Opinion polling for the 2019 Spanish local elections (Castilla–La Mancha) explained

In the run up to the 2019 Spanish local elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities in Castilla–La Mancha are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 24 May 2015, to the day the next elections were held, on 26 May 2019.

Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.

Municipalities

Albacete

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout						C		Lead
2019 municipal election	26 May 2019		62.2	29.9		31.1		18.4	6.6	1.4	10.8	1.2
GfK/FORTA^[1]	26 May 2019	?	?	24.4		35.0		16.2	7.4	–	11.6	10.6
Eyos/Contigo^[2]	9–12 May 2018	306	?	?	?	?		?	–	?	–	?
2015 municipal election	24 May 2015		67.3		33.5	27.3	15.3	13.6	0.7	–	–	6.2

Alcázar de San Juan

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout								Lead
2019 municipal election	26 May 2019		68.3		46.7	20.5	8.1	5.8	9.0	–	9.0	26.2
SW Demoscopia^[3] ^[4]	27 Dec–4 Jan 2019	375	?		47.8	25.2	4.4		6.7	10.3	3.6	22.6
Global Market/PSOE^[5] ^[6]	13–20 Mar 2018	370	?		46.2	24.8	3.8		11.8	13.4	–	21.4
2015 municipal election	24 May 2015		73.3		37.6	33.5	14.9	8.3	–	–	–	4.1

Almansa

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout							Lead
2019 municipal election	26 May 2019		69.4		41.4	36.1	12.1	5.3	3.6	–	5.3
SW Demoscopia^[7] ^[8]	26–30 Nov 2018	380	?	33.0		42.2		11.2		9.9	9.2
2015 municipal election	24 May 2015		71.4		44.1	34.9	8.3	3.8	–	–	9.2

Alovera

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout	Alter						Lead
2019 municipal election	26 May 2019		62.3	28.3	19.2	10.7	21.8	11.1	8.4	6.5
Celeste-Tel^[9] ^[10]	6–9 May 2019	?	66.7	28.8	17.0	12.0	24.3	8.5	4.6	4.5
2015 municipal election	24 May 2015		64.7	25.7	23.9	17.3*	14.3	10.7	–	1.8

Azuqueca de Henares

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout					G				Lead
2019 municipal election	26 May 2019		63.5		50.2	12.6	9.9		1.2	11.6		13.6	36.6
Celeste-Tel	6–9 May 2019	?	67.8		44.2	15.4	15.1		4.7	4.7		14.1	28.8
GuadaTV^[11]	15 Jan 2019	200	?	24.5	16.5		30.5		–	11.5		17.0	6.0
2015 municipal election	24 May 2015		65.1		41.4	20.6	13.1	13.0	6.2	1.6	–	–	20.8

Cabanillas del Campo

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout								Lead
2019 municipal election	26 May 2019		70.8	26.1		44.4			10.8	9.8	8.1	18.3
Celeste-Tel	6–9 May 2019	?	68.3	30.9		37.4			15.8	10.0	5.9	6.5
2015 municipal election	24 May 2015		70.4		36.5	29.0	17.7*	9.9	–	–	–	7.5

Ciudad Real

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout							Lead
2019 municipal election	26 May 2019		64.6	33.0		38.7		12.5	6.8	7.6	5.7
GfK/FORTA	26 May 2019	?	?	29.9		37.8		12.1	7.1	10.6	7.9
Global Market/PSOE^[12] ^[13] ^[14]	19–24 Feb 2018	384	?	30.0		39.1	13.7	17.3	–	–	9.1
2015 municipal election	24 May 2015		66.7		36.8	31.2	15.7	7.5	2.1	–	5.6

Cuenca

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout						CNU		Lead
2019 municipal election	26 May 2019		66.7	21.0		36.2	3.3	5.8	3.6	22.4	5.5	13.8
GfK/FORTA	26 May 2019	?	?	22.5		38.6	5.8	7.5	3.7	11.0	7.7	16.1
2015 municipal election	24 May 2015		68.2		37.3	32.6	12.8	10.3	1.4	–	–	4.7

Guadalajara

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout								Lead
2019 municipal election	26 May 2019		68.5	31.2		35.2	–	12.2	7.7	7.0	6.1	4.0
GfK/FORTA	26 May 2019	?	?	25.0		39.0	–	10.1	7.5	11.4	–	14.0
Celeste-Tel^[15]	6–9 May 2019	400	72.1	32.5		36.9	–	9.6	6.2	8.7	2.9	4.4
Celeste-Tel^[16] ^[17]	25 Jan–8 Feb 2019	450	67.6		33.2	31.6	12.3	13.6	5.2	–	–	1.6
GuadaTV^[18]	15 Jan 2019	300	?		29.7	28.4	9.7	21.7	10.7	–	–	1.3
2015 municipal election	24 May 2015		69.3		37.2	28.3	16.8*	9.6	1.5	–	–	8.9

Manzanares

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout			ACM							Lead
2019 municipal election	26 May 2019		69.8		52.7	27.0	3.8	–		4.5		3.5	7.3	25.7
Global Market/PSOE^[19]	20–28 Mar 2018	387	?		63.6	17.9	1.8	–	–	9.1	7.6	–	–	45.7
2015 municipal election	24 May 2015		72.1		40.0	33.9	10.0	6.3	5.4	–	–	–	–	6.1

Puertollano

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout							íber	Lead
2019 municipal election	26 May 2019		57.8		42.8	14.8		18.3	10.8	5.6	5.5	24.5
GfK/FORTA	26 May 2019	?	?		47.6	14.5		14.3	13.1	5.1	4.8	33.1
Global Market/PSOE^[20]	26 Feb–6 Mar 2018	389	?		40.2	12.1		23.6	24.1	–	–	16.1
2015 municipal election	24 May 2015		61.5		40.0	26.1	17.1	10.8	–	–	–	13.9

Talavera de la Reina

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout							XT	Lead
2019 municipal election	26 May 2019		63.2	20.0		46.6	3.0	10.9	4.1	11.9	2.6	26.6
GfK/FORTA	26 May 2019	?	?	17.8		40.9	5.0	10.8	8.5	12.4	3.8	23.1
2015 municipal election	24 May 2015		64.5		39.5	31.9	14.6	8.7	–	–	–	7.6

Toledo

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout							Lead
2019 municipal election	26 May 2019		69.8	25.5		44.2	0.4	12.6	8.3	8.1	18.7
GfK/FORTA	26 May 2019	?	?	21.3		45.2	–	11.2	9.6	11.0	23.9
PP^[21] ^[22]	9 Dec 2018	?	?	?		?	?	?	?	–	?
SyM Consulting/PSOE^[23] ^[24]	9 Apr 2018	?	?	?		?	?	?	–	–	?
2015 municipal election	24 May 2015		71.9		32.9	30.2	16.7	10.1	1.8	–	2.7

Tomelloso

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout									Lead
2019 municipal election	26 May 2019		61.3		53.7	27.8	5.7		–		8.9	3.1	25.9
Global Market/PSOE^[25] ^[26]	18 Apr 2018	380	?		?	?	?	?	?	?	–	–	?
2015 municipal election	24 May 2015		60.8		34.0	33.3	18.5	6.3	5.6	–	–	–	0.7

Notes and References

1. Web site: El PSOE ganaría los ayuntamientos de las cinco capitales de provincia, Puertollano y Talavera, según el sondeo de GFK para CMM . es . CMM . 26 May 2019.
2. Web site: Ciudadanos sería el partido más votado en las municipales si las elecciones se celebraran hoy . es . Albacete Capital . 28 May 2018.
3. Web site: El PSOE obtendría el 47,8% de los votos en Alcázar si mañana se celebrasen elecciones municipales . es . elsemanaldelamancha.com . 14 January 2019.
4. Web site: ALCÁZAR DE SAN JUAN (Ciudad Real). Encuesta SW Demoscopia: PODEMOS-IU 10,3% (1/2), EQUO 4,4% (0/1), PSOE 47,8% (10/11), Cs 6,7% (1/2), PP 25,2% (6/7), VOX 3,6% . es . Electograph . 14 January 2019.
5. Web site: El PSOE ganaría hoy las elecciones municipales en Alcázar de San Juan y Tomelloso . es . Cadena SER . 18 April 2018.
6. Web site: ALCÁZAR DE SAN JUAN (Ciudad Real). Elecciones municipales. Sondeo Global Market para PSOE. Marzo 2018 . es . Electograph . 18 April 2018.
7. Web site: ENCUESTA EN ALMANSA: Vuelco electoral, pierde el PP, gana el PSOE tanto en las municipales como en las autonómicas . es . diariodecastillalamancha.es . 20 December 2018.
8. Web site: ALMANSA. Encuesta SW Demoscopia: PODEMOS-IU 9,9% (2), PSOE 42,2% (10), Cs 11,2% (2), PP 33,0% (7) . es . Electograph . 20 December 2018.
9. Web site: INFORMATIVO 17 MAYO 2019 . es . Nueva Alcarria . 17 May 2019.
10. Web site: NOTICIAS GUADALAJARA - CORREDOR MAYO 2019 . es . Noticias de Guadalajara . 18 May 2019.
11. Web site: Ciudadanos ganaría las elecciones municipales de Azuqueca si se celebrasen hoy . es . GuadaTV . 15 January 2019.
12. Web site: El PSOE ganaría en Ciudad Real capital con 1 ó 2 ediles más . es . Cadena SER . 16 April 2018.
13. Web site: Pilar Zamora ganaría las elecciones con uno o dos concejales más . es . La Tribuna de Ciudad Real . 16 April 2018.
14. Web site: CIUDAD REAL. Elecciones municipales. Sondeo Global Market para PSOE. Febrero 2018 . es . Electograph . 16 April 2018.
15. Web site: NOTICIAS DE GUADALAJARA MAYO 2019 . es . Noticias de Guadalajara . 14 May 2019.
16. Web site: Guadalajara: empate PSOE-PP . es . Electomanía . 5 March 2019.
17. Web site: NOTICIAS DE GUADALAJARA MARZO 2019 . es . Noticias de Guadalajara . 12 March 2019.
18. Web site: Ciudadanos ganaría las elecciones municipales de Azuqueca si se celebrasen hoy . es . GuadaTV . 15 January 2019.
19. Web site: Julian Nieva ampliaría su mayoría, con 3 concejales más, en Manzanares . es . Cadena SER . 19 April 2018.
20. Web site: El PSOE volvería a ganar las municipales en Puertollano con 9 concejales y un 40,2% de estimación de voto . es . Cadena SER . 19 April 2018.
21. Web site: Nueve ediles a PSOE, 8 a PP, 4 a Ganemos, 3 a Cs y 1 a VOX . es . La Tribuna de Toledo . 9 December 2018.
22. Web site: Una encuesta del PP otorga la victoria al PSOE en Toledo en las próximas elecciones municipales . es . Toledodiario . 9 December 2018.
23. Web site: Una encuesta del PSOE otorga a Tolón 11 ediles, dos más que ahora . es . La Tribuna de Toledo . 9 April 2018.
24. Web site: Tolón ganaría las elecciones de 2019 y podría formar gobierno con Ganemos o Ciudadanos . es . Toledodiario . 9 April 2018.
25. Web site: Una encuesta de Global Market pronostica la victoria del PSOE en Tomelloso . es . La Voz de Tomelloso . 18 April 2018.
26. Web site: TOMELLOSO (Ciudad Real). Elecciones municipales. Sondeo Global Market para PSOE. Marzo 2018 . es . Electograph . 18 April 2018.