Opinion polling for the 2022 Portuguese legislative election explained

In the run up to the 2022 Portuguese legislative election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2019 Portuguese legislative election, held on 6 October, to the day the next election was held on 30 January.

Nationwide polling

Polling

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication.

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample sizeTurnoutLead
2022 legislative election30 Jan 202251.541.4
29.1
4.4
4.3
1.6
1.6
7.2
4.9
1.3
4.2
12.3
UCP–CESOP30 Jan 202227,61546–5137–42
30–35
3–6
3–5
1–3
1–3
5–8
4–7
1–3
7
ICS/ISCTE–GFK/Metris30 Jan 202218,36151–5537.4–
41.4
26.9–
30.9
3.0–
6.0
3.0–
6.0
0.6–
2.6
0.5–
3.1
5.0–
8.0
4.7–
7.7
0.4–
2.4
3.5–
6.5
10.5
Intercampus30 Jan 202223,848?36.6–
42.6
26.7–
32.7
2.4–
6.4
2.5–
6.5
0.1–
3.6
0.2–
3.7
3.8–
7.8
3.5–
7.5
0.2–
2.6
9.9
Pitagórica30 Jan 202233,15756–6037.5–
42.5
26.7–
31.7
3.0–
7.0
2.5–
6.5
0.9–
2.9
0.8–
2.8
4.5–
8.5
4.5–
8.5
0.7–
3.7
10.8
Pitagórica24–28 Jan 2022760?36.6
32.9
5.1
5.2
1.4
1.2
5.4
5.2
1.7
5.4
3.7
Pitagórica23–26 Jan 2022608?36.731.36.15.72.11.05.14.31.86.15.4
CESOP–UCP19–26 Jan 20222,192?36
33
6
5
2
2
6
6
2
2
3
Pitagórica22–25 Jan 2022608?36.630.96.74.21.81.06.73.81.66.75.7
Pitagórica21–24 Jan 2022608?36.731.45.74.31.41.87.53.21.06.95.3
ICS/ISCTE18–24 Jan 20221,003?35
33
5
6
1
2
6
6
1
5
2
Pitagórica20–23 Jan 2022608?35.331.46.14.91.61.66.94.70.86.53.9
Pitagórica19–22 Jan 2022608?34.133.55.55.10.81.66.65.31.26.20.6
Pitagórica18–21 Jan 2022608?33.534.55.74.70.81.66.55.71.25.91.0
Aximage16–21 Jan 2022965?33.834.46.64.51.63.28.02.81.43.70.6
Pitagórica17–20 Jan 2022608?34.633.54.94.51.21.66.36.31.65.31.1
Pitagórica16–19 Jan 2022608?36.532.95.05.01.01.96.35.21.54.73.6
Pitagórica15–18 Jan 2022608?38.730.45.15.31.11.77.24.71.14.78.3
CESOP–UCP12–18 Jan 20221,456?37
33
5
5
2
2
6
5
2
34
Metris11–18 Jan 2022812?39.232.65.05.41.01.16.84.40.63.96.6
Pitagórica14–17 Jan 2022608?39.830.44.55.81.31.77.54.31.53.29.4
Pitagórica13–16 Jan 2022608?40.128.85.95.90.61.58.05.01.32.911.3
Pitagórica12–15 Jan 2022608?39.629.66.05.10.91.78.14.71.52.810.0
Pitagórica11–14 Jan 2022608?38.829.36.84.61.31.97.84.91.53.19.5
Pitagórica10–13 Jan 2022608?38.929.76.24.61.72.16.95.41.23.39.2
Aximage6–12 Jan 2022807?38.128.57.44.81.82.19.03.7–4.69.6
CESOP–UCP6–10 Jan 20221,246?39
30
6
5
2
3
6
4
2
39
Intercampus4–10 Jan 2022615?35.329.38.56.01.14.37.15.60.62.26.0
Pitagórica30 Dec 2021–9 Jan 2022600?39.630.06.45.11.51.85.75.1–4.89.6
CESOP–UCP28 Dec 2021–5 Jan 20221,238?3832662255136
ICS/ISCTE10–20 Dec 2021901?3831562274–57
Intercampus7–14 Dec 2021603?35.526.86.64.51.63.58.96.40.85.38.7
Aximage9–13 Dec 202181055.135.433.27.35.11.32.56.23.7–5.32.2
Pitagórica7–12 Dec 2021625?37.031.74.95.91.03.06.35.9–4.35.3
Pitagórica10–15 Nov 2021625?38.232.15.45.20.81.97.14.2–5.16.1
Intercampus5–11 Nov 2021612?39.028.17.75.32.04.46.34.20.22.810.9
CESOP–UCP29 Oct–4 Nov 2021878?3930752355–49
ICS/ISCTE21 Oct–1 Nov 2021800?40265612102–814
Aximage28–31 Oct 2021803?38.524.48.84.62.02.87.74.7–6.414.1
Eurosondagem18–21 Oct 20211,028?38.127.55.15.62.52.89.25.5–3.710.6
2021 local elections26 Sep 202153.637.132.12.98.21.91.14.21.30.510.75.0
Eurosondagem20–23 Sep 20211,032?41.527.25.05.52.02.68.95.2–2.114.3
Intercampus14–23 Sep 2021609?36.824.69.75.51.43.38.65.50.44.212.2
Pitagórica10–19 Sep 2021609?41.325.17.15.52.01.87.14.70.45.016.2
Intercampus13–20 Aug 2021612?34.725.19.15.41.63.57.56.10.26.89.6
Eurosondagem16–19 Aug 20211,052?41.327.35.66.02.12.59.04.5–1.714.0
Eurosondagem26–29 Jul 20211,025?41.127.34.85.92.12.28.83.3–4.513.8
Intercampus7–16 Jul 2021607?34.823.49.06.72.84.59.03.10.66.111.4
Aximage10–12 Jul 2021763?37.625.27.84.80.94.67.75.5–5.912.4
Eurosondagem5–8 Jul 20211,022?40.827.35.25.22.22.19.02.5–5.713.5
Intercampus8–16 Jun 2021608?34.622.48.96.03.15.210.16.40.62.712.2
Eurosondagem31 May–3 Jun 20211,021?40.027.25.55.02.52.28.42.7–6.512.8
Aximage26–30 May 2021796?38.924.08.05.71.43.77.05.20.35.814.9
Domp9 Apr–19 May 20211,156?35.121.78.64.42.45.310.83.60.67.613.4
Eurosondagem10–13 May 20211,008?39.427.46.65.02.52.48.02.2–6.512.0
Intercampus5–11 May 2021611?37.921.78.35.52.94.88.34.21.35.116.2
CESOP–UCP3–7 May 20211,123?3828853365–410
Aximage22–25 Apr 202183058.838.226.19.25.70.42.77.24.90.84.812.1
Intercampus7–13 Apr 2021609?36.223.39.45.23.14.89.45.00.43.212.9
ICS/ISCTE5–13 Apr 2021802?3729971261–88
Eurosondagem5–8 Apr 20211,020?39.627.86.25.22.02.17.72.5–6.911.8
Aximage24–27 Mar 202183061.039.723.68.66.01.13.28.54.80.83.616.1
Intercampus4–10 Mar 2021615?37.623.68.35.52.32.59.05.30.75.214.0
Eurosondagem1–4 Mar 20211,010?39.528.27.04.52.22.57.52.1–6.511.3
Aximage17–20 Feb 202182257.437.626.57.75.80.84.06.55.71.34.111.1
Intercampus8–13 Feb 2021609?37.624.78.25.82.73.17.35.60.74.312.9
Eurosondagem8–11 Feb 20211,022?39.327.26.94.82.52.07.33.0–7.012.1
CESOP–UCP24 Jan 20214,637?35238622971712
Pitagórica7–18 Jan 2021629?42.625.75.45.41.62.36.85.0–5.416.9
Aximage9–15 Jan 20211,18353.739.926.67.25.00.83.57.53.50.65.513.3
CESOP–UCP11–14 Jan 20212,001?3928762285–311
Eurosondagem11–14 Jan 20211,021?39.028.06.55.32.12.25.51.3–10.111.0
Pitagórica29 Dec 2020–10 Jan 2021629?41.428.07.15.11.22.25.94.1–5.113.4
Intercampus4–7 Jan 2021603?38.024.19.15.72.33.69.13.80.24.113.9
Pitagórica22 Dec 2020–3 Jan 2021629?40.926.37.34.11.41.88.42.80.26.914.6
Pitagórica17–27 Dec 2020629?39.727.95.64.12.31.79.13.3–6.211.8
Aximage19–22 Dec 202081255.038.525.48.55.70.34.77.73.50.55.213.1
Pitagórica17–20 Dec 2020629?40.328.55.55.31.82.28.42.4–5.511.8
Intercampus14–18 Dec 2020603?38.023.67.35.43.23.47.74.50.96.014.4
Pitagórica10–13 Dec 2020629?41.926.06.75.41.92.38.31.5–6.015.9
CESOP–UCP4–11 Dec 20201,315?3730773365–27
Eurosondagem7–10 Dec 20201,020?38.829.47.25.32.52.05.21.1–8.59.4
Aximage23–26 Nov 202064758.437.223.97.95.81.06.57.52.20.67.413.3
ICS/ISCTE11–25 Nov 2020802?3925872271–914
Intercampus9–16 Nov 2020622?37.124.27.74.94.15.37.33.31.84.412.9
Eurosondagem2–5 Nov 20201,011?38.329.78.35.82.72.25.01.0–7.08.6
Aximage22–26 Oct 202069459.135.527.010.05.71.25.25.43.20.46.48.5
Intercampus6–11 Oct 2020618?37.524.811.04.34.14.17.72.40.43.712.7
Eurosondagem5–8 Oct 20201,010?38.829.08.15.53.32.04.81.3–7.29.8
ICS/ISCTE14–24 Sep 2020801?3727862472–610
Aximage12–15 Sep 202060355.137.623.98.35.61.14.86.82.61.28.113.7
Eurosondagem7–10 Sep 20201,022?38.528.28.35.82.53.34.51.0–7.910.3
Intercampus4–9 Sep 2020614?37.424.39.95.14.34.17.42.10.45.013.1
Intercampus6–11 Aug 2020601?39.624.88.56.14.43.27.92.80.02.714.8
CESOP–UCP13–18 Jul 20201,482?3926763373–613
Intercampus8–13 Jul 2020620?39.023.910.46.24.83.06.22.80.43.215.1
Aximage5–8 Jul 202062455.940.426.78.56.02.12.65.22.10.16.313.7
Eurosondagem29 Jun–2 Jul 20201,025?38.429.38.46.02.22.84.41.1–7.49.1
Intercampus9–13 Jun 2020610?40.024.19.86.24.13.16.81.90.83.215.9
Aximage5–8 Jun 202060559.239.925.88.04.91.24.35.31.40.29.014.1
Eurosondagem1–4 Jun 20201,021?38.029.38.05.32.73.04.11.1–8.58.7
Pitagórica16–24 May 2020802?44.824.16.15.82.83.36.41.6–5.120.7
Eurosondagem17–20 May 20202,120?37.930.08.15.23.22.24.31.2–7.97.9
Intercampus5–9 May 2020620?40.323.39.05.93.63.66.83.20.73.617.0
Eurosondagem4–7 May 20201,005?37.729.48.35.53.02.54.01.2–8.48.3
Pitagórica15–26 Apr 2020605?41.923.18.15.62.62.67.32.6–6.218.8
Intercampus9–14 Apr 2020623?35.423.311.95.83.94.97.82.40.73.912.1
Eurosondagem29 Mar–2 Apr 20201,008?37.527.29.06.02.82.43.61.2–10.310.3
Pitagórica13–21 Mar 2020605?41.725.28.65.42.93.18.12.0–3.116.5
Intercampus13–19 Mar 2020611?31.421.914.56.13.65.98.62.30.25.59.5
Eurosondagem1–5 Mar 20201,011?37.327.48.86.32.92.83.31.1–10.19.9
Aximage14–18 Feb 202083956.135.126.17.75.42.14.14.32.50.712.09.0
Intercampus11–17 Feb 2020614?31.123.813.26.33.55.46.92.90.86.17.3
Eurosondagem2–6 Feb 20201,020?37.426.79.06.53.33.12.51.10.59.910.7
ICS/ISCTE22 Jan–5 Feb 2020800?3328984362165
Intercampus19–24 Jan 2020619?32.825.811.96.21.96.06.22.31.75.27.0
Eurosondagem5–9 Jan 20201,010?37.226.59.66.63.53.62.21.30.68.910.7
Intercampus12–17 Dec 2019606?33.925.710.76.33.96.15.72.41.14.28.2
Eurosondagem8–12 Dec 20191,019?37.126.99.57.13.63.51.91.10.68.710.2
Intercampus20–26 Nov 2019604?34.924.910.88.12.94.84.82.92.73.210.0
Eurosondagem17–21 Nov 20191,011?36.927.110.16.94.03.3–––11.79.8
Aximage8–11 Nov 2019639?37.427.110.46.24.03.23.01.30.96.510.3
Intercampus22–28 Oct 2019604?35.624.810.76.94.45.32.50.82.76.310.8
2019 legislative election6 Oct 201948.636.3
27.8
9.5
6.3
4.2
3.3
1.3
1.3
1.1
8.8
8.5

Hypothetical scenarios

Paulo Rangel as PSD leader

Constituency polling

Madeira

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample sizeTurnoutLead
2022 legislative election30 Jan 202250.339.8
31.5
6.9
3.2
2.0
1.6
3.3
6.1
5.6
8.3
Intercampus21–25 Jan 2022603?47.7
33.3
2.9
3.6
––2.3
–10.2
14.4
2019 legislative election6 Oct 201950.337.2
6.1
33.4
5.5
5.2
2.1
1.8
0.7
0.7
7.3
3.8

Leadership polls

Preferred prime minister

Poll results showing public opinion on who would make the best prime minister are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first.

António Costa vs Rui Rio

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateBoth/
Lead
CESOP–UCPdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 19–26 Jan 20224836––1412
CESOP–UCP12–18 Jan 20225035––1515
CESOP–UCPdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 6–10 Jan 20224935––1614
CESOP–UCPdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 28 Dec 2021–5 Jan 20225233––1519
Aximage9–13 Dec 20214621195925
Aximage28–31 Oct 202144.118.629.41.46.525.5
Aximage10–12 Jul 20214522281423
Aximage26–30 May 20215215242737
Aximagedata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 22–25 Apr 2021 5517202638
Aximage24–27 Mar 20215418184636
Aximage17–20 Feb 20215420193434
Aximage19–22 Dec 20205319222434
Aximage23–26 Nov 20205018224732
Aximage22–26 Oct 20204717234930
Aximage12–15 Sep 20204817254631
Aximage5–8 Jul 20205517195538
Aximage5–8 Jun 202057.318.217.33.24.039.1
Aximage7–10 Mar 202041.121.330.81.94.919.8
Aximage14–18 Feb 202043.821.824.73.95.822.0
Aximage9–12 Jan 202043.619.527.52.86.624.1

Cabinet approval/disapproval ratings

Polling

Poll results showing public opinion on the performance of the Government are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first.

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample sizeAntónio Costa's cabinet
ApproveDisapproveNeitherNo opinionNet
ICS/ISCTEdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 10–20 Dec 20219015239913
ICS/ISCTEdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 21 Oct–1 Nov 2021800444884
Aximagedata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 28–31 Oct 2021 803344518311
Eurosondagemdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 20–23 Sep 20211,03232.727.939.44.8
Intercampusdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 14–23 Sep 202160942.728.527.41.314.2
Intercampusdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 13–20 Aug 202161236.129.932.21.83.9
Eurosondagemdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 16–19 Aug 20211,05230.125.544.44.6
Eurosondagemdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 26–29 Jul 20211,02525.538.635.913.1
CESOP–UCPdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 9–15 Jul 20211,202162952323
Aximagedata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 10–12 Jul 2021 76337332824
Eurosondagem5–8 Jul 20211,02248.047.05.01.0
Aximagedata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 26–30 May 2021 796442922515
Eurosondagemdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 10–13 May 20211,00836.022.042.012.0
Intercampusdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 5–11 May 2021 61143.628.526.21.615.1
Aximagedata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 22–25 Apr 2021 830552222133
Intercampusdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 7–13 Apr 202160944.329.125.11.515.2
ICS/ISCTEdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 5–13 Apr 20218025538717
Eurosondagemdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 5–8 Apr 20211,02027.317.755.09.6
Aximagedata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 24–27 Mar 2021 830552419231
Intercampusdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 4–10 Mar 202161542.623.232.22.010.4
Eurosondagemdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 1–4 Mar 20211,01021.016.262.84.8
Aximagedata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 17–20 Feb 2021 822503315217
Intercampusdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 8–13 Feb 2021 60938.832.926.12.35.9
Eurosondagemdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 7–11 Feb 20211,02221.09.969.111.1
Eurosondagem11–14 Jan 20211,02142.028.729.313.3
Intercampusdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 4–7 Jan 202160349.622.426.71.322.9
Aximagedata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 19–22 Dec 2020 812473119316
Intercampusdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 14–18 Dec 2020 60344.228.924.72.215.3
Eurosondagemdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 7–10 Dec 20201,02042.029.928.112.1
Aximagedata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 23–26 Nov 2020 647513312418
ICS/ISCTE11–25 Nov 2020802514279
Intercampusdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 9–16 Nov 202062245.529.124.80.616.4
Eurosondagem2–5 Nov 20201,01141.828.230.013.6
Aximagedata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 22–26 Oct 2020694453019615
Intercampusdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 6–11 Oct 202061847.323.727.91.119.4
Eurosondagemdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 5–8 Oct 2020 1,01039.625.235.214.4
ICS/ISCTE14–24 Sep 2020801494386
Aximagedata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 12–15 Sep 2020603483514413
Eurosondagemdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 7–10 Sep 2020 1,02240.025.035.015.0
Intercampusdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 4–9 Sep 202061450.421.026.52.123.9
Intercampusdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 6–11 Aug 2020601 48.620.828.32.320.3
CESOP–UCPdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 13–18 Jul 20201,4827321652
Intercampusdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 9–13 Jul 2020620 49.317.830.82.118.5
Aximagedata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 5–8 Jul 2020624 572613431
Eurosondagemdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 29 Jun–2 Jul 2020 1,02541.024.534.516.5
Intercampusdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 9–13 Jun 2020610 59.515.424.11.035.4
Eurosondagemdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 1–4 Jun 2020 1,02142.525.032.517.5
Pitagóricadata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 16–24 May 2020802531037016
Intercampusdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 6–9 May 202062062.911.523.71.939.2
Eurosondagemdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 4–7 May 2020 1,00543.325.231.518.1
Pitagóricadata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 15–26 Apr 202060548114107
Intercampusdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 9–14 Apr 202062367.410.720.11.847.3
Eurosondagemdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 29 Mar–2 Apr 2020 1,00844.227.228.617.0
Pitagóricadata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 13–21 Mar 2020605332047014
Intercampusdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 13–19 Mar 202061147.925.225.72.122.2
Eurosondagem1–5 Mar 20201,01142.526.930.615.6
Intercampusdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 11–17 Feb 202061431.633.432.92.10.5
Eurosondagem2–6 Feb 20201,02043.326.930.016.4
ICS/ISCTE22 Jan–5 Feb 20208005734923
Intercampusdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 19–24 Jan 202061935.131.631.31.93.5
Eurosondagem5–9 Jan 20201,01042.926.830.316.1
Intercampusdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 12–17 Dec 201960633.734.528.73.10.8
Eurosondagem8–12 Dec 20191,01943.426.630.016.8
Intercampusdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 20–26 Nov 201960434.330.331.04.53.3
Eurosondagem17–21 Nov 20191,01143.726.829.516.9
Intercampusdata-sort-value="2019-10-03" 22–28 Oct 201960436.728.131.63.55.1

External links

This article is licensed under the GNU Free Documentation License. It uses material from the Wikipedia article "Opinion polling for the 2022 Portuguese legislative election".

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