Opinion polling for the 2019 Finnish parliamentary election explained

In the run up to the 2019 parliamentary elections in Finland, various organizations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Finland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 19 April 2015, to the present day.

Graphical summary

By party

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The table uses the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if that date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

The Sipilä Cabinet is composed of the top three parties from the previous election: Centre (Kesk), National Coalition (Kok) and Finns (PS) parties. But after the split of the Finns Party, Blue Reform (Sin) took the party's place in the Sipilä Cabinet.

DatePolling FirmKESKKOKPSSDPVIHRVASSFPKDSINOthersLeadGov.Opp.
data-sort-value="2018-04-14"Election result (14 Apr)Ministry of Justice13.817.017.517.711.58.24.53.91.04.90.2(31.8) (63.3)
data-sort-value="2018-04-09"1–9 AprTaloustutkimus14.515.916.319.012.28.74.94.30.83.42.7(31.2) (65.4)
data-sort-value="2019-04-09"3–7 AprKantar TNS14.417.515.019.512.09.64.44.11.12.42.0(33.0) (64.4)
data-sort-value="2019-04-03"25 Mar–3 AprTietoykkönen14.717.013.419.613.39.13.94.12.02.92.6(33.7) (63.4)
data-sort-value="2018-03-26"6 Mar–26 MarTaloustutkimus14.415.815.120.113.09.84.33.50.93.14.3(31.1) (65.8)
data-sort-value="2018-03-15"18 Feb–15 MarKantar TNS14.318.111.121.014.08.94.44.21.22.82.9(33.6) (63.6)
data-sort-value="2018-03-05"6 Feb–5 MarTaloustutkimus14.116.213.321.313.78.94.73.51.82.55.132.1 65.4
data-sort-value="2019-03-03"18 Feb–3 MarTietoykkönen14.118.111.221.313.29.04.14.12.32.63.234.5 62.9
data-sort-value="2018-02-14"14 Jan–14 FebKantar TNS14.718.611.420.813.68.74.34.01.02.92.234.3 62.8
data-sort-value="2018-2-5"14 Jan–5 FebTaloustutkimus15.617.312.020.114.68.64.03.61.42.72.834.3 62.9
data-sort-value="2019-01-28"14–28 JanTietoykkönen14.419.79.921.013.08.94.24.32.12.51.336.2 61.3
data-sort-value="2018-01-16"13 Dec–11 JanKantar TNS15.619.59.720.912.99.44.34.01.12.61.436.2 61.2
data-sort-value="2018-01-08"10 Dec–8 JanTaloustutkimus16.119.610.221.213.69.52.54.21.02.11.636.7 61.2
2018
data-sort-value="2018-12-18"5–18 DecTietoykkönen15.519.69.720.712.99.14.13.91.82.71.136.9 60.4
data-sort-value="2018-12-12"13 Nov–12 DecKantar TNS15.619.48.621.413.49.64.44.11.22.32.036.2 61.5
data-sort-value="2018-12-04"12 Nov–4 DecTaloustutkimus17.019.18.121.513.98.54.04.11.52.32.437.6 60.1
data-sort-value="2018-11-23"14–23 NovTietoykkönen15.119.88.421.413.69.34.53.72.22.01.637.1 60.9
data-sort-value="2018-11-12"15 Oct–12 NovKantar TNS15.419.78.722.412.59.74.44.01.22.02.736.3 61.7
data-sort-value="2018-11-06"3 Oct–6 NovTaloustutkimus16.520.29.822.711.39.24.33.51.11.42.537.8 60.8
data-sort-value="2018-10-30"12–30 OctTietoykkönen15.219.97.722.012.99.54.23.82.32.52.137.4 60.1
data-sort-value="2018-10-11"17 Sep–11 OctKantar TNS15.719.69.122.012.09.84.43.81.42.22.436.7 61.1
data-sort-value="2018-10-02"10 Sep–2 OctTaloustutkimus17.618.99.322.611.69.83.74.11.11.33.737.6 61.1
data-sort-value="2018-09-27"14–27 SepTietoykkönen15.119.97.922.212.39.54.33.92.52.42.337.5 60.1
data-sort-value="2018-09-14"20 Aug–14 SepKantar TNS15.519.78.721.412.99.64.53.91.62.21.736.8 61.0
data-sort-value="2018-09-04"13 Aug–4 SepTaloustutkimus17.819.09.420.312.69.14.33.51.62.41.338.4 59.2
data-sort-value="2018-08-25"13–25 AugTietoykkönen15.519.88.021.913.19.14.23.72.12.62.137.4 60.0
data-sort-value="2018-08-16"16 Jul–16 AugKantar TNS15.520.27.921.713.79.64.34.11.22.01.536.9 61.3
data-sort-value="2018-08-07"9 Jul–7 AugTaloustutkimus17.819.88.721.213.67.74.33.80.82.31.438.4 59.3
data-sort-value="2018-07-12"11 Jun–12 JulKantar TNS15.320.27.822.113.29.64.34.21.32.01.936.8 61.2
data-sort-value="2018-07-03"6 Jun–3 JulTaloustutkimus16.619.710.320.313.98.63.33.61.12.60.637.4 60.0
data-sort-value="2018-06-28"6–26 JunTietoykkönen15.919.77.820.213.99.44.63.92.62.00.538.2 59.8
data-sort-value="2018-06-10"14 May–10 JunKantar TNS15.819.78.021.613.59.24.53.91.72.11.937.3 60.7
data-sort-value="2018-06-05"2 May–5 JunTaloustutkimus17.619.38.320.014.48.93.93.41.72.50.738.6 58.9
data-sort-value="2018-05-31"18–31 MayTietoykkönen15.119.57.921.213.19.04.84.32.52.61.737.1 60.3
data-sort-value="2018-04-12"16 Apr–11 MayKantar TNS15.720.57.721.214.28.74.43.81.72.10.737.9 60.0
data-sort-value="2018-05-02"19 Apr–2 MayTietoykkönen15.919.58.021.813.28.74.64.02.12.22.337.5 60.3
data-sort-value="2018-04-26"3–26 AprTaloustutkimus17.020.28.520.014.99.13.73.31.51.80.238.7 59.5
data-sort-value="2018-04-12"19 Mar–12 AprKantar TNS15.720.68.121.414.08.94.23.51.62.00.837.9 60.1
data-sort-value="2018-03-27"1–27 MarTaloustutkimus16.321.59.220.214.29.03.53.31.51.31.339.3 59.4
data-sort-value="2018-03-26"16–26 MarTietoykkönen16.119.98.221.013.38.74.43.92.02.51.138.0 59.5
data-sort-value="2018-03-15"19 Feb–15 MarKantar TNS15.921.18.520.814.58.54.13.21.42.00.338.4 59.6
data-sort-value="2018-02-06"7–28 FebTaloustutkimus17.020.08.521.014.58.92.93.31.62.31.038.6 59.1
data-sort-value="2018-02-26"14–26 FebTietoykkönen15.520.58.719.613.68.84.83.92.32.30.938.3 59.4
data-sort-value="2018-02-15"22 Jan–15 FebKantar TNS16.321.78.619.014.49.14.23.41.32.02.739.3 58.7
data-sort-value="2018-02-06"28 Dec–6 FebTaloustutkimus17.420.89.618.714.08.14.63.21.62.02.139.8 58.2
data-sort-value="2018-01-30"19–29 JanTietoykkönen15.420.98.219.214.58.64.63.92.72.01.739.0 59.0
data-sort-value="2018-01-18"12 Dec–18 JanKantar TNS15.621.98.119.015.58.84.43.41.51.82.939.0 59.2
2017
data-sort-value="2017-12-27"29 Nov–27 DecTaloustutkimus17.819.88.617.814.08.84.64.02.32.32.039.9 57.8
data-sort-value="2017-12-18"8–18 DecTietoykkönen16.220.87.820.113.79.04.84.11.81.70.738.7 59.5
data-sort-value="2017-12-10"14 Nov–10 DecKantar TNS14.822.28.019.015.49.34.43.31.62.03.238.6 59.4
data-sort-value="2017-11-28"1–28 NovTaloustutkimus17.422.38.419.714.28.03.53.61.11.82.640.8 57.4
data-sort-value="2017-11-13"16 Oct–13 NovKantar TNS15.121.48.719.015.78.84.43.31.62.02.438.1 59.9
data-sort-value="2017-10-31"4–31 OctTaloustutkimus17.422.86.918.414.09.04.93.41.31.94.441.5 56.6
data-sort-value="2017-10-14"18 Sep–14 OctKantar TNS15.421.99.318.116.18.24.43.31.32.03.838.6 59.4
data-sort-value="2017-10-03"11 Sep–3 OctTaloustutkimus15.821.79.917.316.68.33.53.91.51.54.439.0 59.5
data-sort-value="2017-09-23"21 Aug–19 SepKantar TNS16.121.19.217.816.77.94.53.21.32.23.338.5 59.3
data-sort-value="2017-09-05"21 Aug–5 SepTaloustutkimus16.220.810.315.617.88.24.53.31.41.93.038.4 59.7
data-sort-value="2017-08-15"17 Jul–18 AugKantar TNS17.320.77.017.317.58.44.53.51.72.13.239.7 58.2
data-sort-value="2017-08-15"24 Jul–15 AugTaloustutkimus17.320.88.815.917.67.74.83.71.61.83.239.7 58.5
data-sort-value="2017-07-18"26 Jun–18 JulTaloustutkimus16.720.48.118.516.09.24.73.90.71.81.937.8 60.4
data-sort-value="2017-07-14"19 Jun–14 JulKantar TNS16.421.06.319.615.58.94.43.32.52.11.439.9 58.0
data-sort-value="2017-06-20"13–20 JunTaloustutkimus17.021.39.717.115.18.04.03.72.31.84.240.6 57.6
data-sort-value="2017-06-16"22 May–16 JunKantar TNS16.821.26.119.014.98.64.33.33.91.92.241.9 56.2
data-sort-value="2017-05-19"12 Jun–13 JunTietoykkönen17.020.210.417.814.19.15.54.21.72.447.6 50.7
data-sort-value="2017-05-19"10 May–6 JunTaloustutkimus18.420.59.017.715.18.84.83.72.02.147.9 50.1
data-sort-value="2017-05-19"24 Apr–19 MayKantar TNS17.720.69.418.714.38.64.63.72.41.947.7 49.9
data-sort-value="2017-05-09"10 Apr–9 MayTaloustutkimus18.421.19.618.614.67.74.53.61.92.549.1 49.0
data-sort-value="2017-02-11"16 Jan–11 FebTNS Gallup19.818.49.121.611.19.14.83.52.61.847.3 50.1
data-sort-value="2017-01-11"19 Dec–11 JanTNS Gallup19.918.78.621.712.18.54.43.62.51.847.2 50.3
2016
data-sort-value="2016-12-08"14 Nov–08 DecTNS Gallup20.818.49.920.811.28.24.63.52.6049.1 48.3
data-sort-value="2016-11-29"2–29 NovTaloustutkimus20.418.98.521.112.68.64.03.62.30.747.8 49.9
data-sort-value="2016-11-11"17 Oct–11 NovTNS Gallup20.918.610.120.411.67.94.63.52.40.549.6 48.0
data-sort-value="2016-11-01"5 Oct–1 NovTaloustutkimus19.618.88.521.213.68.74.03.42.21.647.1 50.9
data-sort-value="2016-10-14"19 Sep–14 OctTNS Gallup20.917.79.721.311.87.94.73.52.40.448.3 49.2
data-sort-value="2016-10-04"12 Sep–04 OctTaloustutkimus20.517.19.220.514.08.84.33.81.8046.8 51.4
data-sort-value="2016-09-15"22 Aug–15 SepTNS Gallup20.917.99.620.212.68.64.63.32.30.748.4 49.3
data-sort-value="2016-09-06"15 Aug–06 SepTaloustutkimus20.717.78.420.013.69.34.73.62.00.746.8 51.2
data-sort-value="2016-08-18"18 Jul–18 AugTNS Gallup20.617.39.519.112.99.64.83.72.51.547.4 50.1
data-sort-value="2016-08-09"11 Jul–09 AugTaloustutkimus21.817.67.618.913.79.84.34.32.02.947.0 50.8
data-sort-value="2016-07-15"20 Jun–15 JulTNS Gallup21.117.89.518.713.39.04.93.42.32.448.4 49.3
data-sort-value="2016-07-05"08 Jun–05 JulTaloustutkimus21.118.68.618.214.19.24.33.62.32.548.3 49.4
data-sort-value="2016-06-16"16 May–16 JunTNS Gallup20.917.09.120.613.68.24.73.72.20.347.0 50.8
data-sort-value="2016-06-07"9 May–7 JunTaloustutkimus20.217.79.020.114.88.34.23.52.20.146.9 50.9
data-sort-value="2016-05-14"12–14 MayTNS Gallup20.717.79.322.011.49.04.33.42.21.347.7 50.1
data-sort-value="2016-05-03"4 Apr–3 MayTaloustutkimus20.417.08.521.513.58.54.53.62.51.145.9 51.6
data-sort-value="2016-04-11"14 Mar–11 AprTNS Gallup20.617.19.721.711.78.74.43.72.41.147.4 50.2
data-sort-value="2016-03-30"7–30 MarTaloustutkimus21.717.19.520.312.58.34.73.62.31.448.3 49.4
data-sort-value="2016-02-14"15 Feb–11 MarTNS Gallup21.517.410.221.410.98.34.53.52.30.149.1 48.6
data-sort-value="2016-03-01"3 Feb–1 MarTaloustutkimus20.716.99.022.910.78.94.53.92.52.246.6 50.9
data-sort-value="2016-02-14"18 Jan–14 FebTNS Gallup21.418.09.921.210.88.54.33.72.20.249.3 48.5
data-sort-value="2016-02-02"11 Jan–2 FebTaloustutkimus20.917.39.821.512.38.64.13.42.10.648.0 49.9
data-sort-value="2016-01-14"14 Dec–14 JanTNS Gallup19.717.99.622.811.17.94.54.22.33.147.2 50.5
2015
data-sort-value="2015-12-29"7–29 DecTaloustutkimus21.418.78.922.711.77.33.93.42.01.349.0 49.0
data-sort-value="2015-12-10"16 Nov–10 DecTNS Gallup20.917.710.821.111.38.44.33.52.00.249.4 48.6
data-sort-value="2015-12-01"9 Nov–1 DecTaloustutkimus21.618.38.921.012.68.14.63.51.40.648.8 49.8
data-sort-value="2015-11-12"19 Oct–12 NovTNS Gallup21.618.411.019.611.68.04.33.52.02.051.0 47.0
data-sort-value="2015-11-04"12 Oct–3 NovTaloustutkimus21.718.39.820.712.27.44.43.42.11.049.8 48.1
data-sort-value="2015-10-16"14 Sep–16 OctTNS Gallup22.217.711.418.311.58.64.43.92.03.951.3 46.7
data-sort-value="2015-10-06"7 Sep–6 OctTaloustutkimus21.718.010.718.312.78.34.84.01.53.750.4 48.1
data-sort-value="2015-09-10"10 Aug–10 SepTNS Gallup22.318.015.615.011.17.84.83.51.94.355.9 42.2
data-sort-value="2015-09-01"10 Aug–1 SepTaloustutkimus23.018.915.014.412.47.64.22.91.64.156.9 41.5
data-sort-value="2015-08-07"13 Jul–7 AugTNS Gallup23.217.616.714.211.47.24.73.11.95.657.5 40.6
data-sort-value="2015-08-04"7 Jul–4 AugTaloustutkimus23.118.215.614.512.77.83.92.71.54.956.9 41.6
data-sort-value="2015-07-09"15 Jun–9 JulTNS Gallup21.918.217.614.79.87.94.53.32.13.757.7 40.2
data-sort-value="2015-07-01"3 Jun–1 JulTaloustutkimus22.717.315.614.611.58.44.53.42.05.455.6 42.4
data-sort-value="2015-06-11"18 May–11 JunTNS Gallup21.018.518.014.810.07.84.53.22.22.557.5 40.4
data-sort-value="2015-06-02"4 May–2 JunTaloustutkimus23.116.717.515.010.57.54.53.12.15.657.3 40.6
data-sort-value="2015-05-15"20 Apr–15 MayTNS Gallup21.118.019.215.19.36.84.63.42.51.958.3 39.2
data-sort-value="2015-04-19"19 Apr 2015Election Results21.118.217.716.58.57.14.93.52.52.957.0 40.5

Seats

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 101 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Finnish Parliament.

101 seats needed for majority
DatePolling FirmKESKPSKOKSDPVIHRVASSFPKDSINOthers
9 Apr 2019Taloustutkimus332936452616752
26 Mar 2019Taloustutkimus352240472716741
5 Mar 2019Taloustutkimus36214149261574
5 Feb 2019Taloustutkimus382039492616731
10 Jan 2019Taloustutkimus42154347251575
2015 Election-4938373415129501

Preferred Prime Minister polling

Some opinion pollsters have asked voters which party leader they would prefer as Prime Minister.

This article is licensed under the GNU Free Documentation License. It uses material from the Wikipedia article "Opinion polling for the 2019 Finnish parliamentary election".

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DatePolling FirmJuha SipiläPetteri OrpoJussi Halla-ahoTimo SoiniAntti RinnePekka HaavistoTouko AaltoVille NiinistöLi AnderssonAnna-Maja HenrikssonSari EssayahPaavo VäyrynenSampo Terho
data-sort-value="2018-04-02"25 Mar–2 Apr 2019Taloustutkimus1012814217231
data-sort-value="2018-03-27"27 Mar 2019Kantar TNS1416915225
data-sort-value="2018-02-17"17 Feb 2019Kantar TNS10159121881
data-sort-value="2018-01-05"5 Jan 2019Taloustutkimus1316512225141
data-sort-value="2018-01-31"12-17 Jan 2018Kantar TNS1217983132
data-sort-value="2017-11-07"7 Nov 2017Taloustutkimus152578812
data-sort-value="2017-06-29"28–29 Jun 2017Taloustutkimus211913114613
data-sort-value="2017-06-28"19–28 Jun 2017Taloustutkimus26.430.68.315.38.36.9
data-sort-value="2016-12-19"19–31 Dec 2016Taloustutkimus25.419.77.015.522.52.87.0