Opinion polling for the 2022 Serbian general election explained

In the run-up to the 2022 Serbian general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Serbia. Results of such poll are displayed in this list. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous presidential election, held on 2 April 2017, and the previous parliamentary election, held on 21 June 2020, to 3 April 2022.

Graphical summary

Presidential election

Poll results

Parliamentary election

2022

Polling firm	Date of publishment	Sample size	SNS–led coalition	SPAS		UZPS	Moramo	NADA	Sovereignists		Dveri	SSZ	SRS		Others	Lead
									DJB	ZS
2022 election	3 April	–	44.3		11.8	14.0	4.8	5.5	2.3		3.9	3.8	2.2	1.7	5.7	30.3
Ipsos^[1]	31 March	1,100	51.4		8.5	13.8	4.5	4.2	2.6		2.4	3.4	1.7	1.2	6.3	37.6
Faktor Plus^[2]	29 March	1,100	53.6		10.2	13.7	4.7	3.8	3.1		2.2	3.7	2.0	2.3	0.7	39.9
NSPM^[3]	29 March	1,150	51.7		8.9	17.0	7.3	2.4	1.9		2.0	2.4	1.8	2.2	2.4	34.7
ŠSM^[4]	28 March	2,400	44.7		5.7	20.1	5.8	3.3	3.1		2.8	3.0	1.2	2.7	7.6	24.6
Nova S^[5]	14 March	1,003	53.6		6.9	13.2	8.1	3.4	1.7		2.6	3.2	1.3	3.1	2.9	40.4
Faktor Plus^[6]	7 March	1,100	53.4		10.1	14.0	5.0	3.9	3.0		2.1	3.6	1.8	1.5	1.6	39.4
NSPM^[7]	17 February	1,000	41.4		7.4	16.6	12.1	2.0	2.4		2.1	3.4	2.1	2.3	8.2	24.8
	9 February	1,179	55.0			13.5	7.5	2.0	2.0	–	5.0		2.0	–	13.0	41.5
NSPM^[8]	4 February	–	43.4		9.2	14.8	13.1	3.2	3.7			2.7	2.5	1.7	5.7	28.6
	30 January	1,100	55.6		10.2	13.3	7.5	4.0	3.0		1.7	3.6	1.1	–	0.0	42.3

2021

Polling firm	Date of publishment	Sample size	SNS–led coalition	SPAS		UZPS				Moramo			NADA		DJB	ZS	Dveri	SSZ	SRS		Others	Lead
						SSP	Narodna	DS	PSG	NDB	ZZS	EU	DSS	POKS
Faktor Plus^[9]	20 December	1,200	57.0		10.3	12.0				7.0			4.3		2.4	1.2	1.4	3.0	1.4	–	0.0	45.0
ŠSM^[10]	10 December	1,525	49.9		7.7	17.9				8.8			2.2		2.5	1.0	1.2	2.8	0.6	0.8	4.6	32.0
Demostat^[11]	2 December	–	55.0			16.0				9.0			–	–	–	–	5.0		–	–	15.0	39.0
Faktor Plus^[12]	31 October	–	58.3		10.4	5.4	2.7	1.9	1.5	3.0			4.3		3.4	–	1.5	2.9	1.4	–	3.3	47.9
Faktor Plus^[13]		–	58.0		10.3	5.1	2.7	1.4	1.3	2.0			4.3		3.6	1.2	1.7	–	1.2	–	7.2	47.7
Faktor Plus^[14]	3 August	–	58.2		9.0	4.5	2.5	1.2	1.4	2.7			4.0		3.8	–	2.0	2.0	1.5	–	7.2	49.2
ŠSM^[15]	31 July	1,067	53.8		7.0	6.4	4.9	1.9	1.2	9.4			3.9		2.9	–	1.6	1.4	1.4	–	4.2	44.4
Ipsos^[16]	27 June	–	61.2		8.9	4.2	1.2	1.2	0.5	1.4	0.3	–	1.9	3.2	3.0	0.8	1.9	1.9	1.6	1.0	7.6	52.3
Faktor Plus^[17]	10 May	1,200	60.0	3.4	8.1	3.3	–	–	–	–	–	–	3.9		3.9	–	–	–	–	–	17.4	51.9
Ipsos^[18]	5 April	1,000	58.0	3.6	7.2	3.8	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	4.4	–	–	–	–	–	20.6	50.8
	18 February	–	60.3	4.2	8.3	3.2	2.4	–	1.5	–	–	–	3.7		3.8	–	1.5	2.2	1.4	–	7.5	52.0
Ipsos^[19]	1 January	–	61.9	3.6	9.0	1.6	0.3	1.1	0.8	–	–	–	2.3	2.0	3.7	0.8	1.1	1.4	2.6	0.9	8.6	52.9

2020

Polling firm	Date of publishment	Sample size	SNS–led coalition	SPAS	SPS–JS	SSP	Narodna	DS	PSG	DSS	POKS	DJB	Dveri	SSZ	SRS	Others	Lead
	19 December	–	46.8	6.4	11.5	2.2	1.1	0.4	2.1	2.9	3.7	5.3	2.3	–	3.6	11.7	35.3
Faktor Plus^[20]	4 September	–	59.1	5.1	9.0	3.1	2.3	–	–	–	–	–	2.0	–	–	19.4	50.1
2020 election	21 June	–	63.0	3.9	10.8	–	–	–	1.6	2.3	2.7	2.4	–	1.5	2.1	9.7	42.2

Presidential election

2022

Polling firm	Date of publishment	Sample size	Aleksandar Vučić	Zdravko Ponoš	Biljana Stojković	Miloš Jovanović	Branka Stamenković	Boško Obradović	Milica Đurđević	Miša Vacić	Others	Lead
2022 election	3 April	–	60.0	18.8	3.3	6.1	2.0	4.5	4.3	0.9	0.1	41.2
Ipsos	31 March	2,400	60.1	16.4	5.0	5.5	2.2	2.8	4.9	0.3	2.8	43.7
ŠSM	28 March	2,400	55.1	27.0	3.1	4.4	2.2	3.0	3.0	0.2	2.0	28.1
Sprint insight	9 February	1,179	45.7	10.8	–	5.3	–	8.5	16.1	–	13.6	29.6

2017

Polling firm	Date of publishment	Sample size	Aleksandar Vučić	Saša Janković	Vuk Jeremić	Luka Maksimović	Vojislav Šešelj	Boško Obradović	Others	Lead
Faktor Plus^[21]	2 June	–	60.1	16.2	6.3	4.8	3.9	–	8.8	43.9
2017 election	2 April	–	56.0	16.6	5.7	9.6	4.6	2.3	5.1	39.4

Notes and References

1. Web site: Konačne procene rezultata predsedničkih i parlamentarnih izbora 2022. godine . Ipsos . 10 January 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220331222102/https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2022-03/Saopstenje%20-%20Ipsos%20Strategic%20Marketing%20-%20Izbori%202022_31032022.pdf . 2022-03-31 . sr . 2022-03-31.
2. Web site: Poslednje predizborno istraživanje: SNS iznad 50 odsto, oko cenzusa tesno, čak 6 listi u borbi za ulazak u Skupštinu Srbije . Blic . 10 January 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220329193642/https://www.blic.rs/izbori-2022/predsednicki-izbori/poslednje-predizborno-istrazivanje-sns-iznad-50-odsto-oko-cenzusa-tesno-cak-6-listi-u/g3yddz1 . 2022-03-29 . sr . 2022-03-29.
3. Web site: Srbija mart 2022. - parlamentarni izbori . Nova srpska politička misao . 10 January 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220329072136/http://www.nspm.rs/istrazivanja-javnog-mnjenja/srbija-mart-2022.-%E2%80%93-parlamentarni-izbori.html . 2022-03-29 . sr . 2022-03-29.
4. Web site: Mladenović . Miljan . Predizborno istraživanje - mart 2022 . Šta Srbija misli? . 10 January 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220423111627/https://istrazivanja.rs/predizborno-istrazivanje-mart-2022/ . 2022-04-23 . sr . 2022-03-28.
5. News: Latković . Nataša . Istraživanje rejtinga pred izbore: SNS i SPS nemaju većinu u Beogradu . 10 January 2023 . 2022-03-14 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220314204709/https://nova.rs/vesti/politika/istrazivanje-rejtinga-pred-izbore-sns-i-sps-nemaju-vecinu-u-beogradu/ . 2022-03-14 . sr.
6. Web site: Mastilović Jasnić . Ivana . SNS iznad 50 odsto, još šest lista prelazi cenzus: Poslednje istraživanje rejtinga političkih stranaka agencije "Faktor plus" . Blic . 10 January 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220402053921/https://www.blic.rs/izbori-2022/parlamentarni-izbori/sns-iznad-50-odsto-jos-sest-lista-prelazi-cenzus-poslednje-istrazivanje-rejtinga/19xb90b . 2022-04-02 . sr . 2022-03-06.
7. Web site: Istraživanje Srbija - februar 2022. godine . Nova srpska politička misao . 10 January 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220217213816/http://www.nspm.rs/istrazivanja-javnog-mnjenja/istrazivanje-srbija-februar-2022.-godine.html . 2022-02-17 . sr . 2022-12-17.
8. News: Jelovac . Jelena . ISTRAŽIVANJE: Kako stoje stranke pred aprilske izbore . 10 January 2023 . NOVA portal . 2022-02-04 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220328052234/https://nova.rs/vesti/politika/istrazivanje-kako-stoje-stranke-pred-aprilske-izbore/ . 2022-03-28 . sr.
9. News: Mastilović Jasnić . Ivana . SNS 57%, opozicija 12%, zeleni 7% istraživanje "Faktor plus": Da li će protesti uticati na izlaznost i koliko će promeniti rejtinge stranaka? . 10 January 2023 . Blic . 2021-12-20 . https://web.archive.org/web/20211222212218/https://www.blic.rs/vesti/politika/sns-57-opozicija-12-zeleni-7-istrazivanje-faktora-plus-da-li-ce-protesti-uticati-na/6gdegbt . 2021-12-22 . sr.
10. Web site: Politička situacija u Srbiji - novembar 2021 . Šta Srbija misli? . 10 January 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220319062819/https://istrazivanja.rs/politicka-situacija-u-srbiji-novembar-2021/ . 2022-03-19 . sr . 2022-12-10.
11. News: Demostat: Ekološke proteste podržava 14 odsto pristalica SNS i stranaka vlasti . 10 January 2023 . N1 . 2021-12-02 . https://web.archive.org/web/20211202174447/https://rs.n1info.com/vesti/demostat-ekoloske-proteste-podrzava-14-odsto-pristalica-sns-i-stranaka-vlasti/ . 2021-12-02 . sr.
12. Web site: Faktor plus: SNS 58,3 odsto, još četiri liste bi prešle cenzus . Dnevnik . 10 January 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20211101171954/https://www.dnevnik.rs/politika/faktor-plus-sns-583-odsto-jos-cetiri-liste-bi-presle-cenzus-31-10-2021 . 2021-11-01 . sr . 2021-10-31.
13. Web site: Najnovije istraživanje pokazalo: SNS nedodirljiv, apsolutna dominacija, preko cenzuja još četiri stranke . Srbija Danas . 10 January 2023 . sr . 2021-09-29 . https://web.archive.org/web/20230110131449/https://www.sd.rs/vesti/info/najnovije-istrazivanje-pokazalo-sns-nedodirljiv-apsolutna-dominacija-preko-cenzusa-jos-cetiri-2021-09-29 . 2023-01-10.
14. Web site: Faktor plus: SNS 58,2%, SPS 9, SSP 4,5 DSS-POKS 4, manjinske stranke 4, DJB 3,8 . Nova srpska politička misao . 10 January 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210803223557/http://www.nspm.rs/hronika/faktor-plus-sns-582-sps-9-ssp-45-dss-poks-4-manjinske-stranke-4-djb-38.html . 2021-08-03 . sr . 2021-08-03.
15. Web site: Mladenović . Miljan . Kako stoji opozicija manje od godinu dana pre izbora? . Šta Srbija misli? . 10 January 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210929070443/https://istrazivanja.rs/kako-stoji-opozicija-manje-od-godinu-dana-pre-izbora/ . 2021-09-29 . sr . 2021-08-18.
16. Web site: Vučić ispuni ono što obeća, zato mu građani veruju! Ipsos: da su izbori danas, SNS bi osvojila 59,8% glasova! . Informer . 10 January 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20211128182515/https://informer.rs/vesti/politika/618571/ipsos-istrazivanje-aleksandar-vucic-marko-uljarevic-sns . 2021-11-28 . sr . 2021-06-27.
17. Web site: Najnovije istraživanje rejtinga: SNS i dalje ubedljivo prvi, Šapićev SPAS pao, a samo jedna stranka "bojkot opozicije" prešla bi cenzus . Blic . 10 January 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210614035155/https://www.blic.rs/vesti/politika/najnovije-istrazivanje-rejtinga-sns-i-dalje-ubedljivo-prvi-sapicev-spas-pao-a-samo/ytw8yh9 . 2021-06-14 . sr . 2021-05-10.
18. Web site: Najnoviji rezultati Ipsos: SNS 58 odsto glasova da su izbori ovih dana, SPS 7,2 odsto, nekoliko stranka bi se borilo za cenzus . Kurir . 10 January 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210405095345/https://www.kurir.rs/vesti/politika/3659811/najnoviji-rezultati-ipsos-sns-58-odsto-glasova-da-su-izbori-ovih-dana-sps-72-odsto-nekoliko-stranaka-bi-se-borilo-za-cenzus . 2021-04-05 . sr . 2021-04-05.
19. Web site: Najnoviji rezultati Ipsos: Đilas ima podršku 0,6 odsto građana Srbije, a Šešelj 0,7! Srbi najviše veruju Vučiću . Kurir . 10 January 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210127150714/https://www.kurir.rs/vesti/politika/3596545/najnoviji-rezultati-ipsos-djilas-ima-podrsku-06-odsto-gradjana-srbije-a-seselj-07-srbi-najvise-veruju-vucicu . 2021-01-27 . sr . 2021-01-01.
20. Web site: Novo istraživanje: Kad bi izbori bili prekosutra... . B92 . 10 January 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20211128183453/https://www.b92.net/info/vesti/index.php?yyyy=2020&mm=09&dd=04&nav_category=11&nav_id=1728434 . 2021-11-28 . sr . 2022-09-04.
21. Web site: Spalović . Dejan . Za Vučića bi danas glasalo 60 odsto ispitanika . Politika . 10 January 2023 . sr . 2017-06-02 . https://web.archive.org/web/20170610221656/https://www.politika.rs/sr/clanak/381930/SNS-i-dalje-vodeca-stranka-Vucic-bi-opet-bio-predsednik . 2017-06-10.