Opinion polling for the 2016 Philippine Senate election explained

In most polls (surveys) for the Senate, a respondent is given the option to give up to 12 names.

Voting preferences per candidate

In this table, the people that are in the top twelve are boldfaced, while those within the margin of error are italicized.

Until filing of candidacies

class=unsortable rowspan=4Name and party !class=unsortable rowspan=4DateJun 24–Jul 2, 2014Sep 8–15, 2014Nov 14–20, 2014Mar 1–7, 2015May 30–Jun 7, 2015Sep 2–5, 2015
PollsterPulse Asia[1] Pulse Asia[2] Pulse Asia[3] Pulse Asia[4] Pulse Asia[5] SWS[6]
Sample size1,2001,2001,2001,2001,2001,200
class=unsortableMargin of errordata-sort-type="number"±3%data-sort-type="number"±3%data-sort-type="number"±3%data-sort-type="number"±3%±3%±3%
Florencio Abad5.05.6————
Benny Abante——1.9———
Joseph Emilio Abaya——3.53.04.74
Persida Acosta——10.17.5—2
Jose Rene Almendras2.71.5——2.9—
Rafael Alunan—1.41.22.31.5—
Kris Aquino—————7
Baby Arenas——1.53.33.1—
Lito AtienzaBuhay22.122.026.725.326.6—
Robert "Ace" Barbers10.610.3————
Herbert Bautista32.3—————
Darlene Berabarabe——0.72.20.7—
Ruffy Biazon18.417.018.619.623.5—
Abigail Binay————26.8—
Jejomar Binay—————12
Teodoro Casiño—9.29.06.9——
Lino Cayetano32.027.731.329.736.1—
Arnold Clavio—7.911.48.1——
Neri Colmenares2.22.62.52.54.13
Miriam Coronel-Ferrer————1.1—
Dingdong Dantes11.511.112.813.015.26
Randy David——4.44.12.7—
Rizalito David—————1
Leila de Lima28.635.333.836.038.733
John Carlos de los Reyes3.9—————
Jose Manuel Diokno——2.8———
Franklin Drilon44.742.644.944.145.942
Ace Durano3.6—————
Rodrigo Duterte————39.2—
Edgar Erice—1.7————
Leonardo Espina—————2
Precy Estrada————16.5—
Rodolfo Fariñas2.92.92.36.1——
Janette Garin—————3
Win Gatchalian5.03.28.15.85.310
Richard J. Gordon45.145.942.935.539.729
TG Guingona30.823.531.829.828.123
Edward Hagedorn20.119.622.0———
Mujiv Hataman3.02.63.12.93.0—
Kim Henares———7.1—3
Ernesto Herrera——8.7———
Risa Hontiveros32.430.735.433.127.021
Lorna Kapunan———2.1——
Princess Jacel Kiram—————2
Panfilo Lacson47.147.152.958.367.447
Rey Langit——4.33.8——
Mark Lapid18.115.618.227.622.7—
Danilo Lim6.54.87.37.06.2—
Joey Lina——5.1———
Jun Lozada4.3—4.13.9——
Romulo Macalintal——2.6———
Jamby Madrigal38.235.934.933.133.9—
Edu Manzano——11.9———
Mitos Magsaysay23.220.621.518.9——
Bongbong Marcos43.847.240.547.254.240
Lani Mercado—————15
Alma Moreno——8.8———
Isko Moreno—24.519.622.923.64
Sergio Osmeña III37.435.437.836.041.228
Manny Pacquiao25.631.321.929.537.630
Francis Pangilinan54.751.549.244.746.940
Jericho Petilla—2.32.12.13.12
Gwendolyn Pimentel18.916.8————
Juan Ponce Enrile, Jr.23.820.423.6———
Manuel Quezon III6.4—————
Miro Quimbo—————0.8
Apollo Quiboloy———0.2———
Amina Rasul4.64.54.84.9——
Ralph Recto52.744.145.143.947.643
Danton RemotoLadlad0.60.70.60.40.4—
Gilbert Remulla11.011.711.38.77.4—
Lani Revilla28.421.419.019.019.1—
Leni Robredo15.220.612.49.613.123
Rufus Rodriguez5.44.84.75.22.94
Martin Romualdez4.82.65.86.95.28
Bernadette Romulo-Puyat—0.8————
Roman Romulo—3.34.43.23.33
Harry Roque——0.50.91.21
Etta Rosales2.11.9————
Mar Roxas47.047.6————
Joey Salceda3.14.06.06.5——
Vilma Santos—44.5———18
Shalani Soledad8.98.7————
Corazon Soliman—11.7————
Tito Sotto53.851.654.759.363.454
Lorenzo Tañada III4.24.06.46.66.7—
Gilberto Teodoro, Jr.—————3
"Niel Tupas" (unspecified)—3.9————
Niel Tupas, Jr.—————4
Francis Tolentino12.29.714.215.617.810
Reynaldo Umali2.2————0.6
Luis Raymond Villafuerte2.42.1————
Mark Villar—————24
Joel Villanueva7.45.38.39.217.212
Migz Zubiri42.241.545.540.243.932
Others—0.6————4
Don't know—0.20.10.50.40.1
Refused—0.30.40.31.00.6
None—1.81.03.62.10.1

Until the campaign period

class=unsortable rowspan=4Name and party !class=unsortable rowspan=4DateOct 25 to Nov 5, 2015 Nov 28, 2015 Dec 4-11, 2015 Dec 4-12, 2015 Dec 12-14, 2015Jan 8-10, 2016Jan 24–28, 2016 Feb 5–7, 2016
PollsterMBC-DZRH[7] [8] Pulse Asia[9] Standard[10] SWS[11] SWS[12] Pulse Asia[13] SWS[14]
Sample size3,607 7,436 1,800 1,500 1,2001,2001,8001,200
class=unsortableMargin of errordata-sort-type="number"±2.5% !±1.14% ±2% ±2.6% ±3% ±3% ±2% ±3%
Shariff Albani— — — — — 01 — —
Aldin Ali— — — 05.00 — 01 — —
Rafael Alunan — 04.38 — — — 03 — —
Ina Ambolodto— 02.56 — — — 00.8 ——
Aladon Ampatuan— 03.53 — — — — — —
Tonyboy Aquino— 12.4 — — — — 08.6 —
Levito Baligod— 01.90 — — — — — —
Greco Belgica— 02.29 — — — 00.8 — —
Walden Bello— 03.17 — — — 02 — —
Sandra Cam— 02.39 — — — 02 — —
Melchor Chavez— — — 06.00 — 08 07.5 —
Neri Colmenares07.94 09.48 — 07.00 — 06 17.1 — -Leila de Lima34.91 36.27 46.80 40.00 35.00 33 48.6 35
Franklin Drilon41.26 47.74 55.1047.00 39.00 43 58.8 40
Mary Lou Estrada— — 15.90 — 12.00 — — —
Win Gatchalian13.79 19.46 36.00 25.00 21.00 17 37.7 23
Richard J. Gordon31.47 37.07 57.0033.00 32.00 31 48.6 26
TG Guingona21.70 26.22 38.60 26.00 28.00 28 41.4 26
Rodrigo Gutang— 02.27 — — — — — —
Risa Hontiveros29.16 33.81 35.70 28.00 26.00 28 41.1 27
Dante Jimenez— 04.82 — — — — — —
Lorna Kapunan— 04.66 — — — 05 — —
Princess Jacel Kiram— 03.98 — — — 02 — —
Panfilo Lacson49.86 54.00 58.50 46.00 46.00 49 63.3 49
Razel Lagman— 03.50 — — — — — —
Rey Langit06.60 10.72 — 05.00 — 05 — —
Mark Lapid24.97 21.18 20.90 19.00 19.00 19 27.2 19
Dante Liban— 01.72 — — — — — —
Romeo Maganto— 02.80 — — — 03 — —
Edu Manzano18.90 21.38 22.50 19.00 15.00 16 24.5 18
Allan Montaño— 04.94 — 05.00 — 06 — —
Ramon Montaño— 04.57 — — — — — —
Alma Moreno08.88 11.04 — 12.00 13.00 11.1 11.8 —
Isko Moreno14.10 18.64 19.20 20.00 30.00 28 24.5 —
— 03.12 — — — 03 — —
Susan Ople06.33 10.12 — 06.00 — 09 09.1 —
Sergio Osmeña III33.88 37.89 49.80 33.00 38.00 42 54.8 37
Manny Pacquiao34.21 36.64 40.00 37.00 40.00 37 46.9 35
Cresente Paez— 01.28 — — — 00.6 — —
Samuel Pagdilao— 03.06 — — — 02 — —
Jovito Palparan— 04.45 — — — 03 — —
Francis Pangilinan43.62 43.33 54.50 48.00 56.00 46 65.6 42
Jericho Petilla06.88 05.34 — — — 03 07.4 —
Ralph Recto44.34 45.98 58.90 44.00 56.00 46 59.9 46
Martin Romualdez11.76 14.20 21.60 28.00 13.00 13 19.1 18
Roman Romulo— 06.24 — — — 06 — —
Tito Sotto57.99 58.00 67.9057.00 59.00 56 68.8 52
Francis Tolentino13.24 17.76 23.50 12.00 24.00 1923.7 19
Joel Villanueva14.04 19.24 29.40 17.00 20.00 19 31.1 22
Migz Zubiri40.18 46.97 55.9039.00 40.00 39 54.9 38
Others—— — — — — — — —
Don't know—08.15 — — — — 03 — —
Refused—— — — — — — — —
None—— — — — — — — —

Campaign period

class=unsortable rowspan=4Name and party !class=unsortable rowspan=4DateFeb 13, 2016 Feb 15–20, 2016Feb 16–27, 2016Feb 24–Mar 1, 2016Mar 30–Apr 2, 2016
PollsterMBC-DZRH[15] [16] [17] Pulse Asia[18] Pulse Asia[19] Standard[20] SWS[21]
Sample size7,572 1,800 5,200 3,000 1,500
class=unsortableMargin of errordata-sort-type="number"±1.13% ±2% ±1.4% ±1.8% ±3%
Shariff Albani03.1 3.0 2.6 1 —
Aldin Ali02.6 2.6 2.5 1 —
Rafael Alunan 03.2 3.9 3.1 2 —
Ina Ambolodto02.2 3.4 2.9 3 —
Gofredo Arquiza02.5 1.0 2.2 1 —
Levito Baligod02.3 1.3 1.9 1 —
Greco Belgica02.3 0.9 1.8 1 —
Walden Bello03.3 2.1 2.8 1 —
Sandra Cam02.9 0.8 1.1 1 —
Melchor Chavez08.6 6.4 8.1 4 6
Neri Colmenares12.6 13.5 11.1 13 7
Leila de Lima38.1 45.3 35.1 30 31
Ray Dorona02.9 0.6 1.0 1 —
Franklin Drilon41.2 52.4 46.5 36 45
Larry Gadon04.6 1.9 4.1 3 —
Win Gatchalian28.3 41.2 26.1 32 25
Richard J. Gordon33.4 42.6 34.9 30 30
TG Guingona24.2 36.7 28.2 30 21
Risa Hontiveros31.3 36.2 33.1 39 30
Eid Kabalu01.9 2.0 1.5 1 —
Lorna Kapunan04.8 5.0 3.9 3 —
Princess Jacel Kiram03.0 2.4 2.3 2 —
Panfilo Lacson53.0 60.2 44.9 36 37
Rey Langit08.6 7.7 5.2 3 —
Mark Lapid20.6 21.5 20.3 19 21
Dante Liban02.4 1.2 1.2 1 —
Romeo Maganto03.3 2.8 3.2 2 —
Edu Manzano21.8 17.1 19.3 12 16
Allan Montaño04.8 3.5 4.8 3 7
Ramon Montaño03.2 2.1 2.9 1 —
Alma Moreno12.8 11.2 6.7 7 7
Isko Moreno15.0 19.2 10.2 25 16
03.9 2.5 4.0 2 —
Susan Ople08.0 10.2 7.9 5 —
Sergio Osmeña III33.6 43.7 36.3 25 30
Manny Pacquiao37.9 34.8 33.2 30 31
Cresente Paez02.1 0.7 0.8 0.4 —
Samuel Pagdilao03.0 1.8 2.0 1 —
Jovito Palparan03.7 2.8 2.4 2 —
Francis Pangilinan42.2 54.1 47.2 43 37
Jericho Petilla03.7 9.1 7.9 7 10
Ralph Recto43.4 53.4 43.5 43 30
Martin Romualdez17.4 22.0 20.6 31 22
Roman Romulo05.8 6.5 5.9 4 —
Dionisio Santiago04.0 5.3 6.2 3 —
Tito Sotto51.0 63.6 50.6 50 42
Francis Tolentino18.0 24.0 20.5 19 24
Diosdado Valeroso02.1 0.8 1.1 1 —
Joel Villanueva27.7 39.1 28.5 36 28
Migz Zubiri46.6 48.5 39.4 37 31
OthersN/AN/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Don't know— — 0.8 — — —
Refused— — 0.1 — — —
None— — 1.4 7.8 7 —

Seats won

In this table, the first figure are seat totals within the top twelve; if a party has any of its members within the margin of error of the twelfth-placed candidate, it is denoted by the second figure inside the parenthesis. Parties that won the majority (7 or more) of the seats contested are boldfaced; those which had the plurality of seats are italicized.

Pollster Date(s) administered Sample
size 		Margin of
error		AKBLakasLPNPNPCPDPUNAOthersInd.
2013 election May 13, 2013 40.1 million NA0 0 1 3 1 0 3 2 2
Jun 24–Jul 2, 2014 1,200 ±3%1 0 (1) 5 (2) 1 (1) 1 0 2 0 2 (1)
Sep 8–15, 2014 1,200 ±3%0 (1) 0 6 1 1 0 2 (1) 0 2 (1)
Nov 14–20, 2014 1,200 ±3%1 0 4 (1) 1 (1)1 0 2 0 3
Mar 1–7, 2015 1,200 ±3%1 0 4 (1) 1 (1) 1 0 2 (1) 0 3
May 30–Jun 5, 2015 1,200 ±3%0 0 3 (1) 1 (1) 1 1 3 0 3
Sep 2–5, 2015 1,200 ±3%0 0 3 2 1 0 3 0 3
MBC-DZRHNov 28, 20157,436±1.14%
Pulse AsiaDec 4–11, 20151,800±2%
StandardDec 4–13, 20151,500±2.6%
SWSDec 12–14, 20151,200±3%
SWSJan 8–10, 20161,200±3%
Pulse AsiaJan 24–28, 20161,800±2%

Senate composition

In this table, the first figure are seat totals within the top twelve; if a party has any of its members within the margin of error of the twelfth-placed candidate, it is denoted by the second figure inside the parenthesis. Parties that won the majority (13 or more) of the seats contested are boldfaced; those which had the plurality of seats are italicized.

Pollster Date(s) administered Sample
size 		Margin of
error		width=40pxAKBwidth=40pxLakaswidth=40pxLPwidth=40pxNPwidth=40pxNPCwidth=40pxPDPwidth=40pxUNAOtherswidth=40pxInd.
2013 election May 13, 2013 40.1 million NA0 2 4 5 2 1 5 2 3
Jun 24–Jul 2, 2014 1,200 ±3%1 0 (1) 6 (2) 4 (1) 2 0 5 2 4 (1)
Sep 8–15, 2014 1,200 ±3%0 (1)0 7 4 2 0 5 (1) 2 4 (1)
Pulse AsiaNov 14–20, 20141,200±3%104 (1)4 (1)20525
Pulse AsiaMar 1–7, 20151,200±3%105 (1)4 (1)205 (1)25
Pulse AsiaMay 30–Jun 5, 20151,200±3%004 (1)3 (1)21625
SWSSep 2–5, 20151,200±3%004520625
MBC-DZRHNov 28, 20157,436±1.14%
Pulse AsiaDec 4–11, 20151,800±2%
StandardDec 4–13, 20151,500±2.6%
SWSDec 12–14, 20151,200±3%
SWSJan 8–10, 20161,200±3%
Pulse AsiaJan 24–28, 20161,800±2%

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Pulse Asia Research's June 2014 Nationwide Survey on the May 2016 Elections. 2014-07-21. 2015-04-17. PulseAsia . Pulse Asia. Holmes. Ronald D..
  2. Web site: Pulse Asia Research's September 2014 Nationwide Survey on the May 2016 Elections. 2014-09-29. 2015-04-17. PulseAsia . Pulse Asia. Holmes. Ronald D..
  3. Web site: Pulse Asia November 2014 Senatorial Survey . 2014-09-29. 2015-04-17. PulseAsia . Rappler. Holmes. Ronald D..
  4. News: Sotto, Lacson still lead senatorial poll. 2014-03-17. 2015-04-17. Rappler.
  5. Web site: Pulse Asia Research's June 2015 Nationwide Survey on the May 2016 Elections. PulseAsia.ph. 2015-06-18.
  6. Web site: BusinessWorld-SWS September 2015 Pre-Election Survey: Sotto, Lacson, and Recto lead Senatorial race. SWS.org.ph. 2015-09-25 . 2015-09-28.
  7. http://cnnphilippines.com/news/2015/12/04/Duterte-Escudero-2016-elections.html Duterte Escudero
  8. News: Duterte tops MBC-DZRH pre-election survey. DZRH. December 4, 2015.
  9. News: Sotto leads senatorial choices in Pulse survey. Philippine Daily Inquirer. December 23, 2015.
  10. News: Only four new faces make it in Senate poll. Manila Standard. December 23, 2015.
  11. News: Sotto, Pangilinan lead in SWS survey. Philippine Daily Inquirer. December 24, 2015.
  12. Web site: Binay leads over Poe, Roxas and Duterte in Presidential race; Escudero and Marcos lead over Robredo and Cayetano in VP race; Sotto, Lacson, Recto and Pangilinan lead Senatorial race. www.sws.org.ph. 2016-01-15. https://web.archive.org/web/20160126095416/http://www.sws.org.ph/pr20160115.htm. 2016-01-26. dead.
  13. Web site: High awareness of Pacquiao could make him senator. 2016-02-06.
  14. Web site: Binay slips, Duterte up in SWS survey. www.sws.org.ph. 2016-01-15.
  15. News: DZRH News – Desisyon 2016: Poe, Chiz tops MBC second wave survey. DZRH. February 18, 2016.
  16. News: Poe leads, Binay gains in MBC poll. The Manila Times. February 18, 2016.
  17. Web site: Poe, Chiz top DZRH survey | Tempo - News in a Flash . . 2016-02-19 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160302145442/http://www.tempo.com.ph/2016/02/19/news/main/poe-chiz-top-dzrh-survey/ . 2016-03-02 . dead .
  18. Web site: MR1 - PB2016-2 MR on the May 2016 Elections (Final).PDF.
  19. Web site: ABS-CBN National Survey MR on the May 2016 Elections (Final).PDF.
  20. News: The Standard Poll Complete Results (Feb. 24 - Mar. 1, 2016) - Manila Standard. Manila Standard. 2016-03-10. 2016-05-14. https://web.archive.org/web/20160514040631/http://thestandard.com.ph/the-standard-poll/201325/the-standard-poll-complete-results-feb-24-mar-1-2016-.html. dead.
  21. News: Duterte leads in new SWS survey. BusinessWorld. April 10, 2016. April 11, 2016.

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