Opinion polling for the 2015 Spanish local elections (Castilla–La Mancha) explained

In the run up to the 2015 Spanish local elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities in Castilla–La Mancha are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 22 May 2011, to the day the next elections were held, on 24 May 2015.

Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.

Municipalities

Albacete

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout								Lead
2015 municipal election	24 May 2015		67.3		33.5	27.3		1.7		13.6	15.3	6.2
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA^[1] ^[2] ^[3]	24 May 2015	?	?		36.7	24.7		–		14.3	12.8	12.0
NC Report/El Digital de Albacete^[4] ^[5]	4–7 May 2015	600	?		40.3	23.3		2.4	9.1	15.5	5.9	17.0
Sigma Dos/La Tribuna^[6] ^[7]	29–30 Apr 2015	600	?		38.6	24.8		–		16.8	15.7	13.8
Noxa/La Calle^[8] ^[9]	11–17 Apr 2015	?	?		33.0	32.7	4.3	4.5	14.0	8.4	–	0.3
2011 municipal election	22 May 2011		70.0		52.1	33.2	6.2	3.7	–	–	–	18.9

Almansa

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout			AEIA	DPA				Lead
2015 municipal election	24 May 2015		71.4	34.9		44.1	1.4	4.7	8.3	0.9	3.8	9.2
PSOE^[10]	8–15 May 2015	250	?		36.0	24.4	4.0	6.0	10.4	0.8	11.2	11.6
2011 municipal election	22 May 2011		72.4		36.9	32.4	14.1	5.9	4.9	2.4	–	4.5

Azuqueca de Henares

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout							G	Lead
2015 municipal election	24 May 2015		65.1		41.4	20.6	13.0	2.1	–	13.1	6.2	20.8
Noxa/La Calle	11–17 Apr 2015	?	?		44.6	27.3	5.1	3.2	8.2	9.5	–	17.3
2011 municipal election	22 May 2011		66.3		47.9	38.3	7.1	–	–	–	–	9.6

Ciudad Real

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout								Lead
2015 municipal election	24 May 2015		66.7		36.8	31.2		3.4		7.5	15.7	5.6
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA^[11]	24 May 2015	?	?	32.0		33.0		–		10.0	18.1	1.0
Sigma Dos/La Tribuna^[12] ^[13]	20–21 Apr 2015	400	?		44.4	18.9		–		19.9	12.5	24.5
Noxa/La Calle	11–17 Apr 2015	?	?		38.7	37.1	2.8	5.0	6.3	7.2	–	1.6
2011 municipal election	22 May 2011		69.9		51.6	31.7	5.9	4.9	–	–	–	19.9

Cuenca

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout							Lead
2015 municipal election	24 May 2015		68.2	32.6		37.3	12.8	2.1	–	10.3	4.7
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA^[14]	24 May 2015	?	?		35.3	31.5	16.2	–	–	10.9	3.8
Sigma Dos/La Tribuna^[15] ^[16] ^[17]	20–21 Apr 2015	400	?	31.6		35.3	14.8	1.5	–	13.1	3.7
Noxa/La Calle	11–17 Apr 2015	?	?		38.6	37.0	4.0	3.8	8.5	5.1	1.6
2011 municipal election	22 May 2011		72.4		43.8	43.3	4.5	2.9	–	–	0.5

Guadalajara

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout							AG	G	Lead
2015 municipal election	24 May 2015		69.3		37.2	28.3		2.1		9.6	16.8	2.3	8.9
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA^[18]	24 May 2015	?	?		34.9	31.5		–		11.0	12.0	5.1	3.4
Noxa/La Calle	11–17 Apr 2015	?	?		39.2	30.8	3.8	3.7	11.8	7.7	–	–	8.4
2011 municipal election	22 May 2011		72.3		54.2	30.4	6.1	3.4	–	–	–	–	23.8

Hellín

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout					Lead
2015 municipal election	24 May 2015		59.5	33.7		37.1	9.8	9.2	3.4
ACG/El Objetivo de Hellín^[19] ^[20]	7–22 Jan 2014	250	?	31.9		38.9	25.7	–	7.0
2011 municipal election	22 May 2011		67.8		43.5	40.1	11.9	–	3.4

Puertollano

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout							CPP	Lead
2015 municipal election	24 May 2015		61.5		40.0	26.1	17.1	–	–	10.8	4.1	13.9
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA^[21]	24 May 2015	?	?		40.3	28.2	16.8	–	–	8.8	–	12.1
Sigma Dos/La Tribuna^[22]	12–14 May 2015	400	?		39.4	25.7	11.5	–	–	10.6	7.4	13.7
IES Juan de Távora^[23]	7–10 May 2015	500	?		42.1	21.3	8.4	–	–	15.0	8.0	20.8
Noxa/La Calle	11–17 Apr 2015	?	?		51.6	27.3	4.1	2.4	8.6	4.2	–	24.3
2011 municipal election	22 May 2011		63.3		44.5	38.9	11.1	3.5	–	–	–	5.6

Talavera de la Reina

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout								Lead
2015 municipal election	24 May 2015		64.5		39.5	31.9		1.3		8.7	14.6	7.6
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA^[24]	24 May 2015	?	?		38.4	29.5		–		11.8	15.6	8.9
Sigma Dos/La Tribuna^[25] ^[26]	21–22 Apr 2015	400	?		32.4	30.7		–		14.5	18.8	1.7
La Voz del Tajo^[27]	16–20 Apr 2015	5,023	?	40.8		42.3		1.5		8.0	7.4	1.5
Noxa/La Calle	11–17 Apr 2015	?	?	38.2		39.9	2.7	2.2	8.2	5.8	–	1.7
2011 municipal election	22 May 2011		69.2		52.0	36.9	6.0	2.9	–	–	–	15.1

Toledo

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout									Lead
2015 municipal election	24 May 2015		71.9	30.2		32.9		1.2		10.1	16.7	1.8	2.7
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA^[28]	24 May 2015	?	?	30.0		33.2		–		11.7	15.4	–	3.2
GAD3/ABC^[29]	23–28 Apr 2015	440	?	29.8		37.6		2.3		8.2	16.5	–	7.8
Sigma Dos/La Tribuna^[30] ^[31]	24–27 Apr 2015	400	?	33.8		34.4		–		14.5	13.8	–	0.6
Noxa/La Calle	11–17 Apr 2015	?	?		40.1	35.3	4.1	4.0	7.2	7.0	–	–	4.8
Celeste-Tel/PSOE^[32] ^[33]	23 Mar–1 Apr 2015	500	?		41.0	32.7		0.6		12.8	8.7	3.3	8.3
2011 municipal election	22 May 2011		75.2		43.8	42.4	7.9	2.4	–	–	–	–	1.4

Notes and References

1. Web site: El PP sería el partido más votado en Albacete, Guadalajara y Toledo . es . Guadaqué . 24 May 2015.
2. Web site: Un sondeo de Demoscopia para CMT da ganador al PP en Albacete con 11-13 concejales, 7-8 PSOE, 4-5 Ciudadanos y 3-4 Ganemos . es . El Digital de Albacete . 24 May 2015.
3. Web site: Sondeo TNS Demoscopia Albacete . es . eldiario.es CLM . 24 May 2015.
4. Web site: El PP ganaría las elecciones en Albacete con 13 concejales, a uno de la mayoría absoluta. Ciudadanos, Participa y Ganemos entrarían en el Ayuntamiento . es . El Digital de Albacete . 17 May 2015.
5. Web site: ALBACETE, Mayo 2015. Sondeo NC Report . es . Electograph . 17 May 2015.
6. Web site: El PP será el partido más votado y está cerca de la mayoría absoluta . es . La Tribuna de Albacete . 11 May 2015.
7. Web site: ALBACETE, Abril 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos . es . Electograph . 12 May 2015.
8. Web site: Page ganaría a Cospedal en la mayoría de grandes localidades de la región . es . La Calle . 23 April 2015. https://web.archive.org/web/20150430013630/http://www.lacalle.info/page-ganaria-a-cospedal-en-la-mayoria-de-grandes-localidades-de-la-region/ . 2015-04-30 .
9. Web site: CASTILLA-LA MANCHA (Grandes municipios), Abril 2015. Sondeo La Calle . es . Electograph . 23 April 2015.
10. Web site: ENCUESTA ELECTORAL: El "caso Giba Cars" hunde al PP en Almansa . es . dclm.es . 15 May 2015.
11. Web site: Sondeo TNS Demoscopia Ciudad Real . es . eldiario.es CLM . 24 May 2015.
12. Web site: El PP gana sin mayoría absoluta y Ciudadanos desbanca al PSOE . es . La Tribuna de Ciudad Real . 4 May 2015.
13. Web site: CIUDAD REAL, Abril 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos . es . Electograph . 4 May 2015.
14. Web site: Sondeo TNS Demoscopia Cuenca . es . eldiario.es CLM . 24 May 2015.
15. Web site: El PP ganará las elecciones municipales en Cuenca pero dependerá de los pactos, según una encuesta . es . El Digital de Castilla-La Mancha . 6 May 2015.
16. Web site: El PP ganaría las elecciones municipales en Cuenca, aunque lejos de la mayoría . es . Sigma Dos . 6 May 2015.
17. Web site: CUENCA, Abril 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos . es . Electograph . 6 May 2015.
18. Web site: Sondeo TNS Demoscopia Guadalajara . es . eldiario.es CLM . 24 May 2015.
19. Web site: El barómetro de El Objetivo de Hellín . es . Electograph . 16 April 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20140518043548/http://www.elobjetivodehellin.com/index.php/component/k2/item/650-el-barometro-de-el-objetivo-de-hellin . 2014-05-18 .
20. Web site: HELLÍN (Albacete), Enero 2014. ACG . es . Electograph . 16 April 2014.
21. Web site: Sondeo TNS Demoscopia Puertollano . es . eldiario.es CLM . 24 May 2015.
22. Web site: El PSOE resiste y el PP se deja tres concejales en un Ayuntamiento de Puertollano con cinco partidos políticos . es . La Tribuna de Ciudad Real . 18 May 2015.
23. Web site: Puertollano: Una encuesta electoral de alumnos del Instituto Juan de Távora coloca al PSOE en mayoría y deja al PP con la mitad de sus concejales . es . MICIUDADREAL . 18 May 2015.
24. Web site: Sondeo TNS Demoscopia Talavera de la Reina . es . eldiario.es CLM . 24 May 2015.
25. Web site: Ciudadanos es clave ante la caída de PP y PSOE que no pasan de 9 ediles . es . La Tribuna de Toledo . 4 May 2015.
26. Web site: TALAVERA DE LA REINA (Toledo), Abril 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos . es . Electograph . 4 May 2015.
27. Web site: Corrochano ganaría las elecciones . es . La Voz del Tajo . 20 April 2015.
28. Web site: Sondeo TNS Demoscopia Toledo . es . eldiario.es CLM . 24 May 2015.
29. Web site: TOLEDO, Abril 2015. Sondeo GAD3 . es . Electograph . 3 May 2015.
30. Web site: El empate a 9 concejales de PP y PSOE deja la Alcaldía pendiente de los pactos . es . La Tribuna de Toledo . 11 May 2015.
31. Web site: TOLEDO, Abril 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos . es . Electograph . 11 May 2015.
32. Web site: Un sondeo del PSOE da a Tolón ganadora al lograr 11 concejales frente a los 9 del Partido Popular . es . La Tribuna de Toledo . 28 April 2015.
33. Web site: TOLEDO, Abril 2015. Sondeo Celeste-Tel . es . Electograph . 28 April 2015.