-NZ . 23 August 2023 . 23 August 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20230823053232/https://www.taxpayers.org.nz/new_poll_national_leads_in_napier/ . live .
  8. Web site: 9 November 2022 . Napier Poll - November 2022 . Curia . en-NZ . 4 September 2023 . 13 March 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20230313033725/https://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Napier-Poll-Results-Nov-2022-Public.pdf . live .
  9. Web site: September 12 . Media . 2023 Nztu . NEW POLL: National Lead in Northland Electorate . 2023-10-07 . Taxpayers' Union . en.
  10. Web site: Manhire . Toby . 3 October 2023 . Simon O’Connor vs Brooke van Velden will go to wire in Tāmaki – new poll . The Spinoff.
  11. Web site: 21 July 2023 . Matthew Hooton: Van Velden on track to make it two seats for Act in Auckland . live . https://web.archive.org/web/20230720170508/https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/election-2023-matthew-hooton-brooke-van-velden-on-track-to-make-it-two-seats-for-act-in-tamaki/HJWGSFAMH5AG3LT3FVJZDZ4YQA/ . 20 July 2023 . 20 July 2023 . NZ Herald . en-NZ.
  12. Web site: Tauranga – Official Result . . 17 September 2023.
  13. News: Tauranga by-election: On the campaign trail and behind the scenes with National, ACT and Labour . en . . 2022-06-21 . 25 June 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220625195152/https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/shows/2022/06/tauranga-by-election-on-the-campaign-trail-and-behind-the-scenes-with-national-act-and-labour.html . live .
  14. News: Newshub Nation Reid Research Poll: Labour's Ibrahim Omer, Greens' Tamatha Paul, National's Scott Sheeran neck and neck in Wellington Central . en . . 17 September 2023 .
  15. Web site: Election’s youngest candidate has Labour stronghold under siege . 5 October 2023 . Te Ao Māori News.
  16. Web site: Will voters punish Meka Whaitiri for waka jumping? . 2023-10-05 . Te Ao Māori News . en.
  17. Web site: Older voters back Henare and Labour; younger favour Kemp and Te Pāti Māori . 2023-10-11 . Te Ao Māori News . en.
  18. Web site: Neck and neck race for Te Tai Hauāuru . 2023-10-08 . Te Ao Māori News . en.
  19. Web site: KORO BEATS WINNING THE ELECTION FOR KELVIN DAVIS Media Release Whakaata Māori . 2023-10-08 . www.whakaatamaori.co.nz.
  20. Web site: Tirikatene tightens grip on Te Tai Tonga . 2023-10-05 . Te Ao Māori News . en.
  21. Web site: Poll: Rawiri Waititi takes clear lead to hold Waiariki . 2023-10-09 . Te Ao Māori News . en.

This article is licensed under the GNU Free Documentation License. It uses material from the Wikipedia article "Opinion polling for the 2023 New Zealand general election".

Except where otherwise indicated, Everything.Explained.Today is © Copyright 2009-2025, A B Cryer, All Rights Reserved. Cookie policy.